Tag:

NBA dfs

NBA DFS for Ghost’s Gems (Mar. 1)

DFSGhost 2 years ago

written by DFSGhost

Tonight’s NBA slate will be altered by final injury reports. While rebuilding teams have many players ruled out, others are on the second half of a back-to-back. It’s a Wet Wednesday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

Be sure to use our proprietary NBA projections and cheat sheet to build your lineups as the news rolls in. Moreover, join the conversation in the Win Daily Discord to get the insight you need from both subscribers and staff.

Chicago Bulls @ Detroit Pistons (+5.5)

Chicago Bulls (-5.5)

The Bulls are on the second half of a back-to-back, meaning this is a key injury report to monitor. Should one of Nikola Vucevic, Zach Lavine, or DeMar DeRozan end up sitting this game, the other two will quickly rise up the player rankings of this NBA slate. However, if all three suit up, Zach Lavine and DeMar DeRozan are the preferred targets. The two have had lackluster seasons, but this Pistons defense ranks 28th in the league. While they were stifled last night versus a stout Raptors defense last night, this Bulls offense will get back on track here.

Detroit Pistons (+5.5)

Injuries continue to riddle the rebuilding Pistons. Isaiah Stewart (hip) has been ruled out once again, while Jalen Duren (ankle) also remains out. However, Detroit should be able to get both Jaden Ivey (personal) and Bojan Bogdanovic (achilles) back in the lineup tonight. While the value remains in the frontcourt in the form of James Wiseman and Marvin Bagley III, their usage rates take a big hit with the returns of their teammates. Moreover, Killian Hayes, Alec Burks, and Hamidou Diallo round out the rotation, all of whom make for intriguing tournament plays in their own right.

Phoenix Suns @ Charlotte Hornets (+9.5)

Phoenix Suns (-9.5)

Kevin Durant is set to make his Suns debut tonight and the NBA will be on watch. The new super team in the league is set to all take the court together for the first time, as Devin Booker, Chris Paul, and Deandre Ayton are all set to suit up. However, this greatly impacts each one of their production in fantasy basketball. Durant is set to lead the charge on offense, as he always has, but both Chris Paul and Devin Booker need the ball in their hands to make a significant contribution to lineups. Thus, this is a wait-and-see approach, despite the excellent matchup.

Charlotte Hornets (+9.5)

One of the most key injuries on this NBA slate is the Hornets’ LaMelo Ball. The face of the franchise has been ruled out for the remainder of the season after fracturing his ankle in Monday’s win over Detroit. However, this creates more opportunity for others. If you think this game stays close, then Terry Rozier is a core piece to lineups. On the season, Rozier has posted 1.04 fantasy points per minute through a 26.6% usage rate. However, with Ball off the court, Rozier has posted 1.11 fantasy points per minute through an increased 30.1% usage rate. Should you go elsewhere in the mid range of the pricing grid over Rozier, Dennis Smith Jr. makes for an excellent pivot while still getting exposure to this offense.

Los Angeles Lakers @ Oklahoma City Thunder (+1.5)

Los Angeles Lakers (-1.5)

At the top of the pricing grid, no one is as important on this NBA slate as Anthony Davis. The Lakers are on the second half of a back-to-back, but essentially need every win they can get in order to make a playoff push. In the absence of LeBron James, AD simply won’t leave the court. After posting 28/19 with five blocks last night, Davis gets a matchup versus an OKC frontcourt that ranks 23rd in the league versus true centers and sits 26th in rebounding percentage.

Oklahoma City Thunder (+1.5)

With Shai Gilgeous-Alexander entering health and safety protocols, he is likely to miss tonight’s game versus the Lakers. Thus, as was mentioned in yesterday’s article, Josh Giddey makes for an excellent play on this NBA slate in the mid range of the pricing grid. While both he and Lu Dort plays a mere 40 minutes combined yesterday, this was because the two combined to be -60 in plus/minus differential. While the Thunder only lost to Sacramento by six points, it was the bench who carried them there. Do not expect a repeat performance here; get exposure to OKC in the form of Giddey, Joe, Dort, and Jalen Williams.

Honorable Mentions:

Orlando Magic @ Milwaukee Bucks (-8.5)
New Orleans Pelicans @ Portland Trail Blazers (-2.5)

You can find me on Twitter @BetsByGhost and in the Win Daily Discord

2 years ago 0 comments

NBA DFS for Ghost’s Gems (Feb. 28)

DFSGhost 2 years ago

written by DFSGhost

While two of the league’s best are missing in action for their respective teams, many elite matchups are on the NBA schedule tonight. It’s a Taco Tuesday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

Los Angeles Lakers @ Memphis Grizzlies (-8.5)

Los Angeles Lakers (+8.5)

With LeBron James set to miss the next few weeks of the season, the Lakers will need all the help they can get from their newcomers. However, they will also have to do so without D’Angelo Russell tonight, who is doubtful to play because of an ankle injury. Dennis Schroder will start in the event that Russell is ruled out, while Malik Beasley and Jared Vanderbilt will have more offensive opportunity. Rui Hachimura will consequently dominate usage off the bench, but nothing is possible without Anthony Davis leading the charge. With LeBron off the court, Davis has posted a remarkable 1.49 fantasy points per minute through a 30.3% usage rate. With Steven Adams still missing from the Grizzlies lineup, Davis will dominate the paint on both ends of the court tonight.

