week1

The grind continues on as we enter week 11 of the NFL season. We have 12 games on tap for us to target on the main slate including the alleged game of the week that everyone will be looking to target. I will be avoiding Cowboys vs. Chiefs for the purposes of this article because I expect that to be the highest owned game by far. As usual I will be covering the top quarterbacks and players to stack with them for GPP contests across the NFL DFS industry, so any stack that I recommend is in play for both FanDuel and DraftKings. With that said, let’s get to the picks!

The QB’s

A. My strategy of targeting whatever offense is facing the New York Jets has worked out well so far this season, although it will really be put to the test this week. Tua Tagovailoa ($5,500 DK / $7,000 FD) will be at the helm as the Dolphins take on the Jets in an AFC East toilet bowl. I was wondering how the Falcons had managed to secure four wins despite being a horrendous football team, and then realized half of those wins were against the two teams playing in this game. The Jets are ranked dead last in team DVOA and dead last in DVOA against the pass. They are also vulnerable against the run, as they rank second to last in run DVOA and dead last in DvP against opposing running backs. Any way that you look at this matchup, it is favorable for the Fins and I expect their offense to roll in this spot even though they have not been impressive at all thus far this season. This game will not be popular at all despite having a middling total and a low spread so we can take advantage of the low ownership in tournaments.

B. Another team that we should look to buy low on in terms of both ownership and pricing is the Cleveland Browns. Baker Mayfield ($5,400 DK / $6,800 FD) is another extremely cheap quarterback option for us this Sunday with some upside due to the matchup. The Browns draw the hapless Detroit Lions, who unsurprisingly rank towards the bottom of the league in nearly every defensive metric. While this offensive/defensive line matchup ranks towards the middle of the pack in terms of sack potential, the Lions struggle to defend against both the pass and the run. The Browns are listed as double-digit favorites in this spot, and it is definitely a get-right opportunity after they were shellacked by the future super bowl champion New England Patriots last weekend. Target Baker and one or two of his weapons this weekend as a cheap and low-owned stack for GPPs.

C. With my first two quarterback options being on the more risky side of things, I will go a bit safer with my QB3 and target Joe Burrow ($6,600 DK / $7,400 FD). Burrow draws a matchup against the Las Vegas Raiders who rank below average in DVOA against the pass, and about average against the run. This is not exactly a dream matchup from a pace and DVOA perspective, but we do have what is surprisingly a top three total of the entire main slate, along with a very low 1 point spread. If there is an under the radar game that could turn into a shootout, this is certainly it. We have a plethora of options on both sides of the ball that I will cover below, but JB should be able to bounce back and post 20+ fantasy points after his brutal single digit effort against the Browns last time out.

The Stacks

A. One of my favorite best ball targets due to his boom or bust nature was Davante Parker, but I have had the absolute worst injury luck this year. Anyway, the Dolphins will be without him and instead rely on pass-catchers like Jaylen Waddle, Albert Wilson, and Mike Gesicki. Waddle is the only wideout that I have interest in from this team, but I have seen Gesicki getting a ton of buzz around the DFS industry leading up to Sunday. He is priced up at $5.2K on DraftKings, which is a bit more than I usually like to spend at such a weak position, but he is nevertheless a very strong option due to his matchup against the Jets. Gaskin is another option for our Dolphins stacks as he is priced in the mid-tier and should go extremely overlooked. On the Jets side of the ball, you will not catch me looking for a run-back as Joe “Elite?” Flacco will be taking the reigns of this offense. This is one of the most Jet-like moves we will see and this franchise just continues to be the laughing stock of the NFL. You could try to get weird with a Corey Davis bring-back and hope that Flacco still has some elite in him, but only if you are MME-ing in a low-stakes tournament on Sunday.

B. Unfortunately we once again have a situation where we are targeting teams that have horrendous defensive units but also poor offensive units, which results in a one-sided team stack as opposed to correlated game stacks. The Browns will be the only team that I look to get exposure to in this game, as the Lions are down there with the Texans, Jets, and Jaguars in the dregs of the NFL. As for the Browns, they will be returning star RB Nick Chubb, with week 10 value lock smash play D’Ernest Johnson backing him up since Hunt remains out. We are not getting a discount on Chubb and it is always tricky targeting an RB coming back from injury, but he is certainly in play for tournaments. As far as the pass-catchers go, DPJ (Donovan Peoples-Jones) has been putting together the best season of his career, although that is not saying much, while Jarvis Landry continues to struggle mightily. Landry is still the top option to pair up with Baker, although DPJ and tight ends Austin Hooper/David Njoku are also potential options that will not cost much in terms of salary, and also should come in at extremely low ownership.

C. To close things out for week 11 of the NFL, we finally have a game where we can look to get exposure to both sides, as the Bengals vs. the Raiders is an ideal game stack environment. Kicking things off with the Cinci side of the house, we have Joe Mixon as a popular RB option as he is priced just a hair below the top tier and I think he is in an excellent spot for Sunday. We can also get exposure to Ja’Marr Chase, Tee Higgins, and Tyler Boyd as a bit of a three-headed monster of wideouts. C.J. Uzomah has shown glimpses of a ceiling at the tight end position, but I would try to pick my spots and limit exposure to two of these four receivers in any single lineup. On the Raiders side of the football, we have another solid RB option in Josh Jacobs, who is significantly cheaper than Mixon and also in a better situation given his team is at home in a near pick ’em game. Hunter Renfrow is the clear top dog in this offense, and we can look to Waller although he has not been performing anywhere near the level that he was last season and his price has not come down quite enough to fully reflect that.

That will do it for this week’s article. If I am not taking down the million this Sunday, then I hope that it is a member of our WDS fam! Please make sure to check out our projection model by clicking here, and if you have any questions about GPP strategy or the top stacks for the week, I will be in our expert chat in Discord leading up to Sunday afternoon. Feel free to shoot me a DM or @ me in chat! Lastly, do not forget to subscribe to the WinDaily YouTube channel and follow me on Twitter: @AThr0ughZ!

Well we thought that week 8 was wild, but week 9 decided to say hold my beer. If you are still alive in survivor pools after last week then you probably either won or are very close to winning. We had a few double digit favorites forget to show up, and with my QB1 being Josh Allen last week, you can picture how my Sunday went. I am happy that we can turn the page to a new week here so let’s get to it. As usual I will be covering the top quarterbacks and players to stack with them for GPP contests across the NFL DFS industry, so any stack that I recommend is in play for both FanDuel and DraftKings. With that said, let’s get to the picks!

The QB’s

A. This week is the ultimate test of a “short memory for DFS”, as we have the option of going right back to the well with Josh Allen ($7,900 DK / $8,700 FD). Allen saw a price drop of $300 on both DraftKings and FanDuel after that abysmal performance in a dream matchup in week nine. The football schedule makers rewarded the Bills with yet another cakewalk of a matchup against the New York Jets for week 10 of the NFL. The Jets rank dead last in DVOA, 30th in DVOA against the pass, but somehow slot in at 10th in DvP against the quarterback position. I tend to put much more emphasis on the DVOA numbers than I do with DvP, as the position-specific data can be very noisy. At the onset of DFS, the masses would be fading Allen this week due to his performance last week, but these days the field is way too sharp to do something like that. For that reason, I definitely do not expect Allen to fly under the radar, but for a second week in a row he is clearly the top option at the QB position.

