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UFC 275

TEIXEIRA V PROCHAZKA

Welcome back everyone to Win Daily’s Fight Night Deep Dive! Tonight we have a STELLAR numbered card ahead of us. UFC is taking us overseas this weekend as we are going to see two title fights in Singapore! Today’s slate will start at 6:00 PM ET. Read more below to find out my takes on tonight’s matchups! Tonight there will be 11-fights that will end with two title fights between the Women’s Flyweight Division and the Men’s Light Heavyweight Division. Looking forward to breaking this one down! Let’s get started!

SLATE STARTS AT 6:00 PM ET

Exposure to the main event is recommended. DFS production in these fights are usually be high as they are five-round fights. I may be branching away from the Main Event for some of my lines due to the low activity among these fighters. There will be three top plays followed by honorable mentions. Now let’s get ready to make some money!

Tonight I’m here to give you my top three favorite DFS and Sports betting picks for UFC 275 Teixeira vs Prochazka. Also if you haven’t already, be sure to check out the first edition of Win Daily’s MMA Gambling Academy!

MY UFC VALUE TARGET (CASH&GPP):

Joanna Jedrzejczyk (+150) (DK 7400) (FD $12) vs. Weili Zhang (-175) (DK 8800) (FD $18).

It’s very clear that the winner fights for the title against Carla Esparza and for those who don’t remember, these two fought in a fight of the year classic around two years ago for that very same title. The fight left battle scars on both sides, and in fact Joanna hasn’t fought since that fight. Weili has fought twice and lost both times to Rose Namajunas. Since Rose recently lost to Esparza this sets up this fight as the title eliminator. Interestingly enough, Joanna has fought and beaten Esparza. Furthermore, I think Joanna won the first fight and should have retained her title. So, I see this as an opportunity for fate to correct course. Joanna showed off some excellent TDEF in their first fight where Weili was 1/8 on takedowns and only held her down for 30 seconds after the lone Takedown. Joanna is also very lanky, holding the height and reach advantage. What I like most about Joanna’s style is she can wing off a lot of long range strikes and can put serious pressure on Weili in the pocket when she needs to. Both, Joanna and Weili will have to stand in the pocket and eat shots to get an advantage in this one and as I mentioned, I think Joanna is better at that sort of dirty boxing. The fact that she’s coming in as a dog makes me even more interested in picking Joanna, since the last time we got good value on a dog against Zhang was against Namajunas and that fight ended quite well for us. Lastly, activity can make a difference but Weili’s two losses in my opinion should not really be considered as ‘activity.’ The first fight ended very fast and the second was one of the most boring fights in UFC history, just a simple grapple-fest. So I definitely leaning towards Joanna in this one.

MY UFC DFS PICK: Joanna Jedrzejczyk (+150) (DK 7400) (FD $12). UNANIMOUS DECISION.

MY UFC LOCKED-IN TARGET (CASH):

Jack Della Maddalena (-150) (DK 8200) (FD $17) vs. Ramazan Emeev (+125) (DK 8000) (FD $14).

Jack is a very green boxer, lots of power and he’s making continuous improvements to his game in traditionally weaker areas for boxers such as grappling and defending kicks. It is no doubt though that the UFC has given him a big step up in competition since his domination against Pete Rodriguez. This weekend he’s up against the grappling heavy attack of Ramazan Emeev. This sets up the classic boxer vs wrestler/grappler scenario where we will see which discipline really shines through. Jack has really impressed me with his boxing combos. Whereas Emeev keep his wrestling style very simple and easy to read. I’ve been impressed with Della Maddalena since his time on the Dana White Contender series where he showed off some knowledge of takedown defense and it’ll be interesting to see what kind of adjustments he’ll be bringing to the table to combat the grapple heavy attack of Ramazan Emeev. Either way, I think all roads lead to a Jack Della Maddalena KO as eventually the striking pressure will be too much for Emeev to handle.

MY UFC DFS PICK: Jack Della Maddalena (-150) (DK 8200) (FD $17) SECOND ROUND KO.

MY UFC TOP SCORING TARGET (GPP):

Andre Fialho (-150) (DK 8500) (FD $17) vs. Jake Matthews (+125) (DK 7700) (FD $14)

Amazingly, this is Fialho’s third fight in six weeks time. The high rising Portuguese boxer is coming off back-to-back 1st Round KOs over the likes of Miguel Baeza and Cameron Van Camp. Since his win against Li Jingliang back in 2018 Matthews has never been able to beat the top guys, he’s always come up just short when it mattered most to his career progression. On top of that, Matthews’ chin is a little suspect and his game begins to unravel as the fight goes on. I think it should come as no surprise that Matthews will focus on the wrestling in this matchup but it’ll be a tall order against someone with the defensive takedown ability of Fialho which stands at a staggering 75% throughout his UFC career. As mentioned, Matthews has heavily relied on his grappling to secure his last three UFC wins which all came via decision, a fact that does seem troublesome against a power puncher like Fialho. Also of note, is that Fialho has also been incredibly more active compared to Jake Matthews. As we discussed, this is Fialho’s third fight in just six weeks, whereas this is Matthews’ first fight since his loss against Sean Brady over a year ago. That is a completely different level of activity and one that will come to bear in this fight and at the end of the day the increased activity will shine through.

MY UFC DFS PICK: Andre Fialho (-150) (DK 8500) (FD $17) FIRST-ROUND KO.

UFC HONORABLE MENTIONS:

(Not in order)

Jiri Prochazka -200 (DK 8900) (FD $22) (5 ROUNDER)

Valentina Shevchenko -600 (DK 9600) (FD $23) (5 ROUNDER)

Danaa Batgerel -138 (DK 8300) (FD $16)

Brendan Allen -334 (DK 9000) (FD $21)

Seung Woo Choi -250 (DK 9100) (FD $20) (Josh Culibao has some DFS value but I think Choi wins it)

Steve Garcia -170 (DK 8400) (FD $19)

Silviana Gomez Juarez (FADE) -138 (DK 8600) (FD $16) (Na Liang has some good DFS value [mostly on DraftKings] but fade this fight overall)

Joselyn Edwards -170 (FADE) (DK 8700) (FD $18)

SUMMARY:

On Saturday’s fourteen-bout MMA UFC DFS slate, I will be building 3 UFC Parlays. I will be focusing on the three targets and my honorable mention fighters listed in my article to be a part of 99.9 percent of my lineups. Some fights in this slate are tricky to predict a winner and all fights are pretty close in skillset as UFC fighters are the elite of the elite. I usually employ a hedging technique on the fights that are closer in odds. I’m focusing on building a GPP winning lineup.

I’m building lineups that can variate from the field and taking bigger risks tonight. I will use my core fighters (Locked-In, Honorable Mention) to be a staple in my DFS lineups, and I will build around them using the available salary with the remainder of my predicted winners. Remember, to take down a GPP; you have to be different and take risks. Scared money doesn’t make money in tournaments. For any further questions, I will be available until lock in our WinDaily Discord chat. GOOD LUCK and don’t forget to come back and Win Daily!

PARLAY OF THE DAY

Any 3/4 Combo of these four picks work well!

MonkeyKnifeFight: Knockout Kings!

Below I have listed my top three plays for MKF’s Knockout Kings Contest!

UFC VEGAS 56

VOLKOV V ROZENTRUIK

We’re back after a week layoff with another edition of Win Daily’s Fight Night Deep Dive! Tonight we have a solid card with interesting fights throughout the night. Today’s slate will start at a VERY EARLY 1:00 PM ET. Read more below to find out my takes on tonight’s matchups! Tonight there will be 14-fights that will end with a big heavyweight fight which has a lot of implications for the title picture. Looking forward to breaking this one down! Let’s get started!

SLATE STARTS AT 1:00 PM ET

Exposure to the main event is acceptable but not required. DFS production in these fights are usually be high as they are five-round fights. I may be branching away from the Main Event for some of my lines due to the low activity among these fighters. There will be three top plays followed by honorable mentions. Now let’s get ready to make some money!

Tonight I’m here to give you my top three favorite DFS and Sports betting picks for UFC Vegas 56 Volkov vs Rozenstruik.

MY UFC VALUE TARGET (CASH&GPP):

Karine Silva (-125) (DK 8200) (FD $16) vs. Poliana Botelho (+100) (DK 8000) (FD $15).

