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UFC 278

USMAN V EDWARDS 2

Welcome back everyone to Win Daily’s Fight Night Deep Dive! What an amazing numbered card we have tonight! The long-awaited return of Luke Rockhold, and the P4P champ Kamaru Usman! Today’s slate will start at 6:30 PM ET. Read more below to find out my takes on tonight’s matchups! Tonight there will be 12-fights that will end with a fight for the Welterweight strap. Let’s get right into the action!

SLATE STARTS AT 6:30 PM ET

Exposure to the main event is recommended. DFS production in these fights is usually high as they are five-round fights. I may be branching away from the Main Event for some of my lines due to the possibility of low activity among these fighters. There will be three top plays followed by honorable mentions. Now let’s get ready to make some money!

Tonight I’m here to give you my top three favorite DFS and Sports betting picks for UFC 278 Usman vs Edwards 2.

MY UFC VALUE TARGET (CASH&GPP):

Jose Also (+110) (DK 8000) (FD $14) vs. Merab Dvalishvili (-138) (DK 8200) (FD $17).

Jose Aldo is slowing starting to prove that age is not a factor, after losing to Petr Yan for the Bantamweight strap he has rattled off three wins against top competition. Tonight, the challenge doesn’t get any easier against someone like Merab. Merab loves spamming takedowns. He averages over 7 takedowns a fight, thankfully, Aldo has had a very stead 90% takedown defense rate throughout his long UFC career. Both are fairly evenly matched in the striking department and I think this fight will come down to consistency and Fight IQ, and in a battle of wits, I think Aldo takes the day.

MY UFC DFS PICK: Jose Aldo (+110) (DK 8000) (FD $14). UNANIMOUS DECISION

MY UFC LOCKED-IN TARGET (CASH):

Alexandr Romanov (-400) (DK 9000) (FD $20) vs. Marcin Tybura (+300) (DK 7200) (FD $10).

King Kong is back! He’s been an absolute beast through his first 5 UFC fights, with the fight against Espino being the only fight that went to the judges’ table. Although Tybura is a step up in competition from Romanov’s last two opponents, Tybura is not even close to Romanov’s level. Romanov has very quick striking, strong defensive fundamentals and extremely impressive grappling and wrestling for a heavyweight, so much so that three of his five UFC wins have come via Submission (two in the first round). Tybura won’t really be able to keep up with Romanov in this matchup since the number of threats that Romanov has in any given moment of the fight is too much to consider.

MY UFC DFS PICK: Alexandr Romanov (-400) (DK 9000) (FD $20) FIRST ROUND SUBMISSION.

MY UFC TOP SCORING TARGET (GPP):

Tyson Pedro (-800) (DK 9500) (FD $22) vs. Harry Hunsucker (+550) (DK 6700) (FD $8)

This is a matchup between someone who is UFC calibre and someone who is not. Pedro has had an up and down UFC career but he has been able to rack up some wins. Hunsucker has been a human punching bag in the UFC landing a SLpM rate of 3.83 while holding a SApM rate of 6.70, just abysmal. I have nothing good to say about Harry Hunsucker and that’s enough for me to be squarely in Tyson Pedro’s camp for this matchup. I don’t think Hunsucker’s career will last much longer after this matchup either. Pedro will put him away early.

MY UFC DFS PICK: Tyson Pedro (-800) (DK 9500) (FD $22) FIRST-ROUND KO.

UFC HONORABLE MENTIONS:

(Not in order)

Kamaru Usman -400 (DK 9100) (FD $23) (5 ROUNDER)

Paulo Costa -400 (DK 8700) (FD $19) (Rockhold has just been out of the scene for too long)

Lucie Pudilova -125 (FADE) (DK 8300) (FD $16)

Jared Gordon -275 (DK 8900) (FD $19) (Leonard Santos is a solid underdog option)

Sean Woodson -350 (DK 8800) (FD $20)

AJ Fletcher -160 (DK 8400) (FD $18) (Lots of fireworks in this one, Ange Loosa is an interesting GPP play)

Amir Albazi -450 (DK 9200) (FD $21)

Aoriqileng -150 (DK 8500) (FD $17)

Victor Altamirano -170 (DK 8600) (FD $18)

SUMMARY:

On Saturday’s fourteen-bout MMA UFC DFS slate, I will be building 3 UFC Parlays. I will be focusing on the three targets and my honorable mention fighters listed in my article to be a part of 99.9 percent of my lineups. Some fights in this slate are tricky to predict a winner and all fights are pretty close in skillset as UFC fighters are the elite of the elite. I usually employ a hedging technique on the fights that are closer in odds. I’m focusing on building a GPP winning lineup.

I’m building lineups that can variate from the field and taking bigger risks tonight. I will use my core fighters (Locked-In, Honorable Mention) to be a staple in my DFS lineups, and I will build around them using the available salary with the remainder of my predicted winners. Remember, to take down a GPP; you have to be different and take risks. Scared money doesn’t make money in tournaments. For any further questions, I will be available until lock in our WinDaily Discord chat. GOOD LUCK and don’t forget to come back and Win Daily!

PARLAY OF THE DAY

MonkeyKnifeFight: Knockout Kings!

Below I have listed my top three plays for MKF’s Knockout Kings Contest!

UFC on ESPN 41

VERA V CRUZ

Welcome back everyone to Win Daily’s Fight Night Deep Dive! We’re back in Cali for this 13-fight UFC card that has a lot of interesting matchups along with being one of the best rookie showcases the UFC has put on this year with the likes of Onama, Quinlan and Jauregui all on the same card. Today’s slate will start at 4:00 PM ET. Read more below to find out my takes on tonight’s matchups! Tonight there will be 13-fights that will end with a bantamweight fight with a lot of implications for the top of the rankings. Let’s get right into the action!

SLATE STARTS AT 4:00 PM ET

Exposure to the main event is recommended. DFS production in these fights is usually high as they are five-round fights. I may be branching away from the Main Event for some of my lines due to the possibility of low activity among these fighters. There will be three top plays followed by honorable mentions. Now let’s get ready to make some money!

Tonight I’m here to give you my top three favorite DFS and Sports betting picks for UFC on ESPN 41 Vera vs Cruz.

MY UFC VALUE TARGET (CASH&GPP):

Da’Mon Blackshear (+110) (DK 8000) (FD $15) vs. Youssef Zalal (-138) (DK 8200) (FD $16).

It doesn’t surprise me that Zalal is coming in as the favourite in this one, he’s had six UFC fights to Blackshear’s zero. Unfortunately for Zalal, he’s on the wrong side of a three-fight losing streak. After a strong start in his first three UFC fights against absolute cans, his later UFC career has been characterized by fights against better fighter and a propensity to gas out as fights go on. It is also of note that all six of Zalal’s UFC fights have ended via decision. That will be a tougher ask against a fighter like Blackshear who has three submission wins in his last four fights. I can’t help but feel as though ring rust will also become a factor in this one as Zalal hasn’t fought in well over a year, whereas Blackshear booked his ticket into the UFC just under three months ago and has been extremely active since the start of 2021. I think Zalal’s UFC career will be in a lot of trouble if he doesn’t get the win here but to be honest, I don’t have a lot of faith in his tank or his ability to get a finish.

MY UFC DFS PICK: Da’Mon Blackshear (+110) (DK 8000) (FD $15). SECOND-ROUND SUBMISSION

MY UFC LOCKED-IN TARGET (CASH):

Bruno Silva (-300) (DK 9000) (FD $20) vs. Gerald Meerschaert (+240) (DK 7200) (FD $10).

Although, I don’t think Meerschaert will get worked like he did against Chimaev, I think the same vulnerabilities exist for Silva to exploit. Meerschaert has honestly become a liability on the feet and whatever he had of a chin has been chipped away through his 49 career pro fights. Silva holds a very high SLpM rate which is what I like to see out of fighters who primarily fight on the feet but on top of that Meerschaert has a negative striking differential, meaning that he absorbs more shots than he lands. Finally, Meerschaert has a very grapple heavy fighting style that has led him to 8 submission wins in the UFC, however for this fight, he is going up against a BJJ Black belt in Bruno Silva. Although, I don’t believe that Silva’s grappling is at the level of Meerschaert, Silva will know enough to defend himself and stay out of the danger spots. With Silva being able to neutralize Meerschaert’s strongest weapon, I don’t see a path to victory for Glass-chin Gerald.

