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UFC Vegas 77

HOLM V BUENO SILVA

We had a lot of lines in the money after last week’s amazing card; let’s get a similar result with tonight’s action! Today’s card will kick off at 7:00 PM ET. Be sure to tune in to ESPN to catch all of today’s fights. Read more below to find out my takes on tonight’s matchups! Tonight there will be 13 fights ending with what appears to be a title eliminator for the Women’s Bantamweight title, which was recently vacated by the now-retired legend Amanda Nunes. Now, with all that out of the way, let’s get right into the action!

SLATE STARTS AT 7:00 PM ET

Exposure to the main event is recommended. DFS production in these fights is usually high as they are five-round fights. I do not recommend branching away from the Main Event, as these fighters are both usually active and can rack up a lot of points. There will be three top plays followed by honorable mentions. Now let’s get ready to make some money!

Tonight I’m here to give you my top three favorite DFS and Sports betting picks for UFC Vegas 77 Holm vs Bueno Silva.

MY UFC VALUE TARGET (CASH&GPP):

Fransisco Prado vs Ottman Azaitar

For those who remember, back when the UFC was operating out of Fight Island, Azaitar snuck someone into the UFC locked-down area and was cut as a result. This also led to increased testing for Azaitar and a long time away from the octagon, which we will touch on later. Now onto today’s fight. As the odds suggest, this fight is close. Both fighters are coming off a loss after a solid run and are looking to use this fight as a bounce-back opportunity (Prado losing to Mullarkey via Decision and Azaitar suffering a First Round KO to Frevola). Because of that, I think we’re going to see a lot of aggressiveness and activity as they both want to get back on the right track.

With that being said, I can see heavy back-and-forth action between these two, which makes me believe that Prado will have an edge in this one. We have seen Prado compete in the later rounds, whereas Azaitar really hasn’t had his cardio tested in the octagon. Not to mention, Prado has a big advantage in age, reach and height. On top of that, as mentioned, Azaitar has had one fight in nearly three years (the previously mentioned KO) where his timing looked totally off, he was swinging more, and he was slower to react. Definitely, a lot to keep in mind as we head into this fight.

MY UFC DFS PICK: Fransisco Prado UNANIMOUS DECISION.

MY UFC LOCKED-IN TARGET (CASH):

Jack Della Maddelena vs. Bassil Hafez

After losing out on two fights last week due to opponents pulling out, Della Maddelena has been given another matchup in the co-main event of tonight’s card. Jack Della Maddelena is a promising young prospect who has burst onto the UFC scene with four straight first-round finishes. He’s an explosive talent who can finish people in stand-up and with his grappling. His opponent is making his UFC debut on short notice and could not have a tougher matchup for his first fight. Della Maddelena will make quick work of the UFC newcomer. Expect a first-round finish and the win streak to extend to 15 fights.

MY UFC DFS PICK: Jack Della Maddelena FIRST ROUND KO.

MY UFC TOP SCORING TARGET (GPP):

Azat Maksum vs. Tyson Nam

In this matchup, we have one of the hottest flyweight prospects in all of Asia making his UFC debut against a fighter who has one foot out the door. With three wins and four losses in his UFC career, Nam has had a really shaky path in the Octagon. Tonight, he’s matched up against an insanely talented grappler in Azat Maksum.

The former Octagon League champion has crazy strength and elite wrestling. Throughout his UFC career, Nam has not shown that he excels in any particular facet of MMA. On top of that, he holds an abysmal strike differential with a Strikes Absorbed per Minute of 5.44 and a Strikes Landed per Minute of only 3.49. Nam has been able to avoid getting taken down in his career, but it also means that we have not seen Nam’s grappling defence. When a grappler as talented as Maksum is taking him down, he will be bringing Nam into a whole different world, one that I don’t think Nam will be ready to compete against, Maksum via Sub.

MY UFC DFS PICK: Azat Maksum SECOND-ROUND SUBMISSION.

