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NHL DFS

NHL DFS Hot Shot for DraftKings and FanDuel (May. 3)

Richard Masana 3 years ago

written by Richard Masana

It’s playoff time! We have you covered for tonight’s four-game 5/3 NHL slate below.

5/3 NHL Main Slate of Games – Beginning 7 p.m. ET

Pittsburgh Penguins (+110) at New York Rangers (-125) – 5.5 Projected Goal Total

Washington Capitals (+185) at Florida Panthers (-230) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total

Nashville Predators (+255) at Colorado Avalanche (-320) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total

Dallas Stars (+180) at Calgary Flames (-225) – 6 Projected Goal Total

5/3 NHL Favorite Lines Per Dollar

Top Line – Florida Two ” Jonathan Huberdeau ($7,400), Sam Bennett ($4,200), Claude Giroux ($4,100)“

Surprisingly, none of the Panthers’ individual lines have been very statistically strong over the last two weeks. However, they draw the best matchup of any Eastern Conference teams, hosting the Capitals as -230 money line favorites tonight. This line features two skaters on the top power-play unit in Jonathan Huberdeau and Claude Giroux as opposed to the other two lines. They are also affordable, particularly when compared with more popular lines such as Colorado One and Calgary One. The Panthers have been amazing all season and I think they carry that over into the playoffs with a strong performance. Giroux in particular is way underpriced with six points in his last three games for only just over four thousand.

Secondary Line – Colorado One “Nathan MacKinnon ($8,600), Mikko Rantanen ($6,400), Valeri Nichuskin ($4,500)”

As of the time of writing, Nashville starting goalie Jusse Saros has been ruled out for both games one and two. While this line underwhelming by its standards for most of the season, the playoffs are the start of a new season. This matchup in Denver went down about a week ago and Nashville was able to push for an overtime victory. For that one, the Avs were around -215 favorites so quite a jump here to -320 but the assumption is they are healthier now “Mikko Rantanen had been day to day for that one” and likely more motivated. It seems as of the time of writing that Valeri Nichuskin will remain on the top line, providing us with some much-needed savings. You can fit

Top Defender

Noah Hanifan – Calgary – $4,300 – On a slate where we are absolutely desperate for salary, most defenseman quarterbacking power-play units are high-priced. Particularly, those playing for favorites. One notable exception is Noah Hanifan who has recently emerged as such for the Flames. Calgary of course are hefty -225 favorites hosting the Stars “more on that game below”. Since we don’t have any other exposure there, this gives us a nice hedge that helps make other pieces of the puzzle fit. It was only a matter of time Rasmus Andersson was going to get replaced as his production would need to be better in this type of role.

Top Goalie

Jacob Markstrom – Calgary – $8,100 – With Shesterkin sort of up and down, let’s turn to Jacob Markstrom against a Dallas team that generally wins close games with defense. He has been terrific all season with a 2.22 GAA and .922 save percentage. He’s backed by a great defense as the Flames will look to turn their recent reputation around this post-season.

5/3 NHL Best Bet

Florida Panthers 60 Min ML (-130) – 1 Unit – DraftKings – The Panthers have been great all season. Now is the time to translate their outstanding record into playoff success. Alex Ovechkin looks to be returning as of the time of writing but his return might not be enough for the Capitals here. Washington had ended the season on a poor note, dropping four straight.

Make sure to hop in our Expert Discord Chat for FREE! Rich will be there answering questions all day and all night! Follow Rich on Twitter @JFan303 and be sure to be on the lookout for future articles at https://windailysports.com/daily-fantasy-hockey/

3 years ago 0 comments

NHL

NHL DFS Man Advantage for DraftKings and FanDuel (May 2)

allenjesse24@yahoo.com 3 years ago

written by allenjesse24@yahoo.com

THE PLAYOFFS ARE FINALLY HERE!!! Hockey is an amazing, exciting sport. PLAYOFF hockey is about as good as it gets! Even if you don’t have a team in the tournament, this is the best time to watch hockey. The excitement gets ratcheted up 10-fold in the playoffs, as does the intensity. There is truly nothing like playoff hockey, and today, we start the best tournament in sports. Not only will we have an NHL DFS breakdown, but we will also preview the 4 series that start tonight. Let’s find the best NHL DFS picks for DraftKings and FanDuel. Good luck!

Playoff Notes

Best of the Best

The playoffs mean that each team will be throwing their best lines together, with their best players. Many guys will play pretty banged up during the playoffs, but that doesn’t always slow them down. This means that we don’t have to worry about line shuffling too much, unless a team gets down big in their series and gets desperate.

Schedule

From here on out, there will be no more than 4 games in a given NHL DFS slate, and, there will be no back-to-backs to worry about. We now have an ‘easier’ breakdown for each night. The matchups will be the same every other night, so for example, LAK/EDM play tonight, and will again on Wednesday, then Friday, and so on.

Home Ice Advantage

Home ice matters more for teams, now that they changed the line change rules, but home ice in the playoffs gives a slightly better edge. The intensity of the home crowd can energize a team and help swing momentum just a bit. You don’t get that element in a game in October.

NHL DFS in the Playoffs

How does all of this affect the NHL DFS aspect? In the playoffs, trends are huge. The first couple of games is kind of like a new season, where we can only use the stats and rates from the regular season. But as the games go on, trends will come out. If you follow these trends, you can have a ton of success playing NHL DFS in the playoffs. A good example is last year, when Tampa Bay got a lot of scoring from their third line. Not only did that depth scoring help lead them to a title, but it also helped when playing DFS. If you pick up on these trends, it can give you a slight edge on the field, who may not be following as closely.

Goalies

Mike Smith – Edmonton Oilers: The Oilers start out at home tonight against the Kings, who struggled to score on the road all year long. This is a really nice spot for Smith and the Oilers tonight.

Jack Campbell- Toronto Maple Leafs: There is some inherent risk involved in playing a goalie from this series, but there is also a lot of upside. The Leafs and the Lightning can both score, but Campbell has been the better of the two goalies towards the end of the season. He should see plenty of shots, and if he can stay solid, this is a great DFS play.

