This Saturday July 20th slate is all about landing the right bats. Follow my stud and value plays and lock in the MLB DFS Picks of Destiny.
MLB DFS Stacks: Houston, Jurado has a problem.
Saturday Stacks
Houston Astros vs Ariel Jurado (R)
This one is easy. The last time Jurado faced the Astros he gave up five runs in four innings, at home, and the Stros didn’t even homer once. Welp, Houston is going deep today plus getting the runs. This feels like a spot where Texas will want to stretch Jurado until he breaks which is what I am banking on. Are they chalk? Probably. Why? Because they are most certainly getting to Jurado. Don’t overthink it. Lock in the MLB DFS points and let’s get our advantage elsewhere. Ride with Houston and shake your head at the 80% of people who faded them. Alvarez (.342 ISO, .463 WOBA), Springer (.313, .424), Bregman (.259, .402), Gurriel (.211, .349), Brantley (.208, .370).
I don’t hate Chirinos, but I like everyone above better. I would use him to round out a stack if I needed too.
Minnesota Twins vs Brett Anderson (L)
This is a MLB DFS spot that I am attacking. The Twins handle lefties well, especially mediocre ones at home. This one might slide under the radar too. Garver (.415 ISO, .515 WOBA), Cruz (.356, .411), Sano (.333, .385), Cron (.326, .458), Schoop (.246. .382), and Kepler (.200, .376). You’ll notice most of these players are towards the back of the lineup which will just lower ownership, however they are indeed the best lefty hitters on the team. The Twins have not been on fire lately but this feels like it can be the time for them to bust out. Get some.
If Cave is in he is a quality value play. He should pay off that cheap price tag.
Boston Red Sox vs Tom Eshelman (R)
My guess is a team with deep playoff aspirations didn’t like getting blown out by the rebuilding Baltimore Orioles last night and this is a great bounce-back spot. Eshelman is also nothing to fear in a great MLB DFS hitting environment. In his two starts this year he has struck out seven and 0. Which Eshelman shows up Saturday? I think the latter. Devers (.262 ISO, .426 WOBA), Xander (.246, .414.), Betts (.231, .406), Vasquez (.205, 348). JD or Chavis are fine too if you have the space.
Honorable Mention: Arizona Diamondbacks
Another team that mashes lefties, is at home, and is hot: Kelly, Lamb, Vargas, Escobar, Marte, Ahmed.
Full Disclosure: I am going to the Braves game and will have a stack for gigs. They face a pitcher they rostered last year in Sanchez, and literally have the book on him. I trust Snit to roll out an optimal lineup. Could be fireworks. Acuna, Swanson, Freeman, Donaldson. #HomerPick
Position Rankings and Values
Listed in order of preference
C. Vazquez (2,700 FD, 4,500 DK), Kelly (2,700 FD, 3,900 DK), Garver (3,700 FD, 5,300 DK)
1.Freeman (4,000 FD, 4,900 DK), Sano (3,500 FD, 4,400 DK), Cron (3,400 FD, 3,700 DK)
2. Hiura (3,800 FD, 4,900 DK), Ildemaro Vargas (2,000 FD, 3,700 DK), Schoop (2,900 FD, 3,900 DK)
SS. Bregman (4,600 FD, 5,100 DK), Xander (4,500 FD, 5,600 DK), Swanson (3,100 FD, 4,400 DK), Ahmed (3,100 FD, 3,500 DK)
3. Devers (4,600 FD, 5,400 DK), Gurriel (3,800 FD, 4,600 DK), Donaldson (3,500 FD, 4,900 DK), Lamb (3,000 FD, 3,700 DK) Gut pick: Saurez (3,700 FD, 4,200 DK)
OF. Springer (4,800 FD, 5,500 DK), Betts (4,700, 5,300 DK), Alvarez (4,200 FD, 5,200 DK), Brantley (4,000 FD, 4,500 DK), Marte (4,000 FD, 4,800 DK)
OF. Cruz (3,900 FD, 4,500 DK), Kepler (3,600 FD, 4,700 DK)
OF. O’Neil (2,700 FD, 4,100 DK), Locastro (2,400 FD, 3,900 DK) both are way too cheap
I primary used FanDuel when building optimal MLB DFS lineups. It seems to be where the value is today.
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