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Sacramento Kings

NBA DFS for Ghost’s Gems (Feb. 1)

DFSGhost 2 years ago

written by DFSGhost

There are tremendous matchups on this NBA slate. Many elite stars take the court, with multiple injury reports expecting to be lengthy. It’s a Wet Wednesday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

Be sure to use our proprietary NBA projections and cheat sheet to build your lineups as the news rolls in. Moreover, join the conversation in the Win Daily Discord to get the insight you need from both subscribers and staff.

Golden State Warriors @ Minnesota Timberwolves (+2.5)

Golden State Warriors (-2.5)

The defending NBA Champions are currently slated in the Play-In tournament, but no one in the league wants to face this team. Every game counts for them down the stretch, as they look to creep into a top-4 seed to gain homecourt advantage in the opening round of the playoffs. Steph Curry will continue to lead the way and is in a phenomenal matchup tonight. Minnesota lacks perimeter defense and guarding Curry is a daunting task. Over his last three games, Curry has posted 30 or more points in each appearance. Moreover, he has averaged 35.7/5.7/8.7 on 58.3% shooting during that span, including 53.3% from behind the arc on 5.3 three-pointers made per night.

Minnesota Timberwolves (+2.5)

Anthony Edwards continues to lead the charge for a reeling Timberwolves squad. However, he lacks upside on this slate given his positioning on the pricing grid. Thus, the duo of D’Angelo Russell and Rudy Gobert are enticing in good individual matchups. Edwards will draw Klay Thompson and Andrew Wiggins on defense, leaving Russell ample room to find his shot. Moreover, Rudy Gobert will take few shot attempts in this one, but has point/dollar upside given his strong chance of getting a double-double. On an NBA slate where most will look to the top of the pricing grid at the center position, Gobert makes for an excellent tournament play.

Sacramento Kings @ San Antonio Spurs (+7.5)

Sacramento Kings (-7.5)

The Kings hold the third seed in the Western Conference but have many teams approaching them. Thus, not even a matchup against the lowly Spurs should be taken lightly. The duo of Domantas Sabonis and De’Aaron Fox are both in terrific matchups. San Antonio currently ranks 28th in the NBA versus primary ball handlers and Fox has registered 29 and 32 points, respectively, over his last two games, averaging 30.5/4/5 on 45.1% shooting. Moreover, the Spurs have solid interior defense with Jakob Poeltl manning the paint, but Sabonis will dominate the glass versus a team that sits 20th in the league in rebounding.

San Antonio Spurs (+7.5)

If there is ever a spot to play Keldon Johnson with confidence, it’s in this matchup. While the Spurs continue to look toward the future, Johnson figures to be a crucial piece in their rebuild. Moreover, he leads the team with a 28.1% usage rate this season. Despite a 1-7 record over the team’s last eight games, Johnson has scored 20 or more points in seven of those. He has averaged 25.4/5/2.4 on 48.8% shooting during that span, and gets a matchup versus a Kings defense that ranks last in the NBA versus combo wings.

Toronto Raptors @ Utah Jazz (-3.5)

Toronto Raptors (+3.5)

In the absence of OG Anunoby, other players in this Toronto rotation must step up. Over the last few NBA slates, no one has been as popular as Precious Achiuwa. He has now scored in double digits over his last eight games, averaging 15.6/9.3/1 on 59.3% shooting. The Jazz rank last in the league versus small-ball centers despite ranking second in the league in points allowed in the paint per game. Scottie Barnes and Pascal Siakam also make for excellent tournament plays.

Utah Jazz (-3.5)

While Lauri Markkanen, Jordan Clarkson, and Mike Conley have solidified their place in the Jazz rotation, the true value here lies in the paint. Walker Kessler has been having a phenomenal rookie campaign, averaging 7.7/7.3 on 71.5% shooting. Moreover, he sits fourth in the NBA in blocks per game with 2.0. However, with Toronto running a smaller lineup, do not overlook Jarred Vanderbilt. Make sure to check our proprietary projections to see which of the two is set to give the most value.

Honorable Mentions:

Portland Trail Blazers @ Memphis Grizzlies (-5.5)
Oklahoma City Thunder @ Houston Rockets (+5.5)

You can find me on Twitter @BetsByGhost and in the Win Daily Discord

2 years ago 0 comments

NBA DFS for Ghost’s Gems (Jan. 25)

DFSGhost 2 years ago

written by DFSGhost

Injuries highlight the NBA slate as we approach the All-Star break. Moreover, many players are at the core of trade rumors. It’s a busy time for the league, but it makes these games all that more meaningful. It’s a Wet Wednesday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

Indiana Pacers @ Orlando Magic (-4.5)

Indiana Pacers (+4.5)

The Pacers are on the second half of a back-to-back but that won’t stop them from being one of the most popular rotations on the NBA slate. In the absence of Tyrese Haliburton, there have been many players stepping up. TJ McConnell continues to be a hot commodity in the mid range of the pricing grid, while Buddy Hield showed out after being highlighted in yesterday’s article. Moreover, Myles Turner continues to be a fantasy points per minute machine and is seeing an increased workload in the paint.

