It’s Major Championship week baby!
The crew are back this week as they deliver their favorite DFS picks, classic banter, and their famous Win Daily PGA Championship First Round Leader picks!
Well, I may have a small part of premonition on the PGA Tour last week in our preview of the Wells Fargo Championship. I mentioned that there may be some hope for punters trying to find some value with no Scottie Scheffler in the field and Ludvig Aberg WD with knee injury concerns. I went on to say that it probably meant Rory McIlroy would win. We duly struck a blow for punters, becoming yet another short-priced favourite to win on the PGA Tour. There, I will fess up, I jinxed it. Sorry, all.
True to form, I mentioned an interesting PGA stat I found in the lead-up to the Wells Fargo Championship preview. Just two winners had sat outside the Top 31 for ball speed when they won at Quail Hollow. It may be frustrating to see another short-priced winner, but it was reassuring to see our analysis played true in that regard.
But, let’s get honest. It has been a dire season for nearly all golf punters. It has been either very short-priced favourites or extreme long-shots taking out most tournaments for the season. So often, golf betting value is found in the 50/1 to 100/1 range. There have been just 4 such winners on the PGA Tour this year. Fortunately, finding Pavon at 125/1 at the Farmers Insurance Open has saved us from complete decimation. However, we stick to the process with the knowledge that when it comes to golf analysis following the numbers will eventually lead to a positive result over the long run.
Speaking of Rory McIlroy, the PGA Championship returns to Valhalla Golf Club, a course we last had the chance to preview some 10 years ago. That was the venue of Rory’s last major victory, and he arrives in a rich vein of form off the back of consecutive victories. Included in that was the win at last week’s Wells Fargo Championship, where Quail Hollow should play analogous to Valhalla.
This feels like another venue that will do what it says on the tin. Valhalla, designed by Jack Nicklaus and played in the state of Kentucky, is an epic 7,609 yards par 71. Quail Hollow is also a par 71 and a mere 51 yards shorter. Both also feature a driveable par 4 and reasonably narrow fairways.
That is a hallmark of Nicklaus-designed golf courses. He tests every element of a player’s game. So, if pulling driver, you will be rewarded with extra distance if you keep the ball in-play. However, fairways narrow significantly at landing areas with thick hay and fairway bunkers awaiting any tee shot that falls too astray.
Greens are a little smaller than Quail Hollow and are bentgrass. They will be firm and fast, typical of a PGA Championship venue. Par will often be a very good score and see you gaining strokes on the field.
Finally, we have a rare emergence of zoysiagrass fairways. This grass type features rarely on the PGA Tour. We see this at regular stops at TPC Craig Ranch, TPC Southwind, and East Lake Golf Club. This polarizing grass has a higher rate of water retention. Some players comment that it feels like hitting the ball off a tee. Others complain that it can produce flyers, with the grass getting caught between the ball and club face and traveling further than expected.
As mentioned, this is a rare circumstance where last week’s tournament provides not only some guidance of recent form but a course that should demand similar skills from our golfers in this PGA Championship preview.
Quail Hollow matches in a large number of metrics, from overall performance off the tee, and similar approach metrics as expected this week where any shots over 175 yards will see a disproportionate weighting compared to other PGA Tour venues.
Given some of the weather to be discussed shortly, I think that the 2022 PGA Championship could be a reasonable guide to this week. Oak Hill also is far from the worst guide to consider.
I have also included some weighting in my model to recent zoysiagrass performances. Although the venues often produce lower-scoring tournaments, we can look into the approach numbers at these PGA Tour stops to identify players who may prefer this grass type.
Weather certainly looks like it could play a role in this year’s PGA Championship preview. Thursday currently looks to be quite calm, although early morning fog may see play delayed by an hour or two if heavy. Particularly, Thursday morning looks to be quite still and should provide optimal scoring conditions with the course still a little moist from rain earlier in the week.
Friday afternoon, we could see some more volatile weather arrive. There is a chance of thunderstorms from 1pm and winds will increase, gusting up to 25-30mph. There is always the risk with thunderstorms that play is delayed. This can cause any weather edge to flip 180°.
However, in this instance, forecasts have Saturday being very windy and high gusts all day. Thos on Friday PM would only find themselves in more volatile winds should they need to finish round 2 on Saturday morning.
That leads me to believe there should be a weather edge for tee-times from Thursday PM/Friday AM for the first two rounds. That always comes with the caveat that weather forecasts can flip quickly, especially when there is the looming chance of thunderstorms.
Ensure you have signed up for WinDaily Premium to access all our final weather decisions closer to tee time. Information is available right up until play starts to provide you with any identifiable weather edge that can be gleaned. This is particularly for DFS, with players priced under $7,500 most affected by any weather edge. You will find this information and more in the WinDaily Premium Discord here.
If you want to read my golf betting tips for the PGA Championship, you can preview these in the WinDaily Premium Discord here.
Find my Profit and Loss Tracker for 2022, 2023, and 2024 here.
We believe trust and transparency are key in this industry. We keep meticulous result tracking. You can sign up with the utmost confidence you are joining one of the sharpest golf bettors on the planet.
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Thank you for reading our preview and tournament analysis of the PGA Championship. I look forward to welcoming you into the WinDaily family and celebrating many, many wins with you in 2024!
Welcome to the Wells Fargo Ownership Projections. This is another signature event with only 70 of the PGA’s more elite golfers. They all came for the scenery ( actually a 20 million dollar purse.) and a tune up to the PGA. Last week Taylor Pendrith missed 5 of the last 6 cuts and then won the Byron Nelson for his first victory. The Wells Fargo Ownership Projections are dedicated to making you a smarter and wealthier DFS player.
Win Daily Sports’ golf team works tirelessly to bring you the best intel. The Byron Nelson Ownership Projections allow you to pivot to lower owned players, find those hidden leverage gems and drive your teams to the top of multiple formats.
Courses and Horses
This is a course with some teeth. Excusing Clarks -19 to a soft course, you need distance, accuracy, approach at 175-2 00 yards or better and need to putt well on Poa. Some of the players we like are Rory, Theegala, Bhatia, Finau, Will Z, Kitayama,and Pavon
Recent Results
THE Frisky Risky Biscuit! Three weeks ago our Frisky Biscuit finished 16th at The Masters. 5% owned and 6900. This past week our biscuit missed the mark bringing our current Biscuit record to 23-5. This is a no cut week. Our Biscuit picks normally will be released on Wednesday evening in the Win Daily Sports Discord Golf channel. It is the only place on the entire planet the Frisky Risky Biscuit will be released!
Whether to trust the Weather
The weather is calling for a windy Thursday and Friday. The slightest of edges would be PM/AM and it’s not enough to change your roster. Stay tuned to The Win Daly Golf discord for updated changes concerning weather.
