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PGA GPP

Workday Charity Open Ownership Preview

written by cdenny99@hotmail.com

Workday Charity Open Ownership Preview

There are two tourneys in two weeks at Muirfield this year, normally driving distance and approach would be key factors, with the PGA determined to make it two distinct courses this weeks important metrics are SG TTG, scrambling and putting. Let’s look at some of the players who play well with those metrics for the first tournament. Here is your Workday Charity Open Ownership Preview for our DraftKings MillyMakers!

Patrick Reed (8800) Reed has been hit or miss since the start up, mostly miss, whatever ails him should be remedied at Muirfield with his game.

Matt Kuchar (8500) Just like Patrick Reed, Matt has a win and a runner up spot, and they both are cut makers at the event. Everything will hinge on their ownership %, they are considered safe values at the moment

Patrick Cantlay (10,600) Patrick won here last year, they are slowing the greens down for the first event, 11 on the stemp meter, that shouldn’t bother him, he went -19 last year on his way to victory.

Joaquin Niemann (8400) Joaquin has only played here twice, with a top 10 and top 30 result, his salary will come in handy for saving dollars.

Emiliano Grillo (7200) Emiliano has made four straight cuts here in his four tries, including a 9th and 11th, he will also provide you an ability to reach higher priced studs with his price on your roster

Sebastian Munoz (6800) Munoz is a bit more risky but has the metrics that will allow him to compete with the talent, and there is a lot of talent playing these next two weeks.

The PGA has notified the players that all tee boxes are in play this week, including the white tees, to mix up the distance. They will be slowing the greens as well to differentiate the following weeks Memorial, where the man himself, Jack Nicklaus, is the tournament host.

I will have projections early tomorrow evening and final picks for this week on Win Daily Sports. Please remember Sia has a live stream at 8:30 pm on the @WinDailySports twitter account, and the writers and I will be in the Discord channel to answer any questions you may have after the articles go up.

As always, I hope to be with you, in the money.

5 years ago 0 comments

PGA

The Rocket Mortgage Classic Final Ownership Projections

cdenny99@hotmail.com 5 years ago

written by cdenny99@hotmail.com

The Rocket Mortgage Classic Final Ownership Projections

Last year a sub named Nate Lashley led from start to finish at the Detroit golf club and finished -25. The rough has been allowed to grow and thicken, I’m not sure how much that will deter scores, last year was a birdie bonanza, it should still be a high scoring affair this year. The weather is negligible for now for The Rocket Mortgage Classic so keep it in mind. Let’s get down to the ownership and picks.

The top man this week is Bryson DeChambeau by a large margin, he is at 29%. He deserves the love, but at 30% he would have to win to make value. Next is Victor Hovland at 23% and then a drop to Tyrrell Hatton at 19%. Patrick Reed follows at 18%, Doc Redman at 17%, Sneds is at 16%, Kevin Na at 16%. Kevin said Sunday night after finishing 5th last week that his back feels great, for now. I thought why would he add “for now ?” Patrick Scott caught a tweet from him last night that he hopes his back will allow him to make it thru this tourney, I was considering him for a core position, but I’m off now. Beware the injured golfer, he rates high, but it’s too risky for me. Webb Simpson is also 16% owned and is a great pivot off DeChambeau, the writers all agree he could do well.

Deki and Sungjae Im are 15% owned along with Tony Finau and Scottie Scheffler, don’t be surprised to see Scottys % go up from the time of this report. Lucas Glover and EricVan Rooyen are at 14%, Adam Hadwin is 13%.

The following golfers are at 11% JT Poston, Rory Sabbatini, Christian Bezuidenhout, Brendan Todd, and Sebastian Munoz. Brian Stuard is at 10%, Lanto Griffin is at 9%, along with Brian Harmon, Kyle Stanley, Maverick McNealy, and Jason Day. Scott Stallings and last weeks underdog hero, Will Gordon are at 8%, along with my favorite pick Tyler Duncan, and Tom Hoge. Si Woo Kim is also 8%. In the 7% owned bracket you have Mark Hubbard, Matt Wolf, Sam Burns, and Patton Kizzire. At 6% you have Rafa Cabrera Bello, Kevin Kisner, Alex Noren, Kurt Kitayama who won a qualifier on Monday, Patrick Rodgers, Branden Grace, and Aaron Wise. At 5% and under some notables include Cameron Tringale, Chesson Hadley, Keegan Bradley, Emiliano Grillo, Luke List, Joseph Bramlett and Sepp Straka.

The following golfers may help your team place higher in the Draft Kings Million contest, please note this is for high entry GPP only, there is inherent and real risk involved to go after all the zeroes behind the 1.