UFC HONORABLE MENTIONS:

(Not in order)

Holly Holm 5 ROUNDER

Albert Duraev (BIG UNDERDOG CALL)

Norma Dumont (For Parlays, I would avoid picking an outcome on this fight and just bet on it to go the distance -260)

Terrance McKinney (Sadykhov is a debuting fighter with a lot of talent. This fight is very close, and he definitely has a path to victory in this matchup, but I really like the odds on McKinney, who has been discounted and underrated throughout his career)

Melsik Bahdasaryan (Even coming off a loss, I really like Melsik in this spot, Lutz is not at the UFC level)

Viktoriya Dudakova

Malquizael Costa

Evan Elder

Alex Munoz

Ailin Perez (Great value taking Perez to win via Decision +145)

SUMMARY:

On Saturday’s fourteen-bout MMA UFC DFS slate, I am finally allowed to bet again on UFC as restrictions have now been lifted in my area. As such, I will play 2 Parlays. Remember, to take down a GPP; you have to be different and take risks. Scared money doesn’t make money in tournaments. For any further questions, I will be available until lock in our WinDaily Discord chat. GOOD LUCK, and don’t forget to come back and Win Daily!

PARLAY OF THE DAY

Melquizael Costa -210

Jack Della Maddelena to Finish -375

Azat Maksum to Win via Submission or Decision (Double Chance) -110

UFC 290

VOLKANOVSKI V RODRIGUEZ

We are back in action with UFC 290, today, coming direct from Las Vegas for International Fight Week! Many top fighters and celebrities will be in town to catch all the action, and boy, do we have a super exciting fight card lined up. Today’s card will kick off at 6:00 PM ET. Be sure to tune in to catch all of today’s fights. Read more below to find out my takes on tonight’s matchups! Tonight there will be 13 fights ending with two long-awaited title fights in the Flyweight and Featherweight divisions. Now, with all that out of the way, let’s get right into the action!

SLATE STARTS AT 6:00 PM ET

Exposure to the main event is recommended. DFS production in these fights is usually high as they are five-round fights. I do not recommend branching away from the Main Event, as these fighters are both usually active and can rack up a lot of points. There will be three top plays followed by honorable mentions. Now let’s get ready to make some money!

Tonight I’m here to give you my top three favorite DFS and Sports betting picks for UFC 290 Volkanovski vs Rodriguez.

MY UFC VALUE TARGET (CASH&GPP):

Dan Hooker vs Jalin Turner

There aren’t a lot of stellar underdogs on this card, so to build lines for DFS, risks will have to be taken on fighters who have winning chances but aren’t necessarily in the best position to win the fight. This includes fighters like Alonzo Menifield, Robbie Lawler, Dricus Du Plessis and, for the purposes of the Value Target on this card, Dan ‘The Hangman” Hooker. Dan was previously ranked 7th in the lightweight division, but after four losses in six fights, his stock dropped, and now he is struggling to stay in the top 15. Hooker is a maniac in the octagon and holds a very high Strikes Landed per Minute rate or SLpM at 4.83 but also carries a very high Strikes Absorbed per Minute rate or SApM of 4.61. As we can see, he is definitely comfortable standing in the pocket and eating shots if it means he can do some damage of his own, and although this strategy has worked for him in the past, it is not the most effective way to win, and it won’t work forever. He’s coming up tonight against Jalin Turner, who is just coming off a close split-decision loss to Mateusz Gamrot earlier this year. Gamrot agreed to fight that night on short notice as Turner was set to fight Hooker, who had to pull out with a broken hand. Now, it’s Turner’s turn to add complications to this fight as he came in two pounds overweight, and this will do two things. It’ll fire up Hooker, and it may signify that Turner had a bad cut or possibly even some problems with his fight camp in the run-up to this bout. This uncertainty makes me like Hooker as a big underdog.

MY UFC DFS PICK: Dan Hooker UNANIMOUS DECISION.

MY UFC LOCKED-IN TARGET (CASH):

Bo Nickal vs. Val Woodburn

Honestly, this is one of the biggest mismatches in UFC history. Nickal is going to demolish Val Woodburn in a matter of minutes. He is the largest favorite on this card for a very good reason. Nickal burst into the UFC scene with a stellar performance in the Contender Series followed by a 3-minute beat down of Jaime Pickett, which saw Nickal win his first Performance of the Night bonus. Woodburn was set to compete in the Contender Series in about two months, but this a gnarly step up in competition, and this fight will not last long.

MY UFC DFS PICK: Bo Nickal FIRST ROUND KO.

MY UFC TOP SCORING TARGET (GPP):

Vitor Petrino vs. Martin Prachnio

Petrino is an undefeated Brazilian prospect who is making his second UFC appearance following a decisive decision win in his last fight against Anton Turkalj earlier this year. Prachnio’s story in the UFC is one of just doing enough not to get cut. He started his UFC career with three straight losses, including a first-round KO loss to Sam Alvey. Since his terrible start, he has racked up three wins and one loss. This fight will be a big test for Petrino, as a win here will start his climb to the top of the UFC Light Heavyweight division. Knowing that, Petrino will have a massive chip on his shoulder with a big point to prove in front of the packed T-Mobile Arena.

