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7 Rules to Successful Profitable Trading

Before proceeding in anything in life, especially the unknown word of Wall Street, we must have rules to follow if success will follow and repeat forever. I hope that these 7 Rules to Successful Profitable Trading will guide you with a smart and logical foundation to implement immediately. Patience, Timing and Knowledge prevail, but for our journey with stocks, I am certain that these rules will be of great value to you becoming and staying a successful and profitable trader.

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1.Understand what your trade is:

Have A Plan, do not just follow some word of mouth. It does not work like this! Before your trade is on you should already know the targets you are after from studying the chart and numbers. Know your particular trading rules and stick to them no matter the result. Do not deviate from this plan and successful trading is already underway. Army discipline, pay attention to what and why, and I definitely utilize these 7 Rules to Successful Profitable Trading.

2 . Never stop educating yourself:

In any profession, you can never truly master it or reach the top. You are as good as the last thing you learned. With a transition personally myself in life, Wall Street is far from any different. “Paying Tuition” along the way and training with many top traders throughout our country is part of my journey. Continue to educate and learn daily to become better than yesterday everyday. Pay attention to what you do and take notes as the stock market is alive with a heart beat and will teach you new tricks to help win daily.

3. Focus on one strategy at a time:

Laser sharp focus ,avoid distractions and overtrading. Follow your plan of attack upon starting a trade until its done. Avoid the headaches and keep things simple. Do not try to trade too many things at one time until you are an experienced trader. Though we can sometimes simply get lucky, have some discipline and lesson your trade risk amount as it goes up or down! Take profits at your markers and remember, “You don’t go broke taking profit,” and “cash is king”.

Image result for cash is king

Don’t look back in anger when you could have made more . I assure that you could have just as easily lost what was made by holding on hoping it will keep going up. When a trade is wrong, take the loss and move on to a better set up. We are always best off if we can put your profits to work wisely, but not in a rush just to make the next move. 7 Rules to Successful Profitable Trading become more and more important as your experience grows.

4. No Revenge Trading:

If you have and execute a plan that doesn’t go as planned, if you followed your trading rules you will be out with minimal damage ready to move on. Often times our mental psychology brings us immediately back to that same losing trade. Simply move on because if that set up was correct it will re present itself with better support to re enter later. Point- take the loss , take a walk to clear your head back to focused and move on to a winner. Do not potentially implode your account as your mind will play games with you after a loss of any significance.

3 effective ways to clear your mind

5. Always pay close attention to volume and find those spikes:

These momentum volume driven trades are often the best ones. Often times you may see a breakout but without heavy volume the probability of failure or breakdown is higher. Though this applies mostly to day and swing trading, it certainly plays a factor in any trade as an aid to identifying a breakout pattern with some momentum. It is not the end all it is quite helpful to me though it could also indicate the end of a breakout as well where both buyers and sellers are both creating the volume at the same time

6. Listen to the charts:

They don’t lie as there is reason stocks go up and down all day every day. With proper chart knowledge and training , trading with charts and levels pre drawn out certainly help display what is actively happening , happened in the past and often times help to indicate the future direction of a stock (short and long term) Read your charts and do not hope and pray someone else’s opinion is right. Listen to what the chart is telling you.

Image result for breakout pattern chart

7. Nothing is Impossible:

In todays game (GME) everything and anything goes: I was recently reminded when Bear Sterns went under in 2007-2008. The story goes that when it dropped from $150 to $100 a share, most didn’t understand why or how it could ever go any lower. At $75 a share, man did many think this was a bottomed bargain. If you ask what its worth today ($0) most will ask you “who is Bear Sterns?” Everything and anything is possible today in 2021.

If you do pay close attention, amazing things do occur.. As a UF gator this is quite a life and game changer.

Strive to become a better than average trader and most days the results will follow follow. How much money you have or your trade is worth is not relevant, always set goals and when you cross them make certain to set vision on your new ones.

This discipline has enabled my knowledge base to grow and my money to Win Daily. In the stock market with all the tools and education out there at your finger tips- strive for the best, set your goals and blow past them. When you’re there, rinse repeat and do it again with new visions. Educate, never stop learning and follow These 7 Rules to Successful Profitable Trading. Thanks for your time and hope this helps any level trader.

Alan Jacob aka Willet @ Win Daily

Image result for danny willett trophy
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To quote the great Michael Rasile, “It’s a great day to be alive.” I hope everyone enjoyed their first week of the new year and are ready to get back into action for the NFL DFS Wild Card Weekend slate. This week, we’ll just do one full article covering both cash and GPP. With only six games, we don’t have to get too crazy.

In addition, I would strongly advise reading my NFL DFS Strategy article I published this offseason, before diving into the 2020 NFL DFS season. If you have any questions or would like some further help when building your lineups, please do not hesitate to reach out to me directly on Twitter.

