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NBA dfs

NBA DFS: Ghost’s Gems 01/04

DFSGhost 2 years ago

written by DFSGhost

Despite there being plenty of games on the NBA schedule tonight, a few spots stand above the rest. Many teams are dealing with a multitude of injuries to begin the new year, while one of the opening games features two of the slimmest rotations of the slate. It’s a Wet Wednesday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

Be sure to use our proprietary NBA projections and cheat sheet to build your lineups as the news rolls in. Moreover, join the conversation in the Win Daily Discord to get the insight you need from both subscribers and staff.

Oklahoma City Thunder @ Orlando Magic (-2.5)

Oklahoma City Thunder (+2.5)

On the second half of a back-to-back, the Thunder will be an interesting rotation tonight. Last night saw a surprising blowout victory versus Boston, despite missing Shai Gilgeous-Alexander. On tonight’s NBA slate, both of these teams will be popular should the Thunder star miss a second straight contest. In his absence, look for a backcourt of Josh Giddey and Tre Mann to shoulder the load on offense, while both Lu Dort and Jalen Williams get a friendly matchup versus a Magic defense that ranks 25th in the NBA versus wings. If SGA makes his return, look for updates in Discord.

Orlando Magic (-2.5)

The Magic will be awfully thin tonight. They have the second bulk of players serving their suspensions from a previous incident versus the Pistons, while others have been added to the injury report. Franz Wagner, Mo Wagner, Kevon Harris, and Admiral Schofield will all be serving their one-game suspensions tonight. Moreover, Bol Bol was recently placed in health and safety protocols, while Jalen Suggs figures to be on a strict minutes limit after missing the previous 17 games. Barring a minutes restriction, this is a phenomenal matchup for Wendell Carter Jr., who faces a Thunder interior defense that ranks 29th in the NBA versus small-ball centers and ranks 25th in points allowed in the paint per game. If Carter Jr. remains limited and Bol Bol is ultimately ruled out, Mo Bamba is a must-play.

Houston Rockets @ New Orleans Pelicans (-7.5)

Houston Rockets (+7.5)

In one of the best game environments of the NBA slate, exposure to both sides of this game is imperative. With key injuries to the Pelicans’ frontcourt, Alperen Sengun will be needed to match the size of Jonas Valanciunas, Jaxson Hayes, and Guillermo Hernangomez. Sporting a 22.3% usage rate on the season, Sengun leads the Rockets with a 1.18 fantasy points per minute. Moreover, Jalen Green has immense upside in a high-scoring affair. Over his seven games, Green has scored 20 or more points in six appearances. Moreover, he has averaged 22.1/5.4/3 on 43.5% shooting during that stretch while attempting eight three-pointers per contest.

New Orleans Pelicans (-7.5)

The Pelicans will be severely shorthanded tonight. Not only is Brandon Ingram still recovering from a toe injury, but Zion Williamson now joins him on the sidelines with a hamstring injury. Thus, CJ McCollum will be tasked with shouldering the offense. On the season, McCollum currently sports a 26.1% usage rate and 1.09 fantasy points per minute. However, with both Ingram and Williamson off the court, McCollum sees drastic increases to a 31.5% usage rate and a team-leading 1.24 fantasy points per minute. Moreover, Houston currently ranks last in the NBA versus primary ball handlers. Look for McCollum to score with ease and see a notable uptick in assist opportunity with Valanciunas, Hayes, and Hernangomez being the benefactors in the pick-and-roll.

Atlanta Hawks @ Sacramento Kings (-1.5)

Atlanta Hawks (+1.5)

In the best game environment of the NBA slate, there is plenty of intrigue across the pricing grid. Trae Young offers the most upside in this matchup, leading the team with a 33.5% usage rate. However, both Dejounte Murray and Bogdan Bogdanovic are enticing as well. With a troubling frontcourt of Onyeka Okongwu and John Collins facing Domantas Sabonis in the paint, the Hawks will look to roll out a smaller lineup and push the pace. In 14 games this season, Bogdanovic has come off the bench in 11 appearances. Moreover, he is one of the league’s best off the bench, averaging 17.4/3.2/2.5 in over 30 minutes per contest. Meanwhile, Dejounte Murray will be tasked with guarding De’Aaron Fox on the other side of the ball and logging heavy minutes in a fast matchup versus a Kings team that ranks fourth in the league in pace.

Sacramento Kings (-1.5)

While the duo of Domantas Sabonis and De’Aaron Fox is at the forefront of a fantasy goldmine, there is another spot to target as well. Facing his former team, Kevin Huerter will get plenty of shooting opportunities tonight. As a result of Murray guarding Fox, Huerter gets a phenomenal matchup versus a poor defender in Trae Young. Atlanta ranks 26th in the NBA versus off-ball guards and have struggled mightily to shift to the corners. With Domantas Sabonis’ elite playmaking on the inside, he has triple-double upside in this matchup, but he won’t get there without Huerter being the benefactor of open three-point attempts.

