Texas Rangers

Hump Day!  The ALDS and NLDS are both in full swing and 2 out of the series could be wrapped up as the 2 home teams in the NLDS both have a 2-1 game lead over their opponents.  With this being the final 4-game slate of the season, this will also be the final article for MLB DFS this season.  It’s been a fun ride.   

Let’s Dig in and make some money!

MLB DFS Aces – Main

Seth Lugo ($8.5k on DK) vs. New York Yankees

The Royals/Yankees series heads to Kansas City tonight as the series is tied at 1-1.  The winner tonight will take the all-important 2-1 edge and if it’s anything like the 2 games over in the NL, it will have the Royals ending up on top.  Seth Lugo really has 1 main job tonight and that will be to keep both Aaron Judge and Juan Soto in check.  If he can navigate those jabronis, the rest of his job will be rather easy. 

Outside of Judge/Soto, this is a very beatable lineup.  And tbh, playoff Aaron Judge is also very beatable.  So far in the playoffs he’s 1-7 and has 3 K’s.  This is a really good spot for Lugo tonight and look for him to hold down the fort for a Royals team that has its mojo back.  He’s coming off a strong outing vs. the O’s and he’ll throw another today. 

Jose Quintana ($7.2k on DK) vs. Philadelphia Phillies

The Mets have the Phillies backs up against the wall and they’ll turn the ball over to a pitcher who has been arguably their best pitcher over the last month or so.  While Jose Quintana isn’t typically a high strike-out pitcher, he does K lefties at a high pace and really limits damage vs. them.  On the year, he had a nearly 60% GB rate vs. them.  That should neutralize the damage that comes from both Schwarber and Harper. 

The Phillies will more than likely throw out 7 righties today and that won’t scare me off of Quintana today.  Over the course of the season, he was a smidge better vs. righties than lefties as righties had a .309 wOBA vs. him and a lower ISO as well.  Look for Quintana to close this one out for the Mets tonight. 

MLB DFS Stacks – Main

New York Mets vs. Ranger Suarez

The Mets get arguably the best matchup on paper today.  Ranger Suarez comes into this matchup today not in peak form.  He’s allowed at least 3 ER in 3 of his last 4 outings and of all the pitchers throwing today, he has the highest ERA, xFIP, and SIERRA over the last 30 days.  To make matters worse for him, he’s coming into this one not having pitched in 2 weeks and will surely be rusty. 

He’ll also be facing a team of destiny as the Mets keep adding to this Cinderella-type story.  They are a game away from reaching the NLCS for the first time in nearly a decade.  Look for them to close this one out and get the better of Suarez this afternoon. 

Core Plays: Mark Vientos, Pete Alonso, Francisco Lindor

Secondary Plays: Brandon Nimmo

Value Plays: Starling Marte, Jose Iglesias, Francisco Alvarez, JD Martinez

San Diego Padres vs. Landon Knack

I’m also looking for the Padres to close this one out tonight.  They too get a great matchup vs. a pitcher in Landon Knack who is the weak link to this Dodgers rotation.  Over his last 21 innings of work, Knack pitched to an ERA of 5.14.  He’s also allowed 5 homers over those 21 innings of work and a slate leading 7 barrels.  Hitters are teeing off on him and that’s not what the Dodgers need in a win-or-go-home game for them. 

He’ll surely have a short leash in this one but I like the Padres enough to get him to early enough where they’ll still put up some crooked numbers.  Game. Set. Match. for the team that spent early and often this season on the likes of Shohei Ohtani, Teoscar Hernandez, and Tyler Glasnow. 

Core Bats: Fernando Tatis, Manny Machado, Jurickson Profar, Jackson Merrill

Value Bats: David Peralta, Jake Cronenworth

I also like the Royals to put up a big number today vs. Clarke Schmidt.

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Hump Day!  Oh, what an exciting first day of the playoffs!  Today we have another 4-game slate of MLB DFS.  With these being 3-game series, this could be the last game of the season for the 4 teams that lost last night.  Unlike yesterday though, we don’t have the ace-level pitchers today.  While we don’t really have the same level, we do have some pretty solid pitching but there should be some nice spots for bats. 

Let’s Dig in and make some money!

MLB DFS Aces – Main

Sean Manaea ($8.2k on DK) vs. Milwaukee Brewers

Sean Manaea will be looking for some retribution today as when he faced the Brewers last week, they were able to get the better of him.  They hammered him for 5 runs in just 3 innings of work.  It was by far his worst outing of the season.  Over the course of 2024, Manaea emerged as the Mets ace.  After switching to more Chris Sale-like mechanics, Manaea was dominant and more likely priced himself out of the Mets next season. 

He finished the season with a career-best 3.47 ERA and had an xERA that was just a bit north of it.  I’m looking for him to wrap up the Wild Card Series for the Mets against a Brewers team that is typically a bit worse vs. lefties.  

Max Fried ($8.7k on DK) vs. San Diego Padres

After stacking the Padres last night, I’m going to reverse course and attack them today with Max Fried.  Fried is as reliable as they come.  More often than not, he goes 6-7 innings while striking about 6-8 hitters a game.  He’ll give up 1-3 runs and then call it a night. 

With the Braves’ backs up against the wall, I’m looking for him to step it up a notch and dominate a Padres lineup that hasn’t been very successful vs. lefties.  Over the last month, the projected lineup has just a .271 wOBA vs. lefties.  If we take out Machado and Tatis from the mix, they have virtually no power against lefties either.  If we get the typical Fried tonight, he should be able to overpower this Padres team and give the Braves at least one more game to play. 

Other pitchers that I like tonight will be Hunter Brown vs. Detroit and Zach Eflin vs. Kansas City.   

