Steven Polardi 
This week we are at Vidante for The Mexico Open, this tourney should be listed as John Rahm and…others. Daniel Berger withdrew which means by lock we could be looking at a top tier golfer with 38-50% ownership, he would be a must for cash games and a mistake for large GPP’s, at his price and ownership he must win to have your screen go green.
There are other golfers ready and able to win this week, pricing is very tight with the lack of firepower other than Rahm and there is no course history with the new venue. The grass is very sticky, it also balloons a bit to protect itself from the salt in the sea air. We won’t see a lot of roll off of the tees and it does negate poor putting by a small margin. The second shot approach from mid to long distance will be most important, this is a Greg Norman course with no rough although they added about sixty bunkers to lower scoring, and if the winds don’t come in to affect birdies and Eagles it will be a resort style scoring fest. Our program is suggesting -26 as the winning score.
Last week my top pick to win the Zurich was Cantlay/Schauffele which puts me four for six in my last six top plays. It’s nowhere near Sia territory with his FRL’s and insane Secret Weapon percentage, although I like the fact that the hard work put in by everyone has the models and programs rounding into form. It’s time to make money. Serious money.
UPDATE: It looks like Rahm will be close to 40% and Woodland has emerged as the number two most popular player at 23%. Both are a hard fade for us this week. They would both have to finish 1-2 to have a shot at a takedown in the big GPPs. They are perfect cash plays you can compliment with the lower tier players listed below and also Sia’s, Joel’s, Spencer’s and Isaiah’s picks as well.
Lets take a look at The The Mexico Open Final Ownership Projections to help you with your roster selections.
| OWNERSHIP PROJECTION | ||
| PLAYER | OWN % | SALARY |
| Rahm, John | 36.7 | 11300 |
| Woodland, Gary | 22.8 | 9900 |
| Wise, Aaron | 17.8 | 9500 |
| Finau, Tony | 16.7 | 10400 |
| Kirk, Chris | 15.4 | 9600 |
| Munoz, Sebastian | 15.2 | 9800 |
| Jones, Matt | 12.3 | 9000 |
| Smotherman, Austin | 12.2 | 7800 |
| Tringale, Cameron | 11.8 | 9700 |
| Pan, CT | 11.5 | 8100 |
| Stallings, Scott | 11.4 | 7700 |
| Duncan, Tyler | 11.3 | 7200 |
| Clark, Wyndham | 10.9 | 7600 |
| Hubbard, Mark | 10.6 | 8000 |
| Smalley, Alex | 10.6 | 7400 |
| Ancer, Abraham | 10.4 | 10300 |
| Howell III, Charlie | 10.3 | 8400 |
| Ramey, Chad | 10.2 | 7900 |
| Long, Adam | 9.6 | 7800 |
| Griffin, Lanto | 9.3 | 8300 |
| Rai, Aaron | 9.2 | 8700 |
| Lahiri, Anirban | 8.9 | 7900 |
| Svensson, Adam | 8.8 | 7300 |
| Seiffert, Chase | 8.7 | 7100 |
| Champ, Cameron | 8.4 | 9400 |
| Lashley, Nate | 8.3 | 7500 |
| Na, Kevin | 8.2 | 10100 |
| Riley, Davis | 8.1 | 8500 |
| Uihlein, Peter | 8.1 | 7000 |
| Theegala, Sahith | 7.9 | 8800 |
| Bramlett, Joseph | 7.8 | 7100 |
