Tag:

Washington Wizards

NBA DFS: Ghost’s Gems 12/12

DFSGhost 2 years ago

written by DFSGhost

There are plenty of elite matchups on tonight’s NBA slate. However, the majority of the action resides in the latter part of the schedule. It’s a Mojito Monday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

Be sure to use our proprietary NBA projections and cheat sheet to build your lineups as the news rolls in. Moreover, join the conversation in the Win Daily Discord to get the insight you need from both subscribers and staff.

Brooklyn Nets @ Washington Wizards (+5.5)

Brooklyn Nets (-5.5)

Back to back calls on Kyrie Irving has paid off in tournaments. On tonight’s NBA slate, he’s in another good spot. Over his last ten appearances, Kyrie has scored 20 or more in nine of ten. Moreover, he has averaged 25.2/4.4/4.5 on 51.3% shooting. With the absence of Royce O’Neale from the lineup, Kyrie becomes the primary three-point shooter as well. Washington currently ranks 28th in the league in three-point percentage allowed on 12.6 made attempts allowed per game. This play is for tournaments only, as I much rather get exposure to the next two games.

Washington Wizards (+5.5)

Exposure to the Wizards offense on tonight’s NBA slate depends on the availability of Bradley Beal. After leaving a game against the Lakers over a week ago, Beal has since missed three games and is questionable to play tonight. Should he be ruled out again, the trio of Kristaps Porzingis, Kyle Kuzma, and Deni Avdija will be in for another night of big minutes. The Wizards have been playing on an awfully short rotation this past week, and tonight may be the same case. Should Beal make his return, I’ll fade this game entirely to prioritize the next two.

Minnesota Timberwolves @ Portland Trail Blazers (-4.5)

Minnesota Timberwolves (+4.5)

Karl-Anthomy Towns remains out and there is a lot to like about the trio of Edwards, Gobert, and Russell. While Anthony Edwards has the highest ceiling of the three, his point/dollar upside isn’t ideal in this matchup. Rather, Gobert will be in for a big night against Jusuf Nurkic. Portland currently ranks 24th in the NBA in defensive rating. However, they have been exposed in the paint. Portland struggles mightily on both ends of the floor, ranking 24th in the league against true centers. Moreover, they are 22nd in points allowed in the paint per game. Gobert certainly won’t lead the team in touches, but his efficiency around the rim will be on display. Many shot takers in this game gives Gobert plenty of rebounding opportunity.

Portland Trail Blazers (-4.5)

If you are not fond of the studs in the next game, you should be fond of Damian Lillard in an elite game environment. Despite the acquisition of Rudy Gobert, Minnesota ranks 19th in the NBA in defensive rating. Moreover, they rank 27th against primary ball handlers. If that wasn’t enough for Lillard, Minnesota ranks 29th in three-point percentage allowed and 27th in three-pointers allowed per game. Over his last two games, Lillard has posted 30 or more points each time. He has averaged 38 points per game, chipping in 10 assists per night during that span as well. The shooting efficiency can always be an issue, but Lillard has attempted a whopping 28 three-pointers over his last two.

Boston Celtics @ Los Angeles Clippers (+3.5)

Boston Celtics (-3.5)

In the absence of both Al Horford and Robert Williams III, the trio of Tatum, Brown, and Smart will be tasked with heavy minutes tonight. First, Tatum has the highest ceiling of the three, but is tough to fit in builds on this NBA slate. If you can, do so with confidence. Second, Brown has been one of the best shooting guards in the league this season. A model of consistency, Brown has scored 20 or more points in 23 of 25 appearances this season. Moreover, he is second on the team in usage rate at 31.2% while averaging 26.8/7.2/3.6 on 50.1% shooting. Lastly, Smart has a safe floor but low ceiling. He is in a great spot as a ball handler versus the Clippers and is easier to fit in midrange builds. Moreover, Smart has five or more assists in his last twelve games, averaging 13.7/3.3/8.2 on 49.2% shooting during that span.

Los Angeles Clippers (+3.5)

It might be time to finally deploy Kawhi Leonard with confidence on an NBA slate. This certainly won’t come with any risk, given that he has been in and out of the lineup since returning from a torn ACL. However, he has played 30 minutes in back-to-back appearances. Moreover, with Boston being without both Al Horford and Robert Williams III, a smaller Celtics lineup may force the Clippers to do the same, resulting in more rebounding opportunity for Leonard. If you’re uncertain of Leonard, then Paul George is one of the better targets in a thin Clippers offense. PG13 has averaged 32.5/7.5/6.5 on 48.9% shooting in his last two games and will be relied upon heavily tonight.

Honorable Mentions:

Miami Heat @ Indiana Pacers (+2.5)
Atlanta Hawks @ Memphis Grizzlies (-6.5)

You can find me on Twitter @BetsByGhost and in the Win Daily Discord

2 years ago 0 comments

NBA DFS: Ghost’s Gems 12/09

DFSGhost 2 years ago

written by DFSGhost

Tonight’s NBA slate is one of the most interesting ones of the season. There are plenty of studs going head to head, while many will fly under the radar despite elite performances lately. It’s a Fajita Friday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

Many key players are currently listed as questionable. Should they sit out, the slate can be altered in a drastic way. Thus, be sure to use our proprietary NBA projections and cheat sheet to build your lineups as the news rolls in. Moreover, join the conversation in the Win Daily Discord to get the insight you need from both subscribers and staff.

Washington Wizards @ Indiana Pacers (-5.5)

Washington Wizards (+5.5)

Kristaps Porzingis will be completely overlooked on this NBA slate. However, he shouldn’t be. Over his last five games, KP has been on an absolute tear. The Wizards big man has averaged 28.8/10.4/2.6 on 50% shooting during that span, while scoring 20 or more points in every appearance. Moreover, he leads the team with a 30.3% usage rate. A tough matchup looms against Myles Turner, but he is listed as questionable. Should he miss this game, Porzingis is set to dominate the paint on both ends of the court. However, Porzingis himself is also questionable, making Kyle Kuzma one of the most popular plays on the slate if the former sits out.