Let’s take a look at the Wells Fargo Ownership Projections to create leverage and increase your ROI.
| OWNERSHIP PROJECTION | OWN % | SALARY |
| McIlroy, Rory | 26.7 | 11800 |
| Schauffele, Xander | 25.6 | 11500 |
| Clark, Wyndham | 25.2 | 10500 |
| Theegala, Sahith | 19.4 | 9100 |
| Homa, Max | 18.8 | 9400 |
| Thomas, Justin | 17.9 | 8500 |
| Matsuyama, Hideki | 17.7 | 8900 |
| Finau, Tony | 17.6 | 8000 |
| Scott, Adam | 17.2 | 7700 |
| Conners, Corey | 16.6 | 7800 |
| Young, Cameron | 16.2 | 8800 |
| Cantlay, Patrick | 15.9 | 9800 |
| Kim, Si Woo | 15.6 | 8600 |
| Bhatia, Akshay | 14.4 | 7500 |
| Fitzpatrick, Mathew | 14.1 | 8700 |
| Morikawa, Collin | 13.6 | 9300 |
| Noren, Alexander | 13.1 | 8200 |
| Zalatoris,Will | 12.9 | 7900 |
| An, Byeong | 12.6 | 8100 |
| Fleetwood, Tommy | 12.4 | 9500 |
| Jaeger, Stephan | 12.4 | 7500 |
| Schenk, Adam | 12.2 | 7100 |
| Hovland, Viktor | 11.9 | 9200 |
| English, Harris | 10.9 | 7400 |
| Moore, Taylor | 10.8 | 6700 |
| Hoge, Tom | 10.7 | 7200 |
| Kitayama, Kurt | 10.2 | 6800 |
| Eckroat, Austin | 10.1 | 6600 |
| Pavon, Matthieu | 8.8 | 6500 |
| Kirk, Chris | 8.2 | 7100 |
| Kim, Tom (Joohyung) | 8.2 | 7000 |
| Fowler, Rickie | 7.9 | 6900 |
| Im, Sungjae | 7.4 | 7900 |
| Spieth, Jordan | 7.3 | 8400 |
| Harman, Brian | 7.3 | 8000 |
| Henley, Russell | 7.2 | 8300 |
| Lowry, Shane | 7.1 | 7600 |
| McCarthy, Denny | 7.0 | 7300 |
| Horschel, Billy | 6.9 | 7200 |
| Day, Jason | 6.8 | 7800 |
| Davis, Cameron | 6.7 | 6400 |
| Straka, Sepp | 6.6 | 7300 |
| Knapp, Jake | 6.6 | 6500 |
| Burns, Sam | 6.5 | 7700 |
| Bezuidenhout, Christiaan | 6.4 | 7600 |
| Poston, JT | 6.3 | 7000 |
| Glover, Lucas | 6.0 | 6700 |
| Rodgers, Patrick | 5.8 | 6400 |
| Todd, Brendon | 5.2 | 6500 |
| Bradley, Keegan | 5.1 | 6900 |
| Pendrith, Taylor | 4.8 | 7400 |
| Power, Seamus | 4.7 | 6200 |
| Grillo, Emiliano | 4.6 | 6300 |
| Taylor, Nick | 4.6 | 6200 |
| Tway, Kevin | 4.4 | 6200 |
| Hughes, Mackenzie | 4.3 | 6600 |
| Rose, Justin | 4.1 | 6600 |
| Cole, Eric | 4.1 | 6400 |
| Hadwin, Adam | 3.4 | 6700 |
| Woodland, Gary | 3.2 | 6100 |
| Putnam, Andrew | 2.9 | 6800 |
| Dunlap, Nick | 2.5 | 6000 |
| Hodges, Lee | 2.4 | 6100 |
| Simpson, Webb | 2.3 | 6300 |
| Svensson, Adam | 2.2 | 6300 |
| Kohles, Ben | 2.1 | 6000 |
| Murray, Grayson | 1.9 | 6000 |
| Malnati, Peter | 1.6 | 6000 |
| Kucher, Matt | 1.1 | 6100 |
These Wells Fargo Ownership projections are accurate as of 5:11 EST. Top tier golfers will show a higher % by lock.
Our five top pivots for leverage are: Fleetwood, Hovland (be careful) Spieth, Henley and Straka
My Picks for The Wells Fargo
Top Tier: Rory
Mid Tier: Theegala
Low Tier: Bradley
Out in Left Play: N Taylor
Frisky Risky Biscuit Play: * In Discord later Tonight ! *Risky
FR Leader: B An
FR Leader: Tway (Contrarian)
What to listen to
Be sure to check out Spencer’s and Stix’s Bettor Golf podcast on Anchor at Spotify. For the best intel on the betting market including top 40, 20, head to head and Underdog ADP. With Spencer’s and Stix’s world class models they also offer top shelf DFS choices as well. The Bettor Golf podcast is brought to you by Win Daily Sports. It’s on Tuesday evenings on Apple/Spotify. Stix is the one that just hit for 17,500.00 in the Masters Milly. Imagine what a few minutes listening could do for you!
What to Watch
Don’t forget to tune in to The PGA DraftCast, hosted by DraftMasterFlex Joel and featuring Sia and Spencer and Deep Dive Dave and the surprise guest who drops by to battle you, along with the audience, for supremacy on the draft board. It’s every Tuesday night at 9:00 EST and is fun, engaging, interactive and often has the drafted teams end up in the money. Show up, vote for your favorite golfer, and watch the experts go on tilt when you steal their pick! Deep Dive Dave is on fire, so is Stix Picks! They both continue to defy the odds with consistent winning along with Spencer of Tee off Sports, Sia and Joel.
***** Parting Shots *****
The Finals of a National Poetry Contest-
It ended up being between a Harvard grad and a redneck. The last contest challenge was a four line poem using the word Timbuktu. The Harvard grad went first.
Across the burning desert sand
Trekked the dusty Caravan.
Men on Camels two by two
Destination Timbuktu.
The crowd cheered and the redneck stepped up and cleared his throat
Me and Tim a huntin’ went
Met three hookers in a pop up tent
They was three and we was two
So I bucked one and Tim bucked two.
As always, I hope to be with you on Sunday afternoon, in the money. You can also come and hang out in the Win Daily Sports Discord Chat to talk it out with everyone before the lock!
For most punters, it’s fair to say it has been a polarizing season on the PGA Tour so far. Mixed in between a number of extremely short-priced Scottie Scheffler victories, whose four wins all came at less than $7.50, there have been a number of long-shot winners. In fact, an outstanding 8 of the first 13 tournaments this year were won by a golfer paying triple figures come tournament start. Just five victories have come at less than 80/1 this year that weren’t Scheffler. Fortunately for us, we managed to hit Matthieu Pavon at 125/1, which has helped to keep our head above water. Also fortunately for this week’s Wells Fargo Championship preview, we picked Wyndham Clark successfully here at 75/1 for his debut PGA Tour victory.
In case you were wondering, those five winners under 80/1 in 2024 (who weren’t Scottie Scheffler) are as follows. They were Wyndham Clark at the Pebble Beach Pro-Am (60/1), Jake Knapp at the Mexico Open (40/1), Stephan Jaeger at the Houston Open (50/1), Akshay Bhatia at the Texas Open (50/1), and Billy Horschel at the Corales Puntacana (20/1).