MLB DFS Stacks – Main

New York Mets vs. Frankie Montas

I’m going right back to the Mets today.  They put up an 8 spot for us yesterday and I think they have a big game again today.  This team is on a roll and they’ll be facing a pitcher in Montas today who stumbled down the stretch.  Over the last month, Montas pitched an ERA over 5.50 and surrendered 7 homers in his last 24 innings of work.  He was also getting smoked as he allowed 10 barrels over those 24 innings of work.  With it being the playoffs, we won’t have many attackable pitchers but Montas certainly is one. 

Especially when we put him up against his peer group today.  Montas certainly has K upside, but when he gets hit, he gets hit hard.  Lefties are where we want to prioritize as they have a .333 ISO and a .413 wOBA against him over the last month.  Although the Mets aren’t lefty-heavy, they have 2.5 pieces that will be very much in play.

Core Plays: Francisco Lindor, Brandon Nimmo, Market Vientos, Pete Alonso

Secondary Plays: Jose Iglesias

Value Plays: Jesse Winker (pinch hit risk though), JD Martinez, Francisco Alvarez, Starling Marte

Kansas City Royals vs. Zach Eflin

I really hope my wife isn’t reading this as she’s a die-hard O’s fan.  I think their season comes to an end today.  No team in the Wild Card Series ever has come back after losing game 1.  The team that wins game 1 has gone to win all 8 of these series.  Of the 8 teams pitchers throwing today, no one has had a higher xFIP or SIERA over the last 30 days than Eflin. They’re sitting at 4.12 and 4.55 respectively. 

He too has been susceptible to power as hitters have hit 5 homers against over his last 30 innings and he too has allowed 10 barrels over that stretch.  He’s a low-K pitcher who relies on solid BABIP.  If that doesn’t go his way, he’ll struggle.  With my boy Vinnie back, this lineup is way more powerful than it was without him. 

Core Bats: Bobby Witt, Vinnie Pasquantino, Sal Perez

Value Bats: Michael Massey, Yuli Gurriel, MJ Melendez, Kyle Isbel

Other bats I like tonight will be the Orioles vs. Seth Lugo. 

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Taco Tuesday!  With the regular season wrapping up yesterday, that means we have finally made it to playoff season.  Today we have a 4 game slate of MLB DFS with it being the Wild Card round.  This is a slate that will be mostly top-heavy with pitching.  Most of the teams were able to save their aces for today so that will more than likely translate to a whole bunch of low-scoring games, similar to opening day. 

Let’s Dig in and make some money!

MLB DFS Aces – Main

Framber Valdez ($8.5k on DK) vs. Detroit Tigers

While the Tigers’ run into the postseason was magical, I do think their time comes to end this series.  This a Tigers lineup that its core is all lefty and one that has struggled mightily vs. lefties down the stretch.  They have a 31% K rate over the last month and a sub .280 wOBA.  A matchup vs. Framber Valdez is not going to be ideal for them. 

Against lefties over the last month, Framber Valdez has a nearly 43% K rate and has allowed a wOBA of just .224.  Yes, those numbers are a bit extreme, but if we look at his season as a whole he’s been extremely strong vs. lefties with a 30% K rate.  He will all but neutralize guys like Riley Greene, Parker Meadows, and Colt Keith.  Look for this one to be a very low-scoring affair with the Astros ending up on top. 

Corbin Burnes ($8.3k on DK) vs. Kansas City Royals

The Royals mostly limped into the playoffs, struggling on the offensive side of things during the last month or so of the season.  Over the last month of the season, they had a wOBA of just .300 against righties and a K rate hovering around 25%.  If we look at more recent data, over the last week they scored just 16 runs and homered 3 times. 

With Burnes, we have someone coming into the playoffs in peak form.  Over the last month, he has pitched to an ERA of just 1.20 and had a K rate of nearly 28%.  He has 3 straight starts with at least 25 DK points and with a solid matchup today, he should make it a 4^th at a very reasonable priced of $8.3k. 

The other pitcher that will be in my limited pool today will be Tarik Skubal.  He is matchup-proof and should be able to dominate the Astros, especially if Alvarez has to sit again.  I’m siding with Framber though in this matchup because he’s cheaper and faces a far weaker lineup.  

MLB DFS Stacks – Main

San Diego Padres vs. Ian Anderson

With the last-minute injury to Chris Sale and having played 2 yesterday, the Braves rotation for this Padres series is going to be less than ideal.  Although they’ll be able to use Max Fried, they’re also going to have to throw the likes of Ian Anderson.  Anderson hasn’t pitched in the Majors since 2022.  That season was dreadful for him as he finished with an ERA of 5 and a BB/9 of more than 4. 

Over his short career, Andeson has been more of a reverse-splits pitcher.  That will make for a tough day as the Padres’ core is right-handed.  There’s also a chance the Braves pivot and go with Bryce Elder instead of Ian Anderson.  Regardless, on a day with very strong pitching, both Anderson and Elder would be weaker than the 7 other starters. 

Core Plays: Manny Machado, Fernando Tatis, Xander Bogaerts, Jackson Merrill

Secondary Plays: Jurickson Profar

Value Plays: Luis Arraez, Jake Cronenworth, Donovan Solano, Kyle Higashioka

New York Mets vs. Freddy Peralta

Freddy Peralta is not the same pitcher that he was a few years ago.  His K/9 of 10.36 was one of the lowest of his career and his BB/9 3.52 was the highest it’s been since 2020.  For the first time since 2019, he finished a season with a FIP over 4 and his xFIP of 3.93 was the highest it’s been 2019.  Under normal circumstances, I wouldn’t be calling most of these numbers out because they really aren’t that bad.  That said though, when compared to his peer group of Game 1 Wild Card starts they rank near the bottom. 