Honorable Mentions:

San Antonio Spurs @ New York Knicks (-9.5)
Detroit Pistons @ Golden State Warriors (-6.5)

You can find me on Twitter @BetsByGhost and in the Win Daily Discord

2 years ago 0 comments

NBA DFS: Ghost’s Gems 01/03

DFSGhost 2 years ago

written by DFSGhost

Only six teams take the court tonight. Thus, it will be crucial to keep tabs on all injury reports throughout the day. A single injury or rotation change can shift the NBA slate. It’s a Taco Tuesday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

Washington Wizards @ Milwaukee Bucks (-7.5)

Washington Wizards (+7.5)

Exposure to the Wizards offense remains in question, as Bradley Beal has missed the last three games for his team. Should be make a return to the lineup, he carries the most upside on the NBA slate in the mid range of the pricing grid. However, should he miss a fourth straight contest, the duo of Kristaps Porzingis and Kyle Kuzma will need to carry this offense. Over their last three games without Beal, Kuzma and Porzingis have led the team in usage rate, respectively, combining for 43 points per game.

Milwaukee Bucks (-7.5)

After practicing on Monday, it looks as though Giannis Antetokounmpo is set to return to the lineup tonight for the Bucks. Additionally, despite still missing Khris Middleton, the Bucks will get more reinforcements, with Jrue Holiday returning after a three-game absence. The Wizards recently changing their starting lineup to include both Porzingis and Gafford. Thus, Bobby Portis is set to get a phenomenal matchup off the bench. Portis comes into this one with four double-doubles across his last five appearances, averaging 15/11.2/1 on 43.9% shooting. In the mid range of the pricing grid of this NBA slate, Portis makes for one of the most intriguing options for tournaments.

Sacramento Kings @ Utah Jazz (-2.5)

Sacramento Kings (+2.5)

Domantas Sabonis picked up right where he left off on New Year’s Day. After averaging 23.4/16.1/8 over his last six games of the calendar year, Sabonis dropped an 18/14/4 double-double on the Grizzlies just a few days ago. Utah currently ranks 29th in the NBA against true centers, while also ranking last in points allowed in the paint.

Utah Jazz (-2.5)

With Collin Sexton slated to miss the next week with a hamstring injury, Malik Beasley will be crucial off the bench. Over his last six games of the calendar year, Beasley scored 10 or more points in four appearances. Moreover, he averaged 14.7/3.3/1.3 on 39.3% shooting. The Kings struggle mightily versus wings, ranking 30th in the NBA to the player type. Additionally, Beasley sees both an increase in usage rate and fantasy points per minute with Sexton off the court.

Honorable Mention:

Boston Celtics @ Oklahoma City Thunder (+8.5)

You can find me on Twitter @BetsByGhost and in the Win Daily Discord

2 years ago 0 comments

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NBA DFS: Ghost’s Gems 12/22

DFSGhost 2 years ago

written by DFSGhost

With only four teams taking the court tonight, this NBA slate will be interesting. Not only is one matchup lopsided, but key contributors on both sides of the ball have already been ruled out. It’s a Thirsty Thursday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

San Antonio Spurs @ New Orleans Pelicans (-10.5)

San Antonio Spurs (+10.5)

This game will be more popular than the next one. With injuries to both teams, many players will see an increase in opportunities on the offensive side of the ball. Keldon Johnson is listed as doubtful to play, leaving many chances for other Spurs to produce on offense. On the season, Devin Vassell is second on the team with a 25% usage rate. However, with Johnson off the floor, this number jumps to 26.4%. Additionally, his fantasy points per minute output increases from 1.07 to 1.20 with his teammate off the court. With the Pelicans ranked 25th in the NBA against wings, this is a tremendous matchup for Vassell.

New Orleans Pelicans (-10.5)

There is little doubt that Jonas Valanciunas will be the most rostered player on this NBA slate. Zion Williamson has already been ruled out, in addition to Brandon Ingram being sidelined. Valanciunas is fresh off an offensive explosion, where he dropped 37/18/5 on 58.3% shooting. This was the first time he saw more than 30 minutes since November 9th and he certainly took advantage. The Spurs rank 24th against centers while being 29th in points allowed in the paint per game. Valanciunas has always been efficient, but there was always a minutes concern with New Orleans rolling out smaller lineups. Tonight, with Zion ruled out, Valanciunas will be in for another heavy dose of playing time.

Washington Wizards @ Utah Jazz (-6.5)

Washington Wizards (+6.5)

Exposure to the Wizards offense will be determined by the availability of Kristaps Porzingis. The Washington center missed last game with an illness, and is listed questionable to play tonight. Should he miss, Daniel Gafford instantly becomes one of the best point/dollar plays on the NBA slate with a matchup versus a Utah defense that ranks 29th in the NBA against centers. Moreover, Bradley Beal will be one of the elite targets toward the top of the pricing grid. In his last two games since returning to the lineup, Beal has averaged 28/4/4.5 on 45.9% shooting.

