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NHL

Win Daily 1/11 NHL Stack and Track

Allan Fabrykant 5 years ago

written by Allan Fabrykant

Welcome to WinDaily’s newest edition of the NHL Stack and Track! In this article, the 1/11 NHL Stack and Track, we will look at the top NHL stacks at each price range and rank the best and the worst goalie spots to target in tonight’s nice 10-game slate.

1/11 NHL Stack Report

Washington Capitals Two $$$
Vrana – Kuznetsov – Oshie (FanDuel: $19,700 | DraftKings: $16,500)
– This line provides tons of value tonight at home against New Jersey. This is the first vs second-worst matchup and the Caps are in a position to kick New Jersey while they’re down, on the road. New Jersey is among the league’s worst in goals allowed per game, while the Caps have the fourth-best goals per game record in the NHL this season and hold the second-highest goals per game record on this slate behind Tampa. Given Philly’s success at home which will hamper Tampa’s overall scoring ability, it should come to nobody’s surprise that the Capitals hold the best-implied goal total on today’s slate at a whopping 4.1 expected goals at the time of writing
Ideal Defensive Partner: Dmitry Orlov (FD: $4,400 | DK: $3,900)
St. Louis Blues Two $$
Sanford – O’Reilly – Perron (FanDuel: $16,200 | DraftKings: $15,100)
– Sanford hasn’t found much success on this line to this point, however, the Blues have been cruising and the rest of St. Louis’ second line has been on fire with the two players leading the team in scoring with one leading in goals, the other leading in assists and both finishing in 1st and 2nd in overall points. Not to mention together they have tallied three goals and seven assists in their last three games alone. Hank’s time in the league is coming to a close and the Swedish legends’ goaltending ability is quickly deteriorating. The Rangers do have promising goaltending options in their near future so Rangers fans can rest easy.
Ideal Defensive Partner: Alex Pietrangelo (FD: $6,300 | DK: $6,300)
Chicago Blackhawks One $
Quenneville – Toews – Kubalik (FanDuel: $13,900 | DraftKings: $12,300)
– This play is a little unorthodox and like for St. Louis Two, Quenneville hasn’t been producing at the same rate as his other two linemates. Toews and Kubalik have been bright spots on what has been an overall inconsistent and underperforming Chicago side. Tonight, the Blackhawks will look to improve their home record against the Ducks who are an abysmal 6-13-2 on the road. The Ducks also take a lot of penalty minutes and haven’t been successful in killing them off. With Gibson not maintaining his form from prior seasons, Chicago’s top line appears to be an ideal candidate for a low owned stack with offensive upside.
Ideal Defensive Partner: Adam Boqvist (FD: $3,500 | DK: $3,700)

Honorable Mention(s): Florida Panthers One, Pittsburgh Penguins One

1/11 NHL Goalie Tracker

Best

Braden Holtby (FD: $8,200 | DK: $8,500)
Marc-Andre Fleury (FD: $8,000 | DK: $8,300)
James Reimer (FD: $7,600 | DK: $8,200)
Honorable Mention(s): Jordan Binnington

Worst

Jonathan Quick (FD: $7,400 | DK: $7,100)
Craig Anderson (FD: $7,200 | DK: $7,800)
Mackenzie Blackwood (FD: $7,100 | DK: $7,000)
Honorable Mention(s): Henrik Lundqvist, John Gibson, Aaron Dell

1/11 NHL Wild Card of the Day

Dominik Kubalik (FD: $4,300 | DK: $3,700)
– Kubalik has largely flown under the radar, putting up points on the top line of the underperforming Chicago Blackhawks. Kubalik has had a solid start to the new decade with six points in his last four games. His price hasn’t risen too high, but if he maintains this form it will.
Honorable Mention(s): Iafallo, Hintz

Game Stack of the Day:
STL2/NYR2
HM: PHI1/TBL1

1/2 NHL Monkey Knife Fight NHL Prop Picks – Win With These Picks Here and Get 100 Percent Bonus!

Oshie-Kuznetsov-Perron – Putting Up Points – This recommendation in under the Star Shootout and has the best point scorers from two of the three recommended stacks and each player has averaged at least a point per game in their last three games

Rust-Pacioretty-Stone – Putting Up Points – With questionable goaltending coming from the Rangers tonight, the Blues are in a prime position to pour on the goals in front of their home fans. Both teams are able to score a lot of goals and players from this prop bet come directly from today’s recommended game stack.

Honorable Mention(s): Kuznetsov-Oshie-Carlson – Putting Up Points

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5 years ago 0 comments

NHL

1/11 NHL DFS – The Daily Hot Shot

Phil Naessens 5 years ago

written by Phil Naessens

This article focuses on NHL DFS Picks for 1/11 on DraftKings and FanDuel. Both sites have fairly different scoring formats, particularly with the recent changes on DraftKings. We consider tournament tactics, statistics, pricing, and attempt to tackle this highly variable Daily Fantasy format so we can gain an edge on the field at large. BE SURE to double-check both regular and power play lines at both morning skate and before lock as they can drastically change from the time of publication.

Sign up NOW for WIN DAILY Premium Gold right here! Projections, weather reports, wagering info, 24/7 expert chats and more!

Top Expensive Lines

Washington One “FanDuel” – Nicklas Backstrom, Alex Ovechkin, Tom Wilson

Washington Two “DraftKings” – Evgeny Kuznetsov, Jakob Vrana, T.J. Oshie

The two top lines for the Washington Capitals are both top ten lines in terms of goals scored over the last ten games, with eight for the second line and seven for the first line. The Caps are a slate high -250 home favorite against the Devils and should be able to bounce back from a disappointing loss last time out. As far as which line to go with, I think you just take what these sites give you and exploit the pricing. With such a tremendous markdown on the second line on DraftKings, I would use them there and get my exposure to the first line on FanDuel. The first line has better underlying statistics but it is also a line that is heavily dependent on Alex Ovechkin and not quite as balanced as the second line.