Indiana Pacers (-5.5)

Without hesitation, Tyrese Haliburton is an elite play on this NBA slate. Similarly to Kristaps Porzingis, Haliburton will be overlooked considering the number of studs on this slate. Over his last 14 games, Haliburton has posted double digit assists in 12 appearances with ten double-doubles. However, I also want to highlight Buddy Hield in the midrange of the pricing grid. Over his last three appearances, Hield has averaged 21.7/7.7/3 on 45.1% shooting, including 45.5% from deep. The Wizards currently rank 24th in the NBA in three-point percentage allowed on over 12 makes allowed per night.

Atlanta Hawks @ Brooklyn Nets (-6.5)

Atlanta Hawks (+6.5)

Despite the letdown at the Garden, Trae Young will be one of the most popular studs on this NBA slate. Not only is John Collins still out, but Dejounte Murray has been ruled out for the next two weeks and De’Andre Hunter is questionable to return to the lineup after a three game absence. On the season, Young leads the team with a 34.1% usage rate and has posted 1.31 fantasy points per minute. However, with Murray off the floor, Young sees increases to an outrageous 43.7% usage rate and 1.60 fantasy points per minute. A short memory is key in NBA DFS after poor performances and it certainly applies to Trae Young here tonight.

Brooklyn Nets (-6.5)

Exposure to the Nets offense is far from a must on tonight’s NBA slate. However, Kyrie Irving has massive upside in the midrange of the pricing grid. With the field likely flocking to a player in the same range as Irving in the next game, the Nets point guard will essentially go unrostered. In his last appearance, Kyrie turned in his first 30-point performance since October 29th. The sheer presence of Kevin Durant limits his ceiling, and with the return of Ben Simmons to the lineup, this is a pure tournament play only.

Minnesota Timberwolves @ Utah Jazz (-2.5)

Minnesota Timberwolves (+2.5)

The player referred to above is Anthony Edwards. Likely to be one of the most popular options on the NBA slate, be wary in this one. While Edwards has posted phenomenal statistics with Karl-Anthony Towns out over his last three games, the majority has come in unsustainable practice. Edwards has three straight games with 26 or more points while Towns has been out, averaging 27/4.7/5.7 on 48.3% shooting. However, he has topped 50 fantasy points in two of three games, large in part to his ridiculous 5.67 steals per game during that span. Moreover, Utah ranks 6th in the NBA in turnover percentage, taking care of the ball nearly every possession they can.

Utah Jazz (-2.5)

Exposure to the Jazz is already interesting with Collin Sexton ruled out. However, should Lauri Markkanen miss a second straight game, Jordan Clarkson and Malik Beasley will shoulder the load on offense. We need to take a wait-and-see approach here, but Utah is one of the most key injury reports to monitor on this NBA slate. Look for updates in Discord once we get confirmation on Markkanen and Mike Conley.

Honorable Mentions:

Sacramento Kings @ Cleveland Cavaliers (-5.5)
Los Angeles Lakers @ Philadelphia 76ers (-3.5)

You can find me on Twitter @BetsByGhost and in the Win Daily Discord

2 years ago 0 comments

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NBA DFS: Ghost’s Gems 11/10

DFSGhost 2 years ago

written by DFSGhost

Despite only eight teams taking the court tonight, there is no shortage of intriguing storylines. There is plenty of star power available to us, but we’ll need value plays to get exposure to them. Luckily, five of eight teams are on back-to-backs, making this NBA slate one that can turn on a dime. It’s a Thirsty Thursday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

As mentioned above, five of eight teams are on the second half of a back-to-back. Injury reports will be interesting to monitor throughout the day. Thus, be sure to use our proprietary NBA projections and cheat sheet to build your lineups as the news rolls in. Moreover, join the conversation in the Win Daily Discord to get the insight you need from both subscribers and staff.

Dallas Mavericks @ Washington Wizards (+4)

Dallas Mavericks (-4)

If you are able to fit Luka Doncic into your lineups without feeling uneasy about the remaining players, do it. A leading candidate to be a MVP this year, if not soon enough, Doncic has been simply outstanding this season. Sporting a league-high 39.5% usage rate on the year, no one carries their team’s offense the way Doncic does. Last night was the first time he hadn’t scored 30 or more points through his first ten games and it took a 9-for-29 shooting performance to do so. Averaging 34.8/8.2/8.1 on 49.8% shooting, there is no stronger candidate to lead the NBA slate in scoring.

Washington Wizards (+4)

With Bradley Beal in health and safety protocols, the Wizards offense will run through Kristaps Porzingis and Kyle Kuzma. Unfortunately, with the Mavericks sitting dead last in the NBA in pace, there isn’t much appeal here. Monte Morris will form a trio with the others to log the bulk of the minutes in the starting lineup. Meanwhile, the bench unit will be led by Rui Hachimura, Will Barton, and Jordan Goodwin. With the Wizards sitting 26th in pace themselves, this is far and away the worst game environment on the slate and I won’t hesitate to fade it, outside of Luka Doncic.

Philadelphia 76ers @ Atlanta Hawks (-1.5)

Philadelphia 76ers (+1.5)

No doubt about it, Joel Embiid is the priority of the NBA slate not named Luka Doncic. Not only does he offer a sizeable advantage at a scarce position, but he is also in a premium spot. In his lone appearance without James Harden in the lineup this season, Embiid carried a lofty 37.4% usage rate while posting a 33/10/5 scoring line agains the Suns. Tonight, with the Hawks battling issues with their frontcourt, Embiid will not only aim to get Clint Capela in foul trouble, but consequently dominate Onyeka Okongwu on the inside.

Atlanta Hawks (-1.5)

With many options at the top of the pricing grid tonight, the duo of Trae Young and Dejounte Murray will likely find themselves behind the 8-ball. While Young carries a sizeable advantage in usage rate over his backcourt partner, it’s been Murray’s dominance on the glass and in the assist column that has been notable to his fantasy performances. Both have the ceiling to make this an interesting slate, but they’ll need to outscore the likes of Embiid, Lillard, and contend with Doncic. With the 76ers ranking 1st in the NBA versus opposing primary ball handlers, I’m likely out on Young, but I’ll provide an update on this offense in Discord, depending on how the slate shakes out closer to lock.