MY UFC DFS PICK: Vitor Petrino SECOND-ROUND KO.

UFC HONORABLE MENTIONS:

(Not in order)

Alexander Volkanovski 5 ROUNDER

Brandon Moreno 5 ROUNDER (Keep in mind that this is the third time they fought, and Pantoja won the first two bouts, but Moreno has made many significant strides in his progress since their last meeting)

Robert Whittaker (Dricus Du Plessis definitely has some winning chances, he is worth a look for DFS purposes, and I wouldn’t trust Whittaker on parlays)

Robbie Lawler (BIG UNDERDOG CALL)

Tatsuro Taira

Yazmin Jauregui

Alonzo Menifield

Cameron Saaiman

Jesus Aguilar

Esteban Ribovics

SUMMARY:

On Saturday’s fourteen-bout MMA UFC DFS slate, I am finally allowed to bet again on UFC as restrictions have now been lifted in my area. As such, I will play 2 Parlays. Remember, to take down a GPP; you have to be different and take risks. Scared money doesn’t make money in tournaments. For any further questions, I will be available until lock in our WinDaily Discord chat. GOOD LUCK, and don’t forget to come back and Win Daily!

PARLAY OF THE DAY

Alexander Volkanovski -350

Bo Nickal to Finish Round 1 -300

Tatsuro Taira to Finish (SUB) -300

Yazmin Jauregui -400

UFC on ESPN 48

STRICKLAND V MAGOMEDOV

After a great card on ABC last week, we’re back on ESPN for today’s action! Today’s card will kick off at 4:00 PM ET. Be sure to tune in to catch all of today’s fights. Read more below to find out my takes on tonight’s matchups! Tonight there will be 12 fights that will end with a heavy-hitting middleweight matchup. Now, with all that out of the way, let’s get right into the action!

SLATE STARTS AT 4:00 PM ET

Exposure to the main event is recommended. DFS production in these fights is usually high as they are five-round fights. I do not recommend branching away from the Main Event, as these fighters are both usually active and can rack up a lot of points. There will be three top plays followed by honorable mentions. Now let’s get ready to make some money!

Tonight I’m here to give you my top three favorite DFS and Sports betting picks for UFC on ESPN 48 Strickland vs Magomedov.

MY UFC VALUE TARGET (CASH&GPP):

Damir Ismagulov vs Grant Dawson

This one was a tough call in my opinion. Although Ismagulov came up short in a decision loss to Tsarukyan in his last bout, there is no doubt that he is a top-tier UFC lightweight. As far as I’m concerned, there is no shame in losing to a guy as talented as Tsarukyan. Tsarukyan’s grappling was simply too much for Ismagulov to handle. Although Dawson is also a grappler, he is nowhere near as good as Tsarukyan and his longtime coach James Krause has recently been banned from participating in UFC events. Dawson also had an embarrassing performance against Ricky Glenn where he struggled to fight for a draw after a brutal gassing out following a strong start. I can’t trust Dawson in this spot, Ismagulov is too tricky for many fighters to handle, even Guram Kutateladze, who will be featured later in the article, couldn’t do enough against Ismagulov to get his hand raised. This looks to me like it will be a close back-and-forth fight but I think Ismagulov has an edge here.

MY UFC DFS PICK: Damir Ismagulov UNANIMOUS DECISION.

MY UFC LOCKED-IN TARGET (CASH):

Guram Kutateladze vs. Elves Brener

As promised, let’s talk about Guram Kutateladze. A longtime training partner of Khamzat Chimaev, the Georgian Kutateladze has had a bit of a hectic run in the UFC with two fights since 2020 both finishing via split decision which saw him pick up a win against top 10 lightweight Mateusz Gamrot and a loss to Damir Ismagulov. Now, Guram is set to return to the Octagon against a relatively unknown Elves Brener. Brener was able to pick up a split decision win over Nurmagomedov’s close friend Zubaira Tukhugov but I did not see enough out of him to see him competing for Guram for an extended period of time. Although Brener may be able to last a round, Guram’s incredible pressure and strike power will eventually overwhelm the Brazilian. With punches, elbows, kicks, and BJJ all at a high level in his arsenal, I see Guram decisively winning this one.

