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NHL DFS Betting Picks (Apr. 15)

jamie calkins
written by jamie calkins

NHL Betting Picks Thursday 4/15

Welcome to Keith’s NHL Betting Picks Thursday 4/15. The Model sputtered a little bit going 1-2 last night. The Jets giving up a goal with 12 seconds left to not cover the -1.5 at +146 hurt a lot. Two super soft penalties called against them led to a Senators 6-on-3 with 15 seconds left and they scored right off the faceoff. The Habs also laid a stinker against the Flames. At least that over hit or you might not be hearing from me today (kidding). We move on to Thursday.

We have 9 games on the NHL slate tonight. Let’s take a look at the updated profitability and over win percentages for the teams playing today.

Dashboard 1

To interact with the dashboard click here.

Dashboard Edges

  • Islanders Money Line (+108) over the Bruins
  • Penguins Money Line (-165) over the Flyers
  • Flyers/Penguins Over (6.5, +100)
  • Predators Puck Line (+1.5, -175) over the Hurricanes
  • Jets Puck Line (+1.5, -165) over the Maple Leafs
  • Lightning Puck Line (-1.5, +155) over the Panthers
  • Capitals Puck Line (-1.5, -141) and Money Line (-345) over the Sabres
  • Stars Puck Line (-1.5, +140) over the Stars

Keep an eye out for Starting Goalies tonight. The Blue Jackets and Devils have some enticing ML odds as underdogs, but I can’t pull the trigger. The goalie matchup in the Jackets/Stars game favors Columbus if you are looking for a good plus-money dog tonight.

My Picks

Penguins -1 (-112): The Penguins are slowly getting healthy and even with their injuries have been playing well. The Flyers have been the exact opposite coming off a 6-1 drubbing at the hands of the Capitals. There are no trends to suggest the Flyers bounce back tonight, which is why we are taking the -1 to get some extra value on the ML which is currently around -165/-170.

Bruins/Islander Over 5.5 (+124): This is a game where the entire body of work on the season would suggest the under. Both teams suppress offense at an elite level, and the Bruins offense has been rather stagnant. However, we are getting this over at a pretty high plus-money price, they have hit the over 3 out of 5 meetings this season, and it is Tuukka Rask’s first start coming off injury, allowing an opportunity for rust. This is a great value play and we are riding tonight.

Capitals -1.5 (-125): The Sabres are down bad and the Caps are up good (if you will). The Sabres are in full rebuild mode and have nothing left to play for. The only concern is the Caps dominated the Flyers last game 6-1 and this is a potential let down spot. But we are getting 175 points of value between the ML (-300) and the PL (-125). The Caps are 3-4 on the puck line against Buffalo, but they have won their last two games by a combined 14-2 and the goals are flowing for Washington, so let’s hope they keep it up tonight.

Follow along on Twitter @KeithKavJr for the most up-to-date information regarding the games tonight

Take a look at all of Win Daily Sport’s Sports Betting Articles for the best insight in the game!

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NHL DFS Betting Picks (Apr. 14)

jamie calkins
written by jamie calkins

NHL Betting Picks Wednesday 4/14

Welcome to Keith’s NHL Betting Picks Wednesday 4/14. The Model bounced back in a big way on Tuesday going 2-0. The Capitals absolutely shit-pumped the Flyers winning 6-1, including new guy Anthony Mantha adding a goal and an assist. The Panthers made us sweat a little bit before converting on their power play in OT and winning 3-2. That lean on the Caps/Flyers over also hit, however that was carried completely by the Caps there. On to Wednesday.

We have 6 games on the NHL slate tonight, including a 2:00 matinee in Minnesota. Let’s take a look at the updated profitability and over win percentages for the teams playing today.

Dashboard 1

To interact with the dashboard click here.

Dashboard Edges

  • Wild Money Line (-190) over the Coyotes
  • Jets Puck Line (-1.5, +138) and Money Line (-180) over the Senators
  • Canadiens Puck Line (-1.5, +163) over the Flames
  • Flames/Canadiens Under (5.5, -120)
  • Avalanche Puck Line (-1.5, +130) and Money Line (-182) over the Blues
  • Golden Knights Money Line (-210) over the Kings
  • Sharks Money Line (-180) over the Ducks

Keep an eye out for Starting Goalies tonight. It will be interested to see if the Flames go back to Markstrom again tonight after playing last night. They traded away their normal backup Rittich so if it isn’t Markstrom the Habs should have a good edge.

