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Win Daily Nation! I hope everyone is doing well out there, and if you haven’t had a chance to yet, please give a listen to both the Bettor Golf Podcast that I host with Nick Bretwisch, as well as the PGA Draftcast that I do with Sia Nejad and Joel Schreck. I am extremely proud of those shows, and a listen goes a long way for us to grow the brand!

DraftKings Players ($10,000+)

Rory McIlroy ($11,100) – I know nearly 20 percent of users are projected to select Rory McIlroy this weekend at the API, but I am marginally surprised it is not higher when we look at his course history of five straight top-10 results since 2017. McIlroy is one of only four players (the other three being Hovland, Rahm and Hideki) that rank inside the top-20 of every statistical metric I attached a weight, and while I get the recent approach form might provide some concerns, the 66% of second shots that take place beyond 150 yards at the track help place him sixth in my model.

Viktor Hovland ($10,800) – I assume everyone has caught up and watched the ‘PGA Draftcast’ this week, but I can’t tell you how badly I wanted to start my build with Rory McIlroy and Viktor Hovland. I have some trepidation with my last selection of Thomas Pieters, but in a different world, I do think moving Sungjae Im to Hovland and Pieters down to Trey Mullinax is certainly a viable strategy. Hovland has struggled (by his standards) at this track over his three attempts, failing to post a top-40 result, but the finishes are not quite as shaky when you dive a little deeper into the numbers. The Norweigan entered Saturday inside the top-five last year before blowing up, and a similar sentiment can be said for him in 2020 – an event that saw him fall out of the top-15 on Sunday.

Other Consideration – All five golfers rank inside the top-six of my model. It is hard to find many faults with the group.

$9,000 Range

Sungjae Im ($9,900) – Pricing is excellent across the board this week. I hate that it is the case because it makes the DFS slate much more challenging to get an edge, but we don’t have to look any further than 19 of the top-20 golfers on the odds board managing to grade inside the top-23 names on my model. I always note this factor, but I don’t run my numbers to look at pricing for the week, so it means something when I am in such alignment with all other markets. With all that being said, the one name that I will find myself higher on than most users will be Sungjae Im, who has an ideal bounce-back spot in front of him at the API. Sungjae ranks next to Jon Rahm, Rory McIlroy, Scottie Scheffler and Viktor Hovland as the only players in this field inside the top-10 of my model in both weighted tee-to-green and total driving, and he also grades a stout 10th in weighted par-five scoring. McIlroy and Hovland will be my preferred choices up top, but it will be Im that carries my primary exposure in the $9,000 range.

Other Targets: I’d monitor ownership, but there is a ton of popularity in this range.

$8,000 Range

Sergio Garcia ($8,100) – As you can tell, I am condensing most of these ranges to feature my favorite few targets of the group for the Arnold Palmer Invitational. I don’t think it is that helpful to list a ton of names when most of the popular picks for the event are likely solid plays. You will not hear me pleading my case as often this week that the chalk needs to be faded, but I do like a potential contrarian pivot in the $8,000 zone to Sergio Garcia – a golfer that hasn’t played this tournament in nearly 10 years but has the exact statistical makeup that you would hope to find for a potential winner. Garcia ranks inside the top-seven in this field for weighted par-five scoring and total driving, and I anticipate that we see him at sub-six percent when all is said and done.

Other Thoughts: Sam Burns ($8,800) – GPP Only. Max Homa ($8,700), Jason Kokrak ($8,400), Paul Casey ($8,300) and Keith Mitchell ($8,100) will all be in my pool.

$7,000 Range

I am going to rapid-fire through some $7,000 golfers to present a handful of choices for everyone reading.

Jason Day ($7,900) – We are back at the site of DAYYYYYY’s infamous Disney World trip in 2019. The Australian is providing solid contrarian numbers for those in GPP contests, and the course history has been great when he hasn’t decided to set records on the ‘Space Ranger’ ride.

Justin Rose ($7,700) – Rose is one of the better difficult course players in the world, and it shouldn’t hurt matters that he ranks inside the top-10 in weighted proximity over 150 yards.

Corey Conners ($7,600) – Ignore the recent results for Corey Conners! I was recommending him as a fade during those contests because of the awkward fit for his game, and we now get a venue that accentuates his total driving.

Seamus Power ($7,600) – My thought process behind Corey Conners is similar to Seamus Power. Consider this an appealing spot to get unique, although I will mention that I thought he would find better success than he did at the Genesis Invitational and Waste Management.

Keegan Bradley ($7,300) – Bradley is fifth in my model when it comes to weighted tee-to-green, and we have seen him find success at tests like this in the past where you don’t need to make as many putts. The American hasn’t missed a cut at the venue in his last nine trips, producing three top-10s. 

Additional Thoughts: Luke List ($7,500), Cameron Young ($7,500), Erik Van Rooyen ($7,400), Kevin Na ($7,400), Si Woo Kim ($7,300), Lanto Griffin ($7,100), Sahith Theegala $7,000, Thomas Pieters ($7,000) – GPP only. Tons of risk and upside.

$6,000 Range

Additional Dart Throws To Consider: Carlos Ortiz ($6,900), Adam Svensson ($6,700), Garrick Higgo ($6,700), Cameron Davis ($6,600), Alex Smalley ($6,400), Charles Howell III ($6,400), Doug Ghim ($6,300), Trey Mullinax ($6,200).

If you haven’t already, follow Win Daily Sports on YouTube and via Apple Podcasts and check out all the content at windailysports.com. We’re already hitting big with our NFL content and you are going to want to be a part of that. It’s also important to be in Discord Wednesday night for all lineup adjustments, late-breaking news and weather reports.