MY UFC DFS PICK: Guram Kutateladze SECOND ROUND KO.

MY UFC TOP SCORING TARGET (GPP):

Joanderson Brito vs. Westin Wilson

This fight is a clear mismatch. Brito was scheduled to compete against Khusein Askhabov who Brito would’ve been a clear favorite against as a top 25 featherweight matching up against a fighter who only has one UFC fight under their belt (… and it was a loss). With Askhabov dropping out on short notice, regional talent Westin Wilson answered the call. I want to stress the word regional over talent. Despite three wins over his last four, Wilson is nowhere near UFC quality, let alone at the level of Brito. Wilson has racked up a lot of losses to mediocre talent and does not have a single notable win to his name. From what I have seen out of Brito, he will make quick work out of his short-notice opponent with heavy strikes as well as lots of takedowns. Hopefully, Brito will find himself competing for a top-15 spot in the featherweight division in the near future after a strong performance tonight.

MY UFC DFS PICK: Joanderson Brito FIRST-ROUND KO.

UFC HONORABLE MENTIONS:

(Not in order)

Sean Strickland 5 ROUNDER

Michael Morales

Melissa Gatto

Bruno Ferreira

Benoit Saint-Denis (BIG UNDERDOG CALL)

Rinat Fakhretdinov

Karol Rosa

Ivana Petrovic

Alexandr Romanov

SUMMARY:

On Saturday’s fourteen-bout MMA UFC DFS slate, I am finally allowed to bet again on UFC as restrictions have now been lifted in my area. As such, I will play 2 Parlays. Remember, to take down a GPP; you have to be different and take risks. Scared money doesn’t make money in tournaments. For any further questions, I will be available until lock in our WinDaily Discord chat. GOOD LUCK, and don’t forget to come back and Win Daily!

PARLAY OF THE DAY

Michael Morales -250

Guram Kutateladze to Finish (KO) -110

Joanderson Brito to Finish (KO) -500

UFC on ABC 5

EMMETT V TOPURIA

After a crazy Vegas Fight Night Card last week, we are headed to the Sunshine State for today’s action! Today’s card will kick off at 11:30 AM ET. Be sure to tune into ABC to catch all of today’s crazy action. Read more below to find out my takes on tonight’s matchups! Tonight there will be 13 fights that will end with a top 5 featherweight fight with a lot of title implications. Now, with all that out of the way, let’s get right into the action!

SLATE STARTS AT 11:30 AM ET

Exposure to the main event is recommended. DFS production in these fights is usually high as they are five-round fights. I do not recommend branching away from the Main Event, as these fighters are both usually active and can rack up a lot of points. There will be three top plays followed by honorable mentions. Now let’s get ready to make some money!

Tonight I’m here to give you my top three favorite DFS and Sports betting picks for UFC on ABC 5 Emmett vs Topuria.

MY UFC VALUE TARGET (CASH&GPP):

Jack Jenkins vs Jamall Emmers

After a crazy KO with 30 seconds left in his DWCS appearance, Jenkins followed it up with a clean 15-minute fight against Don Shainis, which showed off Jenkins’ top-notch striking, wrestling and grappling. Jenkins did an excellent job at switching up his striking during his UFC debut. He mixed in kicks, body shots and headshots to the point that Shainis was clearly overwhelmed. Tonight, Jenkins has his biggest test yet against Jamall Emmers. Emmers has had a shaky road in the UFC, going 2-2 after what looked like a strong start with a questionable split decision loss against Giga Chikadze and a win on the regional scene against Cory Sandhagen. Unfortunately, for Emmers, his consistency issues at the top level make it hard for me to be that confident in him in this spot and with Jenkins coming in ready after a big win and as an underdog. Especially after Emmers had some struggles on the scales yesterday.

MY UFC DFS PICK: Jack Jenkins SECOND-ROUND KO (possible UNANIMOUS DECISION).

MY UFC LOCKED-IN TARGET (CASH):

Trevor Peek vs. Chepe Mariscal

Trevor Peek has that Alabama power. We saw this in his UFC debut against Erick Gonzalez. All Peek has to do is have on clean connection, and Mariscal will be wobbly. This is a very tough matchup for Mariscal in his UFC debut, and having seen what he has done in the regional scene, honestly, he is very inconsistent. Some nights Mariscal can lay people out, and others, it looks like he doesn’t even belong in the cage. That being said, he has picked up some weaker competition than Peek and has struggled, so I don’t have a lot of confidence in Mariscal in this spot. On top of that, with the odds where they are. I really like Peek as both a parlay piece and a Daily Fantasy play.