Memphis Grizzlies (-8.5)

Despite two mediocre performances following the NBA All-Star break, this is a terrific spot for Ja Morant. On the season, Morant leads the team with a 35% usage rate, averaging 27/5.9/8.1 on 46.3% shooting. Moreover, the Lakers currently rank 28th versus primary ball handlers, struggling mightily with their on-ball defense. Should Morant alter lineup construction too much, Desmond Bane makes for a viable pivot in tournaments.

Sacramento Kings @ Oklahoma City Thunder (+2.5)

Sacramento Kings (-2.5)

With the Thunder ranking 3rd in the NBA in pace, this is an elite game environment. Moreover, the Kings currently have the best offensive rating the league has ever seen. While this is tough to compare to prior teams considering the way the game has changed over the years, it’s an impressive feat nonetheless. Tonight, Domantas Sabonis gets the best matchup of the Kings offense. The Thunder not only rank 24th versus crafty centers, but also sit 26th in rebounding percentage. Sabonis not only leads the league in total rebounds, but in rebounds per game as well.

Oklahoma City Thunder (+2.5)

In the absence of Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, all eyes will be on Josh Giddey. Likely to be one of the most popular players in the mid range of the pricing grid on this NBA slate, Giddey has a terrific combination of ceiling and floor. With his fellow backcourt teammate off the floor, Giddey sees his usage rate increase from 24.5% to 25.6%, while his fantasy points per minute actually decrease from 1.24 to 1.10. Lu Dort and Isaiah Joe make for viable plays as well, but having no exposure to this Thunder offense is a fine approach as well.

Portland Trail Blazers @ Golden State Warriors (-4.5)

Portland Trail Blazers (+4.5)

Arguably the best scorer in the NBA this season, Damian Lillard has simply been unreal. Not only is he fresh off a 71-point performance, but he has scored 30 or more points in 11 of his last 13 appearances. Moreover, he has averaged 40.7/5.2/7.1 on 53% shooting during that span, taking nearly 13 shots from behind the arc per night and hitting at a 43.8% clip. It’s a lofty commitment to make on the pricing grid, but with the Warriors ranked 26th versus primary ball handlers, it’s never too late to jump on the Dame Time train.

Golden State Warriors (-4.5)

While Portland defends the three-ball at a decent rate, Klay Thompson has been lights out lately. Not only has he dropped 32 and 42 points, respectively, in his last two games, but he has made 18 three-pointers across those appearances. Moreover, Jordan Poole will continue to lead this offense and be overlooked on a large NBA slate considering he has struggled coming out of the All-Star break. Should Draymond Green suit up for this one, he makes for an interesting play in tournaments versus a depleted Portland frontcourt, while Kevon Looney is the preferable target between the two.

Honorable Mentions:

Denver Nuggets @ Houston Rockets (+10.5)
Indiana Pacers @ Dallas Mavericks (-6.5)
San Antonio Spurs @ Utah Jazz (-9.5)

You can find me on Twitter @BetsByGhost and in the Win Daily Discord

2 years ago 0 comments

NBA Premium

NBA DFS for Ghost’s Gems (Feb. 27)

DFSGhost 2 years ago

written by DFSGhost

On small NBA slates, lineup construction and contest selection are crucial. There have already been a few key injuries to alter the landscape of the field, and more are surely to come. It’s a Mojito Monday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

Detroit Pistons @ Charlotte Hornets (-6.5)

Detroit Pistons (+6.5)

While this game does not have the star power of others, it will be crucial to lineup construction on this NBA slate. The Pistons hold two of the most important injuries to monitor: Bojan Bogdanovic and Isaiah Stewart. The two have been labeled as questionable, and this rotation is riddled with value if one or both end up missing this game. In the absence of Bogdanovic, the trio of Jaden Ivey, Killian Hayes, and Hamidou Diallo will see more offensive looks. Moreover, if Stewart misses this game, the duo of Marvin Bagley and James Wiseman will be two of the best plays in the field versus a dreaded Charlotte frontcourt.