The odds have this as quite a close fight but from what I’ve seen I think this is a bit of a mismatch, especially when it comes to their BJJ skills. Not to discount her striking which is very technical and packed with power. Karine is making her UFC debut with 6 submission wins under her belt along with an outstanding 8 KO wins. Of course, Karine is taking a big step up in competition for her UFC debut but if we’re being honest, Botelho is not the most daunting opponent for a UFC debut. Botelho has lost three of her last four fights and these were fights that Botelho really should have won. Karine is a great prospect for the UFC and I know that her skill set will be enough to pass this test

MY UFC DFS PICK: Karine Silva (-125) (DK 8200) (FD $16). SECOND ROUND SUBMISSION (possible UNANIMOUS DECISION)

MY UFC LOCKED-IN TARGET (CASH):

Erin Blanchfield (-550) (DK 9600) (FD $22) vs. JJ Aldrich (+400) (DK 6600) (FD $8).

This one shouldn’t even be close. Erin’s striking fundamentals are so far advanced over Aldrich that this one should not be close. If I were to predict exactly how this fight would go. It would start with Blanchfield establishing her jab early then slowly picking apart Aldrich with an insanely high strike count until the final bell. Aldrich currently holds a negative striking differential despite being on a three fight winning streak in the UFC. Blanchfield on the other hand is landing 5.53 SLpM and only absorbing 2.07 SLpM for an overall striking differential of 3.46. That is extremely significant in this matchup. Futhermore, Blanchfield is averaging 5 takedowns per fight with a 90% take down accuracy. This adds another layer to the fight where Blanchfield can begin to change levels on Aldrich to keep her completely out of the fight.

MY UFC DFS PICK: Erin Blanchfield (-550) (DK 9600) (FD $22) UNANIMOUS DECISION (Possible SECOND ROUND KNOCKOUT)

MY UFC TOP SCORING TARGET (GPP):

Rinat Fakhretdinov (-250) (DK 9200) (FD $20) vs. Andreas Michailidis (+200) (DK 7000) (FD $10)

Oh boy, there seems to always be one of these fights and on this card, it’s this fight. This is a complete mismatch in skillset and there’s really no way to make it any clearer, Fakhretdinov will knockout Michailidis, it just depends on whether it happens in the first or second round. Fakhretdinov is coming into his UFC debut with a 20-2-0 record and an 80% finish rate. Whereas, Michailidis is coming into this fight with 2 losses in his last three fights, with the only win coming against the non-UFC caliber KB Bhullar. Michailidis executed an interesting strategy for his last fight against Alex Pereira. Considering Pereira had a significant striking advantage due to his extensive kickboxing career, Michailidis would hold him down and grapple his way to a decision. That worked for about one round until Michailidis caught a brutal knee to the face in the second. He can’t even execute that strategy in this matchup since unlike Pereira, Fakhretdinov is very talented in the grappling department. Michailidis has no edge in this matchup and I am very confident that Fakhretdinov will get it done early.

MY UFC DFS PICK: Rinat Fakhretdinov (-250) (DK 9200) (FD $20) FIRST-ROUND KO.

UFC HONORABLE MENTIONS:

(Not in order)

Jairzinho Rozenstruik +125 (DK 7600) (FD $17) (5 ROUNDER)

Movsar Evloev -400 (DK 9400) (FD $21)

Jeffrey Molina -175 (DK 9000) (FD $18)

Mike Triziano -250 (DK 9100) (FD $20)

Ode Osbourne -188 (DK 8900) (FD $19)

Askar Mozharov GPP +200 (DK 7500) (FD $13)

Joe Soleki -170 (DK 8800) (FD $18)

Karolina Kowalkiewicz (FADE) +100 (DK 7900) (FD $15)

Damon Jackson -600 (DK 9500) (FD $23) (Daniel Argueta DEEP GPP Play)

Benoit Saint-Denis -163 (DK 8500) (FD $17)

Tony Gravely -138 (DK 8400) (FD $16)

SUMMARY:

On Saturday’s fourteen-bout MMA UFC DFS slate, I will be building 3 UFC Parlays. I will be focusing on the three targets and my honorable mention fighters listed in my article to be a part of 99.9 percent of my lineups. Some fights in this slate are tricky to predict a winner and all fights are pretty close in skillset as UFC fighters are the elite of the elite. I usually employ a hedging technique on the fights that are closer in odds. I’m focusing on building a GPP winning lineup.

I’m building lineups that can variate from the field and taking bigger risks tonight. I will use my core fighters (Locked-In, Honorable Mention) to be a staple in my DFS lineups, and I will build around them using the available salary with the remainder of my predicted winners. Remember, to take down a GPP; you have to be different and take risks. Scared money doesn’t make money in tournaments. For any further questions, I will be available until lock in our WinDaily Discord chat. GOOD LUCK and don’t forget to come back and Win Daily!

PARLAY OF THE DAY

MonkeyKnifeFight: Knockout Kings!

Below I have listed my top three plays for MKF’s Knockout Kings Contest!

UFC VEGAS 55

HOLM V VIEIRA

Welcome back to another edition of Win Daily’s Fight Night Deep Dive! Tonight we have a solid card with interesting fights throughout the night. Today’s slate will start at 4:00 PM ET. Read more below to find out my takes on tonight’s matchups! Tonight there will be 11-fights that will end with a women’s bantamweight fight which is essentially a title eliminator. Looking forward to breaking this one down! Let’s get started!

SLATE STARTS AT 4:00 PM ET

Exposure to the main event is acceptable but not required. DFS production in these fights are usually be high as they are five-round fights. I may be branching away from the Main Event for some of my lines due to the low activity among these fighters. There will be three top plays followed by honorable mentions. Now let’s get ready to make some money!

Tonight I’m here to give you my top three favorite DFS and Sports betting picks for UFC Vegas 55 Holm vs Vieira.

MY UFC VALUE TARGET (CASH&GPP):

Polyana Viana (+110) (DK 7900) (FD $14) vs. Tabatha Ricci (-160) (DK 8300) (FD $16).

This fight is very low level in general and I think on the feet both of these fighters are very evenly matched but Viana’s skill set on the mat is what makes me confident in making her today’s value target. Viana has won her last two fights by first-round submission (both by Armbar), whereas Ricci has only won one UFC fight where she was outstruck and largely dominated the fight through her grappling. Ricci will not be able to do that against Viana tonight. Ricci was also on the receiving end of a very brutal knockout from Manon Fiorot where she was outstruck 84-17. Viana also holds better SLpM and SApM rates compared to Ricci. I think underdog odds for Viana are very lucrative here and if you’re building parlays with a bit of risk, I would strongly recommend Viana. Polyana Viana is also a viable option in DFS formats.

MY UFC DFS PICK: Polyana Viana (+110) (DK 7900) (FD $14). UNANIMOUS DECISION (possible SECOND ROUND SUBMISSION)

MY UFC LOCKED-IN TARGET (CASH):

Jonathan Martinez (-250) (DK 8900) (FD $21) vs. Vince Morales (+200) (DK 7300) (FD $9).

Martinez is an extremely technical fighter and at this point has been well entrenched in the UFC roster. Despite Morales two fight-winning streak, I think his status in the roster is much less solidified. Morales has only beaten cans in the organization and I am really not confident in Morales’ skill set in this matchup. The most important weakness that scares me away from Morales is that he cannot defend kicks well at all. Unfortunately for Morales, Martinez’s game plan is heavily dominated by kicks. This will set the tone for the fight as Martinez will set the tempo of the fight with his kicks and ultimately use them to get a decisive advantage over Morales. My one concern with this matchup is that Martinez drags this out to a comfortable decision.

MY UFC DFS PICK: Jonathan Martinez (-250) (DK 8900) (FD $21) SECOND-ROUND KO (possible UNANIMOUS DECISION).

MY UFC TOP SCORING TARGET (GPP):

Jailton Almeida (-600) (DK 9400) (FD $22) vs. Parker Porter (+450) (DK 6800) (FD $20)

There’s a huge difference in skill in this matchup. Parker is now fairly washed and Almeida is a fiery new prospect who already has a first-round KO in the UFC under his belt, just three months ago. Almeida was initially set to fight Maxim Grishin on this card and has been gifted a much easier matchup in Porter. Almeida has a stronger skill set both on the feet and on the ground. So, no matter how this fight plays out, I don’t see this fight lasting long and I don’t see Porter lasting too long before Almeida puts him out.