Utah Jazz (-6.5)

Should the availability of Porzingis take you off Beal, roll out Lauri Markkanen with confidence. Through a breakout campaign, Markkanen has now scored 20 or more points in seven of his last nine appearances. Moreover, he has averaged 25.6/7.6/1.8 on 56.9% shooting during that span. The potential return of Collin Sexton complicates the Jazz backcourt, so monitor this injury report and adjust accordingly. If playing Beal with the core listed below, Walker Kessler makes for a tremendous way to get exposure to this offense. Over his last eight appearances, Kessler has logged 20 or more minutes in seven games. Moreover, he has averaged 9.1/8.5/0.6 on 75% shooting during that span. He won’t take a ton of shots, but Washington ranks 18th in the NBA in points allowed in the paint and 16th in rebounding.

Core

CJ McCollum
Jonas Valanciunas
Devin Vassell
Pick one (1) of Bradley Beal or Lauri Markkanen
DK bonus: Daniel Gafford (if Porzingis out) or Walker Kessler

You can find me on Twitter @BetsByGhost and in the Win Daily Discord

2 years ago 0 comments

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NBA DFS: Ghost’s Gems 12/21

DFSGhost 2 years ago

written by DFSGhost

Injuries and shortened rotations have been the theme of the week in the NBA. As was pointed out in both articles this week, this will continue to be the trend throughout the holiday period. Yesterday was utter chaos and there was only five games on the schedule. Tonight, with many more set to tipoff, it will be more of the same. It’s a Wet Wednesday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

Golden State Warriors @ Brooklyn Nets (OTB)

Golden State Warriors (OTB)

With the Warriors on the second half of a back-to-back, this rotation will be one of, if not the most popular on tonight’s NBA slate. Assuming the injury reported is finalized as expected, Klay Thompson and Draymond Green are strong candidates to receive the night off. Already without Steph Curry and Andrew Wiggins, the Warriors would be without four of five regular starters. Jordan Poole instantly becomes a premier option, while there will be ton of viable value options as well.

Brooklyn Nets (OTB)

Exposure to the Nets offense all depends on the Warriors’ injury report. Should both Thompson and Green miss this game, in addition to both Curry and Wiggins being sidelined, this one could get out of hand rather quickly. However, blowouts are never predictable and this is an elite game environment on a large NBA slate. Both Kevin Durant and Kyrie Irving have been phenomenal since the latter returned to the lineup in late November. During those 14 games, the Nets are 11-3. Moreover, the two have combined for a ridiculous 57 points per game during that span, representing 49.7% of the team’s scoring.

Los Angeles Lakers @ Sacramento Kings (-6.5)

Los Angeles Lakers (+6.5)

Assuming LeBron James makes his return to the lineup tonight, this is the best game on the NBA slate. James sat out the tail end of the Lakers’ back-to-back after playing 35 minutes per game in the previous five, so it was likely precautionary, considering Anthony Davis will be sidelined for the next month. Having scored 30 or more points in his last four appearances, James has been carrying the Lakers once again in his 20th season. Moreover, he has averaged 32.8/7.5/6.8 on 57.4% shooting during that span. With Davis off the court this year, LeBron sees an increase in both usage rate and fantasy points per minute. The former goes from 31.6% to 33.9%, while the latter goes from 1.40 to 1.52. He is far and away one of the best targets at the top of the pricing grid.

Sacramento Kings (-6.5)

For those that have been here for multiple NBA seasons, you know where the Domantas Sabonis fanbase began. Tonight, to the surprise of no one, Sabonis is again a favorite amongst a loaded player pool. Over his last eight games, Sabonis has scored 20 or more points in six appearances. Moreover, he has averaged 20.8/15.6/6.6 on 68.9% shooting during that span. With the Lakers missing their best interior defender in Anthony Davis, the paint will be Sabonis’ to own on both ends of the court. The Lakers currently rank 27th in the league against true centers, while ranking 24th in points allowed in the paint. Moreover, both of these teams are top 5 in pace, making this the best game environment on the NBA slate.

Honorable Mentions:

Portland Trail Blazers @ Oklahoma City Thunder (+4.5)
Orlando Magic @ Houston Rockets (+2.5)
Charlotte Hornets @ Los Angeles Clippers (OTB)

You can find me on Twitter @BetsByGhost and in the Win Daily Discord

2 years ago 0 comments

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NBA DFS: Ghost’s Gems 12/20

DFSGhost 2 years ago

written by DFSGhost

As was pointed out yesterday, a multitude of players will miss games over the next two weeks. With the holiday period approaching, some teams will take advantage so give their players as much rest as they can. Thus, monitoring injury reports will be as important as ever to succeed in NBA action. It’s a Taco Tuesday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

Utah Jazz @ Detroit Pistons (+3.5)

Utah Jazz (-3.5)

With the Jazz on the second half of a back-to-back, this injury report will be important to tonight’s NBA slate. Both Kelly Olynyk and Collin Sexton were ruled out yesterday, and there is a possibility they both miss this game as well. Moreover, Mike Conley is a candidate to receive the night off to rest. Thus, there is interest to be had in the young duo of Walker Kessler and Nickeil Alexander-Walker against a rebuilding Pistons team. This is an elite game environment given that it has the the highest total on the board and the Pistons rank 29th in defensive rating. Moreover, Detroit sits 19th against centers, while being 28th in points allowed in the paint. More to come in Discord once Utah releases their final injury report.