Top Tier: Bryson DeChambeau (11,700) and Webb Simpson (11,000) Sungjae Im (9800)

Bryson is a beast and as long as he’s under 30 % a neutral play that can score points, he may go over 30 % owned, if he does, his perfect pivot is to Simpson, cheaper and the same upside as Bryson. Sungjae again projects well in this price range for value and upside. (He is my Na replacement)

Mid Tier: Kyle Stanley (7100), Scott Stallings (7500),and Rafa Cabrera Bello (8100)

With low ownership and really good numbers to make top 20, these three are projecting well in the model, and they allow you price wise to go for more top talent.

Low/ Mid Tier: Harold Varner lll (7600), Tyler Duncan (7000) Joseph Bramlett (7500)

These are the roster adds that can win a million, or blow up your team on Friday night, they are projecting at the top of the risk field.

Long Shot: Wes Roach (7300) Kevin Chappell (6600)
Their numbers indicate this course fits them, IF they putt well it could be a good week.

I spent some time this afternoon with Patrick and Sia trying to nail down some decent picks for you, our members, it’s extremely important to us, and I know Isaiah has already posted some great info as well. I play under the name SicilyKid, and you will see the above named players on my teams.

As always I hope to be with you, in the money!

Players and members please remember that the people who win millions every week have a common factor, they have two players whose ownership average is between 5 to 8% each, and their total team ownership comes in between 12-18%. Use ownership as a weapon, don’t be afraid to roster player X if you think he brings it.

The writers and I will be in the Discord Chat later to answer questions, do yourself a favor and check out all the golf reports, and as always, I hope to be with you, in the money. Check out more golf content for FREE over at WinDailySports.com/Golf.

5 years ago 0 comments

PGA

The Travelers Championship Final Ownership Projections

DFSGhost 5 years ago

written by DFSGhost

The Travelers Championship Final Ownership Projections

The ownership projections for the first two tournaments have been on lock. This week, as of this report, the top golfer is Bryson DeChambeau at 23%+ (+ is rising) Justin Thomas has shot up in the last hour at 22%, and Victor Hovland is at 21%+. There are still 57,000 entries available in the Milly Maker. This weeks numbers are more clustered together, last week Webb Simpson smoked the field in ownership. Here are The Travelers Championship Final Ownership Projections.

Ownership Projections

Jon Rahm, Abraham Ancer, Joaquin Niemann and Sungjae Im are next at 19% and Patrick Scott’s poster boy Collin Morikawa at 18% + along with Justin Rose and Bubba Watson. Scottie Scheffler is at 17%+ (I like Scotty ) along with Xander Schauffele and DJohnson.

Patrick Reed is 16%, with Rory McILroy, and Patrick Cantlay( first tourney in 4 months) coming in at 15%, followed by Gary Woodland +, and then Tony Finau at 14%.

M Fitzpatrick is 12%,M Leishman is at 11%, and so is Sergio Garcia. Ian Poulter and Corey Conners are coming in at just under 11%, along with Joel Dahmen, who has shot up quickly in the last hour, his % will go up.

Doc Redman, JT Poston and Jason Kokrak are just a shade under 8%, Billy Horschel, Max Homa and S. Munoz are at 6%, Jordan Spieth is at 5% along with Jason Day.

The following are at present sub 5% owned golfers:

Ryan Moore, Keegan Bradley, Dylan Frittelli, Ryan Palmer,Kevin Kisner, Shane Lowry, Louie Oosthuizen, B. An, Shane Lowry, Bud Cauley, Vaughn Taylor, Chez Reavie, Rafa Cabrera Bello, H Varner III, K Streelman, Jim Furyk and others in the 6 K range.

Bryson and JT may top 25% by tourney lock out. If you roster them both, remember you will need four sub 8% owned players to get in the range to win the Milly, if you choose 1 you can play some mid to high priced player (s)as long as you have several low owned and diverse people in your lineup.

I was going to roster Shane Lowry in 9 lineups, now he’s in none. He played with Brooks Koepka, who’s caddy tested +, and Graeme McDowell, who’s caddy tested+. He may withdraw prior to tee off time, regardless he is too risky now to roster.

The following are players I believe may help:

Bubba Watson (8800) 18% owned. He is at the top of the ownership plateau, Data Golf docked him <2> for regression, what they did not do is allow him the customary .5 to .75 for history, when Bubba likes a course, he plays really well at it. He may or may not win his 4th championship in 10 years, even with the doc, he is still a + value, and on this course I won’t bet against him, although I have,and lost, many times. Secondary: Rory and Xander.

