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The Northern Trust: Initial Picks
Welcome to round one of the FedEx Cup Playoffs where we will have a field of 125. With fewer in the field it will be very important to get all your picks through the cut, and with that in mind, I’ll likely be going for a more balanced approach this week (which will still allow you to grab a golfer from the elite price range). Tune into tonight’s Livestream at 8:30 for more on the Northern Trust (and subscribe to the Win Daily Podcast if you haven’t already). Be on the lookout for more PGA DFS content over at Win Daily Sports! Let’s get to The Northern Trust: Initial Picks. Note all prices for DraftKings.
Bryson DeChambeau (11100) – Bryson’s length will benefit him here and he won on this track in 2018. Also happens to be in good form with a 4th place finish at the PGA Championship. Of all of the guys in the elite price range, this one is my favorite.
Jason Day (9300) – Appears to be healthy and has been locking in Top 10 finishes in his last four tournaments, including a 4th place at the PGA Championship. He has gained strokes APP for five tournaments in a row. He was also 20th on this track in 2018 and finished 6th, 4th and 1st in the three years prior to 2018.
Daniel Berger (8900) – This price range has talent everywhere but I’m going to lean on a guy who I think has had some of the best form this entire year. He gains strokes in every category and since the restart he is averaging over two strokes gained per round. He also has a solid track record on this course.
Adam Scott (8400) – Surprised me with a 22nd at the PGA Championship after an extremely long layoff (was his first action since the restart). His track record on this course is impeccable. Even for not having played much golf since the restart, Scott is ranked 36th in the FedEx Cup Standings and therefore well within striking distance of the top spot.
Billy Horschel (7900) – Probably should have won last week and finished 3rd on this track in 2018. Perhaps the biggest thing going for Horschel is that his game consistently ramps up around playoff time. He seemed loose and yet locked in last week. I’ll see if I can catch him again in great form this week.
Matthew Wolff (7800) – He’s striking the ball too well to ignore at this price. This guy could may have won the PGA Championship if he were able to sink a few 6 foot putts down the stretch. Not afraid to hang with the big boys down the stretch on Sundays.
Ryan Palmer (7300) – This range puts us squarely in hit or miss territory and that’s exactly what you are getting with Palmer. He’s been very good OTT and APP and if that stays the course then it will only require a decent putter for him to pay off his pricetag in a big way. Be careful with being overweight on Palmer as when it goes bad, it usually goes very bad, but the upside is there.
Emiliano Grillo (7000) – Really want to do my best this week to not sink down into this range, but if I’m going to do it, I’m going to go with a great ball striker who can’t seem to figure out the putter (a hot putter can happen to anyone). Grillo is in good form as of late and his last three at TPC Boston have all resulted in made cuts and that includes a 2nd place in 2016.
Talor Gooch (6500) – Ball striking has been good lately and since the restart he’s either good for a missed cut or a Top 25 finish. If he obtains the latter he pays off his pricetag easily. Hoping to ride the good form from last week.