Detroit Pistons (+3.5)

As much intrigue as Walker Kessler carries in this matchup, there is equal, if not more upside with Jalen Duren. Since taking over the starting center spot over Marvin Bagley, Duren has been playing elite basketball on both ends of the court, most notably on the glass. Over his last six games, Duren has logged 24 or more minutes in each appearance. Moreover, he has averaged 9.2/13.7/1.2 on 66.7% shooting during that span, including double-digit rebounds in every game. While he doesn’t take many shots, he is wildly efficient around the rim. Utah ranks 29th in the NBA against true centers and is last in the league in points allowed in the paint.

Memphis Grizzlies @ Denver Nuggets (+1.5)

Memphis Grizzlies (-1.5)

This is the game with all the star power on tonight’s NBA slate. Beginning with Memphis’ point guard, Ja Morant, there is a ton of upside in this matchup. Despite being tossed after a questionable technical foul in his last game, Morant has been elite offensively lately. Excluding last game since he got ejected, Morant has posted 20 or more points in eight of his last nine games before that. Moreover, during that span, Morant averaged 26.1/7.6/9.2 on 44.3% shooting. Denver ranks 29th in the NBA against primary ball handlers, setting the scene for Morant to come back from his ejection with a vengeance.

Denver Nuggets (+1.5)

The only player that will contend with Nikola Jokic to lead the NBA slate in scoring is discussed above. However, with Vegas having this one as a tight contest with a high total, pairing them together is ideal. Jokic is fresh off a ridiculous 40/27/10 triple-double against Charlotte. However, while that stat line will be impossible to replicate, his offensive game has been trending in the right direction as of late. In his last seven appearances, Jokic has scored 30 or more points in five games, with 25 or more in six of seven. During that span, Jokic has averaged 31.9/14/9.4 on 60.1% shooting. He is third in the NBA in total assists and assists per game, giving him yet another opportunity to get a triple-double tonight.

Honorable Mentions:

Chicago Bulls @ Miami Heat (-5.5)
Golden State Warriors @ New York Knicks (-4.5)
Washington Wizards @ Phoenix Suns (-6.5)

You can find me on Twitter @BetsByGhost and in the Win Daily Discord

2 years ago 0 comments

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NBA DFS: Ghost’s Gems 12/19

DFSGhost 2 years ago

written by DFSGhost

As we approach the holiday period, many players will be sitting out games. It is common for NBA teams to make sure their key contributors are rested heading into the new year. Thus, new rotations will be key in elite game environments. It’s a Mojito Monday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

Orlando Magic @ Atlanta Hawks (-6.5)

Orlando Magic (+6.5)

Despite numerous injuries, the Magic have reeled off six straight wins. No Orlando player has been as impressive as the #1 overall pick in this year’s NBA Draft, Paolo Banchero. Over his last seven games, Banchero has scored 20 or more points in each one. Moreover, he has averaged 22.4/7.4/4.6 on 41.3% shooting. During that same stretch, he has also led the team in both usage rate and minutes played per game. With the Hawks currently ranked 26th in the league against power forwards and 27th in points allowed in the paint, Banchero has massive upside in this matchup.

Atlanta Hawks (-6.5)

Exposure to the Hawks offense remains to be seen, depending on their final injury report. After missing multiple weeks, both John Collins (ankle) and Dejounte Murray (ankle) are questionable to make their returns to the lineup. Should both miss this game, there are options all over the pricing grid. At the top, Trae Young gets a friendly matchup versus a Magic defense that ranks 24th in the NBA in defensive rating, while also ranking 20th against primary ball handlers. Moreover, the duo of Bogdan Bogdanovic and Onyeka Okongwu figure to be popular options if both Collins and Murray miss another game. Over his last four games, Bogdanovic has averaged 26/5.8/2.8 on 54.4% shooting, including 54.8% from deep on over ten attempts per night. On the other hand, Okongwu will continue to fill in at the ‘5’ for Clint Capela, who remains out.

Portland Trail Blazers @ Oklahoma City Thunder (OTB)

Portland Trail Blazers (OTB)

While most will avoid the Blazers tonight versus a shorthanded Thunder roster, it’s the wrong approach. There is certainly a possibility that this game gets out of hand given the injuries to OKC’s two best players. However, they just pulled off a victory against the Grizzlies with this same rotation. Even with Morant getting tossed after 16 minutes of that game, it’s an impressive victory nonetheless. If you want to play Lillard at the top of the pricing grid tonight, I won’t talk you off of it. But with Lu Dort lining up on him, Simons and Nurkic are in better spots. The Thunder rank 27th in the NBA against true centers, while struggling versus off-ball guards as well. This rotation is risky but makes for an intriguing tournament play.

Oklahoma City Thunder (OTB)

This rotation will be one of, if not the most popular one on the entire NBA slate. Both Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Josh Giddey have been ruled out for a second straight game. Thus, there are plenty of viable options. Of the players of interest, pick your poison with any combination of Lu Dort, Isaiah Joe, Aaron Wiggins, and/or Aleksej Pokusevski. The four not only figure to play the bulk of minutes, but are in one of the best game environments on the slate.