B. If looking to diversify off of Allen, look no further than Dak Prescott ($6,900 DK / $8,100 FD). Dak also draws one of the best matchups that a quarterback can ask for, and this time the DvP numbers back that up as well. The Atlanta Falcons have been a team that we target with opposing offenses for years now, and 2021 is certainly no different. The ATL ranks second to last, just behind the Jets, in total DVOA, while also coming in at 28th in DVOA against the pass and 24th in DvP against opposing signal callers. This game also has the lowest sack potential, which uses the strength of the falcons defensive line compared to the strength of the Cowboys offensive line. This game ranks 28th, or dead last, of the 28 games in week 10 of the NFL when it comes to sack potential. In other words, Dak is expected to have more time in the pocket and be pressured the fewest number of times out of any other quarterback taking the field this week. If you give Dak time with the weapons at his disposal in this Cowboys offense, all I can say is look out.

C. Oddly enough, the first two quarterbacks in this segment were two that I also recommended for week 9. Given that, I will look to go off the board a bit for my QB3 for NFL GPPs by targeting Taylor Heinicke ($5,400 DK / $6,900 FD). It is usually not a popular move to pay up at quarterback, so if you agree with that strategy then Heinicke is one of our top options. Taylor and the Washington Football Team offense will be taking on a formidable Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense, but this is a defense that forces the opponent to pass the ball. The Bucs rank fourth in the NFL in DVOA against the run, while “only” ranking 10th against the pass. Their overall DVOA is 9th, so make no mistake, this is not an easy matchup for Washington and that is why this is really a GPP-only option. The bright spot is that the Bucs only rank 26th in DvP against opposing quarterbacks, and that is due to the pass-heavy approach that they force other teams to adhere to. There is definitely a possibility that the WFT totally flop in this spot, but I expect the pass attempts to be plentiful which forces us to have some interest at these current price points across the DFS industry.

The Stacks

A. Even with questions surrounding the availability of one half of this backfield timeshare for the Bills, I still have little to no interest in rostering a Buffalo RB. As far as the receiving options go, Stefon Diggs continues to be our best option here, although he has obviously fallen far below expectations after his stellar season last year. Despite that, he is still able to hit a ceiling game on any given Sunday. Cole Beasley has strengthened his grip on the WR2 position for this team, however Emmanuel Sanders continues to be priced up higher across the DFS industry. Especially on DraftKings where a slot receiver like Beasley garners one full point per reception, as opposed to half a point on FanDuel, I will take the savings and fade Sanders. Maybe this is a bias that I have after rostering Sanders and being handed a 0, but Beasley seems like a much better option on FanDuel as well. Dawson Knox and Tommy Sweeney are not going to help you takedown a GPP unless they somehow grab two touchdowns, so I will keep my exposure to the two aforementioned wideouts. Even with Mike White back for the Jets, I will be avoiding this poorly coached team with a sub-18 point implied team total this week.

B. It is always more fun to write about a game where both sides of the football are intriguing as opposed to a game like the Bills vs. the Jets where only one team is viable. The Falcons and the Cowboys both have pieces that are extremely appealing from a DFS standpoint. Starting with the Boys, Ezekiel Elliott is a pass catching RB that is priced towards his all-time low as far as his DFS salary is concerned, and I do not expect him to be very popular so he is firmly in play. Michael Gallup will be returning to this pass catching squad that includes two stars in Amari Cooper and CeeDee Lamb. Gallup will push Cedrick Wilson into irrelevance, and could also take some targets away from both Cooper and Lamb. All three of these guys are in play on Sunday, and tight end Dalton Schultz is a great option at what is a notoriously weak position. On the Falcons side, we have RB/WR/Flex player Cordarrelle Patterson who literally seems to have a floor of upper teens every time that he takes the field. The wideout options are pretty slim, but Russell Gage is potentially viable despite serving up a 0 two weeks ago. Obviously the best option outside of Patterson is rookie tight end Kyle Pitts, whose price continues to rise but is still not high enough, especially for this matchup.

C. To close things out we have a game stack where the team opposing our quarterback has a plethora of more appealing options than our quarterback does. On the WFT side of the ball, Terry McLaurin is the de factor option to plug in to nearly all Taylor Heinicke lineups, but a more under the radar play is J.D. McKissic. JDM should be on the field a ton on Sunday given that Washington is expected to trail this game and lose by 9 points. He is a pass catching RB for a reasonable price tag that can really rack up the DK points with his low average depth of target (ADOT) receptions. Ricky Seals-Jones has been a DFS darling due to his cheap price tag over the last few weeks, and he is still available for quite the discount off of the big names at his position. The Buccaneers have quite a few question marks regarding player availability going into the weekend, but any of Mike Evans, Chris Godwin, Antonio Brown, or Cameron Brate/Rob Gronkowski are excellent options depending on who ends up taking the field.

That will do it for this week’s article. If I am not taking down the million this Sunday, then I hope that it is a member of our WDS fam! Please make sure to check out our projection model by clicking here, and if you have any questions about GPP strategy or the top stacks for the week, I will be in our expert chat in Discord leading up to Sunday afternoon. Feel free to shoot me a DM or @ me in chat! Lastly, do not forget to subscribe to the WinDaily YouTube channel and follow me on Twitter: @AThr0ughZ!

Well we thought that week 8 was wild, but week 9 decided to say hold my beer. If you are still alive in survivor pools after last week then you probably either won or are very close to winning. We had a few double digit favorites forget to show up, and with my QB1 being Josh Allen last week, you can picture how my Sunday went. I am happy that we can turn the page to a new week here so let’s get to it. As usual I will be covering the top quarterbacks and players to stack with them for GPP contests across the NFL DFS industry, so any stack that I recommend is in play for both FanDuel and DraftKings. With that said, let’s get to the picks!

The QB’s

A. This week is the ultimate test of a “short memory for DFS”, as we have the option of going right back to the well with Josh Allen ($7,900 DK / $8,700 FD). Allen saw a price drop of $300 on both DraftKings and FanDuel after that abysmal performance in a dream matchup in week nine. The football schedule makers rewarded the Bills with yet another cakewalk of a matchup against the New York Jets for week 10 of the NFL. The Jets rank dead last in DVOA, 30th in DVOA against the pass, but somehow slot in at 10th in DvP against the quarterback position. I tend to put much more emphasis on the DVOA numbers than I do with DvP, as the position-specific data can be very noisy. At the onset of DFS, the masses would be fading Allen this week due to his performance last week, but these days the field is way too sharp to do something like that. For that reason, I definitely do not expect Allen to fly under the radar, but for a second week in a row he is clearly the top option at the QB position.

B. If looking to diversify off of Allen, look no further than Dak Prescott ($6,900 DK / $8,100 FD). Dak also draws one of the best matchups that a quarterback can ask for, and this time the DvP numbers back that up as well. The Atlanta Falcons have been a team that we target with opposing offenses for years now, and 2021 is certainly no different. The ATL ranks second to last, just behind the Jets, in total DVOA, while also coming in at 28th in DVOA against the pass and 24th in DvP against opposing signal callers. This game also has the lowest sack potential, which uses the strength of the falcons defensive line compared to the strength of the Cowboys offensive line. This game ranks 28th, or dead last, of the 28 games in week 10 of the NFL when it comes to sack potential. In other words, Dak is expected to have more time in the pocket and be pressured the fewest number of times out of any other quarterback taking the field this week. If you give Dak time with the weapons at his disposal in this Cowboys offense, all I can say is look out.