Top Value Line

Carolina One – Andrei Svechnikov, Warren Foegele, Jordan Staal

This line served it’s purpose last night and we can go back to the well once again. It was Warren Foegele lighting up the board for us and Carolina will remain at home to face an L.A. Kings team making the trip all the way east. The top line is now up to nine goals over their last ten games, tied for second in the NHL across that period. Carolina is a heavy -220 favorite and despite a scattered showing in the 3-0 win over the Coyotes, this is a much better matchup for them. The Kings have not allowed a shutout all season. Their general affordability opens up a lot in terms of lineup construction.

1/11 NHL DraftKings Rankings

Forwards

Alex Ovechkin – Washington Capitals – $8,300
Sebastian Aho – Carolina Hurricanes – $6,200
Andrei Svechnikov – Carolina Hurricanes – $6,100
Johnny Gaudreau – Calgary Flames – $6,600
Sean Monahan – Calgary Flames – $5,700

Defensemen

Dougie Hamilton – Carolina Hurricanes – $7,000
John Carlson – Washington Capitals – $7,200
Torrey Krug – Boston Bruins – $4,700
Travis Sanheim – Philadelphia Flyers – $2,900
David Savard – Columbus Blue Jackets – $3,000

Goalies

Ben Bishop – Dallas Stars – $8,000
Robin Lehner – Chicago Blackhawks – $8,100
Tuuka Rask – Boston Bruins – $7,600

1/11 NHL FanDuel Rankings

Forwards

Alex Ovechkin – Washington Capitals – $8,800
David Pastrnak – Boston Bruins – $8,900
Andrei Svechnikov – Carolina Hurricanes – $6,000
Jakob Vrana – Washington Capitals – $5,100
Teuvo Teravainen – Carolina Hurricanes – $6,500

Defensemen

Dougie Hamilton – Carolina Hurricanes – $6,200
John Carlson – Washington Capitals – $7,100
Michael Kempny – Washington Capitals – $3,600
Connor Murphy – Chicago Blackhawks – $3,900
Mark Giordano – Calgary Flames – $5,500

Goalies

Braden Holtby – Washington Capitals – $8,200
Ben Bishop – Dallas Stars – $8,900
Robin Lehner – Chicago Blackhawks – $8,000

1/11 Monkey Knife Fight NHL Prop Picks – Win With These Picks Here and Get 100 Percent Bonus!

Alex Ovechkin, John Carlson, David Pastrnak – Over 2.5 Points – The 2.5 point bet is down to a 13/18 hit rate but we can pick it back up tonight. This build will rely heavily on the Capitals to satisfy part of their lofty implied total.

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5 years ago 0 comments

Jacob’s Above Average Plays

Pick Management 5 years ago

written by Pick Management

Jacob’s Above Average Plays are back after sweeping last night. With three more above average plays we are sure to have another great night that you will not want to miss out on. Two NHL and one NBA play are going to make today a great day!

Take Carolina Hurricanes in regulation -107 versus Arizona Coyotes ( 7:30 pm EST, Friday 10 January 2020)

I’m going against Arizona tonight as I think they are in a really, really bad spot versus Carolina. These are two teams with different styles of play. Additionally, one of them is on a back to back while the other is at home on rest. That combination spells bad news for Arizona, who faces another tough test tonight.

Arizona got shut out by Tampa Bay last night, losing 4-0. This is their second game in as many days, and they do not play well in this situation. The eight-times Arizona has played back to back games, they have won on the second night only twice. The Coyotes were one of the league’s above-average teams, but in the last ten games – they have won just half. They have won only two of the five most recent road games, and they do not play well against Carolina. Carolina likes to play fast and score, and that’s just not Arizona’s game. They score less than three goals per game, ranking 19th in scoring offense when on the road. Arizona proved last night that what I said about them was true: they are paper tigers when playing above-average offenses.

Carolina, on the other hand, is playing great hockey. Winning twenty-five of their forty-three games, they are ranked fourth in the Metropolitan Division. That may not sound that great, but they are behind Pittsburgh, the Islanders, and Washington. They are ranked sixth in the NHL in scoring at home, scoring an average of 3.67 goals per game. The Hurricanes do not just have an above-average offense, but an above-average defense too. Carolina is ranked number one in the NHL at home and overall in shots allowed on goal, allowing just 26.43 shots per game at home and 28.72 overall. To go along with all of that, they love to beat up on Arizona. Winners of seven out of the last ten games versus Arizona, and holding them to an average of two and a half goals per game – Carolina seems to have this team figured out.

This game feels like last night’s Arizona game, but there are more stats and trends in our favor. Arizona is on no rest and taking on a Carolina team who is at home on three days rest. Carolina needs this win more as they try to climb the Metro Division, and I just do not see the Coyotes playing well with no rest. Carolina has only played six overtime games this year, and since I think they beat up on Arizona – I’m going to take them to win in regulation at -107, instead of with overtime included for -177. Take Carolina to win in regulation.

(For this play to win Carolina must win the first sixty minutes. If the game goes to overtime we have a loser.)

Take Orlando Magic +3 versus Phoenix Suns ( 9:10 pm EST, Friday, January 10, 2020)
This game features two very different teams. One team loves to play fast, score, and have a bad defense. The other team is slow, does not score a lot, and plays above-average defense. The difference-maker here is that one of these teams is one of the worst teams in the NBA recently, and I’ll be taking the other side because of it.

The Phoenix Suns love to score. Overall, they rank seventh in the NBA in scoring and fourth at home. When at home, the Suns score an above-average 116.1 points, and they are making 47.04% of their shots – but it is due to their defense that I am taking Orlando. The Suns allow 115.76 ppg at home, which ranks them 27th in the league. They also rank 30th in the NBA in field goal percentage, and allowing a lot of points to a great defensive team is not a good recipe for success. Plus, Phoenix is not playing well lately. Out of the last fourteen games, the Suns have won just three – including winning just one of their last eight home games. With the Suns covering none of the last five games at home versus Orlando, I really do not like them tonight.

