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Washington Wizards

NBA DFS for Ghost’s Gems (Mar. 21)

DFSGhost 2 years ago

written by DFSGhost

With approximately ten games left in the regular season, every matchup counts for the NBA playoff picture. Moreover, others are looking to improve their position in the draft lottery. It’s a Taco Tuesday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

Be sure to use our proprietary NBA projections and cheat sheet to build your lineups as the news rolls in. Moreover, join the conversation in the Win Daily Discord to get the insight you need from both subscribers and staff.

Washington Wizards @ Orlando Magic (-1.5)

Washington Wizards (+1.5)

The Wizards will be without Kyle Kuzma tonight, meaning the duo of Kristaps Porzingis and Bradley Beal will shoulder the offense. This game environment does not stand out above the others, but it has potential to be a shootout. Washington and Orlando are ranked 22nd and 16th in the NBA in pace, respectively, but also represent two bottom-ten defenses in the league. With Orlando 26th in three-pointers allowed per game, Beal will have ample opportunity to do damage from behind the arc, and has 20 or more points in eight of his last nine appearances.

Orlando Magic (-1.5)

There isn’t much to love about this offense on tonight’s NBA slate, but the Magic are in a good spot versus the Wizards. In balanced lineups, Paolo Banchero, Franz Wagner, and Wendell Carter Jr. all deserve consideration. Meanwhile, Cole Anthony has scored 14 or more points in five straight appearances, logging 27 minutes or more per game in the absence of Jalen Suggs. However, usage is spread out amongst offensive contributors. All five players have a usage rate between 21% and 27% but they do provide a safe floor in a competitive game environment.

Boston Celtics @ Sacramento Kings (+4.5)

Boston Celtics (-4.5)

In what will certainly be the best game of the NBA slate, Jayson Tatum is poised to lead the pack in scoring. While he has only posted one 30-point effort in his last four games, Tatum has a tremendous matchup tonight. The Kings are the surprise of the Western Conference, if not of the entire league this season. However, while they boast an elite offense, they sit 25th in defensive rating and are last versus the combo wing player type.

Sacramento Kings (+4.5)

While the field has been wrongfully chasing Domantas Sabonis performances in the wrong spots, including last night, tonight is a much better matchup for the leading rebounder in the NBA. Not only is Sabonis the only player in the league to averaging over 12 rebounds per game this season, but he has two triple-doubles in his last five games, while missing two others by a single assist and rebound each time. During that span, Sabonis has averaged 20.4/15.2/9.8 on 55.7% shooting. While yesterday was a much better spot for De’Aaron Fox, as evidenced in projections, Sabonis is the key to a Kings victory here tonight.

Honorable Mentions:

San Antonio Spurs @ New Orleans Pelicans (-11.5)
Oklahoma City Thunder @ Los Angeles Clippers (-6.5)

You can find me on Twitter @BetsByGhost and in the Win Daily Discord

2 years ago 0 comments

NBA DFS for Ghost’s Gems (Feb. 24)

DFSGhost 2 years ago

written by DFSGhost

Despite NBA teams having a week off following the All-Star break, there are still numerous players missing in action. While some focus on their playoff push, others have cause for concern. It’s a Fajita Friday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

New York Knicks @ Washington Wizards (-1.5)

New York Knicks (+1.5)

One of the biggest snubs of this year’s NBA All-Star game was Jalen Brunson. A questionable signing turned into a perfect situation for the Knicks, as they have found their point guard. In ten games before the break, Brunson scored 20 or more points in each one of those appearances. Moreover, he averaged 31.5/4.2/6 on 55.4% shooting during that stretch. The backcourt is riddled with underappreciated talent between Brunson and Immanuel Quickley, while the Knicks suddenly have solid wing depth as well in RJ Barrett and Josh Hart. The latter has been overly efficient since arriving from Portland, shooting 62.1% from the field and 64.3% from behind the arc in three appearances with his new team. While he lacks upside due to limited volume, he is someone that will likely be overplayed on this NBA slate.

Washington Wizards (-1.5)

Bradley Beal did not practice for two consecutive days coming out of the break and is unlikely to play tonight. Thus, Kristaps Porzingis and Kyle Kuzma will shoulder the load on offense. The former plays against the organization that drafted him, while Kuzma is surprisingly still in town following the trade deadline. However, Washington is still holding a spot in the Play-In tournament right now. While the duo are in awkward positions on the pricing grid, the latter has more upside. Kuzma does not see drastic increases in his production with Beal off the court, but does take more shots and handles the rock more frequently. A reluctancy to commit to such a bleak situation would be understandable, so look to Deni Avdija or Delon Wright here.

Miami Heat @ Milwaukee Bucks (-1.5)

Miami Heat (+1.5)

While this is far from an elite game environment, these two teams will be playing on tight rotations. Both organizations have built their rosters around defensive ability, and the two both have top 5 defenses in the NBA. However, Miami is desperate for wins and will need to tighten their rotation down the stretch. In the absence of Kyle Lowry (knee), Tyler Herro will be a key contributor in the backcourt. Moreover, Jimmy Butler will have ample room to dominate this halfcourt offense in the absence of one of, if not the best defender in the league: Giannis Antetokounmpo.