C. Oddly enough, the first two quarterbacks in this segment were two that I also recommended for week 9. Given that, I will look to go off the board a bit for my QB3 for NFL GPPs by targeting Taylor Heinicke ($5,400 DK / $6,900 FD). It is usually not a popular move to pay up at quarterback, so if you agree with that strategy then Heinicke is one of our top options. Taylor and the Washington Football Team offense will be taking on a formidable Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense, but this is a defense that forces the opponent to pass the ball. The Bucs rank fourth in the NFL in DVOA against the run, while “only” ranking 10th against the pass. Their overall DVOA is 9th, so make no mistake, this is not an easy matchup for Washington and that is why this is really a GPP-only option. The bright spot is that the Bucs only rank 26th in DvP against opposing quarterbacks, and that is due to the pass-heavy approach that they force other teams to adhere to. There is definitely a possibility that the WFT totally flop in this spot, but I expect the pass attempts to be plentiful which forces us to have some interest at these current price points across the DFS industry.

The Stacks

A. Even with questions surrounding the availability of one half of this backfield timeshare for the Bills, I still have little to no interest in rostering a Buffalo RB. As far as the receiving options go, Stefon Diggs continues to be our best option here, although he has obviously fallen far below expectations after his stellar season last year. Despite that, he is still able to hit a ceiling game on any given Sunday. Cole Beasley has strengthened his grip on the WR2 position for this team, however Emmanuel Sanders continues to be priced up higher across the DFS industry. Especially on DraftKings where a slot receiver like Beasley garners one full point per reception, as opposed to half a point on FanDuel, I will take the savings and fade Sanders. Maybe this is a bias that I have after rostering Sanders and being handed a 0, but Beasley seems like a much better option on FanDuel as well. Dawson Knox and Tommy Sweeney are not going to help you takedown a GPP unless they somehow grab two touchdowns, so I will keep my exposure to the two aforementioned wideouts. Even with Mike White back for the Jets, I will be avoiding this poorly coached team with a sub-18 point implied team total this week.

B. It is always more fun to write about a game where both sides of the football are intriguing as opposed to a game like the Bills vs. the Jets where only one team is viable. The Falcons and the Cowboys both have pieces that are extremely appealing from a DFS standpoint. Starting with the Boys, Ezekiel Elliott is a pass catching RB that is priced towards his all-time low as far as his DFS salary is concerned, and I do not expect him to be very popular so he is firmly in play. Michael Gallup will be returning to this pass catching squad that includes two stars in Amari Cooper and CeeDee Lamb. Gallup will push Cedrick Wilson into irrelevance, and could also take some targets away from both Cooper and Lamb. All three of these guys are in play on Sunday, and tight end Dalton Schultz is a great option at what is a notoriously weak position. On the Falcons side, we have RB/WR/Flex player Cordarrelle Patterson who literally seems to have a floor of upper teens every time that he takes the field. The wideout options are pretty slim, but Russell Gage is potentially viable despite serving up a 0 two weeks ago. Obviously the best option outside of Patterson is rookie tight end Kyle Pitts, whose price continues to rise but is still not high enough, especially for this matchup.

C. To close things out we have a game stack where the team opposing our quarterback has a plethora of more appealing options than our quarterback does. On the WFT side of the ball, Terry McLaurin is the de factor option to plug in to nearly all Taylor Heinicke lineups, but a more under the radar play is J.D. McKissic. JDM should be on the field a ton on Sunday given that Washington is expected to trail this game and lose by 9 points. He is a pass catching RB for a reasonable price tag that can really rack up the DK points with his low average depth of target (ADOT) receptions. Ricky Seals-Jones has been a DFS darling due to his cheap price tag over the last few weeks, and he is still available for quite the discount off of the big names at his position. The Buccaneers have quite a few question marks regarding player availability going into the weekend, but any of Mike Evans, Chris Godwin, Antonio Brown, or Cameron Brate/Rob Gronkowski are excellent options depending on who ends up taking the field.

That will do it for this week’s article. If I am not taking down the million this Sunday, then I hope that it is a member of our WDS fam! Please make sure to check out our projection model by clicking here, and if you have any questions about GPP strategy or the top stacks for the week, I will be in our expert chat in Discord leading up to Sunday afternoon. Feel free to shoot me a DM or @ me in chat! Lastly, do not forget to subscribe to the WinDaily YouTube channel and follow me on Twitter: @AThr0ughZ!

Heading into week 9 of the NFL, we saw two teams that looked unstoppable in the Buccaneers and the Cardinals both lose in shocking fashion to two shorthanded teams. The New Orleans Saints were missing their quarterback for a good portion of the game and the Packers were missing their top three wideouts. This was yet another reminder that truly anything can happen in the NFL, as anyone that picked the Bengals in survivor pools can attest to. As usual I will be covering the top quarterbacks and players to stack with them for GPP contests across the NFL DFS industry, so any stack that I recommend is in play for both FanDuel and DraftKings. With that said, let’s get to the picks!

The QB’s

A. I will cut right to the chase and say that the clear cut top quarterback option this Sunday is Josh Allen ($8,200 DK / $9,000 FD). The best part is, he should not even be too chalky on DraftKings, although he should be as chalky as he was in week 8 or potentially even chalkier over on FanDuel. It is much easier to afford expensive quarterbacks on FanDuel, whereas the field generally tries to either pay down at QB or shoot for the mid-tier on DK. Allen will be facing statistically the worst defense in the NFL in general, and also the worst defense in the NFL against the pass, according to DVOA. The Jaguars rank the 23rd worst in the NFL against opposing quarterbacks, and they are 26th against both wide receivers and tight ends. In other words, this team just cannot defend the pass very well at all. I will let others try to fade Allen here due to either ownership or a potential blowout, but despite the 2 touchdown+ spread, if the Bills blow this team out then Josh Allen will have 3+ TDs and plenty of passing yards to his name. Let others play the ownership fade on FanDuel, and take advantage of potentially low ownership over on DK with their strict pricing and salary cap.

B. If looking to diversify off of Allen, look no further than Taysom Hill ($5,500 DK / $7,000 FD). Hill is clearly underpriced across the industry for his new role, I mean we are talking about a guy who scored nearly 19 points on DraftKings in a game that Winston played in! Hill is apt to get us the six points for a rushing touchdown as opposed to just the four points for a passing touchdown, but he can certainly do both. The Saints draw the hapless Atlanta Falcons in week 9 of the NFL, who rank 3rd to last in DVOA through 8 weeks. They also rank 29th in DVOA against the pass and 24th in defending opposing quarterbacks. On top of this, the Falcons rank 27th in adjusted sack rate, meaning the likelihood of Taysom facing pressure when he does throw the ball is extremely low. The Saints also have the 9th highest run potential grade of the week, based on the combination of their strong offensive line against the Falcons mediocre defensive line. Load up on Taysom and the Saints as they look to keep rolling after their extremely impressive win over the Bucs.

C. The final quarterback that I will be looking to get exposure to in tournaments on Sunday is Dak Prescott ($6,900 DK / $7,900 FD), who happened to practice in full on Thursday. Dak will be welcomed back from his short break with a juicy matchup against a beatable Denver Broncos defense that ranks 25th in DVOA. While this defense is stronger against the pass than they are against the run, we know that this team depends on Dak regardless, and they will be sure to put the ball in his hands frequently this weekend. The strange part of this is that despite ranking 21st in DVOA against the pass, the Broncos are 3rd in DvP against opposing quarterbacks. I will side with the defense against the pass numbers here as the Broncos have not faced many quarterbacks of Dak’s caliber. The Cowboys are another near double-digit favorite for Sunday and I expect Zeke and Dak to eat.

