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U.S. Open Initial Picks
Don’t look now, but the U.S. Open Championship is already here. This is going to be a very tough course and the rough will not be pleasant. My focus for the U.S. Open Initial Picks will be on approach, accuracy off the tee and short game (ARG and PUTT). We are not going to have super low scores in this one so keep finishing position in that back of your mind as that will be more important than most tournaments. We will be on LIVE at 8:30 tonight (Tuesday) to breakdown the entire slate @windailysports on Twitter, Twitch and YouTube. We’ll also have more articles on WinDailySports.com!
Jon Rahm (11000) – It’s pretty clear that Rahm checks all the boxes and he’s my favorite in this elite range. OTT game is outstanding and it’s rare when his irons fail him (it does happen, but it’s rare). My favorite part about Rahm on such a difficult course is he appears to have his temperament under control.
Webb Simpson (9700) – If you’re looking for a great APP game and a great short game, you’ve found it in Webb. He’s not long off the tee but I’m looking for accuracy more than I am looking for length this week. Don’t get me wrong, length will be important as well this week, but I need my guys in the fairway as the rough is going to be big trouble.
Daniel Berger (9200) – Mr. Under the Radar. All he does is show up and find himself in the mix on Sundays. There isn’t really a weak spot with Berger and his short game should pay dividends this week. Berger also picks up strokes on the field on this putting surface.
Jason Day (8800) – Hasn’t been good his last couple of tournaments and that should keep ownership down. He finished 4th at the PGA which was also a very difficult course and I have no issue taking a chance on the pedigree.
Adam Scott (8700) – He hasn’t been super impressive since his return at the PGA, but if you consider he waited the longest of all the top golfers to resume play, his numbers don’t look bad. This week I’m including a lot of golfers that have the pedigree and that can handle the ups and downs of a very tough course.
Paul Casey (7900) – Your classic boom or bust play, but the boom has been evident this year and I’m happy to have some shares. Casey can be very shaky with the short game, but his OTT and APP metrics grade out very well.
Matthew Wolff (7700) – Finished 4th at the PGA and 16th at BMW and is certainly your best bargain of the Morikawa, Hovland and Wolff trio. He’s going to really need to be dialed in with the irons as the ARG game isn’t good. I won’t be heavy on Wolff but the upside is there so certainly a few shares.
Louis Oosthuizen (7600) – The strokes gained metrics don’t look great but his finishing positions at tough courses look fantastic. Not a guy I’m usually on, but when majors come around he’s worth a look.
Sungjae Im (7500) – Speaking of boom or bust. Sungjae is one of those golfers you don’t want a lot of shares of, but you do want some. He gains strokes in all metrics, but he’ll need to avoid the blow up spot.
Brendon Todd (7400) – Always seems to be dialed in with his irons which hopefully makes up for him being short off the tee. He finds himself in contention too often to be ignored at this price.
Kevin Streelman (6700) – Gained strokes everywhere at the Safeway Open last week. Streelman has his issues OTT at times and can go ice cold with the putter but you are definitely getting good value with Streelman in this bottom end range. This also happens to be his best putting surface.
Chez Reavie (6900) – Very accurate OTT and has been excellent on APP (picked up 7 strokes on the field last week and 3 at the Northern Trust). Coming in good form and checking the necessary boxes puts Reavie as a very good bargain.
Secret Weapon (sub 7k/<5% ownership) – Tune into Discord.
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