High Risk GPP Goalie Pick – Linus Ullmark – Boston Bruins: The Bruins are headed to Carolina to open their series against the Canes tonight. The matchup here is risky in itself, as the Canes have been playing well lately. This play is purely based on the shot volume. The Bruins can win this game, which would be a nice bonus for Ullmark. He played well to end the season, so let’s see if he can carry that over to the playoffs.

Lines to Build Around

These NHL DFS lines are considered top plays for the night and can be considered the focal point of your builds. They will be listed by position in the following order: Center/Winger/Winger/Correlating Defenseman (if applicable).

Edmonton Oilers Power Play – Connor McDavid/Leon Draisaitl/Ryan Nugent-Hopkins/Zach Hyman/Tyson Barrie: The Oilers have arguably the best matchup on the board tonight. Yes, the Kings got hot at the end of the season, but the Oilers really got it together and are just a better team overall. This power play unit gets you access up and down the lineup, and playing McDavid/Draisaitl together is never a bad thing, especially in the playoffs.

Toronto Maple Leafs 1 – Auston Matthews/Mitch Marner/Alexander Kerfoot/Morgan Rielly: The Leafs’ top line has a very, very nice matchup tonight. This game should be high event, and they will have plenty of chances. With the way that Vasilevskiy ended his season, this line should be able to ride the energy of their home crowd and pot a few goals tonight. You can consider running a power play look here also.

High Risk Lines

These are NHL DFS plays that carry significantly more risk, but could pay off at low ownership. They will be listed by position in the following order: Center/Winger/Winger/Correlating Defenseman (if applicable).

Boston Bruins 2 – Erik Haula/David Pastrnak/Taylor Hall: The second line for the Bruins has a nice little matchup tonight against the Canes. This line was doing a bunch of damage before Pasta went out. Now that he is back and the B’s are healthy, they should be able to get back to their scoring capability.

St. Louis Blues 1 – Robert Thomas/Pavel Buchnevich/Vladimir Tarasenko: This line is becoming “Old Reliable”, in that we can almost count on them for every slate they are on. They get a matchup tonight with the Wild where they should see their chances. The goalie matchup for them is favorable, so expect them to be in the mix tonight.

Minnesota Wild 1 – Ryan Hartman/Kirill Kaprizov/Mats Zuccarello/Jared Spurgeon: The Wild top line is also in a good spot in that STL/MIN game, and they should see their chances. Husso for the Blues was a little shaky to end the season, so this one could go either way. This top line became primary scoring for the Wild, and you can expect that to continue into the playoffs.

NHL DFS Honorable Mentions: CAR1, BOS1, LAK2, MIN2, TBL1, TOR2

Value Options – DraftKings

Consider these NHL DFS plays to help save you some salary in your lineups on DraftKings. Be sure to stack!

Center: Erik Haula ($3100) – Boston Bruins

Wing: Brandon Saad ($2900) – St. Louis Blues

Defense: Jake Muzzin ($2700) – Toronto Maple Leafs

Value Options – FanDuel

Consider these NHL DFS plays to help save you some salary in your lineups on FanDuel. Be sure to stack!

Center: Erik Haula ($4400) – Boston Bruins

Wing: Kailer Yamamoto ($4100) – Edmonton Oilers

Defense: Hampus Lindholm ($4200) – Boston Bruins

Cash Considerations – DraftKings and FanDuel

Consider these NHL DFS plays for your cash lineups on DraftKings and FanDuel. Cash lineups do not need to be stacked, and it is recommended to play no more than two players from a given team.

Center: Auston Matthews – Toronto Maple Leafs

Wing: Nikita Kucherov – Tampa Bay Lightning

Defense: Tyson Barrie – Edmonton Oilers

Goalie: Mike Smith – Edmonton Oilers

Player Props

In this section, we will highlight some NHL player props that we like for the upcoming NHL slate.

Vladimir Tarasenko (STL): anytime goal scorer

Steven Stamkos (TBL): over 0.5 points

Connor McDavid (EDM): anytime goal scorer AND over 1.5 points

Auston Matthews (TOR): anytime goal scorer

Series Previews

LAK v EDM

What a terrible draw for the Kings. This team scratched and clawed its way to a playoff spot, and then they get matched up with the only other hottest team in the West. The Kings, you have to give it to them, they really made a push there. However, this matchup just looks bad. On paper, the Oilers are a way better team up and down. The Kings have been somewhat streaky and those consistency issues can wreak havoc on your playoff chances. They might be able to put up a fight, but their path to winning this series appears to be very, very rocky. Oilers in 5.

TOR v TBL

This series should be a fun one to watch. The Leafs have been known for their early playoff exits recently, and they will be up against the criticism all series long. The Lightning are battling for their THIRD STRAIGHT title, and it will be a tall task for both teams. These teams are star-studded, and they both know how to show up. Expect this one to be an exciting, wide open series, with a good bit of scoring. The Lightning are great, of course, but they are facing some goaltending issues. If Vasilevskiy continues like he did at the end of the season, the Lightning are going to struggle. Leafs in 7.

BOS v CAR

The Bruins/Hurricanes series should see a little bit of everything. This one is going to be for more of the middle of the road fans, with a little bit of old time hockey mixed with some of the new speed and skill of the here and now. Both of these teams offer depth scoring, and they both have very good team chemistry. Boston is a good team at home, and it is tough to play in the Garden as an opposing team. They have a team that can slow down the Canes, and they may very well do that. However, this does not feel like the Bruins of the last few years. They have some holes in their game that the Canes might be able to exploit. In the end, this is going to be a tight series. Canes in 7.

MIN v STL

The Blues/Wild series is going to be an interesting one. On the Blues’ side, you have some playoff veterans who have been there (and even won a cup together). On the Wild side, you have a team that has been relying on its youth to get to where they are. Both teams play a different style. The Blues are a little more grind-it-out, and the Wild are a little more wide open. That should make for an interesting series. The keys here will come down to goaltending and depth scoring. Both teams have struggling goaltending, but only the Blues have more depth scoring. The Blues’ veteran “been there, done that” presence should give them a slight advantage in this one. Blues in 6.

Make sure to hop in our Expert Discord Chat for FREE! Jon and the NHL team will be there answering questions right up until lock! Be sure to be on the look out for future articles at https://windailysports.com/daily-fantasy-hockey/

All line combinations are courtesy of www.dailyfaceoff.com, and any advanced rates referenced in the above article are pulled from www.naturalstattrick.com.