Finally, perhaps the largest stroke of fortune in hopefully finding some value this week is that Scottie Scheffler is not playing. With the withdrawal of Ludvig Aberg from a course that should’ve really suited him also has to assist. Which, of course, probably means Rory McIlroy wins this week.
The host course this week, Quail Hollow Club, provides many advantages for our Wells Fargo Championship preview this week. Firstly, this tournament has been hosted at this venue on 18 prior occasions. The golf course also hosted the Kemper Open on 11 occasions, if you wish to deep-dive back to the 1970s. This provides a wealth of data to delve into. Secondly, the course does exactly what it says on the tin.
Initially, the mention of those 1970s tournaments may seem pretty inert. Until you find out that Tom Weiskopf won the event 3 times in that 11 year span. He was regarded as one of the longest drivers of the golf ball at the time, along with one of the most consistent ball-strikers of his era.
Not much has changed some 50 years later. That helps our preview of the Wells Fargo Championship. The golf course is a mammoth 7,558 yard par 71. Pound-for-pound, that makes it the longest PGA Tour venue of the regular stops for the year. It should come as no surprise, then, that driving distance is a real asset at this golf course.
That translates as far as the approach shots. A whopping 75% of all approach shots will occur from over 150 yards. If there is a flaw in Rory McIlroy’s game, it is perhaps his wedges. Therefore, it should be no surprise that he has won three times, finished runner-up twice, and an additional four Top 10s to boot on a course where he really ends up with a short-iron in hand. That’s a remarkable rate of 2/3rds of his appearances resulting in a Top 10 here.
Given those metrics, and particularly weighing in the approach data, ball speed is an interesting statistic to consider this week.
Since 2007, only two winners at Quail Hollow have ranked worse than 31st in ball speed for the PGA Tour season. Those were James Hahn (2016, ranked 83/207 at tournament start) and Rickie Fowler (2012, ranked 46/187 at tournament start). Last year’s champion Wyndham Clark finished 3rd in that ranking for both the 2022 and 2023 seasons.
As a matter of curiosity, here are the current players ranked 31st or better for the season in ball speed that are in this week’s field:
4th Wyndham Clark
5th Rory McIlroy
7th Gary Woodland
9th Tony Finau
10th Xander Schauffele
11th Jake Knapp
16th Nick Dunlap
17th Cameron Young
26th Byeong-Hun An
30th Taylor Pendrith
Sam Burns, ranking 32nd, is the bubble boy.
Alongside the wealth of data to delve into for our Wells Fargo Championship preview, we also have the added benefit of a course with some of the stickiest course history on the PGA Tour. Only Augusta National, Riviera, TPC Scottsdale, and Bay Hill hold stronger correlations.
What does that mean? Well, that this golf course prefers a particular type of player, and it’s repeatable. Further, arriving in a lack of form is less of a hinderance than at other venues if you have played well at Quail Hollow before.
If you weren’t following these pages back at the 2023 US Open, we went one further on Wyndham Clark and also successfully tipped him at 80/1. Part of the reason was we suspected Los Angeles Country Club would play quite similar to Quail Hollow.
We weren’t disappointed. The tournament produced a leaderboard near identical to a Wells Fargo Championship.
Alongside Clark, we also selected Rickie Fowler who was first round leader, tied with Clark for the lead entering the final round, and finished 5th. Plus Xander Schauffele, who was also FRL, 6th entering the final round, and finished 10th.
Fowler has the 3rd best strokes gained total of all recorded rounds at Quail Hollow, including his maiden PGA Tour win. Xander ranks in the top 15 for SG of those who have played the course at least 4 times. Rory McIlroy finished runner-up. Fleetwood finished 5th at both courses in 2023, with English finishing 3rd at Quail Hollow and 8th at LACC.
Another to consider is Bay Hill, a long driving golf course where ball-striking is at a premium. And, finally, the Valspar Championship which requires a large number of approach shots over 200+ yards and shares the same bermuda greens overseeded with poa annua.
As we have mentioned previously at these signature field events, the reduction in size to just 69 players does limit any weather edge that can be gained. Whereas in a larger field tournament there is more dispersion in tee-times, here all golfers will be out on the golf course within 2 hours of each other. As such, there is less opportunity for any particular tee-time to gain an advantage by being on the golf course at a certain time.
Thursday looks a windy day, with prevailing winds reaching 15-20mph and gusts over 30mph. There is a small chance of thunderstorms, but likely insufficient to result in play not completing that day. Friday morning should provide calmer winds in the morning, but quickly increasing from 1pm onwards to similar levels seen on Thursday. Given the first tee-times are at 11am local, there may be a minor advantage for those going out first on Friday morning.
All models point to Saturday and Sunday being calm, with scoring likely to be best on these days.
If you would like to read my golf betting tips for the Wells Fargo Championship, you can preview these in the WinDaily Premium Discord here.
Find my Profit and Loss Tracker for 2022, 2023, and 2024 here.
We believe trust and transparency is key in this industry. We keep meticulous result tracking. You can sign-up with the utmost confidence you are joining one of the sharpest golf bettors on the planet.
START A FREE TRIAL HERE NOW
Or
Find out more about DeepDiveGolf here
You gain access to all of our premium golf articles with betting tips and DFS player pools, but also premium access to ALL sports that WinDaily Sports cover.
From the NFL, NHL, MLB, NBA, Soccer, and more, we have experts in nearly every field you can imagine. No one provides better value!
One of the best aspects of a premium membership is access to our premium Discord channel. You will be able to receive one-on-one coaching with me, as well as ask any questions you may have.
Thank you for reading our preview and tournament analysis of the Wells Fargo Championship. I look forward to welcoming you into the WinDaily family and celebrating many, many wins with you in 2024!
Another big boy event at a big golf course in Quail Hollow for the Wells Fargo Championship!
The crew is back this week as they deliver their favorite DFS picks, classic banter, and their famous Win Daily Wells Fargo Championship First Round Leader picks!
Welcome to the Byron Nelson Ownership Projections. No one impacted the game of golf from the early 1900’s to the seventies more than the gentleman golfer from Waxahachie TX. He is the only pro golfer to have a tourney named for him. He played from the time he was seven years old up to 91 years old. He was a man of faith and was given the tag of gentleman for a reason. He is the father of modern golf, having changed his swing completely from the hickory clubs to the steel shafted ones.
Byron Nelson won 11 tournaments in a row in 1945 plus an additional 7 more for 18 total. In one year. Pundits believe no one will ever break 11 straight PGA tourney victories. He averaged 68.33 strokes per round that stood until 2000 when Tiger broke it, after 55 years. He won multiple majors including two Masters, He finished 15th at Augusta at the age of 53. When he was 14 he beat Ben Hogan for the first of many times. He was the first golfer inducted into the Hall of Fame along with 10 others. Whether it’s a major or an elevated event or simply stroke play, Win Daily Sports golf experts can assist you with your entries to bring you in on the top 10. The Byron Nelson Ownership Projections are dedicated to making you a smarter and wealthier DFS player.
