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The Wyndham Championship: Initial Picks

Sia
written by Sia

The last week of the regular season wraps up in North Carolina at the Wyndham Championship. Some of the golfers will be chasing down the top FedEx Cup prize while others will be simply trying to get into the Top 125. This week we have a pretty straightforward course that will play short and relatively easy. I’ll be focused on hitting fairways, being great on APP and being a good putter. Distance OTT and ARG are not big factors this week. More on course dynamics and on all the players in the field on tonight’s PGA Livestream at 8:00 EST. Now let’s get to the Initial Picks for the Wyndham Championship.

Louis Ooshtuizen (10700) – King Louis has been playing very well and if not for a poor Day 4 at the WGC, he would have had his 4th Top 5 in a row.  Louis makes birdies, is a great putter and is great on APP.  The two main drawbacks are he can be a little erratic OTT (but I don’t expect that to be a problem here) and he has no course history whatsoever.  If you’re looking for pivots in this range I think Hideki and Zalatoris will be far less owned than Louis and Webb (below).

Webb Simpson (10600) – Webb has the best course history at the Wyndham Championship that I’ve ever seen (outside of Tiger Woods there is no golfer that dominates any course like Webb dominates this course).  His game has been a little off but it appears that he found some confidence last week and appears highly motivated to charge into the FedEx Cup playoffs with a Wyndham Championship win under his belt.

Russell Henley (9400) – I’m not inlove with this 9k range but I do think Henley sets up well for this course.  Other than an MC at the Open he has played well (Top 20s in the three tournaments prior to the Open).  Henley can keep it in the fairway, is elite on APP and appears to be rebounding from a stretch of bad putting. 

Seamus Power (8500) – Looking for a ball striker who has a recent outright win and is allergic to finishing outside of the Top 20?  Perfect!  He also happens to rank 2nd in the field in Birdie or Better Gained percentage over the last 24 rounds (Kizzire ranks 1st but not a part of this Initial Picks article).

Kevin Streelman (8300) – Not much by way of course history, but I like the course fit and specifically like his APP numbers.  The formula this week is to keep in the fairway, be great on APP (especially from 150-175) and get hot with the putter.  Streelman can do all those things.  He does carry some volatility so only a GPP play for me this week.

Charl Schwartzl (8100) – His weakness is typically ARG and that shouldn’t hurt him here.  His BS and finishing positions have been solid and he’s no stranger to a hot putter.  I should note that he doesn’t rate out very well in the more important proximities (125-175) and therefore I may consider him for GPP only, especially if he’s low owned.

Mito Pereira (7900) – Very impressive start to this young man’s career. His ball striking has been excellent and he simply needs an average putter in order to outperform his soft pricetag.  I should note the 7k range is rich with value and although Vegas and Kizzire did not make the Initial Picks cut, I do think they carry plenty of upside (my concern was staying in the fairway OTT).

Hank Lebioda (7600) – He had to WD at the 3M due to a family emergency but he was on his way to making yet another cut.  The ball striking has been good, the putter has been hot and he is 5th in BOB gained over last 24 rounds.  The finishes have also been great for Lebioda (3 Top 10s in a row prior to the 3M WD) and if he once again finds a hot putter, well, see you on Sunday afternoon.

Chez Reavie (7400) – Reavie has been inconsistent this season but should find comfort at The Wyndham Championship as it appears to suit his game.  With that said, his history here isn’t great so be careful.  I’m leaning on his ball striking (significant BS gains over the last 6 measured rounds) and hoping for the best with the putter.   

Ryan Armour (7000) – He checks quite a few boxes as he is a great Wyndham Championship course fit (keeps it in the fairway, good on APP and good with the putter), has good course history and is in good form.  He is a great value play here and likely to be popular.  If you’re interested in some pivots I think Brendon Todd and Doc Redman will be low owned with upside.

Henrik Norlander (6600) – The ball striking has been good since May, but we were still waiting for the putter to come around as it was struggling the entire year.  Well, he’s gained with the putter in 5 of his last 6 tournaments and in his last 4 in a row.  Pair that with what has become elite ball striking since the Palmetto and you have some upside with Norlander.  I have at least four others to consider in this 6k range which I will be happy to share in Discord and on our PGA Livestream tonight.

Secret Weapon (less than 7k/less than 5% owned) – Current record is 41-12. See you in Discord. 

If you haven’t already, subscribe to Win Daily Sports on YouTube and at the Apple Podcasts and check out all the content at windailysports.com. It’s also important to be in Discord Wednesday night for all lineup adjustments, late breaking news and weather reports.

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PGAPremium

The WGC FedEx St Jude Invitational Final Ownership Projections

Steven Polardi
written by Steven Polardi

Welcome to The WGC FedEx St Jude Invitational Final Ownership projections, by the time you read the entire title of this tourney, the tourney will be over. This is a no cut invitation, talk about a stacked field, the top 48 of 50 golfers are in. I would be wary about the longshots coming through to win in the perfect made for TV movie scenario, cream rises to the top. Think ball strikers and approach shots. Ownership will be crucial for your large field GPPs, we will get those numbers in a minute, I have some other numbers I’d like to share.