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The PGA Tour travels to Orlando this week for another installment of the Florida Swing. This course certainly caters to bombers and long iron players, but don’t be fooled, all kinds of styles have fared well here over the years and even the shorter players can get it done if they are precise with their ball striking. This week my focus is on the usual suspects including a heavy emphasis on OTT and APP, but I will also focus on driving accuracy, Par 5 scoring, Prox 200+ and whatever else @TeeOffSports tells me to focus on during our PGA Draftcast at 8:00 Tuesday night. Make sure you tune into that show, read all of our articles and get into our Discord. The family has been red-hot and we plan to keep it rolling. Now let’s get to the the picks for the Arnold Palmer Invitational.

Rory McIlroy (11400) – Everyone in this range is a great option and I go back and forth between Rory and Rahm as the best option, but Rahm has never played here and Rory’s history is too good to overlook. Rory’s metrics aren’t great considering his price, particularly on APP, but he just seems to be incredibly comfortable here.

Hideki Matsuyama (10300) – Often overlooked and always underappreciated, Deki could be an interesting pivot off of the two big names at the top. His finishing positions haven’t been outstanding, but that’s mostly due to some very bad putting and his putter has started to improve, ever so slightly. Could be a good mix for a big win at slightly lower ownership than the big boys up top.

Marc Leishman (9100) – Not inlove with this range as it turns out, but there are plenty of names to consider including Sungjae, Zal and Fitz. My favorite option is the lower priced and likely lower owned Marc Leishman. His metrics over the last couple of months have been very good and his history is great as well.

Talor Gooch (8600) – A little scary to roster a guy who lost almost 9 strokes his last time out at The Genesis,, but I prefer to chalk that up to a random event as his play prior to the Genesis was elite (other than a questionable putter). I expect him to put it in play OTT and to comfortably hit greens on APP. A tourney play only this week for me.

Jason Kokrak (8400) – Not rating out particularly well in my model, but I still think there is value here at this price. Kokrak has plenty of upside (along with some MC equity) and I like his history here and recent history. He’s got an 8th, 18th and 10th over his last three efforts at The Arnold Palmer.

Keith Mitchell (8100) – He could get himself into trouble if he doesn’t find enough fairways as the rough here will be penal, but I’m playing the value and upside here, and he’s proven to have both with finishing positions of 43rd, 5th and 6th over his last three. The recent history is very good as well.

Maverick McNealy (7800) – Feels like he’s fallen off people’s radar lately in spite of some great finishes, including a Top 10 at The Genesis. His history at the Arnold Palmer isn’t great, but he feels like a much better golfer now than he was the last couple of years. He’s Top 10 over the last 24 rounds in SG Par 5 and Prox 200+ and he’s inside the Top 50 OTT, APP and ARG. He’s been a great putter lately as well.

Cameron Young (7500) – There is plenty to like right in this precise mid-7k range including Seamus Power, EVR and Chris Kirk, but I’ve decided, for now, to tail the upside of Cameron Young who must have missed the memo that you’re not supposed to dominate the tour as a relative unknown. He’s been elite OTT lately and reasonably consistent on APP. The ARG is a problem spot but when he loses there it’s typically minimal. I don’t mind being late on Young.

Tom Hoge (7300) – Price is simply too low here as Hoge has gained BS in 11 of the last 12 tournaments and we know the PUTT can get hot. He’s proven he has upside and I think he’s deserving of being priced in the upper 7k range. I think there is value in rostering Sepp Straka at 7300 as well.

Lee Hodges (6600) – A potential riser who has shown he can play with the big boys. His BS has been great as of late and the only weak spot appears to be the PUTT. If you need to dip down into this range, I like Hodges, Svensson and Rai as of now.

Secret Weapon – 49-17. See you in Discord.

Be sure to get in our Discord, watch our PGA Draftcast LIVE show tomorrow night and sign up for all things Win Daily as we are bringing you all the DFS for all the sports you can imagine. Further, make sure you check out Sharp as the bets continue to roll through.

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Hello everybody, and welcome back to ‘Tee 2 Green,’ a new article that I will be producing for Win Daily Sports weekly to give some extra insight into the DFS world of golf. My focus will be to discuss, decipher and dissect some of my preferred targets throughout the various price ranges, and I will always provide my opinion with a data-intensive outlook that you can see first-hand if you use the weekly model that I provide free of charge. You can find that here.

DraftKings Players ($10,000+)

Daniel Berger ($10,400) –This week, there is a fine line between trying to get contrarian and still taking the choices you want. I feel like DraftKings did an excellent job pricing all the golfers, and ownership continues to flock to the same areas for users. And we some of those points come to fruition when we dive into my upside model, which places every $10,000 golfer inside the top-six for the Honda Classic. There is no point in me taking a bold stance against anyone near the top. I believe you could go any route and still put together a perfectly acceptable build, but I am going to try and jump the gun on Daniel Berger and hope that his back is healthy and ready to fire at PGA National.

Other Consideration – I am not going to talk anyone out of whoever they like for the week.

$9,000 Range

Billy Horschel ($9,600) – Unfortunately, YOUUUUUUU (yes, you reading this article right now) changed some of my plans during the PGA DraftCast show that we did with Jason Sobel when you guys decided to take both of my favorite targets in this $9,000 range. From a roster construction standpoint, I am proud of the group because the selections are sharp, but it did cause a massive deviation to take place for me that I was hoping to avoid. Horschel is the number one golfer in this field at short Par 70 tracks and also grades fourth for me from a safety perspective.

Shane Lowry ($9,400) – Shane Lowry ranks 11th in my recalculated tee-to-green metric to mimic PGA National and is also fourth in strokes gained approach over his past 24 rounds. Maybe you can try to pick a bone about his bunker play historically, but I do believe the Irishman is one of the safer targets on the slate.

Other Targets: Alex Noren ($9,300), Tommy Fleetwood ($9,900) – I would rather get up to Daniel Berger or down to Billy Horschel and Shane Lowry, but I wouldn’t be excluding the two in MME builds.