Win Daily Sports’ golf team works tirelessly to bring you the best intel. The Byron Nelson Ownership Projections allow you to pivot to lower owned players, find those hidden leverage gems and drive your teams to the top of multiple formats.
Courses and Horses
This is one of the easiest courses on tour. It is lengthy so drivers will benefit. It also requires accurate approach shots from 200 yards plus more than any other tourney. Be wary of course history even though “TPC” Lee won two straight years. Some of the players that should do well are Tom Kim, Alex Noren, B An, CBEZ, Hoge and Spieth who has the advantage of sleeping in his own bed every night. Will Z has withdrawn for back issues.
Recent Results
THE Frisky Risky Biscuit! Three weeks ago our Frisky Biscuit finished 16th at The Masters. 5% owned and 6900. This brings our current Biscuit record to 23-4. The last two tourneys either were no cut or some type of couples golf promotion that included gators roaming the course. Our Showdown selections are making money nightly. Our Biscuit picks will be released on Wednesday evening in the Win Daily Sports Discord Golf channel. It is the only place on the entire planet the Frisky Risky Biscuit will be released!
Whether to trust the Weather
The weather is calling for T storms Thursday and Friday with storms starting Thursday am. The pm/am wave is preferred BUT if there’s a long enough delay Thursday morning it could flip in a heartbeat. Therefore I’m comfortable just playing my pool and hoping for quick delays when they come. Stay tuned to The Win Daly Golf discord for updated changes concerning weather.
Let’s take a look at the Byron Nelson Ownership Projections to create leverage and increase your ROI.
| OWNERSHIP PROJECTION | OWN % | SALARY |
| Kim, Si Woo | 29.9 | 9800 |
| Hoge, Tom | 21.3 | 9100 |
| Jaeger, Stephan | 21.1 | 9200 |
| Noren, Alexander | 20.2 | 9500 |
| Spieth, Jordan | 19.3 | 10900 |
| Scott,Adam | 18.8 | 9600 |
| Kim, Tom (Joohyung) | 18.5 | 9000 |
| Lee, Min Woo | 18.1 | 9400 |
| An, Byeong | 16.9 | 9300 |
| Schenk, Adam | 16.5 | 8500 |
| Day, Jason | 14.6 | 10400 |
| Mitchell, Keith | 14.3 | 8800 |
| Lee, KH | 14.2 | 8300 |
| Detry,Thomas | 13.8 | 8700 |
| Im, Sungjae | 13.7 | 9700 |
| Hughes, Mackenzie | 13.7 | 8600 |
| Hubbard, Mark | 13.6 | 8100 |
| McNealy, Maverick | 11.9 | 8200 |
| Power, Seamus | 11.7 | 7900 |
| Kuest, Peter | 11.1 | 7500 |
| Ghim, Doug | 10.7 | 7700 |
| Thompson, Davis | 10.4 | 7900 |
| Rai, Aaron | 10.3 | 8000 |
| Lower, Justin | 9.7 | 7500 |
| Pan, CT | 9.2 | 7300 |
| Hossler, Beau | 8.8 | 7800 |
| Novak, Andrew | 8.4 | 7400 |
| Schmid, Matti (Matthias) | 7.3 | 7200 |
| Lashley, Nate | 7.2 | 7300 |
| Griffin, Ben | 6.9 | 7700 |
| Kim, Chan | 6.6 | 7600 |
| Yu, Kevin (Chun-an) | 6.4 | 7500 |
| Knapp, Jake | 6.2 | 8000 |
| List, Luke | 6.1 | 7800 |
| Pendrith, Taylor | 5.3 | 7400 |
| Fox, Ryan | 5.2 | 7600 |
| Sigg, Greyson | 4.9 | 7400 |
| Berger, Daniel | 4.7 | 7400 |
| Tosti, Alejandro | 4.5 | 7100 |
| Bridgeman, Jacob | 4.4 | 7000 |
| Stevens, Sam | 4.3 | 7500 |
| Kim, SH (Seonghyeon) | 4.3 | 7100 |
| Phillips, Chandler | 4.2 | 6900 |
| Higgo, Garrick | 4.0 | 7300 |
| Palmer, Ryan | 4.0 | 7100 |
| Stanger, Jimmy | 4.0 | 6900 |
| Bramlett, Joseph | 3.9 | 7200 |
| Greyserman, Max | 3.9 | 7100 |
| Hisatsune, Ryo | 3.7 | 7000 |
| Montgomery, Taylor | 3.6 | 7300 |
| Cummins, Quade | 3.5 | 6400 |
| Kim, Michael | 3.5 | 7200 |
| Valimaki,Sami | 3.4 | 7000 |
| Olesen, Thorbjorn | 3.4 | 7600 |
| Martin, Ben | 3.3 | 7000 |
| Garnett, Brice | 3.3 | 6800 |
| Meissner, Mac | 3.2 | 6600 |
| Ryder, Sam | 3.2 | 7000 |
| Norrman, Vincent | 3.2 | 7000 |
| Coody, Parker | 2.9 | 7000 |
| Vegas, Jhonattan | 2.9 | 6900 |
| Smalley, Alex | 2.8 | 6800 |
| Ramey, Chad | 2.7 | 7200 |
| Cauley, Bud | 2.6 | 7200 |
| Dunlap, Nick | 2.6 | 6900 |
| Tway, Kevin | 2.4 | 6900 |
| Moore, Ryan | 2.4 | 6800 |
| Whaley, Vincent | 2.4 | 6500 |
| Wu, Dylan | 2.3 | 6700 |
| Dahmen, Joel | 2.3 | 6700 |
| Kucher, Matt | 2.2 | 7100 |
| MacIntyre, Robert | 2.2 | 7100 |
| Spaun, JJ | 2.1 | 7000 |
| Bjork, Alexander | 2.1 | 6800 |
| Laird, Martin | 2.1 | 6800 |
| Griffin, Lanto | 2.0 | 6700 |
| Hardy, Nick | 1.9 | 6900 |
| Young, Carson | 1.9 | 6500 |
| Champ, Cameron | 1.8 | 6900 |
| Riley, Davis | 1.8 | 6800 |
| Hoey, Rico | 1.8 | 6700 |
| Springer, Hayden | 1.7 | 6700 |
| Yuan, Carl | 1.7 | 6800 |
| Highsmith, Joe | 1.7 | 6400 |
| Gotterup, Christopher | 1.6 | 6800 |
| Baddeley, Aaron | 1.6 | 6500 |
| Norlander, Henrik | 1.5 | 6500 |
| Bryan, Wesley | 1.4 | 6600 |
| Kang, Sung | 1.4 | 6000 |
| Wallace, Matt | 1.3 | 6900 |
| Semikawa, Taiga | 1.3 | 6600 |
| Wu, Brandon | 1.3 | 6600 |
| Silverman, Ben | 1.3 | 6500 |
| NeSmith, Matthew | 1.3 | 6400 |
| Smotherman, Austin | 1.2 | 6700 |
| Suh, Justin | 1.2 | 6700 |
| Campillo, Jorge | 1.2 | 6600 |
| Skinns, David | 1.2 | 6000 |
| Endycott, Harrison | 1.2 | 6300 |
| Hadley, Chesson | 1.1 | 7100 |
| Hall, Harry | 1.1 | 6600 |
| Echavarria, Nico | 1.1 | 6500 |
| Dou, Zecheng | 0.9 | 6300 |
| Tarren, Callum | 0.8 | 6300 |
| Alexander, Tyson | 0.8 | 6200 |
| Reavie, Chez | 0.7 | 6500 |
| Dougherty, Kevin | 0.7 | 6400 |
| Kizzire, Patton | 0.6 | 6600 |
| Barnes, Erik | 0.6 | 6500 |
| Lipsky, David | 0.6 | 6400 |
| Blair, Zac | 0.6 | 6400 |
| Coody, Pierceson | 0.6 | 6200 |
| Barjon, Paul | 0.6 | 6200 |