If you don’t use a service, (the best in the industry is Win Daily Sports) you have a little better than a 3% chance of getting 6 of 6 golfers through the cut. This is for the large GPPs. That means for every 100 times you play a team, only three 6/6 get in, and 97 times they do not. Using Win Daily Sports, reading the articles, watching the podcasts, staying active in Discord, and using picks and roster help as well as coaching will increase your chances anywhere from 15% to 24%. You can increase your chances eight times over. I’d much rather have 24 six of six players in the mix than just three. We are almost at the end of this golf season and I am on track to make 49K for the year, Joel leaves that amount to tip the cashier at Taco Bell, that’s how well he is doing. Sia, Patrick, Antonio and Isaiah are all having a great year. We all write the articles, listen to each others podcasts and keep active in Discord. We spend a lot of time trying to find you all a few low owned low salary players that bring value, this is the cornerstone, along with ownership, to getting you a large payday in big GPP’s. Sia’s Secret Weapon is a perfect example. The Golf staff gets pumped when you flash all those green screens in Discord, it makes our hard work and dedication all worth it, and I don’t mean just the golf staff, the entire Win Daily family works extremely hard, and that family includes you. Mr. Cloud Boss and Yamizake12 have grown in quantum leaps, I talk to a lot of you every week whose DFS golf IQ has skyrocketed.

We recognize how hard you all work.

Now lets work on some ownership numbers.

The WGC FedEx St Jude Invitational Final Ownership Projections

OWNERSHIP PROJECTION
PLAYEROWN %SALARY
Koepka, Brooks24.410600
English, Harris19.47600
Scheffler, Scottie18.39100
Berger, Daniel18.29200
Cantlay, Patrick17.99300
Oosthuizen, Louis17.99600
Spieth, Jordan16.810400
Fitzpatrick, Mathew16.38800
Simpson, Webb16.38500
Conners, Corey16.28100
Hatton, Tyrrell15.17400
Hovland, Viktor14.69700
Kokrak, Jason14.37800
Harman, Brian13.87500
DeChambeau, Bryson13.89500
Ancer, Abraham13.68300
Casey, Paul13.29000
Thomas, Justin13.09900
Burns, Sam13.06900
Niemann, Joaquin12.48400
Johnson, Dustin12.310200
Morikawa, Collin12.211000
Garcia, Sergio11.57300
Schauffele, Xander11.310800
Finau, Tony11.08900
McIlroy, Rory10.810000
Lowry, Shane9.48600
Smith, Cameron9.48200
Homa, Max9.16700
Kisner, Kevin8.86800
Im, Sungjae8.57700
Reed, Patrick8.58700
Na, Kevin8.16500
Cink, Stewart7.96500
Scott,Adam7.97200
Zalatoris,Will7.87900
Matsuyama, Hideki7.79400
Horschel, Billy7.67100
Poulter, Ian7.47000
Glover, Lucas7.06400
Fleetwood, Tommy6.58000
Wolff, Mathew6.26800
Champ, Cameron6.16700
Higgo, Garrick5.96300
Rose, Justin5.67000
Ortiz, Carlos5.56700
Palmer, Ryan5.46500
MacIntyre, Robert 5.16600
Herbert, Lucas 4.96300
Mickelson, Phil4.76600
Davis. Cameron4.76900
Kim, Si Woo4.66400
Nienaber, Wilco4.46000
Leishman, Marc4.07100
Jones, Matt3.96200
Lee, KH3.56400
Lee, Min Woo3.16200
Laird, Martin2.96200
Westwood, Lee2.86600
Rai, Aaron2.16300
Ormsby, Wade2.06000
Herman, Jim1.96000
Perez, Victor 1.66100
Streb, Robert1.46000
Kinoshia,  Ryosuke1.26100
Kennedy, Brad1.06100

These final ownership figures for The WGC St Jude Invitational are accurate as of 16:53 CST. Chalk may be slightly higher by lock. Koepka will be.

My picks for the WGC FedEx St Jude Invitational:

Top Tier: Mori, Spieth

Mid Tier: Ancer, Garcia, Smith

Low Tier: Kim, Palmer, Glover

Out in Left Play: Min Woo Lee

Frisky Risky Biscuit Play: * In Discord later Tonight ! *Risky

Thank you again for reviewing the The WGC St Jude Invitational Final Ownership Projections article, we sure do appreciate it. I’ll be in the Discord Channel after this article comes out to answer any questions. Please review the articles by Sia, Patrick, Isaiah and Antonio to help determine your picks and lineups.

Do not forget that Sia’s Secret Weapon for The WGC event will be released in Discord later on tonight! His record is an amazing 41-12 for the bottom tier that no one likes. Antonio will be releasing his BBB play and my frisky risky play will be released as well. Any late breaking steam plays or news, including weather, will be updated tonight in Discord.

Sia and Joel have their livestream Tuesday nights at 8:00 EST, (last nights episode was incendiary) and go over every price range, the top plays, value plays and sleepers. Why go anywhere else when you can hear from two experts who are closing in on $400,000+ in winnings this year. Joel goes for a seat in the DK golf finals this week, wish him good luck in Discord, he will read it as soon as he’s done counting his last 100K from his DK win two weeks ago. If you’re reading this, you are next .

As always, I hope to be with you on Sunday afternoon, in the money. You can also come and hang ou thet in the Win Daily Sports Discord Chat to talk it out with everyone before the lock!

