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Jacob’s Above Average Plays

Vincent Pensabene
written by Vincent Pensabene

Jacob’s Above Average Plays is starting the Bowl Season off right with a pick for today’s Bahamas Bowl. He breaks down all the stats and trends so you know what matters and why these plays will win you money!

Take Buffalo Bulls -6.5 vs Charlotte 49’ers (2:00 pm EST, Friday, December 20th, 2019)

Today starts the 2019-2020 College Football bowl season, and it begins with a good one. We have two teams who have had above-average seasons, and each is looking for their first bowl win. Buffalo comes into this game seeking their first bowl win in what is now their fourth attempt.  The MAC doesn’t usually fare well in bowl games, going just 1-5 straight up and 2-4 ATS last year. Overall in the last seven seasons, the Mid-American Conference has won just nine games out of forty-two bowl appearances – but I think Buffalo can finally buck this trend. They finished the season second in the MAC, maintaining an above-average offense, to say the least. After an early-season quarterback change to sophomore Kyle Vantrease, the team really started rolling. They have the nation’s sixth-ranked running back, Jaret Patterson, who has amassed way above average rushing yards and scores. He rushed for 1,626 yards and seventeen TD’s, which is more yards and touchdowns on the ground than their quarterback through the air. Buffalo’s number two running back, Kevin Marks, is an above-average running back himself. He has run for 1,008 yards and 8 TD’s, which ranks him 48th in the nation in running backs. Buffalo’s defense is no slouch either. They give up less than 3.35 yards per carrying, and only 95.33 total rush yards per game. Through the air, Buffalo is giving up just 197.75 yards per game. Overall, they hold teams to 4.85 yards per play. None of this sounds good for Charlotte.

This is Charlotte’s first-ever bowl appearance; it comes just 5 years after their inaugural FBS season. They began the year winning just two out of their first seven games. While it was a tough stretch of their schedule, these games were not even close. The only real above average part of their team was their quarterback, but he was only above average for their division. Quarterback, Chris Reynolds, led the 49ers offense – passing for 2,366 yards, twenty-one touchdowns, and ten interceptions. They have averaged 5.1 yards per attempt, but they don’t do well verse above-average rushing defenses. Specifically, those allowing less than 3.35 yards per carry – going just 1-6 against the spread their last seven games against teams that fit that trend.

Buffalo has been too much of an offensive powerhouse thisyear. They finished the year winning five of their last six games, scoring morethan forty points in all but two of them. I truly think Buffalo is still sourfrom how last year’s bowl game went verse Toledo, and Charlotte is going to payfor that. Lay the points.

Take Washington Capitals -1.5 +140 vs New Jersey Devils (7:00 pm EST, Friday, December 20th, 2019)

The Washington Capitals have been above average on almost every stat so far this year. They rank top ten in goals, power-play offense, and power play kills – not just overall, but on the road especially. They rank in the top half of the NHL in shots on goal per game, ranking 16th overall and 13th on the road. However, it is the defense that is going to win us this bet. Allowing just 2.68 goals per game when on the road (ranked 6th) and allowing less than thirty shots on goal per game – they have shut teams down all year. So far this year: They have won fifteen out of nineteen games on the road and have won five of their last six. They rank second in the NHL in goals scored when playing on the road, scoring an above-average 3.63 goals per game. To go with all of this, Washington has been a nightmare for the Devils in the past. The Capitals have won eight of their last ten verse the Devils on the road and won sixteen of the last nineteen games overall. All of this makes me look to a Capitals puck line cover. Not only have the Devils been dominated by the Capitals, but they are really, really bad this year. They do not rank above average in any offensive stats and are ranked 30th overall in goals scored per game. They do not get better at home, either. Scoring 2.82 goals per game, which ranks them 30th in the NHL, they seem to just flounder through games. The Devils are just 5-12 at home this year and have lost all but two of their last nine games. At home, they also allow an above-average amount of goals. New Jersey is ranked 29th in the NHL in goals allowed per game at home, giving up 3.41 goals per game.

I just do not see how the Devils can keep upwith the Capitals right now. The Capitals have dominated better teams all year,and it’s not like the Devils have any semblance of good form right now. TheDevils are the Capitals perennial punching bag, and I see that continue here.Lay 1.5 goals with Washington to get a great plus money return.

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NHL

12/20 NHL DFS – The Daily Hot Shot

Chris Davies
written by Chris Davies

This article focuses on NHL DFS Picks for 12/20 on DraftKings and FanDuel. Both sites have fairly different scoring formats, particularly with the recent changes on DraftKings. We consider tournament tactics, statistics, pricing, and attempt to tackle this highly variable Daily Fantasy format so we can gain an edge on the field at large. BE SURE to double-check both regular and power play lines at both morning skate and before lock as they can drastically change from the time of publication.

Sign up NOW for WIN DAILY Premium Gold​ right here​! Projections, weather reports, wagering info, 24/7 expert chats and more!

Top Two Lines

Both Sites – Toronto One – John Tavares, Mitchell Marner, Zach Hyman

Tonight we only have a four-game slate so let’s focus on a couple of core lines to build off of. The other night it was Auston Matthews scoring all the goals for the Maple Leafs, while this line did all of the dirty work. They were unfortunate not to add to their recent totals, but Toronto One is still shooting the puck a ton. John Tavares has hit the five-shot DraftKings bonus in three of his last four games, Mitchell Marner is riding a five-game point streak, and Zach Hyman helps provide salary relief at $4,800 on DraftKings and $4,400 on FanDuel. Toronto is a -170 favorite against a Rangers team that can’t get out of their own way on defense. New York has allowed nine goals over their last two games and this will not be a great opportunity for them to bounce back.