$8,000 Range

Brian Harman ($8,700) – Sharp money has been pouring in all week on Brian Harman, and it is easy to understand why when you look at his profile. Harman ranks inside the top-20 on fast Bermuda, difficult courses, wind, bogey avoidance and sand save percentage, and I thought was the top target on the board that went undrafted.

Jhonattan Vegas ($8,500) – There are some issues Jhonattan Vegas possesses both ATG and out of bunkers, but I love the ball-striking upside. Vegas has averaged 4.08 strokes tee-to-green over his past 13 starts. I took him first overall in the draft because of the safety that I believe he provides, but I also have an outright ticket on him because the ball-striking can shine at PGA National.

Aaron Wise ($8,400) – I’d be lying if I said I didn’t have my reservations, but Aaron Wise has been a coastal specialist throughout his career, and the improvement with his flat stick might be enough for him to reach the next level at PGA National. I am going to take the positives that Wise gained 2.8 shots ball-striking at the Genesis and hope he can continue that improved form at a venue he has averaged 5.46 shots tee-to-green in his career.

Other Thoughts: Gary Woodland ($8,200), Christiaan Bezuidenhout ($8,000) – I will consider Woodland/ Bezuidenhout and include both into my player pool.

$7,000 Range

I am going to rapid-fire through some $7,000 golfers to present a handful of choices for everyone reading.

Ryan Palmer ($7,900) – The takeaway from everyone will be that Ryan Palmer has put more balls in the water during the ‘Bear Trap’ than any other golfer, but two top-17 finishes in his past two trips makes this more than a doom-and-gloom situation.

C.T. Pan ($7,700) – I don’t think I have ever backed C.T. Pan before in any market, but he was one of my most prominent climbers when I condensed the data down to certain areas. Top-15 in weighted tee-to-green. A third-place finish at this venue in 2021 and a top-10 in his last start at the Genesis.

Rickie Fowler ($7,600) -There is a ton of volatility around Rickie Fowler, but the good portions of his portfolio make him worth a shot in GPP contests. Fowler has come inside the top-two at PGA National twice since 2017, and he ranks third in my reweighted tee-to-green data.

Chris Kirk ($7,500) – I love where Chris Kirk’s game has been trending over the past few starts. The American has gained tee-to-green in his last eight, and he has also averaged +1.04 around the green and +1.56 off the tee. Kirk is a positive putter on Bermuda and always excels on these bogey avoidance-type tracks. The 36-year-old is second in my recalculated tee-to-green category that is specific for PGA National, and he is one of only five players to grade inside the top-33 in all categories I looked at for the week — Daniel Berger, Brooks Koepka, Brian Harman and Sungjae Im are the other four.

Michael Thompson ($7,500) – Three top-24 finishes at this course for Michael Thompson in his last four attempts. The recent form provides some trepidation, but Thompson is a golfer that outperforms his price tag quite often.

Sepp Straka ($7,400) – The weighted proximity numbers are great, and the course history has been solid with back-to-back top-33 finishes.

Additional Thoughts: K.H. Lee ($7,700), Brendon Todd ($7,500), Lucas Glover ($7,400), Sam Ryder ($7,200), Stewart Cink ($7,100)

$6,000 Range

Additional Dart Throws To Consider: Mark Hubbard ($6,900), Ryan Armour ($6,600), Satoshi Kodaira ($6,600), Luke Donald ($6,400).

If you haven’t already, follow Win Daily Sports on YouTube and via Apple Podcasts and check out all the content at windailysports.com. We’re already hitting big with our NFL content and you are going to want to be a part of that. It’s also important to be in Discord Wednesday night for all lineup adjustments, late-breaking news and weather reports.

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As Joel Schrek (and LL Cool J) like to say, we are going back to Cali for the Genesis Invitational. This week 119 players will be teeing it up in an absolutely loaded field. Please make sure you catch our live show (“The PGA DraftCast”) from Tuesday night for a complete model breakdown and our favorite Draftkings picks. I’m personally looking for the complete golfer this week and that will require good ball striking and a good short game. Much like last week, I’ll be placing extra emphasis on course history. Now let’s get to the Genesis Initial Picks.

Patrick Cantlay (11000) – Truly a toss up between Cantlay and Rahm but if I was forced to pick, I’d go with Cantlay as he is in good form and seems to love the Cali swing. The APP game hasn’t been elite but it’s been good enough and he definitely has plenty of short game prowess.

Rory McIlroy (9700) – The APP game was off late last year and therefore his metrics are down a bit in your model, but I love what he did overseas over the last month and I think he has the expertise and course history to navigate this course and potentially take this tournament down.

Cam Smith (9100) – If you’re looking for a technician, look no further than Cam Smith who also has the complete game to compete in this talent-laden field. Cam’s OTT game hasn’t been great but he checks every other box including great course history.

Jordan Spieth (8900) – Good course history and a good setup for him as even if he’s wayward off the tee, he should have the requisite creativity, APP and short game to be ok out here. I like the form he’s in and think that he has upside at this price.

Max Homa (8300) – Certainly won’t rate out well in your modeling, but he’s starting to come on strong and he appears to absolutely love the Genesis with a 1st and a 5th over his last two efforts. Add to that he’s coming in with good form and you’ve got some upside here.

Adam Scott (8200) – Recent history suggests his game is emerging and I love his course history at The Genesis. Plenty of upside with the ball striking and the PUTT and if he can be average with ARG he can easily pay off his price tag.

Talor Gooch (8000) – Doesn’t rate out very well OTT, but is very good in every other category including APP and ARG and the long proximities we will be looking for on the long Par 4s. He also checks the great course history box and looks to be a great value. I’ll note that I also like Matt Fitzpatrick in this range at 8100.

Luke List (7400) – Coming off an underwhelming 53rd at the WMPO, but remains in elite form outside of a PUTT that is prone to being a problem. With that said, his game sets up very well here as he has both the short and long game at his disposal and has good course history.