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PGA

WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational DFS Breakdown

Jon Jansen
written by Jon Jansen

The PGA Tour is back on American soil for the WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational! Sia Nejad, Joel and Nick give a full breakdown of the event including DFS plays and bets on the WGC-FedEX St. Jude Invitational DFS breakdown!

Sia Nejad – @SiaNejad

Joel – @DraftMasterFlex

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_PnX7FuWyog&t=2s

Make sure to check out more DFS and betting content at WinDailySports.com

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PGA

The WGC-FedEx St. Jude: Initial Picks

Sia
written by Sia

We are in the stretch run heading toward the FedEx Cup Playoffs and the PGA Tour is back on American soil for the WGC-FedEx St. Jude.  This Par 70 7200 yard TPC Southwind course will test the complete game as golfers will need to be good in all areas.  My focus will be on keeping it in the fairway and being good with the longer proximities (150-200 will be an emphasis), but I’m also looking for golfers that have the short game (ARG/PUTT) on these small Bermuda greens.  This is another no-cut event. More on course dynamics, favored builds and players on Tuesday’s WinDaily Sports PGA Livestream which you can watch here at 8:00 EST.  Let’s get to the WGC-FedEx St. Jude Initial Picks.

Collin Morikawa (11000) – Collin lost strokes on APP last week in a fairly significant way and still managed a 4th place finish.  I don’t expect the APP to continue to fail him, which means this brilliant ball-striker will be contending again on Sunday afternoon.

Brooks Koepka (10600) – In three of his last four measured tournaments he’s gained over eight strokes ball striking (BS).  That’s pretty incredible.  His track record here is also incredible (2nd, 1st, 5th over his last three efforts). 

Louis Oosthuizen (9600) – I’m looking for ball strikers at the WGC-FedEx St. Jude who are in good recent form and who have good course history.  Check.  Check.  Check.

Scottie Scheffler (9100) – The 9k range is rich with talent and I have no issue with Hovland, Cantlay or Berger but I’m going to take a shot with Scottie.  He shows up in a big way in talent-laden fields, ball striking has been excellent and the putter can get hot.

Webb Simpson (8500) – There’s no reason to trust Webb right now, but that’s why he may be a great pivot and play in a GPP.  He’s coming off a Top 20 at The Open which is pretty great considering where his game was immediately prior to that.  He also has some good history here with a 12th and 2nd over his last two efforts at the WGC-FedEx St. Jude.

Abraham Ancer (8300) – Ancer grades out very well in my model and really does check all the boxes in terms of hitting fairways, being superb with his long irons, being good on Par 4’s between 450-500, bogey avoidance and GIR.  His upside may be capped, but he’s likely paying off his price either way.

Corey Conners (8100) – Another elite ball striker who just needs to find short game, which is more likely here because of the Bermuda greens.  Be careful as his ARG game could get him into trouble.  As for cash game potential I like Ancer (above) and English (below) a bit better than Conners.

Harris English (7600) – Over his last five measured starts he’s gained in BS.  Over his last six measured starts he’s gained ARG.  Finally, he’s gained PUTT in 5 of the last 6 measured rounds.  He is putting the entire game together and he’s tremendous value at this price.

Tyrrell Hatton (7400) – Two missed cuts in a row should keep ownership down but he has great upside, not just in theory, but also in practice.  At the Palmetto in June he gained 11.75 strokes BS on his way to a 2nd place finish (thanks to losing 3 strokes with the putter).  Bermuda is a preferred green for Hatton.  Not a cash play but should be great savings and upside for GPPs.

Stewart Cink (6500) – He’s hit a rough patch with the putter which is part of the reason he’s missed two cuts in a row.  But he’s only one month removed from gaining 9.42 strokes at The Travelers.  You’re hoping he can turn the putter around and putt like he did earlier this year while also capturing some consistency with the ball striking.

Ryan Palmer (6500) – Palmer is the type of player that you simply wouldn’t take in a normal cut event because the game has fallen off a cliff over the last few months.  With that said, because the WGC-FedEx St. Jude has no cut, I’m more willing to push a few Palmer chips into the middle.  He may not be good for 4 rounds, but he has the ability to pop for 2-3.

Jim Herman (6000) – He hits fairways and has a solid long iron game and that’s led to four Top 30’s in a row.  He’s also gained in BS and in putting five tournaments in a row.  Herman is an absolute no-name, but if you put these numbers next to a guy with a pedigree, he’d be priced a thousand dollars higher.  

Secret Weapon (less than 7k/less than 5% owned) – Current record is 41-12. See you in Discord. 

If you haven’t already, subscribe to Win Daily Sports on YouTube and at the Apple Podcasts and check out all the content at windailysports.com. It’s also important to be in Discord Wednesday night for all WGC-FedEx St. Jude lineup changes and weather reports.

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PGAPremium

The Olympics Final Ownership Projections

Steven Polardi
written by Steven Polardi

Welcome to The Olympics Final Ownership projections, this week it’s all about country and bling, the gold, silver and bronze variety. The storylines are Hideki, a home champion and home country, he knows the course and still, that’s a lot of pressure. Sungjae and Si Woo are playing to keep from saluting their superiors for two years, a medal means they skip out on military service. Captain America aka Patrick Reed probably won’t cheat this time out, and JT already gushed about representing America.

There are probably 15- 20 golfers who could win medals, picking them means picking lower tier golfers, lets look at the ownership numbers to help you determine your rosters.