3 years ago 0 comments

NHL

NHL DFS Friday Night Forecheck (Apr. 29)

allenjesse24@yahoo.com 3 years ago

written by allenjesse24@yahoo.com

On this, the final day of the NHL regular season, we are blessed with a MASSIVE 15 game slate. What is wild about tonight’s slate is that there is basically nothing left to play for, outside of first round matchups. The Stars locked up the last playoff spot on Wednesday, and the Panthers locked up the President’s Trophy last night. We will have full rosters for some teams, while others rest their stars to get ready for the playoffs. Because of this, we MUST pay attention to news throughout the day. Let’s find the best NHL DFS picks for DraftKings and FanDuel. Good luck!

Goalies

Casey DeSmith – Pittsburgh Penguins: The Pens host the Blue Jackets tonight in what should be a one-sided affair. The Pens should be able to handle Columbus, and DeSmith has been playing well of late.

Andre Vasilevskiy – Tampa Bay Lightning: The Lightning head to New York to take on the Islanders, who have been scoring a little bit, but should be no match for Tampa tonight.

Jake Oettinger – Dallas Stars: The Stars host the Ducks tonight in what should be a fairly easy matchup for them. However, keep an eye on this one. With the Stars clinching a playoff spot, they may choose to rest some of their players. If they do, then Oettinger becomes a little more risky.

High Risk GPP Goalie Pick – Jeremy Swayman – Boston Bruins: The Bruins are headed to Toronto tonight to take on the Leafs, who are resting their studs. This is a nice spot for Swayman, and he should be able to still see some decent shot upside.

Lines to Build Around

Pittsburgh Penguins 1 – Sidney Crosby/Jake Guentzel/Bryan Rust/Kris Letang: This line should have a field day against the Blue Jackets and J.F. Berube tonight. Berube is a pretty bad goalie, sporting a 3.61 GAA this season, and the Pens should be in a position to take full advantage.

Edmonton Oilers 1 – Connor McDavid/Evander Kane/Jesse Puljujarvi/Tyson Barrie: The Oilers host the Canucks tonight in a game they should be able to dominate. The Canucks have been playing well of late, but in their last five games, are still giving up a bunch of goals. The Oilers are red hot, and they should be able to continue that tonight.

Tampa Bay Lightning 1 – Steven Stamkos/Nikita Kucherov/Ondrej Palat/Victor Hedman: So long as this line stays together tonight, they should have a really nice night against the Islanders. The Lightning are priming for the playoffs, while the Isles are priming for the golf course. The Lightning are playing for the 3 seed, so expect these guys to get some playing time tonight.

Dallas Stars 1 – Roope Hintz/Joe Pavelski/Jason Robertson/John Klingberg: The Stars host the Ducks tonight, and this line should be in a great spot against the Ducks. The Stars are better on home ice, and this is their primary scoring line.

High Risk Lines

Nashville Predators 1 – Mikael Granlund/Matt Duchene/Filip Forsberg/Roman Josi: The Preds head to the desert tonight to take on the Coyotes in what is ultimately a meaningless game. Nashville should dominate this game overall, but expect goals to come from both sides of this game, thanks to poor goaltending.

Boston Bruins 2 – Erik Haula/David Pastrnak/Taylor Hall: With Pasta back in the fray for Boston, this line has become viable once again. Against the Leafs lineup that will be without its stars, this is a nice little chance to jump on them tonight.

Buffalo Sabres 1 – Tage Thompson/Jeff Skinner/Victor Olofsson/Rasmus Dahlin: This line is generally better with Tuch up there, but that doesn’t change the chances they should see tonight. Chicago looks to be rolling out Collin Delia in net tonight, which gives these guys even more upside.

St. Louis Blues 1 – Robert Thomas/Pavel Buchnevich/Vladimir Tarasenko: As usual, or so it seems over the last month or so, this line is in a good spot tonight against the Golden Knights. This line has been absolutely dominant for a while now, and there is no reason that can’t continue tonight.

Florida Panthers 1 – Sam Bennett/Sam Reinhart/Anthony Duclair/Ben Chiarot: The Panthers just continue to score, as we saw last night against the Sens. They rested a bunch of their starters and still put up 4 goals. Tonight, they get an even nicer matchup as they head north to Montreal to face the Canadiens.

NHL DFS Honorable Mentions: ARI2, CHI1, CGY1, MIN1, VAN1, MTL1, COL1

Value Options – DraftKings

Consider these NHL DFS plays to help save you some salary in your lineups on DraftKings. Be sure to stack!

Center: Erik Haula ($3300) – Boston Bruins

Wing: Patric Hornqvist ($2800) – Florida Panthers

Defense: Chris Tanev ($3300) – Calgary Flames

Value Options – FanDuel

Consider these NHL DFS plays to help save you some salary in your lineups on FanDuel. Be sure to stack!

Center: Erik Haula ($4600) – Boston Bruins

Wing: Jesse Puljujarvi ($4800) – Edmonton Oilers

Defense: Erik Brannstrom ($4100) – Ottawa Senators

Cash Considerations – DraftKings and FanDuel

Consider these NHL DFS plays for your cash lineups on DraftKings and FanDuel. Cash lineups do not need to be stacked, and it is recommended to play no more than two players from a given team.

Center: Sidney Crosby – Pittsburgh Penguins

Wing: Jason Robertson – Dallas Stars

Defense: Victor Hedman – Tampa Bay Lightning

Goalie: Jake Oettinger – Dallas Stars

Player Props

In this section, we will highlight some NHL player props that we like for the upcoming NHL slate.

Sidney Crosby (PIT): anytime goal scorer

Steven Stamkos (TBL): over 0.5 points

Connor McDavid (EDM): anytime goal scorer AND over 1.5 points

Roope Hintz (DAL): anytime goal scorer

All line combinations are courtesy of www.dailyfaceoff.com, and any advanced rates referenced in the above article are pulled from www.naturalstattrick.com.

3 years ago 0 comments

NHL Premium

NHL DFS Hot Shot for DraftKings and FanDuel (Apr. 28)

Richard Masana 3 years ago

written by Richard Masana

It’s the final Thursday of the NHL regular season and there are nine games to look forward to. It has been a lot of fun and we will be continuing with NHL content for at least the first couple of rounds of the playoffs so be sure to stay on the lookout!

