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NBA DFS Today: Gems with Ghost & Adam 3/24

We’re back to a much more manageable slate with just five games although the injury/rest candidates could be a big number once again. There is one game with some massive playoff implications tonight that demands our attention between the Cleveland Cavaliers and Toronto Raptors. After that, there are some affordable stud players at the top of the pricing grid in the NBA DFS Today: Gems with Ghost & Adam 3/23! 

One thing I want to clarify based on the questions I have received over the past few years is that I will never list a player under the $5,000 price tag simply because I use the projection model to identify all targets in this range and below. While there are often plenty of options that I like at $5,000 and less, since I often find myself with not only one – but multiple – in my NBA DFS lineups, you all have access to the very model I use to make my own selections, so when asking yourself: “Should I use player X or player Y?”, make sure to check the model because that is how I make all of my own decisions and I truly ride or die by it on a daily basis.

Before running to the DraftKings, FanDuel, or Yahoo lobby to construct your NBA DFS lineup after reading this article, please make sure to utilize the abundance of tools we have at Win Daily:

Cavaliers vs Raptors 

Cavaliers – The total for this game won’t be eye-popping but the weight of this game will call for both teams to go all-out to win. Cleveland is exactly one game ahead of the Raptors for the sixth seed in the East and neither team particularly wants to face Brooklyn in the play-in game. I will have a tough time getting to Darius Garland at $9,700 because he’s not scoring 29 points and dishing 17 assists very often but he will be on the floor for 40+ minutes. He has stepped up his production over the past month with 1.24 FPPM and a 31.3% usage rate but it’s still a lofty salary. Instead, Evan Mobley can exploit the interior as he dropped 53 DK on these Raptors in the last meeting (Allen played just 10 minutes). Mobley faces a defense that is 23rd in points allowed in the paint and playing center without Allen has led him to some massive games. It would be surprising if he doesn’t push for 35 minutes here as well. Lauri Markkanen would be next on my list as he rarely leaves the court and his 0.91 FPPM across the past four weeks is very playable at the salary. There’s going to be a game where Caris LeVert smashes his $5,800 salary but that is very hard to predict and the minutes for Kevin Love haven’t been stable lately either. It’s mostly Mobley or Markkanen in my eyes. 

Raptors – The targets for the Raptors are news-dependent tonight. Gary Trent and OG Anunoby are both questionable but Trent was able to practice Wednesday, so he’s likely going to be back. OG is super cheap for what he’s capable of if he’s back to 32+ minutes, but we’re not sure on that. He missed 15 games so there could be a slight limit. He’s racked up 0.89 FPPM and always has blocks/steals upside and would only need around 30 DK to pay off. Fred VanVleet has been battling a knee issue but when he’s on the court, he doesn’t come off of it and is very affordable for a player with a usage rate over 24% and 1.09 FPPM. Attacking the perimeter of the Cleveland defense is more appealing than anything else, so I’d prefer FVV to Pascal Siakam. While Mobley has seen a slight dip in play defensively this late in his rookie year, he’s still a strong defender. This game is massive and the Raptors main cogs don’t leave the court for a normal game. 

Wizards vs Bucks 

Wizards – Kyle Kuzma remains out for Washington so Kristaps Porzingis will take center stage again coming off a game where he scored over 57 DK points and played 32 minutes. He’s been incredible with Kuzma off the floor in the past four weeks, albeit in a 105-minute sample size. KP has 1.57 FPPM and a usage rate of 32.5% so even though the matchup against the Bucks is tougher than the Rockets, Porzingis has upside against a team that is fifth in pace. We can also continue to utilize Deni Avdija and Corey Kispert for value plays as Avdija will play close to 30 minutes and he does a little of everything with an 18.3% usage rate without Kuzma. The FPPM is only 0.83 but the pace of the game is appealing enough. Kispert is shooting 34.6% from beyond the arc and he’ll get his chances as the Bucks are in the bottom three in 3-point frequency allowed. I’d rather roll the dice there than with Kentavious Caldwell-Pope who is over $5,000. 

