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Sports Betting

NHL DFS Betting Picks (Mar. 5)

jamie calkins 4 years ago

written by jamie calkins

NHL Betting Picks Friday 3/5

Welcome to Keith’s NHL Betting Picks Friday 3/5. A clean sweep of the board for Keith and The Model last night, going 3-0 in article plays and 2-0 in additional Twitter plays.

The Flyers were the most shocking of the 3 wins in the article. First, Crosby is announced to play after I already took the pick so I hated it. Then they go down 3-0 in the first period, only to score 4 unanswered and win the game 4-3. The Under 7 in the Maple Leafs/Canucks was always in control as the Leafs looked tired only scoring 1 goal.

We have 6 games today let’s take a look at the updated profitability and over win percentages for the teams playing today.

To interact with the dashboard click here.

Dashboard Edges

Capitals Puck Line (+1.5, -235) over the Bruins
Lightning/Blackhawks Under 6 Goals (-104)
Avalanche Money Line (-265) over the Ducks
Kings Puck Line (+1.5, -230) over the Blues
Wild Puck Line (-1.5, +188) over the Coyotes
Golden Knights Money Line (-205) over the Sharks

Keep an eye out for Starting Goalies. I originally had the Blues at -127 on my card until Husso got confirmed for tonight instead of Binnington, now it is a no play.

My Picks

Free Pick:

Bruins ML -135: The Bruins lost in a shootout to the Caps on Wednesday. Washington has been playing better as of late, but Boston is too good to lose back-to-back games. They know this is a battle for first in the division and Boston should be ready to play tonight. Vanacek for the Caps and Halak for the Bruins so no goaltending edge either way. Coyle is out for the Bruins but the Perfection Line (Pasta, Marchand, and Bergeron) is too strong to be shut down 2 games in a row.

Premium Pick:

Wild -1.5 +188: Arizona for whatever reason is really bad at home this year posting -4 units on the ML and -5 units on the PL. Minnesota played Vegas really strong in their 2 recent games, but only earned 1 point total. I think they come out strong to get 2 points tonight and make a statement against Arizona.

Follow along on Twitter @KeithKavJr for additional insight/late adds to my card

Check out the NHL WinDailySports page for any betting/DFS insight!

4 years ago 0 comments

NHL Sports Betting Premium

NHL DFS Betting Picks (Mar. 4)

jamie calkins 4 years ago

written by jamie calkins

NHL Betting Picks Thursday 3/4

Welcome to Keith’s NHL Betting Picks Thursday 3/4. Another 2-1 profitable night for Keith and The Model. The Avalanche with a huge bounce back game in a 4-0 win over the Sharks, getting that value if you took regulation or puck line. The Wild who I said had value as it was a 50/50 game, actually edged Vegas in most advanced stats despite losing 5-1.

And for the Premium Pick, the under in the Blues/Ducks was always in control even though it finished 3-2. Binnington looked very solid in net and the Ducks struggled mightily to get good chances. The Premium Pick is 3-1 overall.

We have 10 games on the slate today let’s take a look at the updated profitability and over win percentages for the teams playing tonight.

To interact with the dashboard click here.

Dashboard Edges

Flyers Puck Line (-1.5, +205) over the Penguins
Penguins/Flyers Over (6.5, +102)
Jets Money Line (+124) over the Canadiens
Hurricanes Money Line (-315) over the Red Wings
Islanders Money Line (-195) AND Puck Line (-1.5, +140) over the Sabres
Panthers Money Line (-136) over the Predators
Maple Leafs Money Line (-159) over the Canucks

Keep an eye out for Starting Goalies tonight. Some notes on the season so far:

Toronto is an absolute juggernaut this year and just beat Edmonton in their 3 game series by a combined score of 13-1. Tampa is also playing extremely well in their Stanley Cup defense and are missing arguably their best player (Kucherov – out for season). Florida and Chicago have been pleasant surprises this year. It will be interesting to see which teams make it out of the Central as Nashville and Columbus have underwhelmed but have the talent to make a run.

My Picks

Free Picks:

Panthers ML (-136): My Model is very low on the Predators this year and even with Bobrovsky starting for the Panthers it likes this number. The Panthers have also been pretty successful on the road from a betting perspective up 3.36 units. The Panthers are the better team and should take care of business.

Leafs/Canucks Under 7 Goals (-130): No one likes taking unders but when you see the line set at 7 you really have to assess whether that is reasonable or not. I wouldn’t be surprised to see the Leafs continue their dominance against a below average defense in the Canucks and carry this over. But I think there will be a slight regression tonight and at that 7 number this under was too good to pass up.