Orlando isn’t just above-average on defense, they are the number one ranked team in points allowed. They allow an average of just 103.42 ppg, and that is what keeps them in this game. Orlando scores just an average of 104.88 ppg on the road (which is awful), but because of the Suns having such a poor defense – they will be able to stay in this game. I think Orlando’s defense will be able to shut down the Suns, but it also helps that the Magic have a great track record versus Phoenix. The Magic have won five of the last six games versus the Suns, including covering the spread in five out of the last five games when playing on the road against Phoenix. I see Orlando continuing this trend.

With such opposite teams here, it makes for a weird matchup. We have great defense versus bad offense and bad offense versus bad defense. With Phoenix’s recent track record of not playing well, I think the stellar Orlando defense can prevail with an outright win, but I’m taking the points just to be safe. Take Orlando +3.

Take Pittsburgh Penguins versus Colorado Avalanche OVER 1.5 Goals in the First Period -148

( 9:00 pm EST, Friday 10 January 2020)

I really like this game to be a high scoring game. These two teams are part of the NHL’s upper echelon. They play fast, hard, and score early. Colorado ranks second in the NHL for going over the total in the first period, and the Penguins have been scoring early a lot lately – so let’s get into it.

Colorado has gone over the total in twenty-nine out of the forty-four games they have played so far this year. They also love to score early, as they are ranked second in scoring a goal in the first ten minutes of a game. They average 3.9 goals per game when at home, and have gone over the game total in seven out of the last ten games they have played. Pittsburgh has also been scoring a lot of goals lately. In the last ten games played, they have gone over the total in the first period in nine of them. They score an above-average amount of goals on the road, scoring 3.47 gpg, which ranks them fourth in the NHL in team scoring when on the road.

These two teams are two of the best in scoring goals in the first period. Colorado has been ranked at the top of the NHL all year for going over the total in the first period, and the Penguins have been hot lately. Take Over 1.5 goals in the First period -148.

(For this play to win more than 1.5 goals must be scored in the first period. If not we have a loser)

5 years ago 0 comments

NHL

1/10 NHL DFS – The Daily Hot Shot

Chris Davies 5 years ago

written by Chris Davies

This article focuses on NHL DFS Picks for 1/10 on DraftKings and FanDuel. Both sites have fairly different scoring formats, particularly with the recent changes on DraftKings. We consider tournament tactics, statistics, pricing, and attempt to tackle this highly variable Daily Fantasy format so we can gain an edge on the field at large. BE SURE to double-check both regular and power play lines at both morning skate and before lock as they can drastically change from the time of publication.

Sign up NOW for WIN DAILY Premium Gold right here! Projections, weather reports, wagering info, 24/7 expert chats and more!

Top Expensive Line

Colorado One – Nathan MacKinnon, Mikko Rantanen, Gabriel Landeskog

The chalk of the night, Colorado has the highest implied total at 3.56, edging the Carolina Hurricanes who are at 3.40. Talent-wise this is easily one of the top five lines in NHL. They were just reunited so there is not a very large sample size in terms of recent production. However, this line has always been at or near the top of any NHL metrics during virtually any stretch that they have been paired together over the last few years. Tristan Jarry has been pretty solid in net for Pittsburgh so this is more about the skill of the Colorado top line than about picking on the Penguins. If you don’t have all three, be sure to at minimum play Nathan MacKinnon as a one-off in all of your cash lines, if not almost all your tournament lineups as well. I like the other two more on DraftKings where they are super cheap.

Top Value Line

Carolina One – Andrei Svechnikov, Warren Foegele, Jordan Staal

It is likely that using Colorado One would price you out of simultaneously using the Carolina second line. Therefore, in order to access some of Carolina’s 3.40 implied total, we must turn to the first line. Unfortunately, Andrei Svechnikov is the only skater who has power play time on this line. However, that hasn’t stopped them from scoring eight full line goals over their last ten games, tying the Tampa Bay top line and Capitals second line for third in the NHL during that span. Considering their supporting stats during that timeline, the goal count could have been even more impressive. The top line’s 138 SATF within the period is second only to the Las Vegas second line’s 141. Arizona comes in on the second night of a back to back after getting smashed by the Lightning. Anti Raanta might be back in the net which would be a slight downgrade for this line but it shouldn’t take them out of the running on a three-game slate.

1/10 NHL DraftKings Rankings

Forwards

Nathan MacKinnon – Colorado Avalanche – $8,500
Mikko Rantanen – Colorado Avalanche – $6,400
Gabriel Landeskog – Colorado Avalanche – $6,200
Andrei Svechnikov – Carolina Hurricanes – $5,800
Sebastian Aho – Carolina Hurricanes – $6,100

Defensemen

Dougie Hamilton – Carolina Hurricanes – $7,000
Brett Pesce – Carolina Hurricanes – $3,500
Filip Hronek – Detroit Red Wings – $4,700
Jakob Chychrun – Arizona Coyotes – $4,600
Ian Cole – Colorado Avalanche- $3,400

Goalies

Petr Mzarek – Carolina Hurricanes – $8,100
Jonathan Bernier – Detroit Red Wings – $7,800

1/10 NHL FanDuel Rankings

Forwards

Bryan Rust – Pittsburgh Penguins – $5,700
Nathan MacKinnon – Colorado Avalanche – $9,200
Andrei Svechnikov – Carolina Hurricanes – $6,300
Dylan Larkin – Detroit Red Wings – $6,600
Teuvo Teravainen – Carolina Hurricanes – $6,600

Defensemen

Dougie Hamilton – Carolina Hurricanes – $6,200
Cale Makar – Colorado Avalanche – $5,300
Filip Hronek – Detroit Red Wings – $4,500
Jakob Chychrun – Arizona Coyotes – $3,900
Thomas Chabot – Ottawa Senators – $5,700

Goalies

Petr Mzarek – Carolina Hurricanes – $8,500
Jonathan Bernier – Detroit Red Wings – $7,200

1/10 Monkey Knife Fight NHL Prop Picks – Win With These Picks Here and Get 100 Percent Bonus!

