the masters

Welcome to The Wells Fargo Championship Final Ownership Projections, brought to you by WinDailySports.com, this week we are at Quail Hollow for the tourney, where the 16,17,and the 18th hole aren’t just one of the toughest closes, but THE toughest of any and all the PGA venues. Again, Corey Conners, Bryson Dechambeau, Webb Simpson and Jon Rahm are all top favorites to win. Driving Distance and approach are the keys to unlocking this course. Short hitters have also done well so don’t count them out. Every aspect of the game will be necessary to close out the competition and be the best in the field.

Last week was a negative week for me, first one in 6 weeks. I dropped 680.00 in contest fees at the Valspar, which is O.K., sort of, it’s DK money to begin with, I’m still playing on their dime. I had a choice between picking Streelman or Bradley who we had been tracking for several weeks for a breakthrough. I chose Streelman, and I had two others finish even, 1 stroke away from making the cut. My stats engineer, when I asked him what he thought said, “you pay me to get you the best stats, what you decipher after that is all on you, you pay the bills.” That is one smart engineer. One of those players was Doug Ghim, who I had a friendly wager with Patrick “Sharps” Scott on, he took Denny “putts” McCarthy for a 20.00 fun bet. McCarthy finished -1, Ghim finished E. When I payed Mr. Scott he informed me that the drinks were on me, they were out bowling and taking a shot of an adult beverage every single frame. I understand that today that damages are being determined allegedly for bowling balls that ended up in the juke box, the margarita machine, and a 7-10 split was tried between a Volkswagon and a Caddy out in the parking lot. What could possibly go awry after a friendly 3 game set between friends, besides 30 shots of that adult beverage.

Win Daily has articles available now on money and game management for those of you who can’t dip in the DK fund for more ammo to buy teams with. If you are just starting out, or have a limited budget, take the time to read the articles.

Right now, Stoweby, one of our best contributors, has a game and money management piece that just hit last night. We are trying to share our knowledge of what makes you a bankroll, and much more importantly, how to keep it. For example, I have limited my entry fees this week to a bit more than half of last week, sometimes if we have a total wreck for a weekend we tend to go on “tilt” and try and double up or try and spend more to make more, it’s based on emotions more than fiscal responsibility, this is an instant bankroll killing method, and I strongly advise against it ever being a part of your process for making money.

Making money and keeping it is what we at Win Daily Sports are all about, lets get to the Wells Fargo Championship Final Ownership Projections.

These figures are accurate as of 17:32 CST. Chalk may be slightly higher by lock.

These are my picks for the Wells Fargo Championship

Top Tier: John Rahm

Mid Tier: Patrick Cantlay, Tony Finau, Vic Hovland

Low Tier: Carlos Ortiz, Matt Jones, C Davis

Out in Left Play: J. Vegas

Frisky Risky Biscuit Play: Luke List * *Risky

Thank you again for reviewing this article, we sure do appreciate it. I’ll be in the Discord Channel after this article comes out to answer any questions. Please review the articles by Sia, Patrick and Antonio to help determine your picks and lineups.

Do not forget that Sia’s Secret Weapon will be unleashed upon the Discord faithful later on tonight! Guys, Sia hit with Kyle Stanley last week, for a 34-6 record. Do you realize he is hitting a 6K, nobody owned pick at 85% winners ? Ask any bookie who they know or have known that hit 85% winners after 40 weeks, not 4 weeks, not beginners luck, but after almost a year of golf, and ask if they know someone that has to pick a heavy underdog every single week. It is a truly remarkable feat. Tonight. Another Secret Weapon. From Super Sia. In Discord !!!

As always, I hope to be with you on Sunday afternoon, in the money. You can also come and hang out in the Win Daily Sports Discord Chat to talk it out with everyone before the lock!