Bucks – With Khris Middleton still not being ready for game action, Giannis Antetokounmpo is going to be a popular play and it’s hard to argue that. He generated roughly 2.00 FPPM in the last game on just 12 field goal attempts, which is very impressive. Washington isn’t going to mount much resistance as they are 24th in defensive rating. One of the premier salary savers could turn into Brook Lopez, who entered the starting lineup in the last game and played 24 minutes. While he’s not the prototypical center, the Wizards have struggled against big men all year and they are bottom five in points allowed in the paint. They are also in the bottom 10 in field goal percentage allowed from beyond the arc and Lopez takes some threes. Jrue Holiday and Pat Connaughton are in that next tier in my eyes and I have no issues with playing two Bucks tonight. 

Honorable Mention 

Bulls/Pelicans 

Teams To Monitor 

Note – Phoenix, Indiana, and Memphis all played last night so this slate could hinge around them as far as value players go. 

Nuggets – I can’t quite remember the last time Nikola Jokic was not the most expensive player on the slate and I’ll be very interested in taking advantage of that against a Suns team that played last night. 

You can find us on Twitter @BetsByGhost and @Bucn4life

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NBA DFS Today: Gems with Ghost & Adam 3/24

We’re back to a much more manageable slate with just five games although the injury/rest candidates could be a big number once again. There is one game with some massive playoff implications tonight that demands our attention between the Cleveland Cavaliers and Toronto Raptors. After that, there are some affordable stud players at the top of the pricing grid in the NBA DFS Today: Gems with Ghost & Adam 3/23! 

One thing I want to clarify based on the questions I have received over the past few years is that I will never list a player under the $5,000 price tag simply because I use the projection model to identify all targets in this range and below. While there are often plenty of options that I like at $5,000 and less, since I often find myself with not only one – but multiple – in my NBA DFS lineups, you all have access to the very model I use to make my own selections, so when asking yourself: “Should I use player X or player Y?”, make sure to check the model because that is how I make all of my own decisions and I truly ride or die by it on a daily basis.

Before running to the DraftKings, FanDuel, or Yahoo lobby to construct your NBA DFS lineup after reading this article, please make sure to utilize the abundance of tools we have at Win Daily:

Cavaliers vs Raptors 

Cavaliers – The total for this game won’t be eye-popping but the weight of this game will call for both teams to go all-out to win. Cleveland is exactly one game ahead of the Raptors for the sixth seed in the East and neither team particularly wants to face Brooklyn in the play-in game. I will have a tough time getting to Darius Garland at $9,700 because he’s not scoring 29 points and dishing 17 assists very often but he will be on the floor for 40+ minutes. He has stepped up his production over the past month with 1.24 FPPM and a 31.3% usage rate but it’s still a lofty salary. Instead, Evan Mobley can exploit the interior as he dropped 53 DK on these Raptors in the last meeting (Allen played just 10 minutes). Mobley faces a defense that is 23rd in points allowed in the paint and playing center without Allen has led him to some massive games. It would be surprising if he doesn’t push for 35 minutes here as well. Lauri Markkanen would be next on my list as he rarely leaves the court and his 0.91 FPPM across the past four weeks is very playable at the salary. There’s going to be a game where Caris LeVert smashes his $5,800 salary but that is very hard to predict and the minutes for Kevin Love haven’t been stable lately either. It’s mostly Mobley or Markkanen in my eyes. 