His September xFIP of 4.35 is more than a .5 run higher than anyone else on this slate.  This will set up for the Mets to have the best chance of putting up some runs.  Over the final 30 days, Peralta struggled mightily vs. righties as they had a .415 ISO vs. him and a .451 wOBA.  His K rate also dropped to 22%. The Mets power mostly comes from the right hand side.

Core Bats: Pete Alonso, Mark Vientos, JD Martinez, Francisco LIndor

Value Bats: Francisco Alvarez, Starling Marte, Jose Iglesias

The other lineup I really like today will be the Orioles vs. Cole Ragans.  They are finally healthy and it showed over the last week of the season.  They can get to Ragans today. 

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Happy Saturday y’all!  It’s the last weekend of the season and we have ourselves a nice sized 7-game slate of MLB DFS tonight.  Going into the final weekend, all but one race is complete.  We now have 3 teams tied for the final 2 playoff spots in the NL.  The Braves, Mets, and Dbacks are even and all play on this evening’s slate.  This sets up for an exciting slate.  It’s slate thought that is void of any true difference-making pitcher.  We have some solid spots for bats though.    

Let’s Dig in and make some money!

MLB DFS Aces – Main

Reynaldo Lopez ($9.6k on DK) vs. Kansas City Royals

Although the Royals clinched the final Wild Card spot, it isn’t because of how well they are playing currently.  They are just 3-7 in the last 10 and should be thankful for how much worse the Twins are playing.  They just barely snuck in.  After getting blanked by Max Fried last night, they’ll have another tough go of it as the Braves will turn the ball over to Reynaldo Lopez this evening. 

The Braves right-hander has had one of the finest seasons of his career.  His 2.03 ERA is the lowest of his career and his K/9 of 9.58 is the second-highest of his career.  He’s been a big reason the Braves have stayed afloat this season with all the injuries they’ve had.  He’ll be facing a Royals team tonight that has put up little to no offense over the last week.  Their power has all but vanished.  Look for Lopez to dominate them tonight, just like Fried did last night. 

Andrew Heaney ($7.7k on DK) vs. Los Angeles Angels

This is how bad pitching is tonight IMO.  Heany is coming off back-to-back rough starts vs. the Mariners but gets a much matchup today vs. the Angels.  This is an Angels team that will finish the year as one of the worst teams in baseball.  Only 3 teams will finish with more losses than them and they’ll look to add to that total tonight.  The projected lineup for the Angels tonight is more resembling a minor league than major league team. 

They have a wOBA of just .233 vs. lefties this season and a .064 ISO.  Just terrible stuff.  While he gives up a smidge more power to righties, he also has a higher K rate vs. them and will likely face an entire lineup of righties tonight.  I think he has some K upside tonight at a very reasonable price. 

Other pitchers that I like tonight will be Seth Lugo vs. Atlanta, Luis Castillo (need to see if he has a pitch limit, he likely will) vs. Oakland, and Jose Quintana vs. Milwaukee. 

MLB DFS Stacks – Main

As was the case last night, the Dodgers are far and away the best team to stack tonight. They are crazy expensive though so full stacking is extremely tough. Ohtani, play him if you can afford him.

Baltimore Orioles vs. Minnesota Twins

With the AL Playoff picture all set, I suspect this will be more than likely the last game for most of the regulars for the O’s so they can get a couple of days off to rest and recoup for Tuesday’s matchup with either the Tigers or Royals.  And what a matchup to go out in as they take on Zebby Matthews of the Twins.  While Matthews does have some solid stuff, it’s not Major League ready yet and it’s shown as he has really struggled thus far. 

Through 8 starts, he owns a 5.71 ERA and an alarming 2.34 HR/9.  He’s really struggled to keep the ball in the park as he’s already allowed 9 homers in just 34 innings of work.  He’s been extremely susceptible to lefty power has 7 of the 9 have been to lefties.  They also have a 1.012 OPS vs. him.  This is a lefty-dominant lineup that should smash this evening. 

Core Plays: Gunnar Henderson, Colton Cowser, Anthony Santander, Cedric Mullins

Secondary Plays: Jordan Westburg, Adley Rutschman

Value Plays: Ryan Mountcastle, Ryan O’Hearn

Texas Rangers vs. Griffin Canning

The Rangers get to take one of my all-time favorites to stack against in Griffin Canning.  Canning is having his typical bad season.  His 5.24 ERA is the second-highest of his career, his BB/9 of 3.46 is one of the highest, and his 1.62 HR/9 is the second-highest.  Somehow, he still has a job in the Majors.  Any other franchise besides the Angels would have already cut ties.  Canning has more than a handful of starts this season giving up at least 6 ER. 

That’s just wild to me that the Angels just continue to let him go long enough for that to happen.  I’m not going to be concerned about splits here as he is bad against both sides of the plate.  Both sides have 15 homers against him and comparable slugging %’s.  Lefites have a bit higher of a wOBA and OBP though. 

Core Bats: Wyatt Langford, Adolis Garcia, Marcus Semien, Josh Smith

Value Bats: Jonah Heim, Nate Lowe, Leody Taveras

Other bats I like tonight will be the Mets vs. Jared Koenig, Mariners vs. Joey Estes, and Padres vs. Eduardo Rodriguez. 

Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @rangerzfan79 and be sure to sign up for a PREMIUM account here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate! 

TGIF!  It’s the last series of the season for teams and we have a massive 12-game slate of MLB DFS tonight.  While not 100% set yet, the playoff picture is becoming clearer and clearer.  The Tigers appear to have snuck themselves into the playoffs as they now have a magic number of just 1.  That means the Twins have all but been eliminated in an epic collapse.  The real race that we have left is over in the NL Wild Card as the Braves/Mets/Dbacks are all separated by just a game.  This last weekend of baseball should be a fun one and this slate is looking solid. 