Milwaukee Bucks (-1.5)

As alluded to above, Giannis Antetokounmpo (wrist) injured himself in the last game before the NBA All-Star break and is doubtful to play tonight. Thus, Jrue Holiday, Brook Lopez, Khris Middleton, and Bobby Portis will see an increase in offensive looks. There is no clear advantage in individual matchups between the four, as the Heat bolster one of the best defensive units in the league. However, Khris Middleton will look to regain his form before the playoffs begin, leaving him with the most upside based on sheer volume. Before the break, Middleton scored in double digits across his last six appearances and eight of his last nine. During that stretch, he averaged 16.1/5/3.6 on 48.7% shooting, while taking over 12 field goal attempts per night.

Houston Rockets @ Golden State Warriors (-9.5)

Houston Rockets (+9.5)

In the absence of both Kevin Porter Jr. and Jalen Green, there are a ton of shots available to the remaining Rockets. Alperen Sengun is the key benefactor in this situation, seeing his usage rate increase from 22.1% to 26.4%, with his fantasy points per minute rising from 1.21 to 1.25. However, there are others to consider as well. The trio of KJ Martin, Jabari Smith Jr., and Tari Eason make for intriguing plays in tournaments, with Smith Jr. being the least preferable of the three. Look for the trio of Josh Christopher, TyTy Washington Jr., and Daishen Nix to pick up the bulk of the workload in a depleted backcourt.

Golden State Warriors (-9.5)

The Warriors are still missing Andrew Wiggins and Steph Curry for this game. Thus, against the worst defense in the NBA, their remaining offensive players are in a tremendous spot. Both Jordan Poole and Klay Thompson fell on the pricing grid, leaving more room for upside here. However, as stated in yesterday’s breakdown, these are the two you want to focus on. Moreover, Kevon Looney and Draymond Green will be key in shutting down Alperen Sengun. No need to reinvent the wheel here: the key contributors are known and are excellent plays on this slate.

Honorable Mentions:

Cleveland Cavaliers @ Atlanta Hawks (-1.5)
Sacramento Kings @ Los Angeles Clippers (-6.5)

You can find me on Twitter @BetsByGhost and in the Win Daily Discord

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NBA DFS for Ghost’s Gems (Feb. 13)

DFSGhost 2 years ago

written by DFSGhost

Following the conclusion of the NFL season last night, all eyes turn to the NBA. After one of the most entertaining trade deadlines in recent memory, the league has a few games left before its All-Star break. It’s a Mojito Monday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

Atlanta Hawks @ Charlotte Hornets (+5.5)

Atlanta Hawks (-5.5)

Make no mistake about it, this NBA slate is riddled with elite options at the guard position. However, two of them are in this game. Trae Young and the Hawks are in an explosive position on offense tonight. The face of the Atlanta franchise has been on fire lately, averaging 26.7/3.9/12 on 47.7% shooting over his last seven games. Moreover, the Hornets provide a great game environment for the primary ball handler. Charlotte ranks 25th in defensive rating and 7th in pace, giving Young a ton of upside. If going elsewhere at the guard position, Clint Capela makes for a tremendous target in the mid range of the pricing grid.

Charlotte Hornets (+5.5)

Similarly to Young, LaMelo Ball is in a fantastic position on this NBA slate. Despite the Hornets losing seven straight games, Ball continues to impress. He has averaged 22.9/8.3/8.1 on 40.7% shooting during that span, leading the team with a 29% usage rate. Moreover, the Hawks have a formidable on-ball defense in Dejounte Murray to counteract Ball, but the latter is excellent in finding open teammates. One benefactor will be Mark Williams, who has taken over the starting center role following the departure of Mason Plumlee. In two starts since then, Williams has averaged 8.5/8.5/1 on 58.3% shooting, amassing two steals and blocks per night.

Los Angeles Lakers @ Portland Trail Blazers (-2.5)

Los Angeles Lakers (+2.5)

The Lakers are in one of, if not the best game environment on the NBA slate. However, with the status of LeBron James unknown, there is a ton of uncertainty here. Should James play, he immediately becomes a contender to lead the slate in scoring. Yet, should he miss a third straight game with an ankle injury, both Anthony Davis and Dennis Schroder are in good spots. Davis has struggled over his last three games, but will be relied upon to shoulder the load versus an injured Trail Blazers frontcourt. Moreover, Portland ranks 27th in defensive rating and 26th versus centers. Schroder has looked good alongside newly acquired D’Angelo Russell, as the latter has shown the ability to play off the ball more so than the former. Over his last two appearances with LeBron out, Schroder has averaged 25.5/2.5/7.5 on 58.6% shooting.

Portland Trail Blazers (-2.5)

Two elite guards were mentioned in the previous game, but Damian Lillard is in one of, if not the best spot of the three. Over his last ten games, Dame Time has scored 30 or more points in eight appearances. Moreover, he has averaged 37.9/4.6/7.5 on 52.6% shooting during that span, including 41.3% from behind the arc on nearly 11 attempts per night. The Lakers rank 29th in the NBA versus primary ball handlers, while also ranking 20th in three-pointers allowed per night. The last time these two teams met, Portland took a 25-point lead into halftime, only to lose the game by nine. Counting Lillard out of the list of players to potentially lead this slate in scoring is a mistake.