Charlotte Hornets (-6.5)

While most will presumably flock to the best star on this NBA slate in the next game, pairing him with LaMelo Ball is awfully intriguing. Detroit currently ranks 29th in the league versus primary ball handlers and Ball has been terrific lately. Over his last six games, Ball has posted 20 or more points in four appearances. Moreover, he has averaged 25.2/8.8/11.3 on 42.9% shooting during that span, while attempting over 11 three-pointers per night.

Boston Celtics @ New York Knicks (+4.5)

Boston Celtics (-4.5)

There is no way around playing Jayson Tatum tonight. He is awfully placed on the pricing grid in the absence of Jaylen Brown (personal), who is set to miss this game at MSG. On the season, Tatum leads the team with a 33% usage rate and 1.40 fantasy points per minute. However, with Brown off the court, Tatum carries an increased 35.5% usage rate and relatively similar production. The point/dollar upside is big versus a Knicks team that ranks 27th in the NBA to ball-handling wings.

New York Knicks (+4.5)

While the duo of Julius Randle and Jalen Brunson will lead this offense, the gem of this offense comes off the bench. Since the acquisition of Josh Hart from Portland, many figured that one of RJ Barrett or Immanuel Quickley would suffer in a lack of playing time. However, the latter has simply been terrific. Over his last seven games, Quickly has scored in double digits in every one of them. Moreover, he has averaged 14.7/42.6 on 52.8% shooting during that span, while logging over 27 minutes per contest.

Honorable Mentions:

Miami Heat @ Philadelphia 76ers (-6.5)
Orlando Magic @ New Orleans Pelicans (-4.5)

You can find me on Twitter @BetsByGhost and in the Win Daily Discord

2 years ago 0 comments

NBA Premium

NBA DFS for Ghost’s Gems (Feb. 24)

DFSGhost 2 years ago

written by DFSGhost

Despite NBA teams having a week off following the All-Star break, there are still numerous players missing in action. While some focus on their playoff push, others have cause for concern. It’s a Fajita Friday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

New York Knicks @ Washington Wizards (-1.5)

New York Knicks (+1.5)

One of the biggest snubs of this year’s NBA All-Star game was Jalen Brunson. A questionable signing turned into a perfect situation for the Knicks, as they have found their point guard. In ten games before the break, Brunson scored 20 or more points in each one of those appearances. Moreover, he averaged 31.5/4.2/6 on 55.4% shooting during that stretch. The backcourt is riddled with underappreciated talent between Brunson and Immanuel Quickley, while the Knicks suddenly have solid wing depth as well in RJ Barrett and Josh Hart. The latter has been overly efficient since arriving from Portland, shooting 62.1% from the field and 64.3% from behind the arc in three appearances with his new team. While he lacks upside due to limited volume, he is someone that will likely be overplayed on this NBA slate.

Washington Wizards (-1.5)

Bradley Beal did not practice for two consecutive days coming out of the break and is unlikely to play tonight. Thus, Kristaps Porzingis and Kyle Kuzma will shoulder the load on offense. The former plays against the organization that drafted him, while Kuzma is surprisingly still in town following the trade deadline. However, Washington is still holding a spot in the Play-In tournament right now. While the duo are in awkward positions on the pricing grid, the latter has more upside. Kuzma does not see drastic increases in his production with Beal off the court, but does take more shots and handles the rock more frequently. A reluctancy to commit to such a bleak situation would be understandable, so look to Deni Avdija or Delon Wright here.

Miami Heat @ Milwaukee Bucks (-1.5)

Miami Heat (+1.5)

While this is far from an elite game environment, these two teams will be playing on tight rotations. Both organizations have built their rosters around defensive ability, and the two both have top 5 defenses in the NBA. However, Miami is desperate for wins and will need to tighten their rotation down the stretch. In the absence of Kyle Lowry (knee), Tyler Herro will be a key contributor in the backcourt. Moreover, Jimmy Butler will have ample room to dominate this halfcourt offense in the absence of one of, if not the best defender in the league: Giannis Antetokounmpo.

Milwaukee Bucks (-1.5)

As alluded to above, Giannis Antetokounmpo (wrist) injured himself in the last game before the NBA All-Star break and is doubtful to play tonight. Thus, Jrue Holiday, Brook Lopez, Khris Middleton, and Bobby Portis will see an increase in offensive looks. There is no clear advantage in individual matchups between the four, as the Heat bolster one of the best defensive units in the league. However, Khris Middleton will look to regain his form before the playoffs begin, leaving him with the most upside based on sheer volume. Before the break, Middleton scored in double digits across his last six appearances and eight of his last nine. During that stretch, he averaged 16.1/5/3.6 on 48.7% shooting, while taking over 12 field goal attempts per night.