| Fishburn, Patrick | 0.5 | 6700 |
| Merritt, Troy | 0.5 | 6400 |
| Trainer, Martin | 0.4 | 6500 |
| Johnson, Zack | 0.4 | 6400 |
| Cink, Stewart | 0.4 | 6400 |
| Shelton, Robby | 0.4 | 6300 |
| Dumont de Chassart, Adrien | 0.4 | 6300 |
| Burgoon, Bronson | 0.4 | 6200 |
| Kraft, Kelly | 0.4 | 6200 |
| Streelman, Kevin | 0.3 | 6400 |
| McGreevy, Max | 0.3 | 6300 |
| Furr, Wilson | 0.3 | 6300 |
| Brehm, Ryan | 0.3 | 6200 |
| Campos, Rafael | 0.2 | 6300 |
| Hahn, James | 0.2 | 6200 |
| Buckley, Hayden | 0.2 | 6100 |
| Chappell, Kevin | 0.2 | 6100 |
| Kohles, Ben | 0.1 | 6300 |
| Villegas, Camilo | 0.1 | 6300 |
| Whitney, Tom | 0.1 | 6100 |
| Walker, Jimmy | 0.1 | 6100 |
| Taylor, Ben | 0.1 | 6000 |
| Crowe, Trace | 0.1 | 6200 |
| Sloan, Roger | 0.1 | 6200 |
| O’Hair, Sean | 0.1 | 6200 |
| Lindheim, Nicholas | 0.1 | 6100 |
| Xiong, Norman | 0.0 | 6100 |
| Cook, Austin | 0.0 | 6100 |
| Werenski, Richy | 0.0 | 6100 |
| Teater, Josh | 0.0 | 6100 |
| McCormick, Ryan | 0.0 | 6100 |
| Kisner, Kevin | 0.0 | 6100 |
| Watney, Nick | 0.0 | 6100 |
| Hopfinger, Brad | 0.0 | 6000 |
| Gribble, Cody | 0.0 | 6000 |
| Snedeker, Brandt | 0.0 | 6000 |
| Gutschewski, Scott | 0.0 | 6000 |
| Pereda, Raul | 0.0 | 6000 |
| Limbhasut, KK | 0.0 | 6000 |
| Hale Jr., Blaine | 0.0 | 6000 |
| Nyfjall, David | 0.0 | 6000 |
| Kim, Kris (a) | 0.0 | 6000 |
| Jeter, Jarred | 0.0 | 6000 |
These Byron Nelson Ownership projections are accurate as of 6:04 EST. Top tier golfers will show a higher % by lock.
Our five top pivots for leverage are: Day, Knapp, List, Yu and Spaun
My Picks for The Byron Nelson
Top Tier: Si Woo Kim
Mid Tier: Hubbard
Low Tier: Ghim
Out in Left Play: Kuest
Frisky Risky Biscuit Play: * In Discord later Tonight ! *Risky
FR Leader: Hoge
FR Leader: Pendrith (Contrarian)
What to listen to
Be sure to check out Spencer’s and Stix’s Bettor Golf podcast on Anchor at Spotify. For the best intel on the betting market including top 40, 20, head to head and Underdog ADP. With Spencer’s and Stix’s world class models they also offer top shelf DFS choices as well. The Bettor Golf podcast is brought to you by Win Daily Sports. It’s on Tuesday evenings on Apple/Spotify. Stix is the one that just hit for 17,500.00 in the Masters Milly. Imagine what a few minutes listening could do for you!
What to Watch
Don’t forget to tune in to The PGA DraftCast, hosted by DraftMasterFlex Joel and featuring Sia and Spencer and Deep Dive Dave and the surprise guest who drops by to battle you, along with the audience, for supremacy on the draft board. It’s every Tuesday night at 8:00 EST and is fun, engaging, interactive and often has the drafted teams end up in the money. Show up, vote for your favorite golfer, and watch the experts go on tilt when you steal their pick! Deep Dive Dave is on fire, so is Stix Picks! They both continue to defy the odds with consistent winning along with Spencer of Tee off Sports, Sia and Joel.
Dave and Sia will be part of the PME and you can find their Byron Nelson choices on You Tube.
***** Parting Shots *****
Two men are talking in an Irish bar having a beer. One says, “you know me name is Sean McMannis and I be a great builder.” “The Catholic church asked me to help rebuild the parish and I rebuilt her stone by stone and brick by brick.” “When the school collapsed I goes in and rebuilt her rock by rock and brick by brick”.” When your parent’s house be burned down I built her back beam by beam and brick by brick”. “But do any of ye call me Sean McMannis the great builder?” “No! Ye don’t.” “You fuck just one sheep…..”
As always, I hope to be with you on Sunday afternoon, in the money. You can also come and hang out in the Win Daily Sports Discord Chat to talk it out with everyone before the lock!
We are right back into it this week as we preview the RBC Heritage! The PGA Tour really have no option but to make this a signature event. The tournament has a lot of legacy behind it. The tournament has been played the week after The Masters for the past 40 years. Arnold Palmer was the inaugural champion here, with co-designed Jack Nicklaus winning here a few years later. It is a relaxing change of pace from Augusta National which the players enjoy. Further, the PGA Tour get to strike while the iron is hot and attempt to capitalise on new fans who joined to watch The Masters. Finally, RBC is one of the biggest sponsors of the PGA Tour and support multiple events. All this leads to a situation where we can have no Masters hangover and have to dive into another signature event preview at the RBC Heritage.
In regard to The Masters, the phrase I have seen most often this week to describe Scottie Scheffler’s emphatic victory is “inevitable”. That does a disservice to his efforts and achievement. There were four golfers tied for the lead with 10 holes to go. As they say, The Masters doesn’t really start until the last 9 holes on Sunday. Scheffler simply slammed the door shut on everyone. A run of 5-under across 9 holes under those circumstances was incredibly impressive. So, there is one word I would use to describe his performance. It was clinical.
Zalatoris was our closest charge last week, racking up another Top 10 at Augusta National. 250/1 selection Ryan Fox was also just 2 shots off the lead Saturday, before fading after perhaps surprisingly finding himself in contention.