Premium Pick:

Flyers ML (-122): This is a great bounce back spot for the Flyers coming off a 5-2 loss to the Penguins on Tuesday. This will be Pittsburgh’s second straight game without Crosby and I think the Flyers will be ready for this second game against the Pens. Finally healthy and everyone has at least one game under their belt since being removed from the COVID list, look for the Flyers to come out strong and get a win tonight.

Follow along on Twitter @KeithKavJr

Check out NHL Hot Shot if you are interested in DFS and want some good insight!

4 years ago 0 comments

NHL Sports Betting Premium

NHL DFS Betting Picks (Mar. 3)

jamie calkins 4 years ago

written by jamie calkins

NHL Betting Picks Wednesday 3/3

Welcome to Keith’s NHL Betting Picks Wednesday 3/3. Another 2-1 night, with the biggest surprise coming in that Sabres/Rangers Under. Four goals in the first period made me think that was a lost cause, only to have one more goal scored the rest of the game and hit the under. The Penguins pumped the Flyers, it happens. And then the Jets did exactly what I thought and took care of business with another poor night from Braden Holtby.

We have 6 games on the slate today, lets take a look at the updated profitability and over win percentages for the teams playing tonight.

To interact with the dashboard click here.

Dashboard Edges

Capitals Puck Line (+1.5, -225) over the Bruins
Maple Leafs Money Line (-112) over the Oilers
Ducks Puck Line (+1.5, -220) over the Blues
Blues Money Line (-150) over the Ducks
Kings Puck Line (+1.5, -275) over the Coyotes

Keep an eye out for the Starting Goalies today. The Leafs get back beauty Auston Matthews and goaltender Frederik Andersen, although they haven’t needed them lately beating the Oilers by a combined score of 7-0 in their past two games.

My Picks

Free Picks

Wild ML +129: These two teams played on Monday with Vegas scoring three unanswered goals to win in OT. Vegas has not looked great as of late and think the books are slightly overvaluing them. The Model shows this at about a 50/50 game which means we are getting decent value on Minnesota.

Avalanche in Regulation -130: The Avalanche are the significantly better team and they just got pumped by the Sharks 6-2 on Monday. This is a clear bounce back game for the Avs, even with a couple injuries on defense, and I like them to take care of business in regulation as there is no value on the money line.

Premium Picks

Blues/Ducks Under 5.5 Goals -114: This game went over on Monday (5-4, 9 total goals) and we played it mostly due to St. Louis’ backup goalie Ville Husso who didn’t let us down allowing 4 goals. Tonight St. Louis is going back with Jordan Binnington. Anaheim hits less than 40% of their overs and average only 4.88 total goals per game (goals for plus goals against). They specifically struggle on offense only scoring 2.01 goals/game. This looks like a good bounce back spot for the under.

Follow along on Twitter @KeithKavJr

Read all of WinDailySports’ Sports Betting Articles to get great insight and win some money!

4 years ago 0 comments

PGA

Bettor Golf: Arnold Palmer Invitational

Michael Rasile 4 years ago

written by Michael Rasile

Bettor Golf: Arnold Palmer Invitational

Stix and Spencer are back with another great episode of Bettor Golf: Arnold Palmer Invitational! They will be breaking down this tournament, and every other one, to give you the best betting angles. From Top 40s to long shot outrights, to the matchups they can find the value in, they have you covered.

Make sure to subscribe on Apple podcasts and leave a 5 star review!!!

Bettor Golf is here to give you a comprehensive breakdown of each PGA tournament with education, insight, and entertainment. Rather than giving you a few outrights for the tournament, they will dive deep into the field to see who to fade, where the value in the market is, and how to shop around for the best prices so you can win some money!

They have each created their own proprietary models that allow them to view each tournament and golfer to give you an edge when it comes to the betting market. Matchups, Top 40s, Top 10s, and who they believe has the best odds to take the whole thing down!

Make sure to follow @BettorGolfPodcast on twitter!

Make sure to check out the Win Daily Sports Betting Membership for even more shark plays and always be on top of the best lines on our Betting Lines page!

🎙️ BETTOR GOLF: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/bettor-golf/id1555282384

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4 years ago 0 comments

PGA Sports Betting Premium

Arnold Palmer Invitational Betting Sheet

Michael Rasile 4 years ago

written by Michael Rasile

Arnold Palmer Invitational Betting Sheet

Get ready to bet some golf with us! We have you covered with the Arnold Palmer Invitational Betting Sheet! We have you covered from all different angles for every golf tournament moving forward.

Make sure to check out our new Golf Betting podcast, Bettor Golf!