MY UFC DFS PICK: Bruno Silva (-300) (DK 9000) (FD $20) FIRST ROUND KO.

MY UFC TOP SCORING TARGET (GPP):

David Onama (-334) (DK 8600) (FD $21) vs. Nate Landwehr (+250) (DK 7600) (FD $9)

I am truly impressed at how high Onama has been able to climb in such a short amount of time. In just his fourth UFC fight, he is already fighting in the co-main event. This comes after two very impressive wins against veteran Gabriel Benitez and debutant Garrett Armfield both in 2022. Onama is sporting an impressive 10-1-0 record with his only loss coming via decision against Mason Jones in his UFC debut. In a fight where Onama shocked a lot of people with his striking ability and power, only losing since Jones would shoot for desperation takedowns whenever he was getting outmatched on the feet. Landwehr is the kind of fighter who will get in the dirty areas to land his shots and as a result, he has a very high SLpM and a very high SApM, much like Onama. As such, I think this will be a very entertaining fight for as long as it lasts but I don’t see Landwehr being able to keep up with Onama’s power and speed. I think Landwehr should consider himself lucky if he can make it past the second round, I’m taking Onama all the way!

MY UFC DFS PICK: David Onama (-334) (DK 8600) (FD $21) FIRST-ROUND KO.

UFC HONORABLE MENTIONS:

(Not in order)

Marlon Vera -250 (DK 8500) (FD $22) (5 ROUNDER)

Yazmin Jauregui -225 (DK 8700) (FD $18)

Azamat Murzakanov -160 (DK 8400) (FD $17) (Watch his contender series fight, this man is an animal)

Lupita Godinez -350 (DK 9200) (FD $23)

Martin Buday -275 (DK 8900) (FD $20)

Ariane Lipski (FADE) -188 (DK 8700) (FD $18) (Neither have been particularly impressive so if you’re leaning towards Cachoeira that is a fine option as well. Overall I’d fade this one)

Josh Quinlan -275 (DK 9100) (FD $19)

Cynthia Calvilo (FADE) -188 (DK 8300) (FD $17)

Ode Osbourne -334 (DK 8800) (FD $19)

Gabriel Benitez -450 (DK 9300) (FD $22) (I don’t mind Ontiveros as a DEEP GPP Shot here)

SUMMARY:

On Saturday’s fourteen-bout MMA UFC DFS slate, I will be building 3 UFC Parlays. I will be focusing on the three targets and my honorable mention fighters listed in my article to be a part of 99.9 percent of my lineups. Some fights in this slate are tricky to predict a winner and all fights are pretty close in skillset as UFC fighters are the elite of the elite. I usually employ a hedging technique on the fights that are closer in odds. I’m focusing on building a GPP winning lineup.

I’m building lineups that can variate from the field and taking bigger risks tonight. I will use my core fighters (Locked-In, Honorable Mention) to be a staple in my DFS lineups, and I will build around them using the available salary with the remainder of my predicted winners. Remember, to take down a GPP; you have to be different and take risks. Scared money doesn’t make money in tournaments. For any further questions, I will be available until lock in our WinDaily Discord chat. GOOD LUCK and don’t forget to come back and Win Daily!

PARLAY OF THE DAY

MonkeyKnifeFight: Knockout Kings!

Below I have listed my top three plays for MKF’s Knockout Kings Contest!

UFC VEGAS 59

SANTOS V HILL

Welcome back everyone to Win Daily’s Fight Night Deep Dive! We have a very special card lined up for tongiht! This Fight Night will include the two finale’s from this season of the Ultimate Fighter! This is a very favorite heavy article so keep in mind the parlay picks below that can value on your bet slips. Today’s slate will start at 7:00 PM ET. Read more below to find out my takes on tonight’s matchups! Tonight there will be 11-fights that will end with a lightheavyweight fight with a lot of implications for the top of the rankings. Let’s get right into the action!

SLATE STARTS AT 7:00 PM ET

Exposure to the main event is recommended. DFS production in these fights is usually high as they are five-round fights. I may be branching away from the Main Event for some of my lines due to the possibility of low activity among these fighters. There will be three top plays followed by honorable mentions. Now let’s get ready to make some money!

Tonight I’m here to give you my top three favorite DFS and Sports betting picks for UFC Vegas 59 Santos vs Hill.

MY UFC VALUE TARGET (CASH&GPP):

Mayra Bueno Silva (+100) (DK 8200) (FD $14) vs. Stephanie Egger (-125) (DK 8000) (FD $16).

We’re starting off the article with the first fight of the night between Mayra Bueno Silva and Stephanie Egger. Now, although I am not expecting a lot of fireworks, I would definitely give the edge in this one to Mayra, and since she’s coming in as a slight dog, I see a lot of value in selecting her to win via decision. Statistically, Mayra strikes a lot more and absorbs a lot more strikes, while Egger has had more success with the ground game in the UFC, albeit with a 41% takedown accuracy. I am comfortable enough with Bueno Silva’s 69% TDEF that she will control the pace and location of the fight to ensure that it stays on the feet where she’s have an easier night. For DFS, it is tricky since there is not a lot of value in a low output decision win. Unfortunately, this card does not have a lot of appealing underdogs. For your DFS lineups, if you’re plugging in underdogs, I would look at: Usman, Neal, Granger and Santos. All four are in very tough spots tonight but they are the best of a bad bunch.

MY UFC DFS PICK: Mayra Bueno Silva (+100) (DK 8200) (FD $14). UNANIMOUS DECISION

MY UFC LOCKED-IN TARGET (CASH):

Michal Oleksiejczuk (-1000) (DK 9300) (FD $21) vs. Sam Alvey (+600) (DK 6900) (FD $9).

How is this guy still in the UFC, like seriously, Alvey is the most washed up fighter I have ever seen and I don’t understand how he keeps getting fights when he clearly cannot keep up with the competition. In Alvey’s last eight fights, he’s lost seven and had one draw. He has not won since 2018 where he beat Gian Villante via Split Decision, Gian retired last year… Despite a recent loss to Jacoby, Oleksiejczuk is firmly settled on the UFC roster and tonight will simply be an easy night at the office of Oleksiejczuk. I would take him by finish in any round as Alvey can prove to be a bit scrappy but at the end of the day, I truly don’t see this fight leaving the first round.

MY UFC DFS PICK: Michal Oleksiejczuk (-1000) (DK 9300) (FD $21) FIRST ROUND KO.

MY UFC TOP SCORING TARGET (GPP):

Terrance McKinney (-1000) (DK 9500) (FD $23) vs. Erick Gonzalez (+600) (DK 6700) (FD $8)

I was really hoping we’d get McKinney again at+100 but unfortunately that is definitely not the case, it seems as though the bookies have learned their lesson, with some lines having McKinney as high as a -1000 favourite. Gonzalez is 0-1 in his UFC career after getting KO’d by a 37-year old Jim Miller last year. Getting KO’d by Miller, especially at his age is an extremely bad look for a fighter looking to break into the UFC brass. Unfortunately for him, the UFC did him no favors by matching him up against T.Wrecks who is 2-1 in his UFC tenure with two back-to-back first round KOs. In fact, 11 of his 12 career wins have come by way of a first-round knockout, that’s an incredibly impressive stat and could possibly be foreshadowing how tonight’s fight will go. From what I saw in his fight against Miller, Gonzalez was barely throwing and when he did he had a hard time connecting, which ultimately led to him getting flattened out early in the second round. This fight will be an excellent springboard for McKinney to continue his climb to the top 15 in the loaded lightweight division.