For those looking to get different and make a splash in some GPPs, the time is now. We’ll usually be taking some heavy stances on lower-ownership players, but at times, there is certainly good “chalk” to eat. Let’s get into it.

Please note, our NFL DFS cheatsheet is updated throughout the weekend.

NFL DFS Quarterbacks

  1. Lamar Jackson – AETY’s overall QB1 on this Saturday-Sunday slate and the ONLY QB I’ll play in the Sunday only slate. Tennessee’s defense is absolutely dreadful (mainly against the pass and yes, Baltimore struggles via the pass, but I’m all in Lamar).
  2. Josh Allen – We want a quarterbacks with rushing upside on this slate or we want a quarterback who is going to chuck it 38+ times. Josh Allen fits both of those molds. He’s an absolute elite play on any slate so there’s no reason to look elsewhere (ESPECIALLY ON THE SATURDAY SLATE).

    My only concern here is how Allen has never really performed well in a big game. He absolutely fell apart against a bad Houston defense in the playoffs last year. This Colts’ defense is much, much better than Houston was last year and they will capitalize on any mistakes Allen makes.

    Honorable Mention: Ben Roethlisberger

    Cash Game Player Pool: Josh Allen and Lamar Jackson

Running Backs

  1. Alvin Kamara – Easily the top play on the Weekend’s slate for me. Assuming he’s healthy and good to go, lock him in on DraftKings. On FanDuel, I still love him, but he may warrant a fade there if you’d rather spend your money elsewhere.
  2. Derrick Henry – tough matchup against the 12th ranked run defense in terms of DVOA, but it’s Derrick Henry. He’s certainly not cheap, so if you’re using him, you’re going to need 100+ and a score on the ground because it’s impossible to get many other studs in your build with Henry in there.
  3. Nyheim Hines (DraftKings) – On a small slate we need to get different and Hines is likely to be one of those guys for me. He has a floor of 10+ points and I like this game’s ability to be up pace.

    My strategy here is using a lot of Hines on the Saturday only slate and mix him in a little bit on full slate. Jonathan Taylor would be the stone cold lock for me in cash games, so don’t think I forgot about him.
  4. Cam Akers – He’s going to be extremely popular at the low price points on both sites, but he’s one of two running backs on this slate who has 25-touch potential (Derrick Henry).
  5. James Conner – Just a low owned, value play for the Saturday-Sunday slate. Cleveland really struggles to cover pass catching running backs and we know that’s Conner’s main role. If Pittsburgh gives him the goal-line work, Conner can be a difference maker in NFL DFS this weekend.

    Honorable Mention: Jonathan Taylor, Ronald Jones, Chris Carson

    Cash Game Player Pool: Alvin Kamara, Derrick Henry, Jonathan Taylor, Cam Akers, Nyheim Hines, James Conner

Wide Receivers (Cash and GPP)

  1. Stefon Diggs – The most targeted player in the NFL in a win or go home playoff game… Indianapolis’ pass defense is one of the better in the NFL but they will be without starting cornerback, Rock Ya-Sin. I’m sure we’ll see a lot of zone defense concepts on Saturday with potential bracket coverage on Diggs, but his volume is second to none.

    I don’t think we can fade him at all on the Saturday only slate, but if you’re looking to get off of Diggs on the Saturday-Sunday, there’s a lot more options available to you on that Sunday slate. I personally, don’t think I can fade Diggs.
  2. Michael Thomas – Simply way too cheap on both DraftKings and Fanduel and should have a very soft matchup on the inside of the Bears’ defense with Duke Shelley getting the start for an injured Buster Skrine. New Orleans is tied with Buffalo for the second highest implied team total on this slate, so I’m loving the idea of using Kamara and Thomas together.
  3. Chris Godwin – With Mike Evans banged up and an excellent pass rush for Washington, this should be a blast from the pass type of gamescript for Tom Brady. Instead of Julian Edelman being the recipient of 10+ targets, Chris Godwin should be in line for a massive workload in the shorter, inside routes against Jimmy Moreland.
  4. Tyler Lockett – I’ve been all over Lockett the past couple of weeks and it finally paid dividends last Sunday. I’m going right back to the well this weekend because I simply will not mess with Jaylen Ramsey.
  5. Marquise Brown – We preach speedy wideouts against the Titans’ secondary every single week. Hollywood has been finding his form recently and should have plenty of opportunities in the highest total game on the weekend’s slate. When Hollywood lines up with Malcolm Butler, it’s going to be showtime.
  6. Allen Robinson – Surprised Robinson is going to be so low in ownership this weekend in a game where the Bears will be chasing points all game long. I think Robinson is in for a big workload and finds a way to come up with 9-10 receptions against the weaker spot of a great, New Orleans defense.
  7. Juju Smith-Schuster – M.J. Stewart is arguably the worst cover corner on this slate. JuJu is cheap and has looked like a new player since the whole dancing on the logos issue caught steam.
  8. Zach Pascal / Michael Pittman – Cheap, un-owned exposure to the Colts-Bills game is something I’m extremely interested in. I likely will not make a Saturday-only lineup without one of these guys. Obviously, don’t use them both together, that’s just asking for trouble.