MY UFC DFS PICK: Jailton Almeida (-600) (DK 9400) (FD $22) FIRST-ROUND KO.

UFC HONORABLE MENTIONS:

(Not in order)

Ketlen Vieira +200 (DK 7100) (FD $13) (5 ROUNDER) (Holly Holm is an excellent option but the value in this fight is on Vieira)

Santiago Ponzinibbio +125 (DK 8000) (FD $15) (This is a very interesting dog pick, both fighters in this one are very evenly matched but my concern for Pereira is the same concern that I’ve always had with him. Low fight IQ, he actively puts himself in unnecessarily risky positions for entertainment purposes. He cannot fight like that against someone with the skill and power of Ponzinibbio)

Chidi Njokuani -250 (DK 8700) (FD $22) (Dusko Todorovic is an ok underdog play for DFS purposes)

Uros Medic +110 (DK 7800) (FD $12) (Extremely close fight here, the value is squarely on Medic and I think he gets the KO in this one. Medic will have to be very careful with his cardio)

Jun Yong Park -200 (DK 9000) (FD $19)

Joseph Holmes (FADE) -200 (DK 8800) (FD $19) (I really don’t think either fighter is really strong here but Amedovski has struggled a lot in the UFC compared to when he was a finishing machine in Bellator. Don’t count Alen out but realistically, I’d just fade this fight)

Felipe Colares -200 (DK 8600) (FD $18) (Although it wouldn’t be extremely surprising if Hooper pulled out the win here, I think the UFC finally matched Hooper up with someone that he’ll struggle against. As per usual, Hooper cannot punch to save his life and will rely heavily on his jiu-jitsu to get him through this one)

Elise Reed (FADE) -160 (DK 8500) (FD $17) (Elise is ok and Hughes should legitimately be cut from the UFC. This fight has decision written all over it.)

SUMMARY:

On Saturday’s fourteen-bout MMA UFC DFS slate, I will be building 3 UFC Parlays. I will be focusing on the three targets and my honorable mention fighters listed in my article to be a part of 99.9 percent of my lineups. Some fights in this slate are tricky to predict a winner and all fights are pretty close in skillset as UFC fighters are the elite of the elite. I usually employ a hedging technique on the fights that are closer in odds. I’m focusing on building a GPP winning lineup.

I’m building lineups that can variate from the field and taking bigger risks tonight. I will use my core fighters (Locked-In, Honorable Mention) to be a staple in my DFS lineups, and I will build around them using the available salary with the remainder of my predicted winners. Remember, to take down a GPP; you have to be different and take risks. Scared money doesn’t make money in tournaments. For any further questions, I will be available until lock in our WinDaily Discord chat. GOOD LUCK and don’t forget to come back and Win Daily!

PARLAY OF THE DAY

MonkeyKnifeFight: Knockout Kings!

Below I have listed my top three plays for MKF’s Knockout Kings Contest!

UFC VEGAS 54

BLACHOWICZ V RAKIC

What a card last week! We saw Oliveira prove his skills and we saw a new women’s champ in Carla Esparza! Tonight’s slate has some interesting matchup with lots of ranking implications and we also have two highly touted rookie fighters on tonight’s small card in Diaz prospect Nick Maximov and DWCS Alumni Jake Hadley. Today’s slate will start at 7:30 PM ET. Read more below to find out my takes on tonight’s matchups! Tonight there will be 11-fights that will end with a light-heavyweight fight with a lot of title implications! Looking forward to breaking this one down! Let’s get started!

SLATE STARTS AT 7:30 PM ET

Exposure to the main event (and co-main) is acceptable. DFS production in these fights are usually be high as they are five-round fights. I may be branching away from the Main Event for some of my lines due to the low activity among these fighters. There will be three top plays followed by honorable mentions. Now let’s get ready to make some money!

Tonight I’m here to give you my top three favorite DFS and Sports betting picks for UFC Vegas 54 Blachowicz v. Rakic

MY UFC VALUE TARGET (CASH&GPP):

Amanda Ribas (+162) (DK 7600) (FD $12) vs. Kaitlin Chookagian (-188) (DK 8600) (FD $18).

Ribas was on quite the hype train in the Strawweight Division last year but hasn’t fought since her UD win over Virna Jandiroba. Other than losses to Polyana Viana (on the Regional Scene) and Marina Rodriguez, Ribas has been nearly unbeatable against Strawweights. Unfortunately, this fight is taking place a weight class up in the flyweight division which means that Kaitlin will have a noticeable height advantage in tonight’s fight. Although, that is the main reason why Chookagian is the favourite in this one, I still think Ribas has some of the best striking in the Strawweight divison (pretty much just behind Marina) and to count her out of any fight is not wise. If Ribas manages to win here, it’ll be a statement win and will set her up nicely for the title conversation. Unlike many of the underdogs on tonight’s card, I’m relatively comfortabe in siding with Ribas’ skillset besides the fact that I am fully aware as to why she is the underdog in tonight’s matchup. If you’re building lines on DFS, you’ll need those value plays to come through like Ribas. On top of that, this fight will most likely head to a decision so regardless we are dealing with a very safe floor for DFS.

MY UFC DFS PICK: Amanda Ribas (+162) (DK 7600) (FD $12). UNANIMOUS DECISION

MY UFC LOCKED-IN TARGET (CASH):

Nick Maximov (-400) (DK 9300) (FD $23) vs. Andrei Petroski (+300) (DK 6900) (FD $8).

In watching their tape, I just see a stark difference in skill set between these two fighters, Petroski had a decent run in the Ultimate Fighter but ultimately found his way into the UFC roster by crushing cans like Micheal Gillmore and Yaozong Hu. Now, I bet on Petroski when he went up against those fighters because his skillset was not my driving factor in the decision making process. In this matchup, Petroski’s skills will actively be tested by Maximov in ways that Gillmore and Hu simply weren’t able to do. Maximov has excellent grappling skills and in my opinion has a clear edge on the ground over Petroski who we have seen submitted on the Ultimate Fighter against eventual Ultimate Fighter, Bryan Battle. Maximov has not been finishing fights since entering the UFC which makes me believe that he may struggle a bit with actually putting Petroski away but I am confident that at the end of the fight Maximov will have his hand raised.

MY UFC DFS PICK: Nick Maximov (-400) (DK 9300) (FD $23) SECOND-ROUND SUBMISSION (possible UNANIMOUS DECISION).

MY UFC TOP SCORING TARGET (GPP):

(This fight was cancelled two weeks ago and is now on this card, the same breakdown still applies)

Tatsuro Taira (-250) (DK 9000) (FD $21) vs. Carlos Candelario (+200) (DK 7200) (FD $10).

Both of these fighters will be making their UFC debuts on tonight’s card and interestingly enough Candelario is coming into the UFC on a split decision loss in his most recent fight (which also happened to be on the Dana White’s Contender Series). His opponent is one of the most highly touted prospects coming out of Japan, Tatsuro Taira. Taira has a perfect 10-0-0 record with seven of those wins coming by first-round submission, so it should come as no surprise where Taira’s skill set lies. He’s got a lethal arsenal of front chokes and back chokes and although Candelario will be his biggest test to date, he should pass it with flying colours.

MY UFC DFS PICK: Tatsuro Taira (-250) (DK 9000) (FD $21) FIRST-ROUND SUBMISSION.

UFC HONORABLE MENTIONS:

(Not in order)

Aleksandar Rakic -188 (DK 8700) (FD $22) (5 ROUNDER)

Ion Cutelaba -225 (DK 8900) (FD $19)

Davey Grant -275 (DK 9100) (FD $22)

Manuel Torres -138 (DK 8300) (FD $16)

Jake Hadley -220 (DK 8800) (FD $20)

Andrea Lee (FADE) -125 (DK 8200) (FD $16)

Michael Johnson -150 (DK 8400) (FD $17) (One of the most inconsistent fighters in the UFC but is up against Alan Patrick who is terrible and may get cut after this fight)

Virna Jandiroba -188 (DK 8500) (FD $19)

SUMMARY:

On Saturday’s fourteen-bout MMA UFC DFS slate, I will be building 3 UFC Parlays. I will be focusing on the three targets and my honorable mention fighters listed in my article to be a part of 99.9 percent of my lineups. Some fights in this slate are tricky to predict a winner and all fights are pretty close in skillset as UFC fighters are the elite of the elite. I usually employ a hedging technique on the fights that are closer in odds. I’m focusing on building a GPP winning lineup.