Charlotte Hornets @ Sacramento Kings (-8.5)

Charlotte Hornets (+8.5)

Since making his return to the lineup, LaMelo Ball has looked great. Despite the concerns around his efficiency, he has still shot 50% from the field in his two games played since returning. During that span, Ball has logged 33 and 34 minutes, leaving no concern for any restrictions. Moreover, he has averaged 25/1.5/7 on 50% shooting, including 46.2% from deep on a whopping 13 attempts per night. With the Kings ranked 6th in the NBA in pace, this game environment is meant for Ball.

Sacramento Kings (-8.5)

Despite a lofty spread on this game, the Kings offense is in the best spot on the NBA slate. The Hornets currently rank 13th in pace, while being 27th in defensive rating. As expected, the main contributors of interest are De’Aaron Fox and Domantas Sabonis. However, the latter figures to be one of, if not my favorite play of the slate at the top of the pricing grid. In his last six games, Sabonis has scored 20 or more points in five appearances. Moreover, he has averaged 21.2/14.2/6 on 71.2% shooting during that stretch. The Hornets have always been a frontcourt to pick on, and they currently rank last in the league against centers, allowing over 60 fantasy points per game to the position.

Honorable Mentions:

Milwaukee Bucks @ New Orleans Pelicans (OTB)
San Antonio Spurs @ Houston Rockets (-3.5)
Los Angeles Lakers @ Phoenix Suns (OTB)

You can find me on Twitter @BetsByGhost and in the Win Daily Discord

2 years ago 0 comments

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NBA DFS: Ghost’s Gems 12/16

DFSGhost 2 years ago

written by DFSGhost

We’re a fourth into the NBA season and things are shaping up to be rather interesting heading into the holidays. Many teams are experiencing injuries, while others are picking up steam on both sides of the ball. Tonight, many elite game environments make this slate an intriguing one. It’s a Fajita Friday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

Sacramento Kings @ Detroit Pistons (+4.5)

Sacramento Kings (-4.5)

This is a prime spot for the Kings’ duo of stars. Both Domantas Sabonis and De’Aaron Fox find themselves in elite matchups at their respective positions. For one, the Pistons rank 29th in the NBA in points allowed in the paint and 25th in defensive rebounding. Over his last five games, Sabonis has scored 20 or more points in four appearances. Moreover, he has averaged 20.8/14.4/5.8 on 69.6% shooting and has racked up 4.2 offensive rebounds during the same span. De’Aaron Fox has been volatile as of late, only scoring 20 points once in his last seven appearances. However, his point/dollar upside in an elite game environment makes him an intriguing play for tournaments.

Detroit Pistons (+4.5)

The Pistons offense has many opportunities given the absence of Cade Cunningham. In 18 games since Cunningham last played, Bojan Bogdanovic has been carrying this offense. During that span, he leads the team with a 27.3% usage rate and has averaged 22.4/4.1/2.9 on 51.4% shooting, including 41.1% from deep. Sacramento ranks 23rd in the NBA in three-point shooting percentage allowed on over 11 makes per game. Moreover, there is value to be had with both Jaden Ivey and Jalen Duren, despite the tough matchup for the latter against Sabonis.

Golden State Warriors @ Philadelphia 76ers (-7.5)

Golden State Warriors (+7.5)

Welcome to the most popular rotation in NBA DFS over the next month. Unfortunately, Steph Curry will be sidelined for the next month or so after leaving last game with a shoulder injury. Thus, Jordan Poole and Klay Thompson will carry this offense. On the season, Poole and Thompson have usage rates of 28.2% and 25.6%, respectively, while posting 1.03 and 0.98 fantasy points per minute. However, with Curry off the floor, Poole takes a significant leap. In over 400 minutes played without Curry on the floor, Poole sees an increase to 1.14 fantasy points per minute through a 35.3% usage rate. However, Thompson sees dips in both. If you think Golden State keeps this one close, Poole is your guy, albeit being one of, if not the most popular player on the NBA slate.

Philadelphia 76ers (-7.5)

This is a tricky spot for the 76ers. On one hand, this game can get out of hand quickly. However, blowouts simply cannot be predicted. Thus, there is a strong chance that Joel Embiid or James Harden lead the NBA slate in scoring. Golden State currently leads the league in pace while ranking 19th in defensive rating. Moreover, they have struggled to guard primary ball handlers, ranking 24th in the NBA. Over his last three games, Harden has averaged a whopping 22.7/6.7/14.3 on 50% shooting, including 43.5% from behind the arc. This only thing stopping Harden from dominating tonight is Joel Embiid and his love for getting to the free throw line.

Minnesota Timberwolves @ Oklahoma City Thunder (-1.5)

Minnesota Timberwolves (+1.5)

This game is riddled with questionable tags for both injury reports. However, there is plenty of intrigue. Should he make his return after missing last game, D’Angelo Russell makes for an excellent tournament play. Over his last 10 games, Russell has averaged 21.4/2.8/6.6 on 52.3% shooting, including 40.5% from deep. Moreover, there could be value in the frontcourt, should Rudy Gobert be unavailable. Should this be the case, Naz Reid will instantly become one of the best values on the NBA slate and one of the most popular options in the field.