The Stacks

A. Whelp, I made the mistake of stacking Emmanuel Sanders with Josh Allen in week 8 and was rewarded with a nice goose egg in my lineup for my troubles. While we need to have a short memory in DFS, Sanders is still more expensive than Cole Beasley, who is clearly the safer option with a similar, or arguably even higher, floor/ceiling combination. I will not be returning to the Sanders well, but Beasley and Diggs are the two receiving options that I will look to in this matchup. Tommy Sweeney is a big red zone target for Allen, but outside of a touchdown catch he does not contribute much and really does not have the ceiling that we are looking for to take down GPPs. On the Jaguars side of the ball, we are left with Laviska Shenault and whatever is left of Marvin Jones. I will pass on the wideouts from this team, but Dan Arnold came through for us as DFS chalk in week 8 and saw the commensurate price bump. I still think that he is a fine option despite the higher price tag, as he will now carry a fraction of the ownership and he is clearly a solid target for rookie quarterback Trevor Lawrence.

B. Now this is a game that we can really load up on from both sides of the football. Despite this Saints team being hit with bad news from both the QB and WR positions last week, they are at least returning their backup QB Taysom Hill, even though there were rumors that he could retire due to concussions. The situation definitely gets a lot trickier with Taysom at the helm, because he could easily steal red zone touches and rushing touchdowns from Kamara. I will likely take a wait and see approach with Alvin, but I am also fine getting some exposure to him in the hopes that Taysom dumps the ball off to him frequently. Marquez Callaway and Tre’Quan Smith outline our top two options at wide receiver, and Smith will be happy to have Hill under center after his public falling out with Jameis Winston. Both of these two are fine flier options, but we should likely limit our exposure to just one of them per lineup. On the Falcons side, we have the continued resurgence of Cordarrelle Patterson as an offensive juggernaut for us to target, along with potentially a cheap and low-owned Mike Davis if we want to get weird. Russell Gage and UMass Amherst’s own Tajae Sharpe are two potential bring-backs, but the best pass-catching option for us is of course Kyle Pitts. This is easily my favorite game to stack up this week, despite the total sitting at only 42.

C. Closing things out with a game that has a much higher total of nearly 50, we have the Denver Broncos taking on the Dallas Cowboys. Dak will have all of his typical weapons healthy in this game, so we can look to Elliott, CeeDee Lamb, Amari Cooper, and Dalton Schultz. While I certainly would not look to target all 4 of these top options in any single lineup, I am definitely fine getting to two or three of them given the upside that this team has shown, and their juicy matchup at home. The Broncos will be returning Jerry Jeudy, and it will be interesting to see how his return impacts Cortland Sutton. Tim Patrick may take the largest hit in terms of his production, but all three are viable in GPPs on Sunday. We also have yet another viable TE bring-back in the form of Noah Fant, so this game is definitely right up there with the Falcons/Saints as a top option for week 9 of the NFL, but keep in mind this game will likely carry significant ownership.

That will do it for this week’s article. If I am not taking down the million this Sunday, then I hope that it is a member of our WDS fam! Please make sure to check out our projection model by clicking here, and if you have any questions about GPP strategy or the top stacks for the week, I will be in our expert chat in Discord leading up to Sunday afternoon. Feel free to shoot me a DM or @ me in chat! Lastly, do not forget to subscribe to the WinDaily YouTube channel and follow me on Twitter: @AThr0ughZ!

Heading into week 9 of the NFL, we saw two teams that looked unstoppable in the Buccaneers and the Cardinals both lose in shocking fashion to two shorthanded teams. The New Orleans Saints were missing their quarterback for a good portion of the game and the Packers were missing their top three wideouts. This was yet another reminder that truly anything can happen in the NFL, as anyone that picked the Bengals in survivor pools can attest to. As usual I will be covering the top quarterbacks and players to stack with them for GPP contests across the NFL DFS industry, so any stack that I recommend is in play for both FanDuel and DraftKings. With that said, let’s get to the picks!

The QB’s

A. I will cut right to the chase and say that the clear cut top quarterback option this Sunday is Josh Allen ($8,200 DK / $9,000 FD). The best part is, he should not even be too chalky on DraftKings, although he should be as chalky as he was in week 8 or potentially even chalkier over on FanDuel. It is much easier to afford expensive quarterbacks on FanDuel, whereas the field generally tries to either pay down at QB or shoot for the mid-tier on DK. Allen will be facing statistically the worst defense in the NFL in general, and also the worst defense in the NFL against the pass, according to DVOA. The Jaguars rank the 23rd worst in the NFL against opposing quarterbacks, and they are 26th against both wide receivers and tight ends. In other words, this team just cannot defend the pass very well at all. I will let others try to fade Allen here due to either ownership or a potential blowout, but despite the 2 touchdown+ spread, if the Bills blow this team out then Josh Allen will have 3+ TDs and plenty of passing yards to his name. Let others play the ownership fade on FanDuel, and take advantage of potentially low ownership over on DK with their strict pricing and salary cap.

B. If looking to diversify off of Allen, look no further than Taysom Hill ($5,500 DK / $7,000 FD). Hill is clearly underpriced across the industry for his new role, I mean we are talking about a guy who scored nearly 19 points on DraftKings in a game that Winston played in! Hill is apt to get us the six points for a rushing touchdown as opposed to just the four points for a passing touchdown, but he can certainly do both. The Saints draw the hapless Atlanta Falcons in week 9 of the NFL, who rank 3rd to last in DVOA through 8 weeks. They also rank 29th in DVOA against the pass and 24th in defending opposing quarterbacks. On top of this, the Falcons rank 27th in adjusted sack rate, meaning the likelihood of Taysom facing pressure when he does throw the ball is extremely low. The Saints also have the 9th highest run potential grade of the week, based on the combination of their strong offensive line against the Falcons mediocre defensive line. Load up on Taysom and the Saints as they look to keep rolling after their extremely impressive win over the Bucs.

C. The final quarterback that I will be looking to get exposure to in tournaments on Sunday is Dak Prescott ($6,900 DK / $7,900 FD), who happened to practice in full on Thursday. Dak will be welcomed back from his short break with a juicy matchup against a beatable Denver Broncos defense that ranks 25th in DVOA. While this defense is stronger against the pass than they are against the run, we know that this team depends on Dak regardless, and they will be sure to put the ball in his hands frequently this weekend. The strange part of this is that despite ranking 21st in DVOA against the pass, the Broncos are 3rd in DvP against opposing quarterbacks. I will side with the defense against the pass numbers here as the Broncos have not faced many quarterbacks of Dak’s caliber. The Cowboys are another near double-digit favorite for Sunday and I expect Zeke and Dak to eat.