Please know this article has been condensed for time since lock is in about 3 hours.

The Olympic Final Ownership Projections

OWNERSHIP PROJECTION
PLAYEROWN %SALARY
Pereira, Mito24.47200
Hovland, Viktor24.39900
Vegas, Jhonattan23.77400
Casey, Paul20.09500
Im, Sungjae19.99000
Niemann, Joaquin19.49200
Conners, Corey19.28800
Smith, Cameron18.98900
Schauffele, Xander18.710700
Morikawa, Collin17.911200
Ancer, Abraham17.79300
Fleetwood, Tommy17.18600
Kim, Si Woo16.57800
Detry, Thomas14.57500
Norlander, Henrik14.56800
Thomas, Justin14.410900
McIlroy, Rory13.310300
Munoz, Sebastian13.17700
Hughes, Maxkenzie12.98000
Matsuyama, Hideki12.710500
Lowry, Shane12.39600
Pieters, Thomas12.18100
Rozner, Antoine11.77600
Leishman, Marc11.78500
Ortiz, Carlos11.67900
Migliozzi, Guido11.48400
Reed, Patrick10.310100
Higgo, Garrick10.08300
Straka, Sepp9.76400
Noren, Alex9.68200
Schwab, Matthias9.67000
Lahiri, Anirban9.16700
Bezuidenhout, Christiaan9.08700
Fox, Ryan8.76900
Janewattananond, Jazz7.47000
Samooja, Kalle6.86300
Yuan, Carl6.46700
Sabbatini, Rory6.36800
Arnaus, Adri6.06600
Hoshino,Rikuya5.67300
Hojgaard, Rasmus5.37100
Pan, CT5.17100
Meronk, Adrian4.96300
Langasque, Romain4.96000
Vincent, Scott4.86400
Zanotti, Fabrizio4.16400
Campos, Rafael4.16000
Campillo, Jorge3.76400
Chharoenkul, Gunn3.66200
Wu, Ashun3.46500
Kieffer, Maximilian3.36200
Johannessen, Kristian K3.26100
Valimaki, Sami2.26500
Hansen, Joachim B2.26300
Paratore, Renato1.96900
Mane, Udayan1.96000
Pagunsan, Juvic1.96000
Green, Gavin Kyle1.96100
Long, Hurly1.66200
Lieser, Ondrej1.46100

These final ownership figures for The Olympics are accurate as of 15:12 CST. Chalk may be slightly higher by lock.

Last week Jimmy Walker finished 10th in the tourney, he was 6500 and owned by .03% of the field.

My picks for the Olympics:

Top Tier: Morikawa, Matsuyama

Mid Tier: Migliozzi, Sungjae, Si Woo Kim

Low Tier: Pan, Norlander, KKJ (Johannsen)

Out in Left Play: Fox

Frisky Risky Biscuit Play: * In Discord later Tonight ! *Risky

Thank you again for reviewing the The Olympics Final Ownership Projections article, we sure do appreciate it. I’ll be in the Discord Channel after this article comes out 2to answer any questions. Please review the articles by Sia, Patrick, Isaiah and Antonio to help determine your picks and lineups.

Do not forget that Sia’s Secret Weapon for The Open will be released in Discord later on tonight! His record is an amazing 41-12 for the bottom tier that no one likes. Antonio will be releasing his BBB play and my frisky risky play will be released as well. Any late breaking steam plays or news, including weather, will be updated tonight in Discord.

Those of you who have heard Stix and Spencer’s Bettor Golf podcast know how solid their golf betting intel is, make sure you catch their show to assist with betting market and DFS considerations. Their livestream podcast will return next week for the PGA event.

Sia and Joel have their livestream Tuesday nights at 8:00 EST and go over every price range, the top plays, value plays and sleepers. Why go anywhere else when you can hear from two experts who are closing in on $400,000 in winnings this year. Joel won a ticket to the World Golf Championships last week. They fly you out, all expenses paid, the problem is he lives 12 minutes from the course they’ll be playing on, if I was him, I’d make them taxi me around the airport 20 times to make up for it, or maybe taxi down to McDonalds for a beverage and a big mac..

As always, I hope to be with you on Sunday afternoon, in the money. You can also come and hang ou thet in the Win Daily Sports Discord Chat to talk it out with everyone before the lock!

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PGAPremium

The 3M Open Final Ownership Projections

Steven Polardi
written by Steven Polardi

Welcome to The 3M Open Final Ownership projections, this week we are in the twin cities with a watered down field headlined by the stragglers from England coming back east on a quick turnaround. DJ, Oosti, Reed and Finau top the field, there are two narratives, that the Open wore them out, and along with jet lag, they are too gassed to be a factor, the other is that they are pro golfers and used to the jet setting travel and wont feel the effects.

There have only been two tourneys on this course and the winners, Matt Wolff (playing as a top tier player at the time) and Michael Thompson (who?) are as different in their respective games as night and day.

All three of our programs agreed that approach played a more important role here than in other venues. 45% of the scoring on this course was attributed to approach shots, compared to the 30 % tour average. Shots gained off the tee was 5% above the tour norm. The short game was negated due to the birdie fest here, and the last metric we look at is shots gained putting on bent grass.

