PGA DFS

Hello everybody, and welcome back to ‘Tee 2 Green,’ a new article that I will be producing for Win Daily Sports weekly to give some extra insight into the DFS world of golf. My focus will be to discuss, decipher and dissect some of my preferred targets throughout the various price ranges, and I will always provide my opinion with a data-intensive outlook that you can see first-hand if you use the weekly model that I provide free of charge. You can find that here.

DraftKings Players ($10,000+)

Daniel Berger ($10,400) –This week, there is a fine line between trying to get contrarian and still taking the choices you want. I feel like DraftKings did an excellent job pricing all the golfers, and ownership continues to flock to the same areas for users. And we some of those points come to fruition when we dive into my upside model, which places every $10,000 golfer inside the top-six for the Honda Classic. There is no point in me taking a bold stance against anyone near the top. I believe you could go any route and still put together a perfectly acceptable build, but I am going to try and jump the gun on Daniel Berger and hope that his back is healthy and ready to fire at PGA National.

Other Consideration – I am not going to talk anyone out of whoever they like for the week.

$9,000 Range

Billy Horschel ($9,600) – Unfortunately, YOUUUUUUU (yes, you reading this article right now) changed some of my plans during the PGA DraftCast show that we did with Jason Sobel when you guys decided to take both of my favorite targets in this $9,000 range. From a roster construction standpoint, I am proud of the group because the selections are sharp, but it did cause a massive deviation to take place for me that I was hoping to avoid. Horschel is the number one golfer in this field at short Par 70 tracks and also grades fourth for me from a safety perspective.

Shane Lowry ($9,400) – Shane Lowry ranks 11th in my recalculated tee-to-green metric to mimic PGA National and is also fourth in strokes gained approach over his past 24 rounds. Maybe you can try to pick a bone about his bunker play historically, but I do believe the Irishman is one of the safer targets on the slate.

Other Targets: Alex Noren ($9,300), Tommy Fleetwood ($9,900) – I would rather get up to Daniel Berger or down to Billy Horschel and Shane Lowry, but I wouldn’t be excluding the two in MME builds.

$8,000 Range

Brian Harman ($8,700) – Sharp money has been pouring in all week on Brian Harman, and it is easy to understand why when you look at his profile. Harman ranks inside the top-20 on fast Bermuda, difficult courses, wind, bogey avoidance and sand save percentage, and I thought was the top target on the board that went undrafted.

Jhonattan Vegas ($8,500) – There are some issues Jhonattan Vegas possesses both ATG and out of bunkers, but I love the ball-striking upside. Vegas has averaged 4.08 strokes tee-to-green over his past 13 starts. I took him first overall in the draft because of the safety that I believe he provides, but I also have an outright ticket on him because the ball-striking can shine at PGA National.

Aaron Wise ($8,400) – I’d be lying if I said I didn’t have my reservations, but Aaron Wise has been a coastal specialist throughout his career, and the improvement with his flat stick might be enough for him to reach the next level at PGA National. I am going to take the positives that Wise gained 2.8 shots ball-striking at the Genesis and hope he can continue that improved form at a venue he has averaged 5.46 shots tee-to-green in his career.

Other Thoughts: Gary Woodland ($8,200), Christiaan Bezuidenhout ($8,000) – I will consider Woodland/ Bezuidenhout and include both into my player pool.

$7,000 Range

I am going to rapid-fire through some $7,000 golfers to present a handful of choices for everyone reading.

Ryan Palmer ($7,900) – The takeaway from everyone will be that Ryan Palmer has put more balls in the water during the ‘Bear Trap’ than any other golfer, but two top-17 finishes in his past two trips makes this more than a doom-and-gloom situation.

C.T. Pan ($7,700) – I don’t think I have ever backed C.T. Pan before in any market, but he was one of my most prominent climbers when I condensed the data down to certain areas. Top-15 in weighted tee-to-green. A third-place finish at this venue in 2021 and a top-10 in his last start at the Genesis.

Rickie Fowler ($7,600) -There is a ton of volatility around Rickie Fowler, but the good portions of his portfolio make him worth a shot in GPP contests. Fowler has come inside the top-two at PGA National twice since 2017, and he ranks third in my reweighted tee-to-green data.

