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NHL Betting Picks Monday 3/15

Welcome to Keith’s NHL Betting Picks Monday 3/15. After a weekend hiatus we return. Friday was our last day of plays and we went 1-1 with the Avs handling the Kings and the Wild doing all the scoring but only getting 4 goals to miss on our over.

We have 9 games on the slate today including a 4pm tilt between the Predators and Lightning. Let’s take a look at the profitability and over win percentages for the teams playing today.

To interact with the dashboard click here.

Dashboard Edges

  • Lightning Money Line (-315) AND Puck Line (-1.5, -122) over the Predators
  • Blackhawks Puck Line (+1.5, -175) over the Panthers
  • Capitals Money Line (-235) AND Puck Line (-1.5, +100) over the Sabres
  • Jets Money Line (+105) over the Canadiens
  • Oilers Money Line (+100) over the Flames

Keep an eye out for the Starting Goalies today.

My Picks

Free Picks

Canucks -1 (-114): The Senators are coming off a big win against the Maple Leafs last night. The Canucks are a little banged up but we are getting Demko in net. Tough to see the Sens put together back-to-back strong performances. Taking the -1 number to give us some more value from their -177 money line as I believe they will win by more than a goal tonight.

Jets Money Line (+105): Winnipeg is coming off of a great win Saturday against the Leafs while the Canadiens are coming off of a 3-1 loss to the Flames. We get the best possible goalie matchup here (Hellebuyck vs Price). The Jets are +7.2u as an underdog and +3.25u at home whereas the Canadiens are -3.7u as a favorite and -3.6u on the road. The Jets have some momentum and I like them to take care of business tonight.

Premium Pick

Blackhawks Money Line (+160): The Model sees some great value on this play as we are getting the best goalie matchup possible (Lankinen vs Bobrovsky). The Panthers have played well this year but the Blackhawks have also done a good job. And with this value it is too hard to pass up.

Follow along on Twitter @KeithKavJr for the most up-to-date information regarding my plays.

Interested in NHL DFS? Read NHL DFS Man Advantage for Monday 3/15 to get the best edges tonight!

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NHL Betting Picks Friday 3/12

Welcome to Keith’s NHL Betting Picks Friday 3/12. A 3-0 night for The Model, and we added Blackhawks ML late to take us to 4-0. Nights like these are why we do this. Penguins handled the Sabres, the Flyers and Caps might still be scoring goals, and the Flames had the energy of their new coach carry them to victory.

We have 5 games on the slate today let’s take a look at the updated profitability and over win percentages for the teams playing tonight.

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Dashboard Edges

  • Wild Puck Line (-1.5, +133) over the Coyotes
  • Golden Knights Puck Line (-1.5, +215) over the Blues
  • Oilers Money Line (-265) over the Senators
  • Sharks Money Line (-120) over the Ducks
  • Kings Puck Line (+1.5, -136) over the Avalanche

Keep an eye out for Starting Goalies tonight. Some interesting goalie situations today. Vegas will be without Marc-Andre Fleury after he landed on the COVID list and Robin Lehner is also still injured. The Kings are also probably rolling Troy Grosenick again after his first NHL action since 2014 on Wednesday.

My Picks

Free Picks

Avalanche -1 (-148): As mentioned above the Kings look likely to roll with Grosenick again, who did play well on Wednesday although against a weak scoring Ducks team. He faces a much stronger opponent with significant offensive firepower in the Avs today, which is why we are taking them here.

Wild/Coyotes Over 5.5 Goals (+115): Anytime you get plus money on an over of 5.5 you have to take a second look and understand why you are getting plus money there. The Wild are averaging 5.69 total goals and the Coyotes 5.37. However both of these teams hit their over greater than 50% of the time (Minnesota 62.5% and Arizona 57.7%). With both backup goalies projected I am taking the over here

Follow along on Twitter @KeithKavJr for the latest up-to-date picks!

If you’re interested in betting on other sports, check out all of WinDailySport’s Sports Betting Articles to win some money!

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NHL Betting Picks Thursday 3/11

Welcome to Keith’s NHL Betting Picks Thursday 3/11. Just how we drew it up, a 2-0 bounce back night for The Model. Full disclosure, when it was announced Kings goalie Cal Petersen was put on the COVID Protocol List and they were starting someone who hasn’t played an NHL game since 2014 (!!) I almost jumped ship and hedged with the Ducks. But I rode with Troy Grosenick to the promised land. Montreal also easily took care of the Canucks, both games won 5-1, and now we are on to Thursday.

We have 10 games on the slate tonight let’s take a look at the updated profitability and over win percentage for the teams playing tonight.

To interact with the dashboard click here.

