David Stowe 
Sunday night showdown time ladies and gentlemen! I hope that as you are all reading this you are looking at green screens across the board. Be sure to hop in discord to get all of the updated information leading up to the kick and take a look at our custom projections model to see where we are going to look for our flex plays. So without further ado, here is your WDS Stoweby’s Showdown Chiefs at Ravens 9.19
If you were here with us last season you may remember this disclaimer. Do not waste half of your budget or double down on showdown because you had a bad main slate. Unless you get incredibly lucky your best-case scenario is a chopped pot with a ton of people. Just throw a few lineups in and have fun while you have a little sweat going.
Vegas Script: Total: 53 Chiefs -4
It goes without saying that this is going to be an explosive contest with several of the most prolific fantasy producers in the NFL. While we do have tons of points to be scored the player pool is relatively small so the tough part is going to be finding the cheap value play that will allow you to fit all of the studs that we want in our lineups.
Captains:
No need to get cute in your captain spot this week unless you want to donate. There are four or five guys you should play and no more.
Chalk: Patrick Mahomes, Chiefs, $12,600
Do I really need to explain this one? If Derek Carr went off for 400+ yards what do you think Mahomes could do? He will be the chalk and for good reason. The Ravens are going to have an impossible task of running man against two 4.2 speed receivers and the best tight end in the league.
Pivot: Lamar Jackson, Ravens, $11,800:
The weakness of the Chiefs has always been the run game and that is the one thing that the Ravens and Lamar do exceedingly well. The run totals will be there regardless but in this game he will have to produce in the air if they are to have any chance at winning this game. Just keep in mind Lamar has only exceeded 300 yards passing two times in his entire career so temper you expectations as to what those passing numbers will be.
Contrarian #1: Travis Kelce, Chiefs, $10,400:
If I do not use either Lamar or Mahomes I have a ton of confidence that Kelce will have a monster of a game and will be my #1 play outside of them. The Raiders last week took that man defense and shredded if for over 400 yards and they did it using Darren Waller to the tune of 10 catches, on 19 targets, for 105 yards, and a TD. The thing is, Waller was open way more than even what his stats show, Carr was just unable to get it to him. Mahomes and Andy Reid are not going to miss in that way. If for some reason the Raven do try to move into a zone coverage Kelce is still the big target to go to as they clear the zones out with Hardman and Hill, leaving Kelce free down the seem and in crossing routes. He is the cheat code for me today.
Contrarian #2: Tyreek Hill, Chiefs, $10,600
The Ravens run tons of man concepts, cover one, and heavy pressure. All of these things can be exploited by the speed of the cheetah and the elusiveness of Mahomes. I am going to lean on Kelce but do not let that deter you from using Hill in a few captain spots. He is still in a smash spot and he gives you a little added boost with the potential for a return touchdown.
Contrarian#3: Sammy Watkins, Ravens, $7,800:
I do not think you should go any further down than the four players about but if you are desperate to find someone else as a captain you can get Sammy Watkins at 2% in a revenge narrative. We saw Sammy get 8 targets for 96 yards in week one and I think the Ravens will absolutely have to throw the ball to keep up. But if you do this please understand who we are talking about here. Watkins has made a habit of having a big week one only to do nothing for the rest of the season. It has happened multiple years in a row. I think most of the fantasy community is on to that as well so we are talking very high risk, very high reward.
WDS Stoweby’s Showdown Chiefs at Ravens 9.19 Flex Plays:
- Mark Andrews
- Ty’Son Williams
- Clyde Edwards-Helaire
- Latavius Murray
- Marquis Brown (Questionable, Ankle)
- Mecole Hardman
- Harrison Butker
- Demarcus Robinson
- Byron Pringle
- Devin Duvernay (Questionable, Groin/If Brown is out Duvernay becomes very interesting play)
- Chiefs Defense (Only using if paired with Hill)
Kickers and defenses:
I really do not think you need to go here today. The only justification I can make for it is if you need a cheap Harrison Butker as a final piece or if you are taking a high risk approach and pairing Hill with the D/ST to double dip on a long shot return touchdown. I am not messing with Tucker this week because if KC comes out hot kicking field goals is not going to do them any good and John Harbaugh knows it.
It is finally time folks and I wish you all great success in 2021 and beyond and that WDS Stoweby’s Showdown Chiefs at Ravens 9.19 helps you towards your goals. It is time to start digging into DFS and make sure that we have our processes in place for a successful 2021 NFL campaign. If you have any questions about the article or anything else, I will be available in the WinDaily Discord chat. Don’t forget to subscribe to the WinDaily Youtube channel and follow me @stoweby and @WinDailySports on Twitter to stay current and up to date on all of our fresh new content!