Cameron Tringale (7300) – it feels like a good bounce back spot and price for Tringale here. I’ll admit he doesn’t rate out as well as I would have thought, but I still think he has the complete game to survive and advance to the weekend at likely low ownership. Speaking of a bounce back spot, I will also be playing some shares of Seamus Power in this range at 7500.

Lanto Griffin (7200) – My main issue with Lanto on this course should be his ARG game, but he appears to have turned that part of his game around. If that trend continues then he’s a great value as he has the APP and PUTT game to make some noise at this price.

Matt Kuchar (6800) – Put simply, the ball striking has just been way off with Kuchar. However, if there were a tournament for him to tactically play his way past the cut line, it would likely be the Genesis where he can plot out each shot and lean on a solid short game. The upside is capped here, but I think this is the venue where the Kuchar of old could emerge.

Doug Ghim (6500) – He’s been making a lot of cuts lately and we know that he’s classically a great ball striker. He’s only played the Genesis once and had an MC, but if vintage Ghim is back, he’s a value at this price. The PUTT can get him in trouble for sure, but I’ll play the upside.

Aaron Rai (6400) – no course experience at The Genesis, but he’s been pretty great lately making 7 out of his last 8 cuts. Truth is, he’s not doing much at an elite level, but the ability to make this many cuts has my attention. There are plenty of others in this range I like including Brendan Grace and J.T. Poston.

Secret Weapon – 48-16. See you in Discord.

Be sure to get in our Discord, watch our show and sign up for all things Win Daily as we are bringing you all the DFS for all the sports you can imagine. Further, make sure you check out Sharp as the bets continue to roll through.

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Hello everybody, and welcome back to ‘Tee 2 Green,’ a new article that I will be producing for Win Daily Sports weekly to give some extra insight into the DFS world of golf. My focus will be to discuss, decipher and dissect some of my preferred targets throughout the various price ranges, and I will always provide my opinion with a data-intensive outlook that you can see first-hand if you use the weekly model that I provide free of charge. You can find that here.

DraftKings Players ($10,000+)

Patrick Cantlay ($11,000) – For such a long time, we had this narrative that Patrick Cantlay was only playable on the west coast, which has gone away (rightfully so), but it has now turned into something different where the industry seems to continually be overlooking him in these spots near the top of the board in pricing. It happened last week at TPC Scottsdale, and it is trending in that direction here at Riviera Country Club. Cantlay has been brilliant at the course in his career, posting four top-17 finishes in four attempts, and he enters the week as arguably the hottest player on tour.

Justin Thomas ($10,700) – In my opinion, this is your top contrarian pivot near the top of the board. Collin Morikawa is a massive underdog at credible offshore books against Dustin Johnson and Rory McIlroy. That doesn’t mean he isn’t in play because of that fact, but I think it is Thomas that you want to consider as your under-the-radar man in the $10,000 range. The American ranks first in my recalculated tee-to-green category, and he seems to be a hot putter away from getting back into the winner’s circle.

Dustin Johnson ($10,200) – It is hard to say anything negative about Dustin Johnson at Riviera Country Club. Eight straight top-16 results since 2014, which is highlighted by a victory in 2017. We could go on and on about the big-hitter at this course, but I just wish Johnson would have been slightly higher priced to detract some of the ownership. As things stand, I am fine where the number is currently at (20 percent), but I do believe his win equity is less than that of Justin Thomas. Safer floor, yes. But I like swinging for the fence on Thomas when deciding directly between the two.

Other Consideration – I won’t have any Collin Morikawa, and I will be unusually underweight to Jon Rahm.

$9,000 Range

Xander Schauffele ($9,900) – I mentioned this on both ‘Bettor Golf Pod’ and ‘PGA Draftcast,’ but this is just the second time over the past year where Jon Rahm has not graded number one from a statistical perspective during a tournament he was entered into the field. The last occurrence came with Justin Thomas at the Players Championship – an event he ended as the winner – and my model is producing those same vibes here at Riviera Country Club for Xander Schauffele.

Cameron Smith ($9,100) –We have gotten a few volatile results from Cameron Smith over the years at Riviera, but the good has resulted in multiple top-10 showings since 2017. The Aussie ranks inside the top-10 of this field in five of the seven categories I ran inside of my model.

Other Targets: Rory McIlroy ($9,700) – The Irishman enters the week with quality form, having posted seven worldwide top-18 results over as many starts.

$8,000 Range

Jordan Spieth ($8,900) – Whenever you can grab a sub-10 percent owned Jordan Spieth and possibly a sub-five percent version in this situation, I always become intrigued. Spieth has been solid at this venue in the past, providing three top-22 finishes since 2017 and grades inside the top-12 of my model from an upside perspective.

Other Thoughts: Bubba Watson ($8,500), Tony Finau ($8,400) and Talor Gooch ($8,400) are some of my other preferred targets in this range.

$7,000 Range

I am going to rapid-fire through some $7,000 golfers to present a handful of choices for everyone reading.

Russell Henley ($7,900) – Russell Henley has gained tee-to-green in 13 of his past 14 starts on tour, and the course history has been trending at this track, providing four-straight made cuts.

Joaquin Niemann ($7,800) – Back-to-back top-10s to start the year for Joaquin Niemann has him buzzing into the Genesis. My model places him 15th overall, which is shown by his top-20 grades in tee-to-green and weighted par-four scoring.

Paul Casey ($7,600) – Paul Casey has been a wizard at difficult courses in his career, but it is going to come down to how the short game can perform on these fast greens. The ball-striking is good enough for him to sneak his way into the top-10, but you would have to imagine the around the green and putting metrics will have to hold as steady as possible for him to find his highest level of success.

Kevin Na ($7,600) – Kevin Na seemed to break my model. Inside the top-10 of all iterations of my sheet, Na has the iron proximity numbers and short game intangibles to get himself inside the top-10 at this event for the fifth time. I am going to use less of him than my model would like to see because I have my hesitations, but there is a lot to like about his chances from a statistical standpoint.