Certainly, any time you can take on a short-priced favourite you will be able to find some value further down the board. Other than the fact that Scottie Scheffler is on constant baby-watch, there may be other reasons to take on the best player in golf right now. And aiding our RBC Heritage preview this week is this golf course.
This niggly test is polar opposite to Augusta National in nearly every way. Long hitters have often found success at The Masters, with ample space off the tee and driver used often. Greens are large, although the actual target area is reduced substantially given the undulating greens and multiple tiers.
Harbour Town is, instead, a fiddly test. Accuracy off the tee is paramount. This goes beyond finding the fairway to being on the right side of the fairway. Hanging trees can often impede players on approach, so finding the right angle is imperative for accessing these very small greens. They average just 3,700 sq ft in size.
Those small greens also sees a large uptick in ATG performance as a predictive factor. It is inevitable that greens will be missed around this golf course. Taking a look at the last two champions, Matt Fitzpatrick and Jordan Spieth (who was also runner-up in 2023), they represent two of the best players on Tour with their short-game creativity.
Finally, there is an interesting dispersion of approach shots at Harbour Town. Given players being forced to play from similar spots, we see just one predicted approach shot from 50-100 yards and 2 shots from 200+ yards. Consequently, there is a large uptick in approach from 150-200 yards (9 shots predicted) and 100-150 yards (6 shots). This is some of the largest disparity we see on the PGA Tour all year.
Pete Dye’s iconic course designs feature frequently on the tour. This provides a multitude of options to consider in your RBC Heritage preview. But, of those, TPC River Highlands (Travelers Championship) and Austin Country Club (WGC Matchplay) provide short courses where accuracy and scrambling are essential.
TPC Sawgrass (The Players) is worthy of consideration, although it doesn’t quite match the required approach numbers strong performances there are noted. Sedgefield Country Club maintains links as a positional course where shorter drivers can thrive but driving accuracy is at a premium. Sedgefield is also highly correlated to TPC Sawgrass, adding to those ties for your RBC Heritage preview.
The Sea Island courses (RSM Classic) have strong correlating connections to here. It is another tree-lined coastal course, meaning driving accuracy and approach are key. Waialae Country Club (Sony Open) tells a similar tale.
There is little to note in the weather this week. Firstly, the condensed 69 man field means that all players will be on the course at relatively similar times. This reduces the opportunity for any tangible weather advantage to develop which is worthy of actioning.
Secondly, the weather itself looks pretty benign. The course is sheltered with trees for the most part, with only a few holes truly exposed to the coastline. Winds look to hover at a maximum of mid-teens for gusts. There is a small chance of thunderstorms on both Friday and Saturday. Again, the small field should ensure that even if play is disrupted they should be able to get the tournament complete in good time.
If you would like to read my golf betting tips for the RBC Heritage, you can preview these in the WinDaily Premium Discord here.
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Welcome to the Byron Nelson Ownership Projections. No one impacted the game of golf from the early 1900’s to the seventies more than the gentleman golfer from Waxahachie TX. He is the only pro golfer to have a tourney named for him. He played from the time he was seven years old up to 91 years old. He was a man of faith and was given the tag of gentleman for a reason. He is the father of modern golf, having changed his swing completely from the hickory clubs to the steel shafted ones. Byron Nelson won 11 tournaments in a row in 1945 plus an additional 7 more for 18 total. In one year. Pundits believe no one will ever break 11 straight PGA tourney victories. He averaged 68.33 strokes per round that stood until 2000 when Tiger broke it, after 55 years. He won multiple majors including two Masters, He finished 15th at Augusta at the age of 53. When he was 14 he beat Ben Hogan for the first of many times. He was the first golfer inducted into the Hall of Fame along with 10 others. Whether it’s a major or an elevated event or simply stroke play, Win Daily Sports golf experts can assist you with your entries to bring you in on the top 10. The Byron Nelson Ownership Projections are dedicated to making you a smarter and wealthier DFS player.
Win Daily Sports’ golf team works tirelessly to bring you the best intel. The Byron Nelson Ownership Projections allow you to pivot to lower owned players, find those hidden leverage gems and drive your teams to the top of multiple formats.
Courses and Horses
This is one of the easiest courses on tour. It is lengthy so drivers will benefit. It also requires accurate approach shots from 200 yards plus more than any other tourney. Be wary of course history even though “TPC” Lee won two straight years. Some of the players that should do well are Tom Kim, Alex Noren, B An, CBEZ, Hoge and Spieth who has the advantage of sleeping in his own bed every night. Will Z has withdrawn for back issues.
Recent Results
THE Frisky Risky Biscuit! Three weeks ago our Frisky Biscuit finished 16th at The Masters. 5% owned and 6900. This brings our current Biscuit record to 23-4. The last two tourneys either were no cut or some type of couples golf promotion that included gators roaming the course. Our Showdown selections are making money nightly. Our Biscuit picks will be released on Wednesday evening in the Win Daily Sports Discord Golf channel. It is the only place on the entire planet the Frisky Risky Biscuit will be released!
Whether to trust the Weather
The weather is calling for Stay tuned to The Win Daly Golf discord for updated changes concerning weather.
Let’s take a look at the Byron Nelson Ownership Projections to create leverage and increase your ROI.
These Byron Nelson Ownership projections are accurate as of 6:26 EST. Top tier golfers will show a higher % by lock.
Our five top pivots for leverage are:
My Picks for The Byron Nelson
Top Tier:
Mid Tier:
Low Tier:
Out in Left Play:
Frisky Risky Biscuit Play: * In Discord later Tonight ! *Risky
FR Leader: Straka
FR Leader: Nick Taylor (Contrarian)
What to listen to
Be sure to check out Spencer’s and Stix’s Bettor Golf podcast on Anchor at Spotify. For the best intel on the betting market including top 40, 20, head to head and Underdog ADP. With Spencer’s and Stix’s world class models they also offer top shelf DFS choices as well. The Bettor Golf podcast is brought to you by Win Daily Sports. It’s on Tuesday evenings on Apple/Spotify. Stix is the one that just hit for 17,500.00 in the Masters Milly. Imagine what a few minutes listening could do for you!
What to Watch
Don’t forget to tune in to The PGA DraftCast, hosted by DraftMasterFlex Joel and featuring Sia and Spencer and Deep Dive Dave and the surprise guest who drops by to battle you, along with the audience, for supremacy on the draft board. It’s every Tuesday night at 8:00 EST and is fun, engaging, interactive and often has the drafted teams end up in the money. Show up, vote for your favorite golfer, and watch the experts go on tilt when you steal their pick! Deep Dive Dave is on fire, so is Stix Picks! They both continue to defy the odds with consistent winning along with Spencer of Tee off Sports, Sia and Joel.
Dave and Sia will be part of the PME and you can find their choices on You Tube.
***** Parting Shots *****
Two men are talking in an Irish bar having a beer. One says, “you know me name is Sean McMannis and I be a great builder.” “The Catholic church asked me to help rebuild the parish and I rebuilt her stone by stone and brick by brick.” “When the school collapsed I goes in and rebuilt her rock by rock and brick by brick”.” When your parent’s house be burned down I built her back beam by beam and brick by brick”. “But do any of ye call me Sean McMannis the great builder?” “No! Ye don’t.” “You fuck just one sheep…..”
