Tuesday 3/16 UCL DFS

This article focuses on 3/16 UCL Picks for DraftKings and FanDuel Sportsbook and FanDuel and DraftKings Daily Fantasy. We consider tournament tactics, statistics, pricing, and attempt to tackle this highly variable Daily Fantasy format. The goal is to gain an edge on the field at large.

Tuesday 3/16 UCL Slate and DFS Gameplan

The Champion’s League returns for the last of the second legs of the Round of 16 matches this week. While Man City is looking to cruise through to the round of eight, the other tie today is only separated by a goal.

If any teams are tied at the end of regulation, away goals scored count as the tiebreaker. Then if the teams are even on away goals, it goes to an extra 30 minute overtime which is not the first goal wins, but rather plays out in its entirety. If no teams score over those thirty minutes, it goes to penalty kicks. 

Gladbach (+1200) at Manchester City (-435) – 3 Total Goals – Manchester City Leads 2-0 on Aggregate

Manchester City is so healthy and deep right now, they can field two teams. They deployed their “B-Team” over the weekend against Fulham in the English Premier League. With only FA Cup games and a short international break immediately ahead, we can expect the “A-Team” for this match. It is unlikely that they experience any issues here at home, as they should easily advance to the round of eight.

Atalanta (+225) at Real Madrid (+114) – 3.25 Total Goals – Real Madrid leads 1-0 on Aggregate

Last week we saw the downfall of club soccer’s old guard in Barcelona and Juventus. This week, we get another one of the historic giants facing a precarious situation. With Real Madrid only up one goal, with the away goal rule, they will have to work to ensure that they limit any damage. Karim Benzema has five goals over his last starts so he is red hot right now. Along with Benzema, other veterans expected in the lineup are Toni Kroos, Sergio Ramos, and Luka Modric. They have a ton of combined experience and should help boost the younger players around them to get past a mediocre Atalanta side.

Notable Goal Scoring Odds and Key Injuries

Note: Many of these players will not end up starting, but their goal odds are listed just in case. If they do not end up starting, disregard them. All odds are listed +300 or below and projected starters are listed in bold.

Gladbach (+1200) at Manchester City (-435) – Sergio Aguero (-114), Gabriel Jesus (+123), Raheem Sterling (+128), Ilkay Gundogan (+128), Kevin De Bruyne (+148), Riyad Mahrez (+148), Phil Foden (+165), Ferran Torres (+240), Rodri (+265), Bernardo Silva (+265)

Key Injuries

Gladbach: None

Manchester City: None

Atalanta (+225) at Real Madrid (+114) – Karim Benzema (+138), Luis Muriel (+188), Duvan Zapata (+188), Josip Illicic (+230), Vinicius Junior (+255), Hugo Duro (+275), Sergio Ramos (+310), Marco Asensio (+360), Matteo Pessina (+375)

Key Injuries

Atalanta: Hans Hateboer, Remo Freuler

Real Madrid: Eden Hazard, Casemiro, Dani Carjaval, Mariano

UCL Best Odds

*Real Madrid to Win* (+114) – 0.25 Units – “DraftKings Sportsbook”

DraftKings | FanDuel

The Betting Game Plan

You might want to wait until lineups come out for this bet. However, for reasons mentioned above, as long as the lineups are as expected, I like Real Madrid.

3/16 UCL FanDuel Rankings “Set pieces less important on FanDuel”

Forward/Midfield

1. Kevin De Bruyne – Manchester City – $23 “Set Pieces”
2. Karim Benzema – Real Madrid – $22
3. Josep Ilicic – Atalanta – $18 “Not currently projected to start, set pieces if in”
4. Phil Foden – Manchester City – $16 “Not currently projected to start”
5. Raheem Sterling – Manchester City – $20
6. Riyad Mahrez – Manchester City – $20
7. Ilkay Gundogan – Manchester City – $15
8. Duvan Zapata – Atalanta – $16
9. Luis Muriel – Atalanta – $17 “Set Pieces if no Ilicic”
10. Toni Kroos – Real Madrid – $17 “Set Pieces”
11. Matteo Pessina – Atalanta – $8
12. Marco Asensio – Real Madrid – $11
13. Bernardo Silva – Manchester City – $14
14. Vinicius Junior – Real Madrid – $18
15. Alassane Plea – Gladbach – $17

Defense

1. Lucas Vazquez – Real Madrid – $14
2. Aymeric Laporte – Manchester City – $9
3. Raphael Varane – Real Madrid – $8
4. Sergio Ramos – Real Madrid – $15 “Penalty Kicks”
5. Kyle Walker – Manchester City – $10

Goalies

1. Ederson – Manchester City – $13
2. Thibault Courtois – Real Madrid – $11

3/16 UCL DraftKings Rankings

Forward

1. Karim Benzema – Real Madrid – $9,400
2. Josep Ilicic – Atalanta – $9,000 “Not currently projected to start, set pieces if in”
3. Raheem Sterling – Manchester City – $8,300
4. Riyad Mahrez – Manchester City – $8,600
5. Gabriel Jesus – Manchester City – $8,000 “Not currently projected to start”
6. Sergio Aguero – Manchester City – $7,500
7. Luis Muriel – Atalanta – $8,800 “Set pieces if no Ilicic”
8. Duvan Zapata – Atalanta – $8,400
9. Vinicius Junior/Marco Asensio – Real Madrid – $6,000/$6,600
10. Bernardo Silva – Manchester City – $7,200

Midfield

1. Kevin De Bruyne – Manchester City – $10,000 “Set Pieces”
2. Toni Kroos – Real Madrid – $7,800 “Set Pieces”
3. Josep Ilicic – Atalanta – $9,000 “Not currently projected to start, set pieces if in”
4. Ilkay Gundogan – Manchester City – $7,600
5. Raheem Sterling – Manchester City – $8,300
6. Riyad Mahrez – Manchester City – $8,600
7. Phil Foden – Manchester City – $8,700 “Not currently projected to start”
8. Matteo Pessina – Atalanta – $4,100
9. Vinicius Junior/Marco Asensio – Real Madrid – $6,000/$6,600
10. Ferran Torres – Manchester City – $6,500 “Not currently projected to start”
11. Bernardo Silva – Manchester City – $7,200
12. Fede Valverde – Real Madrid – $3,600

Defense

1. Lucas Vazquez – Real Madrid – $6,900
2. Joao Cancelo – Manchester City – $5,800 “Not currently projected to start”
3. Oleksandr Zinchenko – Manchester City – $4,900
4. Sergio Ramos – Real Madrid – $4,000 “penalty kicks”
5. Robin Gosens – Atalanta – $5,200

Goalies

1. Ederson – Manchester City – $5,900
2. Thibaut Courtois – Real Madrid – $5,200

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