Portland Trail Blazers @ New Orleans Pelicans (-6.5)

Portland Trail Blazers (+6.5)

Missing Jusuf Nurkic (adductor), Jerami Grant (ankle), and Keon Johnson (hip) last night, the Trail Blazers’ injury report will be one to monitor leading up to lock. Additionally, Damian Lillard, Anfernee Simons, and Josh Hart were all listed as probable ahead of last night’s matchup. Should everyone be healthy and available, Damian Lillard is in a prime spot as a pivot to Luka Doncic at the top of the pricing grid. With the Pelicans sitting 24th in the NBA to opposing primary ball handlers, Dame will be able to exploit to Pelicans backcourt on the offensive side of the ball. Sporting a 32% usage rate on the season, Lillard has posted a 29/4.5/4.8 scoring line on 47.7% shooting, including nearly four 3-pointers made per game.

New Orleans Pelicans (-6.5)

With few options at the center position tongiht aside from Joel Embiid, Jonas Valanciunas is an interesting target in tournaments. Surely, should Nurkic miss a second straight game, the field will flock to Drew Eubanks. However, should Nurkic return to the lineup, that won’t be the case. Either way, Valanciunas is in an elite matchup. His minutes have been inconsistent this season, but Valanciunas is averaging a 14.4/10.3 double-double in under 25 minutes per game. With the Blazers ranking 23rd in the NBA to opposing big men, including allowing Mason Plumlee to drop 16/12/4 on them last night, the Pelicans need to utilize Valanciunas on the inside early and often.

Honorable Mention:

Charlotte Hornets @ Miami Heat (-10)

You can find me on Twitter @BetsByGhost and in the Win Daily Discord

2 years ago 0 comments

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NBA DFS: Ghost’s Gems 11/07

DFSGhost 3 years ago

written by DFSGhost

Numerous teams take the floor tonight with concerns to be addressed. Injuries are plentiful to begin the NBA season, shifting slates at the blink of an eye. Tonight, some back-to-backs are at the forefront of the player pool, while two elite game environments make for excellent pivots in tournaments. It’s a Mojito Monday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

On a large NBA slate, injury report updates are likely to be lengthly and frequent throughout the day. Thus, be sure to use our proprietary NBA projections and cheat sheet to build your lineups as the news rolls in. Moreover, join the conversation in the Win Daily Discord to get the insight you need from both subscribers and staff.

Houston Rockets @ Orlando Magic (-4.5)

Houston Rockets (+4.5)

The rebuilding Rockets continue to be a bargain on NBA slates. Despite the offense running through their backcourt tandem, my priority here is Alperen Sengun. Averaging over 1.3 DK points per minute, Sengun is amongst the most productive players on a per minute basis. Facing an Orlando Magic frontcourt that allows nearly 50 points in the paint per game, Sengun is far and away one of the best targets in the mid range of the pricing grid.

Orlando Magic (-4.5)

With Markelle Fultz, Cole Anthony, Gary Harris, Jonathan Isaac and Mo Wagner all on the shelf, this is one of the thinnest rotations in the NBA. Impressive is his rookie campaign thus far, Paolo Banchero leads his team with a 29.6% usage rate while posting a 22.9/8.5/3.6 scoring line on 45.8% shooting. However, his point/dollar upside is limited on such a large slate. Thus, I’ll be turning to the wings once again in Franz Wagner and/or Bol Bol. The two carry usage rates of 24.2% and 15.4% in the last five games, respectively. In that stretch, since Bol Bol has entered the starting lineup, the two have combined for 32.2 points per game. Against a Rockets team that ranks 28th in the league versus wings, the two have phenomenal matchups in an elite game environment.

Washington Wizards @ Charlotte Hornets (-3)

Washington Wizards (+3)

With the Wizards on the second half of a back-to-back, their injury report can dictate the NBA slate. Already without Bradley Beal, who is in healthy and safety protocols, the Wizards offense have one of, if not the best situation on the slate. Now, with Beal likely out for a second straight game, usage gets more condensed and there are two primary benefactors. The duo of Kristaps Porzingis and Kyle Kuzma are both in advantageous situations in their respective matchups. The former lines up on Mason Plumlee, who carries a defensive rating of 110.4, while the Hornets frontcourt collectively ranks 29th in the league versus opposing big men. Meanwhile, the latter has a favorable matchup of his own; Kelly Oubre Jr. shifts to the ‘3’ with Terry Rozier back in the lineup, while having a defensive rating of 111.2 on the season.

Charlotte Hornets (-3)

Making his return to the lineup last game after a lengthly absence, Terry Rozier picked up right where he left off. Despite the losing effort against Brooklyn, Rozier led the team in usage, minutes played, scoring, and field goal attempts. Taking 24 shots on the night, Rozier took a whopping 14 from behind the arc, shooting 37.5% from the field and 42.9% from deep. With the Wizards ranking last in the NBA in opponent three-point field goal percentage allowed, Rozier will have the green light to take as many shots as it takes to get the win and makes for an excellent pivot to a guard mentioned below.

Toronto Raptors @ Chicago Bulls (-3.5)

Toronto Raptors (+3.5)

The reason the two games above highlighted targets in the mid range of the player pool is because the field will flock in this direction. With Pascal Siakam (groin) is slated to miss the next two weeks, Fred VanVleet, OG Anunoby, and Scottie Barnes will be popular on every NBA slate featuring the Raptors. Tonight, Toronto takes on Chicago on the second half of a back-to-back, where the trio will be tasked with heavy minutes once again. There is simply no need for an explanation as to why all three are in play, but they will be some of the most rostered players in the field. Moreover, Coach Nick Nurse refuses to go deep into his rotation, whether it’s a regular season game in November or Game 7 of the NBA Finals. Thus, add Christian Koloko to the players whom will garner the interest of the field.

Chicago Bulls (-3.5)

With Zach Lavine (knee) missing last night’s game, his status for tonight will dictate interest in the Bulls roster. Truth be told, while both Nikola Vucevic and DeMar DeRozan will see increased looks on offense should Lavine sit once again, I don’t think I’ll get there on such a large NBA slate. Thus, should Lavine miss a second straight game, I’ll turn to the Chicago rotation pieces in Caruso, Green, Williams, and Dragic. Again, this is only if not only Lavine is out, but Coby White (quad) as well. Check Discord for updates.