Nathan MacKinnon, Sebastian Aho, Dylan Larkin – Over 2.5 Points – The 2.5 point bet is up to a 13/17 hit rate after smashing for eight total points last night. Tonight, let’s start with Nathan MacKinnon who makes for an easy pick. After that, it’s a toss-up. Without salary to contend with I added Sebastian Aho and Dylan Larkin to get a piece of the other games.

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5 years ago 0 comments

Sports Betting Premium

Jacob’s Above Average Plays

Pick Management 5 years ago

written by Pick Management

Jacob’s Above Average Plays have gone 4-2 in his last six picks, and he has three more plays that will continue the hot streak. One more NBA and two more NHL plays that are sure to cash and that you won’t want to miss out on them.

Take Oklahoma City Thunder +2.5 versus Houston Rockets ( 9:40 pm EST, Thursday 9 January 2020)

This game features two of the hottest teams in the NBA right now. Both teams have won eight of their last ten games and are putting up a lot of points. Both have continued to play above average on offense, but one of these teams lets their opponents put up over 110 points per game – that’s what makes it clear which side I want to be on.

Houston played Atlanta last night, in a game that was much closer than it should have been. Houston defeated Atlanta 122-115 with James Harden getting a triple-double scoring 41 points, 10 rebounds, and 10 assists. Part of the reason this game was so close could be chalked up to Russell Westbrooks’s absence, but the Rockets defensive is exactly why I want to take Oklahoma City tonight. Houston ranks 27th in the league in points allowed while on the road, allowing an above-average amount of points to home teams at 116.78 ppg. When the Rockets are on the road, they are also allowing teams to make almost 50% of their shots(47.84%). Don’t get me wrong, even though the Rockets give up a lot of points, they score enough to win games with their high powered high offense. The Rocket’s offense is ranked number one in the NBA in points scored, scoring an average of 119.4 ppg – but when the Rockets are on the road, the offense is even better. They rank first in scoring, eighth in field goal percentage, third in three-point percentage, and fifteenth in rebounding. However, their above-average offense isn’t going to help them against Oklahoma tonight. It does not help that when playing on back to back nights, the Rockets have covered just two of the six games played in that scenario.

Oklahoma is one of the hottest teams in the NBA as of late even though their league standing doesn’t show. The Thunder have won eight of their last ten games and covered in nine of them. So far this year, they are the best team in the NBA covering the spread. They have covered twenty-five of the thirty-seven games played, covering by an average of two and a half points. This year overall, they have honestly been pretty mediocre when it comes to team stats. They rank 20th in points per game, 25th in three-point percentage, and 24th in rebounds. They also have an above-average field goal percentage at 46.43%, ranking them 9th. Additionally, Oklahoma City has a great track record versus Houston. OKC has won five of their last games versus Houston and covered in six, but there is something more interesting about this head to head matchup. In the six games covered by OKC, the Thunder not only covered, but won outright four times as an underdog, and this game as the same feel to those.

Oklahoma City is one of the NBA’s best cover teams and Houston is on a back to back. Russell Westbrook being back could help the Rockets defense, but he hurts the offense – only making 23% of his shots. I think the Thunder win this game outright, but I’m taking the two and a half points just to be safe.

Take Tampa Bay Lighting to win in regulation -125 vs Arizona Coyotes ( 7:00 pm EST, Thursday 9 January 2020)

I really like the Lighting to beat up on the Coyotes tonight. Tampa Bay is ranked second in the Eastern Conference and overall score an above-average 3.77 goals per game. When at home, it’s even better with the team scoring an average of 4.14 goals. They take on Arizona, who is most likely playing their third-string goalie who hasn’t played since the beginning of December. Arizona is not a very fast-paced team and Tampa Bay is, and that’s why I am taking them tonight.

The Coyotes score under three goals per game when on the road (2.87), and are allowing just about two and a half (2.53). They have also won four of their last five, but I believe that they are just a paper tiger and those numbers do not represent what is really happening. The teams Arizona have recently beat include Anaheim, St. Louis, Dallas, Vegas, and Detroit. Almost all of those teams are in the half of the league in scoring. I do not think the Coyotes defense is really that good, especially against the number one scoring team in the NHL.

Tampa Bay has won eight in a row and has won twenty-five of thirty-six games played when they were favored. Vasilevsky is starting in goal for the Lightning, and he has won twenty of his thirty-one starts. Like I said earlier, Tampa Bay is scoring 4.14 goals per game (which ranks first), and allow just about three goals (3.05) when at home. They have also won four of the last five games at home. Tampa Bay is trying to get back to first place, and I believe they really want to make up for last year’s playoff performance (they lost in the first round, just in case you didn’t know). Take the Lighting to win in regulation.

(For this bet to win Tampa Bay must win the game in the first three periods. If the game goes to overtime we have a loser.)

Take New Jersey Devils vs New York Rangers OVER 1.5 Goals 1st Period -162 ( 7:00 pm EST, Thursday 9 January 2020)

I’m sticking with what works and taking another first period over. The New York Rangers rank third in the NHL, going over 1.5 goals in the first period, and have done so in 27 of the 42 games they have played this year. The New Jersey Devils rank ninth in the NHL going over the total in the first period, going over in twenty-four of forty-two games played. In the last nine matchups between these two teams, the game total has hit the over in seven of them. The Devils have gone over the total in seven of their last nine games overall as well. These two teams play each other tough when they play, splitting that last ten games. I see this being another high scoring game as more than six goals have been scored in seven of their last ten meetings. Take Over 1.5 Goals First Period, as we see another high scoring game between these two teams.