I’m building lineups that can variate from the field and taking bigger risks tonight. I will use my core fighters (Locked-In, Honorable Mention) to be a staple in my DFS lineups, and I will build around them using the available salary with the remainder of my predicted winners. Remember, to take down a GPP; you have to be different and take risks. Scared money doesn’t make money in tournaments. For any further questions, I will be available until lock in our WinDaily Discord chat. GOOD LUCK and don’t forget to come back and Win Daily!

PARLAY OF THE DAY

MonkeyKnifeFight: Knockout Kings!

Below I have listed my top three plays for MKF’s Knockout Kings Contest!

UFC 274

OLIVEIRA V GAETHJE

We’re back with a banger UFC PPV card this weekend. We made some great plays last week and this week should be no different! We have a massive card coming up tonight with a lot of established vets, up and comers and of course the Wittman prodigies in the main and co-main event. Today’s slate will start at 5:30 PM ET. Read more below to find out my takes on tonight’s matchups! Tonight there will be 15-fights that will end with two title fights, including the vacant lightweight championship in the main event! Looking forward to breaking this one down! Let’s get started!

SLATE STARTS AT 5:30 PM ET

Exposure to the main event (and co-main) is acceptable. DFS production in these fights are usually be high as they are five-round fights. I may be branching away from the Main Event for some of my lines due to the low activity among these fighters. There will be three top plays followed by honorable mentions. Now let’s get ready to make some money!

Tonight I’m here to give you my top three favorite DFS and Sports betting picks for UFC 274 Oliveira vs Gaethje

MY UFC VALUE TARGET (CASH&GPP):

Joe Lauzon (+150) (DK 7400) (FD $11) vs. Donald Cerrone (-175) (DK 8800) (FD $18).

We finally have the long-awaited return of Joe Lauzon after 3 years away from the octagon. The UFC decided to place him in a winnable matchup for his first fight back. Lauzon looked great in his last fight many moons ago but the important question of ring rust remains. Luckily for Lauzon, Cerrone has not won a UFC fight since before Lauzon’s last win all the way back in 2019. Cerrone is a legend but he has lost 5 and drew one of his last six fights, a loss here against Joe Lauzon might spell the end of his UFC career. Unfortunately for Cowboy, I have not seen anything from him over the last three years to be remotely confident in him against a guy like Lauzon, even with the Ring Rust.

MY UFC DFS PICK: Joe Lauzon (+150) (DK 7400) (FD $11). UNANIMOUS DECISION (possible SECOND-ROUND KO)

MY UFC LOCKED-IN TARGET (CASH):

Brandon Royval (-250) (DK 9300) (FD $20) vs. Matt Schnell (+200) (DK 6900) (FD $9).

Here we have two top level strikers in the flyweight division, unfortunately for Schnell, he is not quite at the same level as Royval. Schnell has more volume on average but Royval is the much more tactical striker and he also absorbs a lot less strikes than Schnell does which is a huge cause for concern against someone who hits as hard as Royval does. Realistically, I think the most drastic difference in skill level between these two is their ground game, Royval is simply much more of a threat on the ground and Schnell will struggle if Royval gets control in the grappling department but even on the feet, I would give Royval the edge and since he’s competitive everywhere when Schnell is not, I like Royval as a safe play tonight.

MY UFC DFS PICK: Brandon Royval (-250) (DK 9300) (FD $20) FIRST-ROUND KO (possible FIRST-ROUND SUBMISSION).

MY UFC TOP SCORING TARGET (GPP):

Fernie Garcia (-150) (DK 8600) (FD $17) vs. Journey Newson (+125) (DK 7600) (FD $13).

I loved watching Garcia fight on the Contender Series, what an amazing performance. He absolutely dominated the whole fight from start to finish and never even gave his opponent the chance to get going. Prior to his Contender Series fight, he did have a lot of decision wins, including a couple of split decision wins but this kid has some next-level power and for his debut, he’s been matched up against Journey Newson who has had a bit of a rocky journey in the UFC going 0-2-1 after his only UFC win was turned into a no-contest following a positive test for marijuana. Newson also hasn’t fought in almost two years after being on the receiving end of a brutal Randy Brown head kick KO. I have full confidence in what I’ve seen from Garcia that he can put away Newson about as quickly as Brown did. He’ll definitely be a good prospect for the future if he can pass tonight’s test.

MY UFC DFS PICK: Fernie Garcia (-150) (DK 8600) (FD $17) FIRST-ROUND KO.

UFC HONORABLE MENTIONS:

(Not in order)

Justin Gaethje +110 (DK 7700) (FD $16) (5 ROUNDER) (The weight miss despite the fact that it was half a pound changes the outlook of this fight completely. Not being able to win your own belt is completely demoralizing and I doubt we see the same Charles Oliviera that we would usually see, which is why I’m leaning towards Gaethje.)

Rose Namajunas -210 (DK 8900) (FD $23)

Michael Chandler -400 (DK 9600) (FD $22)

Ovince St. Preux (FADE) -250 (DK 9200) (FD $20)

Andre Fialho -450 (DK 9500) (FD $22)

Randy Brown GPP +100 (DK 7900) (FD $14) (Khaos is an excellent pick as well but I like the value on Rudeboy)

Norma Dumon -225 (DK 9100) (FD $19) (Macy Chaisson also works as a deep GPP play)

Tracy Cortez -150 (DK 8700) (FD $17)

Blagoy Ivanov (FADE) -150 (DK 8400) (FD $18)

Danny Roberts -110 (DK 8000) (FD $14)

Kleydson Rodrigues -334 (DK 9400) (FD $21)

Lupita Godinez -175 (DK 9000) (FD $19)

SUMMARY:

On Saturday’s fourteen-bout MMA UFC DFS slate, I will be building 3 UFC Parlays. I will be focusing on the three targets and my honorable mention fighters listed in my article to be a part of 99.9 percent of my lineups. Some fights in this slate are tricky to predict a winner and all fights are pretty close in skillset as UFC fighters are the elite of the elite. I usually employ a hedging technique on the fights that are closer in odds. I’m focusing on building a GPP winning lineup.

I’m building lineups that can variate from the field and taking bigger risks tonight. I will use my core fighters (Locked-In, Honorable Mention) to be a staple in my DFS lineups, and I will build around them using the available salary with the remainder of my predicted winners. Remember, to take down a GPP; you have to be different and take risks. Scared money doesn’t make money in tournaments. For any further questions, I will be available until lock in our WinDaily Discord chat. GOOD LUCK and don’t forget to come back and Win Daily!

PARLAY OF THE DAY

MonkeyKnifeFight: Knockout Kings!

Below I have listed my top three plays for MKF’s Knockout Kings Contest!

UFC VEGAS 53

FONT V VERA

We’re back with an interesting UFC card this weekend. Although like last week it may not have a lot of names that are notable right away there are some really interesting matchups and some names to watch for the future, including my personal favourite fighter Natan Levy! Today’s slate will start at 4:00 PM ET. After a lot of surprises in the last card with a late cancellation and a 1st round, DQ let’s hope tonight’s card goes much smoother! Read more below to find out my takes on tonight’s matchups! Tonight there will be 12-fights that will end with a fight that has a lot of implications for the bantamweight division! Looking forward to breaking this one down! Let’s get started!

SLATE STARTS AT 4:00 PM ET

Exposure to the main event (and co-main) is acceptable. DFS production in these fights are usually be high as they are five-round fights. I may be branching away from the Main Event for some of my lines due to the low activity among these fighters. There will be three top plays followed by honorable mentions. Now let’s get ready to make some money!

Tonight I’m here to give you my top three favorite DFS and Sports betting picks for UFC Vegas 53 Font vs Vera

MY UFC VALUE TARGET (CASH&GPP):

Jake Collier (+110) (DK 7800) (FD $14) vs. Andrei Arlovski (-138) (DK 8400) (FD $17).

