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The Memorial

See Jack. See Jack win 18 majors. See Tiger. See Tiger chase Jack’s record. See Tiger run. Oops, Tiger can’t even walk right, much less run. See Jack build Muirfield. See Jack frustrate the world’s greatest golfers. See Jack smile. See Jack laugh.

We are at Muirfield Village for The Memorial, a course that Jack built that mimics a major without being one. This is an invite only 120 golfer field that challenges them as far as fierce competition and the course. If you can’t hit fairways on a consistent basis you won’t be around on Saturday. Accuracy, approach and the around the green game are crucial to success here. Also not testing positive for Covid on a Saturday evening while 6 strokes ahead helps as well.

Damn that Ram

Jon Rahm blew away the competition two years running but only won once. He caught Covid at The Memorial and threw a positive test on a Saturday with a commanding lead and was forced to withdraw allowing Cantlay to take the trophy at The Memorial. When he did win he was assessed a two stroke penalty when a 4K-HD camera barely caught a blade of grass moving his ball when he was in his practice stance. He still had strokes to spare and won easily, He also cost our own golf staff legend Joel the 200K first prize with the penalty and Joel had to settle for second place.

The Determination Elation.

It’s incredibly difficult to win on the PGA tour. Scheffler three putted 18 to win at The Masters. We just saw Mito break up with just one hole to go on the 18th at the PGA. Burns was an afterthought until he rolled in an off the green putt to beat Scottie in an improbable playoff win, which netted Sia an 85-1 hit on Burns! Harold Varner lll was tied for the lead until the double bogey or worse showed up, maybe it was the very strong winds, in the future if two fans in the gallery cough towards HV lll, I will be off him in an instant. The Memorial may offer up the same surprises…

I’d die for a “buckeye”

…as long as they have the “Buckeye” milkshake, the absolute favorite of the golfers and fans at Muirfield Village. The golfers actually complained when they had two tourneys back to back at Muirfield and would only serve it at The Memorial. Morikawa was depressed after he won The Memorial in that he hadn’t been offered the delicacy. It was sitting there all along, behind his winners trophy.

Winning versus Whining.

Whoever said winning isn’t everything hasn’t taken down a large DK GPP. Of course you can whine about the taxes you owe Uncle Sam while thanking your lucky stars that a golfer who never hits a shank just did to catapult your team into first place. There may be a tiny bit of luck involved, we try and take out the guesswork and the Leprechaun to bring you actionable data that wins you cold hard cash. One way we do this is with The Memorial Ownership projections which are built to offer you leverage and pivots to move you to the top of the Draftkings contests..

Lets take a look at this weeks Memorial Ownership projections to help you with your teambuilding and roster construction.

OWNERSHIP PROJECTION
PLAYEROWN %SALARY
Lowry, Shane22.39000
Pereira, Mito20.88000
Rahm, John18.411100
Niemann, Joaquin18.28300
McIlroy, Rory17.310900
Fitzpatrick, Mathew16.99100
Young, Cameron16.88800
Hovland, Viktor16.79300
Homa, Max16.68700
Im, Sungjae16.38900
Schauffele, Xander15.810200
Matsuyama, Hideki15.49200
Smith, Cameron15.39900
Spieth, Jordan15.29700
Wise, Aaron14.87500
Kirk, Chris13.47700
Reed, Patrick12.97900
Bradley, Keegan12.88100
Steele, Brendan12.76600
Morikawa, Collin11.910400
Zalatoris,Will11.89400
Cantlay, Patrick10.910700
Conners, Corey10.78400
Kucher, Matt10.67800
Riley, Davis 10.38600
Noren, Alex9.87500
Kim, Si Woo8.97600
Power, Seamus8.28000
Berger, Daniel7.68500
Glover, Lucas7.46500
Scott,Adam6.77700
Horschel, Billy6.47900
Lahiri, Anirban6.37200
Hoge, Tom6.27400
Vegas, Jhonattan6.16700
Leishman, Marc5.97500
Pan, CT5.87200
Fowler, Rickie5.87200
Rodgers, Patrick5.76800
Mitchell, Keith5.67300
Streelman, Kevin5.46800
List, Luke5.37100
Woodland, Gary5.27400
Knox, Russell5.27000
Harman, Brian5.17100
Palmer, Ryan5.06900
Kitayama, Kurt 4.96300
Long, Adam4.86700
Day, Jason4.77600
Van Rooyen, Erik4.66600
NeSmith, Matthew4.56400
Lee, KH4.17300
Ancer, Abraham3.98200
Davis, Cameron3.97200
Stallings, Scott3.86900
Hadwin, Adam3.76800
Tringale, Cameron3.67400
DeChambeau, Bryson3.57800
Griffin, Lanto3.57100
Perez, Pat3.46600
Willett, Danny3.36200
Theegala, Sahith2.86500
Lipsky, David2.76700
Lashley, Nate2.66200
Merritt, Troy2.36900
Herbert, Lucas 2.27000
McCarthy, Denny2.27000
Jones, Matt2.16700
Laird, Martin2.16300
Cink, Stewart2.07000
Howell III, Charlie1.96400
English, Harris1.97100
Champ, Cameron1.86800
Svensson, Adam1.86300
Rai, Aaron1.76900
Smalley, Alex 1.66400
Donald, Luke1.66000
Dahmen, Joel1.56900
Molinari, Francesco1.56600
Hossler, Beau1.46200
Moore, Ryan1.46200
Hoag, Bo1.36000
Ramey, Chad1.26600
Straka, Sepp1.17300
Dufner, Jason1.06100
Poston,  JT0.96400
Grillo, Emiliano0.96200
Villegas, Camilo0.96000
Ryder, Sam0.86000
Hoffman, Charley0.86000
Wolff, Mathew0.76500
Lower, Justin0.76200
Putnam, Andrew0.76200
Ghim, Doug0.66800
Malnati, Peter0.66300
Kim, Chan0.66200
Schenk, Adam0.56100
Streb, Robert0.56000
Hughes, Mackenzie0.56700
Ortiz, Carlos0.46300
Lee, Danny0.46200
Snedeker, Brandt0.46100
Wu, Brandon 0.46100
Lingmerth, David0.36000
Kizzire, Patton0.36400
Cabrera-Bello, Rafa0.36400
Swafford, Hudson0.26500
Hickok, Kramer0.26200
Watney, Nick0.26100
Lee, Min Woo0.16500
Moore, Taylor0.16500
Higgo, Garrick0.16300
McGirt, William0.16100
Clark, Wyndham0.16100
Hagy, Brandon0.16100
Brehm, Ryan0.06000
Pak, John 0.06000
Luck, Curtis 0.06000
Piot, James (a)0.06000
Morgan, Jediah (a)0.06000

These projections for The Memorial are accurate as of 6:02 EST. Top Tier Golfers will show a higher % by lock.

My picks for The Memorial:

Top Tier: Spieth

Mid Tier: Lowry

Low Tier: Tringale

Out in Left Play: Palmer

Frisky Risky Biscuit Play: * In Discord later Tonight ! *Risky

FR Leader: Fowler

FR Leader: Tringale

Be sure to check out Spencer’s and Stix’s Bettor Golf podcast on Anchor at Spotify. It only took them two weeks to rack up 74K for two of their subscribers. If you listen in it could be you cashing that 50K ticket this week in GPP or that 440-1 longshot named Chan Kim, he’s not a secret, I think he’s actually related to Stix, just like Webb Simpson is Spencer’s brother in law, or is that Jason Day? Just know that these two titans have the “family secrets” to get you to the pay window pronto with huge knockout payouts. Invest in a Q-tip and listen to their podcast. Collect your winnings. It’s really that easy.

The audience won last weeks DraftCast shootout even after Sia had pilfered a few picks from the audience. They were ready this week and had their picks and placements ready before Joel could say Go! Spencer’s incredible breakdown almost didn’t happen after the audience put him last in the snakedraft. He probably didn’t mind being way down at the end since pit vipers like to strike from a distance. Sia didn’t steal too much this week, he was probably on his best behavior after being on CBS Vegas and using lawyer speak to weigh in on the Dustin Johnson move to the LIV. The first time we see him with a kaffiyeh (turban) on the DraftCast you will know his checks are cashed in Dubai. The word is DJ got 100 million for his abandoning the PGA, Sia will easily command twice that. Double Down Dave assisted the audience with some sterling plays while dreaming of a Kiwi encrusted iguana pizza from yours truly, being from Texas means I can probably slip a horned frog in there in lieu of the crunchy lizard, although I wouldn’t hold that pizza for very long…..

As always, I hope to be with you on Sunday afternoon, in the money. You can also come and hang out in the Win Daily Sports Discord Chat to talk it out with everyone before the lock!

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For the second week in a row, entering the final day of the Charles Schwab Challenge we had a leader several shots in front and seemingly cruising to victory. And, once again, we were treated to watching the best in the game capitulate completely as a golfer 7 shots back came through to win (this time in the form of Sam Burns rather than Justin Thomas).

The Charles Schwab Challenge started in fine fashion for our tips, with Webb Simpson and Harold Varner III both securing a first-round lead alongside 6 others and Kevin Na just one shot off the leading pack. HV3 emerged as the most likely of our tips to compete and, with 12 holes to play, he held a share of the lead at 10 under looking perhaps the most likely contender to come through. Fast-forward 90 minutes, filled with winds where several players struggled with putts less than 5 feet such was the ferocity, and he finished at even par and 9 shots off the score needed to make the playoff. I said it last week and I’ll say it again: golf is a wonderful sport.

Fortunately, Kevin Na came through for a cash with a Top 10 paying $6.50 to at least ease some of the pain of the HV3 blow-up. Overall, a small loss for the week on the PGA Tour taking our ROI to 15%. In better news, over on the DP World Tour tips delivered us our 6th win of the year with Victor Perez cashing at 56/1 but the allure of the double on both sides of the pond still eludes us.

This week the tour moves to Dublin (Ohio variety) for another landmark tournament. As Jack Nicklaus’ tournament, it is one of the most prestigious events of the year outside of the majors and has attracted a warranted elite field as a result. Who should you back this week? This is your weekly golf deep dive and Memorial Tournament Betting Tips.