    On the full weekend slate, I’ll lower my exposure to them both significantly, but I still think this is a smash spot. Pascal opening the weekend with a 40.5 yard receiving prop against Bills’ nickel-corner, Taron Johnson is something I love to see. You just can’t find much better educated value at $3,700 on DraftKings.

    Honorable Mention: Diontae Johnson, Corey Davis, John Brown, Cooper Kupp (if Goff returns), Terry McLaurin

NFL DFS Tight Ends (Cash and GPP)

  1. Mark Andrews – Tennessee is dead last in DVOA against the tight-end and no one on this slate has the ceiling of Andrews. Andrews is far and away my top tight-end target this weekend.
  2. Logan Thomas – Tight-end is a bit of a wasteland outside of Andrews and Thomas. Thomas is a stone cold lock for 8+ targets and I cannot ignore that type of volume.

    Honorable Mention: Eric Ebron, Jonnu Smith, Rob Gronkowski

Good luck to all this week in your NFL DFS lineups!

Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @stixpicks and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT account here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Model powered by AETY and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate as multiple sports are now live!

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Grab your balls…your clubs, your tees, your foot joys, put them all on EBay because you won’t have time to play a round with DFS Golf starting up THIS THURSDAY ! We have the Sentry Tournament of Champions coming up this week with a loaded field of select golfers who all won a tournament. Over the next few months we will witness the PGA, the US Open, the British Open, and last but certainly not least, the Masters, and this time the Azaleas will be in full bloom. In between will be opportunities to make money every week on other PGA tourneys, it’s a full schedule and there are lots of questions this year. PGA DFS is BACK!

D.J. smoked the field at the Masters and left no doubt, allegedly he has put up his toys, (cocaine and a hot girlfriend) and is serious about golf. Bryson allegedly has been sequestered with Einstein’s relatives about a formula to make a drive go 500 yards accurately, I think he should work on getting a drive to go 360 accurately, but that’s just me. There’s a whole class of rookies from last year, most from Oklahoma State that are definitely legit. There is no truth to the rumor there’s a possum shortage on the PGA grounds. Our own Patrick “Sharps” Scott has packed his sunscreen, floaties and flip flops, and in an unrelated move, Collin Morikawa has beefed up his security detail.

I will be offering projections on ownership, and also contrarian plays. They are more risky, but that risk allowed me to take down 10,000.00 with a 5.00 play a couple of months ago. My crew in Palo Alto said we came in at 97.6% on our ownership projections, they have been working with me on the models for this year, and there are exciting times ahead! I find it strange that anyone with PhD behind their name always want more money, or at least enough to keep them in hot pockets and Mountain Dew while they crunch numbers all night. We also have Patrick, Isaiah, Antonio and another guy. Who else is as excited as we are that PGA DFS is back?

This other guy isn’t just a guy. He’s able to leap the chalk in a single bound, his picks rise faster than a speeding bullet, even faster than a locomotive, that’s right, I’m talking about “Super Sia” and his Secret Weapon!! Those of you who play his SW know how deadly accurate it is. Picking a golfer in the 6 K range, under 5% owned, in other words, that nobody else wants,(incredibly difficult) and watching that pick blow through kryptonite is amazing. It is the hardest play to analyze in sports, trust me, I live in that 6-7 K range looking for anomalies all the time. In all the tournaments last year, his record was 25-2. He had one of his last picks finish second, think about that, a 6 K golfer, under 3% owned, who finishes 2nd. Wow. Together all of us will be providing metrics, ownership projections, roster construction, one on one analysis, and one on one coaching in Discord. We will all have articles out starting with Sia’s initial look at the tourney, followed by lots of  other articles and Sia, Joel and Michael will have the livestream on Tuesday evenings. Michael will discuss everyone shaving their junk, don’t worry, it’s a sponsor thing and nothing personal, I think…

We are all looking forward to an exciting and rewarding season, we appreciate all you members, and we are here at Win Daily Sports
for a purpose, to have fun and get you paid. I know we can’t wait till Thursday AM lock and I’ll be back with the Sentry Tournament of Champions projections on Wednesday afternoon.

I look forward to being with you, in the money on Sunday. PGA DFS is BACK!