I will be fading the top tier with the exception of DJ, I faded him at the Masters the year before last and watched 100K disappear when he won on Sunday. Joel and Sia made a great point last night- You don’t need the winner of the tourney to take down big money, you need 6 golfers to get through to have a shot at it. Joel didn’t have Morikawa in his $100K winning lineup, he had 6/6 go through including Harris English, who’s heroic back 9 on Friday got him thru the cut after a +5 last Thursday.

Be careful with your selections this week in the lower tiers, a golfer in the 7K salary range who’s owned by 23% of the field is no bargain, unless your playing cash, 50/50, or a small entry field SE. For a GPP you may want to get different elsewhere. Ownership comes into play in fields like this, four or five studs and 152 duds, someone usually comes from the lower tiers to challenge. Look for the best value plays with the lowest ownership to optimize your chances in large GPP contests, lets take a look at the numbers for this weeks tourney.

The 3M Open Final Ownership Projections

OWNERSHIP PROJECTION
PLAYEROWN %SALARY
Johnson, Dustin26.411300
Finau, Tony21.610700
Lebioda, Hank21.87900
Watson, Bubba18.39100
Tringale, Cameron17.89500
Wolff, Mathew17.59700
Reed, Patrick17.210300
Grillo, Emiliano16.79300
Vegas, Jhonattan16.67500
List, Luke15.48100
Ghim, Doug15.17900
Oosthuizen, Louis15.110900
McNealy, Maverick14.28400
MacIntyre, Robert 13.49000
Garcia, Sergio12.69900
Rodgers, Patrick12.47600
Bradley, Keegan12.08800
Stanley, Kyle11.97300
Schwartzel, Charl11.08200
Kizzire, Patton10.98600
Kirk, Chris10.17900
Pereira, Mito10.07600
Schenk, Adam9.67400
Davis. Cameron9.59200
Hoag, Bo8.57100
Griffin, Lanto8.57700
Fowler, Rickie7.88900
Moore, Ryan7.77800
Cink, Stewart7.58700
Reavie, Chez6.97400
Stricker, Steve6.87500
Dahmen, Joel6.67500
Howell III, Charlie6.67700
Herbert, Lucas 6.48500
Hagy, Brandon6.07200
Merritt, Troy5.97500
Kodaira, Satoshi5.96500
Woodland, Gary5.88000
Snedeker, Brandt5.77800
Hossler, Beau5.57300
Todd, Brendon5.37300
Poston,  JT5.37700
Frittelli, Dylan5.28300
Tway, Kevin5.26600
Perez, Pat5.17100
Stuard, Brian4.87200
Champ, Cameron4.77100
Hubbard, Mark4.17200
Ryder, Sam3.87000
Armour, Ryan3.77000
Werenski, Richy3.57600
Bramlett, Joseph3.57000
Lewis, Tom3.47000
Thompson, Michael3.27400
Hahn, James3.27100
Van Rooyen, Erik3.07400
Kucher, Matt2.97300
Long, Adam2.87000
Stallings, Scott2.47200
Sloan, Roger2.46900
Hadwin, Adam2.47200
Knox, Russell2.36900
Straka, Sepp2.27100
Garnett, Brice2.16700
Lee, KH2.16600
An, B1.76800
Villegas, Camilo1.76700
Clark, Wyndham1.76900
Piercy, Scott1.67000
McCarthy, Denny1.46700
Hoge, Tom1.36900
Roach, Wes1.36300
Martin, Ben1.36600
Gligic, Michael1.26300
Gordon, Will1.26700
Mitchell, Keith1.26800
Hadley, Chesson1.26800
Lashley, Nate1.16700
Higgs, Harry1.06600
Percy, Cameron1.06800
O’Hair, Sean1.06400
Taylor, Vaughn1.06700
Teater, Josh1.06400
Eckroat, Austin 1.06600
Shelton, Robby0.96500
Cabrera-Bello, Rafa0.96900
Putnam, Andrew0.86600
Streb, Robert0.86700
Stone, Brandon0.76900
Huh, John0.76600
Burgoon, Bronson0.66500
Anderson, Mark0.66500
Malnati, Peter0.66400
Baddeley, Aaron0.56400
Oppenheim, Rob0.56400
Pak, John 0.56300
Brown, Scott0.56800
Hearn, David0.56200
Landry ,Andrew0.56300
Baker, Chris0.56200
Gellerman, Michael0.56100
Campos, Rafael0.56000
Gomez, Fabian0.56200
McCumber, Tyler0.46300
Van Pelt, Bo0.46500
Harrington, Scott0.46300
Watney, Nick0.46000
Lingmerth, David0.36800
Cook, Austin0.36400
Kang, Sung0.36300
Potter Jr., Ted0.36200
Walker, Jimmy0.36500
Daffue, Matthys 0.36400
Ventura, Kris0.36100
Taylor, Ben0.36100
Aphibarnrat, Kiradech0.26400
Haas, Bill0.26300
Hall, Ryan (a)0.26200
Trahan, DJ0.26100
Gay, Brian0.26000
Gibson, Rhein0.26100
Hall, Ryan (a)0.26200
Bae, Sangmoon 0.16100
Chalmers, Greg0.16000
Wagner, Johnson0.16200
Blaum, Ryan0.16100
Brehm, Ryan0.16100
Stefani, Shawn0.16200
Sucher, Zack0.16100
Xiong, Norman0.16300
Flanagan, Angus0.16200
Barnes, Ricky0.16100
Byrd, Jonathan0.16200
Mahan, Hunter0.06000
Cappelen, Sebastian0.06100
Points, DA0.06000
Stadler, Kevin0.06000
ALL OTHERS0.0

These final ownership figures for The 3M Open are accurate as of 17:19 CST. Chalk may be slightly higher by lock.