Chris Kirk ($7,500) – I love where Chris Kirk’s game has been trending over the past few starts. The American has gained tee-to-green in his last eight, and he has also averaged +1.04 around the green and +1.56 off the tee. Kirk is a positive putter on Bermuda and always excels on these bogey avoidance-type tracks. The 36-year-old is second in my recalculated tee-to-green category that is specific for PGA National, and he is one of only five players to grade inside the top-33 in all categories I looked at for the week — Daniel Berger, Brooks Koepka, Brian Harman and Sungjae Im are the other four.

Michael Thompson ($7,500) – Three top-24 finishes at this course for Michael Thompson in his last four attempts. The recent form provides some trepidation, but Thompson is a golfer that outperforms his price tag quite often.

Sepp Straka ($7,400) – The weighted proximity numbers are great, and the course history has been solid with back-to-back top-33 finishes.

Additional Thoughts: K.H. Lee ($7,700), Brendon Todd ($7,500), Lucas Glover ($7,400), Sam Ryder ($7,200), Stewart Cink ($7,100)

$6,000 Range

Additional Dart Throws To Consider: Mark Hubbard ($6,900), Ryan Armour ($6,600), Satoshi Kodaira ($6,600), Luke Donald ($6,400).

If you haven’t already, follow Win Daily Sports on YouTube and via Apple Podcasts and check out all the content at windailysports.com. We’re already hitting big with our NFL content and you are going to want to be a part of that. It’s also important to be in Discord Wednesday night for all lineup adjustments, late-breaking news and weather reports.

Hello everybody, and welcome back to ‘Tee 2 Green,’ a new article that I will be producing for Win Daily Sports weekly to give some extra insight into the DFS world of golf. My focus will be to discuss, decipher and dissect some of my preferred targets throughout the various price ranges, and I will always provide my opinion with a data-intensive outlook that you can see first-hand if you use the weekly model that I provide free of charge. You can find that here.

DraftKings Players ($10,000+)

Patrick Cantlay ($11,000) – For such a long time, we had this narrative that Patrick Cantlay was only playable on the west coast, which has gone away (rightfully so), but it has now turned into something different where the industry seems to continually be overlooking him in these spots near the top of the board in pricing. It happened last week at TPC Scottsdale, and it is trending in that direction here at Riviera Country Club. Cantlay has been brilliant at the course in his career, posting four top-17 finishes in four attempts, and he enters the week as arguably the hottest player on tour.

Justin Thomas ($10,700) – In my opinion, this is your top contrarian pivot near the top of the board. Collin Morikawa is a massive underdog at credible offshore books against Dustin Johnson and Rory McIlroy. That doesn’t mean he isn’t in play because of that fact, but I think it is Thomas that you want to consider as your under-the-radar man in the $10,000 range. The American ranks first in my recalculated tee-to-green category, and he seems to be a hot putter away from getting back into the winner’s circle.

Dustin Johnson ($10,200) – It is hard to say anything negative about Dustin Johnson at Riviera Country Club. Eight straight top-16 results since 2014, which is highlighted by a victory in 2017. We could go on and on about the big-hitter at this course, but I just wish Johnson would have been slightly higher priced to detract some of the ownership. As things stand, I am fine where the number is currently at (20 percent), but I do believe his win equity is less than that of Justin Thomas. Safer floor, yes. But I like swinging for the fence on Thomas when deciding directly between the two.

Other Consideration – I won’t have any Collin Morikawa, and I will be unusually underweight to Jon Rahm.

$9,000 Range

Xander Schauffele ($9,900) – I mentioned this on both ‘Bettor Golf Pod’ and ‘PGA Draftcast,’ but this is just the second time over the past year where Jon Rahm has not graded number one from a statistical perspective during a tournament he was entered into the field. The last occurrence came with Justin Thomas at the Players Championship – an event he ended as the winner – and my model is producing those same vibes here at Riviera Country Club for Xander Schauffele.

Cameron Smith ($9,100) –We have gotten a few volatile results from Cameron Smith over the years at Riviera, but the good has resulted in multiple top-10 showings since 2017. The Aussie ranks inside the top-10 of this field in five of the seven categories I ran inside of my model.

Other Targets: Rory McIlroy ($9,700) – The Irishman enters the week with quality form, having posted seven worldwide top-18 results over as many starts.