MY UFC DFS PICK: Trevor Peek FIRST ROUND KO.

MY UFC TOP SCORING TARGET (GPP):

Randy Brown vs. Wellington Turman

This one seems like a bit of a mismatch. Randy Brown is a top 20 welterweight, and Turman usually fights at Middleweight. Despite the fact that it’s Turman making the cut, Brown still has the taller frame and the longer reach. I think Brown is a level above Turman when it comes to his natural skill. I will note that Turman is a BJJ black belt, and Randy is a Brown Belt but other than that, it seems as though Brown will have an advantage everywhere else. Turman is actually one of the UFC fighters who absorbs more strikes per minute than he lands, and Randy actually lands more strikes per minute (4.39 vs 2.92) and absorbs fewer strikes per minute when compared to Turman (3.30 vs 3.79). At this level, those numbers are a significant difference. The biggest red flag for Turman is that he almost lost to Sam Alvey… c’mon man. In all seriousness though, Turman hasn’t impressed me too much and against a fighter like Randy Brown, I think Turman will end up struggling a lot.

MY UFC DFS PICK: Randy Brown SECOND-ROUND KO.

UFC HONORABLE MENTIONS:

(Not in order)

Josh Emmett 5 ROUNDER (BIG UNDERDOG CALL)

Amanda Ribas

Gillian Robertson

Sedriques Dumas FADE (Bad vs worse)

Joshua Van (BIG UNDERDOG CALL)

Mateusz Rębecki

Neil Magny

Bruno Silva

Gabriel Santos

Justin Tafa

SUMMARY:

On Saturday’s fourteen-bout MMA UFC DFS slate, I am finally allowed to bet again on UFC as restrictions have now been lifted in my area. As such, I will play 2 Parlays. Remember, to take down a GPP; you have to be different and take risks. Scared money doesn’t make money in tournaments. For any further questions, I will be available until lock in our WinDaily Discord chat. GOOD LUCK, and don’t forget to come back and Win Daily!

PARLAY OF THE DAY

Trevor Peek to Finish (KO) -425

Randy Brown -120

(possible addition) Justin Tafa to Finish (KO) +105

UFC on ESPN 47

VETTORI V CANNONIER

After a trip up north which saw Canadians go 6 for 6 at home, we are back state-side in Las Vegas, Nevada for tonight’s UFC Fight Night Card! Today’s card will kick off at 7:00 PM ET. There are some incredible matchups on tonight’s card, and the UFC has an action-packed lineup tonight on ESPN. Read more below to find out my takes on tonight’s matchups! Tonight there will be 12 fights that will end with a top 5 middleweight fight with a lot of title implications. Now, with all that out of the way, let’s get right into the action!

SLATE STARTS AT 7:00 PM ET

Exposure to the main event is recommended. DFS production in these fights is usually high as they are five-round fights. I do not recommend branching away from the Main Event, as these fighters are both usually active and can rack up a lot of points. There will be three top plays followed by honorable mentions. Now let’s get ready to make some money!

Tonight I’m here to give you my top three favorite DFS and Sports betting picks for UFC on ESPN 47 Vettori vs Cannonier

MY UFC VALUE TARGET (CASH&GPP):

Lucas Almeida vs Pat Sabatini

Sabatini has logged a few fights in his UFC career and begun to string together some wins before a brutal KO 1st round KO at the hands of Damon Jackson where Sabatini ate a kick and was never able to recover. Almeida on the other hand is an alumni of the Contender Series, and although his fight there did not go to plan he had a very successful UFC debut against Mike Triziano a year ago where he secured a third-round finish and a fight of the night bonus. That whole fight from Almeida was excellent and despite getting dropped by Triziano in the first, he was able to come back and get knockdowns in both round two and then in round three which led to the finish. I think this fight will be close but from what I have seen out of both fighters, Almeida is stronger on the feet and will be able to trade more in the pocket, whereas Sabatini will try to take the fight into the ground and grind out a decision win. Although Almeida’s takedown defence hasn’t been tested too much throughout his UFC career, I think his extremely high output will end up overwhelming Sabatini early and will eventually open up a spot for the KO.

MY UFC DFS PICK: Lucas Almeida SECOND-ROUND KO.