Matthew Fitzpatrick (8100) 12% owned, Marc Leishman (8000) 11% owned
These are two golfers hovering just over 10% with a decent short game and accuracy, they should provide decent value this weekend. Secondary Tony Finau (8200) and JT Poston (7900).

Doc Redman (6700) 7% owned. Max Homa (7000) 6% owned. I love Doc, he was eighth in strokes gained last week. I would like their ownership to be sub 5 but you can’t have everything, and you will get everything if these two make the cut and play golf as they have been, both rate as good values with + upside in my models.

Deep Longshots: Tyler Duncan, Cameron Tringale, Ryan Moore

These three can win you the Milly Maker on your team, or they can blow it up in a second on Friday (cut) night. Duncan is a cut maker, he needs to learn that there are two more days after the cut to play. My model loves Tringale, and Ryan Moore should fit this course enough to make the cut.

Honorable Mention: Harry Higgs.
Harry has made 7 straight cuts and he drinks Tito’s Homemade Vodka, made right here in Austin TX. That’s good enough for me.

5 years ago 0 comments

PGA

Charles Schwab Challenge Ownership Breakdown

Michael Rasile 5 years ago

written by Michael Rasile

Charles Schwab Challenge Ownership Breakdown

The time is near, we have the PGA to thank.
Let’s comb thru this data of the Charles Schwab Challenge Ownership Breakdown, and put the money in the bank! Let’s all go try and take down that Million Dollars from DraftKings!

Last year the Colonial played as the 7th hardest course relative to par. It ranked near the bottom in strength of field. Not anymore.

Ownership Breakdown Percentage | DraftKings

Rory McILroy and Web Simpson will battle it out for top ownership %, presently at 24% and rising.

They are followed by John Rahm, Sunjae IM, Patrick Reed and Colin Morikawa (sorry Patrick) at 18% ownership and on an uptick.

Justin Thomas and Xander Shauffele are holding steady at 15%.

English, Kuchar, DJ, Na, Fowler, and Spieth are between 10 and 14%.

DeChambeau, Hovland, An, Fitzpatrick (my compliments Jason), Moore and Lowry are all sub 10 percent, ranging from 8% down to 5%.

The reason I mention these golfers above is that they all have a high percentage to make the cut, and a 20% + chance to make top 20 in the tourney, with the exception of Jordan Spieth, who is still a respectable 15% to make top 20. The following players deserve a mention as well.

M Leishman – 11% owned, 27% to T20
K Kisner – 11% owned 19% to T20
C.Conners – 11% owned 18% to T20
J. Day – 7% owned 25% to T20

R Moore, S Lowry, C Reavie, V Taylor, R Knox,C. Bezuidenhout, B Cauley, T Hoge all are under 5% ownership with 15% odds to make T 20.

High Priced | DraftKings

At first I was high on Rahm, after he said he’s just “praying not to shank the first 7 balls I hit…and I just need to work the rust off.” I’m going to pass and look hard at Rory and Bryson, with JT following closely behind Bryson. Also I wasn’t planning on rostering Koepka, after he said “my game is really coming around, after the Players it’s now a million times better.” Okay, that’s a few lineups for me, thank you. Sunjae Im has been playing 5 hours every day, so he is ready. Kevin Na: “I spent all my time at home, loved it, didn’t play any golf, I may be a bit rusty.” Sergio just had a baby! Congrats, No roster for you!

If you are playing in a high player GPP I wouldn’t go with more than 1 of the high priced players, and to be contrarian, I don’t feel it’s necessary to roster any. Web Simpson is popping all over my models, at 25% ownership, I may put him in 1 lineup in multiples and pivot to a lower owned choice, grudgingly.

In the mid tier it’s Day, Kuchar and Sheffler popping, with Day being one of the best contrarian pivots due to ownership,value,and a decent short game.

Golfers of Note	Odds to make cut (%)	Odds to T20(%)
Xander S	74.2	37.6
P Reed	70.9	34.3
Sunjae IM	69.7	33.8
C Morikawa	69.6	32.9
DJ	69.1	32.0
S Scheffler	68.9	30.9
R Fowler	66.9	28.6
M Fitzpatrick	66.4	28.1
M Kuchar	65.9	27.9
B Koepka	63.9	25.8
J Day	62.7	24.2
T Finau	62.6	22.9
D Berger	59.8	19.7
R Sabbatini	57.5	18.4
K Kisner	56.3	17.5
D Lee	53.2	15.6
M Homa	50.7	14.2

Max was the last to be close, although he didn’t quite hit the 15%, he has the short game to get a pass.