SicilyKid/ Steven

Welcome to The Valspar Championship Final Ownership Projections, brought to you by WinDailySports.com, this week we are back in Florida for the tourney at Copperhead, one of the toughest PGA courses that’s not a major or WGC, Justin Thomas, Dustin Johnson, Paul Casey and Corey Conners are all top favorites to win. Accuracy and approach are the keys to taming this pit viper of a course, where holes 16, 17 and 18, known as the snake pit, have made grown PGA golfers cry.

We talk about actionable data, and i have some for you. Conners, Kokrak and Kirk are the chalk in this contest, no matter what format you are playing in, DO NOT roster all 3 in the same lineup. There is a better than 22% chance that one makes the top 20, any two drops that to less than 14 %, and all 3 drops it to less than 4%, which means if you play all 3, you have a 96% chance of giving away your entry fee. Numerical advantages (pivots) are Rose, Scheffler, and Oosti.

Last night on the podcast Sia and Joel were discussing how powerful their outright plays were, in fact they were discussing betting their parents mortgage on the winner, and how selfish it would be to not take advantage of such an opportunity, followed by where they would stay should the unthinkable happen and the bet not pay off. It got down to where inflatable mattresses on sale for $50.00 would be a viable answer, as well as parking the mattresses in that little cubbyhole under the stairs. “well, mom and dad, sorry it didn’t work out, here’s your new digs, which you have to share with Snuffles the cat, don’t pay any attention to the hairballs or shedding, and if she yaks all over your mattress, they are washable, if you don’t mind, just throw a load of my clothes in as well.” It’s wonderful to know that your children have a backup plan in case things go south. Going south gets you to Palm Harbor, home of the Copperhead course, where ownership can mean the difference between life altering money and a yak filled hairball mattress. Let’s take a look at the Valspar Ownership Projections.

These are my picks for the Valspar Championship

Top Tier: Patrick Reed

Mid Tier: Rose, Scheffler

Low Tier: Moore, Reavie

Out in Left Play: Watson

Frisky Risky Biscuit Play: Horsfield *Risky

Thanks so much for reviewing this article, we sure do appreciate it. I’ll be in the Discord Channel after this article comes out to answer any questions. Please review the articles by Sia, Patrick and Antonio to help determine your picks and lineups. Do not forget that Sia’s Secret Weapon will be unleashed upon the Discord faithful later on tonight !

As always, I hope to be with you on Sunday afternoon, in the money. You can also come and hang out in the Win Daily Sports Discord Chat to talk it out with everyone before the lock!

SicilyKid/ Steven

Welcome to The Zurich Classic Final Ownership Projections, brought to you by WinDailySports.com, the teams of Rham/Palmer, Cantlay/Schauffele, and Morikawa/Wolf are all top favorites to win. The first two teams mentioned above will be heavily owned.

Due to the changes brought about by Draftkings for the team format, we will not have ownership projections, what we do have is information on the teams ability to make the cut and will present that. Our ownership accuracy would have been around 36% for this format, we stay in the 96.9 to 99+ % for all our ownership projections and will have the solid numbers you expect next week when stroke play resumes. I have some associates out west who spent 28 hours straight trying to bring you the right numbers, we will not ask you to risk your hard earned money for just a 1 in 3 guess.

The following represents the percentage for a team to make the cut, not all teams are listed, the ones closest to the 50% to make the cut are as follows:

Harrington/Putnam 45.92% to make the cut

Taylor/Hojgaard 46.75%

Martin/Hadley 47.84%

Merritt/Streb 48.27%

Hossler/Hoge 48.34%

Hoffman/Watney 50.27%

Baddeley/Sloan 50.33%

Piercy/Bhatia 50.71%

Duncan/Schenk 50.87%

Kisner/Brown 50.98%

Jones/Spaun 51.08%

Teater/Straka 52.41%

Stanley/Lee 52.48%

Thompson/Gordon 54.19%

Laird/Taylor 54.35%

Uihlein/Werenski 55.16%

NeSmith/Sieffert 56.05%

Suh/Ghim 59.11%

Castro/Tringale 60.14%

Lewis/Pieters 61.05%

Bradley/Steele 61.40%

Hovland/Ventura 62.92%

Kirk/Todd 64.66%

Horschel/Burns 66.73%

Homa/Gooch 69.6%

Cantlay/Schauffele 82.6%

Palmer/Rahm 83.51%

The above is a cross section of teams from 50/50 to make the cut, to better than 8-1 for Rham/Palmer.