DraftKings – Washington Two – T.J. Oshie, Jakob Vrana, Evgeny Kuznetsov

Once again, this line is criminally priced on DraftKings. Evgeny Kuznetsov is $5,400, T.J. Oshie is $5,000, and Jakob Vrana is $5,100. I don’t know how you don’t play them there. The Devils have had a somewhat soft schedule recently since the Taylor Hall trade, but that doesn’t mean that they have suddenly improved. Not surprisingly, the Caps are a decent -160 favorite and should be a good bet for a few goals here. The second line is not only cheap but the 13th overall ranked line in the NHL over the last ten days. During that span, they have 71.4 GF% and 63 SATF, which has culminated in five full line goals.

12/20 NHL DraftKings Rankings

DraftKings Forwards/Centers

  1. John Tavares – Toronto Maple Leafs – $7,000
  2. Auston Matthews – Toronto Maple Leafs – $7,400
  3. T. J. Oshie – Washington Capitals – $5,000
  4. Alex Ovechkin – Washington Capitals – $7,700
  5. Mitchell Marner – Toronto Maple Leafs – $6,600

NHL DraftKings Defenders

  1. John Carlson – Washington Capitals – $7,200
  2. Oscar Klefbom – Edmonton Oilers – $6,800
  3. John Marino – Pittsburgh Penguins – $3,300
  4. Brady Skjei – New York Rangers – $3,800
  5. Mike Matheson – Florida Panthers – $2,500

NHL DraftKings Goalies

  1. Ilya Samsonov – Washington Capitals – $8,000
  2. Sergei Bobrovsky – Florida Panthers – $7,600

12/20 NHL FanDuel Rankings

FanDuel Forwards/Centers

  1. Bryan Rust – Pittsburgh Penguins – $5,600
  2. Alex Ovechkin – Washington Capitals – $8,300
  3. Auston Matthews – Toronto Maple Leafs – $8,300
  4. John Tavares – Toronto Maple Leafs – $8,100
  5. Mitchell Marner – Toronto Maple Leafs – $7,400

FanDuel Defensemen

  1. John Carlson – Washington Capitals – $7,300
  2. Morgan Rielly – Toronto Maple Leafs – $5,000
  3. Sami Vatanen – New Jersey Devils – $4,600
  4. Darnell Nurse – Edmonton Oilers – $4,300
  5. John Marino – Pittsburgh Penguins – $4,200

FanDuel Goalies

  1. Ilya Samsonov – Washington Capitals – $7,800
  2. Sergei Bobrovsky – Florida Panthers – $8,100

12/20 Monkey Knife Fight NHL Prop Picks – Win With These Picks Here and Get 100 Percent Bonus!

Auston Matthews – Over 0.5 Goals – Auston Matthews is as good a bet to get on the board as anyone on the slate.

John Carlson – Over 3.5 Fantasy Points – John Carlson has regressed a bit since his torrid start, but this is an upside spot.

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Jacob’s Above Average Plays

Pick Management
written by Pick Management

Jacob’s Above Average Plays had a solid night last night winning one and losing one. He looks to sweep his plays tonight with one Above Average Play from the NBA, NHL, and NCAAB.

All odds provided by DraftKings

Take William and Mary Tribe -2 vs St. Joseph’s Hawks (7:00 pm EST, Thursday 19 December 2019)

We come into this game with an above-average loser and an above-average winner. First the loser: St. Joseph. It’s simple they just bad. Currently, they are on an ugly eight-game losing streak. Sure – they have had a tough schedule, but they are a run and gun team that doesn’t play well on defense. In the Hawk’s last game out, they lost by forty-seven points to Temple. They have only lost one game by single digits. The Hawks have lost by an average of twenty-two points in the last five games, which is way above their average losing margin of 12.5 points per game. I have said before: St Joe’s has an above-average pace to their play. They currently rank 53rd in the nation in the pace of play. They are above average in three-pointers attempted, thirty-one per game – and that’s about it for anything they are good at. Hawks were expected to be one of the best A-10 Conference teams this year.

To begin the season, Coach Phil Martelli thought he was going to have one of the fastest above-average offenses in their conference. This was due to the fact that last year, he had a banged-up roster the whole time. This year, he was able to get two of his best players back, with the return of Charlie Brown Jr. and Lamarr Kimble, and they have not lived up to potential. His team has not been able to perform on the defensive side of the ball, as St Joe’s ranks 302nd in the nation in overall defense. That spells trouble here. The Hawks have to face one of the nation’s best teams against the spread in William & Mary, who has covered eight out of ten games so far this year. They are also the owners of an above-average offense, which ranks 43rd in the nation in total overall offense. They only rank 195th in possessions per game, but it allows them to play smarter basketball by slowing the pace – so, that doesn’t really bother me. The Tribe is also an above-average rebounding team. That will give St. Joe’s all sorts of problems (Tribe – 88th in nation Hawks – 258th in the nation).