(For this bet to win the total score of the first period must be over 1.5 goals. If not we have a loser. Odds available at DraftKings)

5 years ago 0 comments

NHL

1/9 NHL DFS – The Daily Hot Shot

Chris Davies 5 years ago

written by Chris Davies

This article focuses on NHL DFS Picks for 1/9 on DraftKings and FanDuel. Both sites have fairly different scoring formats, particularly with the recent changes on DraftKings. We consider tournament tactics, statistics, pricing, and attempt to tackle this highly variable Daily Fantasy format so we can gain an edge on the field at large. BE SURE to double-check both regular and power play lines at both morning skate and before lock as they can drastically change from the time of publication.

Sign up NOW for WIN DAILY Premium Gold right here! Projections, weather reports, wagering info, 24/7 expert chats and more!

Top Three Lines

Boston One – Patrice Bergeron, David Pastrnak, Brad Marchand

Let’s start with a line that needs no introduction. Boston is a heavy -195 favorite and draws a nice matchup with the Winnipeg Jets. 2nd worst in the NHL in terms of goals allowed on the road over the last month, they will arrive in Boston on the second night of a back to back. Those skates may be a bit weary on defense and Boston will be able to pick out the best matchups for the top line to take advantage of. If you want to leave one off due to cost it is probably Brad Marchand. Marchand has an extremely high bust rate over the last few weeks.

Tampa Bay One – Nikita Kucherov, Brayden Point, Steven Stamkos

Tampa Bay has found it’s groove while pairing it’s top three skaters for the first time this season. The Lightning come in a -200 home favorite with a 3.82 implied goal total. They are 8-1-1 over their last ten games and last time out put up a massive 9-2 win against the Vancouver Canucks. For as long as this line is together they will be skyrocketing towards the top of the ranks. Generally, the Arizona Coyotes are not a team that I look to target, but an exception can be made here.

Las Vegas Two – Paul Stastny, Mark Stone, Max Pacioretty

Speaking of teams that are hot, Las Vegas has been on fire as well, going 6-3-1 over their last ten games and putting up points. This team has two top ten lines during that span. The Las Vegas top line is a top ten line but this line is a top-three line with a massive gap in SATF “141 to 102”, although it only resulted in a two-goal difference during that span. Especially without Jonathan Marchessault, the first line is just not as good so keep an eye to see if he is back at morning skate if you were thinking of using them. The Kings will head to Vegas on the second night of a back to back and a rested Golden Knights team should be ready to smash. They are a slate high -250 favorite and their 3.74 implied total as of the time of writing is also a slate high.

1/9 NHL DraftKings Rankings

Forwards

Steven Stamkos – Tampa Bay Lightning – $7,400
Max Pacioretty- Las Vegas Golden Knights – $6,900
David Pastrnak – Boston Bruins – $8,300
Artemi Panarin – New York Rangers – $7,000
Mark Stone – Las Vegas Golden Knights – $6,100

Defensemen

Roman Josi – Nashville Predators – $7,500
Oscar Klefbom – Edmonton Oilers – $6,300
Mattias Ekholm – Nashville Predators – $5,000
Brady Skjei – New York Rangers – $3,600
Erik Cernak – Tampa Bay Lightning – $2,600

Goalies

Ben Bishop – Dallas Stars – $8,000
Marc Andre-Fleury – Las Vegas Golden Knights – $8,400

1/9 NHL FanDuel Rankings

Forwards

Max Pacioretty – Las Vegas Golden Knights – $7,500
Steven Stamkos – Tampa Bay Lightning – $8,500
David Pastrnak – Boston Bruins – $8,800
Artemi Panarin – New York Rangers – $8,400
Mark Stone – Las Vegas Golden Knights – $7,000

Defensemen

Roman Josi – Nashville Predators – $6,800
Shea Theodore – Las Vegas Golden Knights – $5,100
Mark Giordano – Calgary Flames – $5,500
Mattias Ekholm – Nashville Predators – $4,400
Nate Schmidt – Las Vegas Golden Knights – $4,000

Goalies

Marc Andre-Fleury – Las Vegas Golden Knights – $8,000
Ben Bishop – Dallas Stars – $8,800

1/9 Monkey Knife Fight NHL Prop Picks – Win With These Picks Here and Get 100 Percent Bonus!

Steven Stamkos, David Pastrnak, Artemi Panarin – Over 2.5 Points – The 2.5 point bet is down to a 12/16 hit rate no thanks to a John Tavares assist getting reversed for touching a Winnipeg stick. Strangely, the Las Vegas skaters are not included in the star shootout options. However, we can make do.

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5 years ago 0 comments

Sports Betting Premium

Jacob’s Above Average Plays

Pick Management 5 years ago

written by Pick Management

Jacob’s Above Average Plays are back after a great 2-1 night. Today he has one NBA and two NHL plays that are going to continue our winning ways.

Take Miami Heat +1 versus Indiana Pacers ( 7:10 pm EST, Wednesday 8 January 2020)

I really like Miami going into this game as they face off against a banged-up Pacers team. Miami has won seven out of their last ten games, scoring an average of 111.11 points per game. They are also shooting great from behind the arc, shooting almost 38% (37.8%). They are led by Jimmy Butler, who is scoring just over twenty points per game (20.4), 6.9 rebounds, 6.6 assists, and Bam Adebayo, who is averaging 15.6 ppg, 10.6 rebounds, and 4.5 assists. These two have worked well not only as a powerhouse duo on offense, but have shut teams down defensively all year. It also helps that Miami has seven players who average more than ten points per game. They do not have just an above-average offense, but defense too. Miami ranks 10th in overall scoring defense allowing just 107.3 ppg to opposing teams, keeping them under a 45% shooting percentage (44.2%). Miami is one of the most balanced teams in the NBA – with the injury issues the Pacers are dealing with, Indiana could be in trouble.

