The Insight Sheet gets you ready before lock for the Sony Open in Hawaii. Inside is my own model and personal player selection. Make sure to be on Discord tonight to get final questions asked and for help with lineup building. As always the sheet uses DraftKings pricing but the model is set up for overall play. Players can be used on all sites.
Players priced $10,000 and up
Webb Simpson $11,100 – Simpson has three top 10 in his last three outings. Simpson comes in rated fourth in my model while not finishing below 15th in his last four attempts at the Sony Open. His one flaw lately has been OTT. He’s lost strokes the last two events but that won’t stop me from rostering him.
Collin Morikawa $10,300 – Like I wrote up last week Morikawa has few flaws to his game and he finished tied for 7th. He got priced up to $1,700 on Draftkings which hopefully lowers his ownership. He’s probably due for some regression but I’m gonna ride his no missed cut streak until he does.
Patrick Reed $10,800 **Pivot** – I’m sure you heard that a fan yelled cheater to Reed after he missed a putt in the playoffs, at the TOC. I feel he might have a long year, but if that drops his ownership because of it, I’m here to sign up. Finished 2nd last week and has a better course fit than Morikawa. He should come in with lower ownership than the top two and will be a nice pivot either way.
Players priced between $9,000 and $9,900
Joaquin Niemann $9,400 – Coming off a 5th place showing at the Sentry Tournament of Champions, this will be Niemann’s first time playing the Sony Open. Ranked third in my model, Niemann will look to continue gaining strokes with his ball-striking.
Sungjae Im $9,600 – Last year was the first time Im played at the Sony open but he finished with a T16. He gained 7 strokes in total last year along the way. He last played in the WGC – HSBC where he finished at T11 gaining over 8 strokes in the tournament. He might come in a little high in ownership but he’s consistent and worthy.
Marc Leishman $9,200 **Pivot/GPP** – I usually don’t play Leishman at this price point but pops decently in the model and should come lower owned then the top two and could surprise.
Players priced between $8,000 and $8,900
Brian Harman $8,200 – He coming through as my number one in the model. He missed the cut last year but prior he had four top 20 with a top 5 in four years. He’s coming off a T14 at the RSM Classic, Harman may be one of my highest owned players.
Brandt Snedeker $8,600 **Pivot**– A top 15 showing in my model. Solid game all around, who has a top-three finish in 2016. First showing for Snedeker this year though so I would be a little cautious.
Corey Conners $8,900 – Conners is one of the better Par 4 players between the 450 – 500 yards range, which a big chunk of the course is. He’s number 14 in the model but I expect his ownership to be close to 20%.
Cameron Smith $8,500 **GPP** – Only a handful of players score more DraftKings points than Smith on these types of courses. He’s a bit of a boom or bust player though, hence the GPP tag. He has good course history here with three top 30’s, in his last three trips. Unfortunately, his last showing was at the WGC-HSBC where he finished T60 and lost over 6 strokes in total to the field.
Players priced between $7,000 and $7,900
Aaron Wise $7,800 **GPP PUNT** – Wise is showing up as the model’s 5th best option this week which is very surprising. He only played the Sony Open once and he missed the cut losing three strokes. His last two outings were also missed cuts but he did have a T3 finish at the Bermuda Championship beforehand. I think he’s getting his prop in the model from the Par 5s where Wise is clearly the best player.
Russell Knox $7,800 **Cash/Pivot** – Mr consistency here with Knox. Top 15 potential, something he did three out of the last 5 trips here at the SOH. At this price, he should be a cash game staple with a GPP upside. He comes in at number six in the model, he makes for a nice pivot off of Munoz, with a quarter if not less ownership.
Sebastian Munoz $7,900 **Cash** – Munoz comes in at number eight, right behind Knox and should be a cash game cornerstone as well. He might be one of the highest owned players on the slate with a T10 last year and two top 20s already this season.
Vaughn Taylor $7,400 – Taylor comes in playing well but has poor showings at the Sony Open. He’s cheap and should be relatively low owned. Taylor is number nine in the model. He sometimes has trouble with the Par 5s and you need to make birdie to keep up with the field.
Rory Sabbatini $7,600 – Sabbatini always appears to go overlooked, which is represented by his below 10% ownership projection. He may not have the upside as others in this range but he feels the safest. It can almost guarantee he makes the cut and has top 30 written all over him.
Emiliano Grillo $7,600 **GPP** – One of the best ball strikers in the field on these conditions, Grillo seems to always put himself in good spots. Unfortunately, he often lets us down and cannot come through. He’s rated high in the model with his “what if” ability, can he finish?
Kyle Stanley $7,000 *GPP* – Stanley is probably my favorite GPP play this week. He always performs well here with the top 10 upsides. Top 20 in the model and at $7,000 I don’t think you can find more bang for your buck.
Thank you for reading the Insight Sheet for the Sony Open in Hawaii. You can find my other work here on my Author Page. Follow Win Daily Sports (@WinDailyDFS) and myself (@DFSPatrickScott) on Twitter for up to date news.
Stat Source: FantasyNational
