Sia 
The year’s final major is upon us and it is at Royal St. George’s Golf Club in England for The Open Championship. This is a Links style course characterized as a coastal course, with no protection from the elements and filled with deep bunkers and sand dunes. Wind is likely to be big factor and we may need to wait until Wednesday night to determine where the edge is in that regard. Note that this tournament locks around midnight Wednesday evening. Make sure you check our Discord Wednesday night before lock for all of the last minute information. And check out the PGA team Tuesday night for our Live PGA Livestream for notes on all of the players and the course itself.
Brooks Koepka (10700) – I think Brooks and Jon Rahm have the best chance for an outright win at The Open, and therefore, I’ll take the slight discount that Brooks offers (I clearly like Rahm as well). He has plenty of Links experience and a great track record at Opens and majors in general. Over the last two tournaments, which included the US Open, he’s finished Top 5.
Jordan Spieth (9700) – Great finishing positions, great strokes gained metrics, great Open experience and great price. Spieth epitomizes the idea of value. No one is a lock in this tournament, but can’t deny the value of Spieth.
Louis Oothuizen (9300) – Speaking of great track records in majors, there’s no disputing that Louis is usually completely dialed in at majors and this week should be no different. He’s also been in good form with 2nd place finishes in his last two majors (US Open and PGA Championship).
Patrick Cantlay (8900) – He’s been very solid after his slight slump and this feels like one of many value plays in this tournament. Cantlay won the Memorial (kinda, Rahm WD) and he has Open experience.
Patrick Reed (8800) – We’ll need to wait and see how ownership plays out, but I think Reed is very sneaky as he’s the type of golfer that will map out and navigate this course easier than most. His recent form is average, but his Open experience is very strong.
Matt Fitzpatrick (7900) – If he ends up being chalky, I’ll likely pivot as I’m never “inlove” with Matt Fitzpatrick, but he’s another guy that shouldn’t have trouble navigating tough conditions and he just had a great showing in a tough Scottish Open field.
Jason Day (7700) – A GPP play only and this write up assumes four days of health, but Day could be a great play if people are shy to use him. His Open and Links experience are great and he’s coming in with good form.
Daniel Berger (7400) – This price is pretty eye-popping and while he lacks some of the experience on Links style courses that I’m looking for, the value is too good to ignore. Berger rates out very well for me and belongs in the 8k range.
Garrick Higgo (7400) – He’s been great on the Euro Tour and the adjustment to the PGA Tour has also been easier than expected. I don’t think he’ll be intimidated by this major.
Harris English (7300) – He has middling results in Opens in the past, but he has made 4 of 5 cuts. His recent form is excellent (1st, 3rd and 14th over his last three tournaments) and I think he’s another guy in the low 7k range that can offer plenty of upside.
Branden Grace (7200) – He’s been pretty dialed in lately and that shows in improving SG metrics and impressive finishing positions. He also has the requisite Links experience. A good course fit at a good value.
Lucas Herbert (6800) – He’s 3rd on the European Tour in SG: Total and that’s shown in his finishing positions. He’s coming off a T4 at last week’s Scottish Open so the form is there. His Open experience is limited but he certainly has Links experience.
Secret Weapon (less than 7k/less than 5% owned) – Current record is 38-12. See you in Discord.
If you haven’t already, subscribe to Win Daily Sports on YouTube and at the Apple Podcasts and check out all the content at windailysports.com. It’s also important to be in Discord Wednesday night for all The Open Championship late tips, lineup changes and weather reports.