My Picks

Canadiens -1 (-105): These teams are both coming off wins against the Maple Leafs. The Canadiens accomplished this feat on Monday and the Flames did so last night. The Canadiens are the better team and have Jake Allen in net tonight. Both of these teams are even on ML units this season, however the Habs have a sizable edge on the puck line, so we ride this -1 line tonight.

Jets -1.5 (+146): We took this exact play on Monday and it let us down. The numbers suggested it was a good value play and there is no reason to believe it won’t bounce back and hit tonight. We are getting it at +146 as opposed to +138 on Monday and the Jets have covered this line in 3 of 7 matchups this season. We might have Brossoit instead of Hellebuyck, which is less than ideal, but I still like the Jets to do their thing. Let’s get a nice bounce back from Winnipeg tonight.

Follow along on Twitter @KeithKavJr for the most up-to-date information regarding the games tonight

Take a look at all of Win Daily Sport’s Sports Betting Articles for the best insight in the game!

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NHL DFS Betting Picks (Apr. 13)

jamie calkins
written by jamie calkins

NHL Betting Picks Tuesday 4/13

Welcome to Keith’s NHL Betting Picks Tuesday 4/13. The Model had a little bit of a rough night going 1-2. The Leafs did not have the juice against Montreal losing 4-2, and after the Jets jumped out to a 2-0 the Sens scored 4 straight to win 4-2. If it wasn’t for an Avs empty netter for 100 feet we would have been lifeless. But that’s hockey, we trust the process and move on to today.

We have 6 games on the NHL slate tonight. Let’s take a look at the updated profitability and over win percentages for the teams playing today.

Dashboard 1

To interact with the dashboard click here.

Dashboard Edges

  • Rangers Puck Line (-1.5, +143) over the Devils
  • Capitals Money Line (-165) over the Flyers
  • Capitals/Flyers Over 6.5 (-105)
  • Bruins Money Line (+305) over the Sabres
  • Maple Leafs Money Line (-159) over the Flames
  • Panthers Money Line (-115) over the Stars

Keep an eye out for Starting Goalies tonight. The over in that Caps game is so enticing. Especially when breaking it down even further with the Caps hitting their over 60% of the time at home and the Flyers 70% on the road. However, when I take a team I don’t like to also take the over but if you all want to bet on some goals then take this over.

My Picks

Panthers ML (-115): The Panthers are a better team than Dallas this year and has their better goalie in net. There is a slight price edge here (Model price is around -120). Florida is +1.5u on the road, the only positive ML road team playing tonight, and the Stars are -6.3u at home, the second-lowest of the teams playing tonight. Both teams should have similar motivation/compete based on their standing position so we will take the better team tonight.

Capitals -1 (-107): The Flyers were sellers at the trade deadline trading away 2 depth players, while re-signing Scott Laughton and keeping him. The Caps were buyers trading for Anthony Mantha who will be making his debut on a line with Oshie and Backstrom. There should be a rejuvenated energy in the Caps locker room and a deflated on in the Flyers. The ML was a little juicy so we like this -1 number around even odds. The Caps would be 2-1-1 against Philly at the -1 line this season.

Follow along on Twitter @KeithKavJr for the most up-to-date information regarding the games tonight

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NHL DFS Betting Picks (Apr. 12)

jamie calkins
written by jamie calkins

NHL Betting Picks Monday 4/12

Welcome to Keith’s NHL Betting Picks Monday 4/12. The Model had yet another undefeated night going 2-0. The Capitals absolutely trounced the Bruins 8-1 and then the Isles bailed us out in OT to win 3-2 and cash both of those money lines. It is Trade Deadline day and the deals are flowing! Hall, Foligno, Rittich, Riley, and more to come as the day progresses. Can have an impact on games tonight with players not available because of these trades. The Model will obviously take that into effect so no need to fear.

We have 8 games on the NHL slate tonight. Let’s take a look at the updated profitability and over win percentages for the teams playing today.

Dashboard 1

To interact with the dashboard click here.