MY UFC DFS PICK: Terrance McKinney (-1000) (DK 9500) (FD $23) FIRST-ROUND KO.

UFC HONORABLE MENTIONS:

(Not in order)

Jamahal Hill -334 (DK 9000) (FD $22) (5 ROUNDER)

Vincente Luque -200 (DK 8500) (FD $19)

Zac Pauga -275 (DK 8900) (FD $20) (As mentioned, you could take a shot at Usman here for your DFS lines)

Juliana Miller -138 (DK 8300) (FD $16)

Sergey Spivak -300 (DK 8800) (FD $20)

Ariane Lipski (FADE) -188 (DK 8400) (FD $18) (Neither have been particularly impressive so if you’re leaning towards Cachoeira that is a fine option as well, especially considering that Lipski missed weight. Overall I’d fade this one)

Bryan Battle -300 (DK 8700) (FD $17)

Cory McKenna (FADE) -200 (DK 9100) (FD $19)

SUMMARY:

On Saturday’s fourteen-bout MMA UFC DFS slate, I will be building 3 UFC Parlays. I will be focusing on the three targets and my honorable mention fighters listed in my article to be a part of 99.9 percent of my lineups. Some fights in this slate are tricky to predict a winner and all fights are pretty close in skillset as UFC fighters are the elite of the elite. I usually employ a hedging technique on the fights that are closer in odds. I’m focusing on building a GPP winning lineup.

I’m building lineups that can variate from the field and taking bigger risks tonight. I will use my core fighters (Locked-In, Honorable Mention) to be a staple in my DFS lineups, and I will build around them using the available salary with the remainder of my predicted winners. Remember, to take down a GPP; you have to be different and take risks. Scared money doesn’t make money in tournaments. For any further questions, I will be available until lock in our WinDaily Discord chat. GOOD LUCK and don’t forget to come back and Win Daily!

PARLAY OF THE DAY

MonkeyKnifeFight: Knockout Kings!

Below I have listed my top three plays for MKF’s Knockout Kings Contest!

UFC 277

PENA V NUNES 2

Welcome back everyone to Win Daily’s Fight Night Deep Dive! After a couple of early cards with the last one coming from across the pond we are back with another numbered cared! The UFC has stacked this one up with two rematches for the main and co-main events. There are lot’s of hidden gems that we can lean towards for betting purposes. Today’s slate will start at 6:00 PM ET. Read more below to find out my takes on tonight’s matchups! Tonight there will be 13-fights that will end with a rematch for the women’s bantamweight title that will feature one of the greatest female fighters of all time in Amanda Nunes. Let’s get right into the action!

SLATE STARTS AT 6:00 PM ET

Exposure to the main event is recommended. DFS production in these fights is usually high as they are five-round fights. I may be branching away from the Main Event for some of my lines due to the possibility of low activity among these fighters. There will be three top plays followed by honorable mentions. Now let’s get ready to make some money!

Tonight I’m here to give you my top three favorite DFS and Sports betting picks for UFC 277 Pena vs Nunes 2.

MY UFC VALUE TARGET (CASH&GPP):

Rafael Alves (+150) (DK 7200) (FD $10) vs. Drew Dober (-175) (DK 9000) (FD $20).

We’re starting off the article with an interesting matchup. Dober has been in the UFC since 2013 and has had a bit of a rocky road as of late despite some success in his long career. Dober has always been known as a hard hitter and his standup is definitely his path to victory in this matchup but a common theme in his losses is that he gets caught in deep submission (half of his UFC losses have come by submission). Alves is known for his wicked guillotine choke, if Dober gets complacent or ignores the threat, Alves is going to lock it up tight and end the fight. If the fight goes to the cards, I’d imagine that Dober would have an edge in a 15-minute fight but I cannot undersell Alves’ submission threat and the fact that submission defense has not always been Dober’s strong suit. The odds do give us some value on Alves but I think the outcome of the fight is still very much up in the air.

MY UFC DFS PICK: Rafael Alves (+150) (DK 7200) (FD $10). SECOND ROUND SUBMISSION

MY UFC LOCKED-IN TARGET (CASH):

Michael Morales (-600) (DK 9500) (FD $22) vs. Adam Fugitt (+450) (DK 6700) (FD $8).

I’ll give Fugitt credit, a win against Renfro is impressive in my books but he was given an extremley tough fight for his UFC debut. Morales is the latest talent coming out of Entram Gym and currently holds a 13-0-0 record, his last one of which came in an impressive performance against Trevin Giles. A win over Giles is a much more significant feather in ones cap than a win against Renfro. On top of that, Morales’ record is filled with First round finishes, mostly by strikes. Other than Renfro, Fugitt has fought a long list of nobodies and he’s facing a massive step up here in competition, one that I don’t think he’ll be able to handle. Morales has a lot of power and speed behind his shots and it has caught his opponents by suprise. I think there is a significant chance that Morales puts Fugitt away in one round.

MY UFC DFS PICK: Michael Morales (-600) (DK 9500) (FD $22) FIRST ROUND KO.

MY UFC TOP SCORING TARGET (GPP):

Alejandro Pantoja (-188) (DK 8700) (FD $19) vs. Alex Perez (+162) (DK 7500) (FD $11)

We have a very high level flyweight fight in this matchup and it is not even the highest level flyweight fight of the night, that’s impressive for one card. Despite being the better fighter, Pantoja is not the one with the title fight under their belt, that would be Alex Perez, who in just 7 fights flew up the rankings to compete for the Flyweight strap, unfortunately he went on to be completely exposed on the ground by Figueredo, Pantoja also lost to Figgy but at least that fight was more competitive. Against Pantoja, Figgy largly kept the action off the ground, knowing Pantoja’s BJJ threat, whereas, against Perez, he locked in a Guillotine two minutes in. Perez will be struggling a lot tonight if his BJJ defense has not SIGNIFICANTLY improved as Pantoja representes a constant submission threat that I don’t think Perez will be able to beat back. Pantoja’s BJJ is just so technically sound that I don’t think Perez gets out of the first round. Lets not forget that Pantoja holds two wins against Brandon Moreno (one in TUF) and one against Kai-Kara France (also in TUF) [the two guys fighting for the interim strap tonight], whereas Perez’s win record comes nowhere near Pantoja’s, in comparing records alone, this fight is a complete mismatch, even more so when you begin to factor in Pantoja’s significant advantage on the ground. I am heavily leaning towards Pantoja ending this fight in one round, via submission.

MY UFC DFS PICK: Alejandro Pantoja (-188) (DK 8700) (FD $19) FIRST-ROUND SUBMISSION.

UFC HONORABLE MENTIONS:

(Not in order)

Amanda Nunes -275 (DK 9200) (FD $23) (5 ROUNDER)

Brandon Moreno -210 (DK 8900) (FD $20) (5 ROUNDER)

Sergei Pavlovich -160 (DK 8200) (FD $17) (Never count out Derrick Lewis, I would consider him viable in DFS formats)

Magomed Ankalaev -600 (DK 9400) (FD $21)

Matt Semelsberger -163 (DK 8600) (FD $19) (Some value on Morono as an underdog for DFS purposes, I could see Morono taking this fight, it is very close in my books)

Hamdy Abdelwahab (GPP) +162 (DK 7700) (FD $11)

Drakkar Klose -210 (DK 9100) (FD $21)

Ji Yeon Kim (FADE) +100 (DK 7900) (FD $15) (Opponent came in overweight)

Nick Negumereanu -125 (DK 7800) (FD $15) (Potieria has some good value as a dog, if you need a value piece with some risk)

Orion Cosce -200 (DK 8800) (FD $18) (I think Cosce is more likely to win, however the value is on Blood Diamond, I think Cosce’s loss to Rowe was a big blemish on his record and he’ll need to rack up some solid performances to earn back trust. Also, Orion came in overweight too)

SUMMARY:

On Saturday’s fourteen-bout MMA UFC DFS slate, I will be building 3 UFC Parlays. I will be focusing on the three targets and my honorable mention fighters listed in my article to be a part of 99.9 percent of my lineups. Some fights in this slate are tricky to predict a winner and all fights are pretty close in skillset as UFC fighters are the elite of the elite. I usually employ a hedging technique on the fights that are closer in odds. I’m focusing on building a GPP winning lineup.