Seamus Power ($7,500) – I feel like there has been a small overcorrection to the market after Seamus Power not only disappointed at the Waste Management but also collapsed in front of the industry at Pebble Beach. With that being said, Power has come inside the top-31 in 15 of his past 19 starts, and the missed cut last weekend at TPC Scottsdale was the culprit of a cold putter that saw him lose 2.4 strokes to the field. The 34-year-old still gained in all other categories for the week, and I think the recency bias here is placing Seamus inside of the wrong tier of golfers. 

Additional Thoughts: Jason Kokrak ($7,700), Thomas Pieters ($7,400), Maverick McNealy ($7,200), Christiaan Bezuidenhout ($7,200), Ryan Palmer ($7,000) are all very much in play.

$6,000 Range

Additional Dart Throws To Consider: You can use my model to get some plays you might like! I am not in love with this territory, but you likely will find yourself down here on certain builds. I did during the ‘PGA Draftcast’ where I selected Doug Ghim $6,500.

If you haven’t already, follow Win Daily Sports on YouTube and via Apple Podcasts and check out all the content at windailysports.com. We’re already hitting big with our NFL content and you are going to want to be a part of that. It’s also important to be in Discord Wednesday night for all lineup adjustments, late-breaking news and weather reports.

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Hello everybody, and welcome back to ‘Tee 2 Green,’ a new article that I will be producing for Win Daily Sports weekly to give some extra insight into the DFS world of golf. My focus will be to discuss, decipher and dissect some of my preferred targets throughout the various price ranges, and I will always provide my opinion with a data-intensive outlook that you can see first-hand if you use the weekly model that I provide free of charge. You can find that here.

DraftKings Players ($10,000+)

Jon Rahm ($11,600) – I mentioned it on the Win DAYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYly show tonight, which has a name, but doesn’t have a name yet, that until Jon Rahm is priced in the $12,000 range, it is going to continue to be chalky Rahm weeks. There is nothing negative to say about the Spaniard in Arizona, although I will comment on handing Joel a small gift during our draft tonight by taking Scottie Scheffler first overall. Consider it a present because of the birth of his daughter a few days ago. I am a very generous friend.

Patrick Cantlay ($10,700) – Patrick Cantlay looks like he will be the forgotten man in the $10,000 section, but I would be cautious in overlooking his name when making a build. Cantlay will open up a great deal of leverage for those willing to take a chance on the American, and I do want to stress that no course history isn’t the same as bad course history. We have seen plenty of golfers find success here during their first trip.

Hideki Matsuyama ($10,400) – We should have just renamed the ‘Waste Management Open’ the ‘Hideki Matsuyama Open’ a few years back. No player in this field has found as much success out at TPC Scottsdale as Matsuyama, who is entering the week with form after winning two of his past four starts.

Other Consideration – I will be underweight towards most of the rest of the group.

$9,000 Range

Daniel Berger ($9,200) – The fear around Daniel Berger pulling out of the Pebble Beach Pro-Am has caused a massive reduction in ownership for the American this weekend at TPC Scottsdale. I would keep a close eye on his status as we near Thursday, but there is a contrarian discount looming for someone grading sixth in my model and second for my partner Nick Bretwisch of the ‘Bettor Golf Podcast.’

Scottie Scheffler ($9,100) – Did I jump the gun on Scottie Scheffler during the draft? Perhaps. But I wanted to make sure I locked in a golfer that is extremely simple to build practically any lineup you wish around. Scheffler grades seventh in par-five scoring and is third in total driving – two categories I find to be extremely important for finding success.

Other Targets: Xander Schauffele ($9,700), Bubba Watson ($9,000) – I have some trepidation around Xander this week, but it is hard to argue his four top-17 finishes at the track. As for Watson, this is a Bubba track, and we all know how Bubba loves to Bubba at a Bubba track.

$8,000 Range

Louis Oosthuizen ($8,800) We haven’t seen Louis Oosthuizen in action since pulling out of the RSM Classic. I have no real concerns about a lingering injury, but I wish we could have gotten some form out of him before having to lock the South African in at 15 percent ownership. All in all, I think Louis makes for a safe addition to a squad, but his winning upside could be capped because of the lack of golf.

Matthew Fitzpatrick ($8,700) -Is Matthew Fitzpatrick a perfect DFS target this week? No. But he does provide an insanely good discount in popularity for those that need to find a way to stray away from the masses. The Englishman ranks top-10 in my model for both weighted tee-to-green and strokes gained on a fast surface.

Other Thoughts: I am generally fading this range.

$7,000 Range

I am going to rapid-fire through some $7,000 golfers to present a handful of choices for everyone reading.

Billy Horschel ($7,900) – I really like Billy Horschel this week, and he should have been mine in the draft. All blame goes to Sia, even though the audience inevitably landed him. Billy Horschel=good. Sia=bad.

Talor Gooch ($7,800) – Talor Gooch is -180 at a credible offshore book in a head-to-head matchup against Abraham Ancer. I hate using that as my reasoning, but Gooch is a top-15 golfer in this field if we remove his spotty course history – something I am willing to ignore because of his improvement in 2022.

Luke List ($7,700) – List is playing some of the best golf of his career. Despite the popularity he possesses, the American is in play in most game types.

Keith Mitchell ($7,500) – Keith Mitchell is volatile, but he is one of the biggest climbers in my model when I condense the data down over the past 24 rounds. It doesn’t hurt matters that we have seen him gain off the tee in 13 consecutive starts.

K.H. Lee ($7,300) – The game is trending in a good spot for a golfer that finished second at the venue last year.

Cameron Davis ($7,200) – I think Cameron Davis is one of the most mispriced players on the board in any market you want to look at. The Aussie grades inside the top-25 of this field in total driving, par-five birdie or better percentage and overall aggression, which is is pretty much the exact blueprint I am trying to find this week on my golfers. 