Honorable Mentions:

Sacramento Kings @ Golden State Warriors (-7.5)
LA Lakers @ Utah Jazz (-3)

You can find me on Twitter @BetsByGhost and in the Win Daily Discord

3 years ago 0 comments

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NBA DFS: Ghost’s Gems 10/25

DFSGhost 3 years ago

written by DFSGhost

Back to a short NBA slate after plenty of teams were in action last night. Injury news awaits us, while a handful of players will be popular in the majority of lineups. Some situations are unavoidable given the injury news, while others may impact the slate closer to lock. It’s a Taco Tuesday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

The NBA is unlike any other sport from a DFS perspective, but with our proprietary NBA projections and cheat sheet to build your lineups, you’re right where you need to be to succeed. Be sure to join the Win Daily Discord to get the insight you need to win.

Dallas Mavericks @ New Orleans Pelicans

Dallas Mavericks (-5.5)

There is no debate about Luka Doncic being the player with the most upside on this NBA slate. Leading the league in usage rate, Doncic has gotten off to a terrific start this season. Through two games, Doncic has posted back-to-back 30-point efforts on a 33.5/8/8 scoring line. Not only is he taking 23 field goal attempts per contest, but he is also averaging nearly ten 3PA. Shooting a remarkable 47.8% from the field, the volume has not affected his efficiency whatsoever. If you were with us last season, you know how much I love to play primary ball handlers versus the Pelicans. In three games this season, New Orleans has allowed Terry Rozier to drop 23/8/11 only to allow Jordan Clarkson to score 18 points on an inefficient 7-for-19 shooting. With Doncic being much more gifted offensively, the Pelicans are in trouble on the perimeter.

New Orleans Pelicans (+5.5)

With Brandon Ingram (concussion) out for tonight’s game, the trio of McCollum, Williamson, and Valanciunas are firmly in play. However, key news awaits us as Zion (hip) is listed as questionable after leaving last game after a scary fall on a dunk attempt. Should the Pelicans proceed with caution and rest him, it will be all systems go on Valanciunas and McCollum, but should all three play, my favorite is in the backcourt. Leading the team in both minutes played and scoring, McCollum will see an increase in assist rate tonight in the absence of Ingram, and potentially Williamson. The offense will shift from less isolation and ball movement will be key, playing right into McCollum’s hands for a great NBA DFS output.

LA Clippers @ OKC Thunder (+10)

LA Clippers (-10)

With both Paul George (illness) and Marcus Morris Sr. (personal) ruled out for tonight’s game, plenty of touches are available on offense. Under normal circumstances, Kawhi Leonard would be a stone cold lock on an NBA slate like this with George out, but the former’s minutes are still being monitored. Thus, John Wall and Norman Powell share the spotlight in my Clippers writeup. The former has carried a 32.3% usage rate through two games this season, leading the team. Flashing scoring upside off the bench, Wall gets a cakewalk of a matchup with both Gilgeous-Alexander and Giddey out tonight for the Thunder. On the other hand, Powell has struggled to find his shot thus far. Buying low on a high volume player is the goal here; his 25.9% from the field will turn the field away, but I Iove the spot for the Clippers wing.

OKC Thunder (+10)

Early in the NBA season, this rotation is as thin as it gets and we need to take advantage. The Thunder have already announced that both Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (hip) and Josh Giddey (ankle) will be out tonight. While Lugentz Dort makes for a great play, the majority of the field will flock in his direction. However, my attention draws to a former Florida Gator. Tre Mann is now in his second season and will thrive in situations like this with the ball in his hands. He carries massive offensive upside and can create his own shot; a skill that is rare in young players. In a much larger sample size last season than the current one, with both SGA and Giddey off the floor, Mann saw a drastic increase in usage rate, from 22% to 28%, while also seeing his fantasy points per minute (FPPM) increase from 0.8 to 0.93.

Golden State Warriors @ Phoenix Suns (-2.5)

Golden State Warriors (+2.5)

This game will largely go overlooked on tonight’s NBA slate. Despite three straight 30-point games to open with season, I can’t imagine the field rostering Steph Curry over Luka Doncic. However, with a true shooting of 66.1%, good for sixth in the league and second amongst guards, you know Curry can lead any slate in scoring with his 3-point shot. If you’re not going with Curry and insist on getting exposure to this game, there are two routes you can take. Either ride a hot hand in Andrew Wiggins, who gets an awfully tough matchup versus Mikal Bridges, or pick on Deandre Ayton in the paint with Kevon Looney or James Wiseman. My level of exposure to this game remains to be seen with pending injury news leading up to lock.

Phoenix Suns (-2.5)

With the Pelicans offense being a priority for me, I’m likely to pass on Devin Booker. However, depending on how injury news breaks, Chris Paul may find himself in my NBA lineups if the value is there to support it. After a rough season debut, CP3 improved his play over the last two games. Sitting seventh in the league in assist rate is no surprise to one of the best point guards to ever do it, but his scoring this late in his career is a cause for concern. While Paul will control the offensive flow, should this game be tight do the stretch, it will certainly be Booker taking shots over CP3.

Honorable Mention:

Detroit Pistons @ Washington Wizards (-5)

You can find me on Twitter @BetsByGhost and in the Win Daily Discord

3 years ago 0 comments

NBA

NBA DFS: Ghost’s Gems 10/19

DFSGhost 3 years ago

written by DFSGhost

After two thrilling games on opening night, we have our first large slate of the NBA season. New rotations and multiple players making debuts with their new teams steal the headlines, but there are also players returning from serious injuries and plenty of elite game environments to target. While the games listed in the Honorable Mentions section at the end of the article are high on my list, they will be popular. Thus, discussed are a few spots that may go overlooked in tournaments. It’s a Wet Wednesday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

You will see a reoccurring message across all articles, but it’s truly imperative to success. The way NBA news rolls in unlike any other sport makes every slate different. Thus, it’s crucial to use our proprietary NBA projections and cheat sheet to build your lineups. Be sure to join the Win Daily Discord to get the insight you need to win NBA DFS tournaments.

Washington Wizards @ Indiana Pacers (+2)

Washington Wizards (-2)

In a game that will largely go overlooked on a large NBA slate, there is offensive upside to be had. The Wizards offense will continue to run through Bradley Beal, who is expensive tonight, but his teammates are not. Kyle Kuzma is coming of a career year where he averaged 17.1/8.5/3.5 on 45.2% shooting through a 24.3% usage rate. Facing off versus a combination of poor defenders and inexperienced wings, he may not make my final lineup, but Kuzma draws intrigue in my preview.