Let’s Dig in and make some money!

MLB DFS Aces – Main

Sean Manaea ($8.7k on DK) vs. Milwaukee Brewers

Sean Manaea will almost certainly be opting out of his contract at the end of the season.  His 2024 season has been a rebirth for him and he should earn himself a nice long term contract this winter.  The Mets will need him to keep rolling tonight as they currently sit tied with the Dbacks in the wild card hunt and both teams have a 1-game lead over the Braves.  While the Brewers have a strong lineup, it’s a lineup that has typically underperformed against lefties. 

Their star hitter in Willy Adames is significantly worse against lefties than he is righties and this matchup should neutralize him as a threat.  The Brewers have multiple bats in the lineup that have a 30% or greater K rate vs. lefties over the last month.  With how well Manaea is pitching and how much worse the Brewers are against lefties, this is a phenomenal spot for Manaea.  He’s my SP1 tonight against a team that has nothing to play for. 

Jose Berrios ($9k on DK) vs. Miami Marlins

While the Marlins do have some sneaky pop at times, they also have some serious strike out issues.  Over the last week, the Marlins have struck out 33% of the time.  Of the teams playing tonight, that trails only the Colorado Rockies.  Even though the Jays have absolutely nothing to play for this weekend, I still expect them to put their best foot forward, especially Berrios. 

After a sub-par first full season with the Jays back in 2022, Berrios has run back another strong season after rebounding last year.  His 3.38 ERA is the lowest of his career.  Over the last month he’s been even better as he’s pitched to an ERA of 1.08.  The Jays are massive favorites here and I like Berrios to have another outing with at least 20 DK points. 

Other pitchers I like tonight will be Max Fried vs. the Royals, Joey Cantillo vs. Houston, Carlos Rodon vs. Pittsburgh, and Nick PIvetta vs. Tampa.  A cheap arm to consider also tonight will be Cade Povich of the O’s vs. Minnesota.  If you haven’t noticed, Minnesota has fallen off the deep end and their offense is beyond suspect at this point.  

MLB DFS Stacks – Main

I don’t’ feel like I need to tell you how good of a spot the Dodgers are tonight facing Cal Quantrill in Colorado.  Shohei Ohtani is priced higher than more than half the pitchers on this slate.  The one thing that we may have going for us is that I could see the Dodgers playing some non-regulars more in this series.  They lost Freeman last night and with their spot locked up seeding-wise, they have nothing left to play for. 

Seattle Mariners vs. JP Sears

The Mariners playoff hopes were shattered the other day so they have little to play for tonight other than pride and some bonuses to hit.  Even so, I still like this spot for them tonight against an Oakland team that was riding an emotional high yesterday.  That will wear off by today and they’ll send JP Sears to the mound.  He’s been struggling over the last month or so as he has an ERA of 4.8 over the last 30 days. 

Across his last 30 innings, he’s been susceptible to power as he’s allowed 5 homers and 11 barrels.  I’m expecting his struggles to continue as he’s facing a Mariners lineup that has been doing really well against lefties over the last month.  The middle of their lineup has 3 guys that have ISO’s over .230 and wOBA’s over .360 against southpaws over the last 30 days. 

Core Plays: Julio Rodriguez, Cal Raleigh, Victor Robles, Randy Arozarena

Value Plays: Dylan Moore, Jorge Polanco, Justin Turner

New York Mets vs. Frankie Montas

Frankie Montas has just one start over the last month where he’s given up less than 3 ER.  That’s a span of 6 starts and he’s coming off arguably his worst start of the season.  A start that saw him give up 7 ER across 2 innings of work vs. Arizona.  I’m going to be chasing power here as he’s given up 7 homers over the last month.  The way to get to Montas is through lefties. 

Lefties have a .503 slugging % vs. him this season and 16 of the 23 homers he’s given up have been to lefties.  The Mets should be at full health tonight as Lindor was in the lineup vs. the Braves before Mother Nature caused the last 2 games of the series to be PPD.  The Mets have everything to play for while the Brewers have nothing to play for.  Look for them to come out firing tonight. 

Core Bats: Francisco Lindor (still be a little leary with his back), Brandon Nimmo, Jessie Winker (also a nice value)

Secondary Plays: Pete Alonso (could be his final series as a Met), Mark Vientos, Starling Marte, Francisco Alvarez

Value Plays: Jose Iglesias, Luisangel Acuna

Other bats I like tonight will be the Rockies vs. Brent Honeywell, Red Sox vs. Taj Bradley, Rangers vs. Reid Detmers, and Blue Jays vs. Adam Oller

Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @rangerzfan79 and be sure to sign up for a PREMIUM account here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate! 

Hump Day!  Tonight we have ourselves a nice-sized 9-game slate of MLB DFS.  There is a very strong chance though that thanks to weather, this will be down to an 8-game slate as there’s a Hurricane traveling towards GA.  That will more than likely eliminate the most expensive pitcher on the slate.  With Baltimore and San Diego clinching last night, we’re now down to 4 playoff spots remaining and those races are as tight as tight could be.  The next few days are going to be memorable ones.

Let’s Dig in and make some money!

MLB DFS Aces – Main

As I noted above, the Braves/Mets game playing tonight (and tomorrow) seems unlikely.  The Atlanta area is expected to get 1-2 inches of rain this afternoon and night and I just don’t see them building a dome in time for this one.  Should the weather do a 180 though, Chris Sale is the SP1 and he’ the SP1 by a country mile.  The next best 2 pitchers on this slate are Dylan Cease and Jack Flaherty and they face off against each other.  I want nothing to do with either of these pitchers tonight. 