| Ghim, Doug | 7.4 | 8900 |
| Whaley, Vincent | 7.3 | 6800 |
| Taylor, Nick | 7.2 | 7100 |
| Reed, Patrick | 6.9 | 10000 |
| Knox, Russell | 6.9 | 9200 |
| Lipsky, David | 6.8 | 7700 |
| Poston, JT | 6.7 | 7500 |
| Rodgers, Patrick | 6.4 | 7600 |
| Kitayama, Kurt | 6.3 | 7100 |
| Perez, Pat | 6.3 | 7500 |
| Wu, Brandon | 6.1 | 7300 |
| Streelman, Kevin | 5.9 | 9100 |
| Ortiz, Carlos | 5.8 | 8600 |
| Lee, Danny | 5.7 | 7100 |
| Garrigus, Robert | 5.6 | 6600 |
| Flavin, Patrick | 5.3 | 6500 |
| Tarren, Callum | 5.2 | 6700 |
| Streb, Robert | 4.9 | 7000 |
| Taylor, Vaughn | 4.8 | 6900 |
| Moore, Taylor | 4.7 | 8200 |
| Wu, Dylan | 4.7 | 6600 |
| Todd, Brendon | 4.6 | 9300 |
| Armour, Ryan | 4.4 | 6900 |
| Schenk, Adam | 3.9 | 6900 |
| Buckley, Hayden | 3.6 | 6800 |
| Gutschewski, Scott | 3.4 | 6500 |
| Mullinax, Trey | 3.4 | 6800 |
| Stuard, Brian | 3.3 | 7300 |
| Grillo, Emiliano | 3.2 | 7200 |
| Brown, Scott | 2.9 | 6400 |
| Barjon, Paul | 2.8 | 6500 |
| Hickok, Kramer | 2.6 | 7200 |
| Nimmer, Bryson | 2.5 | 6300 |
| Wolfe, Jared | 2.4 | 6200 |
| Dufner, Jason | 2.2 | 6400 |
| Donald, Luke | 2.2 | 6800 |
| Martin, Ben | 2.2 | 6900 |
| McDowell, Graeme | 2.1 | 7100 |
| Lingmerth, David | 1.9 | 6200 |
| Thompson, Michael | 1.8 | 7200 |
| Garnett, Brice | 1.8 | 6700 |
| Baddeley, Aaron | 1.7 | 6700 |
| Aphibarnrat, Kiradech | 1.7 | 6900 |
| Piercy, Scott | 1.7 | 7200 |
| Huh, John | 1.6 | 7000 |
| Hodges, Lee | 1.6 | 6900 |
| Novak, Andrew | 1.6 | 6700 |
| Bryan, Wesley | 1.6 | 6600 |
| Hagy, Brandon | 1.6 | 6400 |
| Wallace, Matt | 1.5 | 7000 |
| Cabrera-Bello, Rafa | 1.5 | 7400 |
| Putnam, Andrew | 1.5 | 7000 |
| Hoag, Bo | 1.4 | 6600 |
| Malnati, Peter | 1.4 | 6900 |
| Lebioda, Hank | 1.4 | 6700 |
| Reeves, Seth | 1.4 | 6400 |
| Trainer, Martin | 1.4 | 6300 |
| Lower, Justin | 1.3 | 6800 |
| Tway, Kevin | 1.3 | 6500 |
| Werenski, Richy | 1.3 | 6400 |
| Haas, Bill | 1.2 | 6700 |
| Thompson, Curtis | 1.1 | 6700 |
| Noh, Seung-Yul | 1.1 | 6300 |
| Sloan, Roger | 1.0 | 6600 |
| Trahan, DJ | 1.0 | 6200 |
| Hahn, James | 0.9 | 6800 |
| Griffin, Ben | 0.9 | 6600 |
| Kodaira, Satoshi | 0.8 | 6500 |
| Jaeger, Stephan | 0.7 | 6500 |
| Villegas, Camilo | 0.6 | 6600 |
| Kohles, Ben | 0.5 | 6500 |
| Diaz, Roberto | 0.5 | 6200 |
| Murray, Grayson | 0.5 | 6100 |
| McGreevy, Max | 0.4 | 6400 |
| Benitez, Isidro | 0.3 | 6000 |
| Reavie, Chez | 0.3 | 6800 |
| Gligic, Michael | 0.3 | 6400 |
| Hearn, David | 0.3 | 6300 |
| Van Pelt, Bo | 0.3 | 6200 |
| Knous, Jim | 0.3 | 6100 |
| Kraft, Kelly | 0.3 | 6000 |
| Atwal, Arjun | 0.2 | 6100 |
| Byrd, Jonathan | 0.2 | 6200 |
| Kang, Sung | 0.2 | 6600 |
| Cook, Austin | 0.2 | 6500 |
| Blaum, Ryan | 0.2 | 6300 |
| Ortiz, Alvaro | 0.2 | 6300 |
| Van Der Walt, Dawie | 0.2 | 6100 |
| Kang, Jeffrey | 0.2 | 6100 |
| Hensby, Mark | 0.2 | 6100 |
| Chalmers, Greg | 0.2 | 6100 |
| Bae, Sangmoon | 0.2 | 6000 |
| Gomez, Fabian | 0.1 | 6400 |
| Creel, Joshua | 0.1 | 6400 |