I’m building lineups that can variate from the field and taking bigger risks tonight. I will use my core fighters (Locked-In, Honorable Mention) to be a staple in my DFS lineups, and I will build around them using the available salary with the remainder of my predicted winners. Remember, to take down a GPP; you have to be different and take risks. Scared money doesn’t make money in tournaments. For any further questions, I will be available until lock in our WinDaily Discord chat. GOOD LUCK and don’t forget to come back and Win Daily!

PARLAY OF THE DAY

MonkeyKnifeFight: Knockout Kings!

Below I have listed my top three plays for MKF’s Knockout Kings Contest!

UFC Fight Night 208

BLAYDES V ASPINALL

Welcome back everyone to Win Daily’s Fight Night Deep Dive! After an amazing card with a let down of a main event (prayers to T-City), we’re back across the pond today for an amazing card in London’s O2 Stadium! The UFC always stacks UK cards with British talent and tonight will be no different. Today’s slate will start at 11:00 AM ET. Read more below to find out my takes on tonight’s matchups! Tonight there will be 14-fights that will end with two top level heavyweight who could set their sights on the championship with a win tonight! Let’s get started!

SLATE STARTS AT 11:00 AM ET

Exposure to the main event is recommended. DFS production in these fights are usually be high as they are five-round fights. I may be branching away from the Main Event for some of my lines due to the possibility of low activity among these fighters. There will be three top plays followed by honorable mentions. Now let’s get ready to make some money!

Tonight I’m here to give you my top three favorite DFS and Sports betting picks for UFC Fight Night 208 Blaydes v Aspinall

MY UFC VALUE TARGET (CASH&GPP):

Jack Hermansson (+100) (DK 8000) (FD $14) vs. Chris Curtis (-125) (DK 8200) (FD $15).

We’re starting the article off with the co-main event and I am quite surprised to see the odds in this one as close as they are. Despite a few recent hiccups the Joker has been a top 10 middle weight in the UFC for quite some time now and for Chris Curtis, this is his fourth UFC fight. Credit where credit is due, Curtis has performed well in his first three UFC fights but Hermansson has way more octagon experience and a much more developed ground game which will definitely cause Curtis some problems. As we saw, Hermansson wrestling can even keep up with the likes of Khamzat Chimaev. There is no doubt in my mind that Curtis deserves to be where he’s at but this could very well be a case of the UFC pushing him too far too fast.

MY UFC DFS PICK: Jack Hermansson (+100) (DK 8000) (FD $14). SECOND ROUND SUBMISSION

MY UFC LOCKED-IN TARGET (CASH):

Muhammad Mokaev (-500) (DK 9500) (FD $23) vs. Charles Johnson (+380) (DK 6700) (FD $8).

Mokaev still has a LONG way to go in his maturity development, that’ll come with age and experience but his skill in the cage cannot be understated. He already disposded of Cody Durden in his UFC debut and is now turning around in his hometown to welcome Charles Johnson to the Octagon. It’s unfortunate for Johnson too because he seems like a decent prospect it just so happens that happens that he’s up against a generational talent in Mokaev. As much as I’d like Johnson to humble the kid a bit, realistcally, it’s not gonna happen.

MY UFC DFS PICK: Muhammad Mokaev (-500) (DK 9500) (FD $22) FIRST ROUND KO.

MY UFC TOP SCORING TARGET (GPP):

Paddy Pimblett (-275) (DK 8900) (FD $20) vs. Jordan Leavitt (+225) (DK 7300) (FD $11)

He’s baaaaack PADDY THE BADDY has returned to the UFC and they gave him a very winnable opponent for his second fight back home since joining the promotion in Jordan Leavitt. Despite going 3 for 4 in his UFC career, his last fight was extremely close and his second fight in the UFC against Claudio Puelles showed a side of Leavitt that is almost lazy or simply unable to get back in fights once he sees that he’s out of them. Pimblett on the other hand has shown that despite getting rocked at times, he is not out of fight til the final bell or the opponent is out on the mat. A clear example of this is Pimblett’s fight against Luigi Vendramini where he took a hard shot early in the first round and came back to win by KO later in the round. Aside from all the entertainment and fanfare that Paddy brings, he is a solid UFC talent and will put on a show tonight for the hometown crowd even if he has to eat a couple of good shots to do it.

MY UFC DFS PICK: Paddy Pimblett (-275) (DK 8900) (FD $20) FIRST-ROUND KO. (possible SECOND-ROUND KO)

UFC HONORABLE MENTIONS:

(Not in order)

Tom Aspinall -160 (DK 8300) (FD $20) (5 ROUNDER)

Alexander Gustafsson +170 (DK 7600) (FD $13)

Molly McCann -450 (DK 9300) (FD $22)

Paul Craig +125 (DK 7700) (FD $13)

Mason Jones (FADE) -400 (DK 9200) (FD $21) (No value with the odds set as they are)

Mark Diakiese -400 (DK 9100) (FD $21)

Nathaniel Wood -550 (DK 9400) (FD $23)

Jai Herbert (FADE) -300 (DK 9000) (FD $20)

Jonathan Pearce -188 (DK 8700) (FD $18)

Nicolas Dalby -250 (DK 8800) (FD $19)

Mandy Bohm (FADE) -125 (DK 8400) (FD $15)

SUMMARY:

On Saturday’s fourteen-bout MMA UFC DFS slate, I will be building 3 UFC Parlays. I will be focusing on the three targets and my honorable mention fighters listed in my article to be a part of 99.9 percent of my lineups. Some fights in this slate are tricky to predict a winner and all fights are pretty close in skillset as UFC fighters are the elite of the elite. I usually employ a hedging technique on the fights that are closer in odds. I’m focusing on building a GPP winning lineup.

I’m building lineups that can variate from the field and taking bigger risks tonight. I will use my core fighters (Locked-In, Honorable Mention) to be a staple in my DFS lineups, and I will build around them using the available salary with the remainder of my predicted winners. Remember, to take down a GPP; you have to be different and take risks. Scared money doesn’t make money in tournaments. For any further questions, I will be available until lock in our WinDaily Discord chat. GOOD LUCK and don’t forget to come back and Win Daily!

PARLAY OF THE DAY

MonkeyKnifeFight: Knockout Kings!

Below I have listed my top three plays for MKF’s Knockout Kings Contest!

UFC on ABC 3

ORTEGA V RODRIGUEZ

Welcome back everyone to Win Daily’s Fight Night Deep Dive! We have what is in my opinion one of the best free cards of the year, and it’s coming to you direct on ABC! I had this one circled in my calendar for a while and I can’t wait to watch two featherweight title contenders duke it out for a title shot. Today’s slate will start at 11:00 AM ET. Read more below to find out my takes on tonight’s matchups! Tonight there will be 12-fights that will end with a possible title eliminator between a nifty striker and one of the best grapplers the UFC has ever seen. Looking forward to breaking this one down! Let’s get started!

SLATE STARTS AT 11:00 AM ET

Exposure to the main event is recommended. DFS production in these fights are usually be high as they are five-round fights. I may be branching away from the Main Event for some of my lines due to the possibility of low activity among these fighters. There will be three top plays followed by honorable mentions. Now let’s get ready to make some money!

Tonight I’m here to give you my top three favorite DFS and Sports betting picks for UFC on ABC 3 Ortega vs Rodriguez.

MY UFC VALUE TARGET (CASH&GPP):

Herbert Burns (+170) (DK 7500) (FD $10) vs. Bill Algeo (-200) (DK 8700) (FD $20).