The Stacks

A. Whelp, I made the mistake of stacking Emmanuel Sanders with Josh Allen in week 8 and was rewarded with a nice goose egg in my lineup for my troubles. While we need to have a short memory in DFS, Sanders is still more expensive than Cole Beasley, who is clearly the safer option with a similar, or arguably even higher, floor/ceiling combination. I will not be returning to the Sanders well, but Beasley and Diggs are the two receiving options that I will look to in this matchup. Tommy Sweeney is a big red zone target for Allen, but outside of a touchdown catch he does not contribute much and really does not have the ceiling that we are looking for to take down GPPs. On the Jaguars side of the ball, we are left with Laviska Shenault and whatever is left of Marvin Jones. I will pass on the wideouts from this team, but Dan Arnold came through for us as DFS chalk in week 8 and saw the commensurate price bump. I still think that he is a fine option despite the higher price tag, as he will now carry a fraction of the ownership and he is clearly a solid target for rookie quarterback Trevor Lawrence.

B. Now this is a game that we can really load up on from both sides of the football. Despite this Saints team being hit with bad news from both the QB and WR positions last week, they are at least returning their backup QB Taysom Hill, even though there were rumors that he could retire due to concussions. The situation definitely gets a lot trickier with Taysom at the helm, because he could easily steal red zone touches and rushing touchdowns from Kamara. I will likely take a wait and see approach with Alvin, but I am also fine getting some exposure to him in the hopes that Taysom dumps the ball off to him frequently. Marquez Callaway and Tre’Quan Smith outline our top two options at wide receiver, and Smith will be happy to have Hill under center after his public falling out with Jameis Winston. Both of these two are fine flier options, but we should likely limit our exposure to just one of them per lineup. On the Falcons side, we have the continued resurgence of Cordarrelle Patterson as an offensive juggernaut for us to target, along with potentially a cheap and low-owned Mike Davis if we want to get weird. Russell Gage and UMass Amherst’s own Tajae Sharpe are two potential bring-backs, but the best pass-catching option for us is of course Kyle Pitts. This is easily my favorite game to stack up this week, despite the total sitting at only 42.

C. Closing things out with a game that has a much higher total of nearly 50, we have the Denver Broncos taking on the Dallas Cowboys. Dak will have all of his typical weapons healthy in this game, so we can look to Elliott, CeeDee Lamb, Amari Cooper, and Dalton Schultz. While I certainly would not look to target all 4 of these top options in any single lineup, I am definitely fine getting to two or three of them given the upside that this team has shown, and their juicy matchup at home. The Broncos will be returning Jerry Jeudy, and it will be interesting to see how his return impacts Cortland Sutton. Tim Patrick may take the largest hit in terms of his production, but all three are viable in GPPs on Sunday. We also have yet another viable TE bring-back in the form of Noah Fant, so this game is definitely right up there with the Falcons/Saints as a top option for week 9 of the NFL, but keep in mind this game will likely carry significant ownership.

That will do it for this week’s article. If I am not taking down the million this Sunday, then I hope that it is a member of our WDS fam! Please make sure to check out our projection model by clicking here, and if you have any questions about GPP strategy or the top stacks for the week, I will be in our expert chat in Discord leading up to Sunday afternoon. Feel free to shoot me a DM or @ me in chat! Lastly, do not forget to subscribe to the WinDaily YouTube channel and follow me on Twitter: @AThr0ughZ!

Heading into week 8 of the NFL it seems as though the league is more wide open that it has ever been. The Chiefs just got blown out by the Titans and look absolutely lost on the football field. The only argument against this is that the Bucs look just as good as they did during their super bowl season last year, but outside of them there are a lot of divisions up for grabs. As usual I will be covering the top quarterbacks and players to stack with them for GPP contests across the NFL DFS industry, so any stack that I recommend is in play for both FanDuel and DraftKings. With that said, let’s get to the picks!

The QB’s

A. The Jacksonville Jaguars are coming off of a bye this week, as are quite a few teams across the NFL given that week 7 was apparently the week of the byes. With the Urban Meyer narrative long in the rearview mirror and long since overshadowed by Jon Gruden, Trevor Lawrence ($5,500 DK / $6,700 FD) and this Jags team should now be fully focused on their opponent. Speaking of their opponent, they will be playing the Seattle Seahawks, who are on the opposite of a bye as they are dealt a short week given that they just played a pretty pathetic game against the Saints on Monday. This Seahawks teamed looked pretty horrendous, and the only reason that they were able to hold the Saints to 13 points was because they are the Saints, and the weather was detrimental to offensive production. Regardless of weather, the Seahawks rank 21st and 25th in total DVOA and DVOA against the pass, respectively, while ranking 16th in defense against the quarterback position. Lawrence has looked very rough this season, and this is definitely a GPP-only play, but if there is ever a breakout spot for a young rookie #1 overall pick, this is it.

B. Another quarterback that I expect to be extremely low-owned is Sam Darnold ($5,600 DK / $7,300 FD). As you can see, my plan is to continue to look to save money at the quarterback position in the majority of my lineups this weekend. What a rollercoaster of a ride it has been for Sam, as he has gone from being a total and complete bust in the NFL with the Jets, to reaching his potential and flourishing with the Panthers as they started 3-0, and now back down to rock bottom as Carolina has dropped four games in a row. Let’s be honest though, the Panthers beat the Texans and Jets as two of their first three games so is that really at all impressive? Regardless of your thoughts on Darnold, he did have three clear ceiling games to show us that he does possess tournament-winning upside at this price and with this team. In a matchup against an Atlanta Falcons team that seemingly ranks in the bottom of the entire NFL in most defensive metrics each season, I expect Carolina to put the ball in Sam’s hands early and often to give him one final chance to salvage his career.

C. Strangely enough, I will be looking to target the exact same QB3 this weekend as I did in week 6 for my previous article, and that QB is Joe Burrow ($7,100 DK / $7,800 FD). While his prices are not necessarily as low as they were the last time that I looked to target him, they are still at reasonable levels given his production so far this season. As my New England Patriots showed on Sunday, this Jets defense and team in general is pretty laughable. The Pats made this team look like they belong in college, and I expect Joe and the Bengals to do the same. Ranking 29th in total DVOA, 28th in DVOA against the pass, and 26th in adjusted line yards, the Jets defense is truly subpar on all accounts. The line yards are of particular importance, given that this O-line is not much improved from the one that allowed opposing defenses to torment Burrow his rookie season that ultimately resulted in a devastating leg injury. JB should continue to show glimpses of his greatness at LSU this weekend and I want to be along for the ride.

The Stacks

A. There is the narrative going around the DFS industry lately that the field is forcing bring-backs when they do not need one and while I think that that is true in some cases, I will still be highlighting our options when a bring-back does make sense. If I do not feel the need to, I will make that clear, as is usually the case with teams like the Lions or the Texans. Anyway, looking at the Jaguars, we have an interesting situation as they just lost their WR1 DJ Chark to a fractured left ankle. This leaves us with week 1 (and honestly 2 as well) darling Marvin Jones, who has seen his price rise over the weeks as expected. My favorite option from this group though is Laviska Shenault, who is priced to move across the DFS industry. Jamal Agnew may get some buzz, but I will likely keep any Jags stacks to just these two pass catchers, with a potential Dan Arnold sprinkle given how weak the TE position is. Typically I would look to run a bring back with the Seahawks and DK Metcalf, Tyler Lockett, or even Gerald Everett, but that is not the case this week. With a short week, a recent and absolutely disgraceful 10 point performance, and Geno Smith attempting to play quarterback, I am totally off of this team.