$8,000 Range

Jordan Spieth ($8,900) – Whenever you can grab a sub-10 percent owned Jordan Spieth and possibly a sub-five percent version in this situation, I always become intrigued. Spieth has been solid at this venue in the past, providing three top-22 finishes since 2017 and grades inside the top-12 of my model from an upside perspective.

Other Thoughts: Bubba Watson ($8,500), Tony Finau ($8,400) and Talor Gooch ($8,400) are some of my other preferred targets in this range.

$7,000 Range

I am going to rapid-fire through some $7,000 golfers to present a handful of choices for everyone reading.

Russell Henley ($7,900) – Russell Henley has gained tee-to-green in 13 of his past 14 starts on tour, and the course history has been trending at this track, providing four-straight made cuts.

Joaquin Niemann ($7,800) – Back-to-back top-10s to start the year for Joaquin Niemann has him buzzing into the Genesis. My model places him 15th overall, which is shown by his top-20 grades in tee-to-green and weighted par-four scoring.

Paul Casey ($7,600) – Paul Casey has been a wizard at difficult courses in his career, but it is going to come down to how the short game can perform on these fast greens. The ball-striking is good enough for him to sneak his way into the top-10, but you would have to imagine the around the green and putting metrics will have to hold as steady as possible for him to find his highest level of success.

Kevin Na ($7,600) – Kevin Na seemed to break my model. Inside the top-10 of all iterations of my sheet, Na has the iron proximity numbers and short game intangibles to get himself inside the top-10 at this event for the fifth time. I am going to use less of him than my model would like to see because I have my hesitations, but there is a lot to like about his chances from a statistical standpoint.

Seamus Power ($7,500) – I feel like there has been a small overcorrection to the market after Seamus Power not only disappointed at the Waste Management but also collapsed in front of the industry at Pebble Beach. With that being said, Power has come inside the top-31 in 15 of his past 19 starts, and the missed cut last weekend at TPC Scottsdale was the culprit of a cold putter that saw him lose 2.4 strokes to the field. The 34-year-old still gained in all other categories for the week, and I think the recency bias here is placing Seamus inside of the wrong tier of golfers. 

Additional Thoughts: Jason Kokrak ($7,700), Thomas Pieters ($7,400), Maverick McNealy ($7,200), Christiaan Bezuidenhout ($7,200), Ryan Palmer ($7,000) are all very much in play.

$6,000 Range

Additional Dart Throws To Consider: You can use my model to get some plays you might like! I am not in love with this territory, but you likely will find yourself down here on certain builds. I did during the ‘PGA Draftcast’ where I selected Doug Ghim $6,500.

If you haven’t already, follow Win Daily Sports on YouTube and via Apple Podcasts and check out all the content at windailysports.com. We’re already hitting big with our NFL content and you are going to want to be a part of that. It’s also important to be in Discord Wednesday night for all lineup adjustments, late-breaking news and weather reports.

Hello everybody, and welcome back to ‘Tee 2 Green,’ a new article that I will be producing for Win Daily Sports weekly to give some extra insight into the DFS world of golf. My focus will be to discuss, decipher and dissect some of my preferred targets throughout the various price ranges, and I will always provide my opinion with a data-intensive outlook that you can see first-hand if you use the weekly model that I provide free of charge. You can find that here.

DraftKings Players ($10,000+)

Jon Rahm ($11,600) – I mentioned it on the Win DAYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYly show tonight, which has a name, but doesn’t have a name yet, that until Jon Rahm is priced in the $12,000 range, it is going to continue to be chalky Rahm weeks. There is nothing negative to say about the Spaniard in Arizona, although I will comment on handing Joel a small gift during our draft tonight by taking Scottie Scheffler first overall. Consider it a present because of the birth of his daughter a few days ago. I am a very generous friend.

Patrick Cantlay ($10,700) – Patrick Cantlay looks like he will be the forgotten man in the $10,000 section, but I would be cautious in overlooking his name when making a build. Cantlay will open up a great deal of leverage for those willing to take a chance on the American, and I do want to stress that no course history isn’t the same as bad course history. We have seen plenty of golfers find success here during their first trip.