These teams met once last year, with William & Mary’s winning a close game 87-85 – but those were two very different teams.  We are seeing a line lower than it should be because of St. Joe’s at home, but I do not think this game is close for a second. Lay the points.

Take Philadelphia Flyers -147 vs Buffalo Sabres (7:00 pm EST, Thursday 19 December 20109)

The Flyers have been an up and down team this year, and are on their second game home after a winless three-game road trip. Overall, Philadelphia is .500 on the season at thirty-seven wins and thirty-seven losses, but they are an above-average team at home. So far this year, the Flyers have won eleven out of seventeen home games. When at home, Philly is an above-average scoring team, scoring 3.59 goals per game (GPG) while holding teams to 2.29 GPG. The Flyers are also perfect verse the Sabres at home, winning five out of the last five games. They have been an above-average penalty kill team at home, ranking them 12th in the NHL. This is Philly’s last home game before hitting the road again. Buffalo is in a similar situation when it comes to how they play. At home, the Sabres have won ten of their sixteen games. However, when they hit the road, they have won just six out of thirteen games. While they are usually an above-average team, Buffalo disappoints when not at home. They rank 22nd in goal allowed, 23rd in shots on goal allowed, and 30th in penalty kill.

Philly performs way above average for their overall form when at home, and I think they take full advantage of a bad road team in Buffalo. Just for a cherry on top, Philly has won five out of the last five games verse Buffalo at home and five out of seven overall. Take Philly -147.

Take Utah Jazz -6 vs Atlanta Hawks (7:40 pm EST, Thursday 19 December 20109)

I just have to take this bet. It may be a trap, but the Hawks are just so bad. Atlanta lost their last game to the Knicks by 23 points and gave up 143. Let me say it again, that was to the Knicks. The Hawks, unlike other teams, do not play better at home as we would usually see. They have only won three out of their thirteen games played at home, the same amount they have won on the road. To add to that, they are on a five-game losing streak, losing by an average 17.2 points per game. Trae Young is really their only above-average player. He is playing 36 minutes and averages 24.8 points per game. When you compare him to the league’s other stars, he is well below the status quo of the average NBA superstar. Utah comes into this game winning four of their last five games. While none of them have been dominating victories, their defense impressed, and that’s what I’m focused on in this game. Utah is one of the leagues best defensive teams on the road. They rank the top ten in the NBA in total score allowed, field goal percentage, three-point shots made, free throws attempted, and total rebounds. Utah’s above-average defense is going to give the Hawks all sorts of problems. I believe the Jazz totally shut down Trae Young and the Atlanta offense. Their stifling defense will cause a lot of problems for the Hawks and lead to a double-digit Jazz victory.

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NHL

12/19 NHL DFS – The Daily Hot Shot

Chris Davies
written by Chris Davies

This article focuses on NHL DFS Picks for 12/19 on DraftKings and FanDuel. Both sites have fairly different scoring formats, particularly with the recent changes on DraftKings. We consider tournament tactics, statistics, pricing, and attempt to tackle this highly variable Daily Fantasy format so we can gain an edge on the field at large. BE SURE to double-check both regular and power play lines at both morning skate and before lock as they can drastically change from the time of publication.

Sign up NOW for WIN DAILY Premium Gold​ right here​! Projections, weather reports, wagering info, 24/7 expert chats and more!

Top Three Lines

DraftKings – Vancouver Two – Elias Pettersson, J.T. Miller, Jake Virtanen

This pick is a bit off the board as an underdog, but Vancouver Two makes for one of the more interesting DK value lines on the slate. Vancouver just faced Las Vegas on road ice a few nights ago and had a big night despite getting outshot, winning six to three. Now the Canucks face them again a few days later on home ice and should be able to exploit the matchups. Elias Pettersson managed six shots on goal “only scoring one” against the Knights on Sunday, and at only $6,400 you can go back to well. Jake Virtanen managed four shots on goal along with a score himself and he comes in at a meager $2,800. J.T Miller has been having a strong season since arriving in Vancouver, with 31 points across 38 points. All three skaters see power playtime. Would I prefer this line with Brock Boeser in it? Sure, of course. However, given Virtanen’s $2,800 punt price, this line can provide a solid combination of salary relief with upside. They will also avoid the defensively savvy Stone/Pacioretty line and hard match with the Vegas depth lines

Both Sites – Boston One – Patrice Bergeron, Brad Marchand, David Pastrnak

The New York Islanders have made their bread and butter, as well as reputation, on defense and goaltending. However, as of late it has all started to fall apart, most notoriously capped off by an eight to three home shredding Tuesday night inflicted by the Predators. Boston is a -165 home favorite as of the time of writing, with a good amount of deference being shown to the Islanders in regards to the total. The Bruins come into this 12-1-6 at home and if this game were at “the Barn” or the Barclays center instead, I’d expect the B’s top line to get a heavy dose of the Islanders “enforcer” fourth line with Casey Czikas and Cal Clutterbuck. Instead, I’d expect them to eat both Ross Johnston and Josh Bailey alive on the wings. Tuesday night it was surprising just how chalky the Bruins were on a huge slate, but it just goes to show you should never sleep on Boston.

