Tuesday 12/8 UCL DFS and Best Bet

This article focuses on 12/8 UCL Picks for DraftKings and FanDuel Sportsbook and FanDuel and DraftKings Daily Fantasy. We consider tournament tactics, statistics, pricing, and attempt to tackle this highly variable Daily Fantasy format so we can gain an edge on the field at large.

Tuesday 12/8 UCL Slate and DFS Gameplan

It’s time to put an end to the Champion’s League Group Stages with the first half of Matchweek 6/6, beginning at 3:00 p.m. ET.

Note: Projected starters are highlighted in bold. Goal odds of all potential starters are included, but if a player is not in the starting lineup, disregard his scoring odds.

PSG (-1000)

Key Goal Scoring Odds: Kylian Mbappe (-245), Neymar (-195), Moise Kean (-137), Angel Di Maria (-104)

PSG finds themselves in a huge game, where they are heavily favored against lowly Istanbul Basaksehir. Collectively, they have the highest goal scoring odds on the slate, in a must win matchup. Their attackers should all be popular.

Chelsea (-345)

Key Goal Scoring Odds: Timo Werner (-120), Tammy Abraham (-103), Olivier Giroud (-103), Christian Pulisic (+135), Kai Havertz (+180), Mason Mount (+280), Billy Gilmour (+390)

We will have to see how the lineup shakes out. I doubt that Olivier Giroud would get a third straight start at age 35. So chances are we see Tammy Abraham in the mix. With Hakim Ziyech’s injury, Mason Mount should have control of all the set pieces once again. Finally, young talent Billy Gilmour might be making his first start of the season. That is something to watch for if looking for a cheap flier, particularly on FanDuel for $7.

Dynamo Kyiv (-124)

Key Goal Scoring Odds: Viktor Tsyhankov (+140), Vladyslav Supriaha (+160), Benjamin Verbic (+175), Gerson Rodrigues (+190), Clayton (+205), Franck Boli (+260)

Both teams in this game are absolutely terrible. However, the Hungarian team Ferenvcaros is even worse than Dynamo Kyiv. Thus, maybe this is a spot for some savings if you want to pick out a couple bodies from Dynamo to go stars and scrubs.

Manchester United (+200) at RB Leipzig (+120)

Key Goal Scoring Odds: Alexander Sorloth (+175), Youssef Poulsen (+195), Bruno Fernandes (+195), Marcus Rashford (+225), Emil Forsberg (+275), Christopher Nkunku (+275), Dani Olmo (+275), Marcel Sabitzer (+275), Mason Greenwood (+280), Donny van de Beek (+450)

This is probably the best game of the day from a raw perspective. Both teams are dead even on nine points, so this is likely an elimination game. Manchester United will be without both Edinson Cavani and Anthony Martial. They will need another huge Champion’s League game from Marcus Rashford and/or Bruno and Mason Greenwood, to help them move on. Meanwhile, Leipzig is favored here and their attackers are certainly in play, as well.

Juventus (+235) at Barcelona (+110)

Key Goal Scoring Odds: Leo Messi (+118), Cristiano Ronaldo (+123), Antoine Greizmann (+180), Alvaro Morata (+195), Martin Braithwaite (+205), Federico Chiesa (+235), Paulo Dybala (+240), Phillipe Coutinho (+260), Federico Bernardeschi (+275), Trincao (+375), Pedri (+375)

Messi v. Ronaldo. Barcelona will win this group either way on goal difference, so this one is simply for pride. It might be the last time these two ever face each other again, based on how the future plays out. However, this game might not exactly be the high paced shootout that it would’ve been years ago.

Sevilla (+130) at Rennes (+220)

Key Goal Scoring Odds: Lucas Ocampos (+215), M’Baye Niang (+215), Luuk de Jong (+235), Carlos Fernandez (+235), Youssef En-Nesyri (+245), Oussama Idrissi (+275), Oscar Rodriguez (+375), Franco Vazquez (+420)

Sevilla clinched a spot in the Round of Sixteen but cannot win their group. Therefore, they have nothing to play for here and it will be all backups. This is a stayaway spot for me unless it’s last man in.

Best Bet

PSG and Chelsea (-245 total) DraftKings Sportsbook – 2 Units*

DraftKings | FanDuel

The Betting Game Plan

PSG and Chelsea come in as the big favorites on the slate and we should be able to rely on them here. Because the total odds aren’t great, feel free to add on something else from another sport to your parlay as desired.

