This article focuses on 4/13 UCL Picks for DraftKings and FanDuel Sportsbook and FanDuel and DraftKings Daily Fantasy. We consider tournament tactics, statistics, pricing, and attempt to tackle this highly variable Daily Fantasy format. The goal is to gain an edge on the field at large.
Tuesday 4/13 UCL Slate and DFS Gameplan
The Champion’s League returns this week for the second legs of the Round of Eight matchups and I couldn’t be more excited!
If the teams are tied on aggregate goals at the end of the second leg, the team with more away goals wins on a tiebreaker.
If both teams are even on away goals, then it goes to an extra thirty minutes “as in the Juventus/Porto matchup this season” and if still tied after that “with the away goal rule still in application”, it goes to penalty kicks.
Porto (+320) at Chelsea (-117) – 2.4 Total Goals – Chelsea leads 2-0 on Aggregate
Compared to the other matchup, this is one is far less exciting. The expectation is that Chelsea handles business at home and advances to the semifinal.
Bayern Munich (+115) at PSG (+200) – 3.5 Total Goals – PSG leads 3-2 on Aggregate
This one is set to be a blockbuster as the tables have certainly turned between these two sides. As of now, DraftKings Sportsbook has PSG at -278 to advance. Not only do they take a lead into the second leg, but the away goal rule would allow them an extra tiebreaker as things stand.
With Robert Lewandowski and Serge Gnabry out, PSG has the better high-end attackers at the moment, with the duo of Kylian Mbappe and Neymar. Will they be able to help PSG hold on and grab revenge for last year’s Champion’s League Final? I think so but it should be tight.
Notable Goal Scoring Odds and Key Injuries
Note: Many of these players will not end up starting, but their goal odds are listed just in case. If they do not end up starting, disregard them. All odds are listed +300 or below and projected starters are listed in bold.
Porto (+320) at Chelsea (-117) – Olivier Giroud (+140), Tammy Abraham (+155), Timo Werner (+180), Mehdi Taremi (+235), Christian Pulisic (+240), Kai Havertz (+240), Moussa Marega (+245), Mason Mount (+300), Jorginho (+330), Hakim Ziyech (+360), Callum Hudson-Odoi (+390)
Key Injuries
Porto: None
Chelsea: None
Bayern Munich (+115) at PSG (+200) – Kylian Mbappe (+118), Neymar (+143), Thomas Muller (+148), Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting (+148), Moise Kean (+155), Leroy Sane (+180), Kingsley Coman (+230), Angel Di Maria (+230), Leon Goretzka (+230), Julian Draxler (+380)
Key Injuries
Bayern Munich: Robert Lewandowski, Serge Gnabry, Corentin Tolisso, Douglas Costa, Niklas Sule
PSG: Mauro Icardi, Juan Bernat
UCL Best Odds
*Over 3.5 Goals – Bayern Munich at PSG* (-114) – 0.25 Units – “DraftKings Sportsbook”
The Betting Game Plan
Last week when these two sides met, it resulted in a 3-2 final. There could similarly be fireworks when they meet again in this critical second leg.
4/13 UCL FanDuel Rankings “Set pieces less important on FanDuel”
Forward/Midfield
- Joshua Kimmich – Bayern Munich – $16 “Set Pieces”
- Kylian Mbappe – PSG – $23
- Neymar – PSG – $22
- Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting – Bayern Munich – $17
- Angel Di Maria – PSG – $15
- Christian Pulisic – Chelsea – $13
- Kingsley Coman – Bayern Munich – $18
- Leroy Sane – Bayern Munich – $19
- Mason Mount – Chelsea – $18 “Share of Set Pieces”
- Kai Havertz – Chelsea – $14
- Thomas Muller – Bayern Munich – $21
Defense
- Reece James – Chelsea – $12 “Share of Set Pieces”
- Lucas Hernandez – Bayern Munich – $8
- Kurt Zouma – Chelsea – $9
- David Alaba – Bayern Munich – $9
- Colin Dagba – PSG – $7
Goalies
- Edouard Mendy – Chelsea – $13
- Manuel Neuer – Bayern Munich – $9
4/13 UCL DraftKings Rankings
Forward
- Kylian Mbappe – PSG – $9,200
- Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting – Bayern Munich – $6,300
- Neymar – PSG – $10,100
- Leroy Sane – Bayern Munich – $6,900
- Kingsley Coman – Bayern Munich – $7,500
- Christian Pulisic – Chelsea – $6,800
- Angel Di Maria – PSG – $8,100
- Thomas Muller – Bayern Munich – $8,500
Midfield
- Joshua Kimmich – Bayern Munich – $7,800 “Set Pieces” – Probably 90-100% Owned in both formats
- Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting – Bayern Munich – $6,300
- Neymar – PSG – $10,100
- Leroy Sane – Bayern Munich – $6,900
- Kingsley Coman – Bayern Munich – $7,500
- Christian Pulisic – Chelsea – $6,800
- Mason Mount – Chelsea – $8,300 “Share of Set Pieces”
- Kai Havertz – Chelsea – $5,600
- Angel Di Maria – PSG – $8,100
- Thomas Muller – Bayern Munich – $8,500
Defense
- Reece James – Chelsea – $6,000 “Share of Set Pieces”
- Alphonso Davies – Bayern Munich – $4,200
- PUNT PSG Wingbacks “Diallo/Dagba” or other PUNTS
Goalies
- Edouard Mendy – Chelsea – $5,500
- Keylor Navas – PSG – $4,600
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