FanDuel – Winnipeg One – Mark Scheifele, Kyle Connor, Patrick Laine

The Jets will face a Blackhawks team that is on a road half of a back to back and they are a heavy -185 favorite. Chicago has allowed at least three goals in six straight games, with at least four allowed in four of them. The Blackhawks will enter the game last in the Central Division, largely the byproduct of their poor 5-8-3 home record. In terms of teams that I expect to be sort of chalky, I like Winnipeg more than Tampa Bay or Nashville considering Ottawa’s strong home numbers. Given the lack of any big price difference between lines on FanDuel, it makes more sense to target the first line there. However, on DraftKings, where Blake Wheeler is only $6,000 and Nikolaj Ehlers is only $5,000, I would use the second line or some two-man variation of it, instead.

12/19 NHL DraftKings Rankings

DraftKings Forwards/Centers

  1. Nathan MacKinnon – Colorado Avalanche – $8,100
  2. David Pastrnak – Boston Bruins – $8,200
  3. Elias Pettersson – Vancouver Canucks- $6,400
  4. Blake Wheeler – Winnipeg Jets – $6,000
  5. Max Pacioretty – Las Vegas Golden Knights – $7,300
  6. Jake Virtanen – Vancouver Canucks – $2,800

NHL DraftKings Defenders

  1. Roman Josi – Nashville Predators – $6,400
  2. Ryan Ellis – Nashville Predators – $5,100
  3. Ben Chiarot – Montreal Canadiens – $4,100
  4. Ian Cole – Colorado Avalanche – $3,600
  5. Matt Roy – Los Angeles Kings – $3,300
  6. David Savard – Columbus Blue Jackets – $2,900
  7. Matt Grzelyck/Brandon Carlo – Boston Bruins – $2,600

NHL DraftKings Goalies

  1. Carey Price – Montreal Canadiens – $7,100 “very cheap”
  2. Darcy Kuemper – Arizona Coyotes – $8,200

12/19 NHL FanDuel Rankings

FanDuel Forwards/Centers

  1. Nathan MacKinnon – Colorado Avalanche – $9,100
  2. Max Pacioretty – Las Vegas Golden Knights – $7,200
  3. David Pastrnak – Boston Bruins – $8,700
  4. Kyle Connor – Winnipeg Jets – $6,600
  5. Nikolaj Ehlers – Winnipeg Jets – $5,300
  6. Andre Burakovsky – Colorado Avalanche – $4,400

FanDuel Defensemen

  1. Neil Pionk – Winnipeg Jets – $4,200
  2. Roman Josi – Nashville Predators – $6,600
  3. Ryan Ellis – Nashville Predators – $5,100
  4. Quinn Hughes – Vancouver Canucks – $4,300
  5. Jacob Chychrun – Arizona Coyotes – $3,700
  6. Josh Morrisey – Winnipeg Jets – $4,000
  7. Nathan Schmidt – Las Vegas Golden Knights – $4,200

FanDuel Goalies

  1. Darcy Kuemper – Arizona Coyotes – $8,800
  2. Connor Hellebuyck – Winnipeg Jets – $8,100

12/19 Monkey Knife Fight NHL Prop Picks – Win With These Picks Here and Get 100 Percent Bonus!

Nathan MacKinnon – Over 0.5 Assists – Nathan Mac is a safe bet to grab a point as there is.

Roman Josi – Over 5.5 Shots on Goal plus Blocks – Ottawa has been much better at home, but Roman Josi has been rolling.

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NHL

12/19 NHL DFS Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings

Allan Fabrykant
written by Allan Fabrykant

This article focuses on NHL DFS Picks for 12/19 NHL DFS slate on DraftKings and FanDuel. Both sites have fairly different scoring formats, particularly with the recent changes on DraftKings. We consider tournament tactics, statistics, pricing, and attempt to tackle this highly variable Daily Fantasy format so we can gain an edge on the field at large. BE SURE to double-check both regular, power-play lines and starting goalies at both morning skate and before lock as they can drastically change from the time of publication.

Sign up NOW for WIN DAILY Premium Gold​ right here​! Projections, weather reports, wagering info, 24/7 expert chats and more!

Top Two Lines

Buffalo Sabres One – Victor Olofsson, Jack Eichel, Sam Reinhart

Our top NHL DFS stack for the 12/19 NHL DFS slate is the Buffalo Sabres top line. In just their past three games, this trio has managed to record six goals and seven assists making them one of the hottest lines in hockey. All three play together on Buffalo’s top power-play unit and each average around 20 minutes of ice-time each. They will be going up against a shaky Carter Hart at 7 pm in Philadelphia.

Winnipeg Jets – Kyle Connor, Mark Schiefele, Patrik Laine

Winnipeg has been lights out at home this season with their intimidating Whiteout fan-base. Their opponents, the Chicago Blackhawks, dropped a 4-1 home match-up against the Avalanche and will have less than 24 hrs rest before their match-up tonight against the Jets. Winnipeg’s top line has recorded seven goals and six assists among themselves in their past three games, this line also plays on Winnipeg’s top power-play unit and averages around 20 minutes of ice-time each per game. The goaltender they will face-off against, Robin Lehner, has let in at least three goals in his last five starts and Chicago’s defense is allowing the most shots on goal in the league averaging 36 shots against per game. Not to mention that Winnipeg holds the best odds of the monster 10-game 12/19 NHL DFS slate at -180 favorites with a 6.5 O/U at the time of writing.