Orlando Magic (-4.5)

Despite cooling off after a hot start to his NBA career, Paolo Banchero is a tremendous play in the mid range of the pricing grid. Banchero has now scored in double digits across 12 straight appearances, averaging 19.8/5.7/3.3 on 42.4% shooting. However, his minutes have been limited during that stretch, large in part because of blowout losses. Tonight, the Magic are favored as two rebuilding teams face one another. With The Pacers lacking size on the wing, opting for smaller lineups with combo guards such as Mathurin and Hield, Panchero holds a massive size advantage against anyone he lines up against.

Washington Wizards @ Houston Rockets (+3.5)

Washington Wizards (-3.5)

Both of these teams are riddled with injuries but this is one of the best game environments on the NBA slate. Despite Kyle Kuzma acting as the primary ball handler in this offense, the sheer upside that Bradley Beal has in this matchup is too good to pass up on. Not only is his place on the pricing grid outright disrespectful, but the Rockets rank 28th in the league in defensive rating. He is far from his form that nearly led him to a scoring title in 2020-2021, but Beal is still one of the best off-ball guards in the league. The absence of Kristaps Porzingis opens up a ton of shots for Beal, who has scored 20 or more points in ten of his last fifteen appearances.

Houston Rockets (+3.5)

On the flipside of this matchup is plenty of offensive potential in its own right. In the absence of Kevin Porter Jr., both Alperen Sengun and Jalen Green have been phenomenal. The former gets a juicy matchup versus Daniel Gafford, who is simply not match for the sophomore. Sengun has three double-doubles in his last four games, averaging 24.3/12.5/6.5 during that span. Moreover, Green has scored 20 or more points in four of his last five games since KPJ went down with a foot injury. Green has averaged 28.6/3.2/3.6 on 49.5% shooting during that span, taking over 20 field goal attempts per night.

Toronto Raptors @ Sacramento Kings (-4.5)

Toronto Raptors (+4.5)

One of the most intriguing teams heading into the NBA trade deadline, the Raptors still have one of the best cores in the league. However, they have failed to return to form that won them a championship only a few years ago. Yes, Kawhi Leonard is gone, but OG Anunoby is one of the best defenders in the league, while Pascal Siakam and Scottie Barnes have the potential to carry this team to wins nightly. In this matchup, Gary Trent Jr. will see a lot of shot attempts versus a Kings defense the struggles on the perimeter. Moreover, Scottie Barnes will be key in defending De’Aaron Fox, while producing on offense and on the glass.

Sacramento Kings (-4.5)

Simply put, this is a tremendous matchup for Domantas Sabonis. To the surprise of no one, he is featured once again in a Kings writeup. However, the Raptors struggle on the glass, giving Sabonis great potential to dominate both ends of the paint. Over his last seven games, not only has Sabonis posted six double-doubles, but he also has eight or more assists in each one of those appearances. Sabonis has averaged a 17.4/12.9/10.9 triple-double during that span, showing no signs of slowing down anytime soon.

Honorable Mentions:

Brooklyn Nets @ Philadelphia 76ers (-6.5)
Denver Nuggets @ Milwaukee Bucks (-6.5)
Minnesota Timberwolves @ New Orleans Pelicans (-2.5)

You can find me on Twitter @BetsByGhost and in the Win Daily Discord

2 years ago 0 comments

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NBA DFS for Ghost’s Gems (Jan. 23)

DFSGhost 2 years ago

written by DFSGhost

There are plenty of great matchups tonight in the NBA. Unfortunately, many players continue to be sidelined with injuries. However, many unfamiliar names have stepped up for their respective teams. It’s a Mojito Monday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

Minnesota Timberwolves @ Houston Rockets (+6.5)

Minnesota Timberwolves (-6.5)

In the second matchup between these two teams in only three days, all eyes will be on Anthony Edwards. The former #1 overall draft pick exploded for 44/6/4 on Saturday, making him likely to be one of the popular options on this NBA slate. Over his last seven games, Edwards has scored 20 or more points in six appearances. Moreover, he has averaged 27/5.3/5 during that span, shooting 46.9% from the field. With the Rockets ranked 28th in defensive rating, Edwards is set to continue leading this offense.

Houston Rockets (+6.5)

Should Rudy Gobert miss a fourth consecutive game, Alperen Sengun is an elite target in the mid range of the pricing grid. Over his last eight games, Sengun has logged 28 or more minutes in every appearance. Moreover, he has averaged 19.1/11.1/5.9 during that span, displaying both finishing and playmaking ability. With Gobert on the sidelines, Minnesota has a 115.1 net defensive rating, which would currently rank 25th in the NBA.

Charlotte Hornets @ Utah Jazz (-7.5)

Charlotte Hornets (+7.5)

Exposure to the Hornets is contingent on the availability of LaMelo Ball. After missing Saturday’s game with an ankle injury, Ball has since been upgraded to questionable for this matchup. However, should he eventually be ruled out, Terry Rozier will lead the charge on offense. On the season, Rozier is second on the team with a 26.9% usage rate, producing 1.03 fantasy points per minute. However, with Ball off the court, Rozier sees increases to a usage rate of 30.2% and 1.09 points per minute. The Jazz struggle more off the ball than with primary ball handlers, ranking 27th in the NBA versus the former.