MY UFC LOCKED-IN TARGET (CASH):

Arman Tsarukyan vs. Joaquim Silva

This matchup is a bit of a joke. There is an extreme difference in the level of competition between these two. Tsarukyan is a top ten lightweight who has the potential to compete for a belt while Joaquim is not even top 50 and has fought twice in the last four years. On top of that, Silva is 4-3 in his UFC career with losses to Ricky Glenn and Vinc Pichel. Tsarukyan is going to put on a show today, and my only question on this fight is how and when Tsarukyan is going to finish the fight.

MY UFC DFS PICK: Arman Tsarukyan FIRST ROUND KO.

MY UFC TOP SCORING TARGET (GPP):

Manuel Torres vs. Nikolas Motta

Motta looked promising coming out of the Contender Series but he was lacking a killer instinct, it was even mentioned by Dana White before Motta got signed that he had opportunities to finish and let them slide. Torres on the other hand is the exact opposite, he’s an aggressive fighter who doesn’t mind trading in the pocket in search of a knockout. As was seen in Torres’ Contender Series fight and his UFC debut. I think much like the Almeida fight, Torres’ high output will simply overwhelm Motta and I don’t see this one getting past the first round, depending on Motta’s durability, I can see the fight ending earlier as well. Also of note, Torres is extremely well rounded, if Motta ends up defending the right hook well, Torres is more than capable of taking Motta to the ground.

MY UFC DFS PICK: Manuel Torres SECOND-ROUND KO (possible FIRST-ROUND KO).

UFC HONORABLE MENTIONS:

(Not in order)

Marvin Vettori 5 ROUNDER

Christian Leroy Duncan

Tereza Bleda FADE

Muslim Salikhov

Alessandro Costa

Cristian Quinonez

Denys Bondar

Ronnie Lawrence

Modestas Bukauskas

SUMMARY:

On Saturday’s fourteen-bout MMA UFC DFS slate, I am finally allowed to bet again on UFC as restrictions have now been lifted in my area. As such, I will play 2 Parlays. Remember, to take down a GPP; you have to be different and take risks. Scared money doesn’t make money in tournaments. For any further questions, I will be available until lock in our WinDaily Discord chat. GOOD LUCK, and don’t forget to come back and Win Daily!

PARLAY OF THE DAY

Arman Tsarukyan to Finish (KO) -425

Alessandro Costa to Finish (KO) -120

Manuel Torres to Finish (KO) +105

UFC 289

NUNES V ALDANA

Tonight’s UFC action takes us all the way to Vancouver, Canada for the first UFC event in Canada in years! Today’s card will kick off at 7:00 PM ET. There are some incredible matchups on tonight’s card and the UFC is definitely bringing an incredible show to the Great White North. Read more below to find out my takes on tonight’s matchups! Tonight there will be 11 fights that will end with a highly anticipated return of Amanda Nunes as she defends the UFC women’s bantamweight title against Irene Aldana. Now, with all that out of the way, let’s get right into the action!

SLATE STARTS AT 7:00 PM ET

Exposure to the main event is recommended. DFS production in these fights is usually high as they are five-round fights. I do not recommend branching away from the Main Event, as these fighters are both usually active and can rack up a lot of points. There will be three top plays followed by honorable mentions. Now let’s get ready to make some money!

Tonight I’m here to give you my top three favorite DFS and Sports betting picks for UFC 289 Nunes vs Aldana.

MY UFC VALUE TARGET (CASH&GPP):

Charles Oliveira vs Beneil Dariush

Former Champ Charles Oliveira is looking to bounce back after a loss to current lightweight champ Islam Makachev. This is a tough matchup between two incredible competitors. Dariush on one hand has not lost in 5 years amassing an 8 fight win streak. While prior to his loss late last year, Oliveira held an incredible 11 fight winning streak that also lasted five years and included wins against the likes of Gaethje, Poirier, Ferguson and Chandler. To sum it all up, over the last five years, these two have amassed an incredible 19-1 record. This is the matchup we deserve as fans and to say it is close is an understatement. Dariush is coming into this fight as a slight favorite and I can understand why. Dariush is one of the best all-around fighters in the UFC having Black Belts in both BJJ and Muy Thai. That versatility is giving Dariush an edge in a lot of people’s minds. I am not on the same boat as many of those folks. I think that Oliveira will be the one pushing the action in this fight and when it comes to BJJ, Oliveira’s accolades completely overshadow those of Dariush. Oliveira is a third degree BJJ Black Belt like Dariush’s coach Romulo Barral and as we have seen in the Octagon Black Belts like Ferguson were getting torn apart on the mat. Unsurprisingly, Oliveira holds the record for the most Submission wins in UFC history as 16 well ahead of Miller and Maia at 11, Benny on the other hand only holds 5 Submission wins in the UFC. All this to say that when this fight goes to the ground, Benny is going to be treading in some deep water and in my opinion it will simply be too much for him to hande. Dariush’s only clear path to victory is if he keeps Oliveira at distance with kicks and grabs a decision or a flash KO. I don’t see a scenario where grappling will end will for Dariush, and unfortunately for him, I think he’ll only be able to hold off Oliveira’s grappling for so long.