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I hope everyone had a happy holiday season and a wonderful start to their new year! Loved seeing all of the screenshots of wins last week. Always nice to come back to see everyone winning! Lets get back to it and are dive into a crazy 15-game Week 17 NFL DFS main slate.
The purpose of this article is to identify my top plays for a NFL DFS cash game lineup on DraftKings and FanDuel Sunday Main Slates (also known as a double-up). Players in this article are usually a mix of the following:

  • High-floor/high-volume “safer” players (players with a very low bust-rate)
  • VALUE PLAYS
  • Not a part of a stack – Stacking is great for GPPs, but if you stack in cash games, your lineup is entirely too dependent on said stacked team. If that team does poorly, your whole lineup does… Not a risk we need to take in a cash game. QB/WR pairing is fine, but unless there’s extreme value in a 3-man stack, let’s keep it to QB/WR or QB/TE at most.
  • Extremely chalky for the week… in GPP’s I’ll usually always fade volatile players at > 40% ownership, but in cash games, it’s usually best to eat the chalk. If that player underperforms, it does not hinder your ability to cross the pay-line as 40% or more of the field is in the same boat. If you fade this player(s) and he has a great game, your lineup is likely toast… as you’re now behind 40% or more of the field. Make sense? If not, hit me up on Discord/Twitter to discuss further.

In my opinion, cash games are extremely important for long-term bankroll building and sustainability. I’ll consistently use at least 50% of my weekly bankroll towards cash games. It’s not sexy, but it works and allows me to take big shots in high dollar GPPs.

Long story short, if we hit our cash games each week, the worst we can do is break-even (not counting your GPP shots with the remaining 50% of your weekly bankroll). The weeks you hit both, you smash. The weeks you miss your GPPs, your cash game lineup will carry you. It’s my job to ensure you always hit those cash games.

If you haven’t yet, I would strongly advise giving my NFL DFS Strategy article I published this offseason before diving into the 2020 NFL DFS season. If you have any questions or would like some further help when building your lineups, please do not hesitate to reach out to me directly on Twitter. Without further ado, let’s do this thing!

*Some notes on what I believe to be the “optimal” roster build for NFL DFS Cash Games. I’ll include this in all the Checkdown articles moving forward. For Week 17, please see below for my notes on roster construction:

  • CHALK REPORT: Ty Montgomery, Derrick Henry, Jon Taylor, Alexander Mattison, Davante Adams, Justin Jefferson, and George Kittle project to be incredibly high in cash game ownership (over 40%). I think we’ll likely want to lock in AT LEAST THREE of them in our NFL DFS cash lineups. 
  • Small player pool this week and you’ll notice that in the article.
  • Just because a player is not mentioned in this article, does not mean they are not cash viable.
  • AETY Model Projections change throughout the week, please ensure you check out our final projections before lock!
  • I update this article periodically through the week. Be sure to check back on Saturday night / Sunday morning for any additions/revisions!!

NFL DFS Quarterbacks

Crunched for time this week so just listing off the players in my cash pool:

Top QB Targets

  1. Lamar Jackson – save for cash, but blowout potential in this one. Lamar will go balls to the wall to win this game, let’s just hope it stays close to keep him in all four quarters.
  2. Ryan Tannehill – Top play for me. Houston’s defense is awful, we just smashed with Brandon Allen last week, lol.
  3. Aaron Rodgers – No one as safe as Rodgers in hopes to close out his MVP season and a first round BYE.

Value QB Targets

4. Drew Lock – Any opportunity to pick on the Raiders’ defense

5. Kirk Cousins – Expecting a Vikings’ pass attack onslaught

Running Backs

  1. Derrick Henry
  2. Jonathan Taylor – Has the ability to put up Henry-like numbers today against a Jacksonville team that has no interest in winning a football game.
  3. Myles Gaskin – AETY Model likes his chances at garnering the third most touches on this slate in a must-win game for the Dolphins. Workload/Volume is incredibly important in NFL DFS cash game builds.
  4. Melvin Gordon – Don’t use him with Drew Lock in cash, but great price for a three-down back against arguably the worst run defense in the NFL (it’s them or Houston, lol).
  5. Wayne Gallman – Vander Esch is one of the key run-stoppers for Dallas and he again will miss this game. Expect the Giants to lean on Gallman for 16+ touches in a must-win game.
  6. Ty Montgomery – Disgusting, but there’s no running back healthy for New Orleans. He should be a lock for 3-5 catches, but don’t be surprised if Taysom Hill gets the goal-line work.
  7. Malcolm Brown – Cam Akers may suit up but my guess is that’s for an emergency backup role. Brown should get a ton of touches in a game the Rams must win to have playoff hopes.