Dylan Cease for obvious reasons as he takes on the Dodgers.  That really limits his upside as the Dodgers just don’t strike out.  I’m also out on Flaherty as he just hasn’t been very dominant and he’s taking on a Padres team that still has aspirations of the NL West as they are only 2 games behind the Dodgers.  They too are a stingy team that doesn’t K much.  I expect this to be a low-scoring affair with few K’s.  I also expect this game to be played in about 2 hours and 15 minutes. 

Kevin Gausman ($8.6k on DK/$9k on FD) vs. Boston Red Sox

The Boston Red Sox continue to be a high strike-out team.  Over the last week, they’ve struck out 33% of the time and if we look at the last month, the projected lineup for the Red Sox tonight has 5 guys that have a K rate over 30% against righties over the last month.  That’s a lot of people striking out nearly a third of the time. 

While Gausman has been erratic, he also has some games this season where he’s dialed it back and gotten double-digit K’s.  I don’t think he quite gets there today with the double-digit K’s, but with this matchup against a high-strikeout team he does have some upside for us.  With a matchup against a Red Sox lineup without its best player, I like this spot a lot for Gausman. 

Edward Cabrera ($6.2k on DK/$8.1k on FD) vs. Minnesota Twins

I like the price a whole lot better on DK than FD.  I have little to no interest in paying over $8k for Cabrera.  $6.2k though?  That’s a nice value for Edward Cabrera.  The Twins fooled me last night. I really thought they had a chance to turn it around against Weathers and they did not.  This is a lineup that has really struggled as a whole.  Even with getting Correa back, it’s a team that has now 7 of their last 10 games and has put up little to no offense during that stretch. 

They now sit 2 games out of the last Wild Card spot and are on the outside looking in.  I could see them struggling again vs. the young right-hander for Miami.  If we ignore his last outing against the Dodgers, Cabrera has pitched rather well over the last month.  He dominated against both the Nats and Phils and has a couple of good outings vs. the Giants and Rockies.  He’s young and he’s inconsistent, but he has a matchup tonight that he should do well in. 

Other pitchers that I like tonight will be Zac Gallen vs. San Fran, Cody Bradford vs. Oakland, and Zach Eflin vs. New York.  This is a very very weak pitching slate. 

MLB DFS Stacks – Main

Baltimore Orioles vs. Nestor Cortes

A week ago, I would have thrown Nestor Cortes tonight.  Now that the Orioles lineup is back to full health with Jordan Westburg, Ryan Mountcastle, and Ramon Urias returning from the IL, this is a lineup that should get back to pounding pitchers.  Even with the O’s clinching a playoff spot last night, I expect them to put their A lineup because a lot of these guys have been hurt and need to get their reps in with Major League pitching. 

They also still have a slim chance of overtaking the Yankees.  The way to beat Nestor Cortes is with righties.  Over the last month, Cortes has only struck them out at about an 18% clip and has allowed a nearly 60% hard-hit rate.  He’ll face a lineup that will have 7 righties in it. 

Core Plays: Anthony Santander, Jordan Westburg, Adley Rutschman, Ryan Mountcastle

Secondary Plays: Gunnar Henderson

Value Plays: James McCann, Ramon Urias

St. Louis Cardinals Vs. Austin Gomber

It’s going to be tough to fade the Cardinals tonight as they take on Austin Gomber.  Gomber has mostly struggled over the last month, pitching to an ERA of 4.5 and an xFIP of around 5.  He’s given up 4 homers over his last 22 innings of work and 6 barrels.  Hitters have a nearly 49% hard-hit rate vs. him as well. 

Gomber really struggles vs. righties as they have a nearly .500 slugging % vs. him this season and have a .379 wOBA vs. him over the last month.  21 of the 30 homers he’s hit this season have come from righties.  He’ll face a Cardinals lineup tonight that should have upwards of 7 righties in it.  It’s going to be a tough night for the Rockies southpaw. 

Core Bats: Masyn Winn, Ivan Herrera, Nolan Arenado

Secondary Plays: Paul Goldschmidt, Brendan Donovan

Value Bats: Jordan Walker, Thomas Saggese

Other bats I like tonight will be the Rockies vs. Erick Fedde, Blue Jays vs. Richard Fitts, Angels vs. Davis Martin, White Sox vs. Jose Suarez, and Dbacks vs. Mason Black. 

Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @rangerzfan79 and be sure to sign up for a PREMIUM account here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate! 

Taco Tuesday!  We are down to the final 6 days of the regular season and it’s shaping up to be one of the craziest endings we’ve seen in years.  Thanks to the additional Wild Card Spot, there are still 9 teams jockeying for the final 6 playoff spots.  With that, we have a nice sized 10-game slate of MLB DFS.  We have just one high-priced pitcher tonight and then just a bunch of solid arms.  There are certainly some different paths we can take tonight with lineup construction. 

Let’s Dig in and make some money!

MLB DFS Aces – Main

Logan Gilbert ($9.3k on DK/$9.9k on FD) vs. Houston Astros

This pick is mostly dependent on Yordan Alvarez sitting again.  From what it sounded like yesterday, I doubt we see him for a few days and his absence really waters down this Astros lineup.  We saw it last night as Bryce Miller threw a gem, striking out 5 over 7 and only allowing 2 hits.  Logan Gilbert is a higher-quality pitcher than Miller and has way more K upside. 

Over the last month, Gilbert has struck out 37% of the hitters he’s faced.  The Mariners are still in this thing and they’ll need Gilbert to have his usual Gilbert outing.  He’s been at 20 DK points or more in 4 of his last 5 starts.  Should Alvarez sit again, we should see him make it 5 of 6 outings over 20 DK points.  He’s my SP1 tonight. 

