Steven Polardi 
The 361 days I was counting after the ’23 Masters has almost ended. It’s time for the greatest test of a golfer in the best major of the year on the toughest course, The 2024 Masters. We have the world’s greatest golfers, (and LIV golfers too) challenging each other over a beast of a course for 4 days starting Thursday. DFS golf is a sincere tough test as well, you challenge thousands for supremacy and riches. The Masters Ownership Projections are dedicated to making you a smarter and wealthier DFS player.
Win Daily Sports’ golf team works tirelessly to bring you the best intel. The Masters Ownership Projections allow you to pivot to lower owned players, find those hidden leverage gems and drive your teams to the top of multiple formats.
Courses and Horses
This course has hills you could ski down and greens that would make the Alpine carnival ride look like the Bonneville Salt Flats. Keys this week will be par 4 & 5 scoring, approach over 200, scrambling and putting. Basically having the skills to use every club in your bag. We can rule out many players based on previous stats that probably have no chance of winning. With regards to the highly regarded Mr. Hunt, who has picked the winner from our smaller group since 2012.
LIV players who won’t win The Masters: Mickelson, Oleson, Schwartzel, Cam Smith and Watson. NOTE: Phil 2nd last year, Reed 4th.
Amateurs and 1st timers. There have been 3 first time/ non pro winners. One was 44 years ago. The other two were 90 years ago when the Masters first started. Aberg, Bhataia, Clark, Cole, Dunlap, Eckroat, Hisatune, Hodges, Hojgaard, Jaeger, Knapp, Malnati, McCarthy, Murray, Pavon, and Schenk. Amateurs include De La Fuente, Hagestad, Lamprecht, Shipley and Stubbs. My choice for top amateur is Lamprecht. Aberg and Cole should have a good tourney even if they come up a little short.
Dusty former champs with no shot: Couples, Olazabal, Singh, Weir, Willett and Woods*. (*my heart says he should, the metrics say nah)
Anyone missing the cut at Valero: B An, English, Fowler, Fox, Z Johnson, Tom Kim, EVR and Villegas
Players who have never made the cut at Augusta: Kitayama. Meronk
The only short hitter to win the Masters was Z Johnson in ’07. He played in 40 degree temps and 35 + MPH winds which negated all par 5s. The following short hitters probably wont cut it. Poston, Rose, Straka, Morikawa, Lowry, Kirk, Si Woo Kim, Harman, Grillo, Glover and Conners. (Lowry and Morikawa have the best shot at a good week).
Augusta dislikes low ball flight trajectory. The best finish ever by a low flight golfer was a 29th by Si Woo. Players with the lowest golf flight: Fitzpatrick, Sungjae IM, Justin Thomas,J. Niemann and Luke List.( I like Niemann the best from this group).
Poorest approach from 175-225 or longer: Cantlay, Day, Davis, Fleetwood, Henley, Homa, McIlroy, Spieth* and Taylor. (Spieth finished 4th last year due to his scrambling, ARG, and a keen knowledge of Augusta- I like him even though he’s a definite risk).
The 22 players of whom 1 should win this year: Bradley, Burns, Bryson, Finau, Garcia, Hadwin, Hatton, Hovland, DJ, Koepka, M.W. Lee, Matsuyama, T. Moore, Rahm, Reed, Schauffele, Scheffler, Scott, Theegala, Woodland, Cam Young and Will Zalatoris.
Please note that the players not included could finish 2 3 4 5 6, yet over the last decade plus, number one comes from the above list. (It cuts your odds from 1 out of 89 to 1 out of 22, or about 4X better.
I believe Scheffler, Rahm, Niemann, Schauffele, Deki and possibly Finau, Theegala and Bradley along with a riskier Spieth may be at the top of the leaderboard come Sunday late. Let the magic begin!!
Recent Results
THE Frisky Risky Biscuit! Last week our Frisky Biscuit blew chunks. This brings our current Biscuit record to 22-4. All of our selections listed below made the cut and three of our golfers finished top 10. Our Biscuit picks will be released on Wednesday evening in the Win Daily Sports Discord Golf channel. It is the only place on the entire planet the Frisky Risky Biscuit will be released!
Whether to trust the Weather
The weather is calling for a lot of rain on Thursday and more favorable weather for the rest of the week with the exception of higher winds Friday afternoon. Stay tuned to Win Daly Sports tonight for any weather updates.