Houston Rockets @ Golden State Warriors (-9.5)

Houston Rockets (+9.5)

In the absence of both Kevin Porter Jr. and Jalen Green, there are a ton of shots available to the remaining Rockets. Alperen Sengun is the key benefactor in this situation, seeing his usage rate increase from 22.1% to 26.4%, with his fantasy points per minute rising from 1.21 to 1.25. However, there are others to consider as well. The trio of KJ Martin, Jabari Smith Jr., and Tari Eason make for intriguing plays in tournaments, with Smith Jr. being the least preferable of the three. Look for the trio of Josh Christopher, TyTy Washington Jr., and Daishen Nix to pick up the bulk of the workload in a depleted backcourt.

Golden State Warriors (-9.5)

The Warriors are still missing Andrew Wiggins and Steph Curry for this game. Thus, against the worst defense in the NBA, their remaining offensive players are in a tremendous spot. Both Jordan Poole and Klay Thompson fell on the pricing grid, leaving more room for upside here. However, as stated in yesterday’s breakdown, these are the two you want to focus on. Moreover, Kevon Looney and Draymond Green will be key in shutting down Alperen Sengun. No need to reinvent the wheel here: the key contributors are known and are excellent plays on this slate.

Honorable Mentions:

Cleveland Cavaliers @ Atlanta Hawks (-1.5)
Sacramento Kings @ Los Angeles Clippers (-6.5)

You can find me on Twitter @BetsByGhost and in the Win Daily Discord

2 years ago 0 comments

NBA Premium

NBA DFS for Ghost’s Gems (Feb. 23)

Richard Masana 2 years ago

written by Richard Masana

After a long break following All-Star weekend, the NBA is back. Many elite matchups kickoff the last third of the season tonight, with teams making a playoff push and others jockeying for seeding. It’s a Thirsty Thursday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

Memphis Grizzlies @ Philadelphia 76ers (-4.5)

Memphis Grizzlies (+4.5)

There are many elite duos in games on this NBA slate. Beginning with one of the most competitive game environments, Ja Morant faces a tough task versus a stout Philadelphia perimeter defense. By shifting Tyrese Maxey to the bench, James Harden is no longer guarding primary ball handlers and Philly has the sixth-best defense in the league because of it. Desmond Bane gets the friendly matchup versus Harden, but his position on the pricing grid has risen quite a bit. Thus, look to the first combo big off the bench for the Grizzlies in Brandon Clarke. With Steven Adams (knee) still out, Xavier Tillman likely draws another start, alongside Jaren Jackson Jr. With the two being foul prone and facing a foul-drawing artist in Joel Embiid, Clarke will be relied upon heavily off the bench. Moreover, Dillon Brooks draws a friendly matchup in the starting unit but the volume is worrisome.

Philadelphia 76ers (-4.5)

Joel Embiid was mentioned above and he is one of many marquee studs on this NBA slate. However, with a matchup versus Xavier Tillman looming, he has tremendous upside. Embiid leads the team with a 36.9% usage rate this season, good for third in the league. Moreover, he has averaged 33.1/10.2/4.1 on 53.7% shooting. James Harden makes for a good target in tournaments, possessing both a safe floor and a high ceiling. Before the break, Harden registered four double-doubles and recorded 20 or more points in four of his last five games. During that span, he averaged 24.4/4.6/10.2 on 48.1% shooting.

Golden State Warriors @ Los Angeles Lakers (-4.5)

Golden State Warriors (+4.5)

Coming out of the NBA All-Star break, many players have shifted upward on the pricing grid. One of the most affected teams are the Warriors, who are reflective of Steph Curry (leg) being out. However, the duo of Jordan Poole and Klay Thompson have slate-breaking upside, in balanced lineups, in a matchup versus the Lakers. Los Angeles gets LeBron James and Anthony Davis back together in a new-look offense, but this team still ranks second in pace and 18th in defensive rating. In the absence of Andrew Wiggins (personal), Donte DiVincenzo likely draws the start, but it’s Poole and Thompson who will combine for over 40 field goal attempts tonight.

Los Angeles Lakers (-4.5)

Similarly to how the Warriors offense is in a good spot, the Lakers are in just as good of one. While Los Angeles ranks second in the NBA in pace, it is the Warriors who currently lead the league. This one will play in transition, which is perfect for the duo of Anthony Davis and LeBron James. Moreover, newcomers D’Angelo Russell, Malik Beasley, and Jarred Vanderbilt round out a solidified starting unit. The preference is to allocate the core of lineups to this game environment, but there are solid value pieces here as well if you choose to prioritize the game below.

Portland Trail Blazers @ Sacramento Kings (-5.5)

Portland Trail Blazers (+5.5)

If the core of lineups will not be centered around the Lakers versus Warriors, it should absolutely be around this game environment. The Blazers are currently on the outside looking in when it comes to the NBA Play-In tournament, and no one is arguably as important to their team as Damian Lillard is right now. Fresh off winning the three-point contest last weekend, Dame left his mark before the break. Over his 12 games, Lillard has posted 30 or more points in ten appearances. Moreover, he has averaged a whopping 38.2/5.2/7.2 on 52.3% shooting during that span. In the absence of Anfernee Simons, Lillard has the potential to lead this slate in scoring based on his volume alone.