Utah Jazz (-7.5)

Although Kelly Olynyk is nearing a return to the lineup, the future of the Jazz in the paint lies in Walker Kessler. Despite having a low 12.8% usage rate on the year, Kessler has been on the best from the most recent NBA draft class. He not only has three double-doubles over his last four games, but he is also averaging 12.5/12.5/1.8 on nearly 70% shooting during that span. Moreover, despite logging 29 minutes per game, Kessler is fourth in the NBA in blocks, averaging 2.0 per night.

Memphis Grizzlies @ Sacramento Kings (+2.5)

Memphis Grizzlies (-2.5)

Memphis is on the second half of a back-to-back so there could be addition to their injury report throughout the day. Believe it or not, this game features two of the best in the Western Conference, as Sacramento shockingly finds themselves in the third seed. Despite an improved defensive system for the Kings, they lack the ability to close out on wings. Thus, Desmond Bane is the player to watch tonight, alongside Ja Morant. The former has battled injuries this year, but has been performing quite well. He carries a 26.7% usage rate on the season, averaging 21.6 points per game in over 30 minutes per night.

Sacramento Kings (+2.5)

While Domantas Sabonis and De’Aaron Fox are both worthy on an NBA All-Star selection, it will be tough to fit one of them in NBA lineups tonight with other priorities. Thus, both Kevin Huerter and Harrison Barnes find themselves as options. The former gets a favorable matchup on the perimeter versus a Memphis defense that ranks 22nd in three-pointers allowed per game. Thus far, Huerter has shot 41.4% from deep, making 2.9 three-pointers per night. Moreover, Barnes has scored 20 or more points in four of his last five appearances. Sporting a 19.1% usage rate during that span, Barnes has averaged 22.8 points per game on 53.2% shooting.

Honorable Mentions:

Atlanta Hawks @ Chicago Bulls (-1.5)
San Antonio Spurs @ Portland Trail Blazers (-8.5)

You can find me on Twitter @BetsByGhost and in the Win Daily Discord

2 years ago 0 comments

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NBA DFS: Ghost’s Gems 01/18/2023

DFSGhost 2 years ago

written by DFSGhost

Many NBA stars have been battling injuries lately. Tonight is no different, but there are plenty of elite game environments to be excited about. It’s a Wet Wednesday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

Indiana Pacers @ Oklahoma City Thunder (-4.5)

Indiana Pacers (+4.5)

Since losing Tyrese Haliburton to a knee injury, the Pacers have lost three straight. However, without their best player, comes many opportunities for others. During those three games, TJ McConnell continues to be one of the most popular players on any given NBA slate. He has averaged 18.3/6.7/9 on 63.9% shooting. There is also intrigue in Myles Turner, who figures to be a core player on this slate. In his return to the lineup a few days ago, Turner saw many more minutes and came through with 30/8/2 and four blocks, making five three-pointers along the way. With Oklahoma City ranked 27th in the league versus true centers and struggling to find a replacement in the absences of Jeremiah Robinson-Earl and Aleksej Pokusevski, Turner is set to dominate the paint on both ends of the court tonight.

Oklahoma City Thunder (-4.5)

This game has tremendous stack ability and is one of the best on the NBA slate. On the Thunder’s side of the ball, it begins with their backcourt duo of Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Josh Giddey. Over their last six games, OKC is 5-1. During that span, SGA has averaged 29.2/5.3/4.3 on 54.3% shooting. However, Giddey has been phenomenal in his own right. Giddey has averaged 20.2/8.2/7.8 on 51.5% shooting. With the Pacers perimeter defense taking a serious hit in the absence of Haliburton, both SGA and Giddey are in a great spot.

Cleveland Cavaliers @ Memphis Grizzlies (-6.5)

Cleveland Cavaliers (+6.5)

Donovan Mitchell did not practice yesterday and has since been downgraded to doubtful tonight. Thus, the offense will fall on Darius Garland, should Mitchell in fact miss this game. While the former has taken a back seat to the newly acquired Mitchell, Garland is a polarizing talent on offense. On the season, Garland has posted 1.08 fantasy points per minute through a 27% usage rate, averaging 21.4/2.8/7.8. While both his usage rate and fantasy output is lower than Mitchell’s, Garland excels with his teammate off the floor. Garland sees an increase to 1.22 fantasy points per minute through a 30% usage rate without Mitchell. Thus, he is one of the best plays in the mid range of this pricing grid on this NBA slate.

Memphis Grizzlies (-6.5)

Memphis boasts a complete roster on both sides of the court. They have a star player in Ja Morant, a defensive force in Jaren Jackson Jr., and solid role players in Desmond Bane, Steven Adams, Dillion Brooks, and others. However, this can make things complicated in fantasy hoops. Morant will lead the charge without a doubt, but Cleveland has the #2 defense in the NBA. Thus, a matchup play in this one is Steven Adams. While he certainly will have few shot attempts, he will be needed to log heavy minutes versus Jarrett Allen and Evan Mobley. Moreover, with Jaren Jackson Jr. still battling foul trouble, Adams has tremendous potential for a double-double in this one in nearly 30+ minutes of play.