These are my picks for the Zurich Classic

Top Tier: Rahm/Palmer……not even close

Mid Tier: Suh/Ghim

Low Tier: Straka/ Teater

Out in Left Play: Laird/Taylor

Frisky Risky Biscuit Play: Garnett/Stallings* *Risky

Thanks so much for reviewing this article, we sure do appreciate it. I’ll be in the Discord Channel after this article comes out to answer any questions. Please review the articles by Sia, Patrick and Antonio to help determine your picks and lineups. Do not forget that Sia’s Secret Weapon will be unleashed upon the Discord faithful later on tonight !

As always, I hope to be with you on Sunday afternoon, in the money. You can also come and hang out in the Win Daily Sports Discord Chat to talk it out with everyone before the lock!

SicilyKid/ Steven

Welcome to The RBC Heritage Final Ownership Projections, brought to you by WinDailySports.com. Dustin Johnson, Webb Simpson, Collin Morikawa, and Patrick Cantlay are all top favorites to win. There have been a few surprises in the last decade at this tournament so beware. There was also a question on the show last night about golfers being mentally and physically exhausted after the Masters, and how they would do in the RBC.

In the last 10 years, anyone that played 4 rounds at the Masters the week before has only won….once. That means if you pick somebody that played all 4 rounds last week, they have a 90% chance of losing. In 2018 Kodaira is the only champion who played 4 rounds the week before. 9 of the last 10 winners either didn’t play or they missed the cut. Most of the top 5 fall in that same category as well. It does not mean I won’t be rostering golfers who played last week, but if it’s a close call, I will take the golfer who is better rested.

Jim Furyk has won here three times, he has 20% odds to make the top 20. The only problem is his insurance company allegedly has him at 42% to be walking the course, look up, then fall over dead. Tough choice.

Sia got on Nick last week for his Hideki pick, then offered Nick a free shot at him on the livestream last night, Nick declined, citing that you can’t run your mouth at a guy with such nice hair. The hair wins again. To win again you’re going to need the ownership projections for this week, so let’s dive in.

Golfer Ownership % Salary

Simpson, Webb 25.4 10700
Ancer, Abraham 24.3 8900
Fitzpatrick, Mathew 20.6 9100
Kirk, Chris 20.5 7500
Kim, Si Woo 18.9 7900
Zalatoris,Will 18.5 9700
Harman, Brian 18.5 8700
Hatton, Tyrrell 18.0 9500