MY UFC DFS PICK: Charles Oliveira SECOND-ROUND SUBMISSION.

MY UFC LOCKED-IN TARGET (CASH):

Mike Malott vs. Adam Fugitt

In my opinion one of the most underrated fights on this card is Mike Malott vs Adam Fugitt, Mike has had quite a journey in the UFC thus far. After one of the fastest submission finishes in DWCS history as he submitted his opponent in under 40 seconds. That was followed up by two successive first round finishes, on knockout and one submission. In tonights, matchup Malott is rightfully coming in as a clear favorite and the main question I have is how will Malott finish this fight. Throughtout his career he holds a 100% finish rate and his only loss came on the regional scene against another top Canadian UFC talent, Hakeem Dawodu. Fugitt on the other hand is 1-1 in his UFC career thus far and has yet to rise the occasion against an opponent as strong as Malott. What I like most about Malott is that he is extremley fundamentally sound, he has great form on his strikes and his grappling is at a very high level, as he too is a BJJ black belt and has been since 2020. Honestly. I think Fugitt will have a very rough night at the office and that Malott will finish him in prime time in front of his home country fans.

MY UFC DFS PICK: Mike Malott FIRST ROUND SUBMISSION (possible SECOND ROUND KO).

MY UFC TOP SCORING TARGET (GPP):

Blake Bilder vs. Kyle Nelson

It was very hard for me to ignore how big of an advantage Bilder will have in tonight’s matchup against Kyle Nelson. Nelson has had a rough go with things as of late, with four losses, one draw and one win over his last six UFC fights whereas his opponent tonight, Bilder, has an undefeated 8-0-1 record including a clean decision win his his UFC debut earlier this year. Honestly, I think Bilder has an easier matchup in Nelson than his previous UFC opponent Shane Young and that was a fight that he handled with ease. Nelson will seriously struggle with Bilder’s elite level grappling and like many other fights on this card, I see a submission finish in this fight. Unfortunately for Nelson, his reaction time and striking technique is not at a UFC level his strikes landed per minute rate or SLpM is at 2.85 while his strikes absorbed per minute rate or SApM is at 4.89, those stats are terrible and the damage he has taken already throughout his career will definitely have an effect on his future peformances. If he loses tonight and amasses a 1-5-1 record in the UFC, I don’t see him lasting to much longer in the UFC roster.

MY UFC DFS PICK: Blake Bilder FIRST-ROUND SUBMISSION.

UFC HONORABLE MENTIONS:

(Not in order

Amanda Nunes 5 ROUNDER

Marc-Andre Barriault

Maria Oliveira FADE

David Dvorak

Aiemann Zahabi

Miranda Maverick

Nassouradine Imavov (Chris Curtis is a good underdog play for DFS)

Dan Ige

SUMMARY:

On Saturday’s fourteen-bout MMA UFC DFS slate, I am finally allowed to bet again on UFC as restrictions have now been lifted in my area. As such, I will play 2 Parlays. Remember, to take down a GPP; you have to be different and take risks. Scared money doesn’t make money in tournaments. For any further questions, I will be available until lock in our WinDaily Discord chat. GOOD LUCK, and don’t forget to come back and Win Daily!

PARLAY OF THE DAY

Malott to Finish -125

Marc-Andre Barriault -138

Blake Bilder -250

Amanda Nunes -334

UFC on ESPN 46

KARA-FRANCE v ALBAZI

After a break week from UFC action, we’re back in Vegas for a card thats jam packed with action! Today’s card will kick off at 6:00 PM ET. There are a lot of interesting and exciting fights in this one! Read more below to find out my takes on tonight’s matchups! Tonight there will be 13 fights that will end with a mens flyweight fight between two fighters looking to make a splash into the top 3 of the division. Now, with all that out of the way, let’s get right into the action!