The Pacers are coming into this game with power forward, Domantas Sabonis, listed as day-to-day with a knee injury, and point guard, Malcolm Brogdon, listed as out with a back injury. Sabonis and Brogdon are tied for second in scoring on the team, which is going to be a lot of points to make up for if Sabonis is out too.

Take Miami as one-point underdogs as they shut down the Pacers at home.

Take Washington Capitals -125 versus Philadelphia Flyers ( 7:30 pm EST, Wednesday 8 January 2020)

I’m going back to the well with the Capitals tonight as they travel to Philly to take on the Flyers.

Both of these teams have above-average offenses, but the Capitals are the better overall team. With both teams on back to back games, that makes me like the Capitals even more.

The Flyers are returning home for the first time after an awful six-game road trip. On this recent road trip, Philly won just one of those six games – averaging 2.6 goals and allowing 4.6 goals. Those are not the scores we have typically seen the Flyers put up or allow, as they have averaged over 3 goals a game (3.19) and have allowed 3.12 goals. Their recent below average form does not spell good news for them as they take on the number one team in the East, especially since Philadelphia has lost the last five versus Washington.

Washington, on the other hand, has continued to play above-average. They secured a win for us last night. They covered the puck line, beating Ottawa 6-1. They have scored an above-average 3.76 gpg on the road, which has led to them winning seventeen out of their twenty-three road games. Allowing just 3 gpg when on the road, they are ranked 13th in the NHL in scoring defense. With Philadelphia’s recent offensive woes, I see that trend continuing.

Take the Capitals to beat Philly -125. They have an above-average offense, defense, and Philly is playing awful lately. I see Washington scoring early and often as they continue their winning ways versus Philly.

Take Washington Capitals versus Philadelphia Flyers OVER 1.5 First Period -165( 7:30 pm EST, Wednesday 8 January 2020)

Both of these teams have been scoring a lot of goals this year. While I just listed how bad Philly has been playing, I do believe the Capitals can do this themselves. They are currently scoring 3.75 gpg on the road and Philly allows an above-average 4.6 goals per game, so I see the Capitals pouring in goals tonight. Washington is 5-2 on back-to-back games while Philly is 3-5, so the trends continue as to why the Capitals should score a lot in this game.

While Philly has been playing poorly as of late, the rest of the year they had scored a lot in games prior to their most recent road trip. They are 24-19 this year going over the total in the first period, so it isn’t like it hasn’t happened before – I just count more on the Capitals for this one.

Washington is playing great hockey and they score a lot. They are facing a team they have beat up on, winning seven of their last nine versus them. Take the over 1.5 goals in the first period as the Capitals get this one themselves.

5 years ago 0 comments

NHL

1/8 NHL DFS – The Daily Hot Shot

Chris Davies 5 years ago

written by Chris Davies

This article focuses on NHL DFS Picks for 1/8 on DraftKings and FanDuel. Both sites have fairly different scoring formats, particularly with the recent changes on DraftKings. We consider tournament tactics, statistics, pricing, and attempt to tackle this highly variable Daily Fantasy format so we can gain an edge on the field at large. BE SURE to double-check both regular and power play lines at both morning skate and before lock as they can drastically change from the time of publication.

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Top Three Lines

Washington One “FanDuel” – Alex Ovechkin, Tom Wilson, Nicklas Backstrom, Add-On: John Carlson

Washington Two “DraftKings” – Evgeny Kuznetsov, Jacob Vrana, T.J. Oshie

Both of these lines were very active last night in Washington’s demolition of the visiting Ottawa Senators. They get another decent matchup against a Flyers team that has been giving up a lot of goals lately, albeit more so on road ice than at home. Both teams come in on a back to back so that is a bit of a scratch. Your best bet is just to take what the sites give you and use Washington One on FanDuel where they are a little bit cheaper and likewise for Washington Two on DraftKings, as they come in at a massive discount on that site. The options are limited so if you would turn to the Capitals on a large slate like last night’s, there is no reason to be afraid on a three-game slate. Washington comes in a -130 road favorite and should be in a position to deliver.

Toronto One – Auston Matthews, Mitchell Marner, Zach Hyman, Powerplay Add-On: John Tavares

This line has popped up a ton in the winner’s circle this season and they draw another sweet matchup on home ice. The Winnipeg Jets have allowed the most road goals in the NHL this season and I would expect that statistic to continue beyond tonight. The top line of Auston Matthews, Mitchell Marner, and Zach Hyman is tied for most full line goals in the NHL over their last ten games with nine. Considering there was a .939 save percentage against during that span, this number could be even higher. The other night against Edmonton was mostly a troll goal night despite a late goal from Matthews. Knowing how Toronto can go off I also don’t mind a five-man with John Tavares and Willian Nylander on the short slate. This would help to consolidate most of the main two lines and give you four skaters on the top power-play unit. In the alternate, they should also fit nicely with one of Washington’s lines. Toronto is a heavy -195 home favorite at the time of writing so likely the chalk.