Dashboard Edges

  • Jets Puck Line (+1.5, -175) over the Maple Leafs
  • Panthers Money Line (-136) over the Blue Jackets
  • Penguins Money Line (-205) over the Sabres
  • Capitals/Flyers Over (6.5, +100)
  • Hurricanes Money Line (-235) over the Predators
  • Islanders Puck Line (-1.5, +135) over the Devils
  • Rangers Puck Line (+1.5, -162) over the Bruins
  • Lightning Money Line (-335) over the Red Wings

Keep an eye out for Starting Goalies. Shoutout to my buddy @JoePucks for getting me hip to -1 lines. They offer similar value to betting on regulation, but you push on a OT/SO win instead of losing the bet. You also push on a 1 goal win in regulation as opposed to winning the bet if you take regulation but that is the trade-off when placing this bet.

My Picks

Free Picks

Penguins -1 (-137): The Penguins are the significantly better team. The Sabres played a close game with the Flyers on Tuesday, but when re-watching the game I saw a lot to be desired from the Sabres defensively and I see the Penguins exposing that tonight. Look for Crosby, Malkin and company to run over Buffalo without Jack Eichel.

Flyers/Capitals Over 6 Goals (-125): These two teams hit their overs at an extremely high rate, the two highest over win percentage teams on the slate tonight. They are third and fourth overall in total goals this year (6.25 and 6.23). There is nothing to suggest that will change today, let’s hope to get some good bounces and get that over.

Premium Pick

Flames ML (-113): The Canadiens are probably a slightly better team at this point with Jake Allen in net who has been playing above expectations this year. However the Flames are fully rested (Canadiens played last night) and are playing their first game with their new coach. That energy is something I believe will push them over the edge and get them the victory tonight.

Follow along on Twitter @KeithKavJr for the most up-to-date insight and advice.

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NHL Betting Picks Wednesday 3/10

Welcome to Keith’s NHL Betting Picks Wednesday 3/10. Last night was a tough one for The Model. A donut. An 0-fer. Losing all 3 picks. It happens, it’s hockey, we move on. Still highly profitable this year and we will stick to the process. The Lightning and Flyers did end up winning, just both in the overtime period which meant losers on both of those bets.

We have 5 games tonight let’s take a look at the profitability and over win percentage for the teams playing tonight.

To interact with the dashboard click here.

Dashboard Edges

  • Wild Puck Line (+1.5, -286) over the Golden Knights
  • Kings Money Line (-121) over the Ducks
  • Canadiens Puck Line (-1.5, +170) over the Canucks

Keep an eye out for Starting Goalies tonight. We have a few games here where it is the second of a back-to-back between evenly matched teams so we might try to take the loser of the first game as that has been relatively profitable trend this season.

My Picks

Free Pick

Kings ML (-123): The Ducks are coming off a 6-5 OT win against the Kings on Monday. The Ducks simply do not score this season, so do not expect that kind of output tonight. The Kings are 0-1-1 against the Ducks this season but have stronger underlying numbers so I expect them to get the victory here tonight.

Premium Pick

Canadiens -1.5 (+170): This is a little bit of a risky play but I really like the value here. The Habs are coming off a 2-1 shootout loss to the Canucks on Monday. They are 4-0-2 against the Canucks this year with all 4 victories coming by 2+ goals. They need a rebound game tonight and the puck line value is too good to pass up.

Follow along on Twitter @KeithKavJr for the latest updates/adds to the card

The first Golf major of the year is upon us, check out The PLAYERS Betting Sheet for the best insight and value!

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THE PLAYERS Betting Sheet

Get ready for another fun week of golf with all the sweats you could ask for! We have THE PLAYERS Betting Sheet here for you to work with. Matchups, Top 40s, outrights, and everything in between to get you a positive week at the sportsbook! Looking for some DFS content? We have that too!

Make sure to check out the Bettor Golf Podcast where we give you extensive details on what to look for this week with our special guest David Bearman of ESPN! Give it a listen and a 5-star review while you’re at it! Follow along too @BettorGolfPod @StixPicks @TeeOffSports!