Sacramento Kings @ Los Angeles Lakers (OTB)

Sacramento Kings (OTB)

The Kings have been a pleasant surprise this season. After years of mediocrity and struggling to find their groove, they are now leading a division that has Golden State, Phoenix, and both Los Angeles teams in it. Thanks to their All-Star duo of De’Aaron Fox and Domantas Sabonis, Sacramento fans should be excited for the near future. Most notably, the latter came into town with lofty expectations after being acquired for Tyrese Haliburton. However, Sabonis has truly dominated this season. He leads the NBA in both total rebounds and rebounds per game, while averaging 18.9/12.6/7.1 on 61% shooting. The Lakers rank 29th in the league versus playmaking centers, making this a tremendous matchup for Sabonis.

Los Angeles Lakers (OTB)

There is little to like about this offense other than LeBron James. However, in doing so, NBA lineup construction becomes increasingly difficult. Thus, fear not in fading the Lakers tonight. However, both LeBron and Sabonis make for an excellent 1-2 punch in the last game of the slate. James has 24 or more points in each of his last seven games, including three 40-point outings. Moreover, he has averaged 37/9.7/8.6 during that span through a whopping 36.4% usage rate.

Honorable Mentions:

Atlanta Hawks @ Dallas Mavericks (OTB)
Miami Heat @ New Orleans Pelicans (+1.5)
Charlotte Hornets @ Houston Rockets (+2.5)

You can find me on Twitter @BetsByGhost and in the Win Daily Discord

2 years ago 0 comments

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NBA DFS: Ghost’s Gems 01/13/2023

DFSGhost 2 years ago

written by DFSGhost

As has been the theme of the week, tonight’s NBA slate is riddled with injuries. However, plenty of elite game environments remain. It’s a Fajita Friday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

Atlanta Hawks @ Indiana Pacers (+3.5)

Atlanta Hawks (-3.5)

The lone bright spot of the Pacers in their own end of the court has been their on-ball defense. However, this changes drastically with Tyrese Haliburton ruled out for the next two weeks. Trae Young missed last game with an illness, but is off the injury report. Wednesday night was a prime example of how this offense can struggle without the face of their franchise. Not only does Young lead the team with a 33.6% usage rate, but he also leads the team in both scoring and assists as well. Despite swirling rumors around the team, Young has been excellent this NBA season, averaging 27.5/2.9/9.8 on 42.2% shooting.

Indiana Pacers (+3.5)

As mentioned above, Tyrese Haliburton will be out for at least two weeks with a sprained elbow. Thus, there is ample opportunity for others on the offensive side of the ball. While TJ McConnell and Andrew Nembhard figure to share the rock on the starting unit, interest should also lie in Indiana’s shooters. While Atlanta has good on-ball defense thanks to Dejounte Murray, Trae Young has been abysmal on defense with a 117.7 rating. Thus, Buddy Hield and Bennedict Mathurin cannot be overlooked on this NBA slate. Hield leads the league in three-pointers this season with 165 makes. Moreover, he has averaged 18.3 points while shooting 42.7% from behind the arc. Meanwhile, Mathurin continues to lead the Pacers in usage at 25.8% and figures to play a crucial role in this offense in the absence of Haliburton.

Denver Nuggets @ Los Angeles Clippers (-1.5)

Denver Nuggets (+1.5)

Nikola Jokic was a surprising addition to the Nuggets injury report. Known as one of the most durable players in the NBA over recent years, the back-to-back MVP will dictate exposure to this offense. Should he evidently play, he is in a prime spot to lead the slate in scoring. The Clippers currently rank 19th in points allowed in the paint and 24th versus true centers. Moreover, Jokic has averaged 25.5/12.3/11 over his last 13 games, recording a whopping seven triple-doubles along the way. If Jokic is ruled out, Jamal Murray and Aaron Gordon will lead the starting unit, while Bones Hyland becomes an intriguing play off the bench.

Los Angeles Clippers (-1.5)

Kawhi Leonard is no longer mispriced on NBA DFS sites. Tonight, in the absence of Paul George, Leonard will once again lead the charge for the Clippers. However, there are other targets in this offense as well. Norman Powell and Terance Mann both continue to log heavy minutes over veterans John Wall and Reggie Jackson. Moreover, Powell has now scored in double digits in each of his last four appearances. During that span, Powell has averaged 18.8/3.5/1.8 on 50% shooting, including 20 or more points in two of his last four outings. If you cannot play Leonard, don’t hesitate to get exposure to this offense in other ways.

Houston Rockets @ Sacramento Kings (-10.5)

Houston Rockets (+10.5)

A rematch of Wednesday’s contest is highlighted for the second time in three days. A key difference, however, is that Kevin Porter Jr. has been ruled out for tonight’s game. Thus, both Jalen Green and Alperen Sengun are elite targets on this NBA slate. On the season, Green leads the team with a 28.1% usage rate and has posted 0.98 fantasy points per minute. However, with KPJ off the court, Green’s output increases to 1.07 fantasy points per minute and a 32.4% usage rate. Moreover, Sengun continues to be ignored by the field. He was highlighted in Wednesday’s article, which you can find here. The sophomore came through with the first triple-double of his career, posting a 10/10/10 scoring line on 55.56% shooting.

Sacramento Kings (-10.5)

Another NBA slate featuring the Kings is another day to play Sabonis or Fox. However, both have been featured countless times over the years. Kevin Huerter was scratched on Wednesday because of an illness and he did not practice yesterday. Should Huerter be ruled out for tonight’s game, both Malik Monk and Terence Davis will play larger roles on offense against one of, if not the worst defense in the NBA. However, make no mistake about it, Domantas Sabonis and De’Aaron Fox are the prime targets here.