    Honorable Mention: D’Andre Swift, Nick Chubb, Rodney Smith, Ty Johnson

Wide Receivers

  1. Davante Adams
  2. Justin Jefferson
  3. Robert Woods – only game in town for the Rams if you’re not using Malcolm Brown
  4. AJ Brown – matchup against Vernon Hargreaves in the highest total game on the slate… yes, please.
  5. Tyler Lockett – San Francisco secondary is extremely banged up and this is the perfect buy-low week for Lockett who’s price dropped significantly on NFL DFS slates.
  6. Laviska Shenault – Too cheap for the WR1 in JAX in a game they’ll be chasing points from the get-go.
  7. Jerry Jeudy – AETY expects his target share to be ~30% for the day… at $4,200 on DraftKings sign me up.

    Value WRs
  8. Marquez Callaway – my preferred punt at the WR position.
  9. Josh Reynolds – meh
  10. Richie James

Tight Ends

  1. George Kittle
  2. Darren Waller
  3. Jonnu Smith
  4. Irv Smith
  5. Jordan Akins
  6. Noah Fant

*Defense is all over the board today with multiple teams sitting their starters. Most of my builds go to Jets or the Browns*

NFL DFS Sample Lineup

QB: Ryan Tannehill
RB: Derrick Henry
RB: Ty Montgomery
WR: Justin Jefferson
WR: Tyler Lockett
WR: Richie James
TE: Jordan Akins
Flex: Jonathan Taylor
DST: New York Jets

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To quote the great Michael Rasile, “It’s a great day to be alive.” NFL DFS GPP season is here and it’s time for us to get rolling again for Week 11. For those who haven’t read it yet, please check out the Week 11 Cash Game Checkdown for your bankroll sustaining, cash game build advice.

In addition, I would strongly advise reading my NFL DFS Strategy article I published this offseason, before diving into the 2020 NFL DFS season. If you have any questions or would like some further help when building your lineups, please do not hesitate to reach out to me directly on Twitter.

For those looking to get different and make a splash in some GPPs, the time is now. We’ll usually be taking some heavy stances on lower-ownership players, but at times, there is certainly good “chalk” to eat. Let’s get into it.

Please note, everyone on our cheatsheet and the Cash Game Checkdown are also in play for GPPs. This is more to uncover some players people are not talking about… and they should be.

*Keep in mind, you DO NOT NEED to just build your GPP lineups around these players. Players from the Cash Game Checkdown are there because they have extremely high floors and high ceilings. They are key components you should probably build around no matter what type of contest you’re in*

Adjusted Expected Team Totals Rankings for Week 11

  1. Pittsburgh Steelers (22.88)
  2. Minnesota Vikings (22.18)
  3. New England Patriots (21.90)
  4. Atlanta Falcons (21.13)
  5. New Orleans Saints (20.92)
  6. Baltimore Ravens (20.58)

My Personal Top Stacks:
– Dallas Cowboys
– Minnesota Vikings
– Baltimore Ravens
– Atlanta Falcons
– Cincinnati Bengals

NFL DFS GPP Quarterbacks

  1. Lamar Jackson – Clearly the top-dog Quarterback on this slate without Kyler Murray, Patrick Mahomes, Josh Allen, and Russell Wilson. His price is respectable, if not too-cheap on both DraftKings and FanDuel. He should be coming into this slate around 15-20% owned but I’ll be shocked if he eclipses 10% in total ownership.

    Tennessee has absolutely no pass rush and a beaten-up secondary. Lamar will get in done via the run and the pass like he did in 2019tomorrow and replicate a monster outing he put on the Titans last year in the playoffs.

    Use him naked or pair him up with Hollywood Brown and/or Mark Andrews. This is a plus-matchup for both of them! Don’t forget about Derrick Henry on the back-side of this game for some correlation.
  2. Andy Dalton – He’s just way too cheap on DraftKings ($5,300) and offers us a perfect pivot off of 20% owned, Taysom Hill (LOL). I do not understand the love for playing Hill at Quarterback. Load up Dalton against this sieve of a pass defense in Minnesota.

    The only headache here is who to pair him up with but there are plenty of good choices to roll out there and then of course using Dalvin Cook and/or Justin Jefferson or Adam Thielen on the back-end.

    Honorable Mention: Matt Ryan, Cam Newton, Joe Burrow, DeShaun Watson

Running Backs

  1. Miles Sanders – No idea how Sanders isn’t coming in over 15% on current ownership projections. I absolutely loved what I saw out of Miles Sanders last week despite having two touchdowns somewhat vultured away from him (Boston Scott earned his, even though he stepped out).

    There are very few backs that get as many touches as Miles Sanders but all of them are priced over $7K on DraftKings (outside of Mike Davis) and over $8K on FanDuel. Keep in mind, Myles Garrett being out leaves a big hole in this Cleveland defense.
  2. Ezekiel Elliott (DraftKings) We’ve never seen Zeke at $6,500 on DraftKings and I don’t think we ever will again. Take advantage of these savings now that Erving and Martin make their return to Dallas’ offensive line.

