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We remain in California for the Genesis Invitational at Riviera. This course presents the best field we’ve seen so far in 2020 and presents the most difficult test we’ve seen as well. You will want to focus on golfers that have a good all-around game as ARG and PUTT definitely come into play a bit more than usual. This is a relatively long track so being long off the tee helps, but is not critical to success. More on the course and the field on tonight’s Win Daily PGA Livestream. See you tonight at 8:00 EST. As usual, we have a ton of content coming from the rest of the team. Let’s get started with The Genesis Invitational: Initial Picks.
Dustin Johnson (11300) – He’s the best in the world. His ball striking and short game are excellent. His price point isn’t cost prohibitive. Not sure we need much additional analysis on this one. If I had to pick a guy I like next best in the elite range, it’s likely Bryson.
Xander Schauffele (9900) – Much like Cantlay (below) this guy checks all the boxes and picks up strokes in every SG category. Even better he’s coming dangerously close to being one of the best golfers in the world with near wins (2nd, 2nd and 5th over his last three tournaments). Solid value at this price.
Patrick Cantlay (9600) – Gains strokes in every category in a pretty significant way and has been very good lately with a 3rd, 2nd and 13th over his last three. He has a great track record as you might expect.
Viktor Hovland (8700) – No history here but his recent history is excellent and the ball striking metrics jump off the page. Add to that he has significantly improved the short game and Hovland carries a ton of value.
Max Homa (8200) – A very fair price for a guy who has turned his game around and made 5 cuts in a row, which culminated in a gritty 7th place finish last week at the AT&T. Add to that a 5th place finish last year and 37th the year prior and you likely have a safe floor with plenty of upside.
Cameron Davis (7500) – Gains strokes in every category and he’s long off the tee. He’s only played here once (2019) and it was a missed cut. But he finished 14th last week after having a bad Day 1 and made three cuts prior to that. Plenty of upside at this price.
James Hahn (7500) – A Cali guy who appears to feel right at home at this venue with a 13th, 14th and 28th place finish in his last three efforts here. I’d call Hahn a high risk/high reward play as he is coming off an MC, 10th and MC in his last three (we, of course, had him as the SW during the 10th place finish). With that said, he is striking the ball well and is gaining strokes in all categories.
Luke List (7300) – A long hitter who has been pretty great with the ball striking lately. He’s finished within the top 30 over his last three tournaments. Interestingly, he’s also finished within the top 30 over his last three efforts on this track.
Kyoung-Hoon Lee (7100) – Brought to my attention on Monday’s The First Cut Podcast with Rick Gehman and Greg Ducharme (and yours truly). KH Lee has made 4 out of 5 cuts including a 2nd place finish at the Waste Management. Further, he finished 13th and 25th his only two times on this track.
Matthew NeSmith (6900) – His APP game has been too good to ignore. He’s not the best course fit but if the APP numbers stay true (gained 1.88 strokes on APP per round at the AT&T), then he hits value easily.
Michael Thompson (6700) – Nothing flashy about this guy, but I’ve been on him for a while now and he continues to make cuts (4 out of his last 5). He also finished 7th here in 2019.
Brian Stuard (6400) – No such thing as a “safe option” in this range, but if you need to dip down this low you may as well take a guy that has made 4 of his last 5 cuts and made two cuts in a row at Riviera, including a Top 25. Stuard is gaining strokes in every category other than OTT so he’s a bargain.
Secret Weapon (less than 7k/under 5% owned) – Currently 29-3 and featured Cameron Percy and James Hahn the last two weeks. Get into Discord Wednesday night for the Secret Weapon.
Don’t forget to join us tonight on the Win Daily YouTube channel or @windailysports on Twitter. Feel free to jump in the chat and ask any questions or submit any lineups that you want our live commentary on. See you tonight.