Honorable Mentions:

Golden State Warriors @ San Antonio Spurs (OTB)
Phoenix Suns @ Minnesota Timberwolves (-3.5)
Oklahoma City Thunder @ Chicago Bulls (-4.5)

You can find me on Twitter @BetsByGhost and in the Win Daily Discord

2 years ago 0 comments

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NBA DFS: Ghost’s Gems 01/11/2023

DFSGhost 2 years ago

written by DFSGhost

It is truly crucial to follow the news as an NBA slate unfolds. Yesterday, many players were ruled out, causing short rotations in nearly every game. Tonight, injury reports are one again lengthly and some teams are on the second half of a back-to-back. It’s a Wet Wednesday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

Chicago Bulls @ Washington Wizards (OTB)

Chicago Bulls (OTB)

Both teams in this game have crucial players on their injury reports. For the Bulls, DeMar DeRozan left the team’s last game and did not return due to a quadriceps injury. He is currently listed as questionable for tonight. Whether DeRozan plays or not does not shift the importance that both Nikola Vucevic and Zach Lavine will have on this NBA slate. Over his last eight games, Vucevic has posted seven double-doubles. Moreover, he has averaged 17.6/13.8/3.5 on 56.1% shooting during that span. Lavine has also picked it up in what can only be described as a disappointing season. Over his last three games, Lavine leads the team with a 31.3% usage rate. He has three straight outings with 27 or more points, including 36-point and 41-point efforts. Over his last three, Lavine has averaged 34.7/5.3/4.7 on 56.3% shooting, including a whopping seven three-pointers made per night.

Washington Wizards (OTB)

Washington remains without Bradley Beal and could be even more shorthanded tonight. Both Kristaps Porzingis and Daniel Gafford are listed as questionable, while partially practicing yesterday. Should either frontcourt player miss this one, Rui Hachimura will be in for more offensive looks. On the season, Hachimura has a 22.3% usage rate and 0.90 fantasy points per minute. However, with Beal, Porzingis, and Gafford off the floor, his numbers do not increase by an overwhelming amount. This is large in part due to dominating usage on the second unit, but struggling to coincide with Kyle Kuzma. Thus, on a large NBA slate, exposure to a mediocre offense is far from a must.

Milwaukee Bucks @ Atlanta Hawks (OTB)

Milwaukee Bucks (OTB)

Should players be ruled out at the same rate as last night’s NBA slate, Giannis Antetokounmpo will be the first priority. Despite struggling in a shocking blowout loss to the Hornets, Giannis still has 30 or more points in four of his last six games. During that span, he has averaged 34/14.5/5.7 on 48.9% shooting, despite a 9/4/0 stat line against the Hornets. Moreover, the Greek Freak is in a tremendous matchup. With Clint Capela still out for the Hawks, Onyeka Okongwu will be severely outmatched in the paint on both ends of the floor. The Hawks rank 26th in points in the paint per game, paving the way for Giannis to dominate on both ends of the paint tonight.

Atlanta Hawks (OTB)

Despite Jrue Holiday being an elite defender, the Bucks have been getting dominated by opposing primary ball handlers as of late. In their last three games, the Bucks have allowed Jalen Brunson to drop 44/7/4, while giving up 24/3/12 to LaMelo Ball, and 28/8/12 to Fred VanVleet. In his last four games, Trae Young has scored 30 or more points in three appearances. Moreover, he has averaged 28.3/3.5/9.3 on 48% shooting. With the Hawks ranked 5th in the NBA in pace, this offense will be one to focus on.

Houston Rockets @ Sacramento Kings (OTB)

Houston Rockets (OTB)

Despite their opponent’s success in the standings, they still rank 24th in the NBA in defensive rating. Moreover, they rank 4th in pace, creating an elite game environment for a young Rockets offense. In their last ten games, the Kings have also allowed 120.9 points per game, so there is plenty of intrigue here. Despite a tough matchup on paper versus Domantas Sabonis, Alperen Sengun will be needed to match his fellow center’s minutes. Moreover, the Kings rank 29th in the NBA in points allowed in the paint. Over his last five games, Sengun has scored in double digits each time. Moreover, he has averaged 15.6/7.6/3.2 on 51.9% shooting during that span. If the matchup is concerning for your lineups, both Kevin Porter Jr. and Jalen Green have a ton of upside in this matchup, with the former being the preferred target.

Sacramento Kings (OTB)

On the season, the Rockets rank 28th in the NBA in defensive rating, allowing nearly 116 points per game. Moreover, they rank last in the league against primary ball handlers. De’Aaron Fox has been playing at an all-star level this year. He leads the team in usage rate at 29.2% and scoring with 23.8 points per game. Moreover, Fox has scored 20 or more points in 11 of his last 13 appearances, averaging 26.4/3.8/7.1 on 50.4% shooting. This is also a tremendous matchup for Kevin Huerter. The Rockets allow a league-worst 14.3 three-pointers per game. On the season, Huerter has been lights out from behind the arc. He has averaged three three-pointers made per game, shooting 42% from deep. He has 11th in the NBA in three-pointers made per game, while being 14th in shooting percentage.