Honorable Mention(s): Arizona Coyotes Two – Clayton Keller, Carl Soderberg, Nick Schmaltz

12/18 NHL DraftKings Rankings

DraftKings Forwards

  1. Jack Eichel (with S. Reinhart) – Buffalo Sabres – $7,800
  2. Clayton Keller (with N. Schmaltz) – Arizona Coyotes – $5,100
  3. Joel Armia (with M. Domi) – Montreal Canadiens – $4,800
  4. Travis Konecny (with I. Provorov) – Philadelphia Flyers – $5,700
  5. Anthony Duclair – Ottawa Senators – $5,300
    Honorable Mention(s): Nick Bonino

NHL DraftKings Defenders

  1. Rasmus Dahlin – Buffalo Sabres – $4,500
  2. Shea Weber (with T. Tatar) – Montreal Canadiens – $6,200
  3. Roman Josi (with C. Jarnkrok) – Nashville Predators – $6,400
  4. Neal Pionk (with WPG1) – Winnipeg Jets – $4,700
  5. Matt Roy – Los Angeles Kings – $3,300

NHL DraftKings Goalies

  1. Marc-Andre Fleury – Vegas Golden Knights – $7,900
  2. Darcy Kuemper – Boston Bruins – $8,200

12/18 NHL FanDuel Rankings

FanDuel Forwards

  1. Jack Eichel (with S. Reinhart) – Buffalo Sabres – $8,900
  2. Max Pacioretty (with C. Stephenson) – Vegas Golden Knights – $7,200
  3. Clayton Keller (with N. Schmaltz) – Arizona Coyotes – $5,900
  4. Joel Armia (with M. Domi) – Montreal Canadiens – $4,800
  5. Tyler Toffoli – Los Angeles Kings – $5,000
    Honorable Mention(s): Nathan MacKinnon

FanDuel Defensemen

  1. Shea Weber (with T. Tatar) – Montreal Canadiens – $6,900
  2. Rasmus Dahlin – Buffalo Sabres – $5,400
  3. Ryan Ellis – Nashville Predators – $5,100
  4. Neal Pionk – Winnipeg Jets – $4,200
  5. Matt Roy – Los Angeles Kings – $4,100

FanDuel Goalies

  1. Tuukka Rask – Boston Bruins – $8,300
  2. Pekka Rinne – Nashville Predators – $7,500
    Honorable Mention: Darcy Kuemper

12/19 Monkey Knife Fight NHL Prop Picks – Win With These Picks Here and Get 100 Percent Bonus!

Marc-Andre Fleury – Over 26.5 Goaltending Saves – Vancouver is averaging 32.3 shots per game and Vegas has been allowing 31.2 shots per game. That should be plenty for Fleury to reach the 26.5 save threshold.

Clayton Keller – Over 2.5 Fantasy Points – Averaging over seven shots in his past three games with three points (2G, 1A) in that span, Keller is a prime choice to exceed the 2.5 fantasy points.

Honorable Mention (Eichel: Above 4.5 SOG + Blocks)

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Jacob’s Above Average Plays

Pick Management
written by Pick Management

Jacob’s Above Average Plays keeps it rolling with two more plays tonight. He’s found one above-average NBA and one above-average NHL play to stuff your pockets!

Take St. Louis Blues -165 vs Edmonton Oilers (8:300pm EST, Wednesday 18December 2019)

The Blues have proven yet again to be an above-average team in the NHL, sitting at the top of the Central Division with 48 points. However, they haven’t been playing above-average hockey as their record would suggest. They have been pretty mundane on offense, scoring an average of three goals per game, which ranks them 16th in the NHL. Where they have been above average is on defense. Led by starting goalie, Jordan Binnington, the Blues have shut down teams offenses all year. Binnington is allowing just 2.44 goals per game. He ranks fifteenth in overall goalie rankings, but St. Louis has also played a tough schedule all year. They have won sixteen out of his 26 starts, with four games going to overtime. He has only allowed three power-play goals, which is just phenomenal. The Blues will need him at his best when taking on this Oilers team. St. Louis is taking on the above-average play of Edmonton’s starting center, Connor McDavid. Since coming into the league, it was said he would be the next Gretzky. While I don’t think he has lived up to that, he has been playing way above average for NHL centers. McDavid has already scored twenty goals this year and has thirty-nine assists to pair with them. He is their team leader and they play tough because of it. As of late though, the Oilers have floundered. Winning just one game in their last five and three of their last ten, the Oilers have been above average losers. They also have been dominated by the Blues in the past. The Oilers are just 2-5 straight up in their last seven games played against St. Louis. On the road, they are even worse – winning just four of their last sixteen games played verse the Blues. The Oilers picked the wrong time to be playing bad. The Blues are in great form and have won seven of their last ten games. They have been great versus the Western Conference, winning all five of their games played against that division. St. Louis has also been playing above average at home, going 11-4-3 this year. Take the Blues to continue dominating at home. (If Jake Allen is the starting goalie for St. Louis: This is a non-play)

Take Philadelphia Sixers -7.5 vs Miami Heat (7:10 pm EST, Wednesday 18 December 2019)