Hideki Matsuyama ($10,400) – We should have just renamed the ‘Waste Management Open’ the ‘Hideki Matsuyama Open’ a few years back. No player in this field has found as much success out at TPC Scottsdale as Matsuyama, who is entering the week with form after winning two of his past four starts.

Other Consideration – I will be underweight towards most of the rest of the group.

$9,000 Range

Daniel Berger ($9,200) – The fear around Daniel Berger pulling out of the Pebble Beach Pro-Am has caused a massive reduction in ownership for the American this weekend at TPC Scottsdale. I would keep a close eye on his status as we near Thursday, but there is a contrarian discount looming for someone grading sixth in my model and second for my partner Nick Bretwisch of the ‘Bettor Golf Podcast.’

Scottie Scheffler ($9,100) – Did I jump the gun on Scottie Scheffler during the draft? Perhaps. But I wanted to make sure I locked in a golfer that is extremely simple to build practically any lineup you wish around. Scheffler grades seventh in par-five scoring and is third in total driving – two categories I find to be extremely important for finding success.

Other Targets: Xander Schauffele ($9,700), Bubba Watson ($9,000) – I have some trepidation around Xander this week, but it is hard to argue his four top-17 finishes at the track. As for Watson, this is a Bubba track, and we all know how Bubba loves to Bubba at a Bubba track.

$8,000 Range

Louis Oosthuizen ($8,800) –  We haven’t seen Louis Oosthuizen in action since pulling out of the RSM Classic. I have no real concerns about a lingering injury, but I wish we could have gotten some form out of him before having to lock the South African in at 15 percent ownership. All in all, I think Louis makes for a safe addition to a squad, but his winning upside could be capped because of the lack of golf.

Matthew Fitzpatrick ($8,700) -Is Matthew Fitzpatrick a perfect DFS target this week? No. But he does provide an insanely good discount in popularity for those that need to find a way to stray away from the masses. The Englishman ranks top-10 in my model for both weighted tee-to-green and strokes gained on a fast surface.

Other Thoughts: I am generally fading this range.

$7,000 Range

I am going to rapid-fire through some $7,000 golfers to present a handful of choices for everyone reading.

Billy Horschel ($7,900) – I really like Billy Horschel this week, and he should have been mine in the draft. All blame goes to Sia, even though the audience inevitably landed him. Billy Horschel=good. Sia=bad.

Talor Gooch ($7,800) – Talor Gooch is -180 at a credible offshore book in a head-to-head matchup against Abraham Ancer. I hate using that as my reasoning, but Gooch is a top-15 golfer in this field if we remove his spotty course history – something I am willing to ignore because of his improvement in 2022.

Luke List ($7,700) – List is playing some of the best golf of his career. Despite the popularity he possesses, the American is in play in most game types.

Keith Mitchell ($7,500) – Keith Mitchell is volatile, but he is one of the biggest climbers in my model when I condense the data down over the past 24 rounds. It doesn’t hurt matters that we have seen him gain off the tee in 13 consecutive starts.

K.H. Lee ($7,300) – The game is trending in a good spot for a golfer that finished second at the venue last year.

Cameron Davis ($7,200) – I think Cameron Davis is one of the most mispriced players on the board in any market you want to look at. The Aussie grades inside the top-25 of this field in total driving, par-five birdie or better percentage and overall aggression, which is is pretty much the exact blueprint I am trying to find this week on my golfers. 

Additional Thoughts: Kevin Streelman ($7,100) is a fun GPP target at one percent ownership

$6,000 Range

Martin Laird ($6,800) – Martin Laird has quietly been better than his results, gaining with his irons in 10 of 11 starts and off the tee in 9 of 11. Add to that his four top-nine finishes at Scottsdale in 12 tries, and we start to get a good sleeper option on a golfer that has gained with his flat stick in 7 of 12 appearances at the track.

Additional Dart Throws To Consider: Adam Hadwin ($6,900), Matthew NeSmith ($6,600), Matt Wallace ($6,500)

If you haven’t already, follow Win Daily Sports on YouTube and via Apple Podcasts and check out all the content at windailysports.com. We’re already hitting big with our NFL content and you are going to want to be a part of that. It’s also important to be in Discord Wednesday night for all lineup adjustments, late-breaking news and weather reports.