B. Sam Darnold and the Panthers present us another interesting situation, as we are able to target the running back in our stacks since Chuba Hubbard catches passes out of the backfield from Darnold. We can also of course look to alpha wideout DJ Moore, who has shown us GPP takedown upside on a few occasions this season. Robby Anderson appears to have had a blip on the radar during previous seasons as he has totally fallen off a cliff in 2021. This is common in the NFL as it is so difficult to stay consistently productive. Ian Thomas is another cheap TE punt that we can look to if we are desperate, but we should not even expect double digit fantasy points necessarily. For the Falcons side of the ball, Calvin Ridley will be extremely chalky on DraftKings at a price point of $6,600, but he and Kyle Pitts are the clear-cut options for a bring-back in a game where I think we do need to target both sides to win tournaments.

C. To close things out for week 8 of the NFL, the two Joes (Burrow/Mixon) will be teaming up with Burrow’s former LSU teammate and breakout rookie of the year candidate, Ja’Marr Chase, against the hapless New York Jets. The GD Jets are so bad, that we can not only look to these two top-tier options, but also the WR2 and WR3 of this team, Tee Higgins and Tyler Boyd. Tight end CJ Uzomah has also been extremely productive at times and has looked like a top 10 TE in the league this season. With someone named Mike White that I have honestly never heard of taking over the reigns for the pathetic joke of an NFL franchise that is the New York Jets, you can bet every penny you have that this is a spot where I will avoid including a bring-back. Look for the Bengals to keep rolling because if the Pats hung 50+ on this team, so can Joe and Ja’Marr.

That will do it for this week’s article. If I am not taking down the million this Sunday, then I hope that it is a member of our WDS fam! Please make sure to check out our projection model by clicking here, and if you have any questions about GPP strategy or the top stacks for the week, I will be in our expert chat in Discord leading up to Sunday afternoon. Feel free to shoot me a DM or @ me in chat! Lastly, do not forget to subscribe to the WinDaily YouTube channel and follow me on Twitter: @AThr0ughZ!

Heading into week 8 of the NFL it seems as though the league is more wide open that it has ever been. The Chiefs just got blown out by the Titans and look absolutely lost on the football field. The only argument against this is that the Bucs look just as good as they did during their super bowl season last year, but outside of them there are a lot of divisions up for grabs. As usual I will be covering the top quarterbacks and players to stack with them for GPP contests across the NFL DFS industry, so any stack that I recommend is in play for both FanDuel and DraftKings. With that said, let’s get to the picks!

The QB’s

A. The Jacksonville Jaguars are coming off of a bye this week, as are quite a few teams across the NFL given that week 7 was apparently the week of the byes. With the Urban Meyer narrative long in the rearview mirror and long since overshadowed by Jon Gruden, Trevor Lawrence ($5,500 DK / $6,700 FD) and this Jags team should now be fully focused on their opponent. Speaking of their opponent, they will be playing the Seattle Seahawks, who are on the opposite of a bye as they are dealt a short week given that they just played a pretty pathetic game against the Saints on Monday. This Seahawks teamed looked pretty horrendous, and the only reason that they were able to hold the Saints to 13 points was because they are the Saints, and the weather was detrimental to offensive production. Regardless of weather, the Seahawks rank 21st and 25th in total DVOA and DVOA against the pass, respectively, while ranking 16th in defense against the quarterback position. Lawrence has looked very rough this season, and this is definitely a GPP-only play, but if there is ever a breakout spot for a young rookie #1 overall pick, this is it.

B. Another quarterback that I expect to be extremely low-owned is Sam Darnold ($5,600 DK / $7,300 FD). As you can see, my plan is to continue to look to save money at the quarterback position in the majority of my lineups this weekend. What a rollercoaster of a ride it has been for Sam, as he has gone from being a total and complete bust in the NFL with the Jets, to reaching his potential and flourishing with the Panthers as they started 3-0, and now back down to rock bottom as Carolina has dropped four games in a row. Let’s be honest though, the Panthers beat the Texans and Jets as two of their first three games so is that really at all impressive? Regardless of your thoughts on Darnold, he did have three clear ceiling games to show us that he does possess tournament-winning upside at this price and with this team. In a matchup against an Atlanta Falcons team that seemingly ranks in the bottom of the entire NFL in most defensive metrics each season, I expect Carolina to put the ball in Sam’s hands early and often to give him one final chance to salvage his career.

C. Strangely enough, I will be looking to target the exact same QB3 this weekend as I did in week 6 for my previous article, and that QB is Joe Burrow ($7,100 DK / $7,800 FD). While his prices are not necessarily as low as they were the last time that I looked to target him, they are still at reasonable levels given his production so far this season. As my New England Patriots showed on Sunday, this Jets defense and team in general is pretty laughable. The Pats made this team look like they belong in college, and I expect Joe and the Bengals to do the same. Ranking 29th in total DVOA, 28th in DVOA against the pass, and 26th in adjusted line yards, the Jets defense is truly subpar on all accounts. The line yards are of particular importance, given that this O-line is not much improved from the one that allowed opposing defenses to torment Burrow his rookie season that ultimately resulted in a devastating leg injury. JB should continue to show glimpses of his greatness at LSU this weekend and I want to be along for the ride.

The Stacks

A. There is the narrative going around the DFS industry lately that the field is forcing bring-backs when they do not need one and while I think that that is true in some cases, I will still be highlighting our options when a bring-back does make sense. If I do not feel the need to, I will make that clear, as is usually the case with teams like the Lions or the Texans. Anyway, looking at the Jaguars, we have an interesting situation as they just lost their WR1 DJ Chark to a fractured left ankle. This leaves us with week 1 (and honestly 2 as well) darling Marvin Jones, who has seen his price rise over the weeks as expected. My favorite option from this group though is Laviska Shenault, who is priced to move across the DFS industry. Jamal Agnew may get some buzz, but I will likely keep any Jags stacks to just these two pass catchers, with a potential Dan Arnold sprinkle given how weak the TE position is. Typically I would look to run a bring back with the Seahawks and DK Metcalf, Tyler Lockett, or even Gerald Everett, but that is not the case this week. With a short week, a recent and absolutely disgraceful 10 point performance, and Geno Smith attempting to play quarterback, I am totally off of this team.

B. Sam Darnold and the Panthers present us another interesting situation, as we are able to target the running back in our stacks since Chuba Hubbard catches passes out of the backfield from Darnold. We can also of course look to alpha wideout DJ Moore, who has shown us GPP takedown upside on a few occasions this season. Robby Anderson appears to have had a blip on the radar during previous seasons as he has totally fallen off a cliff in 2021. This is common in the NFL as it is so difficult to stay consistently productive. Ian Thomas is another cheap TE punt that we can look to if we are desperate, but we should not even expect double digit fantasy points necessarily. For the Falcons side of the ball, Calvin Ridley will be extremely chalky on DraftKings at a price point of $6,600, but he and Kyle Pitts are the clear-cut options for a bring-back in a game where I think we do need to target both sides to win tournaments.

C. To close things out for week 8 of the NFL, the two Joes (Burrow/Mixon) will be teaming up with Burrow’s former LSU teammate and breakout rookie of the year candidate, Ja’Marr Chase, against the hapless New York Jets. The GD Jets are so bad, that we can not only look to these two top-tier options, but also the WR2 and WR3 of this team, Tee Higgins and Tyler Boyd. Tight end CJ Uzomah has also been extremely productive at times and has looked like a top 10 TE in the league this season. With someone named Mike White that I have honestly never heard of taking over the reigns for the pathetic joke of an NFL franchise that is the New York Jets, you can bet every penny you have that this is a spot where I will avoid including a bring-back. Look for the Bengals to keep rolling because if the Pats hung 50+ on this team, so can Joe and Ja’Marr.

