Sia 
It’s big boy time on the PGA Tour as 143 golfers will do battle in a field littered with talent. Often considered the 5th major, the Players will ensure that your Draftkings lineup is filled with heavy hitters. TPC Sawgrass is a Par 72 measuring just over 7200 yards. Bombers have a slight advantage, but not enough of one to put a strong emphasis upon. Just like last week, there are a lot of hazards, but expect the scores and the birdie making to be better this week. My focus will be on APP, ARG, GIR and a bit of accuracy off the tee. You may also want to look at Par 4 scoring, Par 5 scoring and Bogey Avoid stats. We will have much more by way of a course breakdown on the PGA Draftcast at 8:00 on Tuesday night, which will feature special guest, PGA Tout! One final note before we get to the Initial Picks at The Players, monitor the weather this week by getting into our Discord as it will likely be a factor.
Jon Rahm (11100) – I’m petrified by his ARG and PUTT, but the ball striking remains excellent and even with the suspect short game he’s still finishing inside the Top 20 every time out. Top 20 is not what you’re looking for, but if he turns the short game around, even a little bit, he can win this thing and will be a decent pivot off of a likely more popular Morikawa or Rory.
Patrick Cantlay (9900) – He belongs in the 10k range, but his history here isn’t the greatest. I still think he has plenty of win equity and he’s coming in with great form. I’m playing the underprice here, but I’ll admit that there’s plenty to go around in the 9k range if you’re not comfortable here.
Cameron Smith (9400) – Another guy without stellar course history, but I just love his game and on a positional golf course, I’m not sure his erraticism OTT will be a huge factor. He shows up in a big way in all the other major metrics and rates out very well on Par 5’s. I’ll note that I like DJ as a sleeper in this range and if Scheffler’s ownership is low, he’s a big time value as he was priced prior to his winning of the API.
Daniel Berger (8800) – Rates out very well across the board, but particularly on APP (number 1 last 50 rounds). He’s a great value here, but likely to be popular so he’s more of a cash game play for me rather than tournament. If you are playing him in tournaments, make sure you get different in some other places. There are a lot of good pivots in this 8k range, many of whom have win equity.
Brooks Koepka (8600) – There are so many ways you can go in this upper 8k range, but I love the upside of Brooks as not many are taking him seriously yet. We’ll need to see how ownership shakes out so stay tuned for Steven’s ownership article, but I do think Brooks has winning upside at The Players and I like how his game has trended as of late.
Shane Lowry (8000) – Checks the box of recent form and course history and rates out really well on APP, ARG, GIRs Gained, Good Drives and Bogey Avoid. He can sometimes sink you OTT, but even in those instances he can play himself back into it with the APP and short game. I’ll note that I think Niemann is a very interesting pivot in this 8k range.
Matt Fitzpatrick (7700) – I’m sure Paul Casey and Ancer will be some of the 7k chalk and I expect Fitz to be right behind them from an ownership standpoint. Fitz has been crushing it in the ball striking department and has a great short game to compliment that. Don’t worry about how he shows up on your model as much of the APP and ARG stats are from last summer.
Cameron Young (7200) – I’m not even sure what to say about this guy at this point, but I’m not comfortable completely fading him. Only strike against him is that he hasn’t played this course on the PGA Tour, but everything else checks out. This guy can play.
Talor Gooch (7200) – Very impressive week at the API and has been great on APP and ARG. Beware of a checkered OTT game, but I love the form overall and he checks the boxes with recent form and course history (played here twice with a 5th place and an MC).
Chris Kirk (7000) – This guy is churning out Top 15’s and appears to be improving each and every tournament. He’s typically a cut maker at The Players and at this point I think he has the requisite upside to pay off his price.
Aaron Wise (6600) – A very risky proposition as Wise hasn’t been that great outside of the API last week. Add to that he’s got a 65th and an MC at The Players, but I like his game enough to give him a shot. The putter is his big issue, but this is a course that has been good to bad putters.
Dylan Frittelli (6600) – In this range you’re looking for anything you can hang your hat on and while Dylan is terrible in the metrics department he’s made 4 out of 5 cuts and finished 22nd here last year.
Secret Weapon – 49-18. See you in Discord. Be sure to get in our Discord, watch our PGA Draftcast LIVE show tomorrow night with special guest PGA Tout and sign up for all things Win Daily as we are bringing you all the DFS for all the sports you can imagine. Further, make sure you check out Sharp as the bets continue to roll through.
