This week we are at St. George’s, a top rated course in Canada that will host The Canadian Open. It will be the first time since 2010 that this course has hosted the country’s top golf tourney. Adam Schenk, a pre tourney low range favorite, has withdrawn as well as notables Patrick Reed, CT Pan and Pat Perez. Reed is heading to the LIV, he was once known as Captain America, he will now be known as the Sheik of Aribique. This is a short course that will reward good ball strikers and on the mark approach shots. I would also look at sand saves for the golfers you are considering, the greens are smaller and surrounded by bunkers, lot’s of bunkers. They have also let the rough “flourish” and word is if you miss the fairway you will be hard pressed to make par. It seems like a tough but fair venue to bring back The Canadian Open to it’s home country after Covid disrupted it the last few years.
O’ Canada
I spent years as a car dealer and then went to work with GM’s IT Department when they were building Onstar Canada, their wifi, bluetooth and all IT access at the push of a button. It worked fine at the population centers close to the border but Canada has lots of tunnels, mountains and thick vegetation overhanging the less populated areas. I remember a Canadian man calling in and telling me he had set the GPS for his trip to visit his wife’s sister Edna who had a house in the outlaying suburbs. He said, “there may be a small issue with the GPS eh? It says we are at Edna’s but there is a lake about 100 feet in front of our vehicle and a big moose is licking our windshield.” I was going to ask if Edna resembled a big moose but thought better of it. We got them on their way, coverage is now superior there and the thing that struck me is he wasn’t angry, frustrated or acting entitled. Canadians are naturally warm, non confrontational and eager to help anyone in need, maybe it’s all those tasty treats at Tim Horton’s. They are expecting overflow crowds with lot’s of enthusiasm for this weeks contest. This week hole 16 will be the “Rink” hole in a nod to the stadium hole in Phoenix, it will be surrounded by “hockey boards” and fans will be right on the hole in “penalty boxes.” Players have already warmed to the idea and will be throwing jerseys and swag at the crowd.
The Competition
There is another tournament in London this week featuring new members Phil Mickelson and Dustin Johnson. Phil got two hundred million up front, DJ received 125 million. Tiger Woods turned down close to a billion dollars -“no thanks, I have a few of those already”. Without getting political, capitalism will overcome human rights every single time, and I can’t fault golfers for opting for financial security not just for themselves, but for their great grandchildren. It’s that kind of money. You could also argue that this new venture is nothing more than a retirement package for over the hill golfers and journeymen that haven’t reached the success of their competition, regardless, at present ticket sales for the inaugural event are sorely lagging, and a disappointment at present to the event organizers. Time will tell if they can win over the paying public, and the backers of this new venture have billions more to burn through. The tourney will not be broadcast on TV or Cable, it will be livestreamed for those who need to watch.
Whether it’s weather
We have had two majors so far and both have been affected by weather, not nominally, but severely. Other tourneys have had the same issues with high winds and some form of altering weather pattern that has disrupted the waves of golfers vying for a trophy. I have a friend at a national weather service who told me this will become the normal rather than an anomaly and the conditions will continue to become more extreme. In choosing your teams make sure you know what the weather has planned for your golf groups and act accordingly.
Another key metric for taking down a contest at The Canadian Open is ownership. Last week I had a team that was left with four golfers after the cut and it cashed because my average ownership was 11%. That leverage got me a green screen and with 6/6 could be the difference between a top 25 and a takedown.
Let’s take a look at The Canadian Open Ownership Projections to assist you with roster construction and team building.