Additional Thoughts: Kevin Streelman ($7,100) is a fun GPP target at one percent ownership

$6,000 Range

Martin Laird ($6,800) – Martin Laird has quietly been better than his results, gaining with his irons in 10 of 11 starts and off the tee in 9 of 11. Add to that his four top-nine finishes at Scottsdale in 12 tries, and we start to get a good sleeper option on a golfer that has gained with his flat stick in 7 of 12 appearances at the track.

Additional Dart Throws To Consider: Adam Hadwin ($6,900), Matthew NeSmith ($6,600), Matt Wallace ($6,500)

If you haven’t already, follow Win Daily Sports on YouTube and via Apple Podcasts and check out all the content at windailysports.com. We’re already hitting big with our NFL content and you are going to want to be a part of that. It’s also important to be in Discord Wednesday night for all lineup adjustments, late-breaking news and weather reports.

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Hello everybody, and welcome back to ‘Tee 2 Green,’ a new article that I will be producing for Win Daily Sports weekly to give some extra insight into the DFS world of golf. My focus will be to discuss, decipher and dissect some of my preferred targets throughout the various price ranges, and I will always provide my opinion with a data-intensive outlook that you can see first-hand if you use the weekly model that I provide free of charge. You can find that here.

DraftKings Players ($10,000+)

Patrick Cantlay ($11,200) – I think many Patrick Cantlay constructions will have very similar starts this week to their builds. I would be conscious in realizing that before utilizing the second-highest owned player on the board in the standard Cantlay/Jason Day, Cantlay/Maverick McNealy or Cantlay/Kevin Streelman type of start. Cantlay is the best player in this field, but you will need to make sure to utilize him correctly.

Jordan Spieth ($10,300) –Jordan Spieth has finished inside the top-22 at this event in eight of his nine attempts, with the lone outlier coming during his cold stretch in 2019 – an event he still managed to end 45th after losing 6.4 shots with his ball-striking. It is hard to call this a boom-or-bust selection when his course history reads like a beautiful story, but the 28-year-old is someone that can be used as a leverage play at his current ownership marks.

Other Consideration – If you can find someone else that is in this field in the $10,000s, either play them or fade them because you have hacked the site.

$9,000 Range

Jason Day ($9,900) – In the words of the great Eminem, “Guess who’s back, back again. Day is back, tell a friend.”

Maverick McNealy ($9,800) – Maverick McNealy is shaping up to be the most popular player on the board, but you aren’t going to find too many negatives about him outside of ownership. I believe Seamus Power ($9,400) is the most natural pivot to McNealy on the board (I actually like Seamus more in a vacuum), but there are builds where the California native will make sense.

Matthew Fitzpatrick ($9,200) – I don’t have an answer for why Matthew Fitzpatrick doesn’t have better history at Pebble Beach. A short course where Poa putting and par-five scoring both loom large sounds like a recipe where the Englishman would compete, but a 60th and missed cut here since 2020 has dampened some of the intrigue around him for his first worldwide start of 2022. The hesitation has moved him into a range where he is only projected to be six percent owned, which is way too shallow for a golfer with tangible win equity this week.

Other Targets: I meantioned Seamus Power ($9,400) in the portion above. He is one of my favorite targets this week in all price ranges. Spieth/Seamus, Day/Seamus or Cantlay/Seamus would be a strong start.

$8,000 Range

Matt Jones ($8,000) There isn’t much early love for Matt Jones, who has made the cut at Pebble Beach during 12 of his 14 attempts throughout his career. I bet Jones at 70/1 in the outright market and love his statistical potential where he grades inside the top-21 in five of the seven categories I looked into for the week.

Other Thoughts: Christiaan Bezuidenhout ($8,700) is perfectly acceptable in cash and GPP builds. Ryan Palmer ($8,900) has also received a ton of influential money in the industry. I prefer him for GPP-only if I am going to use him, but sharp money is always worth noting.

$7,000 Range

I am going to rapid-fire through some $7,000 golfers to present a handful of choices for everyone reading. This group is extremely strong this week.

Chris Kirk ($7,700) – Chris Kirk is a great wind player that excels at short courses. He also ranks number one in this field in par-four scoring between 400-450 yards.

Andrew Putnam ($7,600) – Six made cuts in his last seven starts. Ownership remains subdued at just six percent. Consider him a nice pivot off of a trendy Matt Kuchar (who I do like myself).

Patrick Rodgers ($7,400) – Patrick Rodgers is a much better player around the green than most of his counterparts in this range, ranking 11th over his past 24 rounds. The risk is on full display after missing three of his past four cuts at the course, but I’m willing to ignore some of the negatives because of the upside he brings at sub-five percent ownership.

Taylor Pendrith ($7,200) – If you are looking to get frisky this week, Taylor Pendrith is breaking my model when looking for upside. I had to reduce his numbers across the board to get him into his 20th-place total for GPPs.

Sahith Theegala ($7,200) – Sahith Theegala is buzzing to start 2022, positing three straight finishes inside the top-48 — with every result better than his previous. These tests where scrambling will come into play are always right in his wheelhouse, and I think he has the intangibles to find success in this sort of a rotational structure. 

Additional Thoughts: Vincent Whaley ($7,100), Scott Stallings ($7,100), Wyndham Clark ($7,000)

$6,000 Range

Additional Dart Throws To Consider: I would play down here sparringly. You can hear Sia Nejad, Joel Schreck and I rattle off some names on the ‘Live Show.’

If you haven’t already, follow Win Daily Sports on YouTube and via Apple Podcasts and check out all the content at windailysports.com. We’re already hitting big with our NFL content and you are going to want to be a part of that. It’s also important to be in Discord Wednesday night for all lineup adjustments, late-breaking news and weather reports.

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Hello everybody, and welcome back to ‘Tee 2 Green,’ a new article that I will be producing for Win Daily Sports weekly to give some extra insight into the DFS world of golf. My focus will be to discuss, decipher and dissect some of my preferred targets throughout the various price ranges, and I will always provide my opinion with a data-intensive outlook that you can see first-hand if you use the weekly model that I provide free of charge. You can find that here.

