Welcome to The 3M Open Final Ownership projections, this week we are in the twin cities with a watered down field headlined by the stragglers from England coming back east on a quick turnaround. DJ, Oosti, Reed and Finau top the field, there are two narratives, that the Open wore them out, and along with jet lag, they are too gassed to be a factor, the other is that they are pro golfers and used to the jet setting travel and wont feel the effects.
There have only been two tourneys on this course and the winners, Matt Wolff (playing as a top tier player at the time) and Michael Thompson (who?) are as different in their respective games as night and day.
All three of our programs agreed that approach played a more important role here than in other venues. 45% of the scoring on this course was attributed to approach shots, compared to the 30 % tour average. Shots gained off the tee was 5% above the tour norm. The short game was negated due to the birdie fest here, and the last metric we look at is shots gained putting on bent grass.
I will be fading the top tier with the exception of DJ, I faded him at the Masters the year before last and watched 100K disappear when he won on Sunday. Joel and Sia made a great point last night- You don’t need the winner of the tourney to take down big money, you need 6 golfers to get through to have a shot at it. Joel didn’t have Morikawa in his $100K winning lineup, he had 6/6 go through including Harris English, who’s heroic back 9 on Friday got him thru the cut after a +5 last Thursday.
Be careful with your selections this week in the lower tiers, a golfer in the 7K salary range who’s owned by 23% of the field is no bargain, unless your playing cash, 50/50, or a small entry field SE. For a GPP you may want to get different elsewhere. Ownership comes into play in fields like this, four or five studs and 152 duds, someone usually comes from the lower tiers to challenge. Look for the best value plays with the lowest ownership to optimize your chances in large GPP contests, lets take a look at the numbers for this weeks tourney.
The 3M Open Final Ownership Projections
OWNERSHIP PROJECTION | ||
PLAYER | OWN % | SALARY |
Johnson, Dustin | 26.4 | 11300 |
Finau, Tony | 21.6 | 10700 |
Lebioda, Hank | 21.8 | 7900 |
Watson, Bubba | 18.3 | 9100 |
Tringale, Cameron | 17.8 | 9500 |
Wolff, Mathew | 17.5 | 9700 |
Reed, Patrick | 17.2 | 10300 |
Grillo, Emiliano | 16.7 | 9300 |
Vegas, Jhonattan | 16.6 | 7500 |
List, Luke | 15.4 | 8100 |
Ghim, Doug | 15.1 | 7900 |
Oosthuizen, Louis | 15.1 | 10900 |
McNealy, Maverick | 14.2 | 8400 |
MacIntyre, Robert | 13.4 | 9000 |
Garcia, Sergio | 12.6 | 9900 |
Rodgers, Patrick | 12.4 | 7600 |
Bradley, Keegan | 12.0 | 8800 |
Stanley, Kyle | 11.9 | 7300 |
Schwartzel, Charl | 11.0 | 8200 |
Kizzire, Patton | 10.9 | 8600 |
Kirk, Chris | 10.1 | 7900 |
Pereira, Mito | 10.0 | 7600 |
Schenk, Adam | 9.6 | 7400 |
Davis. Cameron | 9.5 | 9200 |
Hoag, Bo | 8.5 | 7100 |
Griffin, Lanto | 8.5 | 7700 |
Fowler, Rickie | 7.8 | 8900 |
Moore, Ryan | 7.7 | 7800 |
Cink, Stewart | 7.5 | 8700 |
Reavie, Chez | 6.9 | 7400 |
Stricker, Steve | 6.8 | 7500 |
Dahmen, Joel | 6.6 | 7500 |
Howell III, Charlie | 6.6 | 7700 |
Herbert, Lucas | 6.4 | 8500 |
Hagy, Brandon | 6.0 | 7200 |
Merritt, Troy | 5.9 | 7500 |
Kodaira, Satoshi | 5.9 | 6500 |
Woodland, Gary | 5.8 | 8000 |
Snedeker, Brandt | 5.7 | 7800 |
Hossler, Beau | 5.5 | 7300 |
Todd, Brendon | 5.3 | 7300 |
Poston, JT | 5.3 | 7700 |
Frittelli, Dylan | 5.2 | 8300 |
Tway, Kevin | 5.2 | 6600 |
Perez, Pat | 5.1 | 7100 |
Stuard, Brian | 4.8 | 7200 |
Champ, Cameron | 4.7 | 7100 |
Hubbard, Mark | 4.1 | 7200 |
Ryder, Sam | 3.8 | 7000 |
Armour, Ryan | 3.7 | 7000 |
Werenski, Richy | 3.5 | 7600 |
Bramlett, Joseph | 3.5 | 7000 |
Lewis, Tom | 3.4 | 7000 |
Thompson, Michael | 3.2 | 7400 |
Hahn, James | 3.2 | 7100 |
Van Rooyen, Erik | 3.0 | 7400 |
Kucher, Matt | 2.9 | 7300 |
Long, Adam | 2.8 | 7000 |
Stallings, Scott | 2.4 | 7200 |
Sloan, Roger | 2.4 | 6900 |
Hadwin, Adam | 2.4 | 7200 |
Knox, Russell | 2.3 | 6900 |
Straka, Sepp | 2.2 | 7100 |
Garnett, Brice | 2.1 | 6700 |
Lee, KH | 2.1 | 6600 |
An, B | 1.7 | 6800 |
Villegas, Camilo | 1.7 | 6700 |
Clark, Wyndham | 1.7 | 6900 |
Piercy, Scott | 1.6 | 7000 |
McCarthy, Denny | 1.4 | 6700 |
Hoge, Tom | 1.3 | 6900 |
Roach, Wes | 1.3 | 6300 |
Martin, Ben | 1.3 | 6600 |