Sacramento Kings (-5.5)

While Jusuf Nurkic is a poor defender, Drew Eubanks is arguably worse when you watch this Trail Blazers defensive unit. Thus, as anticipated, Domantas Sabonis is an excellent pivot off Joel Embiid tonight in what could be the best game environment on the NBA slate. Portland not only ranks 26th in the league versus crafty centers, but they also rank 20th in points allowed in the paint and 17th in rebounding. On the season, Sabonis leads the NBA in both total rebounds and rebounds per game. Moreover, he has averaged 18.8/12.3/6.9 on 61.1% shooting this year.

Honorable Mentions:

Boston Celtics @ Indiana Pacers (+7.5)
Denver Nuggets @ Cleveland Cavaliers (-2.5)
Oklahoma City Thunder @ Utah Jazz (-2.5)

You can find me on Twitter @BetsByGhost and in the Win Daily Discord

2 years ago 0 comments

NBA Premium

NBA DFS for Ghost’s Gems (Feb. 15)

DFSGhost 2 years ago

written by DFSGhost

With only two days remaining before the NBA All-Star weekend, expect a number of players to be ruled out. Moreover, many teams look to climb the standings, while others remain focused on getting healthier. It’s a Wet Wednesday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

San Antonio Spurs @ Charlotte Hornets (-5.5)

San Antonio Spurs (+5.5)

As the Spurs look to the NBA Draft, many of their players will be sitting games out. Tonight, Tre Jones has been ruled out for the sixth time over the team’s last seven games. Thus, Devonte’ Graham makes for an intriguing play in tournaments. Since arriving in San Antonio, Graham has logged 24 or more minutes in each game. Moreover, he has averaged 17.3/2/5 and is attempting over ten three-pointers per night. With the Hornets ranking 6th in pace and 25th in defensive rating, continue to ride the wave of attacking their game environments.

Charlotte Hornets (-5.5)

LaMelo Ball was highlighted in Monday’s article as an excellent play for NBA tournaments. Not only did he come through with little to no people rostering him, but he actually led the slate in scoring. Over his last three games, Ball has averaged 24/8/12.3 on 47.4% shooting. Moreover, the Spurs rank 28th in the league versus primary ball handlers, while being last in defensive rating.

Miami Heat @ Brooklyn Nets (+1.5)

Miami Heat (-1.5)

With Tyler Herro ruled out for a second straight game, look for the trio of Jimmy Butler, Bam Adebayo, and Max Strus to be popular. Miami figures to be on a tight rotation once again, as Victor Oladipo, Kyle Lowry, and Nikola Jovic remain out. Jimmy Butler has been having a mediocre regular season, but is one of the best playoff performers in recent years. Moreover, he has scored 20 or more points in four of his last five appearances, averaging 23.8/6.8/5.8. While his point/dollar upside is limited given his place on the pricing grid, he figures to be a staple in balanced lineup construction tonight.

Brooklyn Nets (+1.5)

Newly arrived Spencer Dinwiddie has shifted the landscape of the Nets’ offense. Not only is he second on the team in usage rate since being traded, but he also has the highest scoring average and most assists. However, this rotation lacks appeal on such a large NBA slate. There is no need to force exposure here given the depth that Brooklyn now has.

Houston Rockets @ Oklahoma City Thunder (-9.5)

Houston Rockets (+9.5)

Kevin Porter Jr. remains out for the Rockets, meaning Jalen Green and Alperen Sengun will continue to lead this offense. Both players have taken significant leaps this season, but Green has tremendous upside with the sheer volume he has on a nightly basis. Over his last four games, Green has scored 27 or more points in three appearances, averaging 27/3.3/3.3 on 42.7% shooting. Moreover, he has taken over 20 field goal attempts per night during that stretch, leading the team by a significant margin. With such a high usage rate, Green is one of the best plays in the mid range of this NBA slate.

Oklahoma City Thunder (-9.5)

While Shai Gilgeous-Alexander takes a backseat to LaMelo Ball on this NBA slate, rostering the two together with Jalen Green is a tremendous start to a loaded backcourt. Soon to make his All-Star debut, the face of the Thunder franchise has been having a tremendous season. He is currently fifth in league scoring, averaging 30.9 points per game. Moreover, he has averaged 32/4.6/6.1 on 51.5% shooting over his last ten games. Houston currently ranks last in the league versus primary ball handlers, while having a 28th-ranked defense.