That will do it for this week’s article. If I am not taking down the million this Sunday, then I hope that it is a member of our WDS fam! Please make sure to check out our projection model by clicking here, and if you have any questions about GPP strategy or the top stacks for the week, I will be in our expert chat in Discord leading up to Sunday afternoon. Feel free to shoot me a DM or @ me in chat! Lastly, do not forget to subscribe to the WinDaily YouTube channel and follow me on Twitter: @AThr0ughZ!

I know that we say this every single week, but it truly is hard to believe that we have already arrived at week 6 of the NFL. While we are still not approaching the halfway point of this new longer season, we are rapidly approaching the halfway point of the season-long fantasy football season. This is not a season long article though, so let’s focus on our top targets for DFS contests this weekend. As usual I will be covering the top quarterbacks and players to stack with them for GPP contests across the NFL DFS industry, so any stack that I recommend is in play for both FanDuel and DraftKings. With that said, let’s get to the picks!

The QB’s

A. The Kansas City Chiefs are shockingly 2-3 after losses to the Ravens, Chargers, and most recently a blowout loss to the Bills. The narrative going into this season was the the Chiefs cover at a high rate early in the season and then fail to cover later in the season as they coast towards the playoffs and keep the playbook close to their chest. Clearly, that is not accurate, which is why we should always be careful following a narrative and really never make bets based on them. What we should do, however, is roster Patrick Mahomes ($8,300 DK / $9,000 FD) in our DFS lineups this Sunday. While Mahomes is far from “on sale”, his ownership has been very low this season due almost exclusively to his prohibitive price tag compared to other signal callers. This is the week to pay that price when the DFS industry and football world as a whole is way down on this team. To add to that, the Chiefs draw an absolute dream matchup against a Washington Football Team defense that is ranked 28th in DVOA and 29th at defending the pass. Worst of all, they are ranked dead last in defense against opposing quarterbacks, which sounds like a 400+ passing yard and 3+ TD game for Mr. Mahomes to me.

B. The second quarterback that I will be looking to target in GPPs for week 6 of the NFL is Matthew Stafford ($6,700 DK / $7,900 FD). Stafford and the Rams draw a matchup against the hapless New York Giants who just seem to be awful year after year, very similar to the other team in New York. It truly does not get much worse as a sports fan than New York football. The G-men are ranked 26th in DVOA, 25th against the QB position and 22nd against the pass. In other words, any way that you slice it this team is not very adept at defending opposing passing attacks. The Rams are listed as massive double digit favorites in this game, but if this game turns into a blowout then we should expect at least 2-3 touchdowns provided by the arm of Matt Stafford. To make matters worse, the Giants are the worst team on the main slate in terms of adjusted sack rate, which combines with the Rams offensive line to give Stafford the lowest chance of being pressured or sacked of all quarterbacks in the 10 game main slate. Lock and load Stafford in all formats if you do not have the salary cap to get up to Patrick from State Farm.

C. With two safe options at QB1 and QB2 this week, I will be taking a shot with my QB3 and looking to target Joe Burrow ($6,300 DK / $7,400 FD). I have yet to roster Burrow through the first five weeks of the season, but the narrative that he is nowhere near at the level that he was at prior to his gruesome injury has still made its way into my head. This looks to be accurate when it comes to ceiling, as JB has yet to eclipse the 25 fantasy point mark on DraftKings, but he has had a pretty solid floor with the exception of his brutal performance against the Bears in week 2. Where he has really struggled is with turning the ball over, currently sporting a 11/6 TD/interception ratio which is pretty awful. The good news is, he hit a season high in both attempts (38) and completions (26) last week against the Packers, so we may see him beginning to come out of his well-deserved injury shell. I cannot think of a better “Joe is back” smash matchup than the one that the Bengals draw in week 6 of the NFL, the Detroit Lions. It is no secret that the Lions are the bottom of the barrel in the NFL on both sides of the ball, so I will save you the metric overview and just say that I love Burrow as a low-owned GPP option this Sunday.

The Stacks

A. With the Chiefs starting running back Clyde Edwards-Helaire being placed on IR, many may be looking to get some Darrel Williams exposure this week, which is certainly an acceptable proposition. However, I am of the belief that the Chiefs will be throwing even more than they do on a typical Sunday this weekend. I do not think that anyone could have anticipated how dreadfully awful this Chiefs defense has been, but here we are in week 6 of the NFL with the Chiefs surrendering nearly 30 points per game to opposing offenses. Andy Reid is well aware that his best chance to win is by putting the ball in the hands of Patrick Mahomes as much as possible, which will result in extremely high ceilings and floors for the likes of Travis Kelce and Tyreke Hill. If you are feeling frisky and want to target fringe pass catchers like Hardman or Robinson feel free, but I will likely stick to the two studs on both this side of the ball and the other side. Speaking of the other side, the Washington Football Team has two clear cut receiving options that also happen to be at the WR and the TE position. Of course I am referencing Terry McLaurin and Ricky Seals-Jones, now that Logan Thomas is expected to be out for another 3-4 weeks. You can look to bring the Chiefs stack back with Antonio Gibson, but as with any Chiefs stack, you will need to find as many places to save salary as possible.

B. The Cooper Kupp vs. Bobby Trees debate is one as old as time, and while Kupp has certainly taken the early lead, teams tend to then focus more on defending the brighter star, which in turn leaves more opportunity for the other play maker. We saw Woods come to life a bit last week, and these two still have drastically different prices which have me leaning towards Woods much more often. Darrell Henderson is another excellent option this week and I love pairing him with one of either Woods or Kupp to go along with our Stafford lineups. Not to be forgotten is tight end Tyler Higbee, who is always a big red zone target for Stafford to turn to. For the G-Men, Kadarius Toney absolutely smashed in week five, but DraftKings was quick to shoot his price up into the mid-tier of wideouts. At 5.6K, I am more likely to look to the returning Sterling Shepard as an option and save the $600 salary. Regardless, do not get carried away with this team as they are listed as one of the largest underdogs of the entire week.

C. To close things out we will double click into the Cincinnati Bengals vs. the Detroit Lions matchup. The Lions lost breakout wide receiver Quintez Cephus to a broken collarbone last week, further depleting the already extremely slim options that former Rams quarterback Jared Goff has to deal with. I will continue to avoid any Lions receiving options, but T.J. Hockenson and D’Andre Swift are two solid options that have been gathering quite a bit of steam around the industry early this week. If either of them get too chalky, I am more than fine running Bengals stacks without a bring-back, because this Lions squad is a threat to put up a goose egg on the scoreboard any given week. Switching over to the main side of this game that we want to target, it appears that Mixon will play although he is banged up to a certain extent. I will be focusing my attention on the three favorite passing targets of QB Joe Burrow, which are Ja’Marr Chase, Tee Higgins, and Tyler Boyd. While Chase’s price and ownership are starting to really creep up, Higgins and Boyd are still at more than reasonable levels and therefore make for the better options in GPPs. Chase is definitely the optimal choice here however, so we can plug him into our stacks and look to differentiate elsewhere as well.