Washington Wizards @ Golden State Warriors (-3.5)

Washington Wizards (+3.5)

Exposure to the Wizards offense hinges on the availability of Kyle Kuzma. Should he be ruled out, Bradley Beal is a great target in the mid range of the pricing grid. Over his last four games, Beal has averaged 26/4.5/6 on 58.3% shooting. Moreover, he leads the team in both usage rate and assists per game during that span. Since taking over as primary ball handler in the absence of Kuzma, Beal has much more room on offense to find his own shot, and create for others. With Beal also taking over six three-pointers per night over his last four appearances, he is in a position to take advantage of a Warriors defensive unit that ranks 22nd in the NBA in three-pointers allowed per night.

Golden State Warriors (-3.5)

Their positions on the pricing grid have not moved despite Steph Curry missing the team’s last three games, so there is no reason to avoid the backcourt duo of Jordan Poole and Klay Thompson. In three games since Curry went down with an injury, Poole and Thompson have combined for over 58 points per game, while taking 25 field goal attempts per night. Moreover, the two lead the team in usage rate during that span. This is far from the best game environment on the NBA slate, but it certainly is appealing enough for the sharpshooting Poole and Thompson.

Honorable Mentions:

Utah Jazz @ Indiana Pacers (-1.5)
New Orleans Pelicans @ Oklahoma City Thunder (-2.5)

You can find me on Twitter @BetsByGhost and in the Win Daily Discord

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NBA DFS for Ghost’s Gems (Jan. 25)

DFSGhost 2 years ago

written by DFSGhost

Injuries highlight the NBA slate as we approach the All-Star break. Moreover, many players are at the core of trade rumors. It’s a busy time for the league, but it makes these games all that more meaningful. It’s a Wet Wednesday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

Indiana Pacers @ Orlando Magic (-4.5)

Indiana Pacers (+4.5)

The Pacers are on the second half of a back-to-back but that won’t stop them from being one of the most popular rotations on the NBA slate. In the absence of Tyrese Haliburton, there have been many players stepping up. TJ McConnell continues to be a hot commodity in the mid range of the pricing grid, while Buddy Hield showed out after being highlighted in yesterday’s article. Moreover, Myles Turner continues to be a fantasy points per minute machine and is seeing an increased workload in the paint.

Orlando Magic (-4.5)

Despite cooling off after a hot start to his NBA career, Paolo Banchero is a tremendous play in the mid range of the pricing grid. Banchero has now scored in double digits across 12 straight appearances, averaging 19.8/5.7/3.3 on 42.4% shooting. However, his minutes have been limited during that stretch, large in part because of blowout losses. Tonight, the Magic are favored as two rebuilding teams face one another. With The Pacers lacking size on the wing, opting for smaller lineups with combo guards such as Mathurin and Hield, Panchero holds a massive size advantage against anyone he lines up against.

Washington Wizards @ Houston Rockets (+3.5)

Washington Wizards (-3.5)

Both of these teams are riddled with injuries but this is one of the best game environments on the NBA slate. Despite Kyle Kuzma acting as the primary ball handler in this offense, the sheer upside that Bradley Beal has in this matchup is too good to pass up on. Not only is his place on the pricing grid outright disrespectful, but the Rockets rank 28th in the league in defensive rating. He is far from his form that nearly led him to a scoring title in 2020-2021, but Beal is still one of the best off-ball guards in the league. The absence of Kristaps Porzingis opens up a ton of shots for Beal, who has scored 20 or more points in ten of his last fifteen appearances.

Houston Rockets (+3.5)

On the flipside of this matchup is plenty of offensive potential in its own right. In the absence of Kevin Porter Jr., both Alperen Sengun and Jalen Green have been phenomenal. The former gets a juicy matchup versus Daniel Gafford, who is simply not match for the sophomore. Sengun has three double-doubles in his last four games, averaging 24.3/12.5/6.5 during that span. Moreover, Green has scored 20 or more points in four of his last five games since KPJ went down with a foot injury. Green has averaged 28.6/3.2/3.6 on 49.5% shooting during that span, taking over 20 field goal attempts per night.

Toronto Raptors @ Sacramento Kings (-4.5)

Toronto Raptors (+4.5)

One of the most intriguing teams heading into the NBA trade deadline, the Raptors still have one of the best cores in the league. However, they have failed to return to form that won them a championship only a few years ago. Yes, Kawhi Leonard is gone, but OG Anunoby is one of the best defenders in the league, while Pascal Siakam and Scottie Barnes have the potential to carry this team to wins nightly. In this matchup, Gary Trent Jr. will see a lot of shot attempts versus a Kings defense the struggles on the perimeter. Moreover, Scottie Barnes will be key in defending De’Aaron Fox, while producing on offense and on the glass.

Sacramento Kings (-4.5)

Simply put, this is a tremendous matchup for Domantas Sabonis. To the surprise of no one, he is featured once again in a Kings writeup. However, the Raptors struggle on the glass, giving Sabonis great potential to dominate both ends of the paint. Over his last seven games, not only has Sabonis posted six double-doubles, but he also has eight or more assists in each one of those appearances. Sabonis has averaged a 17.4/12.9/10.9 triple-double during that span, showing no signs of slowing down anytime soon.