4/28 NHL Main Slate of Games – Beginning 7 p.m. ET

Buffalo Sabres (+260) at Boston Bruins (-330) – 6 Projected Goal Total

Florida Panthers (-285) at Ottawa Senators (+225) – 7 Projected Goal Total

Tampa Bay Lightning (-275) at Columbus Blue Jackets (+220) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total

New Jersey Devils (+265) at Carolina Hurricanes (-340) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total

Washington Capitals (-135) at New York Islanders (+115) – 6 Projected Goal Total

Nashville Predators (+190) at Colorado Avalanche (-235) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total

Calgary Flames (-110) at Minnesota Wild (-110) – 6 Projected Goal Total

Los Angeles Kings (+105) at Vancouver Canucks (-125) – 6 Projected Goal Total

San Jose Sharks (+275) at Edmonton Oilers (-350) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total

4/28 NHL Favorite Lines Per Dollar

Top Line – Edmonton One ” Connor McDavid ($8,400), Evander Kane ($5,800), Kailer Yamamoto ($2,800)“

The Oilers have been absolutely on fire as of late. They are coming in this matchup against the Sharks after cruising over Pittsburgh on the road. The Oilers might have things wrapped up but are still playing hard as they look to build some momentum.

Over the last ten games, Edmonton One’s 113 SATF “which includes all shot attempts, even missed shots” is good for fifth-best among all NHL lines. However, they only have a paltry three goals to show for it. I would expect some positive regression here as the most talented grouping “excluding Draisaitl just referring to who’s made up this line” has returned.

Secondary Line – Colorado One “Nathan MacKinnon ($8,900), Mikko Rantanen ($7,200), Valeri Nichushkin ($5,500)”

Nashville has played admirably defensively all season. However, after indirectly clinching a playoff spot and also losing star goaltender Jusse Saros, that might be about to change. Colorado put up an impressive home win the other night against the red hot Blues. They are -235 favorites on the money line for this one with a 6.5 game total. Mikko Rantanen did sit the other night so you will have to double-check lineups before puck drop. However, that goes for virtually every game tonight.

4/28 NHL Honorable Mention/Value Line: Carolina Three “Jesper Fast ($2,500), Nino Neidereiter ($3,600), Jordan Staal ($3,600)”

For the final Honorable Mention/Value Line we have yet another off-the-board, giant mass entry tournament style play. As you can see from the screenshot above, this line has had strong peripheral stats for a third line recently. Really they’ve been fairly solid all season. I wouldn’t play them in a smaller single-entry tournament but they make for a great large tournament flyer. Carolina has a terrific matchup as they enter the night as -340 money line favorites against the struggling Devils in a 6.5 total game.

Top Defender

Jordan Spence – L.A. Kings- $3,000 – Sean Durzi has been bumped from the quarterback role on the Kings’ power play with Drew Doughty still out. For this price, just $500 over the dead minimum, we can’t find much more value. If looking to correlate, Spence plays on the second line but I don’t think there’s any need to go there tonight with such a large slate.

Top Goalie

Andrei Vasilevskiy – Tampa Bay Lightning – $8,100 – Tampa Bay couldn’t be hotter right now and Vas is getting ready for another playoff run. For the $8,100, priced below a number of other goalies, why wouldn’t we just take the most consistent man in the business? The Lightning are -275 money line favorites tonight and there should be at least some shot volume from Columbus.

4/28 NHL Best Bet

Colorado Avalanche 60 Minute Moneyline (-143) – 1 Unit – Bet Rivers – It seems like Mikko Rantanen might return but even if not, the Avs have enough firepower here at home. The loss of goaltender Jusse Saros for this game due to injury is a big loss for the traveling Predators. I wouldn’t be surprised to see them rest a number of other players after just clinching a playoff spot the other night. Thus, the current -143 on the Avs 60-minute money line makes sense on a Thursday night where you have a lot of huge favorites against terrible underdogs.

3 years ago 0 comments

NHL Premium

NHL DFS Hot Shot for DraftKings and FanDuel (Apr. 26)

Richard Masana 3 years ago

written by Richard Masana

It’s the final Tuesday of the regular season and there is no shortage of games on the 4/26 NHL slate. As we dive in below, let’s look at the complete odds “courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook”, a few top lines, a top defenseman, a top goalie, and our best bet for tonight!

4/26 NHL Main Slate of Games – Beginning 7 p.m. ET

Florida Panthers (-130) at Boston Bruins (+115) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total

Detroit Red Wings (+340) at Toronto Maple Leafs (-450) – 7 Projected Goal Total

New Jersey Devils (+110) at Ottawa Senators (-130) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total

Edmonton Oilers (+135) at Pittsburgh Penguins (-155) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total

New York Islanders (+150) at Washington Capitals (-175) – 6 Projected Goal Total

Carolina Hurricanes (+100) at New York Rangers (-120) – 5.5 Projected Goal Total

Columbus Blue Jackets (+290) at Tampa Bay Lightning (-380) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total

Arizona Coyotes (+425) at Minnesota Wild (-600) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total

Calgary Flames (-140) at Nashville Predators (+120) – 6 Projected Goal Total

Vegas Golden Knights (+100) at Dallas Stars (-120) – 5.5 Projected Goal Total

St. Louis Blues (+150) at Colorado Avalanche (-175) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total

Seattle Kraken (+185) at Vancouver Canucks (-230) – 6 Projected Goal Total

Anaheim Ducks (+120) at San Jose Sharks (-135) – 5.5 Projected Goal Total

4/26 NHL Favorite Lines Per Dollar

Top Line – Minnesota One ” Ryan Hartman ($5,900), Kirill Kaprizov ($8,000), Mats Zuccarello GTD ($5,400)“

The Wild enter the night as mind-blowing -600 home favorites against the Coyotes, as they prepare for the playoffs. The top line listed above has had a phenomenal season. They have scored the second most full-line goals in the NHL, only behind Calgary One. It bears watching but Mats Zuccarello did not travel for the Wild’s game in Nashville on Sunday, although the assumption is he will play tonight. Their nine full-line goals over the last ten games are good for sixth in the NHL over that timeframe so they remain on point, even as the season nears its close. While the Minnesota second line is actually ahead of them in goals scored by one across the more recent timeframe, this line has better peripheral stats. If Zuccarello were to remain out, it would be Nick Bjugstad filling out the line again.