Oh wow… who would’ve thought that the ageless wonder Old Man Arlovski would still have a number by his name at the age of 43. That in and of itself is an incredible feat and adds to the illustrious career of Arlovski. Let’s face facts though, he is not what he used to be. He gasses out rather quickly, he doesn’t hit quite as hard and his chin is um suspect. All that being said… Collier is worse. Collier wins just enough against guys like Sherman (more on him later) and Villante to barely keep himself in the UFC but a loss against Arlovski would be more than enough justification to finally cut Collier for good. Collier has all of the same weaknesses as Arlovski without any of the excuses. Arlovski truly has nothing left to prove but if anyone is making a run at the top in their 40s it would be Arlovski. I only see this fight going past three rounds so I would recommend taking the fight going the distance at (-188). Either side of this fight is pretty risky but if you are looking at it for DFS purposes, go for the Pitbull Arlovski.

MY UFC DFS PICK: Andrei Arlovski (-138) (DK 8400) (FD $17). UNANIMOUS DECISION

MY UFC LOCKED-IN TARGET (CASH):

Alexandr Romanov (-2500) (DK 9600) (FD $23) vs. Chase Sherman (+1100) (DK 6600) (FD $8).

(This fight was booked last week and got moved to this week late in the card due to a minor health issue from Sherman. Everything below still applies)

This is Chase Sherman’s last fight in the UFC and this matchup is his walking paper. Sherman has dropped his last three fights, only beating Ike Villanueva in the UFC his losses came against Old Man Arlovski, Parker Porter and Jake Collier. Not exactly a who’s who of the heavyweight division. This fight however is against one of the biggest heavyweight prospects in the UFC with a perfect 15-0-0 record including a win against fellow heavyweight prospect Juan Espino. To put this as simply as possible, Sherman does not stand a chance. Romanov has excellent power, a surprisingly strong ground game for a heavyweight and crisp fight IQ. Not to mention, Sherman is coming into this fight on short notice after Tanner Boser dropped off this weekend’s card. Statistically, they’re not even close, Romanov easily edges out Sherman in all major stat categories. The only thing going for Sherman is his 77% takedown defence rate but he has not fought someone with the takedown abilities of Romanov. This will be another pit stop on Romanov’s rise to the top of the heavyweight division.

MY UFC DFS PICK: Alexandr Romanov (-2500) (DK 9600) (FD $23) FIRST-ROUND KO (possible FIRST-ROUND SUBMISSION).

MY UFC TOP SCORING TARGET (GPP):

Tatsuro Taira (-250) (DK 9200) (FD $22) vs. Carlos Candelario (+200) (DK 7000) (FD $9).

Both of these fighters will be making their UFC debuts on tonight’s card and interestingly enough Candelario is coming into the UFC on a split decision loss in his most recent fight (which also happened to be on the Dana White’s Contender Series). His opponent is one of the most highly touted prospects coming out of Japan, Tatsuro Taira. Taira has a perfect 10-0-0 record with seven of those wins coming by first-round submission, so it should come as no surprise where Taira’s skill set lies. He’s got a lethal arsenal of front chokes and back chokes and although Candelario will be his biggest test to date, he should pass it with flying colours.

MY UFC DFS PICK: Tatsuro Taira (-250) (DK 9200) (FD $22) FIRST-ROUND SUBMISSION.

UFC HONORABLE MENTIONS:

(Not in order)

Marlon Vera +100 (DK 7900) (FD $16) (5 ROUNDER) (I was in on Font before yesterday, he came in well overweight and did not look good on the scales, I am assuming he had a rough weight cut and it could come back to haunt him tonight. Something must’ve been really wrong as this was Font’s first weight miss of his career and it was significant.)

Andre Fili -250 (DK 9300) (FD $21)

Grant Dawson -163 (DK 8700) (FD $19)

Darren Elkins (FADE) -163 (DK 8600) (FD $19)

Krzystof Jotko -175 (DK 8800) (FD $18) (Meerschaert has a path to victory with the submission game, he is very viable for DFS, for parlays, I would leave this fight alone entirely)

Daniel da Silva -138 (DK 8200) (FD $15) (Although he had a rough debut against Jeff Molina, anyone would, the fact that the UFC put him up against Molina for his UFC debut says a lot. My one concern is da Silva’s cardio, which was enough to keep him off the main part of the article. He should have good chances against Fransisco who is not as good as his brother Deyverson)

Yohan Lainesse GPP +110 (DK 7700) (FD $15)

Natan Levy -188 (DK 9000) (FD $21) (I’m biased but Breeden is absolutely terrible)

Gina Mazany (FADE) -175 (DK 8900) (FD $20)

SUMMARY:

On Saturday’s fourteen-bout MMA UFC DFS slate, I will be building 3 UFC Parlays. I will be focusing on the three targets and my honorable mention fighters listed in my article to be a part of 99.9 percent of my lineups. Some fights in this slate are tricky to predict a winner and all fights are pretty close in skillset as UFC fighters are the elite of the elite. I usually employ a hedging technique on the fights that are closer in odds. I’m focusing on building a GPP winning lineup.

I’m building lineups that can variate from the field and taking bigger risks tonight. I will use my core fighters (Locked-In, Honorable Mention) to be a staple in my DFS lineups, and I will build around them using the available salary with the remainder of my predicted winners. Remember, to take down a GPP; you have to be different and take risks. Scared money doesn’t make money in tournaments. For any further questions, I will be available until lock in our WinDaily Discord chat. GOOD LUCK and don’t forget to come back and Win Daily!

PARLAY OF THE DAY

MonkeyKnifeFight: Knockout Kings!

Below I have listed my top three plays for MKF’s Knockout Kings Contest!

UFC VEGAS 52

LEMOS V ANDRADE

We’re back with another deep UFC card this weekend. Although it may not have a lot of names that are notable right away there are some really interesting matchups and some names to watch for the future. Today’s slate will start at 6:00 PM ET. After two title fights and the people’s main event last week we are coming into tonight with a lot of underrated plays and interesting matchups! Read more below to find out my takes on tonight’s matchups! Tonight there will be 12-fights that will end with a fight that has a lot of implications for the women’s strawweight division! Looking forward to breaking this one down! Let’s get started!

SLATE STARTS AT 6:00 PM ET

Exposure to the main event (and co-main) is acceptable. DFS production in these fights are usually be high as they are five-round fights. I may be branching away from the Main Event for some of my lines due to the low activity among these fighters. There will be three top plays followed by honorable mentions. Now let’s get ready to make some money!

Tonight I’m here to give you my top three favorite DFS and Sports betting picks for UFC Vegas 52 Lemos vs Andrade

MY UFC VALUE TARGET (CASH&GPP):

Amanda Lemos (+175) (DK 7300) (FD $15) vs. Jessica Andrade (-210) (DK 8900) (FD $22).

For most, Lemos is largely unknown, only recently cracking the top ten rankings in the women’s strawweight division. That’s why I’m not surprised that she’s coming in as the underdog against a known veteran in Andrade. Andrade has fought the best of the best, she became champion after a nasty slam win over Rose Namajunas but has largely come up short after that effort, including losing a strongly contested rematch to the current Strawweight champion. Both these fighters have similar fighting styles, very strike heavy but can work on the ground if need be. Both fighters have very high Strikes Landed per Minute Rates (SLpM) and close strike differentials, meaning they both throw out a lot of strikes and absorb almost as much. Lemos is coming into this fight on a five fight winning streak with five knockdowns over her last four fights. Her last fight was a very impressive statement win over Angie Hill and the UFC have rewarded her with the biggest test of her career, Jessica Andrade. Lemos has ran straight through most of her UFC opponents and this fight will be the opportunity for Lemos to prove that she belongs in the top 5 and the title conversation for the strawweight division. I’ve been impressed with Lemos’ strike speed and agression, both of which have brought Andrade to where she is today. Andrade to her part has had a rocky road at the top as of late, as she as dropped three of her last five fights (against Shevchenko, Weili and Namajunas aka the best of the best). She also had a very convincing win in her last fight out and definitely has something to prove against Lemos. I think this will be a very entertaining and close matchup with Lemos eventually being able to use her added height and reach to her advantage. This has the makings of a true classic and I cannot wait.

MY UFC DFS PICK: Amanda Lemos (+175) (DK 7300) (FD $15). UNANIMOUS DECISION (possible SECOND-ROUND KO). (5 ROUNDER)

MY UFC LOCKED-IN TARGET (CASH):

Alexandr Romanov (-1400) (DK 9600) (FD $23) vs. Chase Sherman (+800) (DK 6600) (FD $8).