| Skinns, David | 0.1 | 6300 |
| Pettit, Turk | 0.1 | 6300 |
| Favela, Armando | 0.1 | 6200 |
| Drewitt, Brett | 0.1 | 6200 |
| Barnes, Ricky | 0.1 | 6100 |
| Wagner, Johnson | 0.1 | 6200 |
| Crane, Ben | 0.1 | 6100 |
| Points, DA | 0.1 | 6000 |
| Every, Matt | 0.1 | 6000 |
| Gainey, Tommy | 0.0 | 6300 |
| Blixt, Jonas | 0.0 | 6100 |
| Johnson, Richard | 0.0 | 6100 |
| Willman, Ben | 0.0 | 6000 |
| Ernst, Derek | 0.0 | 6000 |
| ALL OTHERS | 0.0 | 6000 |
These projections for The Mexican Open are accurate as of 6:12 EST. Top Tier Golfers will show a higher % by lock.
My picks for The Mexican Open
Top Tier: Wise
Mid Tier: Stallings
Low Tier: Bramlett
Out in Left Play: Lashley
Frisky Risky Biscuit Play: * In Discord later Tonight ! *Risky
FR Leader: Munoz
FR Leader: Barjon (contrarian)
Be sure to check out Spenser’s and Stix’s Bettor Golf podcast on Anchor at Spotify. They almost made it under 40 minutes last night, Spencer added some great NFL Draft value positions, the one I like most is the stud DB Stingley going before the 10th pick. Are you listening Houston? Spencer and Stix had some scorching top 40 through top 20 golf plays, outrights and first round leaders (along with T. Mullinax). These two gents are pure ATM machines, if you listen and follow their stream, you will be plus money.
Don’t miss out on the very popular and fun PGA DraftCast with Sia, Joel and Spencer (golf writer of the year) and you, the audience, every Tuesday night at 8:00 EST. Each of the teams picked were different in roster construction, stars and scrubs, balanced, hail mary’s and upside versus volatility, and there was even some attempted good natured poaching but Joel, as program chief/ringmaster, caught it in time. Sia was allegedly accused of concentrating on the NFL Draft when he wanted a golfer the audience had already picked, when his next choice was Aidan Hutchinson we just figured he was some 6K golfer who won the qualifier on Monday to get into the tourney. Ivan was trying to vote in Poston for the audience and he had been snapped up by Spencer. It was the first time ever I can remember people being elated and disappointed over J.T. Poston.
Sia will be back this week with his Secret Weapon (dun dun dun) who’s winning percentage is just sick for the toughest rules to qualify for, and his molten hot FRLs and Outright golf winners continue to amaze us all. The SW will be released tomorrow night along with my Frisky Risky Biscuit play, and Spencer’s Tee Off Sports will have an article tomorrow evening along with my ownership piece. Sia, Joel, Spencer, Stix, Isaiah, and I will be in Discord to bring you the best and latest intel on everything golf from weather to offshore betting markets to help you make the decisions that make you money!
As always, I hope to be with you on Sunday afternoon, in the money. You can also come and hang out in the Win Daily Sports Discord Chat to talk it out with everyone before the lock!