Value Plays | DraftKings

Adam Hadwin, B An, Abraham Ancer, Billy Horschel and Harris English are the top value plays with Jim Furyk, Ryan Moore, Bryan Harmon and Conners secondary value plays.

Deep deep sleepers: Munoz, Cauley, Duncan, Redmon, Cabrera-Bello, Stricker, Todd, – roster if you’re feeling frosty!

If you don’t see your golfers name listed anywhere above, it’s because of ownership, value, DraftKings pricing or data, and it doesn’t mean you can’t roster him. I haven’t listed any golfers with a less than 50% chance to make the cut, and at least a 15% chance to make the top 20. I feel the best golfers to get you the money are there, and I’ll be glad to answer any queries in the Win Daily Sports Discord Chat once the writers reports are in. Make sure to keep checking Win Daily Sports for all the up to date news on all your Golf bets and DFS plays.

As always, I hope to see you there, in the money.

5 years ago 0 comments

Daily Fantasy Sports PGA

PGA DFS Picks: Sony Open in Hawaii

Pick Management 5 years ago

written by Pick Management

In this edition of PGA DFS picks, we’re looking for a big payday at the Sony Open in Hawaii and helping you find some winning teams!

Golf Course Notes:

Full tournament field of 144 golfers
Cut: Top 65 and ties play the weekend
Played at Waialae Country Club in Hawaii: 7,044 yards, par 70
Tree-lined fairways with plenty of doglegs, and bunkers – with an emphasis on accuracy, clubbing down and previous course knowledge
Bermuda turf and greens
Windy conditions expected
Focus Stat Categories: Strokes Gained: Approach; Par 4 Scoring; Less-than-Driver, Bogey Avoidance, SG: Putting

The Picks:

Elite PGA DFS (DK $9,000 and up):

Justin Thomas (DK $12,000, FD $12,300) – After JT’s latestwin in a playoff late Sunday at Kapalua, he’s listed as theVegas favorite at 9-2. Itwas a weird finish but he should contend again this week.

Webb Simpson (DK $11,100, FD $11,500) – Webb is now oneof the most consistent golfers on Tour and he’s an excellent fit for this track,where he finished fourth in 2018. I’ll have shares alongside Thomas.

Matt Kuchar (DK $9,900, FD $11,100) – Kuchar won here last year and also at El Camaleon in the Mayakoba Golf Classic in 2018 – an event that features a correlative coastal course with a similar feel. He’s a solid cash gameplay.

Charles Howell III (DK $9,100, FD $10,700) – Howell has a good history here and as a solid ball striker excels in many of our focus stat categories. He’s finished in the Top 15 three of his last four times here and is 5/5 on cuts since 2015.

Also consider: Patrick Reed (All formats), Collin Morikawa & AbrahamAncer (GPP only)

Mid-Range PGA DFS (DK $7,500 to $8,900):

Corey Conners (DK $7,800, FD $8,900) – He finished tied for third here last year after a T39 in his debut, and I’ll be hammering him into a big chunk of my GPPs. The upside is there and he’s a good bet to make the weekend. I love him in all formats this week.

Chez Reavie (DK $8,400, FD $10,000) – He’s had a nice run here, finishing T3, T18, T8 in his last three tries. A near-lock to make the cut and a solid bet for a Top 25. It should be a cash game staple and GPP plug-n-play.

J.T. Poston (DK $8,100, FD $9,900) – Poston had a solid week playing in tough competition, and he’s going to be popular given his recent form and the fit at this layout. He’s a fine play in all formats this week – just keep an eye on his ownership in tournaments.

Sebastian Munoz (DK $7,900, FD $9,700) – Don’t forget about Munoz. I liked him last week and he’s a sneaky play again here – even after his T10 finish last year at this venue

Emiliano Grillo (DK $7,600, FD $9,300) – I can’t give up on Grillo, who’s struggled with the flat stick but can be a little more aggressive here and is an elite ball-striker with loads of GPP upside.

Also consider: Brendan Todd, Kevin Kisner,Brian Stuard, Rory Sabbatini

Value PGA DFS (DK Under $7,500):

Brian Gay (DK $7,200, FD $8,900) – Gayhad a breakthrough in 2018 and a solid 2019, and he looks to get the ballrolling with another Top 25 here – something he accomplished in 2017 and 2019at Waialae. His MC at the RSM could keep folks off, and he finished T14 at theMayakoba.

Patton Kizzire (DK $6,900, FD $8,500) – Kizzire’s recent form is trash, but Hawaii has treated him well the past few years. He’s an under-the-radar play who might just be the course horse we need to fit ion some studs.