Brandon Pfaadt ($8.2k on DK/$8.6k on FD) vs. San Francisco Giants

Out of nowhere, Brandon Pfaadt threw a masterpiece against the Brewers late last week.  He struck out 12 over 7 innings of work and only allowed 1 run to cross the plate.  That was after a disastrous outing against the same Milwaukee Brewers team just 5 days earlier.  The upside has always been there for Pfaadt as he’s had multiple outings this season in the mid 20 DK point range.  He’s been his own worst enemy though at times. 

This is a good spot though for him to back up last week’s gem.  This is a Giants team that has been severely disappointed this season as they sit 1 game under .500 and are nowhere near the playoffs.  Against righties over the last month, they have a 28% K rate and a sub .300 wOBA.  Look for Pfaadt to get the W here and have a strong outing.  As a DFS player, I’ll love it, but as a Mets fan, I’ll hate it. 

Other pitchers that I do like tonight will be Framber Valdez vs. Seattle (just know that Seattle is hitting the ball well), Bailey Ober vs. Miami, Nathan Eovaldi vs. Oakland, and Luis Severino vs. Atlanta. 

MLB DFS Stacks – Main

Boston Red Sox vs. Bowden Francis

As much as I’ve enjoyed the run that Bowden Francis has been on, I do think his day of reckoning is coming, and I think that happens tonight.  There are certainly some flags out there that show he’s due for some regression.  For starters, he has a 4.69 xFIP over the last month vs. an ERA of just 2.  That’s a huge gap and the largest of any pitcher on the mound tonight.  He also has an insanely low BABIP of .127 over the last month.  That’s not sustainable. 

The way to get to him is by using lefties.  He has just an 11.1% K rate vs. lefties over the last month and has allowed a nearly 37% flyball rate and a nearly 50% hard-hit rate to them.  His only saving grace vs. them is that they also have a .171 BABIP.  Again, not sustainable and he’ll be facing a Red Sox lineup that is built with lefty power, even without Rafael Devers. 

Core Plays: Jarren Duran, Triston Casas

Secondary Plays: Tyler O’Neill

Value Plays: Masataka Yoshida, Wilyer Abreu, Trevor Story

Minnesota Twins vs. Ryan Weathers

The Minnesota Twins are playing for their playoff lives.  As it stands right now, the Twins are on the outside looking in and need to win today.  Thankfully, they get to face off against Ryan Weathers and a terrible Marlins bullpen.  After a more than 3-month absence, Weathers returned last weekend and was greeted by a Dodgers offense that took full advantage of him, scoring 5 runs in just over 4 innings of work.  In those 4 innings, the Dodgers hit 3 bombs and had 8 hits. 

While the Twins offense doesn’t come close to comparing to the Dodgers offense, they do have some serviceable bats and bats that should do well against Weathers.  Throughout his young career, it’s been righties that have done the damage vs. Weathers.  35 of the 43 homers he’s allowed have been to righties and they have a nearly .500 slugging % vs. him. 

Core Bats: Carlos Correa, Byron Buxton, Royce Lewis (struggling, but always a home run threat)

Value Bats: Kyle Farmer (pinch-hit risk), Manuel Margot (pinch-hit risk), Carlos Santana

Other bats I like tonight will be both sides of the Coors game (Blackmon narrative/Arenado narrative), White Sox vs. Jack Kochanowicz and Angels vs. Jonathan Cannon.

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Happy Saturday Y’all!  We finally made it to the weekend and we have ourselves a nice-looking 7-game slate of MLB DFS tonight.  This is a slate that at first glance, really underwhelms in terms of pitching.  There isn’t a single pitcher over $10k and just 2 over $9k on DK this evening.  It means that pitching will be truck because it lacks any true aces.  What this should mean though is that we’ll be able to spend up for bats tonight and there will be some bats in really strong positions

Let’s Dig in and make some money!

MLB DFS Aces – Main

Carlos Rodon ($9.3k on DK/$10.4k on FD) vs. Oakland Athletics

I’m way more interested in Rodon on DK than I am on FD this evening.  That price on FD is a little steep for my liking for a pitcher that for all intents and purposes this season, has been inconsistent.  That said, Rodon has been mostly better over the last month or so.  Over the previous month, Rodon has pitched to an ERA 3.10 and an xFIP/SIERA that is actually lower than that.  He’s also been K’ing guys at a decent pace.  His K rate of 31.70% is the second-highest of all the pitchers on the hill this evening. 

The matchup is there for the taking for Rodon.  While the A’s have been much improved this season, they still struggle at times, especially against the lefties.  The projected lineup for the A’s tonight has a 27% K rate vs. lefties over the last month and just a .276 wOBA.  Rodon will need to navigate guys like Rook and Langeliers, but if he can, he should have a monster game. 

Martin Perez ($7.6k on DK/$7.7k on FD) vs. Chicago White Sox

This is how barren pitching is this evening.  I’m not normally one to use a low strikeout pitcher, at least as low as Martin Perez.  Over the last month, Perez has just a 14% K rate.  Not ideal for fantasy.  That said, he’s cheap enough and in a good enough matchup where he should at least provide us some with value.  We’ve seen him at times get into the 20’s in terms of points so he definitely has the potential. 

The matchup couldn’t be any better as Perez takes on the White Sox this evening.  They are fighting to be the worst team in the history of baseball.  They have a week left to get there and they definitely can do it.  This lineup has been terrible vs. lefties, with a 25% K rate, a .278 wOBA, and a .096 ISO over the last month.  Anything can happen, but I like this spot for Perez to be one of the safer spots today. 

Other pitchers that I do like tonight will be Ronel Blanco vs. LA, Matthew Boyd vs. St. Louis, and maybe Walker Buehler vs. Colorado.  Again, this is a pretty bad slate for pitching.