Honorable Mentions:

Brooklyn Nets @ Philadelphia 76ers (-6.5)
Denver Nuggets @ Milwaukee Bucks (-6.5)
Minnesota Timberwolves @ New Orleans Pelicans (-2.5)

You can find me on Twitter @BetsByGhost and in the Win Daily Discord

2 years ago 0 comments

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NBA DFS: Ghost’s Gems 01/16/2023

DFSGhost 2 years ago

written by DFSGhost

There are multiple ways to play different NBA slates tonight. Since the schedule will be roughly 12 hours long from beginning to end, there are showdowns, a main slate, and a late slate available. It’s a Mojito Monday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

Golden State Warriors @ Washington Wizards (+3.5)

Golden State Warriors (-3.5)

The Warriors are on the second half of a back-to-back, therefore this can be a lengthly injury report. Klay Thompson has already been ruled out, while the statuses of Steph Curry, Draymond Green, and Andrew Wiggins need to be monitored. Curry has struggled in his three games since returning from an injury, but Jordan Poole has thrived. Over his last nine games, Poole has averaged 25.7/3.9/5 on 43.7% shooting. Moreover, he has scored 20 or more points in each of those nine appearances. In the absence of Thompson, Poole will be able to run the offense while Curry is on the bench, while flourishing as a secondary ball handler with Curry on the court. On a small NBA slate, Poole is one of the best targets in the mid range of the pricing grid.

Washington Wizards (+3.5)

Exposure to this offense is contingent on the status of Bradley Beal. The face of the Wizards franchise has made a single appearance in the team’s last eight games before leaving early after aggravating his hamstring injury. While many players have stepped up in different fashions, one that has struggled has been Kristaps Porzingis. KP has a mere two double-doubles over his last five games, but he has scored 20 or more points in four of those appearances. On a small NBA slate, the top of the pricing grid is a true premium, and there may not be anyone to consider once this game tips off.

Toronto Raptors @ New York Knicks (-3.5)

Toronto Raptors (+3.5)

Many rumours continue to swirl around the core players of this rotation. OG Anunoby is by far the most coveted wing on the trade block, while Gary Trent Jr. and Fred VanVleet could garner interest before the trade deadline. Nonetheless, the Raptors have won three of their last four and are still making a playoff push. Should VanVleet miss this game because of a lower-back injury, Scottie Barnes instantly becomes one of the most popular players on the NBA slate. Moreover, amidst the turmoil of a disappointing season, Pascal Siakam continues to thrive. Leading the team with a 28.5% usage rate, Siakam has averaged 25.7/8.2/6.4 on 47.8% shooting this season. He leads the team in scoring, rebounding, and assists, making him one of the most intriguing options at the top of the pricing grid of this NBA slate.

New York Knicks (-3.5)

Jalen Brunson was one of the most popular headliners of this past offseason. Leaving Dallas for the Big Apple was a surprise to no one, but his contract certainly was. However, Brunson has taken over this offense, along with Julius Randle. Over his last eight games, Brunson has scored 20 or more points in every appearance. Moreover, he has averaged 32.4/5.6/5.7 on 52.3% shooting during that span, leading the team in scoring and field goal attempts. Toronto’s zone defense is always a polarizing one to face, but Brunson and Randle will be relied upon to log heavy minutes in a tightly-contested affair. Brunson makes for one of the better options in the mid range of the pricing grid of this NBA slate, similarly to Jordan Poole.

New Orleans Pelicans @ Cleveland Cavaliers (-6.5)

New Orleans Pelicans (+6.5)

Despite missing two key players in Zion Williamson and Brandon Ingram, the Pelicans still hold the #3 seed in the Western Conference. Tonight, they face the #2 defense in the NBA and will be in tough to matchup versus a frontcourt of Evan Mobley and Jarrett Allen. However, this is one of the most competitive game environments on the slate. CJ McCollum continues to run the offense but lacks point/dollar upside on this slate. Another tough matchup will be Jonas Valanciunas versus Mobley and Allen, but his minutes will be plentiful given the size of the Cavaliers. Lastly, do not overlook the important of Jose Alvarado, should Herbert Jones miss this game. If the latter is ruled out, Alvarado will draw the daunting task of guarding Donovan Mitchell.

Cleveland Cavaliers (-6.5)

This is one of the most rounded teams in the NBA. The Cavaliers boast a tremendous balance between offense and defense. Tonight will be yet another test for a team that has Championship hopes. In a matchup versus the Pelicans, the wings will flourish. However, this offense is not tailored to its wings, rather, its backcourt and frontcourt duos. Jarrett Allen has been phenomenal on both ends of the court this season and is in a great matchup. Over his last two games, Allen has averaged 21.5/9/4 on 70.4% shooting. New Orleans allows nearly 50 points in the paint per game, and Allen will be featured early and often to attack Jonas Valanciunas on the inside.