LATE NEWS: Doug Ghim and Oosti have the same ownership, a lot of chatter on multiple sites say Oosti will W/D, with no proof. Ghim is popular and a plus value in our program as well, when it comes down to it, I’d rather have a golfer that practically finishes top 5 every time over a golfer that could just as easily miss the cut.

These are my picks for the The 3M Open (Last week the program picked 4 players in the 6 K range that made the cut, the week before all three picks made the cut, Streelman, Sia’s SW last week, led the field of bottom feeders.)

Top Tier: DJ.

Mid Tier: Bradley, Garcia

Low Tier: Vegas, Stanley, Dahmen

Out in Left Play: Branden Stone

Frisky Risky Biscuit Play: * In Discord later Tonight ! *Risky

Thank you again for reviewing the The 3M Open Final Ownership Projections article, we sure do appreciate it. I’ll be in the Discord Channel after this article comes out to answer any questions. Please review the articles by Sia, Patrick, Isaiah and Antonio to help determine your picks and lineups.

Do not forget that Sia’s Secret Weapon for The Open will be released in Discord later on tonight! His record is an amazing 40-12 for the bottom tier that no one likes. Antonio will be releasing his BBB play and my frisky risky play will be released as well. Any late breaking steam plays or news, including weather, will be updated tonight in Discord.

Those of you who have heard Stix and Spencer’s Bettor Golf podcast know how solid their golf betting intel is, make sure you catch their show to assist with betting market and DFS considerations. Last night Spencer had some great intel on the DFS side and betting markets.

Sia and Joel have their livestream Tuesday nights at 8:00 EST and go over every price range, the top plays, value plays and sleepers. Why go anywhere else when you can hear from two experts who are closing in on $400,000 in winnings this year. Joel was a whisper away last week from 1 million dollars, he ended up with $100,000. You can feel bad for him for not getting the million as long as you forget he’s 100 grand richer. Sometimes there just aren’t enough closets to stuff more money into.

As always, I hope to be with you on Sunday afternoon, in the money. You can also come and hang out in the Win Daily Sports Discord Chat to talk it out with everyone before the lock!

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PGA

3M Open DFS Breakdown

Jon Jansen
written by Jon Jansen

The Open Championship has come and gone, and do we have a story to tell. Joel was just a few points away from winning a million and he shares that story on the 3M Open DFS Breakdown. Also, get Sia Nejad and Joel’s DFS plays and betting picks for the 3M Open.

Sia Nejad – @SiaNejad

Joel – @DraftMasterFlex

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=r92QouYCneg

Make sure to check out more DFS and betting content at WinDailySports.com

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PGA

The 3M Open: Initial Picks

Sia
written by Sia

The PGA Tour is in Minnesota this week for the 3M Open. This is a relatively watered down field which should provide some opportunity for 2nd and 3rd tier golfers to go out and rack up the DFS points. I’ll be looking for ball strikers (OTT and APP) with an emphasis on APP. I’m also going to put a slight bump on PUTT as these greens are big and may be fast as the tournament progresses. More on the 3M tournament course and the players during tonight’s Win Daily PGA Livestream. We will also be discussing Joel’s $100,000.00 hit and his near outright for one million dollars! Now, onto the Initial Picks for the 3M Open.

Tony Finau (10700) – I have no issue if you want to skip this range altogether, but I do like the upside of Finau.  He placed a very respectable 15th at The Open Championship after missing two cuts in a row.  Prior to the two missed cuts he was striking the ball very well.  The putter may be an issue but he can get hot in that department.  A GPP play only.

Emiliano Grillo (9300) – I’m looking for ball strikers at The 3M and Grillo certainly fits that description.  His ARG game is terrible but that shouldn’t hurt him here.  His PUTT can get him into trouble, but he’s just about average in this field and that’s fine with me.  Tied for 3rd here last year, and oh by the way, he was 12th at the Open last week. 

Bubba Watson (9100) – I’m not a Bubba guy in general, but his ball striking has been great after a recent slump with the APP game.  Bubba finished 6th at the Rocket Mortgage and 19th at The Travelers and is in a weak field where he has to think he can win a tournament.  A GPP play only.

Stewart Cink (8700) – A great ball striker who has been great on APP as of late.  He’s coming off an MC at The Open which doesn’t bother me too much.  Prior to that he was your consummate cut maker and he made the cut at the 3M Open last year as well (finished an underwhelming 46th).  I think the good year continues for Cink.

Maverick McNealy (8400) – This will be a birdie-fest and Mav is a birdie-maker.  He’s got 4 Top 30s in a row due to good ball striking and a good putter.  A very fair price here.

Charl Schwartl (8200) – The PUTT worries me as he’s just outside the Top 100 in this field last 24 rounds.  But his BS is Top 10 and his BOB% (‘Birdie or Better) is 35th.  Charl isn’t usually on my radar, but these metrics are very solid.  He finished T3 last year at the 3M last year.