Let’s take a look at the Masters Ownership Projections to create leverage and increase your ROI.
| OWNERSHIP PROJECTION | OWN % | SALARY |
| Scheffler, Scottie | 29.8 | 12100 |
| Matsuyama, Hideki | 23.2 | 9000 |
| Schauffele, Xander | 22.7 | 9900 |
| McIlroy, Rory | 19.4 | 10800 |
| Theegala, Sahith | 17.6 | 7700 |
| Rahm, John | 17.5 | 11200 |
| Fitzpatrick, Mathew | 16.8 | 7900 |
| Fleetwood, Tommy | 14.6 | 7500 |
| Henley, Russell | 14.6 | 7200 |
| Conners, Corey | 14.5 | 7500 |
| Finau, Tony | 14.3 | 8600 |
| Spieth, Jordan | 14.2 | 9300 |
| Lowry, Shane | 13.9 | 8000 |
| Young, Cameron | 13.6 | 8500 |
| Kim, Si Woo | 13.5 | 7100 |
| Zalatoris,Will | 13.4 | 9200 |
| Koepka, Brooks | 13.3 | 10200 |
| Aberg, Ludvig | 12.9 | 9100 |
| DeChambeau, Bryson | 12.1 | 8200 |
| McCarthy, Denny | 11.7 | 6200 |
| Niemann, Joaquin | 11.5 | 9600 |
| Moore, Taylor | 10.2 | 6400 |
| Reed, Patrick | 9.9 | 7400 |
| Smith, Cameron | 9.2 | 8900 |
| Scott,Adam | 9.2 | 7100 |
| Clark, Wyndham | 8.8 | 10000 |
| Hovland, Viktor | 8.7 | 9500 |
| Day, Jason | 8.3 | 7700 |
| Morikawa, Collin | 8.2 | 8400 |
| Thomas, Justin | 7.9 | 8700 |
| Hatton, Tyrrell | 7.8 | 7600 |
| Johnson, Dustin | 7.7 | 8800 |
| Bhatia, Akshay | 7.4 | 7200 |
| English, Harris | 7.4 | 7000 |
| Harman, Brian | 7.3 | 7800 |
| Homa, Max | 7.2 | 8300 |
| Cantlay, Patrick | 7.1 | 9400 |
| An, Byeong | 7.1 | 6700 |
| Eckroat, Austin | 6.4 | 6300 |
| Garcia, Sergio | 6.1 | 6800 |
| Lee, Min Woo | 5.9 | 7300 |
| Im, Sungjae | 5.7 | 7600 |
| Burns, Sam | 5.4 | 8100 |
| Kirk, Chris | 5.4 | 6900 |
| Meronk, Adrian | 5.4 | 6500 |
| Jaeger, Stephan | 5.2 | 7100 |
| Schenk, Adam | 5.1 | 6200 |
| Kitayama, Kurt | 4.8 | 6400 |
| Poston, JT | 4.7 | 6800 |
| Hadwin, Adam | 4.5 | 6600 |
| Taylor, Nick | 4.4 | 7000 |
| Bradley, Keegan | 4.4 | 6700 |
| Glover, Lucas | 4.4 | 6300 |
| Rose, Justin | 4.3 | 7200 |
| Straka, Sepp | 4.2 | 6700 |
| Woods, Tiger | 3.9 | 6800 |
| Van Rooyen, Erik | 3.9 | 6600 |
| Grillo, Emiliano | 3.9 | 6400 |
| Mickelson, Phil | 3.7 | 7000 |
| Kim, Tom (Joohyung) | 3.3 | 7400 |
| Hojgaard, Nicolai | 3.3 | 6700 |
| Cole, Eric | 3.3 | 6600 |
| Woodland, Gary | 3.2 | 6400 |
| Olesen, Thorbjorn | 3.0 | 6500 |
| Knapp, Jake | 2.9 | 6600 |
| Fowler, Rickie | 2.8 | 7300 |
| List, Luke | 2.3 | 6500 |
| Watson, Bubba | 2.3 | 6400 |
| Hisatsune, Ryo | 1.9 | 6300 |
| Pavon, Matthieu | 1.8 | 6900 |
| Davis, Cameron | 1.8 | 6900 |
| Fox, Ryan | 1.6 | 6700 |
| Schwartzel, Charl | 1.6 | 6300 |
| Hodges, Lee | 1.6 | 6200 |
| Dunlap, Nick | 1.5 | 6500 |
| Malnati, Peter | 1.2 | 6200 |
| Willett, Danny | 0.8 | 6300 |
| Murray, Grayson | 0.8 | 6200 |
| Lamprecht, Christo | 0.7 | 6100 |
| Johnson, Zack | 0.6 | 6100 |
| Villegas, Camilo | 0.2 | 6100 |
| Hagestad, Stewart (a) | 0.2 | 6100 |
| De La Fuente, Santiago (a) | 0.1 | 6100 |
| Couples, Fred | 0.1 | 6000 |
| Stubbs, Jasper | 0.0 | 6100 |
| Weir, Mike | 0.0 | 6000 |
| Shipley, Neal | 0.0 | 6000 |
| Singh, Vijay | 0.0 | 6000 |
| Olazabal, Jose Maria | 0.0 | 6000 |
************ Please note that there are only 89 players this week. What normally may seem like heavy chalk should be adjusted by the % of the field. Try to get different with salary left, or use your 6th team golfer as a lower owned outlier.*********
These Masters Ownership projections are accurate as of 6:06 EST. Top tier golfers will show a higher % by lock.