Gligic, Michael | 1.2 | 6300 |
Gordon, Will | 1.2 | 6700 |
Mitchell, Keith | 1.2 | 6800 |
Hadley, Chesson | 1.2 | 6800 |
Lashley, Nate | 1.1 | 6700 |
Higgs, Harry | 1.0 | 6600 |
Percy, Cameron | 1.0 | 6800 |
O’Hair, Sean | 1.0 | 6400 |
Taylor, Vaughn | 1.0 | 6700 |
Teater, Josh | 1.0 | 6400 |
Eckroat, Austin | 1.0 | 6600 |
Shelton, Robby | 0.9 | 6500 |
Cabrera-Bello, Rafa | 0.9 | 6900 |
Putnam, Andrew | 0.8 | 6600 |
Streb, Robert | 0.8 | 6700 |
Stone, Brandon | 0.7 | 6900 |
Huh, John | 0.7 | 6600 |
Burgoon, Bronson | 0.6 | 6500 |
Anderson, Mark | 0.6 | 6500 |
Malnati, Peter | 0.6 | 6400 |
Baddeley, Aaron | 0.5 | 6400 |
Oppenheim, Rob | 0.5 | 6400 |
Pak, John | 0.5 | 6300 |
Brown, Scott | 0.5 | 6800 |
Hearn, David | 0.5 | 6200 |
Landry ,Andrew | 0.5 | 6300 |
Baker, Chris | 0.5 | 6200 |
Gellerman, Michael | 0.5 | 6100 |
Campos, Rafael | 0.5 | 6000 |
Gomez, Fabian | 0.5 | 6200 |
McCumber, Tyler | 0.4 | 6300 |
Van Pelt, Bo | 0.4 | 6500 |
Harrington, Scott | 0.4 | 6300 |
Watney, Nick | 0.4 | 6000 |
Lingmerth, David | 0.3 | 6800 |
Cook, Austin | 0.3 | 6400 |
Kang, Sung | 0.3 | 6300 |
Potter Jr., Ted | 0.3 | 6200 |
Walker, Jimmy | 0.3 | 6500 |
Daffue, Matthys | 0.3 | 6400 |
Ventura, Kris | 0.3 | 6100 |
Taylor, Ben | 0.3 | 6100 |
Aphibarnrat, Kiradech | 0.2 | 6400 |
Haas, Bill | 0.2 | 6300 |
Hall, Ryan (a) | 0.2 | 6200 |
Trahan, DJ | 0.2 | 6100 |
Gay, Brian | 0.2 | 6000 |
Gibson, Rhein | 0.2 | 6100 |
Hall, Ryan (a) | 0.2 | 6200 |
Bae, Sangmoon | 0.1 | 6100 |
Chalmers, Greg | 0.1 | 6000 |
Wagner, Johnson | 0.1 | 6200 |
Blaum, Ryan | 0.1 | 6100 |
Brehm, Ryan | 0.1 | 6100 |
Stefani, Shawn | 0.1 | 6200 |
Sucher, Zack | 0.1 | 6100 |
Xiong, Norman | 0.1 | 6300 |
Flanagan, Angus | 0.1 | 6200 |
Barnes, Ricky | 0.1 | 6100 |
Byrd, Jonathan | 0.1 | 6200 |
Mahan, Hunter | 0.0 | 6000 |
Cappelen, Sebastian | 0.0 | 6100 |
Points, DA | 0.0 | 6000 |
Stadler, Kevin | 0.0 | 6000 |
ALL OTHERS | 0.0 |
These final ownership figures for The 3M Open are accurate as of 17:19 CST. Chalk may be slightly higher by lock.
LATE NEWS: Doug Ghim and Oosti have the same ownership, a lot of chatter on multiple sites say Oosti will W/D, with no proof. Ghim is popular and a plus value in our program as well, when it comes down to it, I’d rather have a golfer that practically finishes top 5 every time over a golfer that could just as easily miss the cut.
These are my picks for the The 3M Open (Last week the program picked 4 players in the 6 K range that made the cut, the week before all three picks made the cut, Streelman, Sia’s SW last week, led the field of bottom feeders.)
Top Tier: DJ.
Mid Tier: Bradley, Garcia
Low Tier: Vegas, Stanley, Dahmen
Out in Left Play: Branden Stone
Frisky Risky Biscuit Play: * In Discord later Tonight ! *Risky
Thank you again for reviewing the The 3M Open Final Ownership Projections article, we sure do appreciate it. I’ll be in the Discord Channel after this article comes out to answer any questions. Please review the articles by Sia, Patrick, Isaiah and Antonio to help determine your picks and lineups.
Do not forget that Sia’s Secret Weapon for The Open will be released in Discord later on tonight! His record is an amazing 40-12 for the bottom tier that no one likes. Antonio will be releasing his BBB play and my frisky risky play will be released as well. Any late breaking steam plays or news, including weather, will be updated tonight in Discord.
Those of you who have heard Stix and Spencer’s Bettor Golf podcast know how solid their golf betting intel is, make sure you catch their show to assist with betting market and DFS considerations. Last night Spencer had some great intel on the DFS side and betting markets.
Sia and Joel have their livestream Tuesday nights at 8:00 EST and go over every price range, the top plays, value plays and sleepers. Why go anywhere else when you can hear from two experts who are closing in on $400,000 in winnings this year. Joel was a whisper away last week from 1 million dollars, he ended up with $100,000. You can feel bad for him for not getting the million as long as you forget he’s 100 grand richer. Sometimes there just aren’t enough closets to stuff more money into.
As always, I hope to be with you on Sunday afternoon, in the money. You can also come and hang out in the Win Daily Sports Discord Chat to talk it out with everyone before the lock!