    The AETY Model has this game handicapped for a total of 52 points and really loves it’s potential to shootout. Getting a 18+ touch Zeke Elliott really intrigues me in NFL DFS GPP lineups at $6,500 in salary.

    Honorable Mention: Derrick Henry, Alvin Kamara, Kerryon Johnson, Phillip Lindsay, James Conner

Wide Receivers

  1. Julio Jones / Calvin Ridley – I love Matt Ryan this week against the pass funnel, New Orleans defense. I have no idea what to expect from the pace of the Taysom Hill led Saints’ offense, but if they play with a decent tempo, I love this game’s ability to go over the total.

    If that happens, sub-10% owned Julio Jones and Calvin Ridley are in prime spots to produce. If given one choice, I’d choose Ridley due to the savings and seeing more or Janoris Jenkins in coverage, but they’re both great NFL DFS GPP plays in Week 11.
  2. Adam Thielen – If Justin Jefferson is going to garner twice as much ownership as Adam Thielen, I’ll have a ton of Thielen on Sunday. I’ve talked enough about how much I like this game and I love the pairing of Dalvin Cook/Adam Thielen on the other side of my Cowboys’ stacks.
  3. Tyler Boyd – Tyler Boyd under $6K in salary… just go ask Ghost what we do when that is a scenario for an upcoming NFL DFS GPP slate. Jimmy Moreland is a bottom tier slot-cornerback and will struggle all game long against an elite route runner like Tyler Boyd. Both of these teams play at a solid pace so there should be plenty of opportunities for Boyd to shine.
  4. Dallas Cowboys Wide Receivers – Again, I’m not sure who to rank the highest for my Andy Dalton stacks, but if I had to choose, I’d probably lean Amari Cooper first, Michael Gallup (he’s so damn cheap) second, and CeeDee Lamb as the odd man out (or minimal shares in 150 entry contests).

    As most of you are not 150-max entry players, I think you should focus around building your Dallas lineups with Cooper/Gallup or Cooper/Elliott. If you need salary relief in any other NFL DFS GPP lineup, Michael Gallup is more than a viable punt this week as a one-off.

    Honorable Mention: Keenan Allen, Denzel Mims, Marquise Brown, Mike Williams, Marvin Jones, Robby Anderson

NFL DFS GPP Tight Ends

  1. TJ Hockenson – No idea how this dude isn’t projected for 15% ownership, again! No Danny Amendola this week only makes this sweeter for Hockenson.

    Honorable Mention: All of the Popular Tight Ends (Mark Andrews, Dallas Goedert, Logan Thomas, Hayden Hurst)

Good luck to all this week in your NFL DFS GPP lineups!

Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @stixpicks and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT account here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Model powered by AETY and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate as sports return.

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Another great week for Week 9 NFL DFS Cash Games. Let’s get right back at it for a solid showing yet again in Week 10, which is a bit of a strange slate to say the least.

The purpose of this article is to identify my top plays for a NFL DFS cash game lineup on DraftKings and FanDuel Sunday Main Slates (also known as a double-up). Players in this article are usually a mix of the following:

  • High-floor/high-volume “safer” players (players with a very low bust-rate)
  • VALUE PLAYS
  • Not a part of a stack – Stacking is great for GPPs, but if you stack in cash games, your lineup is entirely too dependent on said stacked team. If that team does poorly, your whole lineup does… Not a risk we need to take in a cash game. QB/WR pairing is fine, but unless there’s extreme value in a 3-man stack, let’s keep it to QB/WR or QB/TE at most.
  • Extremely chalky for the week… in GPP’s I’ll usually always fade volatile players at > 40% ownership, but in cash games, it’s usually best to eat the chalk. If that player underperforms, it does not hinder your ability to cross the pay-line as 40% or more of the field is in the same boat. If you fade this player(s) and he has a great game, your lineup is likely toast… as you’re now behind 40% or more of the field. Make sense? If not, hit me up on Discord/Twitter to discuss further.


In my opinion, cash games are extremely important for long-term bankroll building and sustainability. I’ll consistently use at least 50% of my weekly bankroll towards cash games. It’s not sexy, but it works and allows me to take big shots in high dollar GPPs.

Long story short, if we hit our cash games each week, the worst we can do is break-even (not counting your GPP shots with the remaining 50% of your weekly bankroll). The weeks you hit both, you smash. The weeks you miss your GPPs, your cash game lineup will carry you. It’s my job to ensure you always hit those cash games.

If you haven’t yet, I would strongly advise giving my NFL DFS Strategy article I published this offseason before diving into the 2020 NFL DFS season. If you have any questions or would like some further help when building your lineups, please do not hesitate to reach out to me directly on Twitter. Without further ado, let’s do this thing!