DraftKings Players ($10,000+)

Patrick Cantlay ($11,200) – I think many Patrick Cantlay constructions will have very similar starts this week to their builds. I would be conscious in realizing that before utilizing the second-highest owned player on the board in the standard Cantlay/Jason Day, Cantlay/Maverick McNealy or Cantlay/Kevin Streelman type of start. Cantlay is the best player in this field, but you will need to make sure to utilize him correctly.

Jordan Spieth ($10,300) –Jordan Spieth has finished inside the top-22 at this event in eight of his nine attempts, with the lone outlier coming during his cold stretch in 2019 – an event he still managed to end 45th after losing 6.4 shots with his ball-striking. It is hard to call this a boom-or-bust selection when his course history reads like a beautiful story, but the 28-year-old is someone that can be used as a leverage play at his current ownership marks.

Other Consideration – If you can find someone else that is in this field in the $10,000s, either play them or fade them because you have hacked the site.

$9,000 Range

Jason Day ($9,900) – In the words of the great Eminem, “Guess who’s back, back again. Day is back, tell a friend.”

Maverick McNealy ($9,800) – Maverick McNealy is shaping up to be the most popular player on the board, but you aren’t going to find too many negatives about him outside of ownership. I believe Seamus Power ($9,400) is the most natural pivot to McNealy on the board (I actually like Seamus more in a vacuum), but there are builds where the California native will make sense.

Matthew Fitzpatrick ($9,200) – I don’t have an answer for why Matthew Fitzpatrick doesn’t have better history at Pebble Beach. A short course where Poa putting and par-five scoring both loom large sounds like a recipe where the Englishman would compete, but a 60th and missed cut here since 2020 has dampened some of the intrigue around him for his first worldwide start of 2022. The hesitation has moved him into a range where he is only projected to be six percent owned, which is way too shallow for a golfer with tangible win equity this week.

Other Targets: I meantioned Seamus Power ($9,400) in the portion above. He is one of my favorite targets this week in all price ranges. Spieth/Seamus, Day/Seamus or Cantlay/Seamus would be a strong start.

$8,000 Range

Matt Jones ($8,000) There isn’t much early love for Matt Jones, who has made the cut at Pebble Beach during 12 of his 14 attempts throughout his career. I bet Jones at 70/1 in the outright market and love his statistical potential where he grades inside the top-21 in five of the seven categories I looked into for the week.

Other Thoughts: Christiaan Bezuidenhout ($8,700) is perfectly acceptable in cash and GPP builds. Ryan Palmer ($8,900) has also received a ton of influential money in the industry. I prefer him for GPP-only if I am going to use him, but sharp money is always worth noting.

$7,000 Range

I am going to rapid-fire through some $7,000 golfers to present a handful of choices for everyone reading. This group is extremely strong this week.

Chris Kirk ($7,700) – Chris Kirk is a great wind player that excels at short courses. He also ranks number one in this field in par-four scoring between 400-450 yards.

Andrew Putnam ($7,600) – Six made cuts in his last seven starts. Ownership remains subdued at just six percent. Consider him a nice pivot off of a trendy Matt Kuchar (who I do like myself).

Patrick Rodgers ($7,400) – Patrick Rodgers is a much better player around the green than most of his counterparts in this range, ranking 11th over his past 24 rounds. The risk is on full display after missing three of his past four cuts at the course, but I’m willing to ignore some of the negatives because of the upside he brings at sub-five percent ownership.

Taylor Pendrith ($7,200) – If you are looking to get frisky this week, Taylor Pendrith is breaking my model when looking for upside. I had to reduce his numbers across the board to get him into his 20th-place total for GPPs.

Sahith Theegala ($7,200) – Sahith Theegala is buzzing to start 2022, positing three straight finishes inside the top-48 — with every result better than his previous. These tests where scrambling will come into play are always right in his wheelhouse, and I think he has the intangibles to find success in this sort of a rotational structure. 

Additional Thoughts: Vincent Whaley ($7,100), Scott Stallings ($7,100), Wyndham Clark ($7,000)

$6,000 Range

Additional Dart Throws To Consider: I would play down here sparringly. You can hear Sia Nejad, Joel Schreck and I rattle off some names on the ‘Live Show.’

If you haven’t already, follow Win Daily Sports on YouTube and via Apple Podcasts and check out all the content at windailysports.com. We’re already hitting big with our NFL content and you are going to want to be a part of that. It’s also important to be in Discord Wednesday night for all lineup adjustments, late-breaking news and weather reports.

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We’re almost done with the “course rotation swing”, but we still have one hurdle to traverse, and it lies at The AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am. We have three courses that play relatively similar (more on that on the PGA Livestream Tuesday night which can be caught here) and therefore we will have the cut after Round 3 as opposed to Round 2. For my Initial Picks my focus will be on APP, PROX 100-125, ARG, BS and course history. Now let’s get to the picks.

Patrick Cantlay (11200) – He’s the best player in the field and his price is not prohibitive.  I’m not locking him in by any means, but he’s the favorite for a reason.

Daniel Berger (10500) – There’s a good chance I start a lot of lineups in the 9k range or that I grab Cantlay and bounce right out of this range, but with that said, Berger is playing at an elite level and he’s the defending champ at The AT&T.

Maverick McNealy (9800) – Mav is from the area and will be among the most comfortable on these three tracks, as evidenced by his 2nd and 5th place finish over the last two years.  He’s also coming in with good form. 

Justin Rose (9600) – Speaking of good form, Justin is starting to find his game in all phases.  Last week he gained strokes across the board and he’s finished Top 15 in 3 of his last 4 PGA events. 