The Sixers haven’t just been above average at home, they have been a nightmare matchup for teams. So far this year: The Sixers have been perfect. They have won fourteen of fourteen games at home, and twenty of twenty-eight games overall. With the Sixers star-studded line-up, one would think that it is their offense that has been dominating teams – but really, it has been their defense. At home, Philadelphia allows just 98.93 points per game, holding teams under 50% shooting (43.72%). This isn’t good news for Miami, known as an above-average team at home, who has to hit the road to face Philly. Miami sits atop first place in their division, winning thirteen of their last eighteen games. They have almost been perfect at home, winning eleven of twelve games. Miami ranks 10th in the NBA in overall offense, and is above average in almost every stat. All of that changes when they face the Sixers – Philly has had their number. At home, Philly has won eight of the last nine games versus Miami, and six of the last seven overall.  The last time these two teams faced off, Philly won by twenty-seven points. I have to say, I really don’t like the situation for Miami here. While Miami plays above average on two days rest, Philly has had three days off and are coming off a 109-89 loss to Brooklyn. I think the recent loss at Brooklyn plus the fact they are playing at home coming off rest is not good news for Miami. Lay the points with Philly.

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NHL

12/18 NHL DFS – The Daily Hot Shot

Chris Davies
written by Chris Davies

This article focuses on NHL DFS Picks for 12/18 on DraftKings and FanDuel. Both sites have fairly different scoring formats, particularly with the recent changes on DraftKings. We consider tournament tactics, statistics, pricing, and attempt to tackle this highly variable Daily Fantasy format so we can gain an edge on the field at large. BE SURE to double-check both regular and power play lines at both morning skate and before lock as they can drastically change from the time of publication.

Sign up NOW for WIN DAILY Premium Gold​ right here​! Projections, weather reports, wagering info, 24/7 expert chats and more!

Top Two Lines

Colorado One – Nathan MacKinnon, Andre Burakovsky, Mikko Rantanen

Colorado is a -144 favorite on road ice, in a game with a high total for a three game slate. In cash games I would definitely start with Nathan MacKinnon. From there, you can either play him as a one off, try pairing with the first line, or pairing with a more power play oriented combination of Gabriel Landeskog and Nazeem Kadri. No matter how you choose to go about it, unless trying to be fairly contrarian in a large field tournament on such a small slate; I would have Colorado exposure. Now that they are healthy, they have the potential to be scary good. Prior to “only” allowing three goals last time out, the Blackhawks had allowed at least four goals against in four straight games.

Chicago One – Patrick Kane, Dylan Strome, Alex Nylander

Outside of Patrick Kane, this line is definitely not very sexy. However, there should be goals coming from both sides in this one. When you look at the other two games on the slate, such as Edmonton in St. Louis and the Ducks in New Jersey, you can see why this one will be popular to target. All three skaters on this line see power play time. I like Colorado’s second line more than this line, but I am not trying to just list two lines from the same team. Last time these two teams met, it resulted in a 7-3 Avalanche win so I do think a line like this could pay off value. Unfortunately, both sites require skaters from at least two different teams, so here we are.

12/18 NHL DraftKings Rankings

DraftKings Forwards/Centers

  1. Nathan MacKinnon – Colorado Avalanche – $8,200
  2. Patrick Kane – Chicago Blackhawks – $8,000
  3. Jonathan Toews – Chicago Blackhawks – $5,800
  4. Zach Kassian – Edmonton Oilers – $3,800
  5. Connor McDavid – Edmonton Oilers – $8,000

NHL DraftKings Defenders

  1. Oscar Klefbom – Edmonton Oilers – $6,100
  2. Alex Pietrangelo – St. Louis Blues – $5,600
  3. Ryan Graves – Colorado Avalanche – $4,700
  4. Justin Faulk – St Louis Blues – $3,500
  5. Ian Cole – Colorado Avalanche – $3,600

NHL DraftKings Goalies

  1. MacKenzie Blackwood – New Jersey Devils – $7,200
  2. Ryan Miller – Anaheim Ducks – $7,400

12/18 NHL FanDuel Rankings

FanDuel Forwards/Centers

  1. Nathan MacKinnon – Colorado Avalanche – $9,200
  2. Jonathan Toews – Chicago Blackhawks – $6,500
  3. Patrick Kane – Chicago Blackhawks – $8,200
  4. Nazeem Kadri – Colorado Avalanche – $5,200
  5. Zach Kassian – Edmonton Oilers – $4,500

FanDuel Defensemen

  1. Oscar Klefbom – Edmonton Oilers – $5,700
  2. Ryan Graves – Colorado Avalanche – $4,200
  3. Darnell Nurse – Edmonton Oilers – $4,300
  4. Justin Faulk – St. Louis Blues – $3,900
  5. Conor Murphy – Chicago Blackhawks – $3,600

FanDuel Goalies

  1. Mackenzie Blackwood – New Jersey Devils – $7,100
  2. Ryan Miller – Anaheim Ducks – $7,300

12/18 Monkey Knife Fight NHL Prop Picks – Win With These Picks Here and Get 100 Percent Bonus!

Nathan MacKinnon – Over 5.5 Fantasy Points – He is the top player on this slate and it’s not close.

Oscar Klefbom – Over 2.5 Fantasy Points – The threshold is low, so worth taking a shot on that third Oilers star.

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Sports BettingPremium

Jacob’s Above Average Plays

Pick Management
written by Pick Management

Jacobs Above Average Plays started the week off with a bang, sweeping his plays last night! The work never stops to make sure Jacob’s Above Average Plays are always stellar and that they keep winning you money!