Course Analysis

Once again, we arrive at a course where the tournament has been staged since 1976 so there is plenty of data to fill your boots. In saying that, some substantial renovations were made in 2021, including adding an extra 150 yards to play as a 7,533-yard par 72. Most of this distance was added to the par 5s, which should not disadvantage the shorter hitters as much. As always, this is the maximum distance the course can play with several tee options at the discretion of the tournament director.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UGdEegxu8e4

Fairways aren’t the most restrictive at 28 yards average width at 300 yards however this does narrow to 24 yards at 325 yards for the longer drivers. Accuracy trumps distance here traditionally where, if you do miss the fairway, you are greeted by tree-lined fairways, bunkers, and most notably severe, thick 4-inch Kentucky bluegrass rough, ryegrass, and fescue.

Greens are not only protected by this rough but are often guarded by several bunkers and water. Measuring as smaller than tour average at 5,000 sq ft on average, they make for imposing targets. Greens are again bentgrass as have been seen at the last few tournaments, so look for recent good putting performances for some indication there. Even the best will inevitably miss the greens and a solid week of driving accuracy, approach play, and scrambling will be paramount to who finds victory come Sunday.

Weather

It is first worth noting some extended historical forecast to the week. In May, there was more than double the normal rainfall for this part of the world, with over 9 inches of rain in a month that typically only gets 4 inches. Rain and thunderstorms are predicted for Wednesday further softening the course. I expect this will add some distance to the course, as well as ensuring that thick rough will be at full strength, whilst making greens that have been firm previously a tad softer in this iteration.

Thunderstorms and cooler weather are predicted to carry on into Thursday morning, and potentially until early afternoon, with heavy rain on the cards. Winds will be at their worst in the afternoon with prevailing winds at 10-14mph and gusts up to 20-25mph.

Friday should see the skies clear and the winds will be fairly moderate, topping out at 8-11mph prevailing and 18-21mph gusts in the afternoon. Saturday and Sunday should see still, sunny conditions remain for the rest of the tournament and better scoring opportunities for all.

I do prefer a Thursday PM/Friday AM in this instance. The heavy rain and thunderstorms predicted on Thursday morning risk delaying play, which not only proves disruptive for players but could see some of the Thursday AM tee-times miss out on what are typically the best scoring conditions with calmer winds in the morning. Depending on the significance of any delays, this could see some afternoon tee-times starting later when winds begin to calm as the evening draws on or even moving to Friday AM to finish their rounds in what should be much calmer conditions.

https://www.pgatour.com/tee-times.html

The heavy rain, if play is allowed, will make the greens softer but will also make the course play even longer. Throw in the risk of muddy balls adding some additional variance and the thick rough being now wet will make any wayward shot a very tough recovery to save par. As always, there is a risk in playing a weather draw. The benefit is that you can end up with a wave of players at a decent advantage to the alternate group, in a game where the smallest of margins do matter.

Related Course Form

In tips this week, prior form here at Muirfield Village Golf Club provides guidance towards the picks alongside Innisbrook Copperhead Course (home of Valspar Championship, where the key metrics to success are driving accuracy, approach, and ATG play) and PGA National (a shorter, but tricky Nicklaus designed course and host of The Honda Classic).

The Memorial Tournament – Golf Betting Tips

Suggested Staking

  • Shane Lowry 2pts E/W $26.00 (Bet365, 5 places 1/4 odds)
  • Matthew Fitzpatrick 2pts E/W $29.00 (Bet365, 5 places 1/4 odds)
  • Chris Kirk 1pt E/W $71.00 (Bet365, 5 places 1/4 odds)
  • Chris Kirk 2pts Top 10 $7.00 (Bet365 or TAB)
  • Alex Noren 1pt E/W $81.00 (Bet365, 5 places 1/4 odds)
  • Alex Noren 2pts Top 10 $11.00 (TAB)
  • Brendan Steele 0.5pt E/W $141.00 (Bet365, 10 places 1/7 odds)
  • Brendan Steele 1pt Top 20 $6.00 (Bet365)
  • Adam Long 0.5pt E/W $176.00 (Bet365, 5 places 1/4 odds)
  • Adam Long 1pt Top 20 $5.50 (Bet365)

Shane Lowry

We all need to continue to reassess our expectations of Shane Lowry, who is not only having his best year ever but still outperforms some of the much shorter priced glamour names of the elite. For SG: Total (i.e. how much did you beat the field) Lowry ranks 6th over the last 12 months, 2nd for the last 6 months, and 2nd for the last 3 months. His worst finish in this calendar year was a 24th in the Dubai Desert Classic in January.

Included in this fantastic run of form is a 12th at the Valspar and 2nd a The Honda Classic this year (a very unfortunate loss to Kurt Kitayama with a violent downpour on the 18th), both of which provide solid indications here. This stands alongside finishing 6th at this tournament in 2021 where he gained in every metric on the field. I like that last time we saw him at PGA Championship, his final round in tough conditions he was one of only 19 players to shoot under par and he did this by finishing in the top 10 for SG: Approach and top 20 for SG: ATG.

This is the type of test that should suit Lowry, who gains on the tour average in every metric, but approach play and around-the-green proving his biggest strengths. He has historically performed best at gritty type affairs where scoring doesn’t get overly out of hand and being a previous major winner, he has the credentials to handle this type of event.

Matthew Fitzpatrick

Another who is having an outstanding year, the current bet boosted odds being offered by Bet365 pushes him into positive expected value where he can be found as short as 20/1 elsewhere.

Fitzpatrick has been ultra-consistent, finishing in the Top 20 in 8 out of his 10 starts this year and 4 of those being 6th or better. Of course, the biggest question many ask is that he is yet to get that elusive “W” on the PGA Tour. Fitzpatrick is a proven winner elsewhere, amassing 8 wins on the DP World Tour and subsidiaries, including the season-ending 2020 DP World Tour Championship final winning $3,000,000 where he also finished 2nd in 2021. Still just 27, the win will come, and it could well be here.

His last performance at the PGA Championship was an impressive 5th when he was on the wrong side of a significant weather disadvantage, marking his best finish in a major, and following 14th at The Masters this year. He finished 7th for both SG: ATG and SG: Putting on those undulating bentgrass greens, as well as having finished 5th for SG: Putting on the bentgrass greens at Wells Fargo Championship in his prior start.

The biggest weakness for Fitzpatrick has long been his lack of distance off the tee. That changed towards the end of last year, when his coach commented they had been making some changes and he had unlocked an additional 20 yards off the tee. Ever since, his 50-round moving average has seen him gain driving distance on the field, including at his last 9 consecutive events. Over the last 6 months, the accurate Fitzpatrick is ranked 11th for SG: OTT and 7th for SG: T2G.

Unlocking that distance could be the last piece to the puzzle, at an event where Fitzy already holds a 3rd in 2020 and his analytical approach should help him navigate this test.

Chris Kirk

Being able to dive down the board and pick up Kirk at this price is a steal. Over the last 3 months, Kirk ranks 5th in this field for SG: T2G (i.e. everything except putting) ahead of the likes of Morikawa, Zalatoris, Schauffele, Rahm, and Cantlay. Extend this out to 6 months, and he still rates out as 8th in this field.

Of promise, he has gained strokes on the field for putting in his last two weeks when 15th at the Charles Schwab Challenge (where he won in 2015) and 5th at the PGA Championship with both coming on bentgrass greens.

This is of course likely a peak, but one we should continue to ride and especially whilst the odds on offer are available. The 7th at the Nicklaus designed PGA National earlier this year bodes well, as does holding a 4th here at Muirfield all be it some time ago. His 26th here last year should also be read in the context of having arrived in far worse form than we find him now, the deeper dive into that performance showing it came after a run of MC-MC-69.

Alex Noren

Having been an incredibly popular pick at the PGA Championship, it feels that Noren is a somewhat forgotten name this week. One missed cut at a major should not change the thesis so significantly on a golfer who since February has finished 12th or better in 4 of 8 strokeplay events since February.

Included in that are a 5th at The Honda Classic (3rd in 2018) and 12th at the Valspar Championship (alongside 21st last year). A 6th at TPC Scottsdale is also not the worst course to find comparisons as well if you wanted to delve deeper, as well as an admirable 13th here last year coming off a run of middling to poor results (49-MC-46-25-21-21-55).

Over the last 6 months, Noren rates out 13th for SG: Approach (his best iron performance since 2018) and 9th for SG: Putting having gained strokes putting 6/6 most recent events. The 11 time DP World Tour winner has massive upside, and provides a lot of value in this range.

Brendan Steele

It was rather pleasing that after making Brendan Steele my first click on market open Monday I was able to watch several other tipsters identify him, including our own expert Sia Nejad.

I do tend to leave my bets towards the 24 hours prior to start, in order to monitor weather and tee-times. In this instance, the price was so absurd it really didn’t matter, and we got lucky that he did secure a Thursday PM tee-time. Unfortunately for many, I believe the 140/1 with 10 places may be long gone as he has been backed into 100/1 on most international markets (Draftkings Sportsbook still have +15000 and a Top 10 at +1000).

Brendan Steele ranks as the 6th best player in this field for SG: T2G, 4th for SG: OTT, and 10th for SG: Approach over the last 3 months. That level of ball-striking is impressive at the best of times, but to then be able to secure that player well into triple figures is ludicrous.

The 9th at the PGA Championship was certainly impressive, where he was 4th in the field for SG: Approach. Combined with some positive signs with the putter and some solid correlated Nicklaus course form at The Honda Classic (33-11-14-14-MC-4-3-MC) and here at Muirfield where he has made his last 7 cuts (20-57-41-52-13-37), it is easy to see why Steele is one of the top value plays from my model this week.

Adam Long

In what is certainly a speculative play, Long popped in my model this week after a sudden and significant jump in his SG: Approach last week.

He managed to turn out his best iron performance since March 2020 which was, coincidentally, at another Nicklaus course when 27th at The Honda Classic. Long played reasonably well here last year too, when finishing 26th. This should again be read in context as he had missed the cut at 6/8 of his performances before that.

Traditionally a strong putter, Long has gained strokes putting in 6/7 of his last tournaments. Combine that with his accuracy off the tee and the sudden spike in approach play, I am happy to risk a small play at very long odds.

As always, please gamble responsibly and only bet what you can afford to lose. Wishing you all the best with your picks and another successful week.

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The Memorial: Initial Picks

Sia

The PGA Tour travels to Dublin Ohio to play The Memorial Tournament at Jack’s Track. This week we are looking for the all-around game with a particular emphasis on keeping it in the fairway, strong iron game and the ability to maneuver deftly ARG. When looking at course history keep in mind this course was renovated recently and we only have one year of data (2021) on the new track. More on the renovations during the famous course breakdown with Spencer on Tuesday night’s PGA Draftcast. Now let’s get to the Initial Picks.