Oklahoma City Thunder (-1.5)

Similarly to above, should Rudy Gobert miss this game, value is here with Darius Bazley. With Jeremiah Robinson-Earl out for a few weeks, Bazley filled in at center, logging 31 minutes against Miami and posting a 12/5/2/1/1 scoring line in a tough matchup. Moreover, if Gobert plays, this game instantly becomes more competitive. Thus, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is in a tremendous spot. With 23 or more points in 14 of his last 15 games, SGA has been on an absolute tear. During that span, he has averaged 31.4/4.8/6.1 on 48% shooting. Minnesota ranks 29th in the NBA against primary ball handlers, setting the stage for SGA to potentially lead the slate in scoring.

Honorable Mentions:

Brooklyn Nets @ Toronto Raptors (+1.5)
Denver Nuggets @ Los Angeles Lakers (+1.5)

You can find me on Twitter @BetsByGhost and in the Win Daily Discord

2 years ago 0 comments

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NBA DFS: Ghost’s Gems 12/15

DFSGhost 2 years ago

written by DFSGhost

Only eight teams take the court tonight but this should be an interesting NBA slate. We have a rematch between New Orleans and Utah, while both Los Angeles and Miami are on the second half of a back-to-back. It’s a Thirsty Thursday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

Milwaukee Bucks @ Memphis Grizzlies (-1.5)

Milwaukee Bucks (+1.5)

On such a small NBA slate, it is in your best interest to roster the player leading the slate in scoring. At times, especially on large slates, they may not be in the optimal lineup. However, on smaller slates, raw fantasy points are king. Thus, Giannis Antetokounmpo will be at the focal points of lineups. Giannis has scored 28 or more points in ten of his last eleven appearances, racking up seven double-doubles along the way. During that span, he has averaged 32.8/10.6/5.4 on 55.6% shooting. Memphis has good interior defense, but there is no stopping the Greek Freak when he wants to get to the rim.

Memphis Grizzlies (-1.5)

With Giannis being a priority at the top of the pricing grid, Ja Morant is the odd man out on this NBA slate. He makes for a good play with Jrue Holiday out on the other side of the ball, but rostering the two together limits the upside of your lineup. Thus, exposure to the Memphis offense will have to come elsewhere. Steven Adams has been a wildcard this season given his volatility in minutes and the strength of Memphis’ bench in the frontcourt. However, with Brook Lopez and Giannis on the other side tonight, he will be needed to match the Bucks’ size up front. Adams has a mere 14.1% usage rate on the season and averages 1.02 fantasy points per minute. However, he has averaged 8.6/13.5 when playing over 30 minutes this season, logging double digit rebounds in seven of those eight appearances.

New Orleans Pelicans @ Utah Jazz (+1.5)

New Orleans Pelicans (-1.5)

This is a rematch from Tuesday’s NBA slate and interest remains the same as then. Despite a blowout victory by Utah, Zion Williamson put up 47 fantasy points in a mere 26 minutes. He dominated the paint, as Monday’s writeup illustrated: “The Pelicans are still missing Brandon Ingram but this team is on an absolute tear right now. Not only are the one of the hottest teams in the NBA, but Zion Williamson has been turning heads. Over his last six games, Williamson has scored 25 or more points in each one. Moreover, he has averaged 31.2/9.3/4.8 on 68% shooting during that span through a 29.8% usage rate. With the Pelicans rolling smaller lineups and using Zion at the ‘5’, he’ll get the bulk of minutes in a favorable matchup. Utah currently ranks 28th in the league against centers and last in points allowed in the paint per game.”

Utah Jazz (+1.5)

Similarly to the Pelicans, the approach regarding the Jazz on this NBA slate remains the same. On Tuesday, Nickeil Alexander-Walker was highlighted, despite coming off the bench. He went on to score 35 fantasy points in 25 minutes played with only ten of those points coming in the fourth quarter due to a blowout. Tonight, interest remains in the trio of Alexander-Walker, Kessler, Vanderbilt, and Beasley.

Honorable Mentions:

Miami Heat @ Houston Rockets (OTB)
Phoenix Suns @ Los Angeles Clippers (OTB)

You can find me on Twitter @BetsByGhost and in the Win Daily Discord

2 years ago 0 comments

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NBA DFS: Ghost’s Gems 12/14

DFSGhost 2 years ago

written by DFSGhost

Plenty of games on tonight’s NBA slate but a few stand out above the rest. It’s a Wet Wednesday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

Golden State Warriors @ Indiana Pacers (OTB)

Golden State Warriors (OTB)

This will be an injury report to monitor throughout the day. While there is no clear path to take as of yet, there will be one once the NBA slate locks, as this is the first one on it. Klay Thompson has sat out back-to-backs this season, and he continues to rehabilitate from multiple ACL injuries. Moreover, Draymond Green is a rest candidate, Andrew Wiggins is out with a groin injury, and Steph Curry looked hobbled by the end of yesterday’s game against the Bucks. Thus, Jordan Poole can be one of the most popular players on the slate, depending on how this one shakes out.

