The Travelers Championship Final Ownership Projections
The ownership projections for the first two tournaments have been on lock. This week, as of this report, the top golfer is Bryson DeChambeau at 23%+ (+ is rising) Justin Thomas has shot up in the last hour at 22%, and Victor Hovland is at 21%+. There are still 57,000 entries available in the Milly Maker. This weeks numbers are more clustered together, last week Webb Simpson smoked the field in ownership. Here are The Travelers Championship Final Ownership Projections.
Ownership Projections
Jon Rahm, Abraham Ancer, Joaquin Niemann and Sungjae Im are next at 19% and Patrick Scott’s poster boy Collin Morikawa at 18% + along with Justin Rose and Bubba Watson. Scottie Scheffler is at 17%+ (I like Scotty ) along with Xander Schauffele and DJohnson.
Patrick Reed is 16%, with Rory McILroy, and Patrick Cantlay( first tourney in 4 months) coming in at 15%, followed by Gary Woodland +, and then Tony Finau at 14%.
M Fitzpatrick is 12%,M Leishman is at 11%, and so is Sergio Garcia. Ian Poulter and Corey Conners are coming in at just under 11%, along with Joel Dahmen, who has shot up quickly in the last hour, his % will go up.
Doc Redman, JT Poston and Jason Kokrak are just a shade under 8%, Billy Horschel, Max Homa and S. Munoz are at 6%, Jordan Spieth is at 5% along with Jason Day.
The following are at present sub 5% owned golfers:
Ryan Moore, Keegan Bradley, Dylan Frittelli, Ryan Palmer,Kevin Kisner, Shane Lowry, Louie Oosthuizen, B. An, Shane Lowry, Bud Cauley, Vaughn Taylor, Chez Reavie, Rafa Cabrera Bello, H Varner III, K Streelman, Jim Furyk and others in the 6 K range.
Bryson and JT may top 25% by tourney lock out. If you roster them both, remember you will need four sub 8% owned players to get in the range to win the Milly, if you choose 1 you can play some mid to high priced player (s)as long as you have several low owned and diverse people in your lineup.
I was going to roster Shane Lowry in 9 lineups, now he’s in none. He played with Brooks Koepka, who’s caddy tested +, and Graeme McDowell, who’s caddy tested+. He may withdraw prior to tee off time, regardless he is too risky now to roster.
The following are players I believe may help:
Bubba Watson (8800) 18% owned. He is at the top of the ownership plateau, Data Golf docked him <2> for regression, what they did not do is allow him the customary .5 to .75 for history, when Bubba likes a course, he plays really well at it. He may or may not win his 4th championship in 10 years, even with the doc, he is still a + value, and on this course I won’t bet against him, although I have,and lost, many times. Secondary: Rory and Xander.
Matthew Fitzpatrick (8100) 12% owned, Marc Leishman (8000) 11% owned
These are two golfers hovering just over 10% with a decent short game and accuracy, they should provide decent value this weekend. Secondary Tony Finau (8200) and JT Poston (7900).
Doc Redman (6700) 7% owned. Max Homa (7000) 6% owned. I love Doc, he was eighth in strokes gained last week. I would like their ownership to be sub 5 but you can’t have everything, and you will get everything if these two make the cut and play golf as they have been, both rate as good values with + upside in my models.
Deep Longshots: Tyler Duncan, Cameron Tringale, Ryan Moore
These three can win you the Milly Maker on your team, or they can blow it up in a second on Friday (cut) night. Duncan is a cut maker, he needs to learn that there are two more days after the cut to play. My model loves Tringale, and Ryan Moore should fit this course enough to make the cut.
Honorable Mention: Harry Higgs.
Harry has made 7 straight cuts and he drinks Tito’s Homemade Vodka, made right here in Austin TX. That’s good enough for me.
Players and members please remember that the people who win millions every week have a common factor, they have two players whose ownership average is between 5 to 8% each, and their total team ownership comes in between 12-18%. Use ownership as a weapon, don’t be afraid to roster player X if you think he brings it.
The writers and I will be in the Discord Chat later to answer questions, do yourself a favor and check out all the golf reports, and as always, I hope to be with you, in the money. Check out more golf content for FREE over at WinDailySports.com/Golf.