Honorable Mentions:

Minnesota Timberwolves @ Detroit Pistons (+5.5)
New Orleans Pelicans @ Boston Celtics (-9.5)
Phoenix Suns @ Denver Nuggets (OTB)

You can find me on Twitter @BetsByGhost and in the Win Daily Discord

2 years ago 0 comments

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NBA DFS: Ghost’s Gems 01/09

DFSGhost 2 years ago

written by DFSGhost

Although there are several stars missing in action tonight, there are still many elite matchups. Moreover, this NBA slate has potential to have several high scoring affairs. It’s a Mojito Monday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

New Orleans Pelicans @ Washington Wizards (-1.5)

New Orleans Pelicans (+1.5)

With key contributors out of each of these teams’ respective lineups, usage will be plentiful for others. Zion Williamson and Brandon Ingram remain out for the Pelicans, who are surprisingly underdogs to the Wizards in this one. Once again, CJ McCollum figures to be one of the most popular players on this NBA slate. On the season, the point guard sports a 26.3% usage rate and 1.10 fantasy points per minute. However, with both Williamson and Ingram off the court, McCollum sees increases to a usage rate of 31.6% and produces 1.24 fantasy points per minute. Moreover, in his last two games, McCollum has averaged 28/3.5/6 on 44.4% shooting.

Washington Wizards (-1.5)

While Bradley Beal remains out for the Wizards, both Kristaps Porzingis and Kyle Kuzma will shoulder the load on offense. However, there is another Washington player that continues to fly under the radar. Lately, Daniel Gafford has been playing excellent basketball. While he has always been a productive player on a per-minute basis, he has finally gotten enough time on the court to flourish. Startling alongside Porzingis has allowed Gafford to draw easier matchups on both ends of the court. Thus, he has been much more productive. Over his last five games, Gafford has logged 25 or more minutes in every contest. Moreover, he has averaged 13.6/8.2/1.8 on 75% shooting, despite the low usage rate and field goal attempts. New Orleans currently ranks 22nd in the NBA against centers, while allowing nearly 50 points in the paint per game.

Los Angeles Lakers @ Denver Nuggets (-8.5)

Los Angeles Lakers (+8.5)

Make no mistake about it, this organization runs through LeBron James. However, with the absences of both Lonnie Walker IV and Austin Reeves, both Russell Westbrook and Dennis Schroder have been tremendous in their respective roles. With the former continues to come off the bench, he is the favorite for Sixth Man of the Year. Over his last two games, Westbrook has averaged 20.5/8/12 through a 25.6% usage rate while logging over 32 minutes per night. Moreover, Schroder has been efficient in the starting lineup. While logging over 32 minutes per contest in each of his last five appearances, Schroder has averaged 21.4/2.6/3.8 on 50.8% shooting. Both Schroder and Westbrook have upside against a Denver defense that ranks 20th in the NBA versus secondary ball handlers.

Denver Nuggets (-8.5)

If there is a stud at the top of the pricing grid on this NBA slate that can lead it in scoring, it’s Nikola Jokic. Not only has the back-to-back MVP led his squad to the #1 seed in the Western Conference thus far, but he has been just as dominant as past years. Over his last ten games, Jokic has posted five triple-doubles. Moreover, he has averaged 25.6/10.4/10.8 on 59.4% shooting during that span. Without Anthony Davis guarding the paint, the Lakers interior defense has crumbled. They now sit 28th in the NBA versus true centers, while being ranked 24th in points allowed in the paint per game.

Orlando Magic @ Sacramento Kings (-5.5)

Orlando Magic (+5.5)

The Magic are still a rebuilding team but they can put up a fight with a healthy roster. Despite missing Bol Bol tonight, they have Jalen Suggs back and their suspended players have all returned. Paolo Banchero continues to lead the Rookie of the Year race, but his point/dollar upside is limited. Thus, this slate is more suited for Franz Wagner. Currently, Sacramento ranks last in the NBA against wings. Moreover, Wagner comes into this one having scored 20 or more points in three straight contests. During that span, Wagner has averaged 24.7/2.7/4.3 on 54.9% shooting, while leading the team in minutes per game.

Sacramento Kings (-5.5)

There are many ways to get exposure to one of the most enticing offenses of the NBA slate. At the top of the pricing grid, both Domantas Sabonis and De’Aaron Fox continue to perform at an All-Star level no matter what their individual matchups are. Moreover, Kevin Huerter has scored in double digits in five straight contests. Meanwhile, with Paolo Banchero switching onto Domantas Sabonis tonight, Keegan Murray has a friendly matchup versus Wendell Carter Jr., who sports a 114.3 defensive rating on the season. Of the four listed targets, Sabonis and Fox are in their own category. However, Huerter and Murray both have upside in an elite game environment, despite being reliant on their scoring output.