Luke List (8100) – Another bad PUTT on my 3M list (extremely lazy pun right there), but another guy who is really striking the ball and closing well.  He’s got two Top 5’s over his last two tournaments and finished 32nd here last year.  I prefer List as a GPP play.

Doug Ghim (7900) – He gained almost 9 strokes T2G at the JDC which is insane.  Problem has always been the PUTT for Ghim, but the good news is he hasn’t been quite as bad in that department over the last three tournaments and he’s a better putter on Bentgrass. 

Hank Lebioda (7900) – Well, hello old friend.  Lebioda’s ball striking has been excellent for almost six weeks and he’s also killing it with the putter.  This has resulted in made cuts and Top 10 finishes.  Is this the new kid on the block or a flash in the pan?  I’m not sure to be honest, but there’s not chance I’m jumping ship in this field and at this price.

Mito Pereira (7600) – Haven’t rostered this KFT monster yet, but I think now is the time to dive in.  It appears that it has taken him a couple of tournaments to adjust to the PGA Tour, but last week’s 5th place finish has him on the upward trajectory that I’m looking for.

Jhonattan Vegas (7500) – Great OTT and great on APP with an erratic putter than can get hot (albeit not very often).  In every GPP you need to be chasing upside and I think Vegas fits the description. 

Chez Reavie (7400) – You don’t need to be a bomber on this 3M Open track (but it certainly helps), but Reavie is really striking the ball well and he should be a very good course fit.  He’s made 5 out of 6 cuts.

Secret Weapon (less than 7k/less than 5% owned) – Current record is 40-12. See you in Discord. 

If you haven’t already, subscribe to Win Daily Sports on YouTube and at the Apple Podcasts and check out all the content at windailysports.com. It’s also important to be in Discord Wednesday night for all The Open Championship late tips, lineup changes and weather reports.

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PGAPremium

The Open Final Ownership Projections

Steven Polardi
written by Steven Polardi

Welcome to The Open Final Ownership projections, I am very fond of the tourney across the pond, as far as viewing good golf, it doesn’t get much better except for The Masters. Instead of Magnolias they have rough, and I mean rough rough, hitting fairways will be very important this week, and the weather always has an effect on the tourney, right now for Thursday winds should be constant at 16 MPH with gusts to 29 MPH. Please check in Discord up until lock for the latest on the weather situation.

Lock for this tourney is MIDNIGHT TONIGHT EST, it has changed several times since last week, if you have noticed DK has changed its lock times on almost every contest these last two days and has been sending out emails, in some circles it says 1:35 EST, based on what we’ve witnessed, the earlier time is the safest for now, all bold souls are welcome to wait until the last second and see if the 1:35 EST time holds up.

All three of our programs agreed that accuracy played a more important role here than in other Open venues. It could be that any wayward shot off the fairway or into the deep bunkers probably means a bogie. As far as accuracy, you may want to bump the numbers on Morikawa, Fitzpatrick, Ancer and Conners while Spieth, Dechambeau, Finau and Zalatoris would be docked for their metrics, a mini stack with the above positive group may help move up the board, remember that there are better golfers playing, and this projection is for large field GPPs only.

Jon Rahm is the cream of the crop and is playing the best golf of his career, Xander is an acceptable pivot over the super chalky (deservedly so) Jordan Spieth. Both Patrick’s, Reed and Cantlay represent good value. Morikawa is a top ten candidate regardless of links history or lack of it.

We have identified four mispriced golfers that offer value based on lower than expected salaries, anywhere from 1000 to 1400 lower than their base value salary range. They are Berger, English, Burns and Fitzpatrick. Burns is 37th in my model and is being priced in the betting markets at 55th or worse, there are close to 120 golfers priced higher than Burns which makes no sense, at the same time, he is a cut risk, so tread carefully with him.

For my optimals I am setting my ownership ceiling at 70% for the Milly Makers, I strongly advise to not go over 90 or 100% in the Milly’s, you will just be handing your entry fee to the winners, and it’s ok to pick one or even two chalky players, just remember you must get different further down your roster and also, this is in reference to the big 10.00 and 100.00 Millionaire Maker contests.

Please know that we are coming in much earlier with our projections to give you time to adjust or make your rosters. Expect the chalkiest golfers to be 1/2 to 1% higher than listed, and feel confident that these numbers are the best in the industry.