Our five top pivots for leverage are: Niemann, Cantlay, Morikawa, Day and Reed. Lower Owned Outlier is M W Lee.
My Picks for The Masters
Top Tier: Scheffler
Mid Tier: Finau
Low Tier: Scott
Out in Left Play: Bradley
Frisky Risky Biscuit Play: * In Discord later Tonight ! *Risky
FR Leader: Xander
FR Leader: Glover (Contrarian)
What to listen to
Be sure to check out Spencer’s and Stix’s Bettor Golf podcast on Anchor at Spotify. For the best intel on the betting market including top 40, 20, head to head and Underdog ADP. With Spencer’s and Stix’s world class models they also offer top shelf DFS choices as well. The Bettor Golf podcast is brought to you by Win Daily Sports. It’s on Tuesday evenings on Apple/Spotify.
What to Watch
Don’t forget to tune in to The PGA DraftCast, hosted by DraftMasterFlex Joel and featuring Sia and Spencer and Deep Dive Dave and the surprise guest who drops by to battle you, along with the audience, for supremacy on the draft board. It’s every Tuesday night at 8:00 EST and is fun, engaging, interactive and often has the drafted teams end up in the money. Show up, vote for your favorite golfer, and watch the experts go on tilt when you steal their pick! Deep Dive Dave is on fire, so is Stix Picks! They both continue to defy the odds with consistent winning along with Spencer of Tee off Sports, Sia and Joel.
***** Parting Shots *****
An American goes to Mexico on business. From his hotel room, he hears the shouting of excited fans from the bullring across the street. That evening, he has a meal in the hotel dining room.
As he is finishing, he notices waiters arriving at a nearby table &, with great dignity, setting before a well-dressed gentleman a huge dish of savory meat & vegetables. The American can smell the alluring dish from where he is sitting.
He summons the maitre d’ & says, “I will be here for a week and tomorrow I’d like to order what that fellow is feasting on. What is it called, may I ask?”
The maitre d’ makes a sorrowful face & explains:
“I am so sorry, senor, but that is a very special dish that we can serve only once per week, after the day of the bullfighting The key ingredient is obtained by special arrangement. It is, mmm…a lavish stew based on the private parts of the slain bull.”
“Oh, what a pity,” said the American. “I’d like to try that. It looks & smells absolutely fabulous.”
Then the guest brightened.
“Say, I’ll still be here for next week’s bullfight. Can I order ahead?”
Again the maitre d’ looked sorrowful.
“Alas, that dish is so popular that we are booked ahead for many months.”
“Well, I have to return to Mexico every few months & can pretty much set my own schedule,” the disappointed gourmet responded. “When is your next available opening?”
The maitre d’ opened a massive calendar book & searched a few moments. An opening was found & scheduled. The happy guest went back to his room, anticipating his return almost a year later.
It seemed forever, but eventually the day came. The American sat at the dining room’s best table & was served all the preliminaries graciously. Finally the coveted entre arrived. It smelled & tasted every bit as delicious as he expected, just like what he had dreamed of for a year. Except for one aspect.
“Thank you, ever so much,” he told the maitre d’. ”This is everything I dreamed of. The flavor, the aroma, the presentation — everything 5-star! I do have one question. Not a complaint. Just wondering. Maybe it’s just my faulty memory, but as I recall, the entre last year looked very much larger.”
The obviously embarrassed maitre d’ shrugged & said:
“Well, senor, sometimes the bull wins.”
As always, I hope to be with you on Sunday afternoon, in the money. You can also come and hang out in the Win Daily Sports Discord Chat to talk it out with everyone before the lock!