Honorable Mentions:

Miami Heat @ Atlanta Hawks (+1.5)
Utah Jazz @ Minnesota Timberwolves (-2.5)

You can find me on Twitter @BetsByGhost and in the Win Daily Discord

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NBA DFS: Ghost’s Gems 01/11/2023

DFSGhost 2 years ago

written by DFSGhost

It is truly crucial to follow the news as an NBA slate unfolds. Yesterday, many players were ruled out, causing short rotations in nearly every game. Tonight, injury reports are one again lengthly and some teams are on the second half of a back-to-back. It’s a Wet Wednesday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

Chicago Bulls @ Washington Wizards (OTB)

Chicago Bulls (OTB)

Both teams in this game have crucial players on their injury reports. For the Bulls, DeMar DeRozan left the team’s last game and did not return due to a quadriceps injury. He is currently listed as questionable for tonight. Whether DeRozan plays or not does not shift the importance that both Nikola Vucevic and Zach Lavine will have on this NBA slate. Over his last eight games, Vucevic has posted seven double-doubles. Moreover, he has averaged 17.6/13.8/3.5 on 56.1% shooting during that span. Lavine has also picked it up in what can only be described as a disappointing season. Over his last three games, Lavine leads the team with a 31.3% usage rate. He has three straight outings with 27 or more points, including 36-point and 41-point efforts. Over his last three, Lavine has averaged 34.7/5.3/4.7 on 56.3% shooting, including a whopping seven three-pointers made per night.

Washington Wizards (OTB)

Washington remains without Bradley Beal and could be even more shorthanded tonight. Both Kristaps Porzingis and Daniel Gafford are listed as questionable, while partially practicing yesterday. Should either frontcourt player miss this one, Rui Hachimura will be in for more offensive looks. On the season, Hachimura has a 22.3% usage rate and 0.90 fantasy points per minute. However, with Beal, Porzingis, and Gafford off the floor, his numbers do not increase by an overwhelming amount. This is large in part due to dominating usage on the second unit, but struggling to coincide with Kyle Kuzma. Thus, on a large NBA slate, exposure to a mediocre offense is far from a must.

Milwaukee Bucks @ Atlanta Hawks (OTB)

Milwaukee Bucks (OTB)

Should players be ruled out at the same rate as last night’s NBA slate, Giannis Antetokounmpo will be the first priority. Despite struggling in a shocking blowout loss to the Hornets, Giannis still has 30 or more points in four of his last six games. During that span, he has averaged 34/14.5/5.7 on 48.9% shooting, despite a 9/4/0 stat line against the Hornets. Moreover, the Greek Freak is in a tremendous matchup. With Clint Capela still out for the Hawks, Onyeka Okongwu will be severely outmatched in the paint on both ends of the floor. The Hawks rank 26th in points in the paint per game, paving the way for Giannis to dominate on both ends of the paint tonight.

Atlanta Hawks (OTB)

Despite Jrue Holiday being an elite defender, the Bucks have been getting dominated by opposing primary ball handlers as of late. In their last three games, the Bucks have allowed Jalen Brunson to drop 44/7/4, while giving up 24/3/12 to LaMelo Ball, and 28/8/12 to Fred VanVleet. In his last four games, Trae Young has scored 30 or more points in three appearances. Moreover, he has averaged 28.3/3.5/9.3 on 48% shooting. With the Hawks ranked 5th in the NBA in pace, this offense will be one to focus on.

Houston Rockets @ Sacramento Kings (OTB)

Houston Rockets (OTB)

Despite their opponent’s success in the standings, they still rank 24th in the NBA in defensive rating. Moreover, they rank 4th in pace, creating an elite game environment for a young Rockets offense. In their last ten games, the Kings have also allowed 120.9 points per game, so there is plenty of intrigue here. Despite a tough matchup on paper versus Domantas Sabonis, Alperen Sengun will be needed to match his fellow center’s minutes. Moreover, the Kings rank 29th in the NBA in points allowed in the paint. Over his last five games, Sengun has scored in double digits each time. Moreover, he has averaged 15.6/7.6/3.2 on 51.9% shooting during that span. If the matchup is concerning for your lineups, both Kevin Porter Jr. and Jalen Green have a ton of upside in this matchup, with the former being the preferred target.

Sacramento Kings (OTB)

On the season, the Rockets rank 28th in the NBA in defensive rating, allowing nearly 116 points per game. Moreover, they rank last in the league against primary ball handlers. De’Aaron Fox has been playing at an all-star level this year. He leads the team in usage rate at 29.2% and scoring with 23.8 points per game. Moreover, Fox has scored 20 or more points in 11 of his last 13 appearances, averaging 26.4/3.8/7.1 on 50.4% shooting. This is also a tremendous matchup for Kevin Huerter. The Rockets allow a league-worst 14.3 three-pointers per game. On the season, Huerter has been lights out from behind the arc. He has averaged three three-pointers made per game, shooting 42% from deep. He has 11th in the NBA in three-pointers made per game, while being 14th in shooting percentage.