MLB DFS Stacks – Main

Before we dive into stacks, I should say that the Dodgers are by far and away the best spot for offense tonight.  Cal Quantrill has really struggled over the last month and this season.  They are just extremely expensive.  Shohei is $7.3k,  He’s always in play, just nearly impossible to build a lineup as them as a main stack.  The best bet here may be to just use the power here, and that’s Shohei as a one off. 

Cleveland Guardians vs. Miles Mikolas

Miles Mikolas is having a career-worst season in 2024.  His 5.49 ERA is the highest that it’s been since all the way back in 2014.  He’s been especially bad of late as his ERA over the last month is 5.96.  He’s a low-strikeout pitcher who relies on BABIP to be in his favor.  When it’s not, he’s going to struggle mightily.  His only saving grace is that he really hasn’t been giving up too much in the way of hard-contact or flyballs. 

That said, he has given up 4 homers over the last month and 7 barrels.  So hitters can take him deep and get some good wood on it.  With this matchup vs. Mikolas today, I’m not going to be overly concerned about splits as both sides are pretty even in terms of production. 

Core Plays: Jose Ramirez, Josh Naylor, Lane Thomas, Andres Gimenez

Value Plays: Angel Martinez, Kyle Manzardo

Seattle Mariners vs. Max Scherzer

You have to wonder how many more innings Max Scherzer will put up for the rest of his career.  The last couple of seasons have been marred by injury after injury and when he’s been healthy, he just hasn’t been that good.  He faced this Mariners team a week ago and gave up 2 ER in 4 innings of work while striking out just 2.  He no longer has swing and miss stuff and that’s going to cause issues against a Mariners lineup that has been much improved recently. 

While still striking out a bunch, it’s way better than it was a couple of months ago and they’re starting to hit for more power.  Of the teams playing today, they have the second most homers over the last week, trailing only the Dodgers and Shohei.  I think they can get to Max here tonight and they are all reasonably priced. 

Core Bats: Julio Rodriguez, Cal Raleigh

Value Bats: Randy Arozarena, Luke Raley, Justin Turner, Victor Robles

Other bats I like tonight will be the Astros vs. Reid Detmers, Rangers vs. Emerson Hancock, and Brewers vs. Merrill Kelly.

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TGIF!  We’ve almost made it to the weekend and the MLB gods have blessed us with a massive slate this Friday.  We have a 12-game slate of MLB DFS to deal with tonight.  There’s only a week left in the season the playoff picture is jam-packed.  The Phillies/Dodgers/Guardians/Yankees have all clinched a playoff spot so far.  With the Wild Card though, there are still plenty of teams that are vying for a spot in the Fall Classic.  Both the NL and AL Wild Card races are insanely tight and will make for a fun last 9 days of the season.  This slate looks to be a fun one at first glance is wide open. 

Let’s Dig in and make some money!

MLB DFS Aces – Main

Joe Musgrove ($9.1k on DK/$9.9k on FD) vs. Chicago White Sox

Joe Musgrove is coming off arguably his best outing of the season.  Against the Giants earlier this week, he went 6 strong innings while not allowing a run and striking out 8.  That’s now at least 8 K’s in 4 of his last 5 outings and with a matchup against the lowly White Sox tonight, I don’t see any reason why he can’t continue with the roll that he’s on. 

This is a White Sox team that is 81 games under .500 and has scored a league-low 473 runs.  No other team in baseball is under 580 runs scored.  This is a historically bad team and one that should help the Padres maintain their cushion in the Wild Card lead in the NL.  Look for Musgrove to be one of the top-performing pitchers on this slate. 

Gerrit Cole ($9k on DK/$10.4k on FD) vs. Oakland Athletics

I’m going to ignore Gerrit Cole’s last outing.  For some reason or another, Cole does not do well vs. Rafael Devers and team. So much so that Cole gave Devers a free pass with the bases empty. He should get back on the saddle tonight vs. the Oakland A’s.  While the A’s are much improved, they are also still a young and raw team that has lapses where their offense disappears. 

Tonight should be one of those spots again where they struggle.  Cole is coming into one pitcher pretty well, outside of the Red Sox game we already mentioned.  In the 2 games prior, he had punched out 16 hitters and only allowed 1 ER.  The Yanks are looking to wrap up the AL East in quick fashion so expect a full load for Cole tonight. 

Other pitchers I like tonight will be Michael Wacha vs. San Francisco, Charlie Morton vs. Miami, Corbin Burnes vs. Detroit, and George Kirby vs. Texas.  

MLB DFS Stacks – Main

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colin Rea

His numbers are somewhat inflated over the past month due to a disastrous outing vs. San Francisco.  In that outing he gave up 10 ER in just 4 innings of work.  Even with that, he’s still less than good.  Over the last month, his xFIP and SIERA are sitting pretty close to 5.  He’s been giving up a ton of flyballs at nearly 45% and he’s been giving up a ton of contact at nearly 83%. 

Against one of the best lineups in baseball in the Diamondbacks, that’s not going to cut it.  I have a slight lean to the lefties here, though everyone is in play.  Lefties have a .456 wOBA vs. him over the last month and a K rate under 10%.  With this being a lefty-dominant lineup, it’s going to be tough sledding for Rea.

Core Plays: Corbin Carroll, Christian Walker, Ketel Marte

Secondary Plays: Joc Pederson, Jake McCarthy

Value Plays: Pavin Smith, Gabriel Moreno

Atlanta Braves vs. Valente Bellozo

Another pitcher who is struggling right now is Valente Bellozo.  Over the last month, he’s pitched to a 5.33 ERA and an xFIP/SIERA that is more than a run higher.  He’s also been extremely susceptible to power.  Over his last 25 innings, he’s allowed a crazy amount of homers at 9.  Add in the 12 barrels that he’s given up and we can see that we clearly have a pitcher not ready for the big leagues. 