Secondary Line – Toronto One “Auston Matthews ($9,200), Mitchell Marner ($7,500), Nick Abruzzese ($2,500)”

Here we have the chalk of the night, but how could we ignore them? We have the second-highest scoring line in the NHL over the last ten games here. Not to mention their team are -450 favorites in a seven total game against a Red Wings team that has thrown in the towel. I just hate eating chalk on such a huge slate but their ownership percentage will likely be at least somewhat diluted on that basis. Michael Bunting is injured now and will miss time but perhaps that will only strengthen this line further, given that he is its least productive member. Nick Abruzzese will be filling in for the dead minimum price giving us some quality savings to offset the total cost of this line.

4/26 NHL Honorable Mention: Tampa Bay One “Steven Stamkos ($6,900), Nikita Kucherov ($7,300), Ondrej Palat ($2,900)”

Tampa Bay might not have any lines in the NHL’s top twenty lines but this time of the year that doesn’t matter much. The Lightning, more than most teams, usually find a way to get ready quickly heading towards the playoffs. If their display against the Panthers and Maple Leafs over their last two games means anything, they are ready now. Let’s just roll with the affordably priced top line to put on a show as -370 favorites against the defensively challenged Blue Jackets.

Top Defender

Mark Giordano – Toronto – $4,100 – There are other appealing options for a bit more, but let’s roll the dice with Giordano one more time. The price tag allows us to spend elsewhere and the matchup itself is spectacular.

Top Goalie

Marc-Andre Fleury – Minnesota Wild – $8,500 – Flower isn’t what he used to be but facing the Coyotes with the Wild -600 favorites both a shutout and win are in play here.

4/26 NHL Best Bet

Seattle Kraken +1.5 (-125) – 1 Unit – DraftKings – Projected starter in net for the Canucks, Thatcher Demko has been awful over his last three games. Vancouver is now virtually eliminated from playoff contention which might take away some of the bite from their home edge and stellar home record to date. The Kraken has been competitive as of late and despite some horrors early on this season in Vancouver, I think they keep at least things close.

3 years ago 0 comments

NHL

NHL DFS Man Advantage for DraftKings and FanDuel (Apr. 25)

allenjesse24@yahoo.com 3 years ago

written by allenjesse24@yahoo.com

On this final Monday of the regular season, we have a single game showdown slate. Tonight’s game features the Philadelphia Flyers taking on the Chicago Blackhawks in Chicago at 8pm Eastern. Let’s find the best NHL DFS picks for DraftKings and FanDuel. Good luck!

Slate Notes

Tonight, we have a showdown slate! These can be super fun, but they are also very volatile. In the breakdown below, we will highlight the line matchups as well as some intriguing value plays. If you haven’t already, make sure you check out our NHL DFS Showdown Strategy Guide for guidance on building your lineups for tonight.

Philadelphia Flyers @ Chicago Blackhawks

Implied Vegas Totals: PHI 3.1 / CHI 3.6

Tale of the Tape: Well, what a game to have for a showdown. These are two teams who are well outside the playoff hunt, so this game basically means nothing. Philly played yesterday afternoon, while the Hawks last played on Friday. Both of these teams come into this game giving up over 4 goals per game in their last five, and they are both in the bottom of the rankings on special teams.

Poor defensive play means variance, which just adds volatility to the already volatile nature of showdown. The reality is, scoring can come from anywhere tonight, so it will be a tough one to play. It is safe to assume that there will be a lot of goals tonight, so power play stacks (see Showdown Guide) may be the way to go.

The reality is, this game is way up for grabs, and either team can win, realistically. If you are looking to bet the game, a bet of over 6.5 is probably a safe one. Chicago probably gets a slight edge here, with the Flyers traveling on a back to back, but that is a risky bet.

Goalie Matchup: Felix Sandstrom vs. Kevin Lankinen

YUCK! These goalies tonight are not what we would consider good. Starting with Sandstrom, he is an AHL goalie who has been called up due to an injury to Carter Hart. He is basically backup to the backup, and he is still very green. He only has three NHL games under his belt, and a career GAA over 3.

On the other hand, Lankinen comes into this game around the same age (26), but with plenty more experience at an NHL level (67 games). Lankinen carries a 3.62 GAA this season, which is massive, and just has not been very good.

With all of that being said, one of these goalies has to get a win. Both teams are 1-4 in their last five games, and it really is a coin flip. However, from a DFS standpoint, it is very possible that neither goalie is optimal tonight.

Line Matching Notes

With this game being in Chicago, we have to go by what the Hawks do with their line matching.

Top Line: The Hawks’ top line generally matches the bottom two D pairings of their opposition on home ice. That being said, this will generally set them up against the depth of the opposing team. They still spend a few minutes per game against the top line, but their focus is the second and third lines.

Second Line: The Hawks’ second line tends to spend their time mostly against the opposing top line. We can’t quite consider this a hard match, as they spend a little bit of time against the second and third lines, but it is minimal.

Third Line: The Hawks’ third line fills in for the second line when needed, so they see a little bit of time against the opposing top line. Otherwise, they see a lot of the opposing third and fourth lines.

Fourth Line: The Hawks’ fourth line is used occasionally in the same spot as the third, but will mostly see the 3rd and 4th lines for the Flyers tonight.

Put it all Together: These matchups put both the Philly second line and the Hawks’ top two lines in play tonight, and will be a good place to start your lineups.

Lines to Target

CHI1 – Dylan Strome/Patrick Kane/Alex Debrincat/Seth Jones: The top line for the Hawks has a very solid matchup tonight against the depth for the Flyers.

CHI2 – Jonathan Toews/Tyler Johnson/Dominik Kubalik: The second line for the Hawks has arguably the best matchup on the board tonight, from an even strength perspective.

PHI2 – Joel Farabee/Bobby Brink/James van Riemsdyk: This second Philly line is in a decent spot, but they have lacked scoring recently. However, keep in mind that the whole team was allergic to scoring until yesterday’s game against Pittsburgh.