Dashboard Edges

  • Maple Leafs Money Line (-141) over the Canadiens
  • Jets Money Line (-182) over the Senators
  • Hurricanes Money Line (-375) over the Red Wings
  • Red Wings/Hurricanes Under 5.5 (-113)
  • Blackhawks Puck Line (-1.5, +210) and Money Line (-122) over the Blue Jackets
  • Wild Puck Line (-1.5, +180) and Money Line (-141) over the Blues
  • Golden Knights Money Line (-190) over the Kings
  • Sharks Money Line (-190) over the Ducks

Keep an eye out for Starting Goalies tonight.

My Picks

Free Picks

Maple Leafs ML (-135): The Leafs are the class of the division. They are on a 6 game win streak and have gotten at least a point in 10 straight. Jack Campbell has yet to lose with Toronto. All of this points to Toronto possibly dropping a game tonight as they can’t keep winning right? However I am riding with the Leafs. This line shows Vegas slightly pricing the regression as The Model has the Leafs at -147. The Leafs hold a signficiant special teams edge and are +5.5u on the road with the Canadiens -4.8u at home. Let’s keep the streak buzzing and ride with the Leafs tonight.

Coyotes/Avalanche Over 5.5 (-120): Finally taking an over and not an under so we can root for some goals. These teams have been lighting the lamp against each other frequently hitting the over in their last 3 meetings and 4 of 7 this year. The Coyotes are playing Prosvetov in net and the Avs should have no problem getting a few by him tonight.

Premium Pick

Jets -1.5 (+135): The Jets have the highest puck line profit on the board tonight at +8.2u overall (+7u on the road). Out of 6 matchups this season the Jets have covered the puck line 3 times. The Sens are trading a couple important players during the deadline today which makes me like this even more. The Jets are also 6-6 (50% rate) hitting the puck line as a favorite this season which is tied for highest rate for teams over 10 games as a favorite. Hellebuyck is in net and we are riding the puck line tonight.

Follow along on Twitter @KeithKavJr for the most up-to-date information regarding the games tonight

Take a look at all of Win Daily Sport’s Sports Betting Articles for the best insight in the game!

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NHL DFS Betting Picks (Apr. 11)

jamie calkins
written by jamie calkins

NHL Betting Picks Sunday 4/11

Welcome to Keith’s NHL Betting Picks Sunday 4/11. The Model had a decent 1-1 night. That under was toast after a 2-2 first period. The Blackhawks came back from down 2, scoring 4 unanswered and winning 4-3. We have some solid games on Master’s Sunday, let’s see what The Model like.

We have 7 games on the NHL slate tonight. Let’s take a look at the updated profitability and over win percentages for the teams playing today.

Dashboard 1

To interact with the dashboard click here.

Dashboard Edges

  • Flyers Puck Line (-1.5, +108) and Money Line (-240) over the Sabres
  • Avalanche Money Line (-375) over the Ducks
  • Rangers Puck Line (+1.5, -240) over the Islanders
  • Rangers/Islanders Under (5.5, -114)
  • Penguins Money Line (-182) over the Devils
  • Capitals Money Line (-107) over the Bruins
  • Predators Money Line (+100) over the Stars

Keep an eye out for Starting Goalies tonight.

My Picks

Islanders ML (-127): The Islanders lost to the Rangers on Friday 4-1. This seems like a good bounce back spot for the Isles. They are +8.8u on the ML at home this season (Rangers are -1.1u on the road). These teams are pretty evenly matched and that is why we like the Isles to take the second game of this series tonight.

Capitals ML (-120): Similar to the game above, the Caps lost to the Bruins 4-2 on Thursday. This seems like a good comeback spot for Washington here. The Bruins have Vladar is net after Swayman finally came down to earth last night. The Bruins have been raveged with injuries and have been generating no offense this season. Look for the Caps to take care of business today.

Follow along on Twitter @KeithKavJr for the most up-to-date information regarding the games tonight

Take a look at all of Win Daily Sport’s Sports Betting Articles for the best insight in the game!

