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Wyndham Championship

The Course

The PGA DFS slate will head to Greensboro, North Carolina for The Wyndham Championship at Sedgefield Country Club. Another Donald Ross design, this course boasts a low scoring par 70 that averages just over 7100 yards. Typically known as one of the easier par 70’s on tour, The Wyndham has produced winners that have carded final scores of -21, or -22 over the last 3 years. Birdies, and scoring will be in abundance once again.

This is the last week for the Pros to make their move into the top 125 required to make the Fed-Ex Cup Playoffs, so most of this 150+ field will have some extra motivation to shoot well and move up in the standings.

Donald Ross designs always demand a premium ball striker and Sedgewick is no different. Accuracy off the tee will be more valuable than pure distance. Strokes gained on approach is equally important as hitting the greens in regulation has always been a priority to getting on the leader boards. The small Bermuda greens average around a 12 on the Stimpmeter and should reward guys who get hot with the flat stick. As is always the case for these types of courses, I’m not looking for the bombers this week. An accurate, world class iron game, with a better than average putter should be the right formula to card a low score here, and contend on Sunday.

Favorable Statistics (in order of importance)

Driving Accuracy

Strokes Gained: Approach

Birdie or Better %

Strokes Gained: Putting

Strokes Gained: Tee 2 Green

Par 4 (400-450)

Strategy

Make no mistake about it, the winning score at The Wyndham Championship will be very low. Ironically, DraftKings scoring rewards birdies very high (regardless of how many bogeys they get). I’m looking to find golfers that can nail their shot approaching the greens. Great ball strikers, that are accurate off the tee is imperative. The greens at Sedgewick are small so I want to keep our eye out for guys that can get up and down as well (SG:ARG). It may sound generic and simple but targeting guys that hit a majority of the fairways and get a lot of birdies is the strategy I’m taking.

Core Golfers (10K)

Webb Simpson ($11200) Webb finished 2nd here the last 2 years, and 3rd the year before that. He may not be long off the tee, but his iron game is almost always on point.

Patrick Reed ($10700) Seems to be getting into form at just the right time. He’s also a birdie machine ranking first in the field in DraftKings (DK) points.

Paul Casey ($10300) Almost won the PGA Championship last week were it not for Morikawa nailing his drive on 16. Top ball striker on tour. Ranks first in the tee to green (SG:T2G), 2nd on approach (SG:APP), and 4th off the tee (SG:OTT).

(9K)

Justin Rose ($9900) Another birdie making machine. Rounding into form after finishing 9th at the PGA Championship. Prefers Bermuda greens as well.

Harris English ($9300) A little pricey for The Wyndham Championship, but he’s a cut maker. Very consistent and loves Bermuda greens.

(8K)

Brendon Todd ($8900) Accurate and a great iron game. He’s an even better putter. Checks all the boxes for me.

Si Woo Kim ($8600) Looked great last week finishing 13th last week at the PGA in a loaded field, with 14 birdies. Hopefully goes overlooked, excellent GPP option.

Ryan Moore ($8100) Popping in my model, 15th SG:T2G, 12th SG:APP. Gained strokes in his last 7 straight SG:OTT.

(7K)

Joaquin Niemann ($7900) Seems like he’s due. Excellent iron game ranking 3rd SG:APP, 8th SG:T2G. Another birdie making machine that just needs to fix the putter. Have a feeling he replicates something similar to his T13 at The Wyndham Championship last year.

Harold Varner ($7600) a local favorite. 4th in my model. 2nd SG:T2G, 10th SG:OTT, 11th SG:APP. Great recent form coming off a T29 in the loaded PGA Championship field last week.

Charl Schwartzel ($7400) Don’t ask, I just got a gut feeling on this guy for some reason.

(6K)

Ryan Armour ($6800) Accurate OTT and putts great. T22, T8, T4 in his last 3 here. If he can find that SG:APP game he had at the Travelers and Rocket Mortgage, another top 5 will be in the cards.

Brice Garnett ($6700) Great track record at The Wyndham Championship, with a T6 last year and a couple T20’s before that. Doesn’t play a lot, and doesn’t score heavy. At this price though, a top 20 would do just fine.

Value

While there are some value guys I have my eye on, I really don’t think it’s necessary to dive to far below $6.5K this week unless you’re really trying to cram some studs in your lineup. There are tons of other guys I’m still looking at (both high and low) as I try to narrow down my player pool for The Wyndham Championship. Hit me up in Discord and I can give you my thoughts if you see fit.