The Open Final Ownership Projections

OWNERSHIP PROJECTION
PLAYEROWN %SALARY
Spieth, Jordan24.79700
Rahm, John24.111300
Reed, Patrick21.08800
Koepka, Brooks20.210700
Schauffele, Xander19.910000
Cantlay, Patrick19.88900
Thomas, Justin16.99600
Hatton, Tyrrell16.59000
Oosthuizen, Louis16.19300
Fitzpatrick, Mathew15.47900
Berger, Daniel15.47400
Hovland, Viktor13.99100
English, Harris13.97300
Casey, Paul12.88600
Scheffler, Scottie12.58200
Grace, Branden12.27200
Morikawa, Collin11.89200
Lowry, Shane11.47900
Johnson, Dustin10.810400
Ancer, Abraham10.47600
Finau, Tony10.38400
Niemann, Joaquin9.97700
Fleetwood, Tommy9.98000
Leishman, Marc9.77700
Burns, Sam9.06300
Simpson, Webb8.18300
Poulter, Ian8.17200
Westwood, Lee8.17500
DeChambeau, Bryson7.89900
McIlroy, Rory7.810900
Bezuidenhout, Christiaan7.57400
Herbert, Lucas 7.46800
Fowler, Rickie7.17300
Smith, Cameron7.07800
Kisner, Kevin6.86900
Rose, Justin6.48000
Cink, Stewart6.46900
MacIntyre, Robert 6.27300
Day, Jason6.17700
Kokrak, Jason5.87200
Migliozzi, Guido5.77100
Higgo, Garrick5.17400
Noren, Alex5.07200
Hoffman, Charlie4.76700
Palmer, Ryan4.66900
Zalatoris,Will4.58500
Henley, Russell4.47200
Bradley, Keegan4.46800
Mickelson, Phil4.27500
Harman, Brian4.27100
Conners, Corey4.27100
Glover, Lucas4.06600
Molinari, Francesco3.17400
Jones, Matt2.36800
Wallace, Matt2.37200
Streelman, Kevin2.06800
Bland, Richard2.06800
Fox, Ryan1.96600
Kirk, Chris1.96400
Wiesberger, Bernd1.97100
Tringale, Cameron1.86800
Kaymer, Martin1.87100
Lee, Min Woo1.77200
Homa, Max1.57100
Gooch, Talor1.56600
Woodland, Gary1.47300
Van Rooyen, Erik1.47000
Ortiz, Carlos1.46400
Willett, Danny1.37100
Grillo, Emiliano1.26700
Perez, Victor 1.37000
Munoz, Sebastian1.36500
Detry,Thomas 1.07300
Burmester, Dean0.96100
Stenson, Henrik0.97000
Hughes, Mackenzie0.96700
Horschel, Billy0.87000
Harrington, Padraig0.86900
Varner III, Harold0.76700
Scrivener, Jason0.76300
Armitage, Marcus0.76900
Dahmen, Joel0.76700
Todd, Brendon0.66900
Rozner, Antoine0.66400
Sullivan, Andy 0.66900
Merritt, Troy0.66300
Rai, Aaron0.56800
Griffin, Lanto0.56700
Cabrera-Bello, Rafa0.56900
Horsfield, Sam 0.47000
Reavie, Chez0.46700
Langasque, Romain 0.46600
Kim, Chan0.46200
Luiten, Joost0.46600
Harding, Justin0.46500
Schwab, Matthias 0.46800
Catlin, John0.46600
Steele, Brendan0.36800
Lorenzo-Vera, Mike 0.36700
Pan, CT0.36500
An, B0.36600
Hadwin, Adam0.36600
Kinoshia,  Ryosuke0.36100
Kinhult, Marcus0.36600
Norris, Shaun 0.36600
Snedeker, Brandt0.27000
Long, Adam0.26600
Frittelli, Dylan0.26500
Kanaya, Takumi0.26500
Senior, Jack0.26700
Li, Haotong0.26500
Mitchell, Keith0.16400
Kitayama, Kurt 0.16500
Janewattananod, Jazz0.16500
Waring, Paul 0.16500
Els, Ernie0.16300
Hebert, Benjamin0.16300
Ritchie, JC 0.16000
Schneider, Marcel0.16200
Mansell, Richard0.16000
Clarke, Darren0.16300
Hillier, Daniel0.16100
Walker, Jimmy0.06400
Lee, Richard T.0.06200
Karlberg, Rikard0.06000
Hammer, Cole (a)0.06400
Thomson, Jonathan0.06200
Fernandez-Castano, Gonzalo0.06200
Pike, Aaron0.06000
Gallegos, Abel (a)0.06100
Shepard, Laird (a)0.06300
Hutchinson, Ben0.06100
ALL OTHERS0.0

These final ownership figures for The Open are accurate as of 15:12 CST. Chalk may/will be slightly higher by lock.

These are my picks for the The Open

Top Tier: Jon Rahm, (I omitted Spieth after seeing owner %, he’s a great play in SE or 50/50, any cash games)

Mid Tier: Cantlay, Reed, Morikawa

Low Tier: English, Garcia, Grace, Ortiz

Out in Left Play: M. Armitage

Frisky Risky Biscuit Play: * In Discord later Tonight ! *Risky

Thank you again for reviewing the The Open Final Ownership Projections article, we sure do appreciate it. I’ll be in the Discord Channel after this article comes out to answer any questions. Please review the articles by Sia, Patrick, Isaiah and Antonio to help determine your picks and lineups.

Do not forget that Sia’s Secret Weapon for The Open will be released in Discord later on tonight! Antonio will be releasing his BBB play and my frisky risky play will be released as well. Any late breaking steam plays or news, including weather, will be updated tonight in Discord.

Those of you who have heard Stix and Spencer’s Bettor Golf podcast know how solid their golf betting intel is, make sure you catch their show to assist with betting market and DFS considerations. last night they had a PGA pro who played in the Open with some insight on what it takes to win.

Sia and Joel have their livestream Tuesday nights at 8:00 EST and go over every price range, the top plays, value plays and sleepers. Why go anywhere else when you can hear from two experts who are closing in on $400,000 in winnings this year.

As always, I hope to be with you on Sunday afternoon, in the money. You can also come and hang out in the Win Daily Sports Discord Chat to talk it out with everyone before the lock!

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