OWNERSHIP PROJECTION | ||
PLAYER | OWN % | SALARY |
McIlroy, Rory | 24.6 | 10500 |
Thomas, Justin | 18.5 | 10900 |
Smith, Cameron | 18.4 | 10300 |
Conners, Corey | 18.3 | 9600 |
Lowry, Shane | 17.6 | 10100 |
Scheffler, Scottie | 17.2 | 11100 |
Finau, Tony | 17.1 | 9400 |
Burns, Sam | 16.9 | 10000 |
Hatton, Tyrrell | 16.4 | 9500 |
Fitzpatrick, Mathew | 16.2 | 9900 |
Lipsky, David | 13.4 | 7300 |
Kirk, Chris | 12.6 | 9100 |
Vegas, Jhonattan | 12.4 | 8500 |
Todd, Brendon | 11.3 | 8200 |
Munoz, Sebastian | 10.9 | 9200 |
Hadwin, Adam | 10.4 | 9300 |
Rai, Aaron | 10.2 | 7900 |
Poston, JT | 10.1 | 7200 |
Mitchell, Keith | 9.9 | 9000 |
Ghim, Doug | 9.8 | 7000 |
Varner III, Harold | 9.7 | 9700 |
Svensson, Adam | 9.4 | 7100 |
Duncan, Tyler | 9.1 | 7500 |
Smotherman, Austin | 8.9 | 7500 |
Spaun, JJ | 8.6 | 7700 |
Long, Adam | 8.3 | 7800 |
Armour, Ryan | 7.9 | 7300 |
Frittelli, Dylan | 7.8 | 7600 |
Taylor, Nick | 7.2 | 7700 |
Theegala, Sahith | 7.1 | 8700 |
Grillo, Emiliano | 7.1 | 7400 |
Jaeger, Stephan | 6.7 | 7300 |
Smalley, Alex | 6.5 | 7500 |
Sabbatini, Rory | 6.4 | 7200 |
Rodgers, Patrick | 6.3 | 7700 |
Rose, Justin | 6.1 | 8800 |
Champ, Cameron | 5.9 | 7800 |
Hughes, Mackenzie | 5.6 | 8400 |
Hoffman, Charley | 5.5 | 6700 |
Schwab, Matthias | 5.4 | 7300 |
Hubbard, Mark | 5.3 | 7900 |
Taylor, Vaughn | 5.3 | 6800 |
Laird, Martin | 5.1 | 7500 |
Lee, Danny | 4.9 | 6600 |
Donald, Luke | 4.7 | 6900 |
Garnett, Brice | 4.6 | 6700 |
Gotterup, Christopher | 4.3 | 6300 |
Lingmerth, David | 4.2 | 6500 |
Hojgaard, Rasmus | 4.1 | 8300 |
Huh, John | 3.7 | 7400 |
Kodaira, Satoshi | 3.3 | 6700 |
Stuard, Brian | 3.2 | 7100 |
Hodges, Lee | 3.2 | 7000 |
Gutschewski, Scott | 3.1 | 6500 |
Wallace, Matt | 2.9 | 7400 |
Snedeker, Brandt | 2.9 | 7100 |
Tarren, Callum | 2.8 | 6700 |
Malnati, Peter | 2.7 | 7000 |
Garrigus, Robert | 2.7 | 6400 |
Seiffert, Chase | 2.6 | 7100 |
Ryder, Sam | 2.6 | 6600 |
Bryan, Wesley | 2.5 | 6800 |
Piercy, Scott | 2.4 | 7000 |
Lebioda, Hank | 2.4 | 7000 |
Wu, Brandon | 2.3 | 6900 |
Moore, Ryan | 2.3 | 6800 |
Willett, Danny | 2.2 | 7400 |
Brown, Scott | 2.2 | 6300 |
Novak, Andrew | 2.1 | 7000 |
Clark, Wyndham | 2.1 | 6900 |
Hardy, Nick | 1.9 | 7200 |
Percy, Cameron | 1.9 | 6500 |
Hickok, Kramer | 1.8 | 6900 |
Lower, Justin | 1.7 | 6800 |
Ortiz, Carlos | 1.6 | 6700 |
Norlander, Henrik | 1.6 | 6400 |
Gligic, Michael | 1.4 | 6600 |
Bramlett, Joseph | 1.3 | 7200 |
Sigg, Greyson | 1.2 | 7300 |
O’Hair, Sean | 1.2 | 6800 |
Buckley, Hayden | 1.1 | 6900 |
Barjon, Paul | 1.1 | 6700 |
Martin, Ben | 1.1 | 6500 |
Higgs, Harry | 0.9 | 6800 |
Sloan, Roger | 0.9 | 6400 |
Mullinax, Trey | 0.8 | 7100 |
Byrd, Jonathan | 0.8 | 6600 |
Burmester, Dean | 0.7 | 7600 |
Haas, Bill | 0.7 | 6800 |
Villegas, Camilo | 0.7 | 6600 |
Cabrera-Bello, Rafa | 0.7 | 6600 |
Dufner, Jason | 0.7 | 6400 |
Herman, Jim | 0.7 | 6100 |
Trainer, Martin | 0.7 | 6100 |
Flavin, Patrick | 0.7 | 6100 |
Whaley, Vincent | 0.6 | 7100 |
Streb, Robert | 0.6 | 6500 |
Skinns, David | 0.6 | 6400 |
Noh, Seung-Yul | 0.6 | 6100 |
Weir, Mike | 0.6 | 6000 |
Hagy, Brandon | 0.5 | 6600 |
Wu, Dylan | 0.5 | 6500 |
Van Pelt, Bo | 0.4 | 6200 |
Merrick, John | 0.4 | 6000 |
Watney, Nick | 0.3 | 6400 |
Kang, Sung | 0.3 | 6400 |
Knous, Jim | 0.3 | 6300 |
Stadler, Kevin | 0.3 | 6100 |