This is Chase Sherman’s last fight in the UFC and this matchup is his walking paper. Sherman has dropped his last three fights, only beating Ike Villanueva in the UFC his losses came against Old Man Arlovski, Parker Porter and Jake Collier. Not exactly a who’s who of the heavyweight division. This fight however is against one of the biggest heavyweight prospects in the UFC with a perfect 15-0-0 record including a win against fellow heavyweight prospect Juan Espino. To put this as simply as possible, Sherman does not stand a chance. Romanov has excellent power, a surprisingly strong ground game for a heavyweight and crisp fight IQ. Not to mention, Sherman is coming into this fight on short notice after Tanner Boser dropped off this weekend’s card. Statistically, they’re not even close, Romanov easily edges out Sherman in all major stat categories. The only thing going for Sherman is his 77% takedown defence rate but he has not fought someone with the takedown abilities of Romanov. This will be another pit stop on Romanov’s rise to the top of the heavyweight division.

MY UFC DFS PICK: Alexandr Romanov (-1400) (DK 9600) (FD $23) FIRST-ROUND KO (possible FIRST-ROUND SUBMISSION).

MY UFC TOP SCORING TARGET (GPP):

Dean Barry (-2000) (DK 9500) (FD $21) vs. Mike Jackson (+1000) (DK 6700) (FD $9).

So… wow. Where do I even begin with this fight? First things first, Mike Jackson… Mike Jackson?!? What on earth is he doing in the UFC. The last time we saw him in the octagon, Dana White was pretty firm that he was going to be let go after his embarrassing performance against CM Punk. He was initially awarded the win but got popped post-fight and had his official record reverted back to 0-1-0, with his lone loss coming against Mickey Gall. Now, Mike Jackson hasn’t fought since that fateful night in 2018 and he actually had two fights fall through against his opponent on this card, Dean Barry so it’s only right that he comes back against him after four years away from the Octagon. Dean Barry is 4-1-0 in MMA with all four wins coming by first-round knockout, and I doubt much will change for this fight. This fight is going to be the definition of uncompetitive and all that we don’t know is exactly how long Jackson will last before Barry puts his lights out.

MY UFC DFS PICK: Dean Barry (-2000) (DK 9500) (FD $21) FIRST-ROUND KO.

UFC HONORABLE MENTIONS:

(Not in order)

Clay Guida GPP -110 (DK 8200) (FD $16)

Montana De La Rosa +150 (DK 7200) (FD $10)

Charles Jourdain -125 (DK 8500) (FD $17)

Marc-Andre Barriault -220 (DK 8600) (FD $19)

Tyson Pedro -600 (DK 9300) (FD $21)

Aori Qileng -250 (DK 9100) (FD $20)

Marcin Prachnio -125 (DK 8400) (FD $18)

Evan Elder +100 (DK 8100) (FD $15) (Preston Parsons works too)

Sergey Khandozhko -125 (DK 8300) (FD $16)

SUMMARY:

On Saturday’s fourteen-bout MMA UFC DFS slate, I will be building 3 UFC Parlays. I will be focusing on the three targets and my honorable mention fighters listed in my article to be a part of 99.9 percent of my lineups. Some fights in this slate are tricky to predict a winner and all fights are pretty close in skillset as UFC fighters are the elite of the elite. I usually employ a hedging technique on the fights that are closer in odds. I’m focusing on building a GPP winning lineup.

I’m building lineups that can variate from the field and taking bigger risks tonight. I will use my core fighters (Locked-In, Honorable Mention) to be a staple in my DFS lineups, and I will build around them using the available salary with the remainder of my predicted winners. Remember, to take down a GPP; you have to be different and take risks. Scared money doesn’t make money in tournaments. For any further questions, I will be available until lock in our WinDaily Discord chat. GOOD LUCK and don’t forget to come back and Win Daily!

PARLAY OF THE DAY

MonkeyKnifeFight: Knockout Kings!

Below I have listed my top three plays for MKF’s Knockout Kings Contest!

UFC VEGAS 51

LUQUE V MUHAMMAD 2

What a card last week!! We went a crazy 11 for 12 on last weeks card, with the only fight we got wrong being a Split Decision. Today’s slate will start at 5:30 PM ET. After two title fights and the people’s main event last week we are coming into tonight with a lot of underrated plays and interesting matchups! Read more below to find out my takes on tonight’s matchups! Tonight there will be 14-fights that will take us well into the night! Looking forward to breaking this one down! Let’s get started!

SLATE STARTS AT 5:30 PM ET

Exposure to the main event (and co-main) is acceptable. DFS production in these fights are usually be high as they are five-round fights. I may be branching away from the Main Event for some of my lines due to the low activity among these fighters. There will be three top plays followed by honorable mentions. The Main Event WILL NOT be featured as one of my top three plays (Top Value Play, Locked In-Play, or Top Scoring Play) but WILL be featured in my Honorable Mentions category. Now let’s get ready to make some money!

Tonight I’m here to give you my top three favorite DFS and Sports betting picks for UFC Vegas 51 Luque vs Muhammad 2

MY UFC VALUE TARGET (CASH&GPP):

Trey Ogden (-138) (DK 8300) (FD $16) vs. Jordan Leavitt (+110) (DK 7900) (FD $15).

To start off the article we have an interesting matchup between debutant and former Fury FC Lightweight Champ Trey Ogden vs Jordan Leavitt who has had a couple of impressive UFC wins with his slam against Matt Wiman and his inverted Triangle Choke against Matt Sayles. Unfortunately for Leavitt, the flashiness has come at a cost, at times his fundamentals are very lacking and more well-rounded fighters have been able to get an edge on Leavitt as we saw when Claudio Puelles essentially held him down for their entire fight. One look at Ogden’s fights and you’ll know that he is more than comfortable transitioning the fight to the ground as he has secured 10 submissions in his 15 MMA wins. I think we are going to see a bit of a grapple-fest but if the fight does end up on the feet I am more comfortable with Ogden’s stand up game over Leavitt’s, on top of that, I feel that Ogden has a more well-rounded ground game and will come up on top during their grappling exchanges. I will also make it an important point that if Leavitt is lazy with his grappling or his takedowns, Ogden is the kind of fighter who can and will capitalize.

MY UFC DFS PICK: Trey Ogden (-138) (DK 8300) (FD $16). UNANIMOUS DECISION (possible SECOND-ROUND SUBMISSION).

MY UFC LOCKED-IN TARGET (CASH):

Drakkar Klose (-600) (DK 9400) (FD $23) vs. Brandon Jenkins (+450) (DK 6800) (FD $8).

Here we have the biggest mismatch of the entire slate, and for good reason too. Let me just put it out there before we start, Jenkins is not UFC material, not even close. It says a lot that the bookies still have Klose as a massive favourite despite him not fighting since 2020 when he was on the wrong end of a comeback win against Beneil Dariush who is now at the top of the UFC’s lightweight division. For those who remember, we were supposed to have a fight with Klose almost exactly one year ago, until tough guy Jeremy Stephens went for a cheap shove during faceoffs causing the fight to be postponed after the slate had locked. Before the Dariush fight, Klose was laying out some absolute pros such as Lando Vanatta and Bobby Green (close fight), and it’s pretty safe to say that this one should not be close on the feet nor on the ground. Klose also has a very impressive defensive game and I don’t see a way for Jenkins to put any pressure on Klose. This fight provides Klose with a great opportunity to make another run at the top and I do think that he has the quality to break into the rankings despite getting up there in age. It’ll all start for him with a statement win this weekend over Jenkins.

MY UFC DFS PICK: Drakkar Klose (-600) (DK 9400) (FD $23) SECOND-ROUND KO.

MY UFC TOP SCORING TARGET (GPP):

Miguel Baeza (-175) (DK 8700) (FD $18) vs. Andre Fialho (+150) (DK 7500) (FD $12).