Indiana Pacers (+2)

On the flipside of this game, get used to seeing Tyrese Haliburton listed here early and often. In 13 games for the Pacers last season, Haliburton was electric. The usage was modest at 20.2%, but he averaged an 18/10.9 double-double while also grabbing nearly five rebounds per game. Facing a Wizards perimeter defense that struggles to guard primary ball handlers, Haliburton finds himself as a key component of my NBA lineups tonight.

New Orleans Pelicans @ Brooklyn Nets (-3)

Brooklyn Nets (-3)

The pace of this one will be off the charts and both teams carry a ton of upside. Brooklyn had an offseason to remember, involving storylines surrounding their two star players, but their rotation remains intact and now has reinforcements. Should you choose to go with a 1-2 punch at the top of the pricing grid tonight from the same game, this is it. Beginning with Kevin Durant, your NBA lineups can generate upside from a back and forth in this one. Durant can score with ease, dropping nearly 30 PPG last season through a 31.1% usage rate. One of the safest players in the league to log heavy minutes nightly, Durant not only has a safe floor, but one of the highest ceilings on this slate.

New Orleans Pelicans (+3)

Making his return to an NBA floor in this one is none other than Zion Williamson. The former Duke standout missed all of last season, but is back after averaging 27/7.2/3.7 across 33 MPG in his last full campaign. In a glorious matchup versus a Nets defense that struggled mightily on the interior last season, Williamson is intriguing for tournaments, barring any minute limitations. The Nets allowed over 47 points in the paint per contest last season, and didn’t address their interior defense in the offseason. A force in the paint that averaged seven paint touches per game in his last full season, good for 10th in the NBA, Williamson makes for a good target in tournaments.

Charlotte Hornets @ San Antonio Spurs (+2)

Charlotte Hornets (-2)

Let it be known that both of these teams are tanking for Victor Wembanyama. Arguably the most hyped NBA prospect since LeBron James, if you have not seen footage of his game, I suggest going to watch it as soon as possible. Needless to say that these types of game environments will be elite for NBA DFS this year and we won’t have to wait until the later stages of the season to get exposure to them. With LaMelo Ball (ankle) not playing in the Hornets’ season opener, look for both Kelly Oubre Jr. and Terry Rozier to take all the shots they can handle. With Ball off the court last season, both Rozier and Oubre Jr. saw increases in usage and fantasy production. Rozier saw his usage rate increase from 23.4% to 25.5%, while Oubre Jr. saw an increase in usage from 22.9% to 25.9%.

San Antonio Spurs (+2)

Gone is Dejounte Murray, the former face of the Spurs franchise, as they now enter their biggest rebuild since drafting Tim Duncan. With Murray now in Atlanta, there are so many touches to go around offensively and the Spurs are in arguably the best matchup NBA DFS has to offer. Charlotte ended last season 5th in pace and 22nd in net defensive rating, struggling across multiple positions and player types. Dominating usage for the Spurs early on is Tre Jones, who will be supported by the likes of Josh Primo and Devin Vassell in the backcourt, with the duo of Keldon Johnson and Jakob Poeltl manning the frontcourt. In eleven starts last season, Jones posted a 13.5/4.6/7.5 scoring line on 48.8% shooting all on a mere 17.5% usage rate.

Honorable Mentions:

Houston Rockets @ Atlanta Hawks (-9.5)
Portland Trail Blazers @ Sacramento Kings (-2)

You can find me on Twitter @BetsByGhost and in the Win Daily Discord

3 years ago 0 comments

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NBA DFS Picks and Pivots: Sunday, January 31

Brian Tulloch 4 years ago

written by Brian Tulloch

Happy Sunday my NBA DFS family – we get a split slate and small slate day as we have 2 early games and just a 4 game Main Slate to dive into on this Sunday Funday – but that does not mean we cannot attack it and build our bankroll!

Looking to take your game to the next level? Lock in our reduced Gold Membership deal now, getting THREE MONTHS of all sports access for just $79.99 using promo code “Winning” – and let’s get to some green!

NBA DFS Picks and Pivots: Slate Breakdown

The main slate today is simple – well, at least in terms of which game to attack – it all starts and ends with Brooklyn Nets and Washington Wizards.

This game is a DFS goldmine – a massive 245+ total, 20 points higher than any other game, featuring the highest projected pace and two teams that believe defense is optional.

The Wizards rank as the third worst defensive team in the NBA this season while Brooklyn ranks bottom three over the last 10 games, coinciding with the James Harden trade.

We have a high total, high pace, and no defense – all-around some serious star power – so, getting this game right is the most critical aspect of today.

The tricky part in this game is that we lack the value we need to stack the stars here and so it means we have to be strategic in which big spends we use from this game.

Now if James Harden ($10.6K) were to miss this game, officially questionable with a thigh injury, it would open up a much clearer path for the Brooklyn side of this game. Obviously, Harden being out would be a huge boost to the ceiling of both Kyrie Irving ($9.3K) and Kevin Durant ($10.1K) and it would open up some fringe value as it did on Friday Night with guys like Bruce Brown and TLC, who both remain under $4K.

The Wizards side has the obvious star power duo in Bradley Beal ($10.2K) and Russell Westbrook ($9K). The tricky part with Washington is that they are starting to get back to full healthy so the mid-range and fringe plays become far more risky especially as many of them (Rui, Bertans etc) are coming off a long COVID related lay-off.

Unfortunately, just clicking on Beal/Westbrook and Durant/Irving is not possible today – like DraftKings made it mathematically impossible. So how do you prioritize the stars here.

For me, the two pieces I am locked in on are Kevin Durant and Russell Westbrook. Durant has been the highest FP/M piece for the Nets with Harden off the court and with his price ticked down while Irving has ticked up – I think paying the slight premium for KD is the best use of our salary.

Westbrook at $9K is just too cheap – he played 27 minutes last game and that was with him being ejected with 10 minutes remaining so the 30+ minutes seem like a lock here tonight.

The question of the third star is really where you need to make a tough choice – is it Beal or Kyrie OR even Harden if he does play?

I will say – I find myself landing on Bradley Beal ($10.2K) despite the inflated price really as it relates to how I want to attack the Wizards. With the Wizards fringe players all getting healthy and splitting minutes, I feel like your throwing darts and hoping you hit your secondary Washington exposure correctly. Instead – can we just take the approach of going with Westbrook AND Beal and getting essentially all the usage and fantasy production? This duo combined for 105 DK points in their only other meeting versus Brooklyn this season so the ceiling is obvious.