I had a few options that could have gone in the value plays. We have many solid choices including Charles Jourdain and Li Jingliang, both of whom, I believe are criminally underrated. But the odds in this matchup threw me for a loop. I understand that Burns has had a bit of a rocky last fight in 2020 following a strong 2-0 start to his UFC career where many thought (including Gilbert) that he could surpass his brother’s achievements in MMA. Whether he will reach that summit is hard to tell but getting past Algeo here should not be an earthshattering challenge for Burns. Herbert has such an advantage in the grappling department that if the fight hits the ground, Algeo is a goner. I think bookies are looking at the layoff and the last fight a little too heavily and Burns should walk away with the win in this matchup.

MY UFC DFS PICK: Herbert Burns (+170) (DK 7500) (FD $10). SECOND ROUND SUBMISSION

MY UFC LOCKED-IN TARGET (CASH):

Amanda Lemos (-334) (DK 9400) (FD $23) vs. Michelle Waterson (+250) (DK 6800) (FD $8).

In women’s MMA there are some fighters who stand well above their competition. They’re not hard to spot either, Nunes, Shevchenko, Andrade and just below that upper class of Women’s MMA, you’ll see Amanda Lemos. She can tear through the lower ranks of the women’s divison but will usually fall short when making that final leap as we saw against Andrade. Thankfully for Lemos, Waterson is not Andrade. Waterson is much more akin to Lemos’ old opponent Angela Hill. A UFC mainstain with legitimate talent but will ultimately have trouble competing with the best. Waterson has made a career for herself through her karate but has also smoothed out a good MMA skillset throughout her career. Unfortunately for Waterson, she’s had some trouble with hard hitters like Lemos, which leads her to finding herself on the wrong side of unanimous decisions after slowly letting the fight slip away. I think Waterson can push this fight to a decision which is why I made room for the possibility but I think that Lemos’ power will simply be too much for Waterson to handle, I’ll be taking the Brazilian in this matchup.

MY UFC DFS PICK: Amanda Lemos (-334) (DK 9400) (FD $23) FIRST ROUND KO (possible UNANIMOUS DECISION)

MY UFC TOP SCORING TARGET (GPP):

Punahele Soriano (-225) (DK 9200) (FD $22) vs. Dalcha Lungiambula (+187) (DK 7000) (FD $9)

Despite dropping his last two, Soriano is in a golden position tonight against Lungiambula who has also dropped his last two UFC fights. Puna lost a couple of fights by decision with a razor thin split against Nick Maximov. Whereas Dalcha lost convincingly to both Brundage and Barriault. Although Dalcha has power, he doesn’t have much more beyond that. His footwork is not great, his technique is questionable at best and his speed is not at Soriano’s level. On top of that Lungiambula can gas out pretty hard, leaving openings for Puna if the fight goes into the deeper rounds. Punahele has a clean striking technique and enough power to put out some top competitors in the Middleweight division. I am confident that Soriano will be able to get it done tonight in convincing fashion.

MY UFC DFS PICK: Punahele Soriano (-225) (DK 9200) (FD $22) FIRST-ROUND KO.

UFC HONORABLE MENTIONS:

(Not in order)

Brian Ortega -175 (DK 8500) (FD $21) (5 ROUNDER)

Li Jingliang +130 (DK 7600) (FD $11)

Su Muderaji -275 (DK 9100) (FD $22)

Charles Jourdain +140 (DK 7200) (FD $12)

Miesha Tate (FADE) -210 (DK 8800) (FD $21)

Jack Shore -160 (DK 8400) (FD $17) (Close one, could go either way)

Dustin Jacoby -110 (DK 8300) (FD $15) (Great matchmaking, hard to find a definitive edge between the two)

Dwight Grant -110 (DK 8900) (FD $17)

Emily Ducote (FADE) -163 (DK 8200) (FD $16)

SUMMARY:

On Saturday’s fourteen-bout MMA UFC DFS slate, I will be building 3 UFC Parlays. I will be focusing on the three targets and my honorable mention fighters listed in my article to be a part of 99.9 percent of my lineups. Some fights in this slate are tricky to predict a winner and all fights are pretty close in skillset as UFC fighters are the elite of the elite. I usually employ a hedging technique on the fights that are closer in odds. I’m focusing on building a GPP winning lineup.

I’m building lineups that can variate from the field and taking bigger risks tonight. I will use my core fighters (Locked-In, Honorable Mention) to be a staple in my DFS lineups, and I will build around them using the available salary with the remainder of my predicted winners. Remember, to take down a GPP; you have to be different and take risks. Scared money doesn’t make money in tournaments. For any further questions, I will be available until lock in our WinDaily Discord chat. GOOD LUCK and don’t forget to come back and Win Daily!

PARLAY OF THE DAY

MonkeyKnifeFight: Knockout Kings!

Below I have listed my top three plays for MKF’s Knockout Kings Contest!

UFC Vegas 58

DOS ANJOS V FIZIEV

Welcome back everyone to Win Daily’s Fight Night Deep Dive! We saw a spectacular card last week where both champions retained their belts in convincing fashion, we also bore witness to a highlight reel knockout courtesy of Alex Pereira and he looks to set his sights towards a title shot against his former kickboxing foe Israel Adesanya. Today’s slate will start at 6:00 PM ET. Read more below to find out my takes on tonight’s matchups! Tonight there will be 12-fights that will end with a legend’s possible last walk to the octagon against a fellow well-trained grappler. Looking forward to breaking this one down! Let’s get started!

SLATE STARTS AT 6:00 PM ET

Exposure to the main event is recommended. DFS production in these fights are usually be high as they are five-round fights. I may be branching away from the Main Event for some of my lines due to the low activity among these fighters. There will be three top plays followed by honorable mentions. Now let’s get ready to make some money!

Tonight I’m here to give you my top three favorite DFS and Sports betting picks for UFC Vegas 58 Dos Anjos vs Fiziev.

MY UFC VALUE TARGET (CASH&GPP):

Aiemann Zahabi (+200) (DK 7400) (FD $11) vs. Ricky Turcious (-250) (DK 8800) (FD $19).

It was very difficult for me to pick a good underdog for this card because to be honest, the options are very few and far between but I am not a fan of Ricky’s fighting style. He leaves himself too open for strikes and is too accepting of grappling positions that are just unfavourable. We have relied on Aiemann before as an underdog in his matchup against Drako Rodriguez, where he nailed him with a clean (but borderline lucky) overhand right KO. As mentioned when he fought last year, he’s the younger brother of legendary TriStar coach, Firas Zahabi who was the primary trainer of the legend Georges St-Pierre. Zahabi will have a gameplan fully fleshed out for this matchup and I can safely assume that his training will be prime. As we saw in his last fight, Zahabi has power in his hand but his path to victory in this matchup will be his grappling. His grappling is very strong and if he can utilize it to its full potential, it will cause some serious problems for Turcios. Both of these fighters have a lot to prove but overall I am leaning towards Zahabi in this matchup.

MY UFC DFS PICK: Aiemann Zahabi (+200) (DK 7400) (FD $11). UNANIMOUS DECISION. (possible SECOND ROUND SUBMISSION)

MY UFC LOCKED-IN TARGET (CASH):

Said Nurmagomedov (-334) (DK 9200) (FD $22) vs. Douglas Silva De Andrade (+250) (DK 7000) (FD $9).

When it comes to the world of grappling, few names are as impressive as Nurmagomedov. Said is no exception (Khabib’s cousin). He’s already notched two highlight reel finishes, including a performance of the night submission against Cody Stamman earlier this year which many believe can notch him a submission of the year award. Overall, I’ve been very impressed with Nurmagomedov’s fight IQ and of course his grappling skills. De Andrade has had some good moments in his UFC career but his is in a bit of a mismatch for this fight. Both have had similar opponents in the past with de Andrade boasting the stronger resume, but whenever he matched up against one of the divisions top talents such as Rob Font or Petr Yan, de Andrade just fell short, I expect something similar to happen to de Andrade in tonight’s matchup against rising star Said Nurmagomedov.