Honorable Mentions:

Minnesota Timberwolves @ Detroit Pistons (+5.5)
New Orleans Pelicans @ Boston Celtics (-9.5)
Phoenix Suns @ Denver Nuggets (OTB)

You can find me on Twitter @BetsByGhost and in the Win Daily Discord

2 years ago 0 comments

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NBA DFS: Ghost’s Gems 01/09

DFSGhost 2 years ago

written by DFSGhost

Although there are several stars missing in action tonight, there are still many elite matchups. Moreover, this NBA slate has potential to have several high scoring affairs. It’s a Mojito Monday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

New Orleans Pelicans @ Washington Wizards (-1.5)

New Orleans Pelicans (+1.5)

With key contributors out of each of these teams’ respective lineups, usage will be plentiful for others. Zion Williamson and Brandon Ingram remain out for the Pelicans, who are surprisingly underdogs to the Wizards in this one. Once again, CJ McCollum figures to be one of the most popular players on this NBA slate. On the season, the point guard sports a 26.3% usage rate and 1.10 fantasy points per minute. However, with both Williamson and Ingram off the court, McCollum sees increases to a usage rate of 31.6% and produces 1.24 fantasy points per minute. Moreover, in his last two games, McCollum has averaged 28/3.5/6 on 44.4% shooting.

Washington Wizards (-1.5)

While Bradley Beal remains out for the Wizards, both Kristaps Porzingis and Kyle Kuzma will shoulder the load on offense. However, there is another Washington player that continues to fly under the radar. Lately, Daniel Gafford has been playing excellent basketball. While he has always been a productive player on a per-minute basis, he has finally gotten enough time on the court to flourish. Startling alongside Porzingis has allowed Gafford to draw easier matchups on both ends of the court. Thus, he has been much more productive. Over his last five games, Gafford has logged 25 or more minutes in every contest. Moreover, he has averaged 13.6/8.2/1.8 on 75% shooting, despite the low usage rate and field goal attempts. New Orleans currently ranks 22nd in the NBA against centers, while allowing nearly 50 points in the paint per game.

Los Angeles Lakers @ Denver Nuggets (-8.5)

Los Angeles Lakers (+8.5)

Make no mistake about it, this organization runs through LeBron James. However, with the absences of both Lonnie Walker IV and Austin Reeves, both Russell Westbrook and Dennis Schroder have been tremendous in their respective roles. With the former continues to come off the bench, he is the favorite for Sixth Man of the Year. Over his last two games, Westbrook has averaged 20.5/8/12 through a 25.6% usage rate while logging over 32 minutes per night. Moreover, Schroder has been efficient in the starting lineup. While logging over 32 minutes per contest in each of his last five appearances, Schroder has averaged 21.4/2.6/3.8 on 50.8% shooting. Both Schroder and Westbrook have upside against a Denver defense that ranks 20th in the NBA versus secondary ball handlers.

Denver Nuggets (-8.5)

If there is a stud at the top of the pricing grid on this NBA slate that can lead it in scoring, it’s Nikola Jokic. Not only has the back-to-back MVP led his squad to the #1 seed in the Western Conference thus far, but he has been just as dominant as past years. Over his last ten games, Jokic has posted five triple-doubles. Moreover, he has averaged 25.6/10.4/10.8 on 59.4% shooting during that span. Without Anthony Davis guarding the paint, the Lakers interior defense has crumbled. They now sit 28th in the NBA versus true centers, while being ranked 24th in points allowed in the paint per game.

Orlando Magic @ Sacramento Kings (-5.5)

Orlando Magic (+5.5)

The Magic are still a rebuilding team but they can put up a fight with a healthy roster. Despite missing Bol Bol tonight, they have Jalen Suggs back and their suspended players have all returned. Paolo Banchero continues to lead the Rookie of the Year race, but his point/dollar upside is limited. Thus, this slate is more suited for Franz Wagner. Currently, Sacramento ranks last in the NBA against wings. Moreover, Wagner comes into this one having scored 20 or more points in three straight contests. During that span, Wagner has averaged 24.7/2.7/4.3 on 54.9% shooting, while leading the team in minutes per game.

Sacramento Kings (-5.5)

There are many ways to get exposure to one of the most enticing offenses of the NBA slate. At the top of the pricing grid, both Domantas Sabonis and De’Aaron Fox continue to perform at an All-Star level no matter what their individual matchups are. Moreover, Kevin Huerter has scored in double digits in five straight contests. Meanwhile, with Paolo Banchero switching onto Domantas Sabonis tonight, Keegan Murray has a friendly matchup versus Wendell Carter Jr., who sports a 114.3 defensive rating on the season. Of the four listed targets, Sabonis and Fox are in their own category. However, Huerter and Murray both have upside in an elite game environment, despite being reliant on their scoring output.