My boy, Miguel Baeza is back! After a rough 2021, Baeza has been granted an excellent matchup on this week’s card against Andre Fialho, both have very similar styles and I really don’t see this fight leaving the feet for as long as it lasts. I have been impressed with Baeza’s boxing fundamentals while Fialho has been less impressive. As Fialho’s fight with Pereira went on I could see his overall game deteriorate with his cardio as he proceeded to get picked apart by the flashy Brazilian over the later two rounds. To his credit, Baeza also has a well-developed jiu-jitsu game in his back pocket as we saw him nearly finish Williams on multiple occasions in their fight. The biggest difference between these two fighters however is their cardio, I feel much more comfortable with Baeza in the later rounds and I think that it’s even likelier that he nails a finish in the late second or even in the third round as Fialho’s style begins to deteriorate. All in all, I think this will be a bounce-back fight for the young MMA Masters produce.

MY UFC DFS PICK: Miguel Baeza (-175) (DK 8700) (FD $18) SECOND-ROUND KO.

UFC HONORABLE MENTIONS:

(Not in order)

Vincent Luque (5 ROUNDER) -175 (DK 8500) (FD $21)

Pat Sabbatini -550 (DK 9200) (FD $22)

Martin Buday -250 (DK 9000) (FD $19) (Do not play Chris Barnett…)

Mayra Bueno Silva -450 (DK 9300) (FD $21)

Alateng Heili -175 (DK 8800) (FD $18)

Mounir Lazzez -188 (DK 8800) (FD $19)

Pannie Kianzad -400 (DK 9100) (FD $20)

Devin Clark -170 (DK 8600) (FD $17)

Gadzhi Omargadzhiev -138 (DK 8400) (FD $16) (Caio Borralho is a very solid GPP play)

Rafa Garcia -110 (DK 8200) (FD $15) (Jesse Ronson is a good GPP Play)

Istela Nunes -220 (DK 8900) (FD $20)

SUMMARY:

On Saturday’s fourteen-bout MMA UFC DFS slate, I will be building 3 UFC Parlays. I will be focusing on the three targets and my honorable mention fighters listed in my article to be a part of 99.9 percent of my lineups. Some fights in this slate are tricky to predict a winner and all fights are pretty close in skillset as UFC fighters are the elite of the elite. I usually employ a hedging technique on the fights that are closer in odds. I’m focusing on building a GPP winning lineup.

I’m building lineups that can variate from the field and taking bigger risks tonight. I will use my core fighters (Locked-In, Honorable Mention) to be a staple in my DFS lineups, and I will build around them using the available salary with the remainder of my predicted winners. Remember, to take down a GPP; you have to be different and take risks. Scared money doesn’t make money in tournaments. For any further questions, I will be available until lock in our WinDaily Discord chat. GOOD LUCK and don’t forget to come back and Win Daily!

PARLAY OF THE DAY

MonkeyKnifeFight: Knockout Kings!

Below I have listed my top three plays for MKF’s Knockout Kings Contest!

UFC 273

VOLKANOVSKI V THE KOREAN ZOMBIE

After a break week last week we have a MONSTER card with us this week! Three of the most anticipated fights of the year are going down TONIGHT! Today’s slate will start at 6:00 PM ET. Today’s slate has two title fights, and a welterweight fight with MASSIVE stakes who are both looking to kickstart their championship fight claims with a win tonight! Read more below to find out my takes on tonight’s matchups! Tonight there will be 12-fights that will take us well into the night! Looking forward to breaking this one down! Let’s get started!

SLATE STARTS AT 6:00 PM ET

Exposure to the main event (and co-main) is acceptable. DFS production in these fights are usually be high as they are five-round fights. I may be branching away from the Main Event for some of my lines due to the low activity among these fighters. There will be three top plays followed by honorable mentions. The Main Event WILL NOT be featured as one of my top three plays (Top Value Play, Locked In-Play, or Top Scoring Play) but WILL be featured in my Honorable Mentions category. Now let’s get ready to make some money!

Tonight I’m here to give you my top three favorite DFS and Sports betting picks for UFC 273 Volkanovski vs the Korean Zombie

MY UFC VALUE TARGET (CASH&GPP):

Mark O. Madsen (+110) (DK 7800) (FD $12) vs. Vinc Pichel (-138) (DK 8400) (FD $17).

We’re starting off today’s article with a bang! In one corner, we have Olympic medalist Mark Madsen facing off against veteran UFC fighter Vinc Pichel. Both are on the older side of the UFC roster and will be looking to make their final ascension to the top of the UFC. Madsen started in the MMA game late in his life and as a result still holds and undefeated UFC record. Madsen’s game is very dominated by his wrestling and although Vinc Pichel has an underrated clinch game, Madsen is simply a level above in the wrestling department. In my opinion this will be the story of the fight. If the fight does stay on the feet, Madsen can strike well as we saw in his fight against Clay Guida. I think the most telling stat that you should take away from this fight is that both Pichel and Madsen fought Austin Hubbard and won. Pichel got taken down four times by Hubbard and Madsen took Hubbard down eight times.

MY UFC DFS PICK: Mark O. Madsen (+110) (DK 7800) (FD $12). UNANIMOUS DECISION.

MY UFC LOCKED-IN TARGET (CASH):

Khamzat Chimaev (-500) (DK 9400) (FD $22) vs. Gilbert Burns (+380) (DK 6800) (FD $8).

Here we go!!! The return of one of the most anticipated UFC fighters ever! Khamzat Chimaev is making his return to the Octagon against number 3 ranked welterweight, and decorated BJJ champion Gilbert Burns. Here we will see the ultimate test of BJJ specialist vs Wrestler as these two fighters have reach the pinnacle of their respective disciplines. Chimaev is the heavy favourite in this one for a reason. He simply has figured out every part of his game and the scariest aspects are the parts of his game we haven’t seen yet. For starters, Chimaev’s chain wrestling is beyond excellent, as we saw against Li Jingliang, it doesn’t matter if you stop the first takedown attempt because there are many more coming until you lose control of the fight. What we saw Chimaev do in his last fight against a ranked opponent was beyond belief, it was not even close. The pressure, the striking and the wrestling dominance give Khamzat such an advantage in his fights and I’ll simply close of this section by saying in his four UFC wins his only absorbed 1 Significant Strike. He’s had a 77% striking accuracy over those four UFC fights and a 66% takedown accuracy. Simply unreal domination.

MY UFC DFS PICK: Khamzat Chimaev (-500) (DK 9400) (FD $22) FIRST-ROUND KO (possible FIRST-ROUND SUBMISSION).

MY UFC TOP SCORING TARGET (GPP):

Petr Yan (-160) (DK 9300) (FD $21) vs. Aljamain Sterling (+130) (DK 6900) (FD $14).

Here we got the tale of two different fighters. Sterling is a well round fighter who relies on his clinch game for success, which we saw when he handily defeated Cory Sandhagen. Whereas Yan is a powerful Kickboxer who has some of the best boxing fundamentals in the UFC. Yan’s kickboxing skills have been honed at the legendary Tiger Muy Thai gym and his striking patience and fight IQ (except for knowing when its legal to throw a knee) is at such a high level that many fighters don’t know how to approach a fight against him. Not to mention that he has tremendous power as we saw in his title clinching effort against Jose Aldo, who to this day is still competing at the top level of the UFC. Yan’s biggest asset is his patience. It’s clear from Yan’s fights that he spends the first round or two making reads on his opponent and gauging where the significant threats are. This came to the fore a lot in his first fight against Aljamain as well as his fight against Sandhagen where the fight started close when Yan was not throwing his hands as much but as the fight went on, Yan began to take more and more of an advantage and would end up dominating the fight in the later rounds. I expect a similar kind of technical striking match in this one. Sterling’s striking simply isn’t at Yan’s level as Sterling relies a lot on his Jabs and Straights which don’t impart a lot of damage and can become easy to read as the fight goes on. It was clear to anyone who was watching that the third and fourth round were slipping away from Sterling as he was getting repeatedly tripped by Yan and a lot of Yan’s powerful strikes were starting to accumulate. Compared to any of the fights on this card, this one has the most story behind it between the two opponents and is definitely one of the most anticipated title fights of the year.

MY UFC DFS PICK: Petr Yan (-160) (DK 9300) (FD $21) FOURTH-ROUND KO.