That will do it for this week’s article. If I am not taking down the million this Sunday, then I hope that it is a member of our WDS fam! Please make sure to check out our projection model by clicking here, and if you have any questions about GPP strategy or the top stacks for the week, I will be in our expert chat in Discord leading up to Sunday afternoon. Feel free to shoot me a DM or @ me in chat! Lastly, do not forget to subscribe to the WinDaily YouTube channel and follow me on Twitter: @AThr0ughZ!

I know that we say this every single week, but it truly is hard to believe that we have already arrived at week 6 of the NFL. While we are still not approaching the halfway point of this new longer season, we are rapidly approaching the halfway point of the season-long fantasy football season. This is not a season long article though, so let’s focus on our top targets for DFS contests this weekend. As usual I will be covering the top quarterbacks and players to stack with them for GPP contests across the NFL DFS industry, so any stack that I recommend is in play for both FanDuel and DraftKings. With that said, let’s get to the picks!

The QB’s

A. The Kansas City Chiefs are shockingly 2-3 after losses to the Ravens, Chargers, and most recently a blowout loss to the Bills. The narrative going into this season was the the Chiefs cover at a high rate early in the season and then fail to cover later in the season as they coast towards the playoffs and keep the playbook close to their chest. Clearly, that is not accurate, which is why we should always be careful following a narrative and really never make bets based on them. What we should do, however, is roster Patrick Mahomes ($8,300 DK / $9,000 FD) in our DFS lineups this Sunday. While Mahomes is far from “on sale”, his ownership has been very low this season due almost exclusively to his prohibitive price tag compared to other signal callers. This is the week to pay that price when the DFS industry and football world as a whole is way down on this team. To add to that, the Chiefs draw an absolute dream matchup against a Washington Football Team defense that is ranked 28th in DVOA and 29th at defending the pass. Worst of all, they are ranked dead last in defense against opposing quarterbacks, which sounds like a 400+ passing yard and 3+ TD game for Mr. Mahomes to me.

B. The second quarterback that I will be looking to target in GPPs for week 6 of the NFL is Matthew Stafford ($6,700 DK / $7,900 FD). Stafford and the Rams draw a matchup against the hapless New York Giants who just seem to be awful year after year, very similar to the other team in New York. It truly does not get much worse as a sports fan than New York football. The G-men are ranked 26th in DVOA, 25th against the QB position and 22nd against the pass. In other words, any way that you slice it this team is not very adept at defending opposing passing attacks. The Rams are listed as massive double digit favorites in this game, but if this game turns into a blowout then we should expect at least 2-3 touchdowns provided by the arm of Matt Stafford. To make matters worse, the Giants are the worst team on the main slate in terms of adjusted sack rate, which combines with the Rams offensive line to give Stafford the lowest chance of being pressured or sacked of all quarterbacks in the 10 game main slate. Lock and load Stafford in all formats if you do not have the salary cap to get up to Patrick from State Farm.

C. With two safe options at QB1 and QB2 this week, I will be taking a shot with my QB3 and looking to target Joe Burrow ($6,300 DK / $7,400 FD). I have yet to roster Burrow through the first five weeks of the season, but the narrative that he is nowhere near at the level that he was at prior to his gruesome injury has still made its way into my head. This looks to be accurate when it comes to ceiling, as JB has yet to eclipse the 25 fantasy point mark on DraftKings, but he has had a pretty solid floor with the exception of his brutal performance against the Bears in week 2. Where he has really struggled is with turning the ball over, currently sporting a 11/6 TD/interception ratio which is pretty awful. The good news is, he hit a season high in both attempts (38) and completions (26) last week against the Packers, so we may see him beginning to come out of his well-deserved injury shell. I cannot think of a better “Joe is back” smash matchup than the one that the Bengals draw in week 6 of the NFL, the Detroit Lions. It is no secret that the Lions are the bottom of the barrel in the NFL on both sides of the ball, so I will save you the metric overview and just say that I love Burrow as a low-owned GPP option this Sunday.

The Stacks

A. With the Chiefs starting running back Clyde Edwards-Helaire being placed on IR, many may be looking to get some Darrel Williams exposure this week, which is certainly an acceptable proposition. However, I am of the belief that the Chiefs will be throwing even more than they do on a typical Sunday this weekend. I do not think that anyone could have anticipated how dreadfully awful this Chiefs defense has been, but here we are in week 6 of the NFL with the Chiefs surrendering nearly 30 points per game to opposing offenses. Andy Reid is well aware that his best chance to win is by putting the ball in the hands of Patrick Mahomes as much as possible, which will result in extremely high ceilings and floors for the likes of Travis Kelce and Tyreke Hill. If you are feeling frisky and want to target fringe pass catchers like Hardman or Robinson feel free, but I will likely stick to the two studs on both this side of the ball and the other side. Speaking of the other side, the Washington Football Team has two clear cut receiving options that also happen to be at the WR and the TE position. Of course I am referencing Terry McLaurin and Ricky Seals-Jones, now that Logan Thomas is expected to be out for another 3-4 weeks. You can look to bring the Chiefs stack back with Antonio Gibson, but as with any Chiefs stack, you will need to find as many places to save salary as possible.

B. The Cooper Kupp vs. Bobby Trees debate is one as old as time, and while Kupp has certainly taken the early lead, teams tend to then focus more on defending the brighter star, which in turn leaves more opportunity for the other play maker. We saw Woods come to life a bit last week, and these two still have drastically different prices which have me leaning towards Woods much more often. Darrell Henderson is another excellent option this week and I love pairing him with one of either Woods or Kupp to go along with our Stafford lineups. Not to be forgotten is tight end Tyler Higbee, who is always a big red zone target for Stafford to turn to. For the G-Men, Kadarius Toney absolutely smashed in week five, but DraftKings was quick to shoot his price up into the mid-tier of wideouts. At 5.6K, I am more likely to look to the returning Sterling Shepard as an option and save the $600 salary. Regardless, do not get carried away with this team as they are listed as one of the largest underdogs of the entire week.

C. To close things out we will double click into the Cincinnati Bengals vs. the Detroit Lions matchup. The Lions lost breakout wide receiver Quintez Cephus to a broken collarbone last week, further depleting the already extremely slim options that former Rams quarterback Jared Goff has to deal with. I will continue to avoid any Lions receiving options, but T.J. Hockenson and D’Andre Swift are two solid options that have been gathering quite a bit of steam around the industry early this week. If either of them get too chalky, I am more than fine running Bengals stacks without a bring-back, because this Lions squad is a threat to put up a goose egg on the scoreboard any given week. Switching over to the main side of this game that we want to target, it appears that Mixon will play although he is banged up to a certain extent. I will be focusing my attention on the three favorite passing targets of QB Joe Burrow, which are Ja’Marr Chase, Tee Higgins, and Tyler Boyd. While Chase’s price and ownership are starting to really creep up, Higgins and Boyd are still at more than reasonable levels and therefore make for the better options in GPPs. Chase is definitely the optimal choice here however, so we can plug him into our stacks and look to differentiate elsewhere as well.

That will do it for this week’s article. If I am not taking down the million this Sunday, then I hope that it is a member of our WDS fam! Please make sure to check out our projection model by clicking here, and if you have any questions about GPP strategy or the top stacks for the week, I will be in our expert chat in Discord leading up to Sunday afternoon. Feel free to shoot me a DM or @ me in chat! Lastly, do not forget to subscribe to the WinDaily YouTube channel and follow me on Twitter: @AThr0ughZ!