Indiana Pacers (OTB)

Depending on who plays for the Warriors, there are different ways to get exposure to the Pacers in an elite game environment. The Warriors currently lead the NBA in pace, while the Pacers rank 5th. Thus, there will be a ton of offense in this one and getting exposure to both sides is a strong start to any NBA lineup tonight. Tyrese Haliburton has upside in this matchup given that the Warriors rank 23rd against primary ball handlers. Moreover, the duo of Buddy Hield and Myles Turner can do damage in the midrange of the pricing grid.

Portland Trail Blazers @ San Antonio Spurs (+6.5)

Portland Trail Blazers (-6.5)

This is a risky spot for the Trail Blazers. While they are heavily favored, Vegas does not have this as a landslide victory. Thus, be cautious with exposure but feel confident enough to get a piece of this high scoring game. Damian Lillard is the main contributor on offense, but this is a favorable matchup for Anfernee Simons as a tournament play. San Antonio currently ranks last in the NBA against off-ball guards, allowing over 44 fantasy points per game to the player type. Moreover, the Spurs rank last in three-point shooting percentage allowed and 23rd in three-pointers allowed per game. With Simons being one of three players to hoist up over ten three-pointers per night, he has the chance to lead the team in scoring tonight.

San Antonio Spurs (+6.5)

While the trio of Keldon Johnson, Devin Vassell, and Tre Jones will shoulder the offense once again, there will be value in this Spurs frontcourt. Jakob Poeltl remains out and Zach Collins is listed as doubtful to play. Thus, a combination of Jeremy Sochan, Keita Bates-Diop, Charles Bassey, and Isaiah Roby will see the bulk of minutes in a favorable matchup. Portland currently ranks 26th in the NBA against centers while being 22nd in points allowed in the paint per game. Look for updates in our projections for further direction.

Minnesota Timberwolves @ Los Angeles Clippers (-6.5)

Minnesota Timberwolves (+6.5)

This game brings us back to a duo that won us a ton of money on Monday night. Despite the field loving Anthony Edwards, I preached the upside of Rudy Gobert as a pivot and tonight is the same case. While the Clippers are known to go with smaller lineups, they will have no choice to roll Ivica Zubac for more time, as the Timberwolves simply cannot match the Clippers’ small ball lineup with Towns still out. Thus, Gobert has massive upside in this matchup. The Clippers currently rank 24th in the NBA against true centers. Moreover, Gobert has three double-doubles in his last four games, averaging 19.5/15.8/1.5 on 66% shooting.

Los Angeles Clippers (-6.5)

I preached the upside of Kawhi Leonard in his last matchup and boy did he come through! Not only was he rostered by a mere 5% of the field that night, but Kawhi dropped 47 fantasy points in 29 minutes. Tonight, we’re going right back to the well. While on a “minutes limit”, Leonard has now seen 28 or more minutes in his last four contests. That is more than enough to do significant damage on this NBA slate. The Timberwolves currently rank 28th against wings, struggling mightily with their 3-and-D rotation. In his last contest, Kawhi dropped 25/9/6 on 83.3% shooting and I expect more of the same tonight, even despite an expected dip in efficiency.

Honorable Mentions:

Sacramento Kings @ Toronto Raptors (-5.5)
Miami Heat @ Oklahoma City Thunder (+4.5)

You can find me on Twitter @BetsByGhost and in the Win Daily Discord

2 years ago 0 comments

NBA Premium

NBA DFS: Ghost’s Gems 12/13

DFSGhost 2 years ago

written by DFSGhost

Only ten NBA teams take the court tonight but there is plenty of intrigue. Some of the league’s best will face off against one another, while a few short rotations may steal the show. It’s a Taco Tuesday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

Phoenix Suns @ Houston Rockets (+5.5)

Phoenix Suns (-5.5)

Devin Booker is set to miss a second straight game with a hamstring injury. Thus, both Chris Paul and Deandre Ayton will be priorities on this NBA slate. Both have massive point/dollar upside in their respective matchups. With Booker off the floor, Paul will get to run the pick-and-roll even more than usual. Thus, Ayton is a primary benefactor on the inside. Moreover, the Houston Rockets are last against primary ball handlers. Additionally, they rank last in pick-and-roll defense with a league-worst 52.3% effective field goal percentage allowed. No individual statistics needed for this duo; it’s a dream matchup.

Houston Rockets (+5.5)

If you are getting exposure to the Rockets on this NBA slate, duplicate your lineup and make one with Kevin Porter Jr. and another with Jalen Green. However, if choosing between the two, I prefer the latter. On the season, Green leads the Rockets with a 28% usage rate and has averaged 21.6/4/3.8 on 41.8% shooting. Moreover, he has taken 17 or more attempts from the field in his last five games. The efficiency can always be a cause for concern, but there is no doubting his volume tonight.

New Orleans Pelicans @ Utah Jazz (+1.5)

New Orleans Pelicans (-1.5)

The Pelicans are still missing Brandon Ingram but this team is on an absolute tear right now. Not only are the one of the hottest teams in the NBA, but Zion Williamson has been turning heads. Over his last six games, Williamson has scored 25 or more points in each one. Moreover, he has averaged 31.2/9.3/4.8 on 68% shooting during that span through a 29.8% usage rate. With the Pelicans rolling smaller lineups and using Zion at the ‘5’, he’ll get the bulk of minutes in a favorable matchup. Utah currently ranks 28th in the league against centers and last in points allowed in the paint per game.

Utah Jazz (+1.5)

The return of Lauri Markkanen to the lineup removes the upside from multiple Jazz. Throughout their last three games, the Jazz have been without multiple players. Tonight, Collin Sexton remains out, but the bulk of this roster is healthy. Thus, it will be interesting to see what the Jazz do with Nickeil Alexander-Walker. Over his last three appearances, NAW has seen a massive jump in minutes and offensive opportunity. Logging over 31 minutes per contest in that span, NAW has averaged 16.3/4.7/3.3 on 58.6% shooting, including 55.6% from deep on six attempts per night. Presumably, he should get the start with both Mike Conley and Malik Beasley coming off the bench, but look for updates in Discord. There is a lot to love about this offense in a competitive game environment on tonight’s NBA slate.

Honorable Mentions:

Sacramento Kings @ Philadelphia 76ers (-5.5)
Golden State Warriors @ Milwaukee Bucks (-4.5)
Boston Celtics @ Los Angeles Lakers (+3.5)

You can find me on Twitter @BetsByGhost and in the Win Daily Discord

2 years ago 0 comments

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NBA dfs

Oklahoma City Thunder @ Orlando Magic (-2.5)

Oklahoma City Thunder (+2.5)

Orlando Magic (-2.5)

Houston Rockets @ New Orleans Pelicans (-7.5)

Houston Rockets (+7.5)

New Orleans Pelicans (-7.5)

Atlanta Hawks @ Sacramento Kings (-1.5)

Atlanta Hawks (+1.5)

Sacramento Kings (-1.5)

Washington Wizards @ Milwaukee Bucks (-7.5)

Washington Wizards (+7.5)

Milwaukee Bucks (-7.5)

Sacramento Kings @ Utah Jazz (-2.5)

Sacramento Kings (+2.5)

Utah Jazz (-2.5)

San Antonio Spurs @ New Orleans Pelicans (-10.5)

San Antonio Spurs (+10.5)

New Orleans Pelicans (-10.5)

Washington Wizards @ Utah Jazz (-6.5)

Washington Wizards (+6.5)

Utah Jazz (-6.5)

Core

Golden State Warriors @ Brooklyn Nets (OTB)

Golden State Warriors (OTB)

Brooklyn Nets (OTB)

Los Angeles Lakers @ Sacramento Kings (-6.5)

Los Angeles Lakers (+6.5)

Sacramento Kings (-6.5)

Utah Jazz @ Detroit Pistons (+3.5)

Utah Jazz (-3.5)

Detroit Pistons (+3.5)

Memphis Grizzlies @ Denver Nuggets (+1.5)

Memphis Grizzlies (-1.5)

Denver Nuggets (+1.5)

Orlando Magic @ Atlanta Hawks (-6.5)

Orlando Magic (+6.5)

Atlanta Hawks (-6.5)

Portland Trail Blazers @ Oklahoma City Thunder (OTB)

Portland Trail Blazers (OTB)

Oklahoma City Thunder (OTB)

Charlotte Hornets @ Sacramento Kings (-8.5)

Charlotte Hornets (+8.5)

Sacramento Kings (-8.5)

Sacramento Kings @ Detroit Pistons (+4.5)

Sacramento Kings (-4.5)

Detroit Pistons (+4.5)

Golden State Warriors @ Philadelphia 76ers (-7.5)

Golden State Warriors (+7.5)

Philadelphia 76ers (-7.5)

Minnesota Timberwolves @ Oklahoma City Thunder (-1.5)

Minnesota Timberwolves (+1.5)

Oklahoma City Thunder (-1.5)

Milwaukee Bucks @ Memphis Grizzlies (-1.5)

Milwaukee Bucks (+1.5)

Memphis Grizzlies (-1.5)

New Orleans Pelicans @ Utah Jazz (+1.5)

New Orleans Pelicans (-1.5)

Utah Jazz (+1.5)

Golden State Warriors @ Indiana Pacers (OTB)

Golden State Warriors (OTB)

Indiana Pacers (OTB)

Portland Trail Blazers @ San Antonio Spurs (+6.5)

Portland Trail Blazers (-6.5)

San Antonio Spurs (+6.5)

Minnesota Timberwolves @ Los Angeles Clippers (-6.5)

Minnesota Timberwolves (+6.5)

Los Angeles Clippers (-6.5)

Phoenix Suns @ Houston Rockets (+5.5)

Phoenix Suns (-5.5)

Houston Rockets (+5.5)

New Orleans Pelicans @ Utah Jazz (+1.5)

New Orleans Pelicans (-1.5)

Utah Jazz (+1.5)

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