Others to Consider: PHI3 has gotten a lot of scoring recently

The Build Options

These are build recommendations based on the NHL Showdown Strategy Guide

Chicago Power Play – Patrick Kane or Alex Debrincat captain

Sandstrom Captain/PHI2

Philly Power Play – Farabee or Brink captain

Value Plays

These are value plays that offer upside at a very low salary

Caleb Jones (D)

Noah Cates (W)

Ronnie Attard (D)

Taylor Raddysh (W)

Bobby Brink (W)

Player Props

These are some interesting player props for tonight’s showdown

Patrick Kane (CHI): anytime goal scorer

Alex Debrincat (CHI): over 1.5 points

Ivan Provorov (PHI): over 0.5 points

All line combinations are courtesy of www.dailyfaceoff.com, and any advanced rates referenced in the above article are pulled from www.naturalstattrick.com.

3 years ago 0 comments

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NHL DFS Hot Shot for DraftKings and FanDuel (Apr. 23)

Richard Masana 3 years ago

written by Richard Masana

With the regular season slowly coming to a close we have an action-packed eight-game 4/23 NHL Saturday slate.

4/23 NHL Main Slate of Games – Beginning 7 p.m. ET

Chicago Blackhawks (+130) at San Jose Sharks (-150) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total

Toronto Maple Leafs (+135) at Florida Panthers (-155) – 7 Projected Goal Total

Montreal Canadiens (+140) at Ottawa Senators (-160) – 6 Projected Goal Total

Nashville Predators (+145) at Tampa Bay Lightning (-165) – 6 Projected Goal Total

Seattle Kraken (+220) at Dallas Stars (-275) – 6 Projected Goal Total

St. Louis Blues (-370) at Arizona Coyotes (+290) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total

Vancouver Canucks (+195) at Calgary Flames (-245) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total

Anaheim Ducks (+205) at Los Angeles Kings (-260) – 6 Projected Goal Total

4/23 NHL Favorite Lines Per Dollar

Top Line – St. Louis One “Vladimir Tarasenko ($7,600), Robert Thomas ($6,100), Pavel Buchnevich ($6,400)”

One of the Thursday slate regulars it seems for quite a while, the Blue’s top line makes its way over to a Saturday article. They are blessed tonight as easily slate high -370 money line favorites against the putrid Coyotes. They weren’t phenomenal the other night but came through enough with two full-line goals. They remain relatively affordable despite a price increase as of late. I am sort of surprised this game is a 6.5 total but we can assume which side where most of that total will come from.

Over the last ten games, St. Louis One leads all lines in the NHL in terms of full-line goals scored.

Secondary Line – Calgary One “Elias Lindholm ($6,800), Johnny Gaudreau ($7,200), Matthew Tkachuk ($6,600)”

The Flames are sizable -245 money line favorites tonight on a slate where you have a lot of good teams but not a ton of great lines. Calgary One in some form is never too far from leaderboards and despite messing around this week, the primary trio has been reunited. Strangely enough, I think they go under the radar here with so many high total games going on early on at lock.

4/23 NHL Honorable Mention/Value Line: Dallas One “Jason Robertson ($6,200), Roope Hintz ($6,700), Joe Pavelski ($5,800)”

This line could have easily been the secondary line instead as they arguably have a better matchup than Calgary One. However, Dallas has not really been blowing people out and this line has been steady lately but not tournament winning terrific. Perhaps tonight is finally the night they blow up. Their peripheral stats are up there with the lines listed above “in fact stronger than St. Louis One’s”.

Top Defender

Sean Durzi – Los Angeles Kings – $4,700 – With Drew Doughty out, Sean Durzi gets a slight bump in ice time but primarily a promotion to the top power-play unit. He has been rewarding DFS owners with double-digits DraftKings points in four of his last six games. Tonight, the Kings host the Ducks as -260 money line favorites, so a good spot for Durzi to continue his recent success.

Top Goalie

Ville Husso – St. Louis – $8,500 – Husso last started Tuesday with Jordan Binnington going Thursday. With the Blues on a back-to-back, the expectation is he will draw the start here. For a few hundred DFS dollars why not pay up for Husso who has been stellar with a 2.46 GAA and .923 save percentage, with his team as -370 money line favorites against a low-scoring team? I hate paying up for goalie but tonight, I think it makes sense.

4/23 NHL Best Bet

L.A. Kings 60 Minute ML (-155) DraftKings– A huge game for L.A. against a cross-town rival, let’s take the 60 minute ML here. They beat them in Anaheim earlier this week and will look to repeat.

3 years ago 0 comments

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NHL DFS Friday Night Forecheck for DraftKings and FanDuel (Apr. 22)

allenjesse24@yahoo.com 3 years ago

written by allenjesse24@yahoo.com

The penultimate Friday Night Forecheck of the NHL regular season breaks down a small, four game slate. Within those four games, there are four top-end offenses and a marquee matchup, making for an interesting slate. Let’s find the best NHL DFS picks for DraftKings and FanDuel. Good luck!

Goalies

Ilya Samsonov – Washington Capitals: The Capitals are on a Western road swing, and the have a visit tonight to Arizona. Samsonov should have a very good shot at a win, and this is considered the safest play on the goalie board tonight.

Marc-Andre Fleury – Minnesota Wild: The Wild host the Kraken tonight in a game they should be able to win, and fairly easily. MAF should get the start, and is in a very good spot. The Kraken have been scoring, but not on the road, so this becomes a spot that we can definitely use.

High Risk GPP Goalie Pick – Mike Smith – Edmonton Oilers: The Oilers/Avalanche game should be the marquee matchup tonight, and the Oilers may have a slight advantage because the Avs are slightly depleted at the moment. With both Rantanen and Landeskog out of the lineup, the lean is that the Oilers should get the win. Smith has been playing well, and he should see a ton of shots tonight. Hopefully, this is not the night where he regresses, as the upside potential is very nice here. You can also consider Elvis Merzlikins (CBJ) in this spot if you prefer. He is not quite as risky, but the play makes sense. He just has been shaky all year, so it becomes a tough sell.