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NHL DFS Betting Picks (Apr. 10)

jamie calkins
written by jamie calkins

NHL Betting Picks Saturday 4/10

Welcome to Keith’s NHL Betting Picks Saturday 4/10. The Model had a rough one last night going 0-2. The Wild got pummeled by St. Louis 9-1, worst loss of the season for myself. Minnesota was never in that game. Then the Caps somehow did not cover the puck line. It was 5-2 with 5 minutes left but a coaches’ challenge and a lucky deflection by the Sabres had this one end 4-3 and didn’t cover the 1.5. Tough. But guess what, it’s Saturday and we have a lot of games to move on with.

We have 10 games on the NHL slate tonight. Let’s take a look at the updated profitability and over win percentages for the teams playing today.

Dashboard 1

To interact with the dashboard click here.

Dashboard Edges

  • Flyers Puck Line (+1.5, -245) over the Bruins
  • Panthers Money Line (-104) over the Stars
  • Hurricanes Money Line (-345) over the Red Wings
  • Maple Leafs Money Line (-360) over the Senators
  • Blackhawks Puck Line (-1.5, +220) and Money Line (-124) over the Blue Jackets
  • Jets Money Line (+110) over the Canadiens
  • Wild Puck Line (-1.5, +235) and Money Line (-108) over the Blues
  • Oilers Money Line (-112) over the Flames

Keep an eye out for Starting Goalies tonight. The Wild will be a play if Husso starts for the Blues. After last night’s debacle though I am not touching it until that is confirmed as Binnington looks pissed at the world right now and I do not want to bet against him.

My Picks

Hurricanes/Red Wings Under 5.5 (-105): These teams have some solid trends for the under today. Both teams average under 5.5 total goals/game (CAR: 5.47, DET: 5.32) and they hit their overs under 45% (CAR: 42.11%, DET: 35.71%). Under 5.5 would be 2-3 on their 5 matchups this season and we like the chances that gets to .500 today.

Blackhawks ML (-124): Chicago needs a win tonight and Columbus just lost their best defenseman (Werenski) for the season. Columbus has been an underachiever this season while the Blackhawks have been doing better than expected. Chicago has also won 4 of 6 meetings this season and we like them tonight.

Follow along on Twitter @KeithKavJr for the most up-to-date information regarding the games tonight

Take a look at all of Win Daily Sport’s Sports Betting Articles for the best insight in the game!

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NHL DFS Betting Picks (Apr. 9)

jamie calkins
written by jamie calkins

NHL Betting Picks Friday 4/9

Welcome to Keith’s NHL Betting Picks Friday 4/9. The Model had a very solid 2-1 night last night with the under 6 hitting easily in the Hurricanes 3-0 win over the Panthers. The Lightning also handled their puck line winning 6-4 over Columbus. Washington did not look good against Boston losing 4-2 and scoring their only 2 goals on a 5-on-3. 2-1 with both wins at plus money is a solid day nonetheless. 7-2-1 in the last 3 days let’s keep the good fortunes going.

We have 7 games on the NHL slate tonight. Let’s take a look at the updated profitability and over win percentages for the teams playing today.

Dashboard 1

To interact with the dashboard click here.

Dashboard Edges

  • Capitals Money Line (-275) over the Sabres
  • Penguins Money Line (-185) over the Devils
  • Islanders Money Line (-137) over the Rangers
  • Wild Puck Line (-1.5, +245) and Money Line (-113) over the Blues
  • Avalanche Money Line (-360) over the Ducks

Keep an eye out for Starting Goalies tonight.

My Picks

Wild ML (-115): Coming off a beat down of the best team in the NHL, I look for Minnesota to ride this momentum into a big game against St. Louis. The Blues also had a big win in their last game against Vegas and have looked better of late. Kahkonen is in net for the Wild who hasn’t played in a little while but has had a great rookie season so far. Look for him to play well to try and earn that starting job back.

Capitals -1.5 (+110): The Sabres are a very bad team and the Capitals are a very good team. This is pretty simple, the ML is -290 so we are getting good value for the -1.5 at plus money. Washington has covered the puck line in their last 2 meetings, 3 times total this season out of 6 matchups. Buffalo doesn’t have Taylor Hall, Jack Eichel, or their better goalie (Ullmark) playing today. Coming off a loss last night look for the Caps to take out their anger on Buffalo today.

Follow along on Twitter @KeithKavJr for the most up-to-date information regarding the games tonight

Take a look at all of Win Daily Sport’s Sports Betting Articles for the best insight in the game!