Now this means we have to fade a second Brooklyn star – but I would argue, we have more paths to attack with the secondary options on the Nets especially if Harden does sit.

Joe Harris ($5.5K) is the option I am most interested in running alongside Durant as his ability to spread the floor and rack up three-points could give him a ceiling path tonight. The Wizards rank 22 out of 30 NBA teams this season in 3P% allowed and rank as the second-worst team overall in FG% allowed. Harris has the ability to get to 6X value with his shooting alone ( he hit 33 DK points against Miami just a few days ago on 7 threes made) and so if he has that kind of efficiency tonight and gets you ANY peripheral upside – you could get a GPP game changer.

Picks and Pivots – The Wrap Up

The biggest thing we need to watch today is the status of James Harden and Joel Embiid.

Harden missing this game would give a massive boost to the fringe Nets like Harris, Bruce Brown and TLC. Embiid being out means we could get serious Center value with Dwight Howard and Tony Bradley both under $4K.

The other spot we may get for value is in Minnesota with KAT out once again and Naz Reid questionable. The lack of big men against a massive Cavs frontcourt means that guys like Ed Davis and Jaden McDaniels will be pushed to take on more minutes at $3K price points. Oh and by the way – it is McDaniels birthday today – so you know what to do!

Enjoy this slate – let’s get in Discord today and chat it up while we dig through our cheat sheets and projections here at Win Daily to set up the start of this NBA DFS season with some big wins!

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4 years ago 0 comments

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1/1 NBA DFS Game Previews & Prop Plays

Brandon C. Williams 5 years ago

written by Brandon C. Williams

New year, same goal: chasing the long green. The 1/1 NBA DFS Game Previews open 2020 with four games along with a Prop Play.

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Orlando at Washington, 6:00 PM Eastern

Magic at a Glance: 30th in scoring (102.9), 3rd in scoring defense (104.8), 25th in offensive rating (105), 11th in defensive rating (106.9), 27th in pace (98).

Stud: C Nikola Vucevic ($8200/DK). Dud: SF/PF Aaron Gordon ($5900/DK). Sleeper: PG/SG Markelle Fultz ($5100/DK).

Wizards at a Glance: 3rd in scoring (116.6), 30th in scoring defense (121), 4th in offensive rating (112.4), 30th in defensive rating (116.7), 3rd in pace (103.4).

Stud: PG/SG Jordan McRae ($5800/DK). Dud: PG/SG Gary Payton II ($5500/DK). Sleeper: C Ian Mahinmi ($5300/DK).

Portland at New York, 7:30 PM Eastern

Trail Blazers at a Glance: 8th in scoring (112.6), 23rd in scoring (114), 10th in offensive rating (110.5), 21st in defensive rating (111.9), 11th in pace (101.6).

Stud: PG Damian Lillard ($9300/FD). Dud: SG CJ McCollum ($7100/FD). Sleeper: SF Carmelo Anthony ($5300/FD).

Knicks at a Glance: 29th in scoring (103.3), 18th in scoring defense (111.4), 29th in offensive rating (104.4), 25th in defensive rating (112.6), 25th in pace (98.6).

Stud: C Mitchell Robinson ($5300/FD). Dud: SG RJ Barrett ($5300/FD). Sleeper: PG Elfrid Payton ($5300/FD).

Minnesota at Milwaukee, 8:00 PM Eastern

Timberwolves at a Glance: 12th in scoring (112.3), 26th in scoring defense (115.8), 22nd in offensive rating (106.9), 17th in defensive rating (110.3), 7th in pace (102.7).

Stud: C Gorgui Dieng ($6400/DK). Dud: SF/PF Robert Covington ($5700/DK). Sleeper: PG/SG Shabazz Napier ($5800/DK).

Bucks at a Glance: 1st in scoring (119.8), 9th in scoring defense (106.6), 3rd in offensive rating (114.2), 1st in defensive rating (101.6), 1st in pace (104.6).

Stud: SF/PF Giannis Antetokunmpo ($11,200/DK). Dud: PF/C Ersan Ilyasova ($5700/DK). Sleeper: PG/SF Donte DiVincenzo ($4000).

Phoenix at LA Lakers, 10:30 PM Eastern

Suns at a Glance: 6th in scoring (114.3), 25th in scoring defense (115.1), 9th in offensive rating (110.1), 19th in defensive rating (111.3), 10th in pace (102.4).

Stud: SG Devin Booker ($7200/FD). Dud: C Deandre Ayton ($7000/FD). Sleeper: SF Kelly Oubre ($6900/FD).

Lakers at a Glance: 9th in scoring (112.4), 4th scoring defense (105.3), 7th in offensive rating (111.9), 4th in defensive rating (104.8), 15th in pace (100.2).

Stud: PF Anthony Davis ($10,800/FD). Dud: PF Kyle Kuzma ($4800/FD). Sleeper: SG Kentavious Caldwell-Pope ($4300/FD).

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5 years ago 0 comments

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11/26 NBA DFS Game Previews & Prop Play

Brandon C. Williams 5 years ago

written by Brandon C. Williams

With only two games on the 11/26 NBA DFS slate, tonight might be a good night to not go all-in and play it safe. Showdown format is suggested as most players will be overvalued in most classic formats.

Three of the four teams playing tonight rank among the top 10 in scoring, but the Wizards — ranked third in scoring — must travel to Denver to meet a Nuggets team that leads the league in scoring defense while also ranking third in overall defensive rating.

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LA Clippers at Dallas, 8:30 PM Eastern

Clippers at a Glance: 6th in scoring (114.2), 11th in scoring defense (107.3), 5th in offensive rating (111.3), 10th in defensive rating (104.5), 12th in pace (102).

Stud: SF/PF Kawhi Leonard ($8800/DK). Dud: PG/SG Patrick Beverley ($4700/DK). Sleeper: PG/SG Lou Williams ($6300/DK).

Mavericks at a Glance: 2nd in scoring (119.1), 15th in scoring defense (109.9), 1st in offensive rating (118.2), 18th in defensive rating (109.2), 20th in pace (100.1).

Stud: PG/SG Luka Doncic ($11,400). Dud: PF/C Kristaps Porzingis ($6900/DK). Sleeper: SG/SF Tim Hardaway Jr. ($5000/DK).