Hello everybody, and welcome back to ‘Tee 2 Green,’ a new article that I will be producing for Win Daily Sports weekly to give some extra insight into the DFS world of golf. My focus will be to discuss, decipher and dissect some of my preferred targets throughout the various price ranges, and I will always provide my opinion with a data-intensive outlook that you can see first-hand if you use the weekly model that I provide free of charge. You can find that here.

DraftKings Players ($10,000+)

Patrick Cantlay ($11,200) – I think many Patrick Cantlay constructions will have very similar starts this week to their builds. I would be conscious in realizing that before utilizing the second-highest owned player on the board in the standard Cantlay/Jason Day, Cantlay/Maverick McNealy or Cantlay/Kevin Streelman type of start. Cantlay is the best player in this field, but you will need to make sure to utilize him correctly.

Jordan Spieth ($10,300) –Jordan Spieth has finished inside the top-22 at this event in eight of his nine attempts, with the lone outlier coming during his cold stretch in 2019 – an event he still managed to end 45th after losing 6.4 shots with his ball-striking. It is hard to call this a boom-or-bust selection when his course history reads like a beautiful story, but the 28-year-old is someone that can be used as a leverage play at his current ownership marks.

Other Consideration – If you can find someone else that is in this field in the $10,000s, either play them or fade them because you have hacked the site.

$9,000 Range

Jason Day ($9,900) – In the words of the great Eminem, “Guess who’s back, back again. Day is back, tell a friend.”

Maverick McNealy ($9,800) – Maverick McNealy is shaping up to be the most popular player on the board, but you aren’t going to find too many negatives about him outside of ownership. I believe Seamus Power ($9,400) is the most natural pivot to McNealy on the board (I actually like Seamus more in a vacuum), but there are builds where the California native will make sense.

Matthew Fitzpatrick ($9,200) – I don’t have an answer for why Matthew Fitzpatrick doesn’t have better history at Pebble Beach. A short course where Poa putting and par-five scoring both loom large sounds like a recipe where the Englishman would compete, but a 60th and missed cut here since 2020 has dampened some of the intrigue around him for his first worldwide start of 2022. The hesitation has moved him into a range where he is only projected to be six percent owned, which is way too shallow for a golfer with tangible win equity this week.

Other Targets: I meantioned Seamus Power ($9,400) in the portion above. He is one of my favorite targets this week in all price ranges. Spieth/Seamus, Day/Seamus or Cantlay/Seamus would be a strong start.

$8,000 Range

Matt Jones ($8,000) –  There isn’t much early love for Matt Jones, who has made the cut at Pebble Beach during 12 of his 14 attempts throughout his career. I bet Jones at 70/1 in the outright market and love his statistical potential where he grades inside the top-21 in five of the seven categories I looked into for the week.

Other Thoughts: Christiaan Bezuidenhout ($8,700) is perfectly acceptable in cash and GPP builds. Ryan Palmer ($8,900) has also received a ton of influential money in the industry. I prefer him for GPP-only if I am going to use him, but sharp money is always worth noting.

$7,000 Range

I am going to rapid-fire through some $7,000 golfers to present a handful of choices for everyone reading. This group is extremely strong this week.

Chris Kirk ($7,700) – Chris Kirk is a great wind player that excels at short courses. He also ranks number one in this field in par-four scoring between 400-450 yards.

Andrew Putnam ($7,600) – Six made cuts in his last seven starts. Ownership remains subdued at just six percent. Consider him a nice pivot off of a trendy Matt Kuchar (who I do like myself).

Patrick Rodgers ($7,400) – Patrick Rodgers is a much better player around the green than most of his counterparts in this range, ranking 11th over his past 24 rounds. The risk is on full display after missing three of his past four cuts at the course, but I’m willing to ignore some of the negatives because of the upside he brings at sub-five percent ownership.

Taylor Pendrith ($7,200) – If you are looking to get frisky this week, Taylor Pendrith is breaking my model when looking for upside. I had to reduce his numbers across the board to get him into his 20th-place total for GPPs.

Sahith Theegala ($7,200) – Sahith Theegala is buzzing to start 2022, positing three straight finishes inside the top-48 — with every result better than his previous. These tests where scrambling will come into play are always right in his wheelhouse, and I think he has the intangibles to find success in this sort of a rotational structure. 