Honorable Mentions:

Milwaukee Bucks @ New York Knicks (+2.5)
Chicago Bulls @ Boston Celtics (-8.5)
San Antonio Spurs @ Memphis Grizzlies (-11.5)

You can find me on Twitter @BetsByGhost and in the Win Daily Discord

2 years ago 0 comments

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NBA DFS: Ghost’s Gems 01/04

DFSGhost 2 years ago

written by DFSGhost

Despite there being plenty of games on the NBA schedule tonight, a few spots stand above the rest. Many teams are dealing with a multitude of injuries to begin the new year, while one of the opening games features two of the slimmest rotations of the slate. It’s a Wet Wednesday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

Oklahoma City Thunder @ Orlando Magic (-2.5)

Oklahoma City Thunder (+2.5)

On the second half of a back-to-back, the Thunder will be an interesting rotation tonight. Last night saw a surprising blowout victory versus Boston, despite missing Shai Gilgeous-Alexander. On tonight’s NBA slate, both of these teams will be popular should the Thunder star miss a second straight contest. In his absence, look for a backcourt of Josh Giddey and Tre Mann to shoulder the load on offense, while both Lu Dort and Jalen Williams get a friendly matchup versus a Magic defense that ranks 25th in the NBA versus wings. If SGA makes his return, look for updates in Discord.

Orlando Magic (-2.5)

The Magic will be awfully thin tonight. They have the second bulk of players serving their suspensions from a previous incident versus the Pistons, while others have been added to the injury report. Franz Wagner, Mo Wagner, Kevon Harris, and Admiral Schofield will all be serving their one-game suspensions tonight. Moreover, Bol Bol was recently placed in health and safety protocols, while Jalen Suggs figures to be on a strict minutes limit after missing the previous 17 games. Barring a minutes restriction, this is a phenomenal matchup for Wendell Carter Jr., who faces a Thunder interior defense that ranks 29th in the NBA versus small-ball centers and ranks 25th in points allowed in the paint per game. If Carter Jr. remains limited and Bol Bol is ultimately ruled out, Mo Bamba is a must-play.

Houston Rockets @ New Orleans Pelicans (-7.5)

Houston Rockets (+7.5)

In one of the best game environments of the NBA slate, exposure to both sides of this game is imperative. With key injuries to the Pelicans’ frontcourt, Alperen Sengun will be needed to match the size of Jonas Valanciunas, Jaxson Hayes, and Guillermo Hernangomez. Sporting a 22.3% usage rate on the season, Sengun leads the Rockets with a 1.18 fantasy points per minute. Moreover, Jalen Green has immense upside in a high-scoring affair. Over his seven games, Green has scored 20 or more points in six appearances. Moreover, he has averaged 22.1/5.4/3 on 43.5% shooting during that stretch while attempting eight three-pointers per contest.

New Orleans Pelicans (-7.5)

The Pelicans will be severely shorthanded tonight. Not only is Brandon Ingram still recovering from a toe injury, but Zion Williamson now joins him on the sidelines with a hamstring injury. Thus, CJ McCollum will be tasked with shouldering the offense. On the season, McCollum currently sports a 26.1% usage rate and 1.09 fantasy points per minute. However, with both Ingram and Williamson off the court, McCollum sees drastic increases to a 31.5% usage rate and a team-leading 1.24 fantasy points per minute. Moreover, Houston currently ranks last in the NBA versus primary ball handlers. Look for McCollum to score with ease and see a notable uptick in assist opportunity with Valanciunas, Hayes, and Hernangomez being the benefactors in the pick-and-roll.

Atlanta Hawks @ Sacramento Kings (-1.5)

Atlanta Hawks (+1.5)

In the best game environment of the NBA slate, there is plenty of intrigue across the pricing grid. Trae Young offers the most upside in this matchup, leading the team with a 33.5% usage rate. However, both Dejounte Murray and Bogdan Bogdanovic are enticing as well. With a troubling frontcourt of Onyeka Okongwu and John Collins facing Domantas Sabonis in the paint, the Hawks will look to roll out a smaller lineup and push the pace. In 14 games this season, Bogdanovic has come off the bench in 11 appearances. Moreover, he is one of the league’s best off the bench, averaging 17.4/3.2/2.5 in over 30 minutes per contest. Meanwhile, Dejounte Murray will be tasked with guarding De’Aaron Fox on the other side of the ball and logging heavy minutes in a fast matchup versus a Kings team that ranks fourth in the league in pace.

Sacramento Kings (-1.5)

While the duo of Domantas Sabonis and De’Aaron Fox is at the forefront of a fantasy goldmine, there is another spot to target as well. Facing his former team, Kevin Huerter will get plenty of shooting opportunities tonight. As a result of Murray guarding Fox, Huerter gets a phenomenal matchup versus a poor defender in Trae Young. Atlanta ranks 26th in the NBA versus off-ball guards and have struggled mightily to shift to the corners. With Domantas Sabonis’ elite playmaking on the inside, he has triple-double upside in this matchup, but he won’t get there without Huerter being the benefactor of open three-point attempts.

Honorable Mentions:

San Antonio Spurs @ New York Knicks (-9.5)
Detroit Pistons @ Golden State Warriors (-6.5)

You can find me on Twitter @BetsByGhost and in the Win Daily Discord

2 years ago 0 comments

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NBA DFS: Ghost’s Gems 01/03

DFSGhost 2 years ago

written by DFSGhost

Only six teams take the court tonight. Thus, it will be crucial to keep tabs on all injury reports throughout the day. A single injury or rotation change can shift the NBA slate. It’s a Taco Tuesday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

Washington Wizards @ Milwaukee Bucks (-7.5)

Washington Wizards (+7.5)

Exposure to the Wizards offense remains in question, as Bradley Beal has missed the last three games for his team. Should be make a return to the lineup, he carries the most upside on the NBA slate in the mid range of the pricing grid. However, should he miss a fourth straight contest, the duo of Kristaps Porzingis and Kyle Kuzma will need to carry this offense. Over their last three games without Beal, Kuzma and Porzingis have led the team in usage rate, respectively, combining for 43 points per game.