Berger, Daniel 17.2 10000
Casey, Paul 17.1 9200
Conners, Corey 16.3 9300
Morikawa, Collin 14.7 10500
Henley, Russell 14.7 7900
Na, Kevin 13.3 8100
Grillo, Emiliano 13.3 7300
Cantlay, Patrick 12.7 10900
English, Harris 12.5 8400
Kisner, Kevin 12.3 7700
Garcia, Sergio 11.2 8600
Streelman, Kevin 10.9 7300
Bezuidenhout, Christiaan 10.7 7700
Poulter, Ian 10.7 7600
Johnson, Dustin 9.2 11600
Im, Sungjae 8.8 9000
Kucher, Matt 8.6 8000
Thompson, Michael 8.1 7200
Glover, Lucas 8.0 7100
Smith, Cameron 7.9 10200
Lowry, Shane 7.8 8500
Hadwin, Adam 6.9 7100
Horschel, Billy 6.7 8200
Wallace, Matt 6.7 7500
NeSmith, Matthew 6.7 6900
Grace, Branden 6.5 7600
Poston, JT 6.4 7100
Kizzire, Patton 6.4 6500
Fleetwood, Tommy 6.2 8800
Ghim, Doug 5.7 6900
Munoz, Sebastian 5.5 7500
Todd, Brendon 5.2 7300
Davis. Cameron 4.9 7400
Ortiz, Carlos 4.4 7400
Cink, Stewart 4.1 6700
MacIntyre, Robert 3.8 7800
Johnson, Zack 3.5 7200
Westwood, Lee 3.5 8300
Hoge, Tom 3.6 6400
Burns, Sam 3.5 7400
Frittelli, Dylan 3.4 7200
McCarthy, Denny 2.9 7000
Wise, Aaron 2.9 7300
Varner III, Harold 2.7 7000
Howell III, Charlie 2.5 7200
Furyk, Jim 2.5 6600
Sabbatini, Rory 2.5 6800
Garnett, Brice 2.4 6400
Hughes, Mackenzie 2.4 7000
Putnam, Andrew 2.2 6900
Snedeker, Brandt 2.2 6800
Pan, CT 2.1 7100
Martin, Ben 2.1 6400
Straka, Sepp 2.1 7000
Seiffert, Chase 2.1 6700
Noren, Alex 1.9 7100
Knox, Russell 1.9 6800
Long, Adam 1.6 6700
Hadley, Chesson 1.5 6300
List, Luke 1.3 6900
Moore, Ryan 1.3 6900
Hubbard, Mark 1.3 6300

Reavie, Chez 1.1 6600
Villegas, Camilo 1.1 6500
Perez, Pat 1.0 6400
Gordon, Will 1.0 6500
Higgs, Harry 0.9 7000
Lee, KH 0.9 6600
Hoag, Bo 0.8 6200
Taylor, Nick 0.8 6600
Stanley, Kyle 0.8 6600
Hagy, Brandon 0.8 6800
Nimmer, Bryson 0.8 6000
Piercy, Scott 0.8 6300
Stallings, Scott 0.7 6400
Lahiri, Anirban 0.6 6600
Willett, Danny 0.6 6700
Landry ,Andrew 0.6 6400
McNealy, Maverick 0.5 6700
Lee, Danny 0.5 6200
Norlander, Henrik 0.5 6700
An, B 0.5 6900
McDowell, Graeme 0.5 6600
Campos, Rafael 0.5 6400
Bryan, Wesley 0.5 6300
Lewis, Tom 0.5 6500
Stuard, Brian 0.4 6300
Dufner, Jason 0.4 6300
Merritt, Troy 0.4 6200
Gay, Brian 0.4 6200
Duncan, Tyler 0.3 6100
Malnati, Peter 0.3 6400
Armour, Ryan 0.3 6200
Schenk, Adam 0.3 6500
Taylor, Vaughn 0.3 6200
Rodgers, Patrick 0.3 6500
Donald, Luke 0.3 6000
Kodaira, Satoshi 0.3 6300
Gligic, Michael 0.3 6200
Cook, Austin 0.2 6100
Streb, Robert 0.2 6300
Haas, Bill 0.2 6000
Herman, Jim 0.2 6100
Choi, KJ 0.1 6000
Potter Jr., Ted 0.1 6100
Harrington, Scott 0.1 6100
Hossler, Beau 0.1 6200
Swafford, Hudson 0.1 6500
Augenstein, John 0.0 6200

All others 0%

These are my picks for the RBC Heritage

Top Tier: Matthew Fitzpatrick, Chris Kirk

Mid Tier: Kevin Na, Matt Kucher

Low Tier: Si Woo Kim, Russell Henley

Out in Left Play: Matthew NeSmith

Frisky Risky Biscuit Play: Sepp Straka *Risky

Thanks so much for reviewing this article, we sure do appreciate it. I’ll be in the Discord Channel after this article comes out to answer any questions. Please review the articles by Sia, Patrick and Antonio to help determine your picks and lineups.

As always, I hope to be with you on Sunday afternoon, in the money. You can also come and hang out in the Win Daily Sports Discord Chat to talk it out with everyone before the lock!

SicilyKid/ Steven