MY UFC DFS PICK: Said Nurmagomedov (-334) (DK 9200) (FD $22) FIRST ROUND SUBMISSION (possible UNANIMOUS DECISION)

MY UFC TOP SCORING TARGET (GPP):

David Onama (-800) (DK 9300) (FD $22) vs. Garrett Armfield (+550) (DK 6900) (FD $8)

The wait is over, we finally have another David Onama fight. Earlier this year, Onama put out Moggly Benitez in the first round after a tough debut against Mason Jones in 2021. In his UFC debut, it was very clear that he was a special talent. Despite being a considerable underdog and ultimately losing the close matchup, Onama was working Jones and arguably had the better stand up, only for Jones to shoot for a desparate takedown when the tides began to turn which Onama struggled stopping. In this matchup however, Onama holds a clear skill advantage over newcomer Armfield in most if not all areas of MMA and Onama’s striking advantage when it comes to technique and power are significant. Onama also has a very impressive tank, especially considering his striking output and he should be able to face whatever Armfield throws his way. Onama is one for the future and Armfield was just given an unfair matchup for his UFC debut.

MY UFC DFS PICK: David Onama (-800) (DK 9300) (FD $22) FIRST-ROUND KO.

UFC HONORABLE MENTIONS:

(Not in order)

Rafael Fiziev -220 (DK 9000) (FD $23) (5 ROUNDER)

Caio Borralho -275 (DK 8900) (FD $21)

Cynthia Calvillo (FADE) -150 (DK 8500) (FD $17)

Jared Vanderaa (FADE) -200 (DK 8600) (FD $20) (Bad vs Worse, wouldn’t be surprised if it went either way)

Jamie Mullarkey -250 (DK 9100) (FD $21)

Tresean Gore -160 (DK 8300) (FD $16)

Antonina Shevchenko (FADE) -175 (DK 8700) (FD $18) (Bad vs Worse, wouldn’t be surprised if it went either way)

Ronnie Lawrence -125 (DK 8400) (FD $17) (Really close matchup here, Kahkramanov is a solid DFS option)

Kennedy Nzechukwu -150 (DK 8200) (FD $16)

SUMMARY:

On Saturday’s fourteen-bout MMA UFC DFS slate, I will be building 3 UFC Parlays. I will be focusing on the three targets and my honorable mention fighters listed in my article to be a part of 99.9 percent of my lineups. Some fights in this slate are tricky to predict a winner and all fights are pretty close in skillset as UFC fighters are the elite of the elite. I usually employ a hedging technique on the fights that are closer in odds. I’m focusing on building a GPP winning lineup.

I’m building lineups that can variate from the field and taking bigger risks tonight. I will use my core fighters (Locked-In, Honorable Mention) to be a staple in my DFS lineups, and I will build around them using the available salary with the remainder of my predicted winners. Remember, to take down a GPP; you have to be different and take risks. Scared money doesn’t make money in tournaments. For any further questions, I will be available until lock in our WinDaily Discord chat. GOOD LUCK and don’t forget to come back and Win Daily!

PARLAY OF THE DAY

MonkeyKnifeFight: Knockout Kings!

Below I have listed my top three plays for MKF’s Knockout Kings Contest!

UFC 276

ADESANYA V CANNONIER

Welcome back everyone to Win Daily’s Fight Night Deep Dive! We have one of the best cards of the year in front of us tonight with two belts getting put on the line tonight. Today’s slate will start at 6:00 PM ET. Read more below to find out my takes on tonight’s matchups! Tonight there will be 12-fights that will end with a lightweight fight between two future top contenders. Looking forward to breaking this one down! Let’s get started!

SLATE STARTS AT 6:00 PM ET

Exposure to the main event is recommended. DFS production in these fights are usually be high as they are five-round fights. I may be branching away from the Main Event for some of my lines due to the low activity among these fighters. There will be three top plays followed by honorable mentions. Now let’s get ready to make some money!

Tonight I’m here to give you my top three favorite DFS and Sports betting picks for UFC 276 Adesanya vs Cannonier. If you haven’t already, be sure to check out this week’s WinDaily MMA Gambling Academy!

MY UFC VALUE TARGET (CASH&GPP):

Bryan Barberena (-110) (DK 7700) (FD $14) vs. Robbie Lawler (-110) (DK 8500) (FD $16).

If this fight happened five years ago, there is no question in my mind that Robbie would take it, but this is 2022, marking 20 years since Lawlers first UFC fight, there’s no question that he’s a specimen of an athlete but father time catches up to everyone and realistically Barberena will only have to catch him clean a couple of time to truly take control of the fight. Essenitally, Lawlers chin is his biggest liability after it has endured so much damage over the years. Robbie was on a four fight losing streak before his win against another aging vet in Nick Diaz, and unfortunately I don’t have confidence in Robbie after one win in his last five years. Barberena is also walking into tonight on a two fight winning streak, including a close win over Matt Brown which makes me believe that he should have no problem bringing the fight to Lawler tonight.

MY UFC DFS PICK: Bryan Barberena (-110) (DK 7700) (FD $14). UNANIMOUS DECISION. (possible SECOND ROUND KO)

MY UFC LOCKED-IN TARGET (CASH):

Jim Miller (-175) (DK 8700) (FD $20) vs. Donald Cerrone (+150) (DK 7500) (FD $10).

Now onto another fighter who should’ve retired a while ago, Donald Cerrone. His last performance against Morono was embarrassing to say the least and led to five losses and a draw over his last six fights. I will always respect what Cerrone was able to accomplish in the octagon in his prime but the reality is that his chin is shot, he’s slower and right now in his career he is nowhere near Jim Miller. Despite the fact that Jim is only one year younger, Jim is still winning fights and in impressive fashion too. In his last two fights, Jim put away two fighters who were considered prospects and he did it in a very convincing fashion with his looping shots. Jim can also compete with Cerrone on the ground as he has a number of submission victories to his name in the UFC. Both fighters have similar strike differentials with Cerrone landing and absorbing double what Jim has done throughout his UFC career. However, recently Cerrone has been absorbing more damage than landing. It’s safe to say that I’m leaning towards A-10 Miller in this one and I think Cerrone should look at his career thoughtfully after tonights fight no matter what happens.

MY UFC DFS PICK: Jim Miller (-175) (DK 8700) (FD $20) FIRST ROUND SUBMISSION (possible UNANIMOUS DECISION)

MY UFC TOP SCORING TARGET (GPP):

Dricus Du Plessis (-160) (DK 8000) (FD $18) vs. Brad Tavares (+130) (DK 8200) (FD $11)

Dricus has impressed me ever since he stepped foot into the octagon back in 2020. Since then he’s rattled off another KO win against Trevin Giles and is now up against a very similar opponent in Brad Tavares. Brad has had a long history in the UFC, fighting since 2010 and competing against some of the best in the sport such as Israel Adesanya and Robert Whittaker. Unfortunately for Tavares, he could never make that leap from being a good UFC fighter to being a great UFC fighter. Despite that, he has consistently remained in the top 15 and will prove to be Du Plessis’ toughest challenge to date. I think that Tavares will struggle a lot with Du Plessis rangey kicks and fast strikes. Du Plessis made a name for himself through his K1-Kickboxing but has also rattled off 9 submission wins over his 16 career wins. Du Plessis is a very versatile fighter and will be able to take whatever Tavares throws his way in stride. I think that Du Plessis will prove to be a future contender in this division and that starts with a finish tonight against Tavares.

MY UFC DFS PICK: Dricus Du Plessis (-160) (DK 8000) (FD $18) FIRST-ROUND KO. (possible SECOND-ROUND SUBMISSION)

UFC HONORABLE MENTIONS:

(Not in order)

Israel Adesanya -500 (DK 9400) (FD $23) (5 ROUNDER) (I don’t see a lot of competitiveness in this one, it’s almost as though Adesanya is trying to lap the division and Cannonier just happened to be next in line)

Max Holloway +170 (DK 7200) (FD $15) (5 ROUNDER) (Lots of Value taking Holloway by decision, I’ve seen it anywhere from +300 to +375, I also happen to think that Holloway won the first two)

Sean Strickland -110 (DK 7900) (FD $16) (Very close fight, I would have exposure to it on one side or the other. I think that Pereira has the better DFS value since it’s easier to see him go for the finish but Strickland could very well take Pereira down at will to neutralize the kickboxing and slow down the fight. This is most likely a title eliminator as well.)