The Braves come into this fresh of a monster game yesterday that saw them score 15 runs.  They’ll look to put up another bunch of runs as they are sitting out of the playoffs currently.  I’m not going to be overly concerned about splits here because Bellozo has been vs. both. 

Core Bats: Michael Harris, Matt OlsonMarcell Ozuna

Value Bats: , Jorge Soler, Whitt Merifield, Ramon Laureano

Other bats I like tonight will be the Dodgers vs. Kyle Freeland, Royals vs. Mason Black, and Astros vs. Tyler Anderson.

Other bats I like tonight will be the Cards vs. Jake Woodford, Twins vs. Bibee, Mets vs. DJ Hertz, and Blue Jays vs. Cody Bradford  

Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @rangerzfan79 and be sure to sign up for a PREMIUM account here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate! 

Hump Day!  It’s Wednesday and that normally means multiple slates.  Tonight is different though as we have a massive 12-game slate of MLB DFS.  The sites have adjusted and this slate starts 30 minutes earlier than normal thanks to the 6:35 games being included.  With just 12 days left in the season, we have more than a handful of teams still battling for just a few playoff spots. 

With their win last night and the Dbacks and Braves losses, the Mets are now tied for the 2nd WC spot and have a 2-game edge over the Braves.  The Tigers are trying to do the impossible and come back from 9.5 games just a few weeks to make the playoffs. They are smoking hot and sit just 1.5 games outside of Minnesota.  This 12 day sprint to the finish line is going to be a fun one!

Let’s Dig in and make some money!

MLB DFS Aces – Main

Tarik Skubal ($10.6k on DK/$11k on FD) vs. Kansas City Royals

Tarik Skubal is the odds-on favorite to win the AL Cy Young award this year.  After setting a career-low ERA last season at 2.80, all he has done this season is far surpass it heading into the final 2 weeks of the season as it sits at just 2.50.  With a matchup against the division rival Kansas City Royals, I’m expecting him to continue to dominate hitters.  Over the last month, Skubal has been brilliant. 

He has an ERA of 2.55 and his K rate is sitting nearly 31%.  He also owns a WHIP of just 1.01 over the last month.  The matchup against the Royals is actually better than expected.  Over the last 30 days, the Royals have struggled vs. lefties as they have a 26% K rate and just a .286 wOBA.  Of course, guys like Witt and Perez can get drive in a run or 2 vs. Skubal, but I like this spot a lot for Skubal.  He’s my SP1 tonight and I’m not going to overthink it. 

Sonny Gray ($9.4k on DK/$10.9k on FD) vs. Pittsburgh Pirates

For me, Gray is a DK play only tonight as that FD price is outrageous.  Just find the extra $100 and go to Skubal.  Sonny Gray gets one of the better matchups tonight as the Pirates’ offense has really fallen asleep over the last few weeks.  This week they’ve been especially terrible as they’ve struck out 32% of the time and have scored just 11 runs.  We saw Lance Lynn dominate this very team last night, going 6 innings and only allowing 1 run to score while striking out 5.  That’s about as good as it’s going to get for the big fella. 

Gray should be able to replicate that and more tonight as he a ton more upside than Lynn.  Gray has been dominant of late, allowing only 3 ER over his last 3 games, while striking out 20 hitters.  He should be able to continue his dominance in a plus matchup tonight. 

Other pitchers that I like tonight if I decided to elsewhere would be Framber Valdez vs. San Diego, Bowden Francis vs. Texas and Dylan Cease vs. Houston.

MLB DFS Stacks – Main

Detroit Tigers vs. Alec Marsh

I love this spot for the Tigers today to continue their winning ways.  Alec Marsh has a very clear weakness and that’s lefties.  Over the last month, lefties have a .444 wOBA vs. him and a .366 ISO.  They also aren’t striking out much vs. him as they have just a 17% K rate vs. him over the last 30 days. 

With how the Tigers lineup shakes out, this is a worst-case scenario for Marsh as the bread and butter of this crew is all left-handed. They should be able to trot out up to 6 lefties tonight.  Look for them to put up a bunch of runs tonight. 

Core Plays: Parker Meadows, Kerry Carpenter, Riley Greene

Secondary Plays: Spencer Torkelson,

Value Plays: Everyone else in this lineup is under $4k. 

Baltimore Oriole vs. Hayden Birdsong

The Baltimore Orioles are due for a big game and I think that big game comes tonight against Hayden Birdsong.  While Birdsong isn’t a bad pitcher, he does struggle with his command at times and this is an Orioles team you don’t want to be off against.  The Orioles mostly play into Birdsong’s weakness.  Although he has a 27.5% K rate against lefties over the last month, he also has a laughable 22.5% BB rate.  That’s a whole lot of walks against lefties.  He’s also allowing a nearly 74% hard-hit rate against them. 

So when he’s not walking them, he’s letting up a ton of balls into play that are hit rather hard.  Birdsong has also really struggled away from San Fran.  His ERA jumps from 3.67 at home to a massive 5.70 on the road.  This is a get-right spot for the O’s after really struggling last night vs. Snellzilla. 

Core Bats: Gunnar Henderson, Anthony Santander, Adley Rutschman, Colton Cowser

Secondary Bats: Ryan O’hearn, Cedric Mullins

Value Bats: Heston Kjerstad, Jackson Holliday

Other bats I like tonight will be the Cards vs. Jake Woodford, Twins vs. Bibee, Mets vs. DJ Hertz, and Blue Jays vs. Cody Bradford  

Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @rangerzfan79 and be sure to sign up for a PREMIUM account here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate!