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NHL Betting Picks Wednesday 4/28

Welcome to Keith’s NHL Betting Picks Wednesday 4/28. The Model had a monster night going 3-1. The only loss was the Isles who lost a 1-0 game to the Caps who scored on the first shot of the game. No offense for them, could be a problem come playoffs. The two overs hit with ease with both games ending up 7-4. And the Hurricanes did exactly what I thought and bounced back in a big way from their loss on Monday with a 5-1 domination of Dallas. It feels good when we get pretty much everything right. Let’s keep it rolling today.

We have 7 games on the NHL slate tonight. Let’s take a look at the updated profitability and over win percentages for the teams playing today.

Dashboard 1

To interact with the dashboard click here.

Dashboard Edges

  • Senators Puck Line (+1.5, -250) over the Canucks
  • Senators/Canucks Under (6, -124)
  • Wild Money Line (-148) and Puck Line (-1.5, +172) over the Blues
  • Maple Leafs Money Line (-148) over the Canadiens
  • Maple Leafs/Canadiens Under (6, -108)
  • Golden Knights Money Line (-132) over the Avalanche
  • Kings Money Line (-159) over the Ducks

Keep an eye out for Starting Goalies tonight.

My Picks

Sharks/Coyotes Over 5.5 (-110): I expect the net to get pounded tonight in the Sharks and Coyotes game. Neither team has solid goatending, especially if the Coyotes roll with Adin Hill tonight. The Sharks average 6.21 total goals/game, and the Yotes are at 5.88. Both teams are > 50% on their overs this year, and these teams have even more goals in their environment tonight (Yotes 6 goals/game on the road, Sharks 6.32 at home). Not too much juice and love rooting for some goals.

Golden Knights ML (-136): Vegas is currently rolling right now. The Avs are a little banged up with Rantanen injured and Grubauer just activated from COVID list but probably not playing tonight. Vegas is currently sporting a 9-game win streak and while all good things eventually come to an end I don’t see that happening tonight. On 3 days rest too, with the Avs coming off back-to-back losses to St. Louis, look for Vegas to get 10 straight tonight.

Wild -1.5 (+172): This one is a bit of a risk, but calculated nonetheless. The Wild are on an unreal run of 5 straight puck line hits. And the Blues have just beat the Avs in back-to-back games. The Wild have a good rest spot here with their last game on Saturday (Blues was Monday). The Wild have one of the best puck line profits this year (12.67) and the Blues one of the worst (-15.67). The value on this is too good to pass up so we are riding.

Follow along on Twitter @KeithKavJr for the most up-to-date information regarding the games tonight

Take a look at all of Win Daily Sport’s Sports Betting Articles for the best insight in the game!

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NHL Betting Picks Tuesday 4/27

Welcome to Keith’s NHL Betting Picks Tuesday 4/27. The Model got absolutely obliterated last night. 0-4. An overtime loss, a one goal loss, and an over that miss by a half goal. The only bad L was the Ducks and that was only a half unit play for the value. It happens but it still stings. That is what happened when I take a weekend off, pretty sure it happened last month. It’s also that weird time of year when you can’t really tell what certain teams are playing for and those games have some risk (Sens last night). We move on to Tuesday, as always Trust the Process.

We have 8 games on the NHL slate tonight. Let’s take a look at the updated profitability and over win percentages for the teams playing today.

Dashboard 1

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Dashboard Edges

  • Flyers Money Line (-132) over the Devils
  • Flyers/Devils Over (6, -113)
  • Red Wings Money Line (+123) and Puck Line (+1.5, -220) over the Blue Jackets
  • Penguins Money Line (+100) over the Bruins
  • Rangers Puck Line (-1.5, -120) and Money Line (-295) over the Sabres
  • Hurricanes Money Line (-125) over the Stars
  • Stars/Hurricanes Under (5.5, -117)

Keep an eye out for Starting Goalies tonight. We are waiting for confirmation on goalies before we lock in the Preds/Panthers over. We are only taking it if we get a Bobrovsky/Rinne goaltending matchup.

My Picks

Islanders ML (+108): This one is pretty simple. These teams are relatively evenly matched at full-strength, but the Caps are without Ovi tonight. Yet for some reason the Isles are still plus money. The Isles have sputtered a little bit as of late, but Trotz always seems to coach against his former team well. They have lost 2 straight against them and I doubt they lose a 3rd. I think the Isles get it done tonight and with the plus money, we are getting some great value here.

Blackhawks/Lightning Over 5.5 (-130): The Lightning score a lot of goals and the Blackhawks are pretty good at giving them up. Getting this at the 5.5 makes me like this a lot, even if it is a little juicy. The Lightning are 50% on their overs and the Blackhawks are 48%. But at home the Lightning are 60% and the Blackhawks are 52%, so both even better in the current environment of tonight’s matchup. Also the Lightning average 6.13 goals/game on the road and the Blackhawks average 6.22 goals/game at home, so we love this play tonight.

Hurricanes ML (-125): Running it back with the Canes tonight. Same logic as yesterday, but we have the better goaltender tonight (Ned). Carolina coming off of a loss, and they are the better team even though they are a little banged up so is Dallas. The Stars do not have a significant home ice advantage and the Canes are rather good on the road. Feeling good about a comeback tonight.

Follow along on Twitter @KeithKavJr for the most up-to-date information regarding the games tonight

Take a look at all of Win Daily Sport’s Sports Betting Articles for the best insight in the game!

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NHL Betting Picks Monday 4/26

Welcome to Keith’s NHL Betting Picks Monday 4/26. The Model is finally back after a long weekend at grad school! A solid weekend of hockey with a lot of goals yesterday. A couple picks I had Wed/Thurs that didn’t hit (Rangers -1.5 and Isles/Caps over 5.5), hit with ease in their next matchups on Fri/Sat. If the research is there and it didn’t hit the first time, chances are it will hit in the rematch. Flyers had a great comeback last night that salvaged an over that looked dead with 2 minutes left in the game.

We have 8 games on the NHL slate tonight. Let’s take a look at the updated profitability and over win percentages for the teams playing today.

Dashboard 1

To interact with the dashboard click here.

Dashboard Edges

  • Senators Puck Line (+1.5, -245) over the Canucks
  • Senators/Canucks Under (6, -110)
  • Canadiens/Flames Under (5.5, -114)
  • Avalanches Money Line (-155) and Puck Line (-1.5, +148) over the Blues
  • Hurricanes Money Line (-120) over the Stars
  • Kings Money Line (-160) over the Ducks
  • Coyotes/Sharks Over (5.5, -110)

Keep an eye out for Starting Goalies tonight.

My Picks

Hurricanes ML (-120): The Hurricanes have been rolling of late and have a pretty good line today against Dallas. They have won 5 of 6 games against Dallas this season and supporting an 18 unit advantage on the ML this season. I’m guessing this line is assuming Reimer is in net instead of Ned, but even with Reimer I still like this number. Especially because Oettinger is confirmed for Dallas. We ride with Carolina tonight.

Canucks ML (-124): The Canucks have seemed to figure it out post-COVID break, going 3-1-0 in their 4 games since they returned. They have a back-to-back Wednesday/Thursday this week so I am more inclined to take them tonight as opposed to later in the week. They have more talent than the Senators and should handle their business tonight.

Kings/Ducks Over 5.5 (+110): We are back on the plus money overs, they are way too enticing. The reason we are getting plus money here is strictly because of the Ducks. 5.44 total goals/game and only hitting on 37.5% of their overs. However the Kings average 5.69 goals/game and hit on 55.6% of their overs. They are 2-2 on overs this season against each other. Both teams give up over 3 goals/game and at this value we like this play tonight.

Follow along on Twitter @KeithKavJr for the most up-to-date information regarding the games tonight

Take a look at all of Win Daily Sport’s Sports Betting Articles for the best insight in the game!

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NHL Betting Picks Thursday 4/22

Welcome to Keith’s NHL Betting Picks Thursday 4/22. The Model had just one play last night and it barely lost. The under was looking great all game. 1 goal in the 1st, 2 goals in the 2nd, and then the 3rd period screwed us. 4 goals including a couple of late Edmonton goals who ended up losing 4-3 and having us not hit that under. That happens, it’s hockey, we are on to Thursday.

We have 10 games on the NHL slate tonight. Let’s take a look at the updated profitability and over win percentages for the teams playing today.

Dashboard 1

To interact with the dashboard click here.

Dashboard Edges

  • Jets Money Line (+118) and Puck Line (+1.5, -225) over the Maple Leafs
  • Lightning Money Line (-278) over the Blue Jackets
  • Penguins Money Line (-295) over the Devils
  • Bruins Money Line (-305) over the Sabres
  • Rangers Puck Line (-1.5,+148) over the Flyers
  • Red Wings Money Line (+155) over the Stars
  • Senators Puck Line (+1.5, -200) over the Canucks

Keep an eye out for Starting Goalies tonight. I never take more than -200 lines ever but I see quite an edge on the Jets Puck Line (+1.5, -225) for people that want as close to a sure thing as possible. The Leafs are reeling and horrible at covering -1.5 while the Jets are really good at covering +1.5.

My Picks

Rangers -1.5 (+158): A bit of a value play here. The Rangers were humbled in their last game by the Islanders after going on a 4 game domination of the Devils. The Flyers are coming off back-to-back losses to the Isles and Caps, but haven’t played since Sunday. The Rangers have the puck line edge significantly here, winning over half of their -1.5 games this year (55.6%). The Flyers are not good at covering +1.5 either (61.9%, 21st in the League). I like the Rangers to continue their dominance in this spot and cover the puck line.

Avalanche ML (-150): This is a little risky but teams coming off COVID breaks for whatever reason have done pretty well. The Avs are rarely ever priced this low, a combination of COVID and no Grubauer or Rantanen definitely plays into that. Dubnyk has not been a good goalie for the last couple of years but he also hasn’t played in front of a defense as good as the Avs. I look for MacKinnon and Makar to run the show tonight and sneak out a win against a disappointing St. Louis team tonight.

Capitals/Islanders Over 5.5 (-110): The Islanders are dragging this line down although I didn’t think we’d get it at 5.5 for such little juice. The Caps are averaging the highest total goals/game in the league (6.61) and second highest over win percentage (60.9%). And while the Isles sport one of the lowest total goals/game (5.20) they have been able to put up some goals (2.89 GF/game). The Caps score a lot but also give up more than 3 goals/game. At this number we really like this play a lot.

Follow along on Twitter @KeithKavJr for the most up-to-date information regarding the games tonight

Take a look at all of Win Daily Sport’s Sports Betting Articles for the best insight in the game!

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NHL Betting Picks Wednesday 4/21

Welcome to Keith’s NHL Betting Picks Wednesday 4/21. The Model had a monster night going 3-0, including our 2u winner with the Pens 1P -0.5 hitting easily at they went to the break up 4-0! The Canes handled the Lightning in the second game of their back-to-back, and the Bruins made us sweat a little but covered their puck line with a 2-0 win. The most unreal thing about last night was if you had Pens -1.5 that looked like the best play of the night with the Pens going up 6-0, only to end up winning 7-6 and the Devils covering the +1.5. Un-real.

We have 4 games on the NHL slate tonight, pretty weak. Let’s take a look at the updated profitability and over win percentages for the teams playing today.

Dashboard 1

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Dashboard Edges

  • Wild Money Line (-162) and Puck Line (-1.5, +160) over the Coyotes
  • Wild/Coyotes Over (5.5, +105)
  • Predators Money Line (-127) over the Blackhawks
  • Oilers Money Line (-137) over the Canadiens
  • Oilers/Canadiens Under (5.5, +100)
  • Golden Knights Money Line (-250) over the Sharks

Keep an eye out for Starting Goalies tonight.

My Picks

Oilers/Canadiens Under 6 (-120): Just one play today that has some edge, but a serious edge at that. The Habs and Oilers have played 6 times this year and under 6 goals is 5-0-1 in those 6 meetings. Even better, these teams rank amongst the worst in the league in hitting their overs (both under 39%). Even with McDavid and Draisaitl, the Habs have sneakily one of the best defenses in the league and desperately need a win tonight. We like the under in this spot.

Follow along on Twitter @KeithKavJr for the most up-to-date information regarding the games tonight

Take a look at all of Win Daily Sport’s Sports Betting Articles for the best insight in the game!

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NHL Betting Picks Tuesday 4/20

Welcome to Keith’s NHL Betting Picks Tuesday 4/20. The Model finally returned to expected form last night, going 2-1 but was +2 units because the DOGS WERE BARKING. The Senators took care of business and cashed as a +185 dog against the Flames winning 4-2. The over in the Wild/Coyotes cruised as they scored 7 goals and cashed with +120 odds. The only loss was Columbus who got burned on an empty net with 30 seconds left to lose 4-2. Close from a clean sweep and a dominant night but we will take this. We look ahead to Tuesday riding high.

We have 8 games on the NHL slate tonight. Let’s take a look at the updated profitability and over win percentages for the teams playing today.

Dashboard 1

To interact with the dashboard click here.

Dashboard Edges

  • Panthers Money Line (-220) over the Blue Jackets
  • Rangers Puck Line (+1.5, -250) over the Islanders
  • Rangers/Islanders Under (5.5, -120)
  • Bruins Money Line (-305) over the Sabres
  • Penguins Money Line (-250) over the Devils
  • Red Wings Money Line (+215) over the Stars
  • Red Wings/Stars Under (5.5, -143)
  • Kings Money Line (-155) over the Ducks

Keep an eye out for Starting Goalies tonight. It looks like we will get the NHL debut of Spencer Knight for the Panthers tonight. One of the most highly-touted goalie prospects of the last decade and an American stud, let’s hope he gets off to a good start in the league.

My Picks

Hurricanes ML (+104): We are going back to the dogs tonight, albeit this one is slight. The second game of a back-to-back, the Canes should have the goaltending edge with McElhinney projected for the Lightning. Not to mention Stamkos is out in addition to missing Kucherov all season, and the Canes need to bank some points. Relatively even teams we like the Canes at plus money in this spot here.

Bruins -1.5 (-110): The Bruins are a different team post trade deadline. They have been rolling teams and are on a warpath to the finish. I will give the Sabres some credit they have been playing well as of late and got a win against Pittsburgh on Saturday and lost to the Bruins in a shootout on Tuesday. However the Sabres are the third-worst team covering +1.5 (53.8%) and even though the Bruins aren’t great covering -1.5 (32.5%, 21st in the league), they have covered in their last 3 games and we’re getting great value with the ML around -300.

Penguins 1P -0.5 (2U): The first 2 unit play on here, against my New Jersey Devils? Infathomable. The Devils have been getting pummeled and starting slow, trailing 3-0 in 4 (!!) consecutive games. Let’s add that Ty Smith and Mackenzie Blackwood are out tonight, in addition to Zacha and Bratt who have missed the last couple of games, and this is just too appetizing to pass up. I never take first period bets and I never do 2 unit bets so why wouldn’t I throw the hammer against my own team tonight. Too much value here to ignore.

Follow along on Twitter @KeithKavJr for the most up-to-date information regarding the games tonight

Take a look at all of Win Daily Sport’s Sports Betting Articles for the best insight in the game!

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NHL Betting Picks Monday 4/19

Welcome to Keith’s NHL Betting Picks Monday 4/19. The Model had a 1-2 night on games that had no business playing out the way they did. An early Bruins win over the Caps had me feeling good. But then Pittsburgh decided to lose their first game in 9 (!!) years on the road against Buffalo in regulation. That was a shocker to say the least. Then an even bigger shock was the Maple Leafs losing to a Vancouver team who basically got destroyed by COVID. The biggest favorite to lose in the last 20 years. So that was how the night went. Fun stuff. It’s Monday though so we are on to a new week.

We have 8 games on the NHL slate tonight. Let’s take a look at the updated profitability and over win percentages for the teams playing today.

Dashboard 1

To interact with the dashboard click here.

Dashboard Edges

  • Hurricanes Money Line (+102) over the Lightning
  • Panthers Puck Line (-1.5, +107) and Money Line (-220) over the Blue Jackets
  • Red Wings Money Line (+195) over the Stars
  • Wild Puck Line (-1.5, +160) and Money Line (-155) over the Coyotes
  • Wild/Coyotes Over (5.5, +108)
  • Senators Puck Line (+1.5, -141) over the Flames
  • Oilers Money Line (-124) over the Canadiens
  • Golden Knights Money Line (-245) over the Sharks

Keep an eye out for Starting Goalies tonight.

My Picks

Wild/Coyotes Over 5.5 (+120): I am actually shocked how this over is +120. These teams are 3-3 in their 6 matchups on the over this season. The Wild have been scoring/letting up goals in bunches lately. Both teams are over 50% on hitting their overs this season (ARI 57%, MIN 53%), both teams have even better number on their home/away numbers for this particular matchup. This is great value and we are riding with that tonight.

Senators ML (+185): On paper Calgary should be a significantly better team than Ottawa, however that doesn’t seem to be the case. Both teams were sellers at the deadline and are basically out of playoff contention. The Sens have some fight and The Model prices them around +170. The Sens have won 5 of 7 meetings this season and at this price it’s good enough for us to ride.

Blue Jackets +1.5 (-125): Going pretty underdog heavy today. The Blue Jackets were also sellers at the deadline while the Panthers were buyers. They also just had a huge win on Saturday against Tampa and have been rolling. We have the best possible goalie matchup here (Elvis vs Bob), and I can even see an outright upset. However we are going to play this one safe and take the +1.5 line. The Panthers are 11-18 on the puckline as favorites this season and can see a Columbus cover tonight.

Follow along on Twitter @KeithKavJr for the most up-to-date information regarding the games tonight

Take a look at all of Win Daily Sport’s Sports Betting Articles for the best insight in the game!

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NHL Betting Picks Sunday 4/18

Welcome to Keith’s NHL Betting Picks Sunday 4/18. The Model had an even night going 2-2. The over/unders treated us well with the Sens/Habs hitting the under 6 in a 4-0 Sens victory, and the Caps/Flyers lighting up the board and allowing the over 6.5 to hit in a 6-3 Caps win. The Blues let us down starting up 2-0 then losing 3-2, and the Devils game gave us a roller coaster of emotion going down 4-0, then coming back to make it 4-3, before ultimately losing 6-3. We move on to Sunday to finish the week strong.

We have 6 games on the NHL slate tonight. Let’s take a look at the updated profitability and over win percentages for the teams playing today.

Dashboard 1

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Dashboard Edges

  • Capitals Money Line (+130) over the Bruins
  • Rangers Puck Line (-1.5, +123) over the Devils
  • Penguins Money Line (-250) over the Sabres
  • Islanders Money Line (-135) over the Flyers

Keep an eye out for Starting Goalies tonight. The Sabres are playing a goalie I have never even heard of, and that is saying something for the Sabres who’s normal tandem is Linus Ullmark and Dustin Tokarski. The Canucks also are finally back of a long layoff with COVID. Unfortunately for them their symptoms were quite terrible and they draw an instant tough matchup with Toronto today.

My Picks

Leafs -1.5 (-115): As mentioned this is the Canucks first game in about 3 weeks due to COVID. Their symptoms were so bad and players have admitted they still have not fully recovered. Their mind is on their health and family (as it should be), however that doesn’t mean we can’t bet against them. They are also missing 5 players still including their better goalie (Demko). The Leafs are the best team in the North Division and I expect them to dominate Vancouver tonight.

Penguins -1.5 (+100): Another -1.5 spread, how could this go wrong. The Penguins have played Buffalo 5 times this season and have covered the puck line in 4 of those games. The only time they didn’t was yesterday. However as mentioned above Buffalo is playing a goalie I have never even heard of before. That strategy worked against when I faded Swayman from Boston however he has turned out to be quite a good goalie. This guy playing for Buffalo couldn’t get starts over Tokarski and Johansson therefore I feel more comfortable this time around.

Bruins ML (-130): The Bruins seem to be turning the corner after a worse-than-expected start to the season. Their trade deadline additions of Reilly, Hall, and Lazar are already paying dividends. They have the rest advantage here and probably the goaltending advantage too. The Caps have been hard to evaluate this season because their underlying numbers don’t suggest they should be doing as well as they are. The Bruins are 3-1-2 against Washington this season, with their most recent battle an 8-1 loss last Sunday. Look for a Boston bounce back today.

Follow along on Twitter @KeithKavJr for the most up-to-date information regarding the games tonight

Take a look at all of Win Daily Sport’s Sports Betting Articles for the best insight in the game!

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NHL Betting Picks Saturday 4/17

Welcome to Keith’s NHL Betting Picks Saturday 4/17. The Model had a nice 1-0 night with the Habs holding on for a 2-1 win. Pretty weak slate yesterday so we will take our win and move on to today. We have a lot of games today so we will definitely be able to find some value.

We have 11 games on the NHL slate today starting at 12:30. Let’s take a look at the updated profitability and over win percentages for the teams playing today.

Dashboard 1

To interact with the dashboard click here.

Dashboard Edges

  • Capitals Money Line (-135) over the Flyers
  • Capitals/Flyers Over (6.5, -105)
  • Rangers Puck Line (-1.5, +104) over the Devils
  • Penguins Money Line (-286) over the Sabres
  • Canadiens/Senators Under (6, +102)
  • Coyotes Puck Line (+1.5, -230) over the Blues
  • Lightning Puck Line (-1.5, +150) over the Panthers
  • Red Wings Puck Line (+1.5, -210) over the Blackhawks
  • Jets Money Line (-125) over the Oilers
  • Wild Money Line (-186) over the Sharks
  • Stars Puck Line (-1.5, +133) over the Blue Jackets

Keep an eye out for Starting Goalies tonight.

My Picks

Devils +1.5 (-120): The Devils have been getting their doors beaten off by the Rangers losing by a combined score of 7-0 in their last 2 games. Before these games the Devils had the Rangers number in MSG winning the first two matchups there this season. The +1.5 number is getting us good value at -124, here is to hoping the Devils wake up and can at least cover that number. I am not even asking them to win here, come on.

Senators/Canadiens Under 6 (-105): These two teams have not scored a bunch lately, and even better they don’t score much when they play each other. The Under is 5-2 in their 7 matchups this year. Both teams hit their Overs at less than 41% this season. I like the 6 number so we don’t lose if they hit 6, you can get 6.5 around -120 if you want to pay the little extra juice to win on the 6 number.

Blues ML (-132): The Blues have finally looked like the Blues as of late, while the Coyotes have been sputtering a bit. The Model gives the Blues a price of -142, so we are getting some edge there. The Blues, who have been pretty negative on the ML this season, are actually slightly positive on the road and the Coyotes are slightly negative at home. Binnington looks locked in and we are riding with the Blues tonight.

Follow along on Twitter @KeithKavJr for the most up-to-date information regarding the games tonight

Take a look at all of Win Daily Sport’s Sports Betting Articles for the best insight in the game!

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NHL Betting Picks Friday 4/16

Welcome to Keith’s NHL Betting Picks Friday 4/16. Woof. The Model took a beating last night going 0-3. Tax Day came for our necks. It’s bound to happen, based on my research most cappers who have been dominating this season are on a cold streak now. It’s that time of year when the NHL makes absolutely no sense. We are going to navigate the waves and keep pushing. Still insanely positive this year (+28.7 units, 10.4% ROI). On to Friday.

We have 5 games on the NHL slate tonight (UPDATE: Avs/Kings just got cancelled, only 4 games tonight). Let’s take a look at the updated profitability and over win percentages for the teams playing today.

Dashboard 1

To interact with the dashboard click here.

Dashboard Edges

  • Canadiens Puck Line (-1.5, +180) over the Flames
  • Islanders Puck Line (+1.5, -250) over the Bruins
  • Islanders/Bruins Under (5, +118)
  • Wild Puck Line (-1.5, +128) and Money Line (-195) over the Sharks
  • Avalanche Money Line (-286) over the Kings (Cancelled)
  • Golden Knights Money Line (-245) over the Ducks

Keep an eye out for Starting Goalies tonight.

My Picks

Canadiens ML (-135): Just 1 play tonight with only 4 games on the slate. This one stood out as one where the Candiens are due for a regression against the Flames. The underlying numbers suggest they are definitely the better team, however they are 1-4-0 against the Flames this season. Some times one team has another team’s number, other times it’s a bit of puck luck, sometimes it’s a combination of both. Let’s hope for the latter and we get some puck luck in our favor tonight.

Follow along on Twitter @KeithKavJr for the most up-to-date information regarding the games tonight

Take a look at all of Win Daily Sport’s Sports Betting Articles for the best insight in the game!

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