Lines to Build Around

Washington Capitals 1 – Evgeny Kuznetsov/Alex Ovechkin/Tom Wilson/John Carlson: The Caps should dominate tonight, and they should do so with this line. They are in a great spot against the lowly Coyotes tonight. Expect them to be heavily owned, and rightly so.

Edmonton Oilers 1 – Connor McDavid/Evander Kane/Jesse Puljujarvi/Tyson Barrie: There are a couple of ways you can approach the Oilers tonight. First, you can just run this line out as is. They do have the more favorable matchup tonight against the Avs. The risk with that approach is that you may get absolutely nothing from Puljujarvi and/or Kane, and it’s tough to determine who will help on this line. Secondly, you can just pair McDavid and Draisaitl together, but that hamstrings your lineup salary wise. Either way you choose is good though, because Edmonton is in a great spot in what should be a fairly wide open game.

High Risk Lines

Colorado Avalanche 2 – Nazem Kadri/Andre Burakovsky/J.T. Compher: On the other side of the Edmonton game, we have the Avs, and we know what they are capable of. However, with Rantanen out, the top line takes a hit, so the second line looks like a slightly better play. You can run a similar approach with Avs, like mentioned above, but pairing MacKinnon and Kadri. The correlation is enough on the power play, and the primary offense should run through them.

Minnesota Wild 2 – Frederick Gaudreau/Matt Boldy/Kevin Fiala: If we are looking to play Colorado, Washington, AND Edmonton in some way, we will absolutely NEED some value. Enter Minnesota’s second line. This line should see a lot of the third line for Seattle, and are up against Grubauer in net. They should have plenty of chances to light the lamp tonight, and should give us a good bit of leverage on the field.

Columbus Blue Jackets 1 – Jack Roslovic/Gustav Nyquist/Jakub Voracek/Jake Bean: As much as it might seem like we need to fade this game, it looks like this could be another leverage spot. The field should be focused on the big names tonight, and this line has a real chance at multiple points in this game. The Senators are rolling out Gustavsson in net tonight, and he has some rough looking numbers. On top of that, Ottawa has been giving up 3 goals per game over their last five. There is some risk in this play, but there is also a good bit of upside.

NHL DFS Honorable Mentions: WSH3, MIN1, OTT1

Value Options – DraftKings

Consider these NHL DFS plays to help save you some salary in your lineups on DraftKings. Be sure to stack!

Center: Jack Roslovic ($3300) – Columbus Blue Jackets

Wing: J.T. Compher ($2600) – Colorado Avalanche

Defense: Jake Bean ($3000) – Columbus Blue Jackets

Value Options – FanDuel

Consider these NHL DFS plays to help save you some salary in your lineups on FanDuel. Be sure to stack!

Center: J.T. Compher ($4600) – Colorado Avalanche

Wing: Jakub Voracek ($4800) – Columbus Blue Jackets

Defense: Jake Bean ($3600) – Columbus Blue Jackets

Cash Considerations – DraftKings and FanDuel

Consider these NHL DFS plays for your cash lineups on DraftKings and FanDuel. Cash lineups do not need to be stacked, and it is recommended to play no more than two players from a given team.

Center: Connor McDavid – Edmonton Oilers

Wing: Alex Ovechkin – Washington Capitals

Defense: Jake Bean – Columbus Blue Jackets

Goalie: Ilya Samsonov – Washington Capitals

Player Props

This is a newly added section to the Friday Night Forecheck, where we will highlight some NHL player props that we like for the upcoming NHL slate.

Jakub Voraceck (CBJ): anytime goal scorer

Matt Boldy (MIN): over 0.5 points

Connor McDavid (EDM): anytime goal scorer AND over 1.5 points

Alexander Ovechkin (WSH): anytime goal scorer

All line combinations are courtesy of www.dailyfaceoff.com, and any advanced rates referenced in the above article are pulled from www.naturalstattrick.com.

3 years ago 0 comments

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NHL DFS Man Advantage for DraftKings and FanDuel (Apr. 18)

rmferenc@gmail.com 3 years ago

written by rmferenc@gmail.com

Welcome to the NHL DFS Man Advantage for a Monday night. This week we have a good size six-game slate for a Monday. This is a late starting slate with lock coming at 8 pm EDT and four games starting at 10 pm or later.

NHL Bets:

Check discord on Monday for any potential bets. With trades being made some lines will most likely change.

NHL DFS: Goalies

Cash Game/Single Entry Goalie

Jacob Markstrom ( @ Chicago)

Markstrom is the best goalie on the slate in the best spot on Monday. With Frederick Andersen being out injured, Markstrom moves to the top goalie spot on this slate. Antti Raanta is a decent goaltender, but Markstrom is much better. After back-to-back bad starts, Markstrom was on point in his last start against Arizona. There is a chance Markstrom doesn’t start on Monday with Calgary playing on Tuesday in Nashville. If Vladar starts, I might consider bumping up to Raanta against Arizona.

Other Options: Antti Raanta (@ Arizona)

GPP Goalies:

There are two goalies that pop off the screen at me for GPP’s on Monday. Logan Thompson (VGK) at home versus the Devils, and Anton Forsberg (Ott) on the road in Seattle. Both goalies are not premier names and probably won’t win a Vezina anytime soon, but they have both been playing well this season and are in plus matchups. Thompson may not start if Robin Lehner returns after leaving the team for personal reasons, but if Lehner is back, he is just as good of a play.

As for Forsberg, he has been a pleasant surprise for Ottawa this season. Seattle has been playing .500 hockey of late but has only scored 15 goals in their last six. Both of these goalies are risky and will probably be overlooked in favor of Raanta and Markstrom, but they both could give you better production for their price, especially Forsberg.

Other Options: Darcy Kuemper (vs Washington), Thatcher Demko (vs Dallas), Philipp Grubauer (vs Ottawa)

NHL DFS: Slate Overview

Colorado is always popular when they’re on the slate, and Monday should be no different. I have them as my top team on the slate, and their top line is the top line stack on this slate. They will also be a popular stack, so I will look at two other spots that could be just as fruitful.

Line stacks to build around:

Calgary L1 (Tkachuk – Lindholm – Gaudreau)

Calgary’s top line was split up for a bit, but they are back together and haven’t missed a beat since Tkachuk rejoined the line. Speaking of Tkachuk, he has ten points (6g – 4a) in his last five games and Gaudreau has 6 goals himself in his last five. If you wanted to run two forwards with a dman, I suggest either Noah Hanifin or Rasmus Andersson.