Seamus Power (9400) – Seamus feels like a newer name to most onlookers but he’s been around the block long enough to have played in this tournament 4 of the last 5 years.  His results have been below average with two MC’s and no finishes above 38th, but today’s Seamus is a different animal and he’s coming in with elite form.

Tom Hoge (8500) – Hoge can get very hot on APP and has the short game to put it all together.  The problem is it can also go off the rails here and there.  Either way, I think the upside is there for Hoge and I’m willing to play the volatility game with him, unless his ownership is high.

Michael Thompson (7900) – The results have been up and down at the AT&T for Thompson, but the bearded one has taken on a new look and a newfound game with two Top 11 finishes over his last three tournaments.  He certainly has MC equity but his ability to pop on APP and with the short game has me interested.

Lucas Glover (7800) – Another middling name with tremendous upside, particularly on APP.  Glover has his issues ARG and PUTT, but over the last few tournaments, that has improved enough for me to hope it’s a trend rather than an aberration.  Give me the upside with the irons.  He finished 50th and 7th over his last two at The AT&T.

Russell Knox (7800) – Great course fit and great course history is about all I need to see in this range and Knox certainly has both.  A recent 7th place at the Sony and a 7th place last year at the AT&T.

Matt Kuchar (7600) – He’s starting to play better golf and he’s a great course fit.  Kuchar can get hot with the irons and hot with the putter and has made 3 cuts in a row here.

Chez Reavie (7400) – Leaning on course history and course fit yet again with this selection.  Reavie has Top 25 finishes in 3 of his last 4 at The AT&T.  His game right now is not in good shape, but I’ve found that when deciding between recent form and course form, it’s the course form that usually wins out. I’ll note that there are a number of guys to like in the low 7k range and we can discuss more on the PGA Livestream (link to show is in opening paragraph).

Mark Hubbard (6700) – The 6k range is pretty dicey and I’d recommend avoiding it, especially since the low 7k range is so rich with potential (Theegala, Merritt, Harkins, Schwartzel, Piercy, Stallings, Piercy, Buckley to name a few).  With that said, I’m intrigued by Hubbard’s game as I do believe he’s a good course fit.  A very risk play but rates out very with accuracy, APP, ARG and PUTT.

Secret Weapon – 47-15. See you in Discord.

Be sure to get in our Discord, watch our show and sign up for all things Win Daily as we are bringing you all the DFS for all the sports you can imagine. Further, make sure you check out Sharp as the bets continue to roll through.

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We’re almost done with the “course rotation swing”, but we still have one hurdle to traverse, and it lies at The AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am. We have three courses that play relatively similar (more on that on the PGA Livestream Tuesday night which can be caught here) and therefore we will have the cut after Round 3 as opposed to Round 2. For my Initial Picks my focus will be on APP, PROX 100-125, ARG, BS and course history. Now let’s get to the picks.

Patrick Cantlay (11200) – He’s the best player in the field and his price is not prohibitive.  I’m not locking him in by any means, but he’s the favorite for a reason.

Daniel Berger (10500) – There’s a good chance I start a lot of lineups in the 9k range or that I grab Cantlay and bounce right out of this range, but with that said, Berger is playing at an elite level and he’s the defending champ at The AT&T.

Maverick McNealy (9800) – Mav is from the area and will be among the most comfortable on these three tracks, as evidenced by his 2nd and 5th place finish over the last two years.  He’s also coming in with good form. 

Justin Rose (9600) – Speaking of good form, Justin is starting to find his game in all phases.  Last week he gained strokes across the board and he’s finished Top 15 in 3 of his last 4 PGA events. 

Seamus Power (9400) – Seamus feels like a newer name to most onlookers but he’s been around the block long enough to have played in this tournament 4 of the last 5 years.  His results have been below average with two MC’s and no finishes above 38th, but today’s Seamus is a different animal and he’s coming in with elite form.

Tom Hoge (8500) – Hoge can get very hot on APP and has the short game to put it all together.  The problem is it can also go off the rails here and there.  Either way, I think the upside is there for Hoge and I’m willing to play the volatility game with him, unless his ownership is high.

Michael Thompson (7900) – The results have been up and down at the AT&T for Thompson, but the bearded one has taken on a new look and a newfound game with two Top 11 finishes over his last three tournaments.  He certainly has MC equity but his ability to pop on APP and with the short game has me interested.

Lucas Glover (7800) – Another middling name with tremendous upside, particularly on APP.  Glover has his issues ARG and PUTT, but over the last few tournaments, that has improved enough for me to hope it’s a trend rather than an aberration.  Give me the upside with the irons.  He finished 50th and 7th over his last two at The AT&T.

Russell Knox (7800) – Great course fit and great course history is about all I need to see in this range and Knox certainly has both.  A recent 7th place at the Sony and a 7th place last year at the AT&T.

Matt Kuchar (7600) – He’s starting to play better golf and he’s a great course fit.  Kuchar can get hot with the irons and hot with the putter and has made 3 cuts in a row here.

Chez Reavie (7400) – Leaning on course history and course fit yet again with this selection.  Reavie has Top 25 finishes in 3 of his last 4 at The AT&T.  His game right now is not in good shape, but I’ve found that when deciding between recent form and course form, it’s the course form that usually wins out. I’ll note that there are a number of guys to like in the low 7k range and we can discuss more on the PGA Livestream (link to show is in opening paragraph).

Mark Hubbard (6700) – The 6k range is pretty dicey and I’d recommend avoiding it, especially since the low 7k range is so rich with potential (Theegala, Merritt, Harkins, Schwartzel, Piercy, Stallings, Piercy, Buckley to name a few).  With that said, I’m intrigued by Hubbard’s game as I do believe he’s a good course fit.  A very risk play but rates out very with accuracy, APP, ARG and PUTT.

Secret Weapon – 47-15. See you in Discord.

Be sure to get in our Discord, watch our show and sign up for all things Win Daily as we are bringing you all the DFS for all the sports you can imagine. Further, make sure you check out Sharp as the bets continue to roll through.

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