Honorable Mentions:

Milwaukee Bucks @ New York Knicks (+2.5)
Chicago Bulls @ Boston Celtics (-8.5)
San Antonio Spurs @ Memphis Grizzlies (-11.5)

You can find me on Twitter @BetsByGhost and in the Win Daily Discord

2 years ago 0 comments

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NBA DFS: Ghost’s Gems 01/06

DFSGhost 2 years ago

written by DFSGhost

There are a ton of good matchups on the NBA schedule tonight. Unfortunately for fans, many stars of the game have already been ruled out. However, this makes this slate interesting for fantasy purposes. It’s a Fajita Friday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

Brooklyn Nets @ New Orleans Pelicans (+4.5)

Brooklyn Nets (-4.5)

No NBA team is on a better run than the Nets. Before losing to the Bulls the other night, Brooklyn had strung together 12 wins in a row and are now 12-1 in their last 13 games. During that stretch, the duo of Kevin Durant and Kyrie Irving have been phenomenal. The two lead the team in usage rate at 32.1% and 30.9%, respectively. Moreover, they have combined for 59 points per game. With Zion Williamson out for the Pelicans, Kevin Durant has a tremendous matchup versus the Pelicans’ wings. However, Kyrie Irving has scored 20 or more points in 11 of the team’s last 13 games, averaging 28.9/6.1/5.1 on 52.9% shooting. The two will combine for a ton of shots tonight, and either one makes for a great play.

New Orleans Pelicans (+4.5)

In the absence of both Zion Williamson and Brandon Ingram, the Pelicans duo of CJ McCollum and Jonas Valanciunas will be two of the most rostered players on the NBA slate. However, expectations need to be tempered. The Nets are no longer a team that can be easily beat in their own half of the court. Over the last ten games, they have the third-best defensive rating in the league. Moreover, they are now a top-10 defense in the NBA. Despite the interior presences of Nic Claxton and Ben Simmons, Valanciunas has the higher upside between he and his teammate. Over his last six games, Valanciunas has four double-doubles and has averaged 12.7/11.2/1.8 on 44.9% shooting.

Washington Wizards @ Oklahoma City Thunder (-1.5)

Washington Wizards (+1.5)

This game will be overlooked on a large NBA slate and it really should not be. Not only is it one of the best game environments, but a key injury to Bradley Beal opens up this Washington rotation. The Thunder currently rank 26th in the NBA against true centers, and we want to exploit their interior defense. On the season, Kristaps Porzingis has a 27.5% usage rate and 1.28 fantasy points per minute. However, with Beal off the court, these increase to a 29.8% usage rate and 1.34 fantasy points per minute. If you are reluctant to commit to KP at the top of the pricing grid, Daniel Gafford makes for an intriguing tournament play, as does Rui Hachimura, only if Gafford (elbow) misses this game.

Oklahoma City Thunder (-1.5)

By now, everyone should know just how good Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has been playing this season. He is far and away the top talent and fantasy player on a rebuilding Thunder team. However, similarly to Porzingis, there are other options if the salary is worrisome. In the absence of two frontcourt players, Jeremiah Robinson-Earl and Aleksej Pokusevski, the field has been searching for a replacement big man. However, it has been Josh Giddey that has reaped the benefits. Not only is he the leading rebounder on the team, but he has seen an increase in both scoring and usage rate. Over his last four games, Giddey has three 20-point efforts. Moreover, he has averaged 20.5/7.3/3.5 on 53.2% shooting, seeing a notable increase in shot attempts over his season average.

Los Angeles Clippers @ Minnesota Timberwolves (OTB)

Los Angeles Clippers (OTB)

I wanted to touch on this game because the Clippers are on the second half of a back-to-back. At the time of writing, Paul George is questionable for their game against the Nuggets. Moreover, Kawhi Leonard is a rest candidate on the second half of a back-to-back, as is John Wall, Nic Batum, and Marcus Morris. If the dominos fall with a lengthly injury report, this will be the spot for the majority of the value on a large NBA slate. Look for updates in Discord.

Minnesota Timberwolves (OTB)

There is no greater disappointment in the NBA than the Timberwolves. Despite the acquisition of Rudy Gobert in the offseason, Minnesota is actually performing worse on both ends of the court this season. However, with Karl-Anthony Towns still nursing a calf injury, there are many touches to go around on offense. Anthony Edwards will continue to lead the charge, however the Clippers boast two of the best defenders in the league in Paul George and Kawhi Leonard. Should both end up sitting, Edwards carries much more upside. Elsewhere, Rudy Gobert has been the primary cause for concern over this roster. However, with a friendly matchup against a Clippers defense that ranks 22nd against centers and 18th in points allowed in the paint, he makes for an intriguing pivot to a popular Jonas Valanciunas.

Honorable Mentions:

Chicago Bulls @ Philadelphia 76ers (-4.5)
New York Knicks @ Toronto Raptors (-3.5)
Atlanta Hawks @ Los Angeles Lakers (+1.5)

You can find me on Twitter @BetsByGhost and in the Win Daily Discord

2 years ago 0 comments

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NBA DFS: Ghost’s Gems 01/03

DFSGhost 2 years ago

written by DFSGhost

Only six teams take the court tonight. Thus, it will be crucial to keep tabs on all injury reports throughout the day. A single injury or rotation change can shift the NBA slate. It’s a Taco Tuesday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

Washington Wizards @ Milwaukee Bucks (-7.5)

Washington Wizards (+7.5)

Exposure to the Wizards offense remains in question, as Bradley Beal has missed the last three games for his team. Should be make a return to the lineup, he carries the most upside on the NBA slate in the mid range of the pricing grid. However, should he miss a fourth straight contest, the duo of Kristaps Porzingis and Kyle Kuzma will need to carry this offense. Over their last three games without Beal, Kuzma and Porzingis have led the team in usage rate, respectively, combining for 43 points per game.