Looking for DFS information? Make sure to check out all the articles we have for you.

Team/Player	Sport	SportsBook	Line	Unit Risk
Matthew NeSmith Top 40	PGA	PointsBet	+200	2.00
Kyoung-Hoon Lee Top 40	PGA	Draftkings	+275	0.25
Viktor Hovland Top 10	PGA	Draftkings	+150	0.75
Luke List Top 40	PGA	PointsBet	+160	1.00
Paul Casey to Win	PGA	PointsBet	+2800	0.80
Corey Conners Top 40	PGA	PointsBet	+150	0.30
Luke List Top 30	PGA	PointsBet	+260	1.20
Luke List Top 20	PGA	Fanduel	+450	0.50
Cam Davis Top 40	PGA	PointsBet	+110	1.00
Luke List Top 10	PGA	Fanduel	+950	0.25
Lanto Griffin Top 40	PGA	PointsBet	+130	1.50
Lanto Griffin Top 30	PGA	PointsBet	+210	0.80
Matthew NeSmith Top 30	PGA	PointsBet	+320	0.50
Charley Hoffman Top 40	PGA	Draftkings	+138	1.25
Bo Hoag Top 40	PGA	PointsBet	+320	0.80
Cameron Tringale Top 40	PGA	Draftkings	+120	3.00
Cameron Tringale Top 30	PGA	Draftkings	+164	1.00
Cameron Tringale Round 1 Leader	PGA	Draftkings	+7000	0.20
Kevin Na Top 40	PGA	PointsBet	-112	1.00
Matchups: Cameron Tringale over Kevin Kisner	PGA	Fanduel	-112	1.50
Cameron Tringale to Win	PGA	PointsBet	+8000	0.50
Matchups: Max Homa over Rickie Fowler	PGA	Fanduel	-112	0.75
Matchups: Branden Grace over Shane Lowry	PGA	Fanduel	+108	0.60
Matchups: Lanto Griffin over Kevin Na	PGA	Draftkings	+100	0.75
Matchups: Matthew NeSmith over Sebastian Munoz	PGA	Draftkings	-112	1.25
Matchups: Cameron Tringale over Sam Burns	PGA	Draftkings	-103	0.80
Matchups: Branden Grace over Charles Howell III	PGA	Draftkings	+100	2.00
Matchups: Russ Knox over Alex Noren	PGA	Draftkings	-106	0.75
MU Parlay: Grace > CH3 / Tringale > Burns / NeSmith > Munoz / Lanto > Kevin NA	PGA	Draftkings	+1405	0.50
Justin Rose to Win	PGA	Draftkings	+7000	0.50
Justin Rose Top 30	PGA	Draftkings	+164	0.65
Tyrell Hatton to Win	PGA	Draftkings	+1800	0.50
Rory McIlroy to Win	PGA	Draftkings	+850	1.00

Follow the new podcast on twitter @BettorGolfPod!

4 years ago 0 comments

PGA

Arnold Palmer Invitational Breakdown

Michael Rasile 4 years ago

written by Michael Rasile

Arnold Palmer Invitational Breakdown

Sia, Joel, and Michael breakdown some of the golf we saw last week with Joel pocketing $50k on a showdown and Sia picking another outright winner for the tournament! They then push on to the Arnold Palmer Invitational Breakdown which has a solid field with a lot of the names we know and love!

With a normal field again, we can get a little different with our builds for DraftKings and FanDuel. The Top tier has some fade potential and allows you to get much more consistency in your lineups. Sia and Joel also agree that the $7k range has some great options and opportunities to make or break your lineup. Remember, you can’t be TOO confident in golfers priced this low.

We then break some news for you on who will be winning the Arnold Palmer Invitational Breakdown with some outright bets and first round leaders!

https://youtu.be/5ceXlzucus4

Make sure to check out the Win Daily Sports Betting Membership for even more shark plays and always be on top of the best lines on our Betting Lines page!

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Change your game, change your life!

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4 years ago 0 comments

NHL Sports Betting Premium

NHL DFS Betting Picks (Mar. 2)

jamie calkins 4 years ago

written by jamie calkins

NHL Betting Picks Tuesday 3/2

Welcome to Keith’s NHL Betting Picks Tuesday 3/2. A solid 2-1 night with the Canes hanging on to win in OT and the Blues/Ducks putting up a bunch of goals just how we chalked it up. The Jets laid an egg but the Canucks also had all of the bounces go their way, according to their beat writer Thomas Drance of The Athletic.

It happens, and they play again tonight so maybe we just ride them again today. Let’s take a look at the updated profitability and over win percentages for the teams playing today.