Collin Morikawa (10400) – I’ve been off Collin due to the issues with the PUTT but this may be a track where he can find his PUTT stroke again. Last year he gained over 5 strokes with the PUTT while also gaining over 12 strokes T2G. If he’s popular I will pivot but if the ownership is reasonable, I’m happy to take the leap of faith. I also like Rahm and Rory up top, but will only consider them if ownership doesn’t get out of hand.

Xander Schauffele (10200) – I’m not the biggest Xander fan, but he’s undoubtedly a metrics monster and he’s coming in with great form and has three Top 15s in a row at The Memorial including an 11th in 2021. If you can’t play Xander here, you’re probably just not going to play Xander. He won’t be in my main build but I’ll have him in some lineups for sure.

Jordan Spieth (9700) – He needs to keep it in the fairway and if he does he’s just as likely to win as any of the guys priced above him. He’s gained ARG in 8 tournaments in a row and has been cruising with the ball striking.  May be lower ownership than you think as people tended to play a lot of him over the last two tournaments and may be ready to pivot this week.

Shane Lowry (9000) – Lowry has been keeping it in the fairway and gains across all metrics.  T6 here last year and truly has the complete form. He could easily be priced at 9500. I like Zalatoris as a pivot in this range if ownership is high on guys like Lowry or Spieth.


Sungjae Im (8900) – He was pristine T2G last week, but lost a ton with the PUTT. Grades out just fine on this track in spite of very poor history. My guess is the poor course history and the lack of consistent recent history keeps his ownership down, and if that is the case, I’m happy to dive in. If he’s high owned, I’m fine with going to someone else in this range as it is rich with talent.

Cameron Young (8800) – He’s 7th in my model and carries with that metrics of 1st T2G and 1st in Par 4 450-500 yards over the last 24 rounds. Generally keeps it in the fairway. No experience here which I don’t love, but I still see him as a value with great upside.

Daniel Berger (8500) – Berger barely made the cut last week, but the ball striking was on point and he was great ARG. His PUTT let him down but he actually gained 2 of the 4 days. The ball striking is picking up and I’m hopeful that most people pivot to others in this range.

Mito Pereira (8000) – Much like Young, he is lacking in experience, but makes up for it with spectacular ball striking which includes finding fairways. He’s also been above average ARG and can spike with the PUTT. I think Max Homa is also a fine play in this range.

Patrick Reed (7900) – Reed has been his old self over the last couple of tournaments. He has great course history including a 5th at The Memorial last year. Gained across all metrics last week including great performances on APP and ARG.

Aaron Wise (7500) – He had a good showing last year which included gaining in all metrics and almost 7 T2G and 2.5 with the PUTT en route to a T9 finish. He comes in with good form as well and will be a value if the PUTT is decent. I also like Chris Kirk in this range who is likely to be popular and Cameron Tringale as an ownership pivot.

Jhonnatan Vegas (6700) – A high risk play as he hasn’t been hitting fairways and historically has issues ARG, but he has gained in 3 out of 4 tournaments ARG. If he is back to his old ball striking self and can maintain the ARG improvement he will be a great value.

Brendan Steele (6600) – Indeed a likely steal at this price given his impressive course history (37th, 13th, 41st and 57th in his last four at The Memorial) and he’s coming in with great form as evidenced by his Top 10 at The PGA Championship. The short game can be tricky for Brendan but he has the ability to gain there and the BS has been very good since March.


Lucas Glover (6500) – He lost 6 strokes with the PUTT last week which should surprise no one. There are times where he’s only a small loser PUTT and his T2G overall is pretty great. I’m willing to gamble on some poor PUTT this week. Glover has made 5 cuts in a row at The Memorial.

Secret Weapon (Under 7k/less than 5% owned) – currently 54-22.

Be sure to get in our Discord and watch our PGA Draftcast. And finally, now is as good a time as ever to sign up for all things Win Daily as we are bringing you all the DFS and betting for all the sports you can imagine. Further, make sure you check out Sharp as the bets continue to roll through.

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We are back in Texas for The Charles Schwab Challenge at Colonial. Last week several golfers called the course at Southern Hills “Colonial on steroids.” Perry Maxwell designed this course and he also designed Southern Hills and the courses are similar. Golfers who are tops in ball striking and SGA (strokes gained approach) will do very well here. The past winners have ranked fourth or better in those metrics.

Whether to trust the weather.

Last week the weather played havoc on the second major in a row. First the Masters and now the PGA had wild weather swings. The Win Daily golf staff was able to warn all our DFS golf family to the preferred splits, the irony is the golfer that won was from the bad weather split. Mito Pereira would like a do over on 18, Rory would like the birdie try on 18 over again, and Justin Thomas is just glad it’s over.

Shrinking Prices

With heavyweight power at the top of the pricing tier, the Charles Schwab ownership projections will allow you to gain leverage and allow for pivots to cheaper chalk. This week DraftKings pricing is decent and fair. I fully expected Brian Harman’s salary to go up three grand but it didn’t. One reason is the Texas posse is heading back across the red river, we are talking about Spieth, Scheffler and Zalatoris, who are planning on teeing it up at Colonial along with JT who took it all down for his second PGA. Justin was asked if Tiger, a dear friend of his, would have comments on JT’s victory. JT smiled and said he would razz him on his hozzle miss hit on the 6th, would berate him for missing the birdie putt at 18 to have to get into a playoff to begin with, and finally that Tiger would say, Good for you! Only 153 more PGA wins to get even with me!

The 19th Hole or the Therapist Couch

One of the keys my game theory tech shared with us was the lingering effects on the PGA Championship major contenders. All of them are teeing it up Thursday. Can JT, with all his come from behind heroics, his 2nd PGA ( special to him because his dad is a PGA pro) and all the media he is contracted to speak too, will that allow him to reset for this week? Will Z should have the easiest pathway back, he now knows he can contend on any course at anytime. Mito will either blow right past his 18th hole collapse and find victory at Colonial, or show up at the first tee and blow chunks all over the PGA announcer.

Lets take a look at this weeks Charles Schwab ownership projections to help you with your teambuilding and roster construction.

PLAYEROWN %SALARY
Spieth, Jordan21.310400
Hovland, Viktor20.610000
Morikawa, Collin16.910700
Harman, Brian16.87800
Na, Kevin16.68100
Thomas, Justin16.511000
Varner III, Harold16.27800
Kirk, Chris15.47900
Munoz, Sebastian14.97700
Homa, Max14.39400
Fleetwood, Tommy14.28800
Hoge, Tom14.17600
Ancer, Abraham13.69300
Finau, Tony13.59100
Berger, Daniel13.49000
Burns, Sam13.19700
Scheffler, Scottie12.911200
Im, Sungjae12.79200
Gooch, Talor12.38900
Zalatoris,Will12.310100
Rose, Justin12.27700
Woodland, Gary11.77900
Riley, Davis 11.38400
Pereira, Mito10.98600
Horschel, Billy10.98500
Kokrak, Jason10.88200
McNealy, Maverick10.77500
Simpson, Webb9.98700
Pan, CT9.37500
NeSmith, Matthew7.97300
Tringale, Cameron7.37500
Merritt, Troy7.27300
Long, Adam7.16900
Palmer, Ryan6.77300
Cink, Stewart6.57100
Glover, Lucas6.46700
Bezuidenhout, Christiaan5.97600
Reed, Patrick5.87400
Rai, Aaron5.77200
Poston,  JT5.66600
Spaun, JJ5.47100
Dahmen, Joel5.37200
Lashley, Nate5.37100
Smotherman, Austin5.26300
Streelman, Kevin5.06800
Knox, Russell4.96900
Ghim, Doug4.86700
Kisner, Kevin4.67400
Fowler, Rickie4.57400
Lipsky, David4.37000
McCarthy, Denny4.26800
Lee, KH4.27200
Sabbatini, Rory4.16700
Kitayama, Kurt 4.16400
Grillo, Emiliano3.97000
Van Rooyen, Erik3.87300
Jaeger, Stephan 3.66800
Davis, Cameron3.47200
Todd, Brendon3.27000
Hubbard, Mark3.26400
Theegala, Sahith2.96500
Kizzire, Patton2.76900
Malnati, Peter2.66800
Rodgers, Patrick2.46600
Poulter, Ian2.37200
Wu, Brandon 2.26500
Hahn, James2.17000
Smalley, Alex 1.96700
Stuard, Brian1.96600
Donald, Luke1.86000
Schenk, Adam1.86000
Duncan, Tyler1.66300
Lee, Danny1.56300
Herbert, Lucas 1.57100
Reavie, Chez1.46300
Svensson, Adam1.46100
Perez, Pat1.36900
Schwab, Matthias 1.36600
Ramey, Chad1.26300
Snedeker, Brandt1.26200
Hoffman, Charley1.16500
Taylor, Nick1.06300
Whaley, Vincent0.96400
Putnam, Andrew0.96200
Piercy, Scott0.96800
Stallings, Scott0.86400
Hickok, Kramer0.86200
Redman, Doc0.86100
Jones, Matt0.77000
Bland, Richard0.76600
Streb, Robert0.76000
Frittelli, Dylan0.67100
Hossler, Beau0.66500
Buckley, Hayden0.66000
Ortiz, Carlos0.56600
Ryder, Sam0.56300
Moore, Taylor0.46700
Johnson, Zack0.46400
Barjon, Paul0.46200
Hodges, Lee 0.46100
Mullinax, Trey0.46100
Sigg, Greyson 0.36500
Haas, Bill0.36200
Higgo, Garrick0.36200
Lee, Min Woo0.26900
Higgs, Harry0.26400
Thompson, Michael0.26200
Clark, Wyndham0.26200
Tway, Kevin0.26100
Watney, Nick0.26000
Villegas, Camilo0.16100
Strafaci, Tyler0.16000
Trainer, Martin0.16000
Brehm, Ryan0.16000
McGreevy, Max0.06100
Pak, John 0.06100
Huh, John0.06100
Compton, Erik0.06000
Piot, James (a)0.06000

These projections for The Charles Schwab are accurate as of 6:52 EST. Top Tier Golfers will show a higher % by lock.

My picks for The Charles Schwab

Top Tier: Jordan Spieth

Mid Tier: Tommy Fleetwood

Low Tier: Brian Harman

Out in Left Play: Troy Merritt

Frisky Risky Biscuit Play: * In Discord later Tonight ! *Risky

FR Leader: HV lll

FR Leader: Aaron Rai, Kizzire (Contrarian)

Be sure to check out Spenser’s and Stix’s Bettor Golf podcast on Anchor at Spotify. One of the subscribers to the podcast hit for 24 thousand this week for the PGA, last week a subscriber hit for 50 thousand. 74 thousand in two weeks, just for listening to a golf podcast. I like to listen to it on Tuesday nights after the DraftCast. Find a better money making podcast and I won’t even wait,…. you can’t. Period. The money is there, all you need is a pair of ears and a short period of time to drown out the noise and listen to Stix and Spencer. Their content is platinum, and I can give you 74,000 reasons why.

Don’t miss out on the very popular and fun PGA DraftCast with Joel, Sia, (aka Mr. Hair) and Spencer (golf writer of the year) and you, the audience, every Tuesday night at 8:00 EST! There was no Deki-gate this week. Sia endeared himself to the audience by pilfering a few picks they were discussing, all is fair in the war known as DraftCast. The audience was considering legal action which is pretty normal in this litigious society but then found out they would be going up against the Percy Foreman of Florida, Mr. Sia Najad, Esquire. In all fairness he said he mentioned J.J. Spaun on another show on Monday, even if what he allegedly said was, “Spaun is a clown and belongs in the circus, not on the golf course.” EDITORS NOTE: Sia did NOT say that! Joel won last week due to no one withdrawing on his team and some pretty savvy picks. Double Down Dave, drooling from some dynamite picks and thinking of being owed a pizza by yours truly navigated some tricky waters for the audience and they came through with some decent golfers. Spencer isn’t used to losing and worked his way through the pilfering crisis to put a solid team together. Check out the teams on Twitter as well as Sia’s twitter pick for the Outright and FRL markets.

As always, I hope to be with you on Sunday afternoon, in the money. You can also come and hang out in the Win Daily Sports Discord Chat to talk it out with everyone before the lock!

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We are in Southern Hills located in Tulsa for the second major of the year, The PGA Championship. Most of you will see a course very much like Augusta with undulating and elevated greens, long sloping hills and a creek that was redesigned to run through the course and be prominent on 16 holes. Acclaimed award winning Gil Hanse did a complete historic renovation in 2017. At the time the 2022 PGA was scheduled at Trump’s Bedminster New Jersey golf club. The date and venue were changed after January 6th.

After the incident at the Capital occurred the PGA decided to distance themselves from the publicity and moved it to Southern Hills. It’s a course that all players love, most have it in their top 5 and when you watch it just remember how well it plays on TV, very much like Augusta. The winds are supposed to show up in a major way and the only thing stopping high winds in Oklahoma are barbed wire fences. It’s why the cows always look cold there.

The Birdie Festival

TPC Lee won the Byron Nelson at 26 under after a fast close by Jordan Spieth who finished second. I found out that the competition committee was over watering the greens every night and on more than several holes they moved the tee boxes up as much as 40 yards so the course didn’t play at 7500 yards. A birdie fest is great to draw ratings but whatever happened to penalizing a bad shot?

The Byron Nelson set a PGA record for over 2200 birdies last week. Xander had a phenomenal day of golf and was the leader at -23 early in the afternoon. Imagine knowing that no matter how many errant shots that may follow, there was no way he could win. The worst anyone could do was par, it was just a matter of who got the most eagles and birdies coming in. Lee played a superb round and deserved the victory. Lets hope this week that good or great shots are rewarded and not just every single shot they play.

Wait until they get to the 18th hole at Southern Hills! It’s one of the hardest holes in golf. It takes two pristine shots to just get on the green, if you do not hit the green you will bogey at best in most circumstances. It will be a change of pace to see where par is a rewarded score for a very tough hole.

Last Week

I had a solid week with Deki, Palmer and Munoz and used Vegas and Taylor Moore as well. Taylor was my frisky risky biscuit play, had a low salary and was owned by less than half of one percent, He finished 32nd at -16, and I hit the first round leader S. Munoz, who was also my low tier play of the week as well. You can see this weeks picks for The PGA Championship below the ownership projections.

The Mob Hit At Southern Hills

Very few people know that back in 1981 a Tulsa businessman and owner of World Jai Alai named Roger Wheeler was executed in the parking lot right next to the Southern Hills clubhouse. He was shot once between the eyes and once in the back of the head, a signature style hit from the notorious Boston gangster Whitey Bulger. He was executed after finishing his weekly round at Southern Hills. The moral to this story is if you play a round with a mobster I highly recommend you let him win, it’s so much better for your health status…..smile.

Weather

The winds are coming to Southern Hills. On Thursday winds sustained at 17 with gusts to 20. Possible rain Thursday night. On Friday and Saturday sustained winds at 17 and gusts to 20-25 with possible scattered rain Friday afternoon. All three days the winds will be from the south. On Sunday we get 9 mph winds that will be coming from multiple directions, mostly easterly which means crosswinds but at least they will be minimal compared to the other days. It seems as if the wind won’t be as severe as earlier predictions. We will continue to monitor the weather and bring you updates in Discord right up to lock. There is still an early am/ late pm advantage, but it’s less than originally anticipated.

The Tiger Tale

Tiger Woods issued a brief statement after his round where the gallery was 6 to 7 deep….for a practice round. He said that he was a month from the Masters and his leg was much stronger and he had been practicing golf since. Basically he was saying his leg was stronger. His ownership shot up 4 points within an hour. Our projections on him will be accurate but I advise you to add 10-13% to his projection before lock. Why? He’s Tiger Woods.

The Intriguing Trend

It’s interesting to note that in the last 5 PGA Championships the leader on Friday night has gone on to win The PGA Championship. If your favorite golfer is sitting on top after Friday’s round, you may want to make an additional live wager based on this trend.

Lets take a look at The PGA Championship Ownership Projections to help you choose your player pools and roster selections.

OWNERSHIP PROJECTION
PLAYEROWN %SALARY
Cantlay, Patrick19.99100
Matsuyama, Hideki19.89200
Spieth, Jordan19.69600
Lowry, Shane19.58700
Fitzpatrick, Mathew17.77900
McIlroy, Rory16.710000
Thomas, Justin16.310700
Young, Cameron15.47600
Scheffler, Scottie14.911400
Schauffele, Xander14.19300
Zalatoris,Will14.08900
Smith, Cameron13.99700
Niemann, Joaquin13.88500
Conners, Corey13.48000
Rahm, John12.511200
Hovland, Viktor12.49900
Finau, Tony12.37900
Homa, Max11.58100
Bradley, Keegan11.47500
Pereira, Mito11.26700
Morikawa, Collin10.710400
Noren, Alex10.67000
Berger, Daniel9.68600
Munoz, Sebastian8.96800
Fleetwood, Tommy8.77600
Johnson, Dustin8.79500
Kokrak, Jason8.67300
Henley, Russell8.57200
Wise, Aaron8.26800
Horschel, Billy8.17400
Gooch, Talor8.17400
MacIntyre, Robert 7.96900
Varner III, Harold7.87000
Koepka, Brooks7.49000
Burns, Sam7.28800
Hatton, Tyrrell7.18100
Hadwin, Adam6.56300
Garcia, Sergio6.37200
Kucher, Matt6.26800
List, Luke6.17200
Hoge, Tom6.17100
Oosthuizen, Louis5.98000
Kirk, Chris5.76900
Woodland, Gary5.67300
Harman, Brian5.47000
Scott,Adam5.37700
McNealy, Maverick5.27100
Day, Jason5.17500
Bezuidenhout, Christiaan4.97000
Woods, Tiger4.68200
Griffin, Lanto4.36300
Na, Kevin4.26900
Riley, Davis 4.16800
Mitchell, Keith3.96600
Reed, Patrick3.87200
Kim, Si Woo3.87200
Vegas, Jhonattan3.76900
Lahiri, Anirban3.76500
Leishman, Marc3.67700
Straka, Sepp3.27200
Power, Seamus3.27000
Champ, Cameron2.86900
Davis, Cameron2.76700
Jones, Matt2.66600
Fox, Ryan2.56300
Ancer, Abraham2.57800
Tringale, Cameron2.47100
Van Rooyen, Erik2.47100
Palmer, Ryan2.46900
Rose, Justin2.37200
Horsfield, Sam 2.36700
Spaun, JJ2.26400
Fowler, Rickie2.27000
Cink, Stewart2.16700
Simpson, Webb1.97800
Lee, KH1.96500
Pieters, Thomas1.87100
Wiesberger, Bernd1.76600
Hughes, Mackenzie1.76600
Watson, Bubba1.67300
Molinari, Francesco1.56900
Streelman, Kevin1.46800
Merritt, Troy1.36400
Knox, Russell1.36300
Wolff, Mathew1.27300
Schwartzel, Charl1.26900
Poulter, Ian1.17000
Dahmen, Joel1.06800
Ramey, Chad0.96400
Kim, Joohyung 0.96300
Kisner, Kevin0.86800
Ortiz, Carlos0.86600
Kizzire, Patton0.86500
Glover, Lucas0.76500
Hossler, Beau0.76400
Kim, Chan0.76400
Stallings, Scott0.76300
Westwood, Lee0.77000
Herbert, Lucas 0.66800
Arnaus, Adri0.66700
Lee, Min Woo0.66700
Higgs, Harry0.66500
Bekker, Oliver0.66400
Steele, Brendan0.56700
Stenson, Henrik0.56600
Bland, Richard0.56500
Kaymer, Martin0.46900
Grace, Branden0.46700
Higgo, Garrick0.46700
Johnson, Zack0.46600
Hickok, Kramer0.46300
Harrington, Padraig0.46100
Swafford, Hudson0.36800
Larrazabal, Pablo0.36500
Yang, YE0.36300
Burmester, Dean0.36200
Daly, John0.36000
Harding, Justin0.26700
Canter, Laurie0.26600
Van Tonder, Daniel0.26300
Dufner, Jason0.26200
Cejka, Alex0.26200
Hojgaard, Nicolai0.16800
Norris, Shaun 0.16600
Brehm, Ryan0.16500
Schenk, Adam0.16400
Block, Michael0.16300
Beem, Rich0.16200
Inamori, Yuki0.16100
Kanaya, Takumi0.06400
Kinoshita,  Ryosuke0.06400
Hoshino, Rikuya0.06300
Micheel, Shaun0.06200
Mueller, Jesse0.06200
Kim, Bio0.06100
McCarty, Sean0.06100
Beach, Alex0.06100
Vermeer, Ryan 0.06100
Warren, Shawn0.06100
Kozuma, Jinichiro0.06100
Mendoza,  Kyle0.06100
Borchert, Matthew0.06000
Collet, Tyler0.06000
ALL OTHERS0.0

These projections for The PGA Championship are accurate as of 7:03 EST. Top Tier Golfers will show a higher % by lock. So will Tiger Woods. **With Hideki’s neck issue it could move the top tier numbers depending on his current status.**

My picks for The PGA Championship

Top Tier: Scheffler

Mid Tier: Cantlay (Deki before the neck injury)

Low Tier: Billy Horschel

Out in Left Play: Russel Henley

Frisky Risky Biscuit Play: * In Discord later Tonight ! *Risky

FR Leader: Spieth (Contrarian-Horsfield)

FR Leader: Cantlay

Be sure to check out Spenser’s and Stix’s Bettor Golf podcast on Anchor at Spotify. Why? They had a subscriber listen in last week and he won $50,000. He had three players make the cut on the number, one, Fitzpatrick, double bogeyed the next to last hole to go two over the cutline, he came back and Eagled the last hole to make it to the weekend. He did not have K H Lee or Spieth in his lineup and he still took the takedown. You all know I implore you to listen in to this informative money making podcast, and now you know why.

Don’t miss out on the very popular and fun PGA DraftCast with Joel, Sia, (aka Mr. Hair) and Spencer (golf writer of the year) and you, the audience, every Tuesday night at 8:00 EST! Deki-gate strikes again! Last night in the DraftCast there was more controversy when the new man, Deep Dive Dave, talked up Hideki to the audience, then took him with his first pick. This was after he mentioned he didn’t want Sia stealing his picks. He looked very sharp, like he just stepped out of a board meeting, and has the chops to back it up. I have seen Golf forecasters come and go in seven years of betting DFS golf, Dave is the real deal. His deep diving (thus the name) is based on science and numbers, he is what I call a true grinder, leaving no stone unturned and bringing solid intel to the WDS nation. His expertise in the foreign markets as well as domestic will assist you all with your DK accounts getting fatter, and he is a welcome addition to a very strong golf staff. Read his breakdowns in the PGA research tab, in the meantime I plan on getting pizza from New Zealand very soon, I understand the Kiwi/Kangaroo is very tasty!

Spencer won last week, again, it would be news but it’s like saying the sun rose again today. The audience has had a hand in stopping the streak, with Joel and Sia applying pressure every week. I won five bucks on the over with Lindsay’s exclamation marks when Will Z was picked, and I’m ducking Ivan who is looking for royalties for being mentioned in my article.

It’s PGA major week, this is a tough fair course, may you all get 6/6 through for your big contests.

**UPDATE** Bryson has withdrawn (after speaking with Casey) and Hideki is dealing with a sore neck. We will update in Discord on his condition.

As always, I hope to be with you on Sunday afternoon, in the money. You can also come and hang out in the Win Daily Sports Discord Chat to talk it out with everyone before the lock!

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Yee Haw! Welcome to Texas and The Byron Nelson by AT&T. This weeks venue is at TPC King Ranch, it’s just a tiny hop from next weeks PGA major in Tulsa, the second major of the year and one of the reasons this field is loaded much more than normal. This field has plenty of home state talent to cheer including Scottie Scheffler, Jordan Spieth and Will Zalatoris along with Ryan Palmer and Dylan Frittelli among the more notable players from the Lone Star State.

This tourney is a little tougher to handicap, the soft pricing is due to all the talent scheduled to tee off, and at the same time a lot of the top tier talent spent time at Southern Hills this week playing practice rounds, which suggests that it may be more important to the people who aren’t invited to Southern Hills next week and they realize this is the here and now for them and they won’t be practicing shots for the PGA major, they are just trying to win The Byron Nelson.

Last year K.H. Lee won with a -25 under par. The rest of the top 10 was littered with non marquee names like Kizzire, Schwartzel, Stallings, Merritt, Bramlett and Redman. Bronson Burgoon and Luke Donald were just outside the top 10. That’s 70% of players that never made it out of the 7 K salary range, Burns, Berger and Spieth are names that you normally see who also made the top 10 and please note that Berger isn’t playing this years tourney.

Lets take a look at The The Byron Nelson Final Ownership Projections to help you choose your player pools and roster selections.

OWNERSHIP PROJECTION
PLAYEROWN %SALARY
Burns, Sam24.69500
Thomas, Justin24.510600
Zalatoris,Will23.99400
Scheffler, Scottie22.610900
Hadwin, Adam18.48000
Vegas, Jhonattan17.98400
Gooch, Talor17.28600
Wise, Aaron17.18100
Niemann, Joaquin16.99300
McNealy, Maverick16.77800
Matsuyama, Hideki14.89900
Spieth, Jordan14.310100
Schauffele, Xander14.39700
Mitchell, Keith14.27500
Noren, Alex13.47900
Munoz, Sebastian12.97600
Kizzire, Patton12.67100
Griffin, Lanto11.77700
Kim, Si Woo11.37800
Kitayama, Kurt 11.27400
Johnson, Dustin10.910200
Pereira, Mito10.77600
Straka, Sepp10.37600
Pan, CT8.97300
List, Luke8.97300
Hoge, Tom8.67300
Power, Seamus8.37900
Fleetwood, Tommy8.29000
Kokrak, Jason7.98300
Leishman, Marc7.97800
NeSmith, Matthew7.87300
Wolff, Mathew7.87200
Smotherman, Austin7.86600
Champ, Cameron7.48000
Theegala, Sahith7.47100
Scott,Adam7.38700
Riley, Davis 6.77700
Swafford, Hudson6.76700
Wu, Brandon 5.97000
Spaun, JJ5.27200
Rodgers, Patrick4.97000
Rai, Aaron4.87200
Day, Jason4.48200
Kucher, Matt4.47700
Palmer, Ryan4.37400
Howell III, Charlie4.37200
Lee, KH3.97500
Stallings, Scott3.47000
Jaeger, Stephan 3.46900
Frittelli, Dylan3.37300
Watson, Bubba3.27500
Lipsky, David3.17100
Bramlett, Joseph2.96500
Schenk, Adam2.86500
Hughes, Mackenzie2.77200
Lashley, Nate2.76800
Schwab, Matthias 2.67100
Bezuidenhout, Christiaan2.37400
Ortiz, Carlos2.37000
Lebioda, Hank2.36700
Svensson, Adam2.36400
Barjon, Paul2.36300
Kisner, Kevin2.27500
Laird, Martin2.16900
Hubbard, Mark1.96900
Taylor, Nick1.87000
Clark, Wyndham1.86900
Piercy, Scott1.86700
Reavie, Chez1.76800
Schwartzel, Charl1.76700
Redman, Doc1.66800
Sabbatini, Rory1.56600
Perez, Pat1.46700
Grillo, Emiliano1.36800
Tarren, Callum1.36400
Buckley, Hayden1.36300
Percy, Cameron1.36200
Poulter, Ian1.27400
Todd, Brendon1.27100
Malnati, Peter1.26600
Higgs, Harry1.26500
Ryder, Sam1.16700
Armour, Ryan1.16700
Donald, Luke1.16400
Willett, Danny0.96900
Sigg, Greyson 0.96900
Stenson, Henrik0.96700
Hahn, James0.96600
Hossler, Beau0.96600
Taylor, Vaughn0.96300
Westwood, Lee0.87000
Mullinax, Trey0.86400
Bryan, Wesley0.86300
Kang, Sung0.76300
Grace, Branden0.66800
Snedeker, Brandt0.66600
Hagy, Brandon0.66200
Dufner, Jason0.66000
Huh, John0.56500
Duncan, Tyler0.56500
Flavin, Patrick0.56200
Trainer, Martin0.56100
Norris, Shaun 0.47200
Kim, Joohyung 0.46900
Hoffman, Charley0.46600
Uihlein, Peter0.46600
Hodges, Lee 0.46500
Kohles, Ben0.46300
Moore, Taylor0.36800
Stuard, Brian0.36700
Streb, Robert0.36500
Wu, Dylan0.36400
Novak, Andrew0.36300
Norlander, Henrik0.36200
Gligic, Michael0.36200
Herman, Jim0.36100
Wolfe, Jared0.36100
Haas, Bill0.36000
Molinari, Francesco0.26800
Hickok, Kramer0.26400
Lower, Justin0.26400
Whaley, Vincent0.26400
Wallace, Matt0.26300
Gutschewski, Scott0.26200
Brehm, Ryan0.26200
Watney, Nick0.26100
Cook, Austin0.26100
Putnam, Andrew0.16500
Thompson, Michael0.16500
Garnett, Brice0.16400
Sloan, Roger0.16300
Aphibarnrat, Kiradech0.16300
Thompson, Curtis0.16200
Tway, Kevin0.16100
Hadley, Chesson0.16100
Werenski, Richy0.16100
Skinns, David0.16100
Creel, Joshua0.16000
Van Der Walt, Dawie0.16000
Noh, Seung-Yul0.16000
Kraft, Kelly0.06300
McGreevy, Max0.06200
Drewitt, Brett0.06100
Leonard, Justin0.06000
Blixt, Jonas0.06000
Killeen, JJ0.06000
Reeves, Seth0.06000
Loupe, Andrew0.06000
ALL OTHERS0.0

These projections for The Byron Nelson are accurate as of 6:39 EST. Top Tier Golfers will show a higher % by lock.

My picks for The Byron Nelson by AT&T

Top Tier: DJ

Mid Tier: Vegas, Gooch

Low Tier: Munoz

Out in Left Play: Wolff

Frisky Risky Biscuit Play: * In Discord later Tonight ! *Risky

FR Leader: Spieth

FR Leader: Munoz (Contrarian)

Be sure to check out Spenser’s and Stix’s Bettor Golf podcast on Anchor at Spotify. Stix had to work at his real 40 hour job this week, (not the hundred hours he pours over his ‘hobby” which is DFS sports).Spencer did an admirable job on his own coming in at just over 17 minutes, if you want to double your DK cash account, spent 17 minutes and listen to this podcast, pure manna from heaven, and a good way to increase that bankroll.

Don’t miss out on the very popular and fun PGA DraftCast with Joel, (Joe Nicely from RB subbed for Sia, did an excellent job) and Spencer (golf writer of the year) and you, the audience, every Tuesday night at 8:00 EST!