Milwaukee Bucks (-7.5)

After practicing on Monday, it looks as though Giannis Antetokounmpo is set to return to the lineup tonight for the Bucks. Additionally, despite still missing Khris Middleton, the Bucks will get more reinforcements, with Jrue Holiday returning after a three-game absence. The Wizards recently changing their starting lineup to include both Porzingis and Gafford. Thus, Bobby Portis is set to get a phenomenal matchup off the bench. Portis comes into this one with four double-doubles across his last five appearances, averaging 15/11.2/1 on 43.9% shooting. In the mid range of the pricing grid of this NBA slate, Portis makes for one of the most intriguing options for tournaments.

Sacramento Kings @ Utah Jazz (-2.5)

Sacramento Kings (+2.5)

Domantas Sabonis picked up right where he left off on New Year’s Day. After averaging 23.4/16.1/8 over his last six games of the calendar year, Sabonis dropped an 18/14/4 double-double on the Grizzlies just a few days ago. Utah currently ranks 29th in the NBA against true centers, while also ranking last in points allowed in the paint.

Utah Jazz (-2.5)

With Collin Sexton slated to miss the next week with a hamstring injury, Malik Beasley will be crucial off the bench. Over his last six games of the calendar year, Beasley scored 10 or more points in four appearances. Moreover, he averaged 14.7/3.3/1.3 on 39.3% shooting. The Kings struggle mightily versus wings, ranking 30th in the NBA to the player type. Additionally, Beasley sees both an increase in usage rate and fantasy points per minute with Sexton off the court.

Honorable Mention:

Boston Celtics @ Oklahoma City Thunder (+8.5)

You can find me on Twitter @BetsByGhost and in the Win Daily Discord

2 years ago 0 comments

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NBA DFS: Ghost’s Gems 12/21

DFSGhost 2 years ago

written by DFSGhost

Injuries and shortened rotations have been the theme of the week in the NBA. As was pointed out in both articles this week, this will continue to be the trend throughout the holiday period. Yesterday was utter chaos and there was only five games on the schedule. Tonight, with many more set to tipoff, it will be more of the same. It’s a Wet Wednesday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

Golden State Warriors @ Brooklyn Nets (OTB)

Golden State Warriors (OTB)

With the Warriors on the second half of a back-to-back, this rotation will be one of, if not the most popular on tonight’s NBA slate. Assuming the injury reported is finalized as expected, Klay Thompson and Draymond Green are strong candidates to receive the night off. Already without Steph Curry and Andrew Wiggins, the Warriors would be without four of five regular starters. Jordan Poole instantly becomes a premier option, while there will be ton of viable value options as well.

Brooklyn Nets (OTB)

Exposure to the Nets offense all depends on the Warriors’ injury report. Should both Thompson and Green miss this game, in addition to both Curry and Wiggins being sidelined, this one could get out of hand rather quickly. However, blowouts are never predictable and this is an elite game environment on a large NBA slate. Both Kevin Durant and Kyrie Irving have been phenomenal since the latter returned to the lineup in late November. During those 14 games, the Nets are 11-3. Moreover, the two have combined for a ridiculous 57 points per game during that span, representing 49.7% of the team’s scoring.

Los Angeles Lakers @ Sacramento Kings (-6.5)

Los Angeles Lakers (+6.5)

Assuming LeBron James makes his return to the lineup tonight, this is the best game on the NBA slate. James sat out the tail end of the Lakers’ back-to-back after playing 35 minutes per game in the previous five, so it was likely precautionary, considering Anthony Davis will be sidelined for the next month. Having scored 30 or more points in his last four appearances, James has been carrying the Lakers once again in his 20th season. Moreover, he has averaged 32.8/7.5/6.8 on 57.4% shooting during that span. With Davis off the court this year, LeBron sees an increase in both usage rate and fantasy points per minute. The former goes from 31.6% to 33.9%, while the latter goes from 1.40 to 1.52. He is far and away one of the best targets at the top of the pricing grid.

Sacramento Kings (-6.5)

For those that have been here for multiple NBA seasons, you know where the Domantas Sabonis fanbase began. Tonight, to the surprise of no one, Sabonis is again a favorite amongst a loaded player pool. Over his last eight games, Sabonis has scored 20 or more points in six appearances. Moreover, he has averaged 20.8/15.6/6.6 on 68.9% shooting during that span. With the Lakers missing their best interior defender in Anthony Davis, the paint will be Sabonis’ to own on both ends of the court. The Lakers currently rank 27th in the league against true centers, while ranking 24th in points allowed in the paint. Moreover, both of these teams are top 5 in pace, making this the best game environment on the NBA slate.

Honorable Mentions:

Portland Trail Blazers @ Oklahoma City Thunder (+4.5)
Orlando Magic @ Houston Rockets (+2.5)
Charlotte Hornets @ Los Angeles Clippers (OTB)

You can find me on Twitter @BetsByGhost and in the Win Daily Discord

2 years ago 0 comments

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