Additional Thoughts: Vincent Whaley ($7,100), Scott Stallings ($7,100), Wyndham Clark ($7,000)

$6,000 Range

Additional Dart Throws To Consider: I would play down here sparringly. You can hear Sia Nejad, Joel Schreck and I rattle off some names on the ‘Live Show.’

If you haven’t already, follow Win Daily Sports on YouTube and via Apple Podcasts and check out all the content at windailysports.com. We’re already hitting big with our NFL content and you are going to want to be a part of that. It’s also important to be in Discord Wednesday night for all lineup adjustments, late-breaking news and weather reports.

Hello everybody, and welcome back to ‘Tee 2 Green,’ a new article that I will be producing for Win Daily Sports weekly to give some extra insight into the DFS world of golf. My focus will be to discuss, decipher and dissect some of my preferred targets throughout the various price ranges, and I will always provide my opinion with a data-intensive outlook that you can see first-hand if you use the weekly model that I provide free of charge. You can find that here.

DraftKings Players ($10,000+)

Patrick Cantlay ($11,200) – I think many Patrick Cantlay constructions will have very similar starts this week to their builds. I would be conscious in realizing that before utilizing the second-highest owned player on the board in the standard Cantlay/Jason Day, Cantlay/Maverick McNealy or Cantlay/Kevin Streelman type of start. Cantlay is the best player in this field, but you will need to make sure to utilize him correctly.

Jordan Spieth ($10,300) –Jordan Spieth has finished inside the top-22 at this event in eight of his nine attempts, with the lone outlier coming during his cold stretch in 2019 – an event he still managed to end 45th after losing 6.4 shots with his ball-striking. It is hard to call this a boom-or-bust selection when his course history reads like a beautiful story, but the 28-year-old is someone that can be used as a leverage play at his current ownership marks.

Other Consideration – If you can find someone else that is in this field in the $10,000s, either play them or fade them because you have hacked the site.

$9,000 Range

Jason Day ($9,900) – In the words of the great Eminem, “Guess who’s back, back again. Day is back, tell a friend.”

Maverick McNealy ($9,800) – Maverick McNealy is shaping up to be the most popular player on the board, but you aren’t going to find too many negatives about him outside of ownership. I believe Seamus Power ($9,400) is the most natural pivot to McNealy on the board (I actually like Seamus more in a vacuum), but there are builds where the California native will make sense.

Matthew Fitzpatrick ($9,200) – I don’t have an answer for why Matthew Fitzpatrick doesn’t have better history at Pebble Beach. A short course where Poa putting and par-five scoring both loom large sounds like a recipe where the Englishman would compete, but a 60th and missed cut here since 2020 has dampened some of the intrigue around him for his first worldwide start of 2022. The hesitation has moved him into a range where he is only projected to be six percent owned, which is way too shallow for a golfer with tangible win equity this week.

Other Targets: I meantioned Seamus Power ($9,400) in the portion above. He is one of my favorite targets this week in all price ranges. Spieth/Seamus, Day/Seamus or Cantlay/Seamus would be a strong start.

$8,000 Range

Matt Jones ($8,000) –  There isn’t much early love for Matt Jones, who has made the cut at Pebble Beach during 12 of his 14 attempts throughout his career. I bet Jones at 70/1 in the outright market and love his statistical potential where he grades inside the top-21 in five of the seven categories I looked into for the week.

Other Thoughts: Christiaan Bezuidenhout ($8,700) is perfectly acceptable in cash and GPP builds. Ryan Palmer ($8,900) has also received a ton of influential money in the industry. I prefer him for GPP-only if I am going to use him, but sharp money is always worth noting.

$7,000 Range

I am going to rapid-fire through some $7,000 golfers to present a handful of choices for everyone reading. This group is extremely strong this week.

Chris Kirk ($7,700) – Chris Kirk is a great wind player that excels at short courses. He also ranks number one in this field in par-four scoring between 400-450 yards.

Andrew Putnam ($7,600) – Six made cuts in his last seven starts. Ownership remains subdued at just six percent. Consider him a nice pivot off of a trendy Matt Kuchar (who I do like myself).