Honorable Mentions:

Chicago Bulls @ Indiana Pacers (OTB)
New York Knicks @ Atlanta Hawks (-2.5)
New Orleans Pelicans @ Los Angeles Lakers (-3.5)

You can find me on Twitter @BetsByGhost and in the Win Daily Discord

2 years ago 0 comments

NBA Premium

NBA DFS for Ghost’s Gems (Feb. 14)

DFSGhost 2 years ago

written by DFSGhost

With only five games on the NBA schedule, there is no room for error. Moreover, there is a strong possibility that many of the league’s brightest stars are missing in action tonight. It’s a Taco Tuesday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

Boston Celtics @ Milwaukee Bucks (-4.5)

Boston Celtics (+4.5)

The opening game of the NBA slate will have two of the most popular rotations. Jaylen Brown (face) remains out for the Celtics, while Jayson Tatum (illness) is doubtful to play. Moreover, Marcus Smart (ankle) remains out, while Robert Williams III (ankle), Malcolm Brogdon (achilles), and Grant Williams (elbow) are all questionable to suit up. Thus, Boston will have a thin rotation tonight. Derrick White will surely be on of the most popular options in the mid range of the pricing grid. He comes into this one averaging 19.4/4.9/5.2 over his last ten games, scoring in double digits in all ten appearances. Moreover, Payton Pritchard stems to gain offensive looks, as do Sam Hauser and Al Horford, depending on who is available.

Milwaukee Bucks (-4.5)

Given that Vegas opened this line at a mere 4.5 points in the Bucks favor, there is a strong possibility that Giannis Antetokounmpo misses this one, despite being listed as probable. Should he evidently be available, there is a strong chance he leads the NBA slate in scoring. However, a lack of competitiveness in this game environment is apparent, should Tatum be ruled out. Should Antetokounmpo be ruled out, both Jrue Holiday and Brook Lopez will get noticeable increases in offensive production, while Khris Middleton makes for an intriguing play in tournaments given his high volume, despite being on a minutes restriction.

Sacramento Kings @ Phoenix Suns (-3.5)

Sacramento Kings (+3.5)

Since being snubbed from the NBA All-Star game, De’Aaron Fox has been on a tear. Over his last seven appearances, Fox has scored 30 or more points in six games. Moreover, he has averaged 29.7/4.1/7 on 50% shooting during that span. A model of consistency for the Kings this season, Domantas Sabonis has a notable advantage over Deandre Ayton in the paint on both ends of the court. Phoenix struggles on the glass in their own end, ranking 20th in the league in defensive rebounding.

Phoenix Suns (-3.5)

With the return of Devin Booker to the Suns lineup, this offense becomes much more potent. However, this greatly decreases the opportunities of both Chris Paul and Deandre Ayton in the pick-and-roll. While Booker continues to ease his way back into action after recovering from a hamstring injury, he figures to be on a soft minutes limit, as he has in his previous two games. In those appearances, which were his first since Christmas Day, Booker played 26 minutes, but took a combined 33 field goal attempts. There is simply no need to force exposure to the Suns on this NBA slate. Rather, keep an eye on the Golden State injury report since they are on the second half of a back-to-back and may sit Klay Thompson, making Jordan Poole a much better play than Chris Paul.

Honorable Mentions:

Orlando Magic @ Toronto Raptors (-6.5)
Washington Wizards @ Portland Trail Blazers (-3.5)
Golden State Warriors @ Los Angeles Clippers (-7.5)

You can find me on Twitter @BetsByGhost and in the Win Daily Discord

2 years ago 0 comments

NBA Premium

NBA DFS for Ghost’s Gems (Feb. 13)

DFSGhost 2 years ago

written by DFSGhost

Following the conclusion of the NFL season last night, all eyes turn to the NBA. After one of the most entertaining trade deadlines in recent memory, the league has a few games left before its All-Star break. It’s a Mojito Monday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

Atlanta Hawks @ Charlotte Hornets (+5.5)

Atlanta Hawks (-5.5)

Make no mistake about it, this NBA slate is riddled with elite options at the guard position. However, two of them are in this game. Trae Young and the Hawks are in an explosive position on offense tonight. The face of the Atlanta franchise has been on fire lately, averaging 26.7/3.9/12 on 47.7% shooting over his last seven games. Moreover, the Hornets provide a great game environment for the primary ball handler. Charlotte ranks 25th in defensive rating and 7th in pace, giving Young a ton of upside. If going elsewhere at the guard position, Clint Capela makes for a tremendous target in the mid range of the pricing grid.