Milwaukee Bucks (-7.5)

After practicing on Monday, it looks as though Giannis Antetokounmpo is set to return to the lineup tonight for the Bucks. Additionally, despite still missing Khris Middleton, the Bucks will get more reinforcements, with Jrue Holiday returning after a three-game absence. The Wizards recently changing their starting lineup to include both Porzingis and Gafford. Thus, Bobby Portis is set to get a phenomenal matchup off the bench. Portis comes into this one with four double-doubles across his last five appearances, averaging 15/11.2/1 on 43.9% shooting. In the mid range of the pricing grid of this NBA slate, Portis makes for one of the most intriguing options for tournaments.

Sacramento Kings @ Utah Jazz (-2.5)

Sacramento Kings (+2.5)

Domantas Sabonis picked up right where he left off on New Year’s Day. After averaging 23.4/16.1/8 over his last six games of the calendar year, Sabonis dropped an 18/14/4 double-double on the Grizzlies just a few days ago. Utah currently ranks 29th in the NBA against true centers, while also ranking last in points allowed in the paint.

Utah Jazz (-2.5)

With Collin Sexton slated to miss the next week with a hamstring injury, Malik Beasley will be crucial off the bench. Over his last six games of the calendar year, Beasley scored 10 or more points in four appearances. Moreover, he averaged 14.7/3.3/1.3 on 39.3% shooting. The Kings struggle mightily versus wings, ranking 30th in the NBA to the player type. Additionally, Beasley sees both an increase in usage rate and fantasy points per minute with Sexton off the court.

Honorable Mention:

Boston Celtics @ Oklahoma City Thunder (+8.5)

You can find me on Twitter @BetsByGhost and in the Win Daily Discord

2 years ago 0 comments

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NBA DFS: Ghost’s Gems 12/22

DFSGhost 2 years ago

written by DFSGhost

With only four teams taking the court tonight, this NBA slate will be interesting. Not only is one matchup lopsided, but key contributors on both sides of the ball have already been ruled out. It’s a Thirsty Thursday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

San Antonio Spurs @ New Orleans Pelicans (-10.5)

San Antonio Spurs (+10.5)

This game will be more popular than the next one. With injuries to both teams, many players will see an increase in opportunities on the offensive side of the ball. Keldon Johnson is listed as doubtful to play, leaving many chances for other Spurs to produce on offense. On the season, Devin Vassell is second on the team with a 25% usage rate. However, with Johnson off the floor, this number jumps to 26.4%. Additionally, his fantasy points per minute output increases from 1.07 to 1.20 with his teammate off the court. With the Pelicans ranked 25th in the NBA against wings, this is a tremendous matchup for Vassell.

New Orleans Pelicans (-10.5)

There is little doubt that Jonas Valanciunas will be the most rostered player on this NBA slate. Zion Williamson has already been ruled out, in addition to Brandon Ingram being sidelined. Valanciunas is fresh off an offensive explosion, where he dropped 37/18/5 on 58.3% shooting. This was the first time he saw more than 30 minutes since November 9th and he certainly took advantage. The Spurs rank 24th against centers while being 29th in points allowed in the paint per game. Valanciunas has always been efficient, but there was always a minutes concern with New Orleans rolling out smaller lineups. Tonight, with Zion ruled out, Valanciunas will be in for another heavy dose of playing time.

Washington Wizards @ Utah Jazz (-6.5)

Washington Wizards (+6.5)

Exposure to the Wizards offense will be determined by the availability of Kristaps Porzingis. The Washington center missed last game with an illness, and is listed questionable to play tonight. Should he miss, Daniel Gafford instantly becomes one of the best point/dollar plays on the NBA slate with a matchup versus a Utah defense that ranks 29th in the NBA against centers. Moreover, Bradley Beal will be one of the elite targets toward the top of the pricing grid. In his last two games since returning to the lineup, Beal has averaged 28/4/4.5 on 45.9% shooting.

Utah Jazz (-6.5)

Should the availability of Porzingis take you off Beal, roll out Lauri Markkanen with confidence. Through a breakout campaign, Markkanen has now scored 20 or more points in seven of his last nine appearances. Moreover, he has averaged 25.6/7.6/1.8 on 56.9% shooting during that span. The potential return of Collin Sexton complicates the Jazz backcourt, so monitor this injury report and adjust accordingly. If playing Beal with the core listed below, Walker Kessler makes for a tremendous way to get exposure to this offense. Over his last eight appearances, Kessler has logged 20 or more minutes in seven games. Moreover, he has averaged 9.1/8.5/0.6 on 75% shooting during that span. He won’t take a ton of shots, but Washington ranks 18th in the NBA in points allowed in the paint and 16th in rebounding.

Core

CJ McCollum
Jonas Valanciunas
Devin Vassell
Pick one (1) of Bradley Beal or Lauri Markkanen
DK bonus: Daniel Gafford (if Porzingis out) or Walker Kessler

You can find me on Twitter @BetsByGhost and in the Win Daily Discord

2 years ago 0 comments

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