1/8 NHL DraftKings Rankings

Forwards

Auston Matthews – Toronto Maple Leafs – $7,900
Alex Ovechkin – Washington Capitals – $7,600
John Tavares – Toronto Maple Leafs – $7,200
T.J. Oshie – Washington Capitals – $5,000
Jakub Vrana – Washington Capitals – $4,800

Defensemen

John Carlson – Washington Capitals – $6,400
Dmitry Orlov – Washington Capitals – $3,400
Morgan Rielly – Toronto Maple Leafs – $5,400
Sean Walker – Los Angeles Kings – $3,100
Neal Pionk – Winnipeg Jets – $4,600

Goalies

Ben Bishop – Dallas Stars – $8,100
Jack Campbell – Los Angeles Kings – $7,200

1/8 NHL FanDuel Rankings

Forwards

Auston Matthews – Toronto Maple Leafs – $8,800
Alex Ovechkin – Washington Capitals – $8,500
John Tavares – Toronto Maple Leafs – $7,800
Jakob Vrana – Washington Capitals – $5,000
Nikolaj Ehlers – Winnipeg Jets – $4,900

Defensemen

John Carlson – Washington Capitals – $7,100
Neal Pionk – Winnipeg Jets – $4,200
Morgan Rielly – Toronto Maple Leafs – $5,000
Dimitri Orlov – Washington Capitals – $4,400
Michael Kempny – Washington Capitals – $3,600

Goalies

Ben Bishop – Dallas Stars – $8,800
Jack Campbell – Los Angeles Kings – $7,300

1/8 Monkey Knife Fight NHL Prop Picks – Win With These Picks Here and Get 100 Percent Bonus!

Alex Ovechkin/Auston Matthews/John Tavares- Over 2.5 Points – The 2.5 point bet is up to a 12/15 hit rate now. Let’s turn to my top three ranked studs on both sites with salary a non factor. Using both Auston Matthews and John Tavares should give us a little Toronto hedge.

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5 years ago 0 comments

Sports Betting

Cash with Flash 30 Day Handicapping Challenge Day 8!

Phil Naessens 5 years ago

written by Phil Naessens

Cash with Flash Best Bets is now on video and Flash has issued a 30 Day Cash with Flash Sports Handicapping Challenge. Cash with Flash picked the Detroit Pistons to defeat the Cleveland Cavaliers and that is exactly what happened last night. The Flash is now 5-2 for the challenge.

What is the Cash with Flash 30 Day Sports Handicapping Challenge? Flash shared the details in the first video of this series and everything that you need to know is in the video below.

Before we get to Day Eight of the Cash with Flash 30 Day Sports Handicapping Challenge, Flash would like to share a very special offer with you.

Cash with Flash Best Bets will gift the winner of the Cash with Flash Best Bets 30 Day Sports Handicapping Challenge with a one month Gold Membership to Win Daily Sports but in order to win the membership, we need you to do the following to help us keep score.

1). Follow @windailydfs and @cashwithflash on Twitter and Instagram.

2). Leave your picks with the hashtag #cashwithflash on Twitter or in our Discord Sports Betting Channel and include @windailysports and @cashwithflash so we can count

3). Missing a day or more won’t disqualify you from winning the FREE one month Win Daily Sports Gold membership. Just be sure to publish your picks with the hashtag #cashwithflash and the one with the highest winning percentage grabs the prize.

That’s all you have to do and the winner will receive a complimentary one month Gold Membership to Win Daily Sports.

Day Eight of the Cash with Flash Best Bets 30 Day Challenge is here and Flash has made his pick for the day in the following video.

https://youtu.be/RjpIJnPlp4w

Good luck and don’t forget to follow us on social media and tweet us your picks to be included in this contest.

The opinions expressed in this article are the author’s own and do not reflect the views or opinions of Win Daily or any of the employees and/or executives of Win Daily. All data and information provided on this site are for informational purposes only. Win Daily makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, currentness, suitability, or validity of any information on this site and will not be liable for any errors, omissions, or delays in this information or any losses, injuries, or damages arising from its display or use. All information is provided on an as-is basis.

5 years ago 0 comments

Sports Betting Premium

Jacob’s Above Average Plays

Pick Management 5 years ago

written by Pick Management

Jacob’s Above Average Plays are back after a few days off with three winners. He’s got one NBA and two NHL plays that are under the radar and we’re getting great value because of it. Make sure you get in on these plays so you can cash too!

Take Detroit Pistons -1 1st Quarter versus Cleveland Cavaliers ( 7:00 pm EST, Tuesday 7 December 2020)

Here we have two teams that are struggling, to say the least. Both the Pistons and the Cavaliers have had to deal with multiple injury issues this year, and it has obviously caused issues for their teams. Both teams have experienced, above-average players – but they do not have a great supporting cast and it is causing problems.

Cavalier’s long-time starter, Kevin Love, is the most frustrated player on the Cavaliers. He had an epic meltdown on Saturday following their pregame shoot around directed at Cav’s General Manager, Koby Altman, and the rest of the front office staff with Love stating there was “no feel here”. If you don’t know what that means, as a former basketball player let me explain: When there is “no feel” on a basketball team, it’s like five individuals playing their own game when you should be playing as a team. As you might imagine, that can be incredibly frustrating. Love then had a terrible game that night, scoring just twelve points in a 121-106 loss to the Thunder. So far this year, Love had been second in scoring on the team, averaging about eighteen points per game. Last night, it was announced that the Cavaliers have asked Kevin Love to help them trade him, which makes an awkward situation for everyone. The rest of the Cavaliers have struggled this year as well. The team has won fourteen of the thirty-six games played, but the focus here is the first quarter – so let’s get into that. This year, the Cavs are ranked 28th in the NBA in first-quarter points scored, with just 25.6 points. They have covered the spread in the first quarter just thirteen times this year out of the thirty-six played. At home, it has been even worse. Out of the nineteen home games played at home, the Cavs have covered in just five of those games. I have tried to find something about the Cavaliers that is above-average, but I can’t. They rank in the bottom 20 in just about every offensive stat, including points per game, rebounds, assists, blocks, steals, field goal percentage, three-point percentage/made, and more. The only thing I can find that is above-average about the Cav’s is how bad they are.