As always, I hope to be with you on Sunday afternoon, in the money. You can also come and hang out in the Win Daily Sports Discord Chat to talk it out with everyone before the lock!
There is no hangover from The Masters here, as we are back to talk all things golf DFS!
The crew is back this week as they deliver their favorite DFS picks, classic banter, and their famous Win Daily RBC Heritage First Round Leader picks!
The 361 days I was counting after the ’23 Masters has almost ended. It’s time for the greatest test of a golfer in the best major of the year on the toughest course, The 2024 Masters. We have the world’s greatest golfers, (and LIV golfers too) challenging each other over a beast of a course for 4 days starting Thursday. DFS golf is a sincere tough test as well, you challenge thousands for supremacy and riches. The Masters Ownership Projections are dedicated to making you a smarter and wealthier DFS player.
Win Daily Sports’ golf team works tirelessly to bring you the best intel. The Masters Ownership Projections allow you to pivot to lower owned players, find those hidden leverage gems and drive your teams to the top of multiple formats.
Courses and Horses
This course has hills you could ski down and greens that would make the Alpine carnival ride look like the Bonneville Salt Flats. Keys this week will be par 4 & 5 scoring, approach over 200, scrambling and putting. Basically having the skills to use every club in your bag. We can rule out many players based on previous stats that probably have no chance of winning. With regards to the highly regarded Mr. Hunt, who has picked the winner from our smaller group since 2012.
LIV players who won’t win The Masters: Mickelson, Oleson, Schwartzel, Cam Smith and Watson. NOTE: Phil 2nd last year, Reed 4th.
Amateurs and 1st timers. There have been 3 first time/ non pro winners. One was 44 years ago. The other two were 90 years ago when the Masters first started. Aberg, Bhataia, Clark, Cole, Dunlap, Eckroat, Hisatune, Hodges, Hojgaard, Jaeger, Knapp, Malnati, McCarthy, Murray, Pavon, and Schenk. Amateurs include De La Fuente, Hagestad, Lamprecht, Shipley and Stubbs. My choice for top amateur is Lamprecht. Aberg and Cole should have a good tourney even if they come up a little short.
Dusty former champs with no shot: Couples, Olazabal, Singh, Weir, Willett and Woods*. (*my heart says he should, the metrics say nah)
Anyone missing the cut at Valero: B An, English, Fowler, Fox, Z Johnson, Tom Kim, EVR and Villegas
Players who have never made the cut at Augusta: Kitayama. Meronk
The only short hitter to win the Masters was Z Johnson in ’07. He played in 40 degree temps and 35 + MPH winds which negated all par 5s. The following short hitters probably wont cut it. Poston, Rose, Straka, Morikawa, Lowry, Kirk, Si Woo Kim, Harman, Grillo, Glover and Conners. (Lowry and Morikawa have the best shot at a good week).
Augusta dislikes low ball flight trajectory. The best finish ever by a low flight golfer was a 29th by Si Woo. Players with the lowest golf flight: Fitzpatrick, Sungjae IM, Justin Thomas,J. Niemann and Luke List.( I like Niemann the best from this group).
Poorest approach from 175-225 or longer: Cantlay, Day, Davis, Fleetwood, Henley, Homa, McIlroy, Spieth* and Taylor. (Spieth finished 4th last year due to his scrambling, ARG, and a keen knowledge of Augusta- I like him even though he’s a definite risk).
The 22 players of whom 1 should win this year: Bradley, Burns, Bryson, Finau, Garcia, Hadwin, Hatton, Hovland, DJ, Koepka, M.W. Lee, Matsuyama, T. Moore, Rahm, Reed, Schauffele, Scheffler, Scott, Theegala, Woodland, Cam Young and Will Zalatoris.
Please note that the players not included could finish 2 3 4 5 6, yet over the last decade plus, number one comes from the above list. (It cuts your odds from 1 out of 89 to 1 out of 22, or about 4X better.
I believe Scheffler, Rahm, Niemann, Schauffele, Deki and possibly Finau, Theegala and Bradley along with a riskier Spieth may be at the top of the leaderboard come Sunday late. Let the magic begin!!
Recent Results
THE Frisky Risky Biscuit! Last week our Frisky Biscuit blew chunks. This brings our current Biscuit record to 22-4. All of our selections listed below made the cut and three of our golfers finished top 10. Our Biscuit picks will be released on Wednesday evening in the Win Daily Sports Discord Golf channel. It is the only place on the entire planet the Frisky Risky Biscuit will be released!
Whether to trust the Weather
The weather is calling for a lot of rain on Thursday and more favorable weather for the rest of the week with the exception of higher winds Friday afternoon. Stay tuned to Win Daly Sports tonight for any weather updates.
Let’s take a look at the Masters Ownership Projections to create leverage and increase your ROI.
| OWNERSHIP PROJECTION | OWN % | SALARY |
| Scheffler, Scottie | 29.8 | 12100 |
| Matsuyama, Hideki | 23.2 | 9000 |
| Schauffele, Xander | 22.7 | 9900 |
| McIlroy, Rory | 19.4 | 10800 |
| Theegala, Sahith | 17.6 | 7700 |
| Rahm, John | 17.5 | 11200 |
| Fitzpatrick, Mathew | 16.8 | 7900 |
| Fleetwood, Tommy | 14.6 | 7500 |
| Henley, Russell | 14.6 | 7200 |
| Conners, Corey | 14.5 | 7500 |
| Finau, Tony | 14.3 | 8600 |
| Spieth, Jordan | 14.2 | 9300 |
| Lowry, Shane | 13.9 | 8000 |
| Young, Cameron | 13.6 | 8500 |
| Kim, Si Woo | 13.5 | 7100 |
| Zalatoris,Will | 13.4 | 9200 |
| Koepka, Brooks | 13.3 | 10200 |
| Aberg, Ludvig | 12.9 | 9100 |
| DeChambeau, Bryson | 12.1 | 8200 |
| McCarthy, Denny | 11.7 | 6200 |
| Niemann, Joaquin | 11.5 | 9600 |
| Moore, Taylor | 10.2 | 6400 |
| Reed, Patrick | 9.9 | 7400 |
| Smith, Cameron | 9.2 | 8900 |
| Scott,Adam | 9.2 | 7100 |
| Clark, Wyndham | 8.8 | 10000 |
| Hovland, Viktor | 8.7 | 9500 |
| Day, Jason | 8.3 | 7700 |
| Morikawa, Collin | 8.2 | 8400 |
| Thomas, Justin | 7.9 | 8700 |
| Hatton, Tyrrell | 7.8 | 7600 |
| Johnson, Dustin | 7.7 | 8800 |
| Bhatia, Akshay | 7.4 | 7200 |
| English, Harris | 7.4 | 7000 |
| Harman, Brian | 7.3 | 7800 |
| Homa, Max | 7.2 | 8300 |
| Cantlay, Patrick | 7.1 | 9400 |
| An, Byeong | 7.1 | 6700 |