Jalin Turner -150 (DK 8400) (FD $17)

Sean O’Malley -334 (DK 9300) (FD $22) (Struggled a lot here as O’Malley does have some holes in his striking and some deficiencies when defending shots, especially kicks, but I don’t think Munhoz will be able to expose O’Malley like Vera did. I think O’Malley fires shots from distance, racks up a lot of DFS points and takes a Decision win)

Andre Muniz -350 (DK 9200) (FD $21)

Maycee Barber (FADE) -300 (DK 9100) (FD $21) (Maycee Barber has soured me a lot, I don’t find her striking or any of her fundamentals to be all that impressive but it’s hard to back a fighter like Jessica Eye against her as Eye has lost 4 of her last 5 fights. I’d fade this fight altogether, since there are too many unknowns and not enough value on either side)

Ian Garry -175 (DK 8800) (FD $19) (I have some concerns with Garry and Gabe Green can provide some solid DFS value)

Jessica Rose-Clark -150 (DK 8600) (FD $17)

SUMMARY:

On Saturday’s fourteen-bout MMA UFC DFS slate, I will be building 3 UFC Parlays. I will be focusing on the three targets and my honorable mention fighters listed in my article to be a part of 99.9 percent of my lineups. Some fights in this slate are tricky to predict a winner and all fights are pretty close in skillset as UFC fighters are the elite of the elite. I usually employ a hedging technique on the fights that are closer in odds. I’m focusing on building a GPP winning lineup.

I’m building lineups that can variate from the field and taking bigger risks tonight. I will use my core fighters (Locked-In, Honorable Mention) to be a staple in my DFS lineups, and I will build around them using the available salary with the remainder of my predicted winners. Remember, to take down a GPP; you have to be different and take risks. Scared money doesn’t make money in tournaments. For any further questions, I will be available until lock in our WinDaily Discord chat. GOOD LUCK and don’t forget to come back and Win Daily!

PARLAY OF THE DAY

MonkeyKnifeFight: Knockout Kings!

Below I have listed my top three plays for MKF’s Knockout Kings Contest!

UFC Vegas 57

TSARUKYAN V GAMROT

Welcome back everyone to Win Daily’s Fight Night Deep Dive! We hit an excellent 5/5 on last week’s parlay of the day! Let’s hope we can continue our hot streak for this week’s slate. Today’s slate will start at 7:00 PM ET. Read more below to find out my takes on tonight’s matchups! Tonight there will be 12-fights that will end with a lightweight fight between two future top contenders. Looking forward to breaking this one down! Let’s get started!

SLATE STARTS AT 7:00 PM ET

Exposure to the main event is recommended. DFS production in these fights are usually be high as they are five-round fights. I may be branching away from the Main Event for some of my lines due to the low activity among these fighters. There will be three top plays followed by honorable mentions. Now let’s get ready to make some money!

Tonight I’m here to give you my top three favorite DFS and Sports betting picks for UFC Vegas 57 Tsarukyan vs Gamrot. If you haven’t already, be sure to check out this week’s WinDaily MMA Gambling Academy!

MY UFC VALUE TARGET (CASH&GPP):

Cody Durden (+100) (DK 8000) (FD $15) vs. JP Buys (-125) (DK 8200) (FD $15).

Honestly, this is low level all around but I cannot understand why the odds are close in this one. After lucking his way into the UFC of a blown call, he’s absolutely bungled his shot in the UFC. It may not be all his fault as he did have a turbulent time outside of the Octagon but the fact of the matter is, Buys is not UFC caliber. Buys does not have a strong choke, throws nothing behind his punches and has a SLpM rate of below 2. Durden on the other hand had a strong fight against Aoriqileng, said some (really) gross stuff during the post fight presser and got demolished by a massive prospect in Mokaev for his last fight seemingly as punishment. Buys is nowhere near the threat Mokaev was. Buys cannot compete with Durden on the ground and would be lucky if he doesn’t get put out in the first round as he has been knocked down SEVEN times over his past two UFC bouts. Durden is by no means a UFC star and in fact, far from it but he should have no problem taking care of Buys in this one.

MY UFC DFS PICK: Cody Durden (+100) (DK 8000) (FD $15). SECOND ROUND KO. (possible UNANIMOUS DECISION)

MY UFC LOCKED-IN TARGET (CASH):

Umar Nurmagomedov (-1200) (DK 9500) (FD $22) vs. Nate Maness (+700) (DK 6700) (FD $8).

Nate Maness is a skilled MMA fighter and has a bright future in the UFC. Unfortunately, he’s coming up against a behemoth tonight. Anyone with the last name Nurmagomedov should automatically strike fear into their opponent’s hearts and although Umar is definitely not at Khabib’s level (yet), he doesn’t have to be in this one. Umar is skilled enough in Combat Sambo to take a clear advantage in this fight as soon as it hits the round. Umar has clean takedowns, very much akin to the Dagestani wrestling style with multiple attempts until your opponent runs out of defensive resources. Umar’s last three fights have all ended by Rear Naked Choke with half of the wins in his 14-0-0 record coming by submission.

MY UFC DFS PICK: Umar Nurmagomedov (-1200) (DK 9500) (FD $22) FIRST ROUND SUBMISSION (possible UNANIMOUS DECISION)

MY UFC TOP SCORING TARGET (GPP):

Shavkat Rakhmonov (-450) (DK 9300) (FD $22) vs. Neil Magny (+350) (DK 6900) (FD $9)

Here we have a matchup between one of the UFC’s hottest Welterweight prospects in Shavkat Rakhmonov against one of the older gatekeeper’s in the Welterweight division, Neil Magny. Neil has had a storied history in the UFC, having fought on the 2012 edition of the Ultimate Fighter and parlaying his success there into a long and successful UFC career which saw him headline multiple UFC fight nights and even crack the top 10 in the Welterweight division. He currently sits within the top 15 and it looks as though the UFC is ready for him to pass the torch as they put him up against an undefeated prospect in Rakhmonov. Shavkat is a former M1 Global Champion, a Master of Sport in Combat Sambo and MMA, while also holding a perfect 100% finish rate with 8 KOs and 7 Submissions. To say he is an extremely versatile MMA fighter doesn’t do his skill set justice. Rakhmonov has crazy powerful kicks, fast punches that pack a lot of power and slick chokes that can completely take his opponents out of fights, once the action hits the mat. Rakhmonov is coming into his fourth UFC fight tonight with two of his first three ending in the first round, on top of that, his Highlight Reel KO against Carlston Harris in his last fight earned him a performance of the night bonus. I’ve also always appreciated Shavkat’s defensive skill set and I think it has been a large reason to his success in the UFC thus far and will contribute to his success tonight and moving forward. Rakhmonov is a heavy favourite in this one for a reason, strongly consider him for your lineups tonight.

MY UFC DFS PICK: Shavkat Rakhmonov (-450) (DK 9300) (FD $22) FIRST-ROUND KO (possible FIRST-ROUND SUMBISSION).

UFC HONORABLE MENTIONS:

(Not in order)

Arman Tsarukyan -300 (DK 9100) (FD $23) (5 ROUNDER)

Josh Parisian (FADE) +100 (DK 7800) (FD $15)

Thiago Moises -250 (DK 9000) (FD $21)

Rodolfo Vieira +100 (DK 7600) (FD $14)

Carlos Ulberg +100 (DK 8300) (FD $14)

TJ Brown -210 (DK 8900) (FD $20)

Jinh Yu Frey (FADE) -225 (DK 9200) (FD $21)

Raulian Paiva +110 (DK 7700) (FD $13)

Mario Bautista -175 (DK 8700) (FD $19)

SUMMARY:

On Saturday’s fourteen-bout MMA UFC DFS slate, I will be building 3 UFC Parlays. I will be focusing on the three targets and my honorable mention fighters listed in my article to be a part of 99.9 percent of my lineups. Some fights in this slate are tricky to predict a winner and all fights are pretty close in skillset as UFC fighters are the elite of the elite. I usually employ a hedging technique on the fights that are closer in odds. I’m focusing on building a GPP winning lineup.