Team/PlayerSportSportsBookLineUnit Risk
Collin Morikawa to WinPGAFanduel+22000.40
Viktor Hovland to WinPGAPointsBet+28000.20
Patrick Cantlay to WinPGADraftkings+22000.20
Tony Finau to WinPGAFanduel+32000.50
Scottie Scheffler to WinPGADraftkings+50000.40
Cam Smith to WinPGADraftkings+55000.20
Nate Lashley Top 40PGAFanduel+3600.60
Lanto Griffin Top 40PGAPointsBet+1800.30
Cameron Tringale Top 40PGAPointsBet+2601.75
Russ Henley Top 40PGAPointsBet+1800.40
Keegan Bradley Top 40PGAPointsBet+2500.30
Doug Ghim Top 40PGAPointsBet+3000.25
Scottie Scheffler Top 40PGADraftkings-1102.00
Tony Finau Top 20PGAPointsBet+1400.80
Viktor Hovland Top 20PGADraftkings+1500.60
Hideki Matsuyama Top 30PGADraftkings+1300.60
Tyrell Hatton to WinPGADraftkings+35000.40
Matchups: Tommy Fleetwood over Patrick ReedPGAFanduel+1200.90
Matchups: Scottie Scheffler over Daniel BergerPGAFanduel-1080.80
Matchups: Tony Finau over Daniel BergerPGADraftkings-1200.80
Matchups: Will Zalatoris over Sungjae ImPGADraftkings+1050.30
Matchups: Jason Day over Abraham AncerPGADraftkings-1090.40
Matchups: Cam Smith over Joaquin NiemannPGADraftkings-1090.80
Paul Casey Top 40PGAPointsBet+1001.50
Chris Kirk Top 40PGAPointsBet+2400.50
Emiliano Grillo Top 40PGAPointsBet+2600.40
Cam Davis Top 40PGAPointsBet+2400.30
John Rahm To WinPGAFanduel+17000.30
Adam Scott to WinPGAFanduel+85000.15
Collin Morikawa Top 20PGADraftkings+1250.50
Viktor Hovland Top 20PGADraftkings+1500.50
Harold Varner Top 40PGAPointsBet+3200.50
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THE PLAYERS Championship Breakdown

No Michael to steer the ship tonight, so Sia and Joel travel the treacherous seas together. Thankfully, they are the two that know golf and are here to give you the THE PLAYERS Championship Breakdown.

This huge star-studded field should be a great tournament giving us some great opportunities to watch golf, but to bet on it and play some DFS.

Sia and Joel also discuss this little bet that Joel put together last week that netted him another $30,000 off of $27. I personally would have cashed out because I’m a wimp, but Joel has a much bigger ego(?) than I do.

https://youtu.be/19eLWjtxxpk

Make sure to check out the Win Daily Sports Betting Membership for even more shark plays and always be on top of the best lines on our Betting Lines page!

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NHL Betting Picks Tuesday 3/9

Welcome to Keith’s NHL Betting Picks Tuesday 3/9. Our first losing night in a while with a couple of unlucky breaks. The Wild handled their business against Vegas with a 2-0 victory. But the Blues/Sharks fell 1 goal short of the over and the Kings lost in OT to the Ducks. It happens. It’s hockey. We will bounce back today.

Let’s take a look at the updated profitability and over win percentages for the teams playing today.

To interact with the dashboard click here.

Dashboard Edges

  • Rangers Puck Line (+1.5, -190) over the Penguins
  • Islanders Puck Line (+1.5, -265) over the Bruins
  • Hurricanes Money Line (-200) over the Predators
  • Flyers Money Line (-235) and Puck Line (-1.5, +114) over the Sabres
  • Panthers Money Line (-130) over the Blue Jackets
  • Lightning Money Line (-360) and Puck Line (-1.5, -124) over the Red Wings
  • Blackhawks Money Line (+112) and Puck Line (+1.5, -245) over the Stars

Keep an eye out for Starting Goalies. There is surprisingly some value on the Devils money line tonight as Tom Wilson is suspended. I also lean Panthers tonight as the number for their money line is a little short considering the sub-par play from Columbus so far this season.

My Picks

Free Picks

Lightning -1.5 (-125): Tampa is a monster money line favorite tonight at -360, which you could actually argue there is some value on the Red Wings, but I digress. Tampa has won by 2 goals and 4 goals against the Wings this year and I have no reason to believe this trend doesn’t continue. We are getting value at the puck line number which is why we are on it tonight.

Maple Leafs ML (-177): Toronto has not lost 3 games in a row this year (currently on a 2-game losing streak). Winnipeg has looked better of late but is still wildly inconsistent. I look for Toronto to come out strong tonight and assert their dominance atop the North Division.

Premium Pick

Flyers in Regulation (-155): The Sabres are already one of the bottom feeders in the NHL and now they are without their only elite player in Jack Eichel. Not to mention the only solid goaltending they have got this season (Linus Ullmark) is out at least a month. The Flyers should take care of business tonight and we are trying to get that extra value by taking them in regulation.

Follow along on Twitter @KeithKavJr for the most up-to-date picks.

Check out all of WinDailySports’ Sports Betting Picks on the night for some winners!

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NHL Betting Picks Monday 3/8

Welcome to Keith’s NHL Betting Picks Monday 3/8. An easy 1-0 night for The Model as the Penguins took care of their business against the Rangers winning by a score of 5-1.

We have 6 games on the slate today let’s take a look at the profitability and over win percentages of the teams playing tonight.

To interact with the dashboard click here.