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NHL DFS Betting Picks (Apr. 8)

jamie calkins
written by jamie calkins

NHL Betting Picks Thursday 4/8

Welcome to Keith’s NHL Betting Picks Thursday 4/8. The Model had another undefeated night going 1-0-1. The Maple Leafs took care of business against Montreal winning 3-2. And then there was the under in the Sens/Oilers game. Looked great all game. 1 goal in the 1st. 2 goals in the 2nd. And then Leon Draisaitl decided to ruin my night and get the 6th goal on an empty net with 0.2 seconds left. 0.2!!! 2 tenths of a second. The game was over. He couldn’t give me my glory. Safe to say I didn’t sleep well last night. Whatever. On to today.

We have 10 games on the NHL slate tonight. Let’s take a look at the updated profitability and over win percentages for the teams playing today.

Dashboard 1

To interact with the dashboard click here.

Dashboard Edges

  • Lightning Puck Line (-1.5, +123) and Money Line (-210) over the Blue Jackets
  • Islanders Puck Line (-1.5, +135) over the Flyers
  • Capitals Money Line (-118) over the Bruins
  • Jets Money Line (+110) over the Canadiens
  • Devils Puck Line (-1.5, +195) and Money Line (-129) over the Sabres
  • Rangers Puck Line (-1.5, +190) over the Penguins
  • Oilers Money Line (-186) over the Senators
  • Oilers/Senators Under (6.5, -120)
  • Red Wings/Predators Under (5, +117)
  • Blackhawks Money Line (-104) over the Stars

Keep an eye out for Starting Goalies tonight. There are a couple leans today that I don’t like enough to make official plays but if you want to sprinkle or throw a free bet on them (like I did with this first one), feel free. The Canadiens -127 have a big edge on The Model which prices them at -143. I also like the Rangers -130 and the Flyers +150, but again not enough to make official plays.

My Picks

Free Picks

Capitals ML (-115): The Bruins are banged up right now with McAvoy out and rolling out their 4th string goalie tonight in Swayman. The Caps are +4u at home this season and Boston is -2u on the road. They only have a slight edge on the BetMGM ML at -115 but The Model prices them around -135, which is why we like them tonight.

Lightning -1.5 (+128): The Lightning have yet to cover a puck line against Columbus. The same Columbus who has looked pretty terrible against everyone not named the Lightning this season. It’s hard to figure out exactly why Columbus plays them so well. Tonight I think a regression is in order. Considering the -1.5 number against Columbus was -110 and +100 in the last two games, I think we are getting value at +128.

Premium Pick

Hurricanes/Panthers Under 6 (+100): True life: I’m addicted to betting under 6 at plus odds. I didn’t learn my lesson from yesterday so I’m ready to get burned today. These teams just hit 7 goals in their last meeting but we get the good goalie matchup with Nedeljkovic and Driedger. These teams only hit under 6 in 1 out of 5 meetings so far this season, but pushed on 2 others. Neither of these teams average over 6 total goals/game this year with CAR at 5.53 and FLA at 5.83. Let’s ride this tonight and hate ourselves later.

Follow along on Twitter @KeithKavJr for the most up-to-date information regarding the games tonight

Take a look at all of Win Daily Sport’s Sports Betting Articles for the best insight in the game!

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NHL DFS Betting Picks (Apr. 7)

Adam Zibuda
written by Adam Zibuda

NHL Betting Picks Wednesday 4/7

Welcome to Keith’s NHL Betting Picks Wednesday 4/7. The Model had a very solid 2-1 night. The Rangers pummeled the Penguins 8-4 and the Preds took care of the Wings in a shootout. The Sharks got dominated by the Ducks and didnt cover our -1. All in all good night. On to Wednesday.

We have 5 games on the NHL slate tonight. Let’s take a look at the updated profitability and over win percentages for the teams playing today.

Dashboard 1

To interact with the dashboard click here.