| Eckroat, Austin | 6.4 | 6300 |
| Garcia, Sergio | 6.1 | 6800 |
| Lee, Min Woo | 5.9 | 7300 |
| Im, Sungjae | 5.7 | 7600 |
| Burns, Sam | 5.4 | 8100 |
| Kirk, Chris | 5.4 | 6900 |
| Meronk, Adrian | 5.4 | 6500 |
| Jaeger, Stephan | 5.2 | 7100 |
| Schenk, Adam | 5.1 | 6200 |
| Kitayama, Kurt | 4.8 | 6400 |
| Poston, JT | 4.7 | 6800 |
| Hadwin, Adam | 4.5 | 6600 |
| Taylor, Nick | 4.4 | 7000 |
| Bradley, Keegan | 4.4 | 6700 |
| Glover, Lucas | 4.4 | 6300 |
| Rose, Justin | 4.3 | 7200 |
| Straka, Sepp | 4.2 | 6700 |
| Woods, Tiger | 3.9 | 6800 |
| Van Rooyen, Erik | 3.9 | 6600 |
| Grillo, Emiliano | 3.9 | 6400 |
| Mickelson, Phil | 3.7 | 7000 |
| Kim, Tom (Joohyung) | 3.3 | 7400 |
| Hojgaard, Nicolai | 3.3 | 6700 |
| Cole, Eric | 3.3 | 6600 |
| Woodland, Gary | 3.2 | 6400 |
| Olesen, Thorbjorn | 3.0 | 6500 |
| Knapp, Jake | 2.9 | 6600 |
| Fowler, Rickie | 2.8 | 7300 |
| List, Luke | 2.3 | 6500 |
| Watson, Bubba | 2.3 | 6400 |
| Hisatsune, Ryo | 1.9 | 6300 |
| Pavon, Matthieu | 1.8 | 6900 |
| Davis, Cameron | 1.8 | 6900 |
| Fox, Ryan | 1.6 | 6700 |
| Schwartzel, Charl | 1.6 | 6300 |
| Hodges, Lee | 1.6 | 6200 |
| Dunlap, Nick | 1.5 | 6500 |
| Malnati, Peter | 1.2 | 6200 |
| Willett, Danny | 0.8 | 6300 |
| Murray, Grayson | 0.8 | 6200 |
| Lamprecht, Christo | 0.7 | 6100 |
| Johnson, Zack | 0.6 | 6100 |
| Villegas, Camilo | 0.2 | 6100 |
| Hagestad, Stewart (a) | 0.2 | 6100 |
| De La Fuente, Santiago (a) | 0.1 | 6100 |
| Couples, Fred | 0.1 | 6000 |
| Stubbs, Jasper | 0.0 | 6100 |
| Weir, Mike | 0.0 | 6000 |
| Shipley, Neal | 0.0 | 6000 |
| Singh, Vijay | 0.0 | 6000 |
| Olazabal, Jose Maria | 0.0 | 6000 |
************ Please note that there are only 89 players this week. What normally may seem like heavy chalk should be adjusted by the % of the field. Try to get different with salary left, or use your 6th team golfer as a lower owned outlier.*********
These Masters Ownership projections are accurate as of 6:06 EST. Top tier golfers will show a higher % by lock.
Our five top pivots for leverage are: Niemann, Cantlay, Morikawa, Day and Reed. Lower Owned Outlier is M W Lee.
My Picks for The Masters
Top Tier: Scheffler
Mid Tier: Finau
Low Tier: Scott
Out in Left Play: Bradley
Frisky Risky Biscuit Play: * In Discord later Tonight ! *Risky
FR Leader: Xander
FR Leader: Glover (Contrarian)
What to listen to
Be sure to check out Spencer’s and Stix’s Bettor Golf podcast on Anchor at Spotify. For the best intel on the betting market including top 40, 20, head to head and Underdog ADP. With Spencer’s and Stix’s world class models they also offer top shelf DFS choices as well. The Bettor Golf podcast is brought to you by Win Daily Sports. It’s on Tuesday evenings on Apple/Spotify.
What to Watch
Don’t forget to tune in to The PGA DraftCast, hosted by DraftMasterFlex Joel and featuring Sia and Spencer and Deep Dive Dave and the surprise guest who drops by to battle you, along with the audience, for supremacy on the draft board. It’s every Tuesday night at 8:00 EST and is fun, engaging, interactive and often has the drafted teams end up in the money. Show up, vote for your favorite golfer, and watch the experts go on tilt when you steal their pick! Deep Dive Dave is on fire, so is Stix Picks! They both continue to defy the odds with consistent winning along with Spencer of Tee off Sports, Sia and Joel.
***** Parting Shots *****
An American goes to Mexico on business. From his hotel room, he hears the shouting of excited fans from the bullring across the street. That evening, he has a meal in the hotel dining room.
As he is finishing, he notices waiters arriving at a nearby table &, with great dignity, setting before a well-dressed gentleman a huge dish of savory meat & vegetables. The American can smell the alluring dish from where he is sitting.
He summons the maitre d’ & says, “I will be here for a week and tomorrow I’d like to order what that fellow is feasting on. What is it called, may I ask?”
The maitre d’ makes a sorrowful face & explains:
“I am so sorry, senor, but that is a very special dish that we can serve only once per week, after the day of the bullfighting The key ingredient is obtained by special arrangement. It is, mmm…a lavish stew based on the private parts of the slain bull.”
“Oh, what a pity,” said the American. “I’d like to try that. It looks & smells absolutely fabulous.”
Then the guest brightened.
“Say, I’ll still be here for next week’s bullfight. Can I order ahead?”
Again the maitre d’ looked sorrowful.
“Alas, that dish is so popular that we are booked ahead for many months.”
“Well, I have to return to Mexico every few months & can pretty much set my own schedule,” the disappointed gourmet responded. “When is your next available opening?”
The maitre d’ opened a massive calendar book & searched a few moments. An opening was found & scheduled. The happy guest went back to his room, anticipating his return almost a year later.
It seemed forever, but eventually the day came. The American sat at the dining room’s best table & was served all the preliminaries graciously. Finally the coveted entre arrived. It smelled & tasted every bit as delicious as he expected, just like what he had dreamed of for a year. Except for one aspect.
“Thank you, ever so much,” he told the maitre d’. ”This is everything I dreamed of. The flavor, the aroma, the presentation — everything 5-star! I do have one question. Not a complaint. Just wondering. Maybe it’s just my faulty memory, but as I recall, the entre last year looked very much larger.”
The obviously embarrassed maitre d’ shrugged & said:
“Well, senor, sometimes the bull wins.”
As always, I hope to be with you on Sunday afternoon, in the money. You can also come and hang out in the Win Daily Sports Discord Chat to talk it out with everyone before the lock!
At WIN DAILY®, our motto is to “change your game and change your life.” We want to help you win that bet, parlay, and big DFS tournament and have some fun while you do. Our goal is to help you turn your love of sports into a profit center while playing responsibly and enjoying your time with a like-minded community.