Wagner, Johnson | 0.3 | 6000 |
Davis, Brian | 0.3 | 6000 |
Bae, Sangmoon | 0.2 | 6900 |
Kohles, Ben | 0.2 | 6700 |
Kraft, Kelly | 0.2 | 6600 |
Thompson, Curtis | 0.2 | 6500 |
Cook, Austin | 0.2 | 6300 |
Blixt, Jonas | 0.2 | 6200 |
Thornberry, Braden | 0.2 | 6200 |
Creel, Joshua | 0.2 | 6200 |
Reeves, Seth | 0.2 | 6100 |
McGreevy, Max | 0.1 | 6300 |
Werbylo, Trevor | 0.1 | 6500 |
Gainey, Tommy | 0.1 | 6300 |
Hensby, Mark | 0.1 | 6300 |
Van Der Walt, Dawie | 0.1 | 6300 |
Cao, Yi | 0.1 | 6300 |
Hearn, David | 0.1 | 6200 |
Chalmers, Greg | 0.1 | 6200 |
Hoag, Bo | 0.1 | 6100 |
Every, Matt | 0.1 | 6000 |
MacDonald, Stuart | 0.1 | 6000 |
Points, DA | 0.0 | 6200 |
Choi, Albin | 0.0 | 6200 |
Du Toit, Jared | 0.0 | 6200 |
Drewitt, Brett | 0.0 | 6200 |
Bohn, Jason | 0.0 | 6100 |
Kang, Jeffrey | 0.0 | 6100 |
McNeill, George | 0.0 | 6000 |
Crane, Ben | 0.0 | 6000 |
Barnes, Ricky | 0.0 | 6000 |
Adamonis, Brad | 0.0 | 6000 |
Johnson, Richard | 0.0 | 6000 |
Creighton, Myles | 0.0 | 6000 |
ALL OTHERS | 0.0 |
These projections for The Canadian Open are accurate as of 6:54 EST. Top Tier Golfers will show a higher % by lock.
My picks for The Canadian Open:
Top Tier: Smith
Mid Tier: Munoz
Low Tier: Duncan
Out in Left Play: Tarren
Frisky Risky Biscuit Play: * In Discord later Tonight ! *Risky
FR Leader: Munoz
FR Leader: Hubbard (Contrarian)
Be sure to check out Spencer’s and Stix’s Bettor Golf podcast on Anchor at Spotify. This weeks show featured The Model Maniac who did admirably as Stix was savoring his big win from last week. Listen, last week Spence and Stix combined for almost 40 units in profits. 40 UNITS. In. One. Week. I know golf gamblers that are thrilled if they show +40 units…in a year! These titans did it with 51 weeks left over to do more major damage. Do your wallet a big favor and check these icons out. A five dollar player would be up 200, a 100 dollar player would be up 4 grand. Add the 74,000 they won for their listeners the previous two weeks and that’s almost eighty grand in 21 days. Wow.
Don’t forget to tune in to The DraftCast, hosted by Joel and featuring Sia and Spencer and the surprise guest who drops by to battle you, the audience, for supremacy on the draft board. It’s every Tuesday night at 8:00 EST and is fun, engaging, educational and often leads to threats of thievery of players and possible litigation from all involved. Show up, tune in, and help your audience win the week with the best team on the board!
Last night there was almost a Smith- gate but it turned out to be harmless. Joel won last week and he and Deep Dive Dave and Spencer made some solid choices. Sia wasn’t in the booth but was suspiciously lurking in the audience which made everyone nervous, especially the top shelf panel making picks. Even though Sia is an esteemed member of the bar, you all have seen how cutthroat he can be when choosing his teams. I remember once that someone looking quite flustered burst into our small county courthouse and asked, “Is there a criminal attorney in this town ?” The judge replied, “yes, but we haven’t been able to prove it yet.”
As always, I hope to be with you on Sunday afternoon, in the money. You can also come and hang out in the Win Daily Sports Discord Chat to talk it out with everyone before the lock!