I’m building lineups that can variate from the field and taking bigger risks tonight. I will use my core fighters (Locked-In, Honorable Mention) to be a staple in my DFS lineups, and I will build around them using the available salary with the remainder of my predicted winners. Remember, to take down a GPP; you have to be different and take risks. Scared money doesn’t make money in tournaments. For any further questions, I will be available until lock in our WinDaily Discord chat. GOOD LUCK and don’t forget to come back and Win Daily!

PARLAY OF THE DAY

MonkeyKnifeFight: Knockout Kings!

Below I have listed my top three plays for MKF’s Knockout Kings Contest!

UFC on ESPN 37

KATTAR V EMMETT

Welcome back everyone to Win Daily’s Fight Night Deep Dive! What a card last week, it was completely packed with actions and despite a few surprises, we had some great hits including the Prochazka RNC with 30 seconds left! Today’s slate will start at 4:00 PM ET. Read more below to find out my takes on tonight’s matchups! Tonight there will be 14-fights that will end with a super high stakes featherweight including some interesting fights up and down the card. Looking forward to breaking this one down! Let’s get started!

SLATE STARTS AT 4:00 PM ET

Exposure to the main event is recommended. DFS production in these fights are usually be high as they are five-round fights. I may be branching away from the Main Event for some of my lines due to the low activity among these fighters. There will be three top plays followed by honorable mentions. Now let’s get ready to make some money!

Tonight I’m here to give you my top three favorite DFS and Sports betting picks for UFC on ESPN 37 Kattar vs Emmett.

MY UFC VALUE TARGET (CASH&GPP):

Jeremiah Wells (+100) (DK 8000) (FD $15) vs. Court McGee (-125) (DK 8200) (FD $15).

Court McGee is the king of Decisions, his past 9 fights (since 2016), win or loss have all ended by decision. Wells offers a very unique challenge to McGee as not only does he have the power to put out a seasoned vet like Wallery Alves on his short notice UFC debut but he also has a BJJ black belt and a very clean RNC technique that he’s already pulled off in four of his 13 professional fights, including his last UFC fight. Statistically, Wells holds a noticeably higher striking differential (albeit based on a small sample) and a 13% higher strike accuracy. Wells has a seasoned record which includes titles reigns in both Cage Fury and CES. Although this fight could reach the judges cards, between these two fighters, the one with fight ending potential is definitely Jeremiah Wells, whether it be via KO or RNC.

MY UFC DFS PICK: Jeremiah Wells (+100) (DK 8000) (FD $15). SECOND ROUND KO. (possible RNC or possible UNANIMOUS DECISION)

MY UFC LOCKED-IN TARGET (CASH):

Cody Stamann (-600) (DK 9500) (FD $23) vs. Eddie Wineland (+450) (DK 6700) (FD $8).

This fight has one primary storyline. It surrounds the fact that Stamann is a very talented grappler and will take down someone with the wrestling skill level of Wineland at ease and cruise his way to a decision win. Wineland has dropped four of his last five fights with his last win coming in 2019 against Grigory Popov who no longer competes in the UFC. Wineland’s striking pattern is very easy to read and he throws with low volume. Wineland’s 45% TDEF will also come back to haunt him in this one as Stamann is a different breed of wrestler. Wineland has had a solid UFC career spanning all the way back to 2006 but now at 37 years old, this will most likely be his last walk to the Octagon. For what its worth Stamann has dropped his last three fights and he’s been given an extremely favorable matchup tonight to get his UFC career back on track.

MY UFC DFS PICK: Cody Stamman (-600) (DK 9500) (FD $23) UNANIMOUS DECISION

MY UFC TOP SCORING TARGET (GPP):

Kevin Holland (-334) (DK 8900) (FD $20) vs. Tim Means (+250) (DK 7300) (FD $10)

Kevin Holland is arguably one of the most entertaining fighters in the UFC and unlike soem others, Holland can back up his talk with legitimate talent. Holland has a very versatile striking skill set with his rangey kicks, distrance strikes and targeted head shots that always keeps his opponents on edge. Holland also holds a decent striking output in his fights at +1.46. He has a tendency to overwhelm his opponents and can also catch them off guard while lulling them into a vulnerable position with his distracting fight style (he talks a lot…). This also can hurt him as his Fight IQ has suffered at times as a result of his in-octagon antics, especially against talented grapplers like Vettori and Brunson, Tim Means on the other hand doesn’t reach the same threat level in my mind. Holland will also hold a height and reach advantage over Means in this matchup. The botton line is, Holland should have an easy night at the office tonight, as long as he doesn’t get KO’d by headbutt again…

MY UFC DFS PICK: Kevin Holland (-334) (DK 8900) (FD $20) FIRST-ROUND KO.

UFC HONORABLE MENTIONS:

(Not in order)

Calvin Kattar -225 (DK 8800) (FD $21) (5 ROUNDER)

Joe Lauzon +140 (DK 7900) (FD $14) (This one was between someone with a lot of Ring Rust and a washed-up version of Cowboy, realistically I don’t know if Lauzon is UFC calibre but I know Cowboy is not. This is an ideal fight for Lauzon to jump back into the UFC scene considering he hasn’t fought since 2019!)

Albert Duraev -225 (DK 8600) (FD $18) (Joaquin Buckley is a good underdog play for DFS, high ceiling with his KO power, Buckley is significantly outmatched on the ground though)

Guram Kutateladze +140 (DK 7800) (FD $14) (Damir is a solid choice, DFS wise I do not like Damir, he’ll try to grapple his way to a decision, Guram has all the value, Not only is he one of Khamzat’s training partners but he took Mateusz Gamrot’s 0 on short notice! Odds are Ismagulov will have an advantage on the ground but Guram is capable of a lot, has a clear path to victory and has the DFS value in this one)

Jasmine Jasudavicius (FADE) -250 (DK 9100) (FD $18)

Adrian Yanez -275 (DK 9400) (FD $22)

Gloria de Paula (FADE) -275 (DK 9200) (FD $19)

Kyle Daukaus -275 (DK 8700) (FD $19)

Phil Hawes -275 (DK 9000) (FD $20) (Even though I have Hawes, don’t count out Deron Winn)

Ricardo Ramos -334 (DK 9300) (FD $22)

Gregory Rodrigues -175 (DK 8500) (FD $17) (This one was very close, to me it came down to the strength of schedule and with RoboCop coming up to a split decision loss against Petrosyan in his last fight. That’s impressive, even in a loss. Although, the Jordan Williams loss from 2020 aged poorly, Marquez has fought cans and has a loss to Alessio Di Chirico)

SUMMARY:

On Saturday’s fourteen-bout MMA UFC DFS slate, I will be building 3 UFC Parlays. I will be focusing on the three targets and my honorable mention fighters listed in my article to be a part of 99.9 percent of my lineups. Some fights in this slate are tricky to predict a winner and all fights are pretty close in skillset as UFC fighters are the elite of the elite. I usually employ a hedging technique on the fights that are closer in odds. I’m focusing on building a GPP winning lineup.

I’m building lineups that can variate from the field and taking bigger risks tonight. I will use my core fighters (Locked-In, Honorable Mention) to be a staple in my DFS lineups, and I will build around them using the available salary with the remainder of my predicted winners. Remember, to take down a GPP; you have to be different and take risks. Scared money doesn’t make money in tournaments. For any further questions, I will be available until lock in our WinDaily Discord chat. GOOD LUCK and don’t forget to come back and Win Daily!

PARLAY OF THE DAY

Any 3/4 Combo of these five picks work well!

MonkeyKnifeFight: Knockout Kings!

Below I have listed my top three plays for MKF’s Knockout Kings Contest!