Dashboard Edges

  • Sharks Puck Line (+1.5, -182) over the Blues
  • Sharks/Blues Over Goals (6, -114)
  • Kings Money Line (-124) over the Ducks
  • Canadiens Puck Line (-1.5, +165) over the Canucks

Keep an eye out for Starting Goalies. The starting goalies are most crucial in the Canucks/Canadiens game as there would be advantage for MTL if we get Allen/Holtby, and a strong advantage for VAN if we get Price/Demko.

My Picks

Free Picks

Sharks Blues Over 6 Goals (-114): We have a dream goalie matchup for this over in Dubnyk/Husso. Both of these teams are top 4 in total goals/game this season and love getting it at this 6 number.

Wild ML +100: Minnesota played two good games against Vegas last week but lost both. The Golden Knights are expected to be without top player Mark Stone and that gives me enough reason to believe Minnesota can come out tonight and get a win.

Premium Pick

Kings ML -124: Los Angeles has had a pretty good streak of games the last couple of weeks before regressing a little bit last week. We have Petersen in goal who has surprisingly been posting better numbers than the netminder confirmed for the Ducks (John Gibson). The Ducks struggle in all areas of play and I think getting the Kings at this number provides good value.

Follow along on Twitter @KeithKavJr for the most up-to-date plays.

Interested in NHL DFS? Take a look at NHL DFS Man Advantage for Monday 3/8/21 for the best insight in the game!

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NHL Betting Picks Sunday 3/7

Welcome to Keith’s NHL Betting Picks Sunday 3/7. It is Hockey Day in America and we have 8 games on the slate for today. Another profitable night for The Model going 2-1, including our Premium Pick winner with the Flyers/Penguins hitting another over.

Let’s take a look at the updated profitability and over win percentage for the teams playing today.

To interact with the dashboard click here.

Keep an eye out for Starting Goalies.

My Picks

Penguins ML (-150): The only pick for the day. At this point the Rangers goalie is not announced but if it ends up being Keith Kinkaid then this is an incredible number. Both teams coming off of a win yesterday, I trust the Penguins significantly more to get their second straight victory here.

Follow along on Twitter @KeithKavJr

Win some money on NHL DFS by reading Sunday 3/7 NHL Hot Shot

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NHL Betting Picks Saturday 3/6

Welcome to Keith’s NHL Betting Picks Saturday 3/6. Another undefeated night for The Model as the Bruins and the Wild handedly won their contests against the Capitals and Coyotes respectively. I also took the Blues the night before because I saw good value only for Husso to be named starter at noon on Friday and ruin all the value I had. Down 2-1 with a minute left they tied it then won it in OT. I am too hot for my own good right now.

We have a monster 12 game slate today let’s take a look at the updated profitability and over win percentages for the teams playing today.

To interact with the dashboard click here.

Dashboard Edges

  • Rangers Puck Line (-1.5, +210) over the Devils
  • Islanders Puck Line (-1.5, +123), Money Line (-210) and Under (5, +118) over the Sabres
  • Flyers Puck Line (+1.5, -265) and Over (6, -117) over the Penguins
  • Panthers Money Line (-141) over the Predators
  • Wild Puck Line (-1.5, +188) over the Coyotes
  • Jets Money Line (+120) over the Canadiens
  • Maple Leafs Money Line (-200) over the Canucks
  • Avalanche Money Line (-245) over the Ducks
  • Kings Puck Line (+1.5, -265) over the Blues
  • Golden Knights Money Line (-210) over the Sharks

Keep an eye out for Starting Goalies. We have 4 back-to-backs today so expect different goalie usage today compared to yesterday, especially with this condensed schedule. If I wasn’t a Devils fan I would most likely take the Rangers today as the Devils are in a full free fall, so take that for what it’s worth.

My Picks

Free Picks

Maple Leafs in Regulation (-124): Toronto is arguably the best team in the NHL coming off a loss Thursday to Vancouver. Look for them to bounce back tonight. Toronto should have the goaltending edge if Holtby goes for Vancouver. Look for Matthews to get back on the board tonight and carry his team to victory. There isn’t much value on the money line, which is why I took the regulation pick.

Oilers Money Line (-132): The Oilers are coming off an embarrassing 3 game skid to the Maple Leafs not earning a single point. Calgary just fired their coach on Thursday, with their new coach not being able to join the team until next week. Look for Edmonton to come out strong in what I expect to be an excellent Battle of Alberta. McDavid can only be quiet for so long before he erupts, and I expect that to happen tonight.

Premium Pick

Flyers/Penguins Over 6 Goals (-110): These 2 teams love scoring against each other with the over hitting in all 4 matchups they have played this season. I love getting this at 6 and am hoping for a 5th straight hit.

Follow along on Twitter @KeithKavJr for any late adds to the card.

Interested in UFC and want to know more about the big card tonight? Read Al’s UFC 259 3/6 DraftKings, FanDuel, Odds, DFS & Betting Breakdown for the best insight in the game!

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