Feel free to mix and match, and choose your spots wisely. Its our goal at WinDaily to teach EVERYONE a formula to playing DFS so that we ALL succeed. The BEST overall strategy I can give you would be to join our family in the Discord chat rooms as we discuss, and break down our favorite plays even further.

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In this edition of PGA DFS picks, we’re looking for a big payday at the PGA Tour’s Wyndham Championship helping you find some winning teams in GPPs! All prices for DraftKings.

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PGA DFS Course Notes:

  • Full tournament field of 150+ Golfers
  • Cut: Top 65 and ties
  • Only nine of the Top 30 golfers in the world, so a weaker field with some stars
  • The course: Sedgefield Country Club (Greensboro, NC)
  • Par 70: 7,127 yard – Donald Ross design
  • Bermuda Greens
  • Not incredibly long, with eight par 4s between 400-450 and two reachable par 5s
    • We’ve seen a 59 here (from Brandt Snedeker in 2018’s Rd. 1), and wind not a huge factor in the Carolina burbs, so expect receptive greens and low scores
    • RBC Heritage a good course comp (in terms of crossover success)
  • Focus Stat Categories: Strokes Gained: Approach, Birdie or Better %, SG: Putting (Bermuda), Par 4s Gained (450-500),

The Picks:

Elite PGA DFS (DK $9,500 and up):

Brooks Koepka (DK $11,400) – He fizzled on Sunday but remains one of the most talented golfers in any field – especially when something’s on the line. I’d steer clear in cash games but I love him for GPPs.

Webb Simpson (DK $11,200) – The course history here is bonkers (he’s won here and has a bunch of top fives), and Webb, who even named his daughter Wyndham – I’m not joking – easily makes for the best cash game play in the field.

Justin Rose (DK $9,900) – He’s a first-timer at this venue who made 20 birdies last week and finished in ninth place. With the weaker field I’m perfectly happy targeting him in GPPs and hoping for a Top 5 finish.

Also consider: Patrick Reed, Paul Casey

Mid-Range PGA DFS (DK $7,600 to $9,400):

Harris English (DK $9,300) – I’m having a difficult time making lineups without English this week given his upside, his consistent play over the past year, and his current form. He checks all the boxes and makes for a fine play in all formats.

Brendan Todd (DK $8,900) – Todd is riding a birdie streak where he’s made at least 14 birdies over his four rounds in five straight tourneys. He had a missed cut at the RBC heritage the week before that, but it’s obvious he’s turned a corner and belongs in this pricing tier.

Si Woo Kim (DK $8,800) – The price (and lack of recent top 10s) will undoubtedly scare off a few folks, but Kim has made seven straight cuts, has won here (2016) and finished in fifth place at this event last year.

Sergio Garcia (DK $8,500) – I expect guys like Reavie and Kisner and Snedeker to be popular this week in the $8,000 to $8,500 range, but I really love Garcia’s upside here. He finished T5 at the RBC Heritage and people easily forget just how low he can go.

Kevin Kisner (DK $8,300) – Kisner is bound to be chalky this week given his performance at the Wyndham Championship and form, so my ownership will depend on just how popular he gets. There’s certainly plenty to like about his chances for a Top 10

J.T. Poston (DK $7,800) – The 2019 winner absolutely dismantled this golf course last year, and people are getting too scared of his form (T75, T30, MC, MC, MC). He likes the course and finished T8 at the RBC Heritage in June, so I’m fine using him in GPPs.

Harold Varner III (DK $7,600) – Varner, who is one of my favorite plays this week and should be comfortable returning to the Carolinas, made the cut last week (T29) after being added as an alternate. I love his ball-striking this season and there’s no reason he can’t post a Top 15 at Sedgefield CC.

Also consider: Billy Horschel, Jordan Spieth (GPP), Chez Reavie, Brandt Snedeker, Ryan Moore, Russell Henley, Christian Bezuidenhout, Maverick McNealy, Tom Lewis (GPP)

Value PGA DFS (DK $6,600 to 7,500):

Rory Sabbatini (DK $7,500) – He’s a solid cash game play with plenty of favorable course history, and his play – while spotty over the past several weeks – does show some upside for GPPs as well.

Henrik Norlander (DK $7,300) – Last week we had Henrik Stenson (MC) at $7,300, but now we get Norlander, who’s still massively underpriced with respect to his recent play.

Lucas Glover (DK $7,300) – He missed the cut at the PGA but this course is more his wheelhouse. He’s 4-for-4 here since 2015 and I’m much more comfortable with him in this price point.