Take Boston Bruins (to win in regulation) -150 vs LA Kings (7:00 pm EST, Tuesday 17 December 2019)

Before we start, let me explain what a bet “to win in regulation” is. The team you choose must win in the first 60 minutes. If a game goes to overtime, we have a loser. 

Boston is a way above average team when playing at home. They have won in regulation at home in all but three games this year, and they’ve been an above-average team on both ends of the ice. Their defense is dependent on the above-average goalie, Tuukka Rask.  He is only allowing two goals per game, and Boston has won thirteen of his twenty starts. Having a reliable goalie like Rask is what allows the Bruins to continuously attack the other end of the ice. So far, that style of play has worked. The Bruins are 21-13 straight up in all games this year. As the home favorite, they have won twelve of eighteen games. Boston is taking on a Kings team that is one of the worst teams on the road in the league. Overall, on the road: They have won only four of eighteen games. As an underdog, they are even worse – winning only three of sixteen games. The one area the Kings shine is above average offensive shots on goal. They rank second in the NHL in shots on goal per game at thirty-four shots per game. However, most of these shots were made as they were trying to play catch up at the end of games, so I wouldn’t say they are really above average in shots on goal. Ride with Boston to win in the first sixty minutes at a much better price of -150.

Take Sacramento Kings -4.5 vs Charlotte Hornets (7:10 pm EST, Tuesday 17 December 2019) This game features two teams with wildly different outcomes in their last games. One an above-average team in the playoff hunt, the other is floundering. Sacramento went into Golden State last week and totally laid the hammer. They played above average, shooting just over 60% from the floor. However, their fast tempo led to an above-average amount of turnovers. They turned the ball over twenty-nine times in that game! They overcame that poor performance, scoring ten three-pointers out of twenty-two attempts. In Charlotte’s last game, they were blown out – I mean really blown out. Their less than impressive offense was on display in all its glory. The Hornets own the league’s 26th worst offense, only scoring 104.5 points per game. They rank 24th in rebounding, only grabbing 43.2 rebounds per game and the rank 18th in assists with 23.6 assists per game. They have no above-average scorers nor defenders, and I truly believe they are worse than people assume. A short three-game win streak made them look like an above-average team but that ended last game, providing a lower line as the public is a real victim to recency bias. Sacramento has covered the spread in fifteen of it’s last twenty games and is also 11-4 against the spread on the road. Charlotte has only won three times in their last ten games versus the Pacific Division, and I think that trend continues today. Take the Kings, playing above average, to get the road cover.

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Sports BettingPremium

Cash with Flash Best Bets: NHL and NBA Tuesday!

Phil Naessens
written by Phil Naessens

Yesterday Cash with Flash Best Bets went 1-1 and if not for a couple of missed free-throws by the Oklahoma City Thunder, we shoot 2-0. That’s why they call it gambling and that’s why the sportsbooks are able to supply a comfy seat and free drinks for anyone who stops by the shop.

Portland snuck past the Phoenix Suns for a nice underdog cover and it’s good to see the Trail Blazers win a game on the road. That makes them 6-11 away from the Moda Center this season and 8-9 against the spread (ATS) this season.

NFL News
The Saints crushed the Colts last night and Week 15 favorites went 9-6-1 ATS while Seattle pushed.  The underdogs still lead the way this season with a 116-100-7 ATS (53.7%) record. Let’s keep these numbers in mind as we head into a crazy Week 16 with three Saturday games to go along with the remaining 13 games over the weekend and into Monday. 

CASH WITH FLASH BEST BETS

There are options aplenty tonight across the NHL, NBA and NCAA Basketball and Cash with Flash Best Bets has the following suggestions to hopefully Cash with Flash. 

Anaheim Ducks vs Philadelphia Flyers

Cash with the Flash Best Bet: Flyers -150

The Flyers are a -150 favorite and enters this matchup hoping to end a miserable, three-game losing streak thanks to a disastrous, three-game road trip. Anaheim is 7-1 over its last eight meetings in Philadelphia but they aren’t going to beat the Flyers tonight. Philadelphia is 10-2-4 this season at Wells Fargo Center and the Ducks are a below .500 road team on the first leg of a four-game road trip. This is a good price for the Flyers and Cash with Flash Best Bets suggests playing the Flyers to win this hockey game tonight. 

Los Angeles Kings vs Boston Bruins

Cash with Flash Best Bets: Bruins -1.5

We can’t play a -250 money line and it’s too bad but the Bruins are going to beat this team by two goals tonight. That means we play the puck line at -1.5 at +110 and we Cash with Flash. The Kings are on game four of a six-game road trip and while they are 2-1 thus far, Boston is much better at home than Detroit and the Ducks. The Bruins just snapped a five-game losing streak and is coming off an awful, five-game losing streak but ended it strong on the road and should be able to handle the Kings with relative ease. Cash with Flash Best Bets suggests playing the Bruins to defeat the Kings by two goals tonight.

Orlando Magic vs Utah Jazz 

Cash with Flash Best Bets: UNDER 206.5 points 

Orlando center Nikola Vucevic is set to return from an eleven game absence and the Magic went 6-5 with Vucevic out of the lineup. Jazz point guard Mike Conley has missed five games with a hamstring injury and is probable for tonight’s tilt. These are two of the better defensive teams in the National Basketball Association and two of the worst offenses. Each offense might get a bump with their stars returning from injury, but these teams won’t eclipse the 206.5 total. Cash with Flash Best Bets suggests playing UNDER 206.5 points tonight. 

