If you haven’t had a chance to listen yet, here are the links to the Bettor Golf Podcast that I do with Stixpicks, and PGA Draftcast with Joel Schreck and Sia Nejad.
DraftKings Players ($10,000+)
Rory McIlroy ($10,000) – I am open to using Jon Rahm, Scottie Scheffler, Justin Thomas or Rory McIlroy up top, with the only natural fade of the group for me being Collin Morikawa. McIlroy is ranked as the top player on my model from an overall sense, and his combination of total driving and short-game prowess makes it challenging for me to ignore his upside.
Other Considerations – Scottie Scheffler ($11,400) & Jon Rahm ($11,200) will be my two preferred leverage choices. Justin Thomas ($10,700) has started to slip some in my model when I add into the mix his rising ownership, but even if he places fourth in the group when it comes to playability, the upside is there for another PGA Championship title.
$9,000 Range
Xander Schauffele ($9,300) – Xander Schauffele at $9,300 is intriguing. I think the buzz has worn off from most when it comes to using him, but it is essential to remember that we don’t need a victory at his price tag. Still, though, Schauffele ranks first in my model from a pure upside perspective, and maybe everyone in this space is discounting his win equity, including myself.
Patrick Cantlay ($9,100) – I do believe we see some reduction in ownership from Cantlay since the perception is that he is on the wrong end of a weather draw, but as I always say, I am going to be the one that is most likely to get burned when it does come to fruition. In my opinion, chasing weather feels more like a daily play than an entire tournament outlook, so while it does have some meaning if you are trying to break a tie, I typically stick to my guns, which is Cantlay being the best combination of upside and safety from this group.
Other Targets: Cameron Smith ($9,700), Jordan Spieth ($9,600) and Hideki Matsuyama (49,200) are all strong candidates to consider.
$8,000 Range
Other Thoughts: I am lower on this section than the rest of the industry, but Sam Burns ($8,800) is in play for GPPs. Shane Lowry ($8,700) ranks third in this field over the past few months regarding his total strokes gained. And then Daniel Berger ($8,600) and Louis Oosthuizen ($8,000) would be GPP-only. Those are the four that I am most intrigued by playing, with a sprinkle of Joaquin Niemann ($8,500) being in play.
$7,000 Range
I am going to rapid-fire through some $7,000 golfers to present a handful of choices for everyone reading.
Matthew Fitzpatrick ($7,900) – Fitzpatrick is arguably the most underpriced player on the board. There is a reason he is a favorite in head-to-head matchups against golfers in the $9,000 range.
Tony Finau ($7,900) – With back-to-back top-eight finishes for Finau during PGA Championship contests, the price tag is ripe for the picking since we don’t necessarily need a victory to pay off his salary. I wouldn’t discount him getting it, but a top-10 will play just as well in the right builds.
Tommy Fleetwood ($7,600) -The Englishman has made seven cuts in a row, including five of those resulting in top-22 finishes.
Alex Noren ($7,000) – Noren ranks ninth in my model on fast Bentgrass greens and inside the top-16 for both scrambling and sand save percentage.
Additional Thoughts: Seamus Power ($7,000), Brian Harman ($7,000), Cameron Tringale ($7,100) – GPP-Only! Russell Henley ($7,200), Jason Kokrak ($7,300), Talor Gooch ($7,400), Jason Day ($7,500).
$6,000 Range
Additional Dart Throws To Consider: Robert MacIntyre ($6,900), Chris Kirk ($6,900), Aaron Wise ($6,800), Mito Pereira ($6,700), Matt Kuchar ($6,800), Cam Davis ($6,700), Matt Jones ($6,600)
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