Washington at Denver, 9:00 PM Eastern

Wizards at a Glance: 3rd in scoring (119.1), 29th in scoring defense (120.3), 2nd in offensive rating (114.5), 30th in defensive rating (115.1), 5th in pace (104).

Stud: C Thomas Bryant ($6700/FD). Dud: SG Bradley Beal ($9700/FD). Sleeper: SF Davis Bertans ($6000/FD).

Nuggets at a Glance: 25th in scoring (106.7), 1st in scoring defense (101.7), 16th in offensive rating (107.9), 3rd in defensive rating (102.9), 29th in pace (97.5).

Stud: C Nikola Jokic ($10,800/FD). Dud: PF Paul Millsap ($6600/FD). Sleeper: SG Gary Harris ($4500/FD).

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5 years ago 0 comments

NBA Daily Fantasy Sports

11/4 NBA DFS Game Previews & Prop Bets

6 years ago

written by

A six-game slate awaits, and the 11/4 NBA DFS Game Previews and Prop Bets will get your week started on the right foot.

Detroit at Washington, 7:00 PM Eastern

Pistons at a Glance: 18th in scoring (108.3), 20th in scoring defense (112), 16th in offensive rating (106.8), 25th in defensive rating (110.5), 17th in pace (101.4)

No Blake Griffin nor Reggie Jackson, the Pistons may also be without PG/SG Derrick Rose ($5800 DK). C Andre Drummond ($10,800 DK) is the only player on this roster that is Fantasy-viable, although PG/SG Luke Kennard ($5000 DK) is averaging 19.5 points in his last two games. I’d be open to rolling the dice on PG/SG Bruce Brown ($3200 DK), whose salary is a major steal and is also assured of getting strong usage, especially if Rose is out. He’s a lock if playing Showdown, but I’d add him in a lineup or two tonight because I think there’s a pleasant surprise here.

Stud — Drummond. Dud — SF/PF Markeiff Brown ($4000 DK). Sleeper — Brown.

Wizards at a Glance — 7th in scoring (117.2), 28th in scoring defense (121.4), 6th in offensive rating (109.5), 27th in defensive rating (113.4), 3rd in pace (107.1).

Washington is going to dial up the pace. They’re dead in the water if they fall into playing a Pistons-like pace. SG Bradley Beal ($9400 DK) is a sniper off to a solid start. You’re not going to get much beyond his scoring, so you’re screwed if he’s not bringing the offense. I like rookie PF Rui Hachimura ($5700 DK), although he faced reality against the Timberwolves on Saturday when he managed all of six DKP. PF/C Thomas Bryant ($7400 DK) also had a rough go on Saturday and will have to contend with Drummond tonight. I’d politely pass on him. PG Isaiah Thomas ($4900 DK) is pace-dependent in that he’ll give you solid DKP off the bench when the Wizards run and gun. However, he’s a major liability if it becomes a half-court game.

Stud — Beal. Dud — PG/SF Isaac Bonga ($3400 DK). Sleeper — PF/C Mortiz Wagner ($3400 DK).

New Orleans at Brooklyn, 7:30 PM Eastern

Pelicans at a Glance: 4th in scoring (118.3), 29th in scoring defense (122.5), 5th in offensive rating (110), 28th in defensive rating (113.9), 7th in pace (105.7)

You’ll want a piece of the action in this game. If this doesn’t go over 240 total points, my Monday will be sad. SF Brandon Ingram ($8900 FD) passed concussion protocol and will be in the lineup tonight. He has a 28.6 Usage rate and I’m betting he could do more with a 32-34 UR. You have to like how PG Lonzo Ball ($7400 FD) is progressing, yet I’m not sure if I’d play him knowing he’ll have to deal with Kyrie Irving ($9700 FD). His PER (Player Efficiency Rating) is climbed to where you can see Ball as at least a league-average starter. Active or not, I’d stay away from C Derrick Favors ($5900 FD). SG Jrue Holiday ($8300) has been more of a distributor in his two games back from a sore knee. The Pels run a fast enough pace to where both Ball and Holiday can get 5-7 assists per night.

Stud — Ingram. Dud — Favors. Sleeper — PF Jaxson Hayes ($3800 FD)

Nets at a Glance — 3rd in scoring (118.7), 26th in scoring defense (119.5), 10th in offensive rating (108.6), 20th in defensive rating (109.3), 8th in pace (105.6)

Irving is going at a 35.8 Usage rate. I’ll bet he hits 40 at some point this season. He’s probably the PG you’ll want in the lineup tonight since both teams will run at a breakneck speed. Some days, SG Caris LeVert ($6500) looks like the second scoring option, then there are days like Saturday when he can’t manage 22 FDP. C Jarrett Allen ($5200 FD) continues to play like someone who should be getting more minutes from De’Andre Jordan ($5900 FD). SF Taurean Prince ($4800 FD) had the massive effort against the Rockets on Friday but is more like the complimentary type he showed on Saturday.

Stud — Irving. Dud — Jordan. Sleeper — Allen.

Houston at Memphis, 8:00 PM Eastern

Rockets at a Glance — 1st in scoring (121.3), 30th in scoring defense (127), 3rd in offensive rating (111.4), 29th in defensive rating (116.6), 1st in pace (108.9).

PG Russell Westbrook ($9800 DK) will sit, so I think we may see some vintage James Harden ($10,800 DK) tonight. This will look more like the Rockets of last season, so expect Harden to be more at ease offensively. Like almost everyone in a Houston uniform, C Clint Capela ($6200 DK) didn’t show up in Miami on Sunday night, but Capela will also see a rebound in production tonight. No Westbrook means more opportunity for SF/PF Danuel House ($4500 DK), who I think will become a solid DFS option once P.J. Tucker ($5000) comes down to earth.

Stud — Harden. Dud — SG/SF Eric Gordon ($4000 DK) Sleeper — House.

Grizzlies at a Glance — 19th in scoring (106.6), 25th in scoring defense (119.4), 29th in offensive rating (97.7), 21st in defensive rating (109.4), 4th in pace (106.9)

The scoring hasn’t translated into success, but this is not your daddy’s Grizzlies. These kids run and it makes all the sense the world to get a piece of the action out of them tonight. The Rockets are playing defense as if they’ve just learned the definition of the word, so that means I’d invest in PG Ja Morant ($6600 DK) and PF/C Brandon Clarke ($4800 DK). Clarke will see a bump in minutes since its questionable that PF/C Jaren Jackson Jr. ($5900 DK) will sit tonight. C Jonas Valanciunas ($6000 DK) is a solid option, especially if the Rockets are just going to shoot 3s and offer extra rebouding chances.