Patrick Rodgers ($7,400) – Patrick Rodgers is a much better player around the green than most of his counterparts in this range, ranking 11th over his past 24 rounds. The risk is on full display after missing three of his past four cuts at the course, but I’m willing to ignore some of the negatives because of the upside he brings at sub-five percent ownership.

Taylor Pendrith ($7,200) – If you are looking to get frisky this week, Taylor Pendrith is breaking my model when looking for upside. I had to reduce his numbers across the board to get him into his 20th-place total for GPPs.

Sahith Theegala ($7,200) – Sahith Theegala is buzzing to start 2022, positing three straight finishes inside the top-48 — with every result better than his previous. These tests where scrambling will come into play are always right in his wheelhouse, and I think he has the intangibles to find success in this sort of a rotational structure. 

Additional Thoughts: Vincent Whaley ($7,100), Scott Stallings ($7,100), Wyndham Clark ($7,000)

$6,000 Range

Additional Dart Throws To Consider: I would play down here sparringly. You can hear Sia Nejad, Joel Schreck and I rattle off some names on the ‘Live Show.’

If you haven’t already, follow Win Daily Sports on YouTube and via Apple Podcasts and check out all the content at windailysports.com. We’re already hitting big with our NFL content and you are going to want to be a part of that. It’s also important to be in Discord Wednesday night for all lineup adjustments, late-breaking news and weather reports.

Hello everybody, and welcome back to ‘Tee 2 Green,’ a new article that I will be producing for Win Daily Sports weekly to give some extra insight into the DFS world of golf. My focus will be to discuss, decipher and dissect some of my preferred targets throughout the various price ranges, and I will always provide my opinion with a data-intensive outlook that you can see first-hand if you use the weekly model that I provide free of charge. You can find that here.

DraftKings Players ($10,000+)

Justin Thomas ($10,900) – I know we have potential issues around Justin Thomas this week. He hasn’t played the Farmers since 2015 — an event where he missed the cut, but there are reasons to be optimistic about his 19th-place finish during the 2021 U.S. Open. The one-time major winner entered the back-nine that day with a real shot to win his second major, but multiple mistakes at the par-four 10th and par-three 16th sent the American freefalling off the first page of the leaderboard. By my math, Thomas has the second-best win equity in this field but is being treated like one of the forgotten about high-priced stars.

Xander Schauffele ($10.100) – It has been all-or-nothing for Xander Schauffele at Torrey Pines, as we have seen him three top-25 finishes during his last four stops at Torrey to go along with missing four of his first five. Schauffele is more of a boom-or-bust than anyone would care to recognize, but I believe we get the best version of him, which makes him a true threat for the title.

Other Consideration – There is decent leverage here in most spots.

$9,000 Range

Bryson DeChambeau ($9,900) – There is always some downside when you back Bryson DeChambeau on the DFS slate, but the fact that we get him both sub-$10,000 and sub-10 percent is enough for me to find myself not exactly Hulk-smash fit but definitely overweight.

Other Targets: Scottie Scheffler $9,500 (GPPs),Marc Leishman $9,000 (all games). Finau is probably good chalk at $9,100.

$8,000 Range

Talor Gooch ($8,900) – I wouldn’t sweat the missed cut. The Farmers Insurance Open is. better layout for his game, and he has been on a rhythm when we remove last week’s debacle.

Maverick McNealy ($8,300) – We have seen tons of sharp money enter the market on Maverick McNealy. California and Poa are where he shines best.

Other Thoughts: Matthew Wolff $8,500 (GPPs), Max Homa $8,400 (GPPs)

$7,000 Range

Wyndham Clark ($7,200) – There is a potential opening for Wyndham Clark that my model noticed. There has been a change as of late after Clark managed to gain with his irons in four of six starts — highlighted by a 13th place finish during last week’s American Express. The 220th-ranked golfer in the world has two top-40s in his three tries at Torrey Pines, and this is with him averaging nearly three shots worse to the field with his irons in those finishes.

Additional Thoughts: Billy Horschel $7,800 (GPPs), Joaquin Niemann $7,700 (GPPs), Matt Jones $7,200

$6,000 Range

Sepp Straka ($6,300) – Sepp Straka opens up the world if you fit him into a build. Course history looks good. The current form is a positive. There is a ton to like about his potential.

Additional Dart Throws To Consider: I would play down here sparringly.

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