SLATE STARTS AT 6:00 PM ET

Exposure to the main event is recommended. DFS production in these fights is usually high as they are five-round fights. I do not recommend branching away from the Main Event, as these fighters are both usually active and can rack up a lot of points. There will be three top plays followed by honorable mentions. Now let’s get ready to make some money!

Tonight I’m here to give you my top three favorite DFS and Sports betting picks for UFC on ESPN 46 Kara-France vs Albazi.

MY UFC VALUE TARGET (CASH&GPP):

Muin Gafurov vs John Castaneda

Gafurov is making his UFC debut following two impressive performances in LFA, a well-respected UFC feeder league. He also appeared in the Contender Series back in 2021 where he lost a close split decision. Now, Gafurov is getting his chance and it comes against a fighter who has really struggled to put things together as of late. He’s gone 2-2 over his last four UFC fights with his last fight being a savage knockout at the hands of Daniel Santos back in late 2022. Gafurov has a wide range of strikes in his arsenal including spinning kicks and punches that pack a surprising amount of power. Although I think it’ll start slow at first, I think Gafurov finds his timing in the second round and puts Casteneda away.

MY UFC DFS PICK: Muin Gafurov SECOND-ROUND KO.

MY UFC LOCKED-IN TARGET (CASH):

Jim Miller vs. Jesse Butler

At nearly 40 years old, A-10 has still been grinding at the top level. He’s already got one fight under his belt this year and for his second bout he had two opponents drop out on this card. Despite that, he was able to find a matchup on short notice against regional standout Jesse Butler. Unfortunately for Butler, he has not faced anyone with pedigree of Miller who currently holds 11 submission wins in the UFC tied for the second most in UFC history. I think it’s going to be hard to see him not get submission #12 with this matchup. When grappling with Jim Miller, you’re simply in his world and taking nothing against Butler but he is in way over his head with this matchup. Despite, Miller’s age, he’s a clear favourite in this matchup for a reason. (For DraftKings users, he was priced for his old matchup, so he’s heavily discounted.)

MY UFC DFS PICK: Jim Miller SECOND ROUND SUBMISSION.

MY UFC TOP SCORING TARGET (GPP):

Jamie Mullarkey vs. Muhammadjon Naimov

First and foremost, Mullarkey is an absolute savage and has come up big for us multiple times in underdog spots like against Khama Worthy and Devonte Smith. In this spot, there was no way I could ignore him. His opponent is a former Contender Series challenger Muhammadjon Naimov. He came up short against Collin Anglin who himself had a very underwhelming run in the UFC going 0-4 after the win against Naimov. Since the Contender Series fight, Naimov has been able to rack up a few wins but the competition he was facing is nowhere near the level of Mullarkey. Also of note is that this fight is a short notice matchup like the Miller fight as Mullarkey was initially matched up against Guram Kutateladze which originally had Mullarkey coming in as a big underdog. Honestly, there is levels to mixed martial arts and Mullarkey’s level is simply far superior to Naimov’s, I expect Mullarkey to take care of business quite handily in this matchup. (Like the last fight, DraftKings users have BIG VALUE on Mullarkey who is listed on the slate with his price vs Guram when he should be coming in as the most expensive fighter on the slate but is instead coming in as the third cheapest fighter.)

MY UFC DFS PICK: Jamie Mullarkey FIRST-ROUND KO.

UFC HONORABLE MENTIONS:

(Not in order

Amir Albazi 5 ROUNDER

Maxim Grishin

Tim Elliott

Elise Reed FADE

Luan Lacerda

Daniel Santos

Andrei Arlovski

Abubakar Nurmagomedov

Karine Silva

Alex Caceres FADE

SUMMARY:

On Saturday’s fourteen-bout MMA UFC DFS slate, I am finally allowed to bet again on UFC as restrictions have now been lifted in my area. As such, I will play 2 Parlays. Remember, to take down a GPP; you have to be different and take risks. Scared money doesn’t make money in tournaments. For any further questions, I will be available until lock in our WinDaily Discord chat. GOOD LUCK, and don’t forget to come back and Win Daily!

PARLAY OF THE DAY

Muin Gafurov +100

Jamie Mullarkey -450

Luan Lacerda -150

Daniel Santos -220