Sunday night showdown time ladies and gentlemen! I hope that as you are all reading this you are looking at green screens across the board. Be sure to hop in discord to get all of the updated information leading up to the kick and take a look at our custom projections model to see where we are going to look for our flex plays. So without further ado, here is your WDS Stoweby’s Showdown Buccaneers at Patriots 10.3
If you were here with us last season you may remember this disclaimer. Do not waste half of your budget or double down on showdown because you had a bad main slate. Unless you get incredibly lucky your best-case scenario is a chopped pot with a ton of people. Just throw a few lineups in and have fun while you have a little sweat going.
Vegas Script: Total: 49.5 Bucs -6.5
This game needs no explanation. Tom Brady returns to New England and we all know that he wants to show the world that it was him, not Belichick, who was the real reason New England was the dominant force in the NFL for almost two decades. My feelings on this contest do not quite match up with Vegas because I just do not think Mac is quite ready to take a game as big as this one and put it all on him. I think nerves will be a factor and the Bucs should get up early. If you are placing any bets tonight consider taking the Bucs -6.5.
Captains:
Chalk: Tom Brady, $19,200:
I do not think there is a price high enough to keep Brady from being the big chalk tonight and for good reason. Even in his mid 40’s, he remains one of the best QB’s in the league and he wants to pour it on Bill and the Patriots for even entertaining the possibility of replacing him with Jimmy G years back. It does not matter what the score is tonight, he is not taking his foot off of the gas, and this is a guy who throws is 50 times a night against teams he does not take issue with. He may throw until his arm falls off.
Pivot: Antonio Brown, $10,500:
Finishing with the silver medal in the petty Olympics we have Antonio Brown. Brady is the one who brought Brown into New England and I can promise you that he has not forgotten that. If I am going to pivot from the goat I am going to do so with the guy I see getting the lion’s share of the passing targets this week with Gronk out with broken ribs. I think people are sleeping on Brown a bit because of the missed time and a Falcons game where he only saw three targets. Do not sleep on him tonight, the narrative is almost as important as the ability tonight and both are high.
Contrarian #1: Jakobi Meyers, $12,600:
If you want to play the garbage time narrative I like the idea of running Jakobi in the captain spot. Last week with the Patriots down, Meyers saw 14 targets for 94 yards and if the Bucs have one weakness it is with the young secondary pieces. I think Mac will struggle from a real football standpoint but I see him getting a lengthy garbage time period where he and Jakobi can pad some stats.
Contrarian #2: Chris Godwin, $16,800:
He may have ended up higher on my captain’s list if he were a little cheaper. I love the idea of going after the Pats defense from the slot and Godwin is already at 25 targets in just three games this season. If you choose to not mess with AB this week Godwin would be my other main WR play for the Bucs on the evening. Godwin is the best route runner on this team and Brady will know exactly where to go to find the soft spots in the defense.
Contrarian#3: Mac Jones, $14,100 :
As I mentioned above I think Mac has a bit of a tough time early on. While it may look ugly on the field if he has troubles in the early going that means that Damien Harris will not be an option (not that I think he does great against the Bucs front) and he will be in catch up mode early. Garbage time against the Bucs should result in a pretty productive day from a fantasy standpoint and Mac should have his first multi TD game in the process.
WDS Stoweby’s Showdown Buccaneers at Patriots 10.3 Flex Plays:
- Mike Evans
- Damien Harris
- Hunter Henry
- Kendrick Bourne
- Jonnu Smith
- Cameron Brate
- Leonard Fournette
- Ronald Jones
- JJ Taylor
- OJ Howard
- Tyler Johnson
- Bucs Defense
Kickers and defenses:
I’m not really messing with kickers as per usual but I really don’t expect Bill or Brady to hold back much tonight. I could see a justification for the Bucs defense as they can be a nightmare forcing turnovers and pressuring the QB and Mac being a rookie QB in the biggest game of his career I think they will be even more aggressive than usual.
It is finally time folks and I wish you all great success in 2021 and beyond and that WDS Stoweby’s Showdown Buccaneers at Patriots 10.3 helps you towards your goals. It is time to start digging into DFS and make sure that we have our processes in place for a successful 2021 NFL campaign. If you have any questions about the article or anything else, I will be available in the WinDaily Discord chat. Don’t forget to subscribe to the WinDaily Youtube channel and follow me @stoweby and @WinDailySports on Twitter to stay current and up to date on all of our fresh new content!