STOP THE PRESSES ! You won’t believe this but we now have DEKI- GATE, Sia was on a plane last night so he missed the livestream, kind of. He weighed in and helped the audience from 40,000 feet until it got to the last two picks, first it was Deki/ Wu, then after much hand wringing, Joel, benevolent Joel, scratched those two picks and allowed the audience to pick Adam Scott and Patton Kizzire. Then he got jumped on for allowing the change and anarchy prevailed. New rules for next week: No boxing gloves or gladiator weapons allowed on the livestream! Everyone is going to see who would have done better during the tourney, who is your choice ? Would you take Deki/ Dylan Wu or Scott/Kizzire? Let us know in Discord! The over under on Lindsay using caps and exclamation points was a paltry 225, everyone chose over. There was an alleged producer from ESPN 30/30 wanting to get involved, and Ivan proclaimed who he wanted to play himself in the upcoming Deki-Gate movie, and we all agreed Ryan Reynolds should play Sia’s part because…the hair, the looks. By the way, say Happy Birthday to Sia in Discord regardless of what pair you wanted. He works tirelessly and is dedicated to making Win Daily Sports, and especially the Win Daily Golf content the best on the planet. Happy Birthday Mr. Hair!

As always, I hope to be with you on Sunday afternoon, in the money. You can also come and hang out in the Win Daily Sports Discord Chat to talk it out with everyone before the lock!

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This week we are at another first time venue for The Wells Fargo at TPC Potomac. The venue did host the Quicken Loans National back in 2017 and 2018 so if you like history that’s five years old you have plenty of data. This course rewards accuracy more than driving distance so it’s not how far you can smoke the ball from the tee, its how many fairways you can hit and then be accurate with the expected long (175-200) approach shots. The rough is 3+ inches thick and will be soaked from local rain. This course has been rated the third and fourth toughest venue back when it was Quicken, it will need to be played conservatively and it will be no birdie fest. The smart players will accept the long approach to the middle of the green and hope for a 20-25 foot birdie, the others will go for the pin and find impossible angles and a penal rough that will send them packing by the weekend. With only two par fives on the course patience and playing for the occasional birdie seem to be the recipe for success.

One of the anomalies our AI program came up with is that the one and only top ten player at Quicken who lost strokes putting was Ryan Palmer. Strokes gained ball striking and in the short game can offset putting on this bent grass just in case you have a team no putt golfer you just have to roster. Molinari went gonzo four years ago, gaining strokes in all four categories and hitting 90% of the fairways all week. I’ll offer 3 to 1 money for any amount he doesn’t duplicate that this week…or this year, though I do wish him well. Rory is the only top 10 player to tee it up this week along with top 50 OWGR players Ancer, Casey, Conners, Finau, Fitzpatrick, Hatton, Henley, Leishman, and Webb Simpson.

NOTE** Paul Casey withdrew from the Pro-Am today because of back issues and said he would try to tee it up tomorrow. Someone needs to tell him last place doesn’t pay anything here, there’s no Masters dinner either, so he might as well pack it in.

Lets take a look at The The Wells Fargo Final Ownership Projections to help you choose your player pools and roster selections.

OWNERSHIP PROJECTION
PLAYEROWN %SALARY
Conners, Corey24.610100
Henley, Russell20.29300
Young, Cameron19.88000
McIlroy, Rory17.911500
Homa, Max17.68600
Fitzpatrick, Mathew16.710000
Straka, Sepp16.67600
Woodland, Gary16.39100
Bradley, Keegan15.89600
Dahmen, Joel14.77600
Kim, Si Woo14.68400
Mitchell, Keith14.57800
Simpson, Webb12.48100
Harman, Brian12.37700
Garcia, Sergio11.98700
Finau, Tony11.810600
Pan, CT11.47500
Kucher, Matt11.37900
Laird, Martin11.27100
Hatton, Tyrrell10.99900
Long, Adam10.97400
Ancer, Abraham10.810400
NeSmith, Matthew10.77600
Power, Seamus10.48300
Ghim, Doug9.37800
Armour, Ryan9.26800
Streelman, Kevin8.97700
Vegas, Jhonattan8.77800
Casey, Paul8.68800
Leishman, Marc8.49700
Rai, Aaron8.37900
Knox, Russell7.97300
Davis, Cameron7.47200
Glover, Lucas7.37200
Wu, Brandon 7.27500
List, Luke6.97100
Merritt, Troy6.87500
Duncan, Tyler6.46900
Lahiri, Anirban5.97400
Steele, Brendan5.97300
Smotherman, Austin5.86800
Smalley, Alex 5.47300
Lashley, Nate5.47000
Lipsky, David5.37500
Svensson, Adam5.16900
Reed, Patrick4.39000
Stuard, Brian4.26900
McCarthy, Denny3.97300
Hubbard, Mark3.87100
Griffin, Lanto3.77600
Seiffert, Chase3.66500
Schwab, Matthias 3.57200
Buckley, Hayden3.46500
Kodaira, Satoshi3.46400
Redman, Doc3.27000
Kitayama, Kurt 3.17200
Sigg, Greyson 3.17000
Taylor, Vaughn3.06300
Reavie, Chez2.96700
Hossler, Beau2.77100
Molinari, Francesco2.57400
Poston,  JT2.47100
Day, Jason2.38200
Grace, Branden2.27000
Jones, Matt2.17700
Fowler, Rickie2.17400
Malnati, Peter2.16600
Percy, Cameron2.06300
Frittelli, Dylan1.97300
Hughes, Mackenzie1.97000
Chappell, Kevin1.86700
Taylor, Nick1.86600
Kang, Sung1.76900
Lee, KH1.76900
Piercy, Scott1.66900
Huh, John1.56500
Ryder, Sam1.46800
Hodges, Lee 1.46800
Norlander, Henrik1.36300
Barjon, Paul1.36200
Bramlett, Joseph1.26700
Wu, Dylan1.26500
Sabbatini, Rory1.16700
Novak, Andrew1.16500
Lingmerth, David1.16100
Schwartzel, Charl1.06600
Hoffman, Charley1.06400
Cink, Stewart0.97200
Garnett, Brice0.96500
Ramey, Chad0.96800
Moore, Taylor0.97100
Jaeger, Stephan 0.86900
Mullinax, Trey0.86500
Donald, Luke0.86400
Martin, Ben0.86300
Byrd, Jonathan0.86300
Hoag, Bo0.76300
Wolff, Mathew0.77000
Putnam, Andrew0.76700
Hickok, Kramer0.76700
Lebioda, Hank0.76600
Schenk, Adam0.76600
Whaley, Vincent0.76200
Herman, Jim0.66200
Wallace, Matt0.66600
Higgs, Harry0.66600
Johnson, Zack0.56800
Bryan, Wesley0.56400
Hadley, Chesson0.56200
Blaum, Ryan0.56100
Nimmer, Bryson 0.46200
Watney, Nick0.46200
Thompson, Michael0.46600
Lee, Danny0.46700
Haas, Bill0.46500
Wolfe, Jared0.46100
Cook, Austin0.46000
Werenski, Richy0.46200
Aphibarnrat, Kiradech0.36700
Uihlein, Peter0.36500
Lower, Justin0.36400
McGreevy, Max0.36100
Tarren, Callum0.36400
Villegas, Camilo0.36300
Gutschewski, Scott0.36100
Hoffmann, Morgan0.36000
Pettit, Turk0.36000
Van Pelt, Bo0.26000
Knous, Jim0.26000
Gligic, Michael0.26100
Hahn, James0.26400
Hagy, Brandon0.26300
Trainer, Martin0.26200
Nesbitt, Drew0.26100
Thompson, Nicholas0.26000
Reeves, Seth0.16100
Baddeley, Aaron0.16200
Kohles, Ben0.16400
Tway, Kevin0.16400
Thompson, Curtis0.16300
Kraft, Kelly0.16200
McGirt, William0.16000
Odom, Jr., Gregory0.16000
Xiong, Norman0.16000
Sloan, Roger0.16300
Gainey, Tommy 0.06300
Skinns, David0.06100
Drewitt, Brett0.06100
Creel, Joshua0.06100
Wagner, Johnson0.06100
Matthews, Brandon0.06000
Van Der Walt, Dawie0.06000
Blixt, Jonas0.06000
Gross, Larkin0.06000
ALL OTHERS0.0

These projections for The Wells Fargo are accurate as of 6:27 EST. Top Tier Golfers will show a higher % by lock.

My picks for The Wells Fargo Championship

Top Tier: Conners

Mid Tier: Bradley

Low Tier: Mitchell/ Vegas

Out in Left Play: Sung Kang

Frisky Risky Biscuit Play: * In Discord later Tonight ! *Risky

FR Leader: Vegas

FR Leader: Armour (Contrarian)

Be sure to check out Spenser’s and Stix’s Bettor Golf podcast on Anchor at Spotify. Last week I made a point of singling out Trey Mullinax who Spencer and Stix both liked. No other podcast was high on him, there was no industry buzz, he was low owned and he crushed it. One of the players they like this week is Lucas Glover. It’s plays like this that can get you over the top, leverage your big GPP contest and get you in the money, week after week. It’s very simple, go to the Bettor Golf podcast, listen, cash your contest ticket. Repeat as often as needed.

Don’t miss out on the very popular and fun PGA DraftCast with Sia, Joel and Spencer (golf writer of the year) and you, the audience, every Tuesday night at 8:00 EST. Last night the audience had some passionate pleas for picking certain players as the audience was embolden by their convincing victory last week, if they win again this week there might be a security issue next week where one of the members jumps into the livestream, just like last night when Dave Chappelle was attacked by a ticketholder at the Hollywood Bowl at the end of a performance. Chris Rock walked out from backstage and said, “hey was that Will Smith?” Don’t miss next weeks livestream episode when alleged guest star Amber Heard shows Johnny Depp how to turn their bed into a toilet.

Everyone, I just got a close up look at the rough on the course this week. It’s at least 3 to 3.5 inches tall or more, it’s thick and wet from the rains. Think accuracy on drives and on long iron approach shots. There is a distinct advantage to the Thursday afternoon Friday morning tee times as mentioned by our new staff member Deep Dive Dave in the DraftCast last night, this gentleman from New Zealand has some serious golf chops and will be a welcome addition to our dedicated staff. Say hi to Dave when you have a chance in Discord!

As always, I hope to be with you on Sunday afternoon, in the money. You can also come and hang out in the Win Daily Sports Discord Chat to talk it out with everyone before the lock!

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This week we are at Vidante for The Mexico Open, this tourney should be listed as John Rahm and…others. Daniel Berger withdrew which means by lock we could be looking at a top tier golfer with 38-50% ownership, he would be a must for cash games and a mistake for large GPP’s, at his price and ownership he must win to have your screen go green.