Charlotte Hornets (+5.5)

Similarly to Young, LaMelo Ball is in a fantastic position on this NBA slate. Despite the Hornets losing seven straight games, Ball continues to impress. He has averaged 22.9/8.3/8.1 on 40.7% shooting during that span, leading the team with a 29% usage rate. Moreover, the Hawks have a formidable on-ball defense in Dejounte Murray to counteract Ball, but the latter is excellent in finding open teammates. One benefactor will be Mark Williams, who has taken over the starting center role following the departure of Mason Plumlee. In two starts since then, Williams has averaged 8.5/8.5/1 on 58.3% shooting, amassing two steals and blocks per night.

Los Angeles Lakers @ Portland Trail Blazers (-2.5)

Los Angeles Lakers (+2.5)

The Lakers are in one of, if not the best game environment on the NBA slate. However, with the status of LeBron James unknown, there is a ton of uncertainty here. Should James play, he immediately becomes a contender to lead the slate in scoring. Yet, should he miss a third straight game with an ankle injury, both Anthony Davis and Dennis Schroder are in good spots. Davis has struggled over his last three games, but will be relied upon to shoulder the load versus an injured Trail Blazers frontcourt. Moreover, Portland ranks 27th in defensive rating and 26th versus centers. Schroder has looked good alongside newly acquired D’Angelo Russell, as the latter has shown the ability to play off the ball more so than the former. Over his last two appearances with LeBron out, Schroder has averaged 25.5/2.5/7.5 on 58.6% shooting.

Portland Trail Blazers (-2.5)

Two elite guards were mentioned in the previous game, but Damian Lillard is in one of, if not the best spot of the three. Over his last ten games, Dame Time has scored 30 or more points in eight appearances. Moreover, he has averaged 37.9/4.6/7.5 on 52.6% shooting during that span, including 41.3% from behind the arc on nearly 11 attempts per night. The Lakers rank 29th in the NBA versus primary ball handlers, while also ranking 20th in three-pointers allowed per night. The last time these two teams met, Portland took a 25-point lead into halftime, only to lose the game by nine. Counting Lillard out of the list of players to potentially lead this slate in scoring is a mistake.

Washington Wizards @ Golden State Warriors (-3.5)

Washington Wizards (+3.5)

Exposure to the Wizards offense hinges on the availability of Kyle Kuzma. Should he be ruled out, Bradley Beal is a great target in the mid range of the pricing grid. Over his last four games, Beal has averaged 26/4.5/6 on 58.3% shooting. Moreover, he leads the team in both usage rate and assists per game during that span. Since taking over as primary ball handler in the absence of Kuzma, Beal has much more room on offense to find his own shot, and create for others. With Beal also taking over six three-pointers per night over his last four appearances, he is in a position to take advantage of a Warriors defensive unit that ranks 22nd in the NBA in three-pointers allowed per night.

Golden State Warriors (-3.5)

Their positions on the pricing grid have not moved despite Steph Curry missing the team’s last three games, so there is no reason to avoid the backcourt duo of Jordan Poole and Klay Thompson. In three games since Curry went down with an injury, Poole and Thompson have combined for over 58 points per game, while taking 25 field goal attempts per night. Moreover, the two lead the team in usage rate during that span. This is far from the best game environment on the NBA slate, but it certainly is appealing enough for the sharpshooting Poole and Thompson.

Honorable Mentions:

Utah Jazz @ Indiana Pacers (-1.5)
New Orleans Pelicans @ Oklahoma City Thunder (-2.5)

You can find me on Twitter @BetsByGhost and in the Win Daily Discord

2 years ago 0 comments

NBA Premium

NBA DFS for Ghost’s Gems (Feb. 9)

DFSGhost 2 years ago

written by DFSGhost

Last night’s interesting matchups were overshadowed by trade deadline eve. The Lakers sent Russell Westbrook and a first round pick to the Jazz, while Utah managed to get both a coveted first round pick and lose Mike Conley’s hefty contract. Today, the trade deadline is at 3pm EST, meaning many players on this NBA slate could be affected. It’s a Thirsty Thursday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

Phoenix Suns @ Atlanta Hawks (+1.5)

Phoenix Suns (-1.5)

Devin Booker returned to the lineup for the first time since Christmas Day after recovering from a groin injury, but has been ruled out for tonight. Thus, Chris Paul makes for an excellent play on this NBA slate. Despite a decline from his usual self, CP3 is still averaging 13.6/4.3/8.7 on 43.2% shooting this season. Moreover, he has posted 1.13 fantasy points per minute through a 19.1% usage rate. However, with Booker off the floor, Paul sees slight improvements. Through a 21.9% usage rate, CP3 posts 1.16 points per minute. Atlanta ranks 12th in the NBA versus pick-and-roll offenses, giving up 17.6 points per game to the play type.