Stud — Morant. Dud — SG/SF Dillion Brooks ($4800 DK) Sleeper — Clarke

Milwaukee at Minnesota, 8:00 PM Eastern

Bucks at a Glance — 2nd in scoring (119.2), 19th in scoring (111.2), 4th in offensive rating (111.3), 12th in defensive rating (103.7), 9th in pace (105.4)

The Timberwolves are without C Karl-Anthony Towns ($10,300 FD), who is serving a suspension from his brawl with Joel Embiid last week. That will mean a heavy dosage of interior assaults from SF Giannis Anetetokounmpo ($12,000 FD). This could be a monster night from him if he decides to take advantage of the hole in the T’Wolves interior. I’m starting to like PG Eric Bledsoe ($6300 FD) now that he’s put together a pair of solid outings for DFS users. On the flip side, SG Khris Middleton ($7300 FD) has been a DFS dog for two straight games and I’m not sure the fleas are all gone. Stay far, far away from C Brook Lopez ($5200 FD), even with Towns out.

Stud — Antetokounmpo. Dud — Lopez. Sleeper — Bledsoe

Timberwolves at a Glance — 5th in scoring (118), 21st in scoring defense (112), 14th in offensive rating (107.5), 9th in defensive rating (102), 2nd in pace (107.6)

Whatever they’ll miss from Towns defensively will be made up offensively. Look for PF Robert Covington ($5700 FD) to benefit from Towns’ absence with a jolt in his usage rate. SG Andrew Wiggins ($6900 FD) gets about 4-7 extra field goal attempts and I’m sure you’ll see PG Jeff Teague ($6200 FD) become more aggressive with his shot as well. C Gorgui Dieng ($4000 FD) showed he still has game with 42.1 FDP against the Wizards on Saturday and should be a good low-end option as he will be able to get rebounds and a blocked shot or two.

Stud — Covington. Dud — Wiggins. Sleeper — Dieng

Philadelphia at Phoenix, 9:00 PM Eastern

76ers at a Glance — 10th in scoring (115), 10th in scoring defense (106), 12th in offensive rating (108), 5th in defensive rating (99.5), 5th in pace (106.5)

They’ll do fine without Joel Embiid tonight. The Suns will want to run and gun, so that translates into extra opportunities for PG/SF Ben Simmons ($8500 DK) and SF/PF Tobias Harris ($7000 DK). PF/C Al Horford ($6900 DK) will get the bulk of the touches Embiid usually gets. I do like the upside of SG/SF Josh Richardson ($4600 DK) tonight, so plug him into a lineup or two.

Stud — Simmons. Dud — SG/SF Mattise Thybulle ($3400 DK). Sleeper — Richardson.

Suns at a Glance — 9th in scoring (115.2), 9th in scoring defense (106), 8th in offensive rating (109.1), 7th in defensive rating (100.4), 12th in pace (103.8)

PG/SG Devin Booker ($7900 DK) is warming up just SF/PF Kelly Oubre Jr. ($6300 DK) is beginning to cool off. C Aron Baynes ($5100 DK) has been a revelation since coming into the lineup and could be able to exploit the defensive void of the Sixers not having Embiid. PG Ricky Rubio ($6500 DK) had three steals on Saturday and is one of the reasons why the Suns are playing surprisingly good defense. SF/PF Dario Saric ($4700 DK) is boom-bust. Play at your own risk.

Stud — Booker. Dud — Oubre. Sleeper — Baynes.

Portland at Golden State, 10:30 PM

Trail Blazers at a Glance — 11th in scoring (113.8), 24th in scoring defense (113.3), 9th in offensive rating (108.7), 17th in defensive rating (108.2), 10th in pace (104.7)

I’m not paying $10,300 for Damian Lillard (FD), at least not tonight. There’s too much concern this becomes a blowout and Lillard spends much of the fourth on the bench. I will pay the $6700 (FD) for C.J. McCollum, though. C Hassan Whiteside ($7500 FD) is a gametime decision. Don’t risk it. SF Rodney Hood ($4300 FD) is questionable with a knee injury. PF Skal Labissiere ($3900 FD) could get extended minutes if Whiteside is still sidelined.

Stud — Lillard. Dud — Whiteside. Sleeper — Labissiere

Warriors at a Glance — 16th in scoring (109.2), 27th in scoring defense (120.8), 18th in offensive rating (108), 30th in defensive rating (117.3), 14th in pace (103).

At the very least, there are some potential bargains to be had in Golden State. I like what I have seen from PF Eric Paschall ($5800 FD) and will plug him into a lineup or two. SF Glenn Robinson III ($5300 FD) has always had upside and is getting the minutes to prove it. SG D’Angelo Russell ($9400 FD) is questionable, opening up more minutes for the likes of PG Ky Bowman ($4400 FD). SG Damion Lee ($3900 FD) will get quality minutes off the bench.

Stud — Paschall. Dud. Lee. Sleeper — Bowman.

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Over/Under Player Predictions

I think Harris hits the glass enough to produce a double-double in what should be a fun, high-scoring affair. If points are coming hot and heavy on both ends of the court, then Rubio should exceed 6.5 assists easily. Go over on both.

6 years ago 0 comments

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NBA DFS Picks and Pivots: Slate Breakdown

Picks and Pivots – The Wrap Up

Orlando at Washington, 6:00 PM Eastern

Portland at New York, 7:30 PM Eastern

Minnesota at Milwaukee, 8:00 PM Eastern

Phoenix at LA Lakers, 10:30 PM Eastern

LA Clippers at Dallas, 8:30 PM Eastern

Washington at Denver, 9:00 PM Eastern

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Detroit at Washington, 7:00 PM Eastern

New Orleans at Brooklyn, 7:30 PM Eastern

Houston at Memphis, 8:00 PM Eastern

Milwaukee at Minnesota, 8:00 PM Eastern

Philadelphia at Phoenix, 9:00 PM Eastern

Portland at Golden State, 10:30 PM

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