There are other golfers ready and able to win this week, pricing is very tight with the lack of firepower other than Rahm and there is no course history with the new venue. The grass is very sticky, it also balloons a bit to protect itself from the salt in the sea air. We won’t see a lot of roll off of the tees and it does negate poor putting by a small margin. The second shot approach from mid to long distance will be most important, this is a Greg Norman course with no rough although they added about sixty bunkers to lower scoring, and if the winds don’t come in to affect birdies and Eagles it will be a resort style scoring fest. Our program is suggesting -26 as the winning score.

Last week my top pick to win the Zurich was Cantlay/Schauffele which puts me four for six in my last six top plays. It’s nowhere near Sia territory with his FRL’s and insane Secret Weapon percentage, although I like the fact that the hard work put in by everyone has the models and programs rounding into form. It’s time to make money. Serious money.

UPDATE: It looks like Rahm will be close to 40% and Woodland has emerged as the number two most popular player at 23%. Both are a hard fade for us this week. They would both have to finish 1-2 to have a shot at a takedown in the big GPPs. They are perfect cash plays you can compliment with the lower tier players listed below and also Sia’s, Joel’s, Spencer’s and Isaiah’s picks as well.

Lets take a look at The The Mexico Open Final Ownership Projections to help you with your roster selections.

OWNERSHIP PROJECTION
PLAYEROWN %SALARY
Rahm, John36.711300
Woodland, Gary22.89900
Wise, Aaron17.89500
Finau, Tony16.710400
Kirk, Chris15.49600
Munoz, Sebastian15.29800
Jones, Matt12.39000
Smotherman, Austin12.27800
Tringale, Cameron11.89700
Pan, CT11.58100
Stallings, Scott11.47700
Duncan, Tyler11.37200
Clark, Wyndham10.97600
Hubbard, Mark10.68000
Smalley, Alex 10.67400
Ancer, Abraham10.410300
Howell III, Charlie10.38400
Ramey, Chad10.27900
Long, Adam9.67800
Griffin, Lanto9.38300
Rai, Aaron9.28700
Lahiri, Anirban8.97900
Svensson, Adam8.87300
Seiffert, Chase8.77100
Champ, Cameron8.49400
Lashley, Nate8.37500
Na, Kevin8.210100
Riley, Davis 8.18500
Uihlein, Peter8.17000
Theegala, Sahith7.98800
Bramlett, Joseph7.87100
Ghim, Doug7.48900
Whaley, Vincent7.36800
Taylor, Nick7.27100
Reed, Patrick6.910000
Knox, Russell6.99200
Lipsky, David6.87700
Poston,  JT6.77500
Rodgers, Patrick6.47600
Kitayama, Kurt 6.37100
Perez, Pat6.37500
Wu, Brandon 6.17300
Streelman, Kevin5.99100
Ortiz, Carlos5.88600
Lee, Danny5.77100
Garrigus, Robert5.66600
Flavin, Patrick5.36500
Tarren, Callum5.26700
Streb, Robert4.97000
Taylor, Vaughn4.86900
Moore, Taylor4.78200
Wu, Dylan4.76600
Todd, Brendon4.69300
Armour, Ryan4.46900
Schenk, Adam3.96900
Buckley, Hayden3.66800
Gutschewski, Scott3.46500
Mullinax, Trey3.46800
Stuard, Brian3.37300
Grillo, Emiliano3.27200
Brown, Scott2.96400
Barjon, Paul2.86500
Hickok, Kramer2.67200
Nimmer, Bryson 2.56300
Wolfe, Jared2.46200
Dufner, Jason2.26400
Donald, Luke2.26800
Martin, Ben2.26900
McDowell, Graeme2.17100
Lingmerth, David1.96200
Thompson, Michael1.87200
Garnett, Brice1.86700
Baddeley, Aaron1.76700
Aphibarnrat, Kiradech1.76900
Piercy, Scott1.77200
Huh, John1.67000
Hodges, Lee 1.66900
Novak, Andrew1.66700
Bryan, Wesley1.66600
Hagy, Brandon1.66400
Wallace, Matt1.57000
Cabrera-Bello, Rafa1.57400
Putnam, Andrew1.57000
Hoag, Bo1.46600
Malnati, Peter1.46900
Lebioda, Hank1.46700
Reeves, Seth1.46400
Trainer, Martin1.46300
Lower, Justin1.36800
Tway, Kevin1.36500
Werenski, Richy1.36400
Haas, Bill1.26700
Thompson, Curtis1.16700
Noh, Seung-Yul1.16300
Sloan, Roger1.06600
Trahan, DJ1.06200
Hahn, James0.96800
Griffin, Ben0.96600
Kodaira, Satoshi0.86500
Jaeger, Stephan 0.76500
Villegas, Camilo0.66600
Kohles, Ben0.56500
Diaz, Roberto0.56200
Murray, Grayson0.56100
McGreevy, Max0.46400
Benitez, Isidro 0.36000
Reavie, Chez0.36800
Gligic, Michael0.36400
Hearn, David0.36300
Van Pelt, Bo0.36200
Knous, Jim0.36100
Kraft, Kelly0.36000
Atwal, Arjun0.26100
Byrd, Jonathan0.26200
Kang, Sung0.26600
Cook, Austin0.26500
Blaum, Ryan0.26300
Ortiz, Alvaro0.26300
Van Der Walt, Dawie0.26100
Kang, Jeffrey0.26100
Hensby, Mark0.26100
Chalmers, Greg0.26100
Bae, Sangmoon 0.26000
Gomez, Fabian0.16400
Creel, Joshua0.16400
Skinns, David0.16300
Pettit, Turk0.16300
Favela, Armando0.16200
Drewitt, Brett0.16200
Barnes, Ricky0.16100
Wagner, Johnson0.16200
Crane, Ben0.16100
Points, DA0.16000
Every, Matt0.16000
Gainey, Tommy 0.06300
Blixt, Jonas0.06100
Johnson, Richard 0.06100
Willman, Ben0.06000
Ernst, Derek0.06000
ALL OTHERS0.06000

These projections for The Mexican Open are accurate as of 6:12 EST. Top Tier Golfers will show a higher % by lock.

My picks for The Mexican Open

Top Tier: Wise

Mid Tier: Stallings

Low Tier: Bramlett

Out in Left Play: Lashley

Frisky Risky Biscuit Play: * In Discord later Tonight ! *Risky

FR Leader: Munoz

FR Leader: Barjon (contrarian)

Be sure to check out Spenser’s and Stix’s Bettor Golf podcast on Anchor at Spotify. They almost made it under 40 minutes last night, Spencer added some great NFL Draft value positions, the one I like most is the stud DB Stingley going before the 10th pick. Are you listening Houston? Spencer and Stix had some scorching top 40 through top 20 golf plays, outrights and first round leaders (along with T. Mullinax). These two gents are pure ATM machines, if you listen and follow their stream, you will be plus money.

Don’t miss out on the very popular and fun PGA DraftCast with Sia, Joel and Spencer (golf writer of the year) and you, the audience, every Tuesday night at 8:00 EST. Each of the teams picked were different in roster construction, stars and scrubs, balanced, hail mary’s and upside versus volatility, and there was even some attempted good natured poaching but Joel, as program chief/ringmaster, caught it in time. Sia was allegedly accused of concentrating on the NFL Draft when he wanted a golfer the audience had already picked, when his next choice was Aidan Hutchinson we just figured he was some 6K golfer who won the qualifier on Monday to get into the tourney. Ivan was trying to vote in Poston for the audience and he had been snapped up by Spencer. It was the first time ever I can remember people being elated and disappointed over J.T. Poston.

Sia will be back this week with his Secret Weapon (dun dun dun) who’s winning percentage is just sick for the toughest rules to qualify for, and his molten hot FRLs and Outright golf winners continue to amaze us all. The SW will be released tomorrow night along with my Frisky Risky Biscuit play, and Spencer’s Tee Off Sports will have an article tomorrow evening along with my ownership piece. Sia, Joel, Spencer, Stix, Isaiah, and I will be in Discord to bring you the best and latest intel on everything golf from weather to offshore betting markets to help you make the decisions that make you money!

As always, I hope to be with you on Sunday afternoon, in the money. You can also come and hang out in the Win Daily Sports Discord Chat to talk it out with everyone before the lock!

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How well do you know your partner? Well enough to win The Zurich Classic ?

Do you know the partners well enough to take down the 200K first prize on DraftKings? Come on in! We have warm cookies at the bottom of this article! EDITORS NOTE: (We don’t have any damn cookies) Sorry everyone, I tried.

This format is about as foreign as it gets for PGA tourneys. The key strategy is to make sure you do not roster the same two golfers that are paired up, the reason is they BOTH get the same points when you pick just one of the two. Key strategy will be to find the golfers when paired up that play to each others strengths, and when playing alternate shot, can mitigate their partners weakness. Jonas Blixt won this in 2017, he’s normally a 6000 salary player, usually an alternate that squeaked by in the qualifier type of golfer. How did he win? Cam Smith was his partner. Give me Scottie Scheffler as my partner and I bet we don’t come in last, and no bet over $3.00. I am a realist. In reality there have been a diverse group of champions make it to the top at The Zurich Classic. This is a long course, so drivers, accurate drivers, may have an edge, approach and around the green as well as putting, birdie % and bogey avoidance will factor in as well.

As far as ownership we can get you close, the top tier will be extremely high owned. You have a team like Cantlay/Schauffele with no glaring weakness. Some will pick Cantlay because they play him regularly, I had him picked to win last week and he lost to Spieth in a playoff. Some prefer Xander so you add in that ownership on top of Patricks. We all know Scottie has won 4 of 6 tourneys, he is ranked #1 and rightly so. His partner Ryan palmer is ranked 75th, he missed the cut at the Masters, shot a 77 at The Valero and carded an 80 at The Players. he averages 1.4 bad rounds per tourney, that’s almost 27 holes. It would be like Scottie trying to beat Michael Phelps in the 100 meter freestyle with an anchor tied around his neck. He is from Dallas, TX and Scottie lives in Austin which may help as far as team cohesion. There are 80 teams entered, only 33 and ties make the weekend so it’s important to make the cut.

Odds are good that you can expect a playoff between two teams, rostering both goes a long way to making you and your bank account look good this week.

Lets take a look at The The Zurich Classic Final Ownership Projections to help you with your roster selections.