12/8 UCL FanDuel Rankings

Forward/Midfield

• 1. Neymar – PSG – $23
• 2. Kylian Mbappe – PSG – $22
• 3. Leo Messi – Barcelona – $23
• 4. Cristiano Ronaldo – Juventus – $21
• 5. Moise Kean – PSG – $15
• 6. Bruno Fernandes – Manchester United – $19
• 7. Angel Di Maria – PSG – $16 “Not currently projected to start”
• 8. Tammy Abraham – Chelsea – $15
• 9. Christopher Nkunku – RB Leipzig – $15
• 10. Christian Pulisic – Chelsea – $16
• 11. Mason Mount – Chelsea – $14
• 12. Mason Greenwood – Manchester United – $13
• 13. Marcus Rashford – Manchester United – $18
• 14. Yussuf Poulsen – RB Leipzig – $18
• 15. Oscar – Sevilla – $11
• 16. Federico Chiesa – Juventus – $13
• 17. Alvaro Morata – Juventus – $19
• 18. Victor Tsygankov – Dynamo Kyiv – $16
• 19. Martin Braithwaite – Barcelona – $16
• 20. Antoine Griezmann – Barcelona – $18
• 21. Phillipe Coutinho – Barcelona – $16
• 22. Youssef En-Nesyri – Sevilla – $17
• 23. Marcel Sabitzer – RB Leipzig – $12
• 24. Oussama Idrissi – Sevilla – $11
• 25. Billy Gilmour – Chelsea – $7

Defense

• 1. Emerson – Chelsea – $6
• 2. Alessandro Florenzi – PSG – $8
• 3. Antonio Rudiger – Chelsea – $8
• 4. Kaio – FC Krasnodor – $9
• 5. PUNT

Goalies

1. Keylor Navas – PSG – $14
2. Edouard Mendy – Chelsea – $15 “If Kepa is in, it is a big downgrade”
3. Kepa – Chelsea – $5 “A big downgrade from Mendy but reflected in price”

12/8 UCL DraftKings Rankings

Forward

1. Kylian Mbappe – PSG – $9,800
2. Neymar – PSG – $12,800 “Set pieces if no Di Maria”
3. Leo Messi – Barcelona – $11,300 “Set pieces”
4. Moise Kean – PSG – $7,200
5. Angel Di Maria – PSG – $9,500 “Not currently projected to start, some set pieces if in”
6. Timo Werner – Chelsea – $9,600 “Not currently projected to start”
7. Tammy Abraham – Chelsea – $8,000
8. Cristiano Ronaldo – Juventus – $11,000
9. Edin Visca – Istanbul Basaksehir – $8,400 “Not currently projected to start, set pieces if in”
10. Christopher Nkunku – RB Leipzig – $8,900 “Some set pieces”
11. Yussuf Poulsen – RB Leipzig – $7,800
12. Alexander Sorloth – RB Leipzig – $6,700 “Not currently projected to start”
13. Christian Pulisic – Chelsea – $7,500
14. Mason Greenwood – Manchester United – $5,500
15. Alvaro Morata – Juventus – $8,600
16. Federico Chiesa – Juventus – $7,400
17. Marcus Rashford – Manchester United – $8,100
18. Antoine Greizmann – Barcelona – $7,300
19. Martin Braithwaite – Barcelona – $7,700
20. Youssef En-Nesyri – Sevilla – $6,500
21. Oussama Idrissi – Sevilla – $5,400
22. Oleksandr Zubkov – Ferenvcaros – $4,900 “Some set pieces”

Midfield

• 1. Neymar – PSG – $12,800 “Set pieces if no Di Maria”
• 2. Leo Messi – Barcelona – $11,300 “Set pieces”
• 3. Mason Mount – Chelsea – $6,900 “Set pieces”
• 4. Angel Di Maria – PSG – $9,500 “Not currently projected to start, some set pieces if in”
• 5. Timo Werner – Chelsea – $9,600 “Not currently projected to start”
• 6. Bruno Fernandes – Manchester United – $9,600 “Some set pieces”
• 7. Viktor Tsygankov – Dynamo Kyiv – $6,600
• 8. Edin Visca – Istanbul Basaksehir – $8,400 “Not currently projected to start, set pieces if in”
• 9. Christopher Nkunku – RB Leipzig – $8,900 “Some set pieces”
• 10. Oscar Rodriguez – Sevilla – $7,600 “Set pieces”
• 11. Christian Pulisic – Chelsea – $7,500
• 12. Mason Greenwood – Manchester United – $5,500
• 13. Benjamin Bourigeaud – Rennes – $8,300 “Set pieces”
• 14. Marcus Rashford – Manchester United – $8,100
• 15. Emil Forsberg – RB Leipzig – $6,200
• 16. Deniz Turuc – Istanbul Basaksehir – $6,100
• 17. Oleksandr Zubkov – Ferenvcaros – $4,900 “Some set pieces”
• 18. Billy Gilmour – Chelsea – $4,200
• 19. Paul Pogba – Manchester United – $4,000
• 20. Eduardo Camavinga – Rennes – $4,200

Defense

• 1. Angelino – RB Leipzig – $7,400 “Very expensive, some set pieces”
• 2. Alex Telles – Manchester United – $5,900
• 3. Tomasz Kedziora – Dynamo Kyiv – $4,000
• 4. Vitali Mykolensko – Dynamo Kyiv – $4,400
• 5. Artem Shabanov – Dynamo Kyiv – $2,600 “Not currently projected to start”

Goalies

1. Keylor Navas – PSG – $5,900
2. Edouard Mendy – Chelsea – $5,700 “Big downgrade if Kepa in goal”

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