The opinions expressed in this article are the author’s own and do not reflect the views or opinions of Win Daily or any of the employees and/or executives of Win Daily.  All data and information provided on this site are for informational purposes only. Win Daily makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, currentness, suitability, or validity of any information on this site and will not be liable for any errors, omissions, or delays in this information or any losses, injuries, or damages arising from its display or use.  All information is provided on an as-is basis.

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NHL

12/17 NHL DFS – The Daily Hot Shot

Chris Davies
written by Chris Davies

This article focuses on NHL DFS Picks for 12/17 on DraftKings and FanDuel. Both sites have fairly different scoring formats, particularly with the recent changes on DraftKings. We consider tournament tactics, statistics, pricing, and attempt to tackle this highly variable Daily Fantasy format so we can gain an edge on the field at large. BE SURE to double-check both regular and power play lines at both morning skate and before lock as they can drastically change from the time of publication.

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Top Three Lines

DraftKings – Toronto One – John Tavares, Mitch Marner, Zach Hyman

The Toronto top line has been one of the most productive in hockey over the last few weeks. John Tavares has at least five shots on goal in five of his last six games, thus almost assuring the bonus. Mitch Marner has been no slouch either as he comes into this game riding a four-game point streak. The third wheel Zach Hyman has hit double-digit points on DraftKings in four of his last five games with four goals during that span. Hyman also provides some salary savings for us at only $4,900. Toronto has a high 3.93 implied goal total and this line is most likely to be a part of any scoring.

Fanduel – Tampa Bay Two – Steven Stamkos, Alex Killorn, Anthony Cirelli

Tampa Bay is one of the slate’s bigger favorites at -286 with a heavy 4.18 projected goal total. They have a very juicy matchup at home against an Ottawa Senators team on the second night of a back to back, away in Florida. Whether or not Nikita Kucherov plays is uncertain at this point and perhaps his absence is enough to shake up the Tampa Bay lines. If he is in or the line does not change, I would target the certainty and price of the second line. You have one stud in Steven Stamkos and then two very affordable options in Alex Killorn and Anthony Cirelli. Killorn, in particular, has been hot as of late.

Both Sites – Boston One – Patrice Bergeron, Brad Marchand, David Pastrnak

I figured that I would make sure to at least provide them an honorable mention. Boston has been slumping as a team lately by their standards. However, this has not impacted the production of their primary trio, who remains as consistent as ever. The Bruins have a very modest projected goal total of 3.33 which seems low given the home matchup with the L.A. Kings. I would expect that to climb throughout the day and it goes without saying, there is a lot of upsides here. Given some of the affordable lines available on such a large slate, it shouldn’t be too hard to find a way to make them fit in terms of salary.

12/17 NHL DraftKings Rankings

DraftKings Forwards/Centers

  1. David Pastrnak – Boston Bruins – $7,700
  2. Steven Stamkos – Tampa Bay Lightning – $7,100
  3. John Tavares – Toronto Maple Leafs – $7,400
  4. Brad Marchand – Boston Bruins – $6,800
  5. Patrice Bergeron – Boston Bruins – $7,200

NHL DraftKings Defenders

  1. Torey Krug – Boston Bruins – $4,800
  2. Carson Soucy – Minnesota Wild – $2,700
  3. David Savard – Columbus Blue Jackets – $3,300
  4. Ben Chiarot – Montreal Canadiens – $4,400
  5. John Marino – Pittsburgh Penguins – $3,600

NHL DraftKings Goalies

  1. Tuukka Rask – Boston Bruins – $8,500
  2. Andrei Vasilevskiy – Tampa Bay Lightning – $8,300

12/17 NHL FanDuel Rankings

FanDuel Forwards/Centers

  1. Bryan Rust – Pittsburgh Penguins – $5,300 “if back in the lineup, he did not skate Monday”
  2. David Pastrnak – Boston Bruins – $8,900
  3. Max Pacioretty – Las Vegas Golden Knights – $7,400
  4. Mark Stone – Las Vegas Golden Knights – $6,800
  5. Brayden Point – Tampa Bay Lightning – $7,000

FanDuel Defensemen

  1. Jacob Chychrun – Arizona Coyotes – $3,800
  2. Nate Schmidt – Las Vegas Golden Knights – $4,200
  3. Seth Jones – Columbus Blue Jackets – $5,000
  4. Quinn Hughes – Vancouver Canucks – $4,300
  5. Mattias Elkholm – Nashville Predators – $4,300

FanDuel Goalies

  1. Tuukka Rask – Boston Bruins – $8,500
  2. Andrei Vasilevskiy – Tampa Bay Lightning – $9,000

12/17 Monkey Knife Fight NHL Prop Picks – Win With These Picks Here and Get 100 Percent Bonus!

Steven Stamkos – Over 4.5 Fantasy Points – Tampa Bay has a very high projected total, and if Nikita Kucherov isn’t on the ice, Steven Stamkos becomes the de facto leader of this team.

David Pastrnak – Over 4.5 Fantasy Points – It’s been a while since Pasta was highlighted for Monkey Knife Fight purposes. I wouldn’t sleep on Boston tonight, or ever.

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