To interact with the dashboard click here.

Dashboard Edges

Flyers/Penguins Over 6.5 Goals (+102)
Flyers Puck Line (+1.5, -286) over the Penguins
Rangers Puck Line (-1.5, +175) over the Sabres
Jets Money Line (-139) over the Canucks
Canes Money Line (-125) over the Predators
Lightning Money Line (-165) AND Puck Line (-1.5, +163) over the Stars

Keep an eye out for the Starting Goalies. This is an obvious spot for the Canadiens to shred into the Senators coming off a big win last night against the Flames. However I unfortunately have ruled out betting on the Canadiens for the remainder of the season since they have burned me one too many times. But I do like them tonight (especially in regulation), I just can’t take them.

My Picks

Free Picks

Flyers ML (-106): Sidney Crosby has been ruled out tonight so I grabbed this price as soon as the news broke. The line has adjusted accordingly to -120ish on most books, which I still don’t hate that price. No goaltending advantage for either side as Hart and Jarry have underperformed a little bit this season but both were very solid last season. The Flyers are finally healthy and should have a decent advantage over the Crosby-less Penguins tonight.

Rangers/Sabres Under 5.5 Goals (-108): Gross. An under. The Sabres and the Rangers are 3rd and 4th to last in the League in total goals/game (5.00 and 5.19 respectively). The Sabres also have struggled mightily at 5v5 on generating scoring chances. My only area of concern is that the Sabres have a pretty lethal PP and the Rangers spend the second most time on the PK in the League/game (6.3 minutes). We’re hoping the Rangers stay disciplined and King Igor shuts down this weak Sabres offense.

Premium Pick

Jets ML -127: We’re doing it again tonight. The Jets were flat last night and the Canucks had 3 lucky goals in my opinion. I think the Jets come out strong tonight and try to split this back-to-back. Both backups tonight in goal. In 4 games this season, backup goalie for the Jets Laurent Brossoit has played surprisingly well and Canucks goalie Braden Holtby has not. This is a great bounce back spot for the Jets and I like it tonight.

Follow along on Twitter @KeithKavJr

Take a look at all of WinDailySports’ Sports Betting Articles to keep winning money!

4 years ago 0 comments

NHL Sports Betting Premium

NHL DFS Betting Picks (May 1)

Josh Barzal 4 years ago

written by Josh Barzal

NHL Betting Picks Monday 3/1

Welcome to Keith’s NHL Betting Picks Monday 3/1. An easy 1-0 day after the Blackhawks hit the over (5.5, -110) by themselves with a 7-2 victory over Detroit. Not to mention all 3 Dashboard Edges hit yesterday as well, so we had quite a day. We have 7 games on the slate tonight let’s take a look at the updated profitability and over win percentages for the teams playing today.

To interact with the dashboard click here.

Dashboard Edges

Jets Money Line (-136) AND Puck Line (-1.5, +185) over the Canucks
Ducks Puck Line (+1.5, -225) over the Blues

Keep an eye out for the Starting Goalies today. Not too many dashboard edges today but those two for the Jets are quite significant. The Leafs are hoping Auston Matthews will be ready to play tonight but he is officially a game-time decision.

My Picks

Free Picks

Jets ML (-136): The Canucks have played better of late, but so have the Jets coming off 2 wins in their mini-series with the Canadiens. The Jets top line of Dubois-Schiefele-Wheeler has now had a few games under their belt and you can see the chemistry they’re building. The first game of a back-to-back against each other and the Jets confirmed Hellebuyck in net, we are taking them tonight.

Blues/Ducks Over 5.5 Goals (-103): Ville Husso is confirmed for the Blues which makes me really like this over. He has not had a good year posting a 3.77 GAA and a 0.879 SV%. Gibson on the other hand usually is an elite goaltender but has taken a step back this season. The Ducks have had trouble scoring goals and hitting their overs this year, but I think this is a good spot for them to take some people by surprise tonight.

Premium Pick

Hurricanes ML (-105): The Panthers have had a very hot start to the season while the Hurricanes have had a good not great start. I think the Hurricanes are the better team, and even have a slight edge in goaltending. But with Duclair out for the Panthers and them having to adjust their top line, I like the Hurricanes to take advantage of that spot here and play a strong game.

Follow along on Twitter @KeithKavJr

Interested in NHL DFS? Take a look for today’s NHL DFS Man Advantage and win some money!