*Some notes on what I believe to be the “optimal” roster build for NFL DFS Cash Games. I’ll include this in all the Checkdown articles moving forward. For Week 10, please see below for my notes on roster construction:

  • A handful of different options at the QB position including a few interesting punt plays.
  • I’m narrowing down the player pool a lot this week. I see a ton of different cash lineups in the discord with way too may different players in the builds. With this article, we should all be honed in on educated plays and smash this slate.
  • Chalk Report: Josh Allen, Kyler Murray, Mike Davis (lock in cash), Duke Johnson, Davante Adams, and Stefon Diggs all project to be incredibly high in ownership. I think we’ll likely want to lock in at least two or three of them in our cash games.
  • Just because a player is not mentioned in this article, does not mean they are not cash viable.
  • AETY Model Projections change throughout the week, please ensure you check out our final projections before lock!
  • I update this article periodically through the week. Be sure to check back on Saturday night / Sunday morning for any additions/revisions!!

NFL DFS Quarterbacks

  1. Kyler Murray ($8,000 DK / $8,900 FD) – Do we need to say anything about Kyler Murray at this point in the season? No. No we do not. You know what you’re getting out of Kyler Murray and 15% or more of the field is going to roster him against Buffalo and their mediocre defense.
  2. Josh Allen ($7,500 DK / $8,700 FD) – On the other side of Kyler Murray is Mr. Josh Allen. Thank the lord we decided he was our QB1 last week and I have no problem if you go back to the well with Allen on the road as a slight underdog in a 56-point total. This game is going to be fun to watch and offer a lot of fireworks from a fantasy standpoint.

    Honorable Mention: Jared Goff, Carson Wentz, Russell Wilson

Running Backs

  1. Mike Davis ($4,000 DK / $5,400 FD) – Just use him. McCaffrey is out and Davis is clearly mis-priced. He should be 100% owned in cash games and his output doesn’t matter. It’s not an ideal matchup against the 3rd best run defense in the league, but I find it nearly impossible for him not to get to 13+ fantasy points. Take the savings and run on the Davis freesquare.
  2. Aaron Jones ($7,100 DK / $8,800 FD) – The lead running back on the team with the highest Adjusted Expected Team Total, at home, against the worst overall defense in the NFL (32nd in overall defense DVOA). My only concern with Jones is the return of Jamaal Williams who is certainly going to get plenty of snaps out of this Green Bay backfield (especially if this game gets out of hand).
  3. Duke Johnson ($5,000 DK / $5,800 FD) – Another freesquare with David Johnson ruled out with a concussion. I little bit better of a matchup than Mike Davis against Tampa Bay, but he’s also $1,000 more expensive on DraftKings (very affordable on FanDuel). If you want to use two punt running backs and pay up at QB/WR/TE, your path to victory in cash would be using Davis and Johnson together.

    I’m not sure that’s the way I want my lineup to look with Johnson being quite inefficient via the run, but the pass catching ability should alleviate any concerns we have about Johnson’s floor for cash games.

    Honorable Mention: Alvin Kamara, Antonio Gibson, Giovani Bernard, Kalen Ballage, James Robinson

Wide Receivers

  1. Davante Adams ($9,000 DK / $9,500 FD) – Davante Adams against the absolute worst pass defense in the the NFL. Check mate. Personally, I am only going to play one Packer (Jones or Adams). Right now, I’m leaning Adams.
  2. Stefon Diggs ($7,500 DK / $7,900 FD) – I love the value here on FanDuel, but he’s certainly in play on DraftKings as well… Especially when 25% of the field (if not more) is going to roster Diggs in NFL DFS cash games. Whether or not Patrick Peterson shadows should not deter you from rostering the best route runner in the NFL who owns a ~30% target share.
  3. Michael Thomas ($7,400 DK / $8,500 FD) – Just way too cheap for Michael Thomas against a completely depleted, struggling secondary in San Francisco. Thomas led the team in targets last week and will start to get back to a similar workload he had in 2019 (certainly not as high of a floor he had last year, but it’s still incredibly high).
  4. Keenan Allen ($7,100 DK / $7,800) – Is there anyone in the NFL that’s been more consistent than Keenan Allen? No. No, there isn’t. Remember just a few weeks ago when were so high on Cooper Kupp in this same matchup against Miami’s slot cornerback, Nik Needham? Yea, let’s ride. Keenan is as safe as ever to get to 2.5x value in you NFL DFS Cash Games.
  5. Jarvis Landry ($5,900 DK / $6,000 FD) – In the first game without Odell Beckham we saw Jarvis rack up 11 targets (in that gale-force wind game against Las Vegas). I’m always going to be interested in sure-handed wide receivers with a 30% target share. Pair all of that with a matchup against Houston’s Eric Murray and Vernon Hargreaves and you’re going to be happy with the result.

    Hell, Jake Luton and the Jaguars’ receiving core went nuts last week…
  6. Josh Reynolds ($3,500 DK / $5,000 FD) – Reynolds comes into the week grading out as the #1 NFL DFS value in the AETY Model for wide receivers. We all know how much of a pass funnel defense Seattle is as team’s torch them on a weekly basis. Reynolds is locked in for a minimum of 75% of the Rams’ offensive snaps assuming this game goes up-paced like Vegas and the pre-match 56 point total support.

    I’d certainly prefer Robert Woods or Cooper Kupp here, but at this price, I’ll always sign off on cheap exposure to the highest total game on the slate.

    Honorable Mention: Chris Conley, Tyler Lockett, Jakeem Grant, Michael Thomas, Robert Woods, DeVante Parker

Tight Ends

Tight end seems like an absolute wasteland this week with no Travis Kelce. I don’t have a great read on where I’m going yet, but here are my top options on the slate.

  1. Darren Waller ($5,900 DK / $7,000 FD)
  2. Evan Engram ($4,500 DK / $5,600 FD)
  3. Dallas Goedert ($4,200 DK / $5,800 FD)
  4. TJ Hockenson ($5,100 DK / $6,200 FD)
  5. Greg Olsen ($2,500 DK / $4,600 FD)

NFL DFS Cash Game Sample Lineup

QB: Kyler Murray
RB: Mike Davis
RB: Duke Johnson
WR: Davante Adams
WR: Keenan Allen
WR: Josh Reynolds
TE: Greg Olsen
FLEX: Alvin Kamara
DST: Detroit Lions

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Caesars Sportsbook

With their purchase of William Hill in April, 2021, Caesars now has nearly 85 years of roots. There is no sportsbook out there with the reputation that Caesars carries in the industry. By offering a diverse selection of betting types through its mobile and desktop interfaces, William Hill is a perfect place for both beginners and expert sports bettors. As one of, if not the biggest sportsbook in the industry, William Hill has cemented its position as one of the market’s leaders.

Promotions

Joining the biggest sportsbook in the market has its perks, one being the promotions that they offer on a regular basis. By creating a new account, every Win Daily member is eligible for a deposit match up to $1,500. In addition, it’s a regular occurrence for Caesars to have enhanced odds on the most popular markets and betting types and their respective wagers.

At a Glance

Caesars’ interface is one of the best in the industry because it is simply easy to find what you’re looking for. The website is well-built with a tile system to sort by sport or betting type, just as their mobile application is. Featuring your bet slip on the home page, the top five wagers of the day and popular in-play bets at the time of arrival to the website, Caesars saves you from having to click multiple links to get to where you want to be. The website features their customer support chat, responsible gambling tips, a page to make changes to your account, and every type of interaction you’re looking for in a sportsbook: betting, live betting, Vegas games, Casino games, and poker.

Betting Options

Being one of the market-leading sportsbooks, Caesars has plenty to offer to its customers. While Caesars has the classic betting types, such as spreads, money lines, and game totals, they also offer an extensive selection of a growing phenomenon in the industry: props. Moreover, there is also a live betting section dedicated to the platform, where users can bet on games that are already in progress. Caesars also has a great “Cash Out” feature that allows for sports bettors to “cash-out” their wager before it is finalized; whether you’re bet is trending toward winning and you want to play it safe by cashing out a sum less than the potential payout but larger than your wager, or you want to cut your losses on a bet that is trending in the wrong direction, the component of their sportsbook is useful to track your bets and manage your bankroll. William Hill currently offers:

  • Spread
  • Moneyline
  • Game Total
  • Team Total
  • Player/Team Props
  • Live Betting
  • Teasers
  • Futures

User Experience

Caesars has an established presence in the sports betting industry based on reputation and longevity alone, but their superior user experience is something noteworthy whilst discussing their strengths. By having a website that is easy to navigate via the tabs at the top of the page, you can easily find what you need in the sports betting lobby, casino, Vegas games, or online poker. When selecting the sports tab, you are prompted to then sort by sports, where a menu will pop up with various games, both in-play and happening later that night. Moreover, there is a clean tile format to select which type of wager you’d like to place, in addition to having the ability to change how the odds are displayed without going to your account home page. All of this is also available in Caesars’ mobile application as well, so you’re able to keep the fun going while you’re on the move!

Availability

Known to be the most international sportsbook in the industry, Caesars is currently offered in over 70 countries. In the United States, residents of Arizona, Colorado, Indiana, Iowa, Illinois, Michigan, New Jersey, Tennessee, Virginia & West Virginia can all take advantage of the leading sportsbook’s services as they attempt to further their footprint as state regulations improve in the United States.

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