Dashboard Edges

  • Maple Leafs Money Line (-155) over the Canadiens
  • Leafs/Canadiens Under 6 (-113)
  • Oilers Money Line (-190) over the Senators
  • Oilers/Senators Under 6 (-102)
  • Wild Puck Line (+1.5, -155) over the Avalanche
  • Golden Knights Puck Line (-1.5, +170) and Money Line (-148) over the Blues
  • Coyotes Money Line (+100) over the Kings

Keep an eye out for Starting Goalies tonight. The Kings have such a monster swing in The Model depending on if Quick or Petersen starts for LA. Quick is probably more likely to play but the line right now projects Petersen. If you’re feeling risky feel free to take Yotes now but I’m going to wait for confirmation.

My Picks

Leafs ML (-155): I am mad at myself for waiting to take this play, the line when I checked last night was -143. At this price there isn’t much edge but the Leafs are rolling and I don’t see how they lose tonight. Campbell should be in net who is 9-0-0 this season and the Canadiens have not looked great lately. The Leafs have also won 3 of 4 meetings against Montreal this season and we are riding them tonight.

Oilers/Senators Under 6 (+102): Absolutely gross, an under. On a team with McDavid and Draisaitl? Am I crazy? Probably. But the numbers suggest this has a decent chance to hit and we’re getting it at plus money. The Senators and Oilers average 6.25 and 6.11 total goals, respectively, which would suggest an over. However, these teams have played 7 times and over 6 goals would have gone 3-3-1. Even better the Sens hit their over at 31% at home and the Oilers hit their over 39% on the road. The Sens also play significantly better defense at home and we are riding this under tonight.

Follow along on Twitter @KeithKavJr for the most up-to-date information regarding the games tonight

Take a look at all of Win Daily Sport’s Sports Betting Articles for the best insight in the game!

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NHL DFS Betting Picks (Apr. 6)

jamie calkins
written by jamie calkins

NHL Betting Picks Tuesday 4/6

Welcome to Keith’s NHL Betting Picks Tuesday 4/6. The Model had an undefeated night going 2-0. The Golden Knights took a dump on St. Louis and easily won 6-1. The Jets/Senators also covered their over thanks to a Sens goal with 3 minutes left losing 4-3 but getting over 6 which is all we care about. Let’s keep the hot streak rolling through to today.

We have 9 games on the NHL slate tonight. Let’s take a look at the updated profitability and over win percentages for the teams playing today.

Dashboard 1

To interact with the dashboard click here.

Dashboard Edges

  • Islanders Puck Line (-1.5, +190) over the Capitals
  • Flyers Puck Line (+1.5, -240) over the Bruins
  • Penguins Money Line (+107) over the Rangers
  • Rangers Puck Line (-1.5, +200) over the Penguins
  • Lightning Puck Line (-1.5, +130) and Money Line (-200) over the Blue Jackets
  • Devils Puck Line (-1.5, +150) and Money Line (-175) over the Sabres
  • Blackhawks Money Line (+102) over the Stars
  • Sharks Money Line (-175) over the Ducks

Keep an eye out for Starting Goalies tonight. I really wanted to take the Bruins tonight coming off an OTL last night to Philly, but they are going with Jeremy Swayman in goal. If your first reaction is “Who the hell is that?” then you are exactly where my head is at and understand why we cannot take them tonight.

My Picks

Free Picks

Predators ML (-150): The Predators have been much improved of late, going 8-2-0 in their last 10. The Red Wings are coming off their biggest win of the season in a 5-1 beatdown of Tampa on Sunday. My thought here is Detroit will have a let down after their “Super Bowl” win on Sunday and with Nashville’s improved play should handle their business tonight.

Rangers ML (-115): The Rangers are another team who has been hot lately. The Penguins are banged up with some big injuries to their offense (Malkin, Kapanen, Blueger, and Tanev). The Model really likes the Rangers in this spot for some reason pricing them at -138, which gives us a great edge on that -115 line. This is one of those ignore the names of the teams just play the numbers, and that is what we are doing with the Rangers.

Premium Pick

Sharks -1 (-117): San Jose has the biggest edge on the board with their ML hovering around -175 and The Model pricing it around -215. I like this -1 number with the Sharks covering that in their last 2 wins against Anaheim. The Ducks recently returned Trevor Zegras to the AHL who has basically their only bright spot this year. I like San Jose to take care of business and cover the -1 tonight.

Follow along on Twitter @KeithKavJr for the most up-to-date information regarding the games tonight

Take a look at all of Win Daily Sport’s Sports Betting Articles for the best insight in the game!

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