Both of Calgary’s second and third lines are also in play for value, especially Blake Coleman and Dillon Dube on line 3 as both are min priced on DK.

Carolina Hurricanes L1 (Svechnikov – Aho – Jarvis)

This line has not been as productive as Calgary’s top line, but Arizona is probably the worst defensive team in the league. The Coyotes have allowed five goals or more in six straight games and are coming off back-to-back games allowing 7 or more.

While I do think I will have exposure to the top line, I will also have at least one lineup with the Hurricanes’ 3rd line in it as well. Jordan Staal has six goals in his last five and Niederreiter and Fast have three assists each in that stretch.

Other Top Stacks: Vegas L1 (Dadonov – Eichel – Roy W/Theodore on D), Ottawa L1 (B. Tkachuk – Norris – Brown W/Hamonic, or Del Zotto on D), Vancouver L1 (Garland – Horvat – Pettersson W/Ekman-Larsson or Myers, or Schenn on D), Washington L1 (Ovechkin – Kuznetsov – Sheary W/Carlson, Orlov, or Schultz on D), Chicago L1 (Kane – Strome – DeBrincat W/ S. Jones, McCabe, Stillman on D)

Value Stacks:

Vancouver L2: Podkolzin – Miller – Chiasson
Seattle L1: Eberle – Beniers – Donato
Colorado L2: Lehkonen – Compher – Burakovsky – W/Makar, Manson, Toews on D
New Jersey L2: Tatar – Mercer – Bratt – W/Severson, Bahl, Hamilton on D
Chicago L2: Raddysh – Toews – Johnson

Thanks for reading this article on the NHL DFS Man Advantage for today. Make sure you head to the Win Daily Sports Discord for up-to-date info and help directly from our pros! Head over to Twitter and give the @WinDailySports account and me (@MVecchio81) a follow! W cover all things Fantasy Sports and make sure to check out WinDailySports.com for more money-making content.

3 years ago 0 comments

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NHL DFS Hot Shot for DraftKings and FanDuel (Apr. 16)

Richard Masana 3 years ago

written by Richard Masana

Let’s get ready for a loaded nine-game 4/16 NHL slate with a few huge favorites and quite a few interesting games to target. Full game odds, top lines of the night, best bet, and much more below!

4/16 NHL Main Slate of Games – Beginning 7 p.m. ET

Philadelphia Flyers (+115) at Buffalo Sabres (-135) – 6 Projected Goal Total

Washington Capitals (-270) at Montreal Canadiens (+215) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total

Toronto Maple Leafs (-280) at Ottawa Senators (+225) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total

Winnipeg Jets (+200) at Tampa Bay Lightning (-250) – 5.5 Projected Goal Total

San Jose Sharks (+165) at Dallas Stars (-205) – 6 Projected Goal Total

Carolina Hurricanes (+115) at Colorado Avalanche (-140) – 6 Projected Goal Total

Arizona Coyotes (+360) at Calgary Flames (-475) – 6 Projected Goal Total

New Jersey Devils (+115) at Seattle Kraken (-135) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total

Columbus Blue Jackets (+160) at Los Angeles Kings (-195) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total

4/16 NHL Favorite Lines Per Dollar

Top Line – Toronto One “Auston Matthews ($9,400), Mitchell Marner ($8,400), Michael Bunting ($4,500)”

A common mention here as of late, the Maple Leafs’ top line should be the chalk of the night. They haven’t shown any sign of slowing down their roll as of late. Auston Matthews in particular is a man possessed. The Leafs draw a road matchup with the hapless Senators, entering -280 money line favorites with a 6.5 implied goal total for the game. If salary is an issue, Mitchell Marner is the one I would leave off. Toronto’s top line continues to lead all NHL lines in total goals over the last ten games with strong peripheral stats to support their performance. This is all said, with price and ownership considered heads up, I may fade them in my personal lineup.

Secondary Line – Calgary One “Elias Lindholm ($6,600), Johnny Gaudreau ($7,200), Andrew Mangiapane ($4,000)”

While their game should be on the lower-scoring side “six total”, as whopping -475 money line favorites, the assumption is that it will be Calgary getting most of that six. I don’t know what more to say about Calgary. I considered writing up a Washington line here as they have a strong matchup. As mentioned many times this season in the Hot Shot, they lead all NHL lines for the season in total goals scored by a wide margin. They also usually come in at lower ownership than the likes of a Toronto top line or Colorado top line just for some examples. The switch from Matthew Tkachuk to Andrew Mangiapane allows us a little extra salary saving in order to make other things fit.

4/16 NHL Honorable Mention/Value Line: Dallas One “Jason Robertson ($5,500), Roope Hintz ($5,700), Joe Pavelski ($5,300)”

It is impossible to combine both of the top lines mentioned above. Therefore, here’s a high upside “value” line of sorts that you can use to at least get the better part of one of the lines above tucked in. I wrote them up Thursday in a much tougher matchup hosting the Wild as underdogs. Tonight, they are -205 money line favorites as the low-scoring, boring Sharks come to town. Their 149 SATF “including all shot attempts even missed shots” is second in the NHL over the last ten games, second only to Edmonton’s top line.

Top Defender

Rasmus Andersson – Calgary Flames – $4,200 – Figure Calgary One is listed above, so here’s some additional correlation. Andersson certainly hasn’t been a prolific scorer but quarterbacks the power-play unit and grabs his fair share of assists. He has a double correlation with the top line and comes in at a fair price.

Top Goalie

Jake Oettinger – Dallas Stars – $8,100 – Let’s roll with Oettinger here, sticking with the theme of taking someone from a team with a line listed above. The Sharks haven’t been scoring much, the Stars are big home favorites, and Oettinger’s 2.53 GAA and .914 save percentage this season are more than respectable.

4/16 NHL Best Bet

Colorado Avalanche ML (-135) DraftKings/Bet MGM/Ceasars – Both teams have been great all season but at the current odds I think you back the home team, winners of eight straight. Carolina has been relatively average over their last ten and given the Hurricanes took the first matchup 2-0 earlier this season, this seems like where the Avs get their revenge.

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