David Stowe 
Sunday night showdown time ladies and gentlemen! I hope that as you are all reading this you are looking at green greens across the board. Be sure to hop in discord to get all of the updated information leading up to the kick and take a look at our custom projections model to see where we are going to look for our flex plays. In terms of actual football I am not terribly interested. The Rams should come out on top pretty comfortably. But in terms of fantasy we have several targets to take advantage of. So without further ado, here is your WDS Stoweby’s Showdown Bears at Rams 9.12
If you were here with us last season you may remember this disclaimer. Do not waste half of your budget or double down on showdown because you had a bad main slate. Unless you get incredibly lucky your best case scenario is a chopped pot with a ton of people. Just throw a few lineups in and have fun while you have a little sweat going.
Vegas Script: Total: 46.5/ -110 both ways Rams: -8.5 -110 both ways
Vegas sees this as a comfortable victory for the Rams at home with a pretty low total by today’s NFL standard. Both teams are stout defensively. But the Rams are much more talented on offense and Sean McVay is the coach and play caller that Matt Nagy thinks he is in his head. It is very much an expectation vs. reality meme when you put these two guys together.
When building showdown lineup you use game scripts to build your lineups as opposed to simply playing the best plays. Playing wide receivers when you expect a team to be down big early and pairing a defense with a running back that you expect to be up big are things that you need to think about. The key is picking the correct script with the correct player combination if you want any chance to be successful.
Captains:
Chalk: Matthew Stafford, Rams, $11,600:
Clear chalk today is probably no surprise to anyone. Stafford has been hyped up in the DFS community all offseason and the Rams running game did take a bit of a step back with Cam Akers out for the season. Robert Woods and Cooper Kupp are one of the better tandems in the NFL and regardless of how stingy the Bears can be at times there will still have to be some points scored from somewhere.
Pivot: Allen Robinson, Bears, $10,200:
I cannot sit there here writing a showdown article with the Bears and not include Allen Robinson as a captain play no matter who it is. He is the best offensive weapon by far and he regularly beats lockdown corners including Jalen Ramsey. Last season Robinson caught 4 passes for 70 yards with Ramsey as the shadow. I do not have a ton of faith in the Bears, but I never have and Robinson has always performed in spite of that.
Contrarian #1: Rams Defense $6,400:
10 points against, 2 picks, and four sacks for 15 DK points. That was the stat line in week seven against the Bears last season. I know the Bears now have Andy Dalton at QB but is that really any different? The Rams run a modified Seattle Cover three scheme which is potent when to have top level talent up front to force QB’s to throw early and out of rhythm and the Rams have arguably the best defensive front in the NFL
Contrarian #2: Sony Michel, Rams, $4,800:
This is where I will get a little different. With Stafford being the chalk it makes sense that players like Kupp and Woods are going to have the higher numbers but I am going to take some shots with new Rams running back Sony Michel. The starting nose tackle for the Bears Eddie Goldman is out, leaving a huge opening in their 3-4 defense. I do have some concern that this may be a split backfield situation with Darrel Henderson, but of the two I think Sony is the better option of the two.
Contrarian#3: Robert Woods or Cooper Kupp:
Using either Woods or Kupp is my final contrarian option and it really is a matter of personal preference. We did not really get anything in the preseason to tell us whether Stafford had a lean of one over the other and you can not use last season as a gauge because Goff could only get through two reads so they were the only choices most weeks. However, if you take a look at our projection model Woods is projected for 15.61 and Kupp is only 11.44 DK points. You know what we say here and if you don’t let me be the first to say: When in doubt, TRUST THE MODEL.
Kickers and defenses:
I do think that in this showdown a case can be made mixing in kickers and defenses. Especially defenses if your script involves the running game on either side. I prefer the Rams over the Bears given Chicago’s ineptitude offensively under Nagy and Andy Dalton’s leadership. I do plan on running a lineup with the Rams as my captain, just in case.
It is finally time folks and I wish you all great success in 2021 and beyond and that WDS Stoweby’s Showdown Bears at Rams 9.12 helps you towards your goals. It is time to start digging into DFS and make sure that we have our processes in place for a successful 2021 NFL campaign. If you have any questions about the article or anything else, I will be available in the WinDaily Discord chat. Don’t forget to subscribe to the WinDaily Youtube channel and follow me @stoweby and @WinDailySports on Twitter to stay current and up to date on all of our fresh new content!