Talor Gooch (DK $6,800, FD $8,200) – He’s GPP only as a value play with some upside, since he checks some of the key boxes, but not a guy who’s cash-viable.

Jimmy Walker (DK $6,800, FD $8,500) – It’s been a while since we’ve heard Walker discussed, but he’s a 2x winner here and this type, of course, is his bag, baby! He made the cut here last year after two misses in 2017 and 2018.

Jerry Kelly (DK $6,200, FD $7,100) – Old Man Kelly is super cheap and he’s a former winner with three top 15s here over the past five years. Dude loves this course.

More value golfers for GPPs: Kyle Stanley, Chris Kirk, DanielBerger, Keegan Bradley, Scott Piercy, Harry Higgs

The PGA DFS Fades:

Hideki Matsuyama (DK $10,500, FD $11,300) – He hasn’t played well at this venue, which is a change from last week’s brainless fade of Xander Schauffele (At least I take some chances with my fades). Matsuyama played well in October but he’s a little too pricey for me given his track record in Hawaii.

Joaquin Niemann (DK $9,400, FD $10,800) – I expect him to be popular but I’m not ready to go overboard just yet. Niemann is a first-timer here and I prefer some of the guys who are a little cheaper.

PGA DFS — Sample DK GPP lineup #1 (leaving $$$):

JustinThomas ($11,200)

AbrahamAncer ($9,000)

J.T.Poston ($8,100)

BrianGay ($7,200)

ScottPiercy ($7,100)

JerryKelly ($6,200)

($400 left)

PGA DFS – Sample DK GPP lineup #2 (balanced):

WebbSimpson ($11,100)

CoreyConners ($8,900)

ChezReavie ($8,400)

EmilianoGrillo ($7,600)

KyleStanley ($7,000)

PattonKizzire ($6,900)

($100 left)

PGA DFS – Sample DK GPP lineup #3 (large-field):

JustinThomas ($12,000)

J.T.Poston ($8,100)

SebastianMunoz ($7,900)

RorySabbatini ($7,600)

KeeganBradley ($7,200)

ChrisKirk ($6,700)

($100 left)

Tired of losing money on your DFS and Sportsbook? Sign up today and become a winner whileturning your passion for sports into a second stream of income!

5 years ago 0 comments

Newer Posts

Older Posts

PGA GPP

Workday Charity Open Ownership Preview

Workday Charity Open Ownership Preview

The Rocket Mortgage Classic Final Ownership Projections

The Rocket Mortgage Classic Final Ownership Projections

The Travelers Championship Final Ownership Projections

The Travelers Championship Final Ownership Projections

Ownership Projections

The following are at present sub 5% owned golfers:

The following are players I believe may help:

Deep Longshots: Tyler Duncan, Cameron Tringale, Ryan Moore

Charles Schwab Challenge Ownership Breakdown

Charles Schwab Challenge Ownership Breakdown

Ownership Breakdown Percentage | DraftKings

High Priced | DraftKings

Value Plays | DraftKings

PGA DFS Picks: Sony Open in Hawaii

Golf Course Notes:

The Picks:

Elite PGA DFS (DK $9,000 and up):

Mid-Range PGA DFS (DK $7,500 to $8,900):

Value PGA DFS (DK Under $7,500):

The PGA DFS Fades:

PGA DFS — Sample DK GPP lineup #1 (leaving $$$):

PGA DFS – Sample DK GPP lineup #2 (balanced):

PGA DFS – Sample DK GPP lineup #3 (large-field):

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PGA GPP

Workday Charity Open Ownership Preview

The Rocket Mortgage Classic Final Ownership Projections

The Travelers Championship Final Ownership Projections

Ownership Projections

The following are at present sub 5% owned golfers:

The following are players I believe may help:

Deep Longshots: Tyler Duncan, Cameron Tringale, Ryan Moore

Charles Schwab Challenge Ownership Breakdown

Ownership Breakdown Percentage | DraftKings

High Priced | DraftKings

Value Plays | DraftKings

Golf Course Notes:

The Picks:

Elite PGA DFS (DK $9,000 and up):

Mid-Range PGA DFS (DK $7,500 to $8,900):

Value PGA DFS (DK Under $7,500):

The PGA DFS Fades:

PGA DFS — Sample DK GPP lineup #1 (leaving $$$):

PGA DFS – Sample DK GPP lineup #2 (balanced):

PGA DFS – Sample DK GPP lineup #3 (large-field):

Subscribe to our newsletter

The best bets and resources to make you more profitable

Our Company

©2024 WIN DAILY®. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.

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©2024 WIN DAILY^®. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.