Before getting into our DFS pool for The Players, I recommend having a read of my tournament preview article here. You can catch up on all my deep-dive course analysis of TPC Sawgrass, course comps, and weather for the tournament. This helps explain reason and my process behind The Players Championship DFS tips below.
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DFS Strategies for The Players Championship
Obviously, as in betting markets, the DFS salary board is shaped by Scottie Scheffler.
At an extremely expensive $12,800 and potentially over 35% ownership, we need to consider the manner of output required for him to justify that price tag.
Basically, building a DFS lineup with Scheffler immediately encounters salary cap issues. As Joel correctly proposed this question on the PGA Draftcast, it then becomes a matter of whether you can build a better DFS line-up with Scheffler or without him. As a result of the salary, you are not only seeing high ownership on Scheffler but condensed ownership further down the field in multiple spots. Essentially, we are asking him to finish 1st or runner-up.
As I wrote in my The Players Championship preview and tournament analysis, the optimal DFS theory may be to lean into the volatility that TPC Sawgrass presents. With penalties looming at every turn, simply avoiding the chalk could be more important this week than ever.
As always, contest selection and DFS line-up construction go hand in hand. For a small entrant SE contest, you can embrace more chalk and play safer. For a larger GPP, especially the millionaire maker, you are going to want to get very uncomfortable and take several players you feel uneasy about that possess tremendous upside. Leaving salary on the table is also a key consideration for the latter this week.
The Players Championship DFS Player Pool
The below is based on Draftkings salaries, with players listed by preference from left to right. We account for a combination of expected performance, key course metrics, correlated course form, approach statistics, ownership, and salary.
Salary Tier | Golfers |
$10,000+ | Thomas, Scheffler, Schauffele |
$9,000-$9,900 | Matsuyama, Lowry, Homa, Spieth, Morikawa |
$8,000-$8,900 | Benny An, Henley, Tom Kim, Conners, Fleetwood, Day |
$7,000-$7,900 | Harman, Hoge, Noren, Bezuidenhout, Bradley, Grillo, Davis, Kirk |
$6,000-$6,900 | Horschel, Taylor, Todd, Putnam, Hisatsune, Fox, Eckroat, Rai, Glover, Montgomery |
$5,000-$5,900 AKA Dumpster Fire | Zac Blair, Brandon Wu, Power, KH Lee, Ryder, Lower, Sigg, Michael Kim, Duncan, Hadley, Lashley, Martin, CT Pan |
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