Atlanta Hawks (+1.5)

If the Lakers’ studs are both available, then Trae Young gets the nod for me at the top of the pricing grid, barring enough value to fit Giannis Antetokounmpo. However, should LeBron James sit tonight’s game after breaking the NBA all-time scoring record, Anthony Davis takes precedence over Young. Nonetheless, Young will be tasked with leading this offense tonight, as he does regularly. Over his last eight games, Young has scored 20 or more points in seven appearances. Moreover, he has posted ten or more assists in six of his last eight. During that span, Young has averaged 25/3.1/10.8 on 44.7% shooting.

Chicago Bulls @ Brooklyn Nets (OTB)

Chicago Bulls (OTB)

DeMar DeRozan missed the team’s last game with a hip injury and is listed as questionable for tonight. Should he be ruled out once again, the duo if Nikola Vucevic and Zach Lavine make for interesting pieces to NBA lineups. The Bulls are in a similar position as the Raptors heading into the trade deadline in the sense that they have players the league is interested in, and this core simply has not worked. Keep an eye on this injury report leading up to lock, as it could shake the slate up drastically, should players get traded before the deadline.

Brooklyn Nets (OTB)

All eyes will be on Cam Thomas tonight. The sophomore became the league’s youngest player to record 40 or more points in three straight outings at only 21 years old. Moreover, Thomas has averaged 44.7/4.7/3.7 on 56% shooting during his last three outings through a whopping 42.1% usage rate. However, tread with caution on this NBA slate. Both Spencer Dinwiddie and Dorian Finney-Smith are expected to make their debuts with the team. While the latter will not remove from Thomas’ potential, Dinwiddie will surely takeover as the primary ball handler. Make no mistake about it, Thomas still makes for an excellent play in balanced lineups, but he is much riskier than previous slates given the arrival of Dinwiddie.

Honorable Mentions:

Denver Nuggets @ Orlando Magic (OTB)
Milwaukee Bucks @ Los Angeles Lakers (+4.5)

You can find me on Twitter @BetsByGhost and in the Win Daily Discord

2 years ago 0 comments

NBA Premium

NBA DFS for Ghost’s Gems (Feb. 8)

DFSGhost 2 years ago

written by DFSGhost

Tonight’s NBA schedule is filled with intrigue. Multiple teams have players that contending teams covet, while others are missing some of their best players. It’s a Wet Wednesday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

San Antonio Spurs @ Toronto Raptors (-9.5)

San Antonio Spurs (+9.5)

Not only do the Spurs have many players that contending teams desperately want, but their current roster is also riddled with injuries. The trio of Keldon Johnson, Tre Jones, and Jeremy Sochan are at risk of missing this game, with the latter being listed as doubtful. Moreover, Jones has missed the team’s last two games, while Devin Vassell is also out after having knee surgery. This injury report will be key to monitor throughout the day, as the Spurs will be one of the primary sources of value plays for this NBA slate.

Toronto Raptors (-9.5)

The most intriguing team heading into the NBA trade deadline is north of the border. The Raptors have had a disappointing season, to say the least. While Pascal Siakam is posting better numbers than his All-NBA seasons of 2020 and 2022, the team has struggled mightily. OG Anunoby remains out with a wrist injury and is one of, if not the most coveted player on the trading block across the league. Moreover, Fred VanVleet and Gary Trent Jr. join Siakam in a long list of core players potentially on the move. Should the Raptors sit players out, be sure to adjust accordingly.

Golden State Warriors @ Portland Trail Blazers (-4.5)

Golden State Warriors (+4.5)

It will be a lather, rinse, and repeat scenario with the Warriors offense until Steph Curry makes his return. On Monday, both Jordan Poole and Klay Thompson were highlighted as core plays, and the backcourt tandem came through. Poole and Thompson combined for 53 points, with Thompson knocking down 12 of 16 shot attempts from behind the arc. Portland struggles mightily versus primary ball handlers, ranking 24th in the NBA, making Poole the preferred target of the two. Moreover, Draymond Green gets a friendly matchup on the inside versus Drew Eubanks, with Jusuf Nurkic ruled out with a calf injury.

Portland Trail Blazers (-4.5)

With Damian Lillard being close to the likes of Jayson Tatum and Joel Embiid on the pricing grid, the former will fly under the radar. Thus, Dame Time makes for the perfect play for this NBA slate in tournaments. The Warriors interior and wing defenses flourish thanks to Thompson and Green, but they lack perimeter defense versus primary ball handlers. They currently sit 26th in the NBA versus opposing lead guards, with Poole being a far worse defender than Curry. Lillard has posted 30 or more points in six of his last eight games, averaging 38.5/4.3/6.9 on 54.1% shooting.

Honorable Mentions:

Sacramento Kings @ Houston Rockets (+6.5)
Dallas Mavericks @ Los Angeles Clippers (OTB)

You can find me on Twitter @BetsByGhost and in the Win Daily Discord

2 years ago 0 comments

Newer Posts

Older Posts