The Pistons have not exactly been a good team either. However, I believe (when healthy) that they can be. Detroit has been awful on the road, winning just six of the eighteen road games played – but at least I can find some above-average stats on them. As a team, they have a shooting percentage of 46%, which is good for 10th in the NBA. They are ranked third in three-pointers (37%), seventh in forced turnovers (14.1), and 5th in opponent rebounds (43.2). Detroit has been led by Andre Drummond, who is above-average in most of his stats this year. Scoring an average of seventeen ppg, grabbing an average of thirteen rebounds, a questionable Tristan Thompson, and Kevin Love appearing uninterested in playing for Cleveland – he should have a phenomenal game. The team has also been starting off hot in games. Overall, the Pistons have covered in the first quarter in twenty-two of their thirty-seven games, but it’s an even better record on the road. Detroit has covered against the spread in twelve of the nineteen games played on the road, which lands them at a way above-average 63%.

With the announcement that the Cavs are pushing to have Kevin Love traded in addition to the consistent locker room drama – I see them struggling a lot in this game. The Pistons have covered the first quarter spread in seven of their last ten games, and I see them coming out hot and trying to put Cleveland away early.

Take Colorado Avalanche vs New York Rangers OVER 1.5 1st Period -150 (7:30 pm EST, Tuesday 7 December 2020)

Here we have two above-average offenses that love to score and score early. The Avalanche are ranked second (28-15) in the NHL going over the total in the first period, and the Rangers are ranked second (26-15). The Avalanche are also tallying an above-average amount of shots on goal per game, almost 33 (32.98), which ranks them first in the NHL in shots on goal per game. However, the Rangers are shooting a ton of shots on goal as well: With 29.83 shots on goal per game, they are ranked 11th in shots on goal per game. Both teams are scoring an above-average amount of goals per game (Col 3.63 gpg/NYR 3.24 gpg) and I see this being a back and forth, high scoring game. While both teams are hitting the over in the first period more than 60% of the time, the Avalanche is even better on the road. When on the road this year, Colorado has gone over the first period total in seventeen out of twenty-two games for an outrageous 77.3%.

This is going to be a fast-paced, high scoring game. The Avalanche played last night, so I see them having some tired legs on defense which bodes well for a Rangers team playing on two days rest. Take OVER 1.5 goals in the first period.

(For this play to win, the score in the first period must go OVER 1.5 goals. Shop around as some places have gone to two goals.)

Take Washington Capitals -1.5 versus Ottawa Senators ( 7:00 pm EST, Tuesday 7 December 2020)

This game features two teams that could not be on more opposite ends of the spectrum. The Senators have been bottom feeders all this season, while the Capitals are the best team in the East. The Capitals are at home tonight and that spells trouble for the Senators.

This year, the Senators have been one of the worst defensive and offensive teams on the road. Ottawa has only been able to put together five road wins out of the twenty-two they have played. Scoring just 2.36 gpg and allowing 3.82 gpg, they are continuously beaten up on the road. Overall hasn’t been any better, either. They have won just sixteen of their forty-two games, and haven’t won in the last six. The fact that they have been playing so bad heading into this game is not good. The Capitals have dominated the Senators as of late, while the Senators have won just once in the last ten versus Washington, with an average score of 3.4 to 1.8.

The Capitals, on the other hand, are above-average in just about everything and it shows. Winning twenty-nine of the forty-three played, including 12-8 at home, they have been hard to beat. The Capitals are also averaging 3.6 goals per game, and that is well above average when compared to the rest of the league which averages 3.07 gpg. The Capitals are also owners of an above-average defense. They give up about three goals per game (2.95) to visiting teams when playing at home. They have dominated Ottawa and really do not like to let them score, which will continue tonight.

Washington is playing their perennial punching bag, the Ottawa Senators. There is nothing that has happened recently to change my mind on that, so I’m laying the goals with Washington. Take the Capitals -1.5 goals versus Ottawa.

5 years ago 0 comments

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NHL

1/2 NHL Monkey Knife Fight NHL Prop Picks – Win With These Picks Here and Get 100 Percent Bonus!

Top Expensive Lines

Washington One “FanDuel” – Nicklas Backstrom, Alex Ovechkin, Tom Wilson

Washington Two “DraftKings” – Evgeny Kuznetsov, Jakob Vrana, T.J. Oshie

Top Value Line

Carolina One – Andrei Svechnikov, Warren Foegele, Jordan Staal

1/11 NHL DraftKings Rankings

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Defensemen

Goalies

1/11 NHL FanDuel Rankings

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Defensemen

Goalies

1/11 Monkey Knife Fight NHL Prop Picks – Win With These Picks Here and Get 100 Percent Bonus!

Top Expensive Line

Colorado One – Nathan MacKinnon, Mikko Rantanen, Gabriel Landeskog

Top Value Line

Carolina One – Andrei Svechnikov, Warren Foegele, Jordan Staal

1/10 NHL DraftKings Rankings

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Defensemen

Goalies

1/10 NHL FanDuel Rankings

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Defensemen

Goalies

1/10 Monkey Knife Fight NHL Prop Picks – Win With These Picks Here and Get 100 Percent Bonus!

Top Three Lines

Boston One – Patrice Bergeron, David Pastrnak, Brad Marchand

Tampa Bay One – Nikita Kucherov, Brayden Point, Steven Stamkos

Las Vegas Two – Paul Stastny, Mark Stone, Max Pacioretty

1/9 NHL DraftKings Rankings

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Defensemen

Goalies

1/9 NHL FanDuel Rankings

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Defensemen

Goalies

1/9 Monkey Knife Fight NHL Prop Picks – Win With These Picks Here and Get 100 Percent Bonus!

Top Three Lines

Washington One “FanDuel” – Alex Ovechkin, Tom Wilson, Nicklas Backstrom, Add-On: John Carlson

Washington Two “DraftKings” – Evgeny Kuznetsov, Jacob Vrana, T.J. Oshie

Toronto One – Auston Matthews, Mitchell Marner, Zach Hyman, Powerplay Add-On: John Tavares

1/8 NHL DraftKings Rankings

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Defensemen

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1/8 NHL FanDuel Rankings

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1/8 Monkey Knife Fight NHL Prop Picks – Win With These Picks Here and Get 100 Percent Bonus!

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