4 years ago 0 comments

NHL Sports Betting Premium

NHL DFS Betting Picks (Feb. 28)

jamie calkins 4 years ago

written by jamie calkins

NHL Betting Picks Sunday 2/28

Welcome to Keith’s NHL Betting Picks Sunday 2/28. A 1-2 day yesterday as Matt Murray let us down by giving up some goals you and me could’ve saved in the Senators/Flames tilt. A good win with the Flyers money line, and then a questionable goal was scored with 10 minutes left in the Golden Knights/Ducks game that pushed it to OT with Vegas ultimately winning. You be the judge if this look like a high stick:

Looks like a high stick to me, but I digress.

Today we have 6 games let’s take a look at the updated profitability and over win percentage for the teams playing today:

To interact with the dashboard click this link.

Dashboard Edges

Flyers Money Line (-175) and Puck Line (-1.5, +148) against the Sabres
Blackhawks Money Line (-195) against the Red Wings
Islanders Puck Line (-1.5, +220) against the Penguins

Keep an eye out for the Starting Goalies. Not too much to love on the board but there is one play I do like.

My Pick

Blackhawks/Red Wings Over 5.5 Goals: Coming off a 5-3 game yesterday (8 total goals), it’s easy to think that this game will regress to the mean and go under. However, the Red Wings are starting one of the worst goalies in the league this season in Thomas Griess. The Blackhawks are starting rookie Kevin Lankinen who started the season great before having a couple of shaky performances lately. The Blackhawks will come out strong knowing they can’t lose back-to-back games against the Red Wings and I think the over hits again today.

Follow along on Twitter @KeithKavJr

Check out all of WinDailySport’s Sports Betting Articles and win some money!

4 years ago 0 comments

NHL Sports Betting Premium

NHL DFS Betting Picks Saturday (Feb. 28)

Phil Naessens 4 years ago

written by Phil Naessens

NHL Betting Picks Saturday 2/26

Welcome to Keith’s NHL Betting Picks Saturday 2/26. We had one play yesterday (Kings/Wild Over 5.5 Goals) which looked great after a 3 goal first period, that ultimately had 1 goal scored the rest of the game. We look to get back in the positive today with a huge 14 game slate tonight, the biggest slate of the season so far.

We have three 1:00 games to start off, let’s take a look at the updated profitability and over win percentages for the teams playing today:

To interact with the dashboard click here.

Dashboard Edges

Flyers Puckline (-1.5, +188) over the Sabres
Lightning Puckline (-1.5, +143) AND Moneyline (-182) over the Stars
Islanders Puckline (-1.5, +210) over the Penguins
Blackhawks Moneyline (-167) over the Red Wings
Jets Moneyline (+102) over the Canadiens
Golden Knights Moneyline (-200) over the Ducks
Senators/Flames Under (6, -114)

Keep an eye out for the Starting Goalies as always. With such a big slate it’s difficult to stay disciplined and not get carried away betting on every game. With 7 dashboard edges above too it’s hard not to see some value there as well.

My Picks

Free Picks

Flyers ML (-141): The Flyers essentially have everyone back from COVID playing a Buffalo team whose only wins in the month of February come against New Jersey. Even with Brian Elliot starting for the Flyers I still like this price here. An even bigger edge with the Flyers if Jack Eichel (game-time decision) doesn’t play.

Flames/Senators Under 6 Goals (-114): After a huge 6-1 outburst in their last meeting on Thursday, I expect a lower scoring affair today. Both teams are around 40% on their overs, with the Flames average total goals on the season at 5.34 (Ottawa is at 6.4). I like this 6 number so we push if it is exactly 6 goals.

Premium Pick

Golden Knights in Regulation (-125): Don’t want to overthink this one, Vegas is the significantly better team. They are 3-1 against the Ducks this season (2 wins in regulation, 1 in overtime). The Ducks are in shambles and probably the worst team in the West Division. Both teams have very solid goaltending but Vegas is an all around stronger team and should handle business tonight in 60 minutes.

Follow along on Twitter @KeithKavJr

I went live yesterday with Michael Rasile talking about how The Model works and the thought process behind my picks, check it out here!

Get all your Sports Betting Picks for the weekend and win some money!

4 years ago 0 comments

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Sports Betting

NHL Betting Picks Friday 3/5

My Picks

NHL Betting Picks Thursday 3/4

My Picks

NHL Betting Picks Wednesday 3/3

My Picks

Bettor Golf: Arnold Palmer Invitational

Arnold Palmer Invitational Betting Sheet

Arnold Palmer Invitational Breakdown

NHL Betting Picks Tuesday 3/2

My Picks

NHL Betting Picks Monday 3/1

My Picks

NHL Betting Picks Sunday 2/28

My Pick

NHL Betting Picks Saturday 2/26

My Picks

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