Bud Cauley (DK $7,200) – Cauley was a late addition to the PGA and he fared well. In this event, he actually has some Top 10 upside at a very low price, and his confidence has been improving over the past few weeks. He can make birdies in bunches, which is what we need at this low-scoring event.

Sepp Straka (DK $7,100) – I’m jumping right back on the Straka train after the made cut in a difficult field at the PGA championship. His T33 at the RBC Heritage tells me he could land a Top 25 finish here, which could work in single-entry GPP and for cash games.

Cam Davis (DK $7,000) – I’d steer clear in cash games, but for large-field GPPs you might need a low-owned gem like Davis, who has put together a T12 at the recent 3M Open, a T32 at last week’s Barracuda, and a 22nd place finish at the Wyndham last season.

Ryan Armour (DK $6,800) – Another streaky player I wouldn’t touch in cash games, Armour has had some success at this venue in the past (T4 in 2017, T8 in 2018 and T22 in 2019) and notched two straight top tens before missing three cuts in a row.

Brice Garnett (DK $6,700) – The veteran nabbed a sixth-place finish here last season and is a feast-or-famine GPP play who is playing some solid golf this year as well with four Top 30 finishes in his last seven tournaments, including a T17 at the RBC Heritage.

More value golfers to consider: Matthias Schwab, Danny Willett (GPP), Jim Furyk, Aaron Wise, Mark Hubbard (GPP)

Longshot Punts PGA DFS (DK $6,500 and under):

Tom Hoge (DK $6,500) – The putter holds him back, but his T2G stats are decent enough to warrant consideration this week. His last name makes me hungry for a lucrative GPP finish, not just a big sandwich.

Seamus Power (DK $6,400) – Another birdie-maker who misses some cuts but posts a lot of Top 35 finishes if he’s around for the weekend, Power has 60 birdies and an eagle in the three tourneys he made the cut among his last four events. Sign me up.

Fabian Gomez (DK $6,400) – Gomez was T3 at the Barracuda last week with 22 birdies over four days, highlighted by a closing round 63, and he finished T13 here in 2019 – good signs for a golfer under $6,500.

Brian Gay (DK $6,200) – He played poorly here last season but a T6 finish at the Wyndham in 2018 could bring back some decent memories. Gay is a longshot to have another Top 10, but if he can cut down on his bogeys, he stands a chance at a decent result for near minimum price.

Additional GPP punts: Tyler Duncan, Harry Higgs, Peter Malnati

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Wyndham Championship: Initial Picks

We’ve got a much easier layout this week relative to the PGA Championship and we will be seeing a lot of birdies.  The course isn’t particularly long and our focus will revert back to APP this week as this is definitely a second shot golf course (please review The Range for a closer look on course dynamics).  Please tune into Tuesday night’s Livestream at 8:30 for more on these picks and the picks of Joel Schrek, who is quickly becoming one of the best PGA DFS players in the industry.  And finally, make sure you are constantly refreshing your page at windailysports.com as we have plenty of articles coming from our entire team, but here are out Wyndham Championship: Initial Picks. All pricing is for DraftKings.

Brooks Koepka (11400) – It’s curious that Brooks is even making the trip to this event.  However, knowing that Brooks definitely considers himself one of the best in the world and that he is 92nd in FedEx Cup standings, he actually needs the points boost.  We remember what we last witnessed with Brooks, which was an awful Sunday, but overall at the PGA he gained almost six strokes APP and that will be key at the Wyndham. 

Webb Simpson (11200) – Webb has finished 2nd, 2nd and 3rd the last three years at this event and he has a daughter named after the event itself.  Convinced?  He’s also in very good form with great APP and PUTT metrics, both of which will prove to be very valuable on this track.  Yes he will be super chalk but he’s a lock button in cash games and you’ll want to have some shares in GPPs. 

Justin Rose (9900) – I’m not normally a Rose guy, but he seemed to be back into form last week and he gained a ton of strokes on APP and PUTT at the PGA.  Normally I’d consider fading a guy who gained 7 full strokes putting the week prior, but his most APP metrics (4 SG at PGA) combined with the possibility of a hot putter spell a potentially big week for Rose.   Add to that he’s not comfortably within the Top 125 of the FedEx standings (currently at 103) and I think he has plenty to play for.

Si Woo Kim (8600) – Making seven cuts in a row isn’t anything to celebrate for a guy in this price range but he is coming off a 13th place at the PGA and finished 1st here in 2016 and 5th last year.  Further, his ball striking has been great lately.  His putter can go hot and cold but it feels like he’s comfortable here so I have no hesitation including him in a handful of lineups.  Si Woo is 121st in the FedEx Cup standings so if you’re a believer in that narrative, things set up nicely this week.

Ryan Moore (8100) – He’s been very good on APP as of late and has a very good track record at the Wyndham.  I think Moore is a bit underpriced here.  One of his biggest issues this year has been an inconsistent putter, but I’m always willing to gamble on that if the other important SG metrics are in great shape.

Christiaan Bezuidenhout (7700) – I almost left this guy off my Initial Picks because I didn’t feel like typing out his name, but for the sake of a proper write-up, I added him to the list.  CBez (there we go) has been very good lately with a 22nd at the Memorial and a 20th at the WGC Fed-Ex St. Jude (a comparable course to Wyndham).  Even better his main weakness is OTT and that shouldn’t be a big factor here.

Tom Lewis (7600) – Coming off a bad week at the PGA sets up nicely for a ownership leverage play at Wyndham.  As mentionned above, his week’s track is comparable to the WGC Fed-Ex St. Jude where Lewis finished an astounding 2nd place.  Add to that Lewis is teetering at 120th in the FedEx Cup Standings and I think he’s ripe for a bounce back.

Henrik Norlander (7300) – A forgotten commodity as he’s been absent the last few tournaments, but he’s made five cuts in a row including a 6th at The Memorial and a 12th at the Rocket Mortgage.  Norlander’s ball striking has been great over that stretch, particularly in the area of APP.  His putter can be erratic but over the last three tournaments he’s gained plenty of strokes with the short stick. 

Luke List (7200) – Ball striking has been excellent lately and main issue with List is his putter (He lost a full 7 strokes putting last week). Still, at this price and with great APP numbers I’m willing to take a chance on a guy who appears to be on the rise. He’s made 3 cuts in a row and is currently 112th in the FedEx Cup standings.

Brice Garnett (6700) – ball striking has been great since the re-start.  Like many of the guys above he is prone to some bad putting but his last three at the Wyndham have resulted in 6th, 20th and 20th so he’s clearly comfortable here.  Solid value in this punt range.

Secret Weapon (sub 7k/less than 5% owned) – get into Discord Wednesday for the secret weapon.  Rate of return of secret weapon has been incredible.  Feels like it’s due to crash and burn this week . . . or is it? 

Again, stay tuned for the Livestream TONIGHT at 8:30 for much more on these picks and the picks of Joel Schrek. And if you’re not already subscribed to the Win Daily podcast, lock that into your rotation. See everyone tonight!

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The Insight Sheet gets you ready before lock with all of your DFS PGA needs. This week at the Wyndham Championship, you’ll find the model’s Top 30, Vegas odds, Data Golf World Ranks, key stats and my personal player pool.

Players $10,000 and Up

  1. Morikawa $10,400 – He’s not on the sheet because his small sample size but Morikawa is coming off a win at the Barracuda.
  2. Simpson $11,200 – The course horse at the Wyndham Championship and former winner, despite all the exposure I feel his ownership comes in under 20%.
  3. Matsuyama $10,900 – Been playing well and has solid course history in his two tries. Lowest ownership between the three.

Players $9,000 and Up

  1. Casey $9,800 – I’m really high on Casey this week. He will come some higher ownership but he’s third in my model. With five Top 30’s in his last six starts I’ll have plenty of Casey this week.
  2. Reavie $9,300 – Reavie has been playing well this year, he’s 5th in the model and and should see less than 15% ownersip.
  3. Niemann $9,100 – Forth in strokes gained total over the last six events and fourth in Par 4 scoring.

Players $8,000 and Up

  1. Piercy $8,100 – Piercy will be a lock for me. Number one in my model, Top 15 in every stat outside of Par 5 scoring. The Price is great and he’s projected to come in around sub 15% ownership for the Wyndham Championship.
  2. Im $8,300 – Im can score on any course and does well on faster greens. He’s projected for sub 10% ownership.
  3. Glover $8,700 – He’s probably the highest owned in this price range. He’s been playing his best golf this year. Can fully expect him to be a cash game staple.

Players $7,000 and Up

  1. Spaun $7,000 – He had a Top 20 last time at the Wyndham Championship. He’s ranked 17th in Par 4 scoring. Should come in with sub 10% ownership.
  2. Knox $7,500 – Just a solid golfer with Top 25 rankings in both Par 4 and Par 5 scoring.
  3. Henley $7,800 – Coming off a second place finish at the John Deere Classic. Henley comes in with Top 40 rankings in Approach, DK Points and Opportunities Gained.

Players $6,000 and Up

  1. Danielson $6,100 – He will be “high owned” for the range. He finished T15 at the 3M Open.
  2. Ortiz – $6,500 – Seems to be one of the better golfers to put him in a position to score points. Model wise, Ortiz is right there with Niemann.
  3. Svensson $6,400 – Solid stats outside of putting. Really good on Par 5s. Just missed my Top 50 at 52nd.
Thank you for reading. You can find my other work here on my Author Page. Follow Win Daily Sports (@WinDailyDFS) and myself (@DFSPatrickScott) on Twitter for up to date news.

Stat source: FantasyNational

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This week we’ll look back at WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational and get you ready for the upcoming Wyndham Championship right here on Win Daily Sports.

Recap of the WGC – FedEx St. Jude Invitational

Brooks Koepka winning a non-major? Yup, he was a shot behind McIlroy heading into Sunday but it did’t take long for Koepka to take over. For every misstep that McIlroy had, Koepka came through shining. The biggest surprise was his putter. He gained a whopping 9.3 strokes putting on the field. As if Koepka needed another weapon in his arsenal.

Right before the tournament kicked off I suggested that I’ll never play Brooks in a non major. One tournament in and he’s already beat me. Granted the top guys could always win, he did putt lights out. I do not know if he wins without his flat stick getting NBA Jam hot though. Without the winner in my personal pool I needed my other guys to play strong. They all pretty much did until Sunday when they shot a combined plus three. Thank you Mr. Wallace and Mr. Olesen. Nonetheless, we move to the Wyndham Championship.

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The Basics

Course: SedgeField CC
Par: 70
Length: 7,127 Yards
Greens: Bermuda
Fairways: Narrower than tour average
Architect: Donald Ross
For a hole by hole breakdown, please visit the PGA website here.

Course Breakdown

The Wyndham Championship is played in Greensboro, North Carolina. The tournament was founded 81 years ago as the Greater Greensboro Open. It wasn’t until 2007 when Wyndham Hotels & Resorts took over as title sponsor and changed the name.

Each year the winning score is around -20. Here is the top 10 golfers on easy scoring relative to par courses.

Despite the narrower fairways they tend to be easy to hit, as long as the golfer is accurate. Lets look at the Top 10 golfers in scoring for easy to average hitting fairways.

Like last week this course has bermuda greens. The golfers below represent the Top 10 in putting on bermuda.

The same faces tend to show up towards the top of the leaderboard. Here are the Top 10 in cumulative strokes gained at the Wyndham Championship.

As always it’s always nice to check and see who’s coming in with excellent form. The chart below illustrates the Top 10 golfers in cumulative strokes gained over the last six events.

Out of the five charts above, three players show up four out of five times. They’re Simpson, Matsuyama and Glover. There is no surprise that two of the top golfers in the field are represented but Glover is on there as well. One thing to note about Glover is that the one he’s missing on is course history at the Wyndham Championship (20th).

Player Fit – Back End Stats

Here is the scorecard for SledgeField and how each hole plays to par.

First thing that stands out to me is the birdie rate on Par 5s from 500 – 550 yards. Next is the amount of holes between the range of 400 – 450 yards.

Going back to the scoring, Par 3s at 175 yards. Not only are the Par 3s counted in the range but it’s also has the most approach shots. Last but not least, Opportunities Gained.

Evenly Weighted

Final Recap

In my early research it feels like it’s a three man race between Simpson, Matsuyama and Snedeker. If I had to decide right now, I’m going with Matsuyama.

Course Setup
Easy to score relative to par
Easy to average hitting fairways
Bermuda Greens

Player Efficiencies
Par 5 scoring from 500 – 550 yards
Par 4 scoring from 400 – 450 yards
Opportunities Gained
Proximity from 150 – 175 yards
Par 3 scoring from 150 – 175 yards

Thanks for reading and I hope this article is a great starting place for your DFS research. Look out for the Insight Sheet dropping Wednesday. It will include my model’s Top 20 with Data Golf World Rankings, Vegas Odds, and analysis on my personal player pool.

While this article, The Range, will remain FREE, the Insight Sheet will require a Premium Gold membership. To make sure you don’t miss out, sign up for our Premium Gold membership right here!

Please leave a comment below or reach out on Twitter if you found this helpful and any questions you may have.

Stats source: FantasyNational

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