OWNERSHIP PROJECTION
PLAYEROWN %SALARY
Morikawa/Hovland26.610700
Schauffele/Cantlay23.910400
Scheffler/Palmer22.99700
Horschel/Burns22.810000
Smith/Leishman21.710200
Niemann/Pereira20.69200
Homa/Gooch19.69100
Garcia/Fleetwood18.59400
McNealy/Bramlett17.67700
Im/An16.38700
Zalatoris/Riley15.48900
Lowry/Poulter14.69500
Hadwin/Svensson14.38000
Straka/Sigg13.98300
Bradley/Steele13.78500
Willett/Hatton13.48800
Laird/MacIntyre13.28000
Watson/Varner11.49000
Kisner/Brown10.77600
Tringale/Clark10.67800
McDowell/Power10.48600
NeSmith/Moore9.97400
Noren/Norlander9.87500
Mitchell/Snedeker8.97900
Theegala/Hossler8.97500
Ghim/Schwab8.77700
Streb/Merrittt8.67800
Todd/Kirk8.58200
Kizzire/Poston8.28400
Redman/Ryder8.17100
Rai/Lipsky7.87400
Higgs/Smotherman7.67100
Schwartzel/Bezuidenhout7.17900
Stuard/Knox6.97500
Hoge/Barjon6.97000
Stenson/Rose6.78100
Smalley/Buckley6.67000
Day/Scrivener6.47600
Garnett/Stallings6.37200
Duncan/Schenk6.27100
Brehm/ Hubbard4.76600
Lebioda/Seiffert4.56800
Werenski/Uihlein4.46900
Hodges/Whaley4.26700
Glover/Reavie4.17400
Watney/Hoffman3.97000
Horsfield/Wallace3.87200
Rodgers/Wu3.66900
Dahmen/Jaeger3.47300
McCarthy/Kohles3.47200
Herbert/Atwal3.36700
Herman/Taylor3.26400
Long/Hoag3.16800
Cabrera-Bello/Grillo2.97300
Kitayama/Aphibarnrat2.66800
Hagy/Percy2.66600
Grace/Higgo2.37300
Hahn/Chappell2.26700
Piercy/O’Hair2.16900
Tarren/Skinns2.06100
Ramey/Creel1.76500
Stanley/Villegas1.56400
McGreevy/Novak1.46600
Mullinax/Bryan1.46300
Lower/Wu1.46300
Kang/Huh1.36500
Noh/Kim1.36300
Cook/Dufner1.36100
Reevers/Wolfe1.26200
Thompson/Hardy1.26500
Lee/Bae1.16400
Tway/Kraft1.16200
Hadley/Byrd0.96200
Gainey/Garrigus0.86100
Gligic/Armour0.76200
Van Pelt/Martin0.66100
Trainer/Knous0.46000
Van Der Walt/Drewitt0.26000
Haas/Haas0.16000
Gutschewski/Points0.06000

These projections are accurate as of 5:59 EST. Top Tier Golfers will show a higher % by lock.

My picks for The Zurich Classic

Top Tier: Cantlay/ Schauffele

Mid Tier: Pereira/Niemann

Low Tier: Streb/Merritt

Out in Left Play: NeSmith/Moore

Frisky Risky Biscuit Play: * In Discord later Tonight ! *Risky

FR Leader: Garcia/Fleetwood

FR Leader: Hovland/Morikawa

Be sure to check out Spenser’s and Stix’s Bettor Golf podcast on Anchor at Spotify. They are both taking the week off because they’ve won so much money but you can catch their podcast next Tuesday night.

Don’t miss out on the very popular and fun PGA DraftCast with Sia, Joel and Spencer (golf writer of the year) every Tuesday night at 8:00 EST. They did not have a DraftCast Tuesday night due to the unusual format and Sia having one single hair out of place on those luxurious locks.

As always, I hope to be with you on Sunday afternoon, in the money. You can also come and hang out in the Win Daily Sports Discord Chat to talk it out with everyone before the lock!

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What kind of jacket goes to the RBC Heritage winner ? Who’s the winner? Come on in.

The winner of the RBC Heritage gets a red plaid jacket that would make a used car salesman green with envy. They have managed to make it a top level tourney which is difficult coming the week after the Masters. Speaking of the Masters, I spent about 18 hours a day on programs and projections, this week I am making it up to my wife with two weeks on Marco Island courtesy of Draft Kings takedowns. This will be a somewhat condensed report simply because I don’t have to sleep with any of you or hire some stranger to taste my food every night.

Lets take a look at The RBC Heritage Final Ownership Projections to help you with your roster selections.

OWNERSHIP PROJECTION
PLAYEROWN %SALARY
Morikawa, Collin22.310200
Hadwin, Adam21.87600
Fitzpatrick, Mathew21.39500
Henley, Russell20.39000
Lowry, Shane17.89800
Niemann, Joaquin16.39100
Thomas, Justin16.211100
Hoge, Tom15.47600
McNealy, Maverick14.87900
Berger, Daniel14.69600
Noren, Alex14.58300
Conners, Corey14.39700
Smith, Cameron14.210800
Simpson, Webb13.48800
Kirk, Chris12.98000
Na, Kevin12.47800
Cantlay, Patrick11.910000
Im, Sungjae11.89300
Kucher, Matt11.87800
Fleetwood, Tommy11.28200
Kim, Si Woo10.98400
Kisner, Kevin10.98100
Streelman, Kevin10.97500
Spaun, JJ10.77300
Knox, Russell10.47300
Johnson, Dustin9.710500
Harman, Brian9.67700
Hatton, Tyrrell9.48600
Varner III, Harold9.38500
Horschel, Billy8.98700
Kokrak, Jason8.17900
NeSmith, Matthew7.96600
McCarthy, Denny7.47200
Straka, Sepp7.17200
Pereira, Mito6.87700
Dahmen, Joel6.46800
Merritt, Troy6.47400
Howell III, Charlie5.97100
Spieth, Jordan5.89200
Stuard, Brian5.86700
Frittelli, Dylan5.47400
Glover, Lucas5.17200
Kizzire, Patton4.97100
Wise, Aaron4.87100
Lashley, Nate4.86700
Van Rooyen, Erik4.67300
Bryan, Wesley4.46100
Cink, Stewart4.37200
Poulter, Ian4.27500
List, Luke4.17400
Pan, CT4.17000
Svensson, Adam3.96400
Donald, Luke3.96300
Young, Cameron3.87500
Todd, Brendon3.86800
Riley, Davis 3.67000
Ghim, Doug3.56900
Hossler, Beau3.36800
Thompson, Michael3.36500
Theegala, Sahith3.27100
Tringale, Cameron2.97000
Lahiri, Anirban2.77100
Grillo, Emiliano2.76700
Griffin, Lanto2.66800
Snedeker, Brandt2.66800
Poston,  JT2.36600
Davis, Cameron2.26800
Stallings, Scott2.17000
Taylor, Nick2.06600
Smalley, Alex 1.96600
Norlander, Henrik1.96100
Stenson, Henrik1.86500
Furyk, Jim1.76300
Swafford, Hudson1.76500
Perez, Pat1.76400
Hughes, Mackenzie1.66900
Hickok, Kramer1.66500
Willett, Danny1.56900
Fowler, Rickie1.47000
Redman, Doc1.46400
Kodaira, Satoshi1.36400
Ramey, Chad1.26700
Higgs, Harry1.16600
Duncan, Tyler1.06200
Garnett, Brice0.96200
Grace, Branden0.96700
Lee, KH0.86700
Villegas, Camilo0.76100
Long, Adam0.76400
Martin, Ben0.76200
Johnson, Zack0.66500
Kanaya, Takumi0.66300
Reavie, Chez0.56300
Schwartzel, Charl0.56600
Nimmer, Bryson 0.56100
Hoffman, Charley0.46900
Ortiz, Carlos0.46900
Bramlett, Joseph0.46500
Ryder, Sam0.46400
Malnati, Peter0.46200
Jaeger, Stephan 0.46100
Hadley, Chesson0.46000
Lee, Danny0.36300
Higgo, Garrick0.36500
Putnam, Andrew0.36400
Clark, Wyndham0.36300
McDowell, Graeme0.36300
Schenk, Adam0.36200
Streb, Robert0.36200
Watney, Nick0.36100
Byrd, Jonathan0.36000
Gay, Brian0.26000
Herman, Jim0.26000
Kang, Sung0.26100
Piercy, Scott0.26300
Haas, Bill0.26300
Hahn, James0.26000
McGirt, William0.26000
Piot, James (a)0.26000
DeNeen, Morgan0.16000
Tway, Kevin0.16000
Brown, Scott0.16000
Werenski, Richy0.16100
Hagy, Brandon0.16100
Lebioda, Hank0.16200
Sloan, Roger0.16200
Hoffmann, Morgan0.16000
Trainer, Martin0.16000
Brehm, Ryan0.06100
Gligic, Michael0.06000
Love III, Davis0.06000

These projections are accurate as of 17:42 EST, chalk will be higher by lock in the upper tiers.

*EVERYONE*: There is extremely high ownership in the 7K range. The following golfers are at 5% or less.

Poulter, Young, List, Merritt, Frittelli, EVR, Glover, Wise, Lahiri.

The following are over leveraged- Hadwin 22%, Hoge 16%. McNealy 15%. Na 12.5%. Kuchar 12%. Streelman 11% Spaun and Knox 10.5-11%. Harman 10%

You may play some of the higher chalk in the 7K range, just know it’s harder to gain leverage on the field when you have 7 K golfers in the 15-20% and over range.

My picks for The RBC Heritage

Top Tier: Cantlay (Contrarian) Niemann

Mid Tier: Fitzpatrick (Contrarian) Fleetwood

Low Tier: Noren (Contrarian) Stuard

Out in Left Play: Kisner

Frisky Risky Biscuit Play: * In Discord later Tonight ! *Risky

FR Leader: Dahmen

FR Leader: (Contrarian) Horschel

Be sure to check out Spenser’s and Stix (on Honeymoon duty) Bettor Golf podcast on Anchor at Spotify. Don’t miss out on the very popular and fun PGA DraftCast with Sia, Joel, Spencer (golf writer of the year) and this weeks guest Andy Lack. Find out who the experts will try and roster and who the audience will pick for their six man DK teams. It’s every Tuesday at 800 pm EST and offers intel and analysis on rostering the teams that can help you cash and take down your favorite tourney.

As always, I hope to be with you on Sunday afternoon, in the money. You can also come and hang out in the Win Daily Sports Discord Chat to talk it out with everyone before the lock!

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