UFC HONORABLE MENTIONS:

(Not in order)

Alexander Volkanovski (5 ROUNDER) -700 (DK 9500) (FD $23)

Piera Rodriguez (FADE) -138 (DK 8300) (FD $17)

Julio Arce -175 (DK 9000) (FD $19) (Santos is a good DFS Play)

Raquel Pennington (FADE) -175 (DK 8900) (FD $19)

Mike Malott -175 (DK 8800) (FD $20)

Anthony Hernandez -188 (DK 8700) (FD $20)

Ian Garry -400 (DK 9200) (FD $20) (Darian Weeks is a solid DEEP GPP Play)

Mackenzie Dern -125 (DK 8200) (FD $17)

Aleksei Oleinik -110 (DK 8100) (FD $16)

SUMMARY:

On Saturday’s fourteen-bout MMA UFC DFS slate, I will be building 4 UFC Parlays. I will be focusing on the three targets and my honorable mention fighters listed in my article to be a part of 99.9 percent of my lineups. Some fights in this slate are tricky to predict a winner and all fights are pretty close in skillset as UFC fighters are the elite of the elite. I usually employ a hedging technique on the fights that are closer in odds. I’m focusing on building a GPP winning lineup.

I’m building lineups that can variate from the field and taking bigger risks tonight. I will use my core fighters (Locked-In, Honorable Mention) to be a staple in my DFS lineups, and I will build around them using the available salary with the remainder of my predicted winners. Remember, to take down a GPP; you have to be different and take risks. Scared money doesn’t make money in tournaments. For any further questions, I will be available until lock in our WinDaily Discord chat. GOOD LUCK and don’t forget to come back and Win Daily!

PARLAY OF THE DAY

MonkeyKnifeFight: Knockout Kings!

Below I have listed my top three plays for MKF’s Knockout Kings Contest!

UFC Fight Night 205

BLAYDES V DAUKAUS

What a fantasic card last week, we saw so many finishes and our parlay of the day was a huge success! Today we have our first fight night card in the US but outside of Vegas in a very long time and the UFC is bringing the heat to Columbus! Today’s slate will start at 4:00 PM ET. Today’s slate has some wild heavyweight contenders in the main event, who are both looking to kickstart their championship runs with a win tonight! Read more below to find out my takes on tonight’s matchups! Tonight there will be 13-fights that will take us well into the night! Looking forward to breaking this one down! Let’s get started!

SLATE STARTS AT 4:00 PM ET

Exposure to the main event (and co-main) is acceptable. DFS production in these fights are usually be high as they are five-round fights. I may be branching away from the Main Event for some of my lines due to the low activity among these fighters. There will be three top plays followed by honorable mentions. The Main Event WILL NOT be featured as one of my top three plays (Top Value Play, Locked In-Play, or Top Scoring Play) but WILL be featured in my Honorable Mentions category. Now let’s get ready to make some money!

Tonight I’m here to give you my top three favorite DFS and Sports betting picks for UFC Fight Night 204 Volkov vs Aspinall.

MY UFC VALUE TARGET (CASH&GPP):

Chris Gutierrez (+110) (DK 7700) (FD $14) vs. Danaa Batgaarel (-138) (DK 8500) (FD $18).

Both of these guys are very talented strikers and although I would give Bataarel the edge in power, I think Gutierrez is bringing forward a more polished and intelligent striking arsenal. Gutierrez has serious kicking power and in my opinion, this is what’ll set the pace of the fight as Gutierrez can use his kicks to manage distance and hinder Batgaarel’s mobility. Batgaarel’s record is also a little suspect and I don’t believe he’s been tested as much as Gutierrez has had way more experience both inside and outside the octagon and has fought stronger opponents. Both of these fighters throw a lot of strikes and don’t get hit quite as often. So, I think on paper, this is a close fight but I also think Gutierrez’s fight IQ will give him an edge in this one.

MY UFC DFS PICK: Chris Gutierrez (+110) (DK 7700) (FD $14). UNANIMOUS DECISION.

MY UFC LOCKED-IN TARGET (CASH):

Aliaskhab Khizriev (-1000) (DK 9300) (FD $22) vs. Denis Tiuliulin (+600) (DK 6900) (FD $8).

I don’t even know where to begin at this one, looking at the odds is too simple. If you want a good reason why everyone is so high on Khizriev, just watch his appearance on the Contender Series, I promise, it’s very very short. As are a lot of Khizriev’s fights, out of his 13 pro fights (all wins), he’s finished his opponent within the first minute FIVE times, including a sub-1 minute stoppage of everyone’s least favourite fighter Rousimar Palhares. Khizriev has not been the luckiest with his matchups as he’s had four UFC fights fall through, including matchups against Kyle Daukaus and Alessio Di Chirico, both of which are tough opponents for someone making their UFC debut. Tonight, Khizriev is up against another UFC debutant and as you can see, people don’t foresee this fight being a close one.

MY UFC DFS PICK: Aliaskhab Khizriev (-1000) (DK 9300) (FD $22) FIRST-ROUND KO.

MY UFC TOP SCORING TARGET (GPP):

Viacheslav Borschev (-160) (DK 8700) (FD $18) vs. Marc Diakiese (+130) (DK 7500) (FD $12).

Here we have another Contender Series alumni in Borschev who we’ve actually covered in an article before as he came through for us with a nasty liver kick KO against Dakota Bush earlier this year. On the two-month turnaround, he’s back against a very inconsistent Diakiese who is in one of his less successful runs as of late as he’s dropped his last two fights and hasn’t won a UFC contest since 2019. This is in part due to Diakese’s very questionable fight IQ and grappling (a major part of the reason why he got subbed by Rafael Alves). On the other side of this fight, we have Borschev who is a world-class K1 kickboxer who passed a strong test against Dakota Bush in his last fight. Diakiese has had trouble with kickboxers in the past (ie Dan Hooker, who actually subbed him…) and I don’t see that changing tonight as Borschev can impose himself early in this fight with his kicks and take control from there. I’ll have a lot of Borschev in my lines tonight, especially at his price.

MY UFC DFS PICK: Viacheslav Borschev (-160) (DK 8700) (FD $18) FIRST-ROUND KO.

UFC HONORABLE MENTIONS:

(Not in order)

Curtis Blaydes (5 ROUNDER) -500 (DK 9200) (FD $23) (Chris Daukaus works as a deep GPP Play)

David Dvorak -138 (DK 8400) (FD $17)

Manon Fiorot -450 (DK 9400) (FD $21)

Karol Rosa (FADE) -210 (DK 8900) (FD $19)

Luis Saldana +100 (DK 8300) (FD $15) (I really like Souza’s Karate and will have some shares of both sides of this fight)

Askar Askarov -400 (DK 9100) (FD $21)

Ilir Latifi (FADE) -200 (DK 8600) (FD $19) (Either Latifi wrestles Olenik to a decision win or Olenik uses his submissions to get a win, either way, I don’t see a ton of DFS value in this one)

Neil Magny -250 (DK 8800) (FD $20) (I really don’t like Magny as a DFS play, the reason why I don’t like this as a FADE play is because I think Griffin offers some DFS value in deep formats so I’m not totally opposed to taking a piece of this fight but I don’t this Griffin is a safe W by any means)

Matt Brown -110 (DK 8200) (FD $15) (Very close fight, Brown is getting old and his chin is very suspect but he still has significant KO power and Barberena has been way too inconsistent throughout his UFC career for my liking)

Alexa Grasso (FADE) -250 (DK 9000) (FD $19)

SUMMARY:

On Saturday’s fourteen-bout MMA UFC DFS slate, I will be building 4 GPP lineups. I will be focusing on the three targets and my honorable mention fighters listed in my article to be a part of 99.9 percent of my lineups. Some fights in this slate are tricky to predict a winner and all fights are pretty close in skillset as UFC fighters are the elite of the elite. I usually employ a hedging technique on the fights that are closer in odds. I’m focusing on building a GPP winning lineup.

I’m building lineups that can variate from the field and taking bigger risks tonight. I will use my core fighters (Locked-In, Honorable Mention) to be a staple in my DFS lineups, and I will build around them using the available salary with the remainder of my predicted winners. Remember, to take down a GPP; you have to be different and take risks. Scared money doesn’t make money in tournaments. For any further questions, I will be available until lock in our WinDaily Discord chat. GOOD LUCK and don’t forget to come back and Win Daily!

PARLAY OF THE DAY

MonkeyKnifeFight: Knockout Kings!

Below I have listed my top three plays for MKF’s Knockout Kings Contest!