Raptors – The targets for the Raptors are news-dependent tonight. Gary Trent and OG Anunoby are both questionable but Trent was able to practice Wednesday, so he’s likely going to be back. OG is super cheap for what he’s capable of if he’s back to 32+ minutes, but we’re not sure on that. He missed 15 games so there could be a slight limit. He’s racked up 0.89 FPPM and always has blocks/steals upside and would only need around 30 DK to pay off. Fred VanVleet has been battling a knee issue but when he’s on the court, he doesn’t come off of it and is very affordable for a player with a usage rate over 24% and 1.09 FPPM. Attacking the perimeter of the Cleveland defense is more appealing than anything else, so I’d prefer FVV to Pascal Siakam. While Mobley has seen a slight dip in play defensively this late in his rookie year, he’s still a strong defender. This game is massive and the Raptors main cogs don’t leave the court for a normal game. 

Wizards vs Bucks 

Wizards – Kyle Kuzma remains out for Washington so Kristaps Porzingis will take center stage again coming off a game where he scored over 57 DK points and played 32 minutes. He’s been incredible with Kuzma off the floor in the past four weeks, albeit in a 105-minute sample size. KP has 1.57 FPPM and a usage rate of 32.5% so even though the matchup against the Bucks is tougher than the Rockets, Porzingis has upside against a team that is fifth in pace. We can also continue to utilize Deni Avdija and Corey Kispert for value plays as Avdija will play close to 30 minutes and he does a little of everything with an 18.3% usage rate without Kuzma. The FPPM is only 0.83 but the pace of the game is appealing enough. Kispert is shooting 34.6% from beyond the arc and he’ll get his chances as the Bucks are in the bottom three in 3-point frequency allowed. I’d rather roll the dice there than with Kentavious Caldwell-Pope who is over $5,000. 

Bucks – With Khris Middleton still not being ready for game action, Giannis Antetokounmpo is going to be a popular play and it’s hard to argue that. He generated roughly 2.00 FPPM in the last game on just 12 field goal attempts, which is very impressive. Washington isn’t going to mount much resistance as they are 24th in defensive rating. One of the premier salary savers could turn into Brook Lopez, who entered the starting lineup in the last game and played 24 minutes. While he’s not the prototypical center, the Wizards have struggled against big men all year and they are bottom five in points allowed in the paint. They are also in the bottom 10 in field goal percentage allowed from beyond the arc and Lopez takes some threes. Jrue Holiday and Pat Connaughton are in that next tier in my eyes and I have no issues with playing two Bucks tonight. 

Honorable Mention 

Bulls/Pelicans 

Teams To Monitor 

Note – Phoenix, Indiana, and Memphis all played last night so this slate could hinge around them as far as value players go. 

Nuggets – I can’t quite remember the last time Nikola Jokic was not the most expensive player on the slate and I’ll be very interested in taking advantage of that against a Suns team that played last night. 

You can find us on Twitter @BetsByGhost and @Bucn4life

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NBA DFS Today: Gems with Ghost & Adam 3/24

We’re back to a much more manageable slate with just five games although the injury/rest candidates could be a big number once again. There is one game with some massive playoff implications tonight that demands our attention between the Cleveland Cavaliers and Toronto Raptors. After that, there are some affordable stud players at the top of the pricing grid in the NBA DFS Today: Gems with Ghost & Adam 3/23! 

One thing I want to clarify based on the questions I have received over the past few years is that I will never list a player under the $5,000 price tag simply because I use the projection model to identify all targets in this range and below. While there are often plenty of options that I like at $5,000 and less, since I often find myself with not only one – but multiple – in my NBA DFS lineups, you all have access to the very model I use to make my own selections, so when asking yourself: “Should I use player X or player Y?”, make sure to check the model because that is how I make all of my own decisions and I truly ride or die by it on a daily basis.

Before running to the DraftKings, FanDuel, or Yahoo lobby to construct your NBA DFS lineup after reading this article, please make sure to utilize the abundance of tools we have at Win Daily:

Cavaliers vs Raptors 

Cavaliers – The total for this game won’t be eye-popping but the weight of this game will call for both teams to go all-out to win. Cleveland is exactly one game ahead of the Raptors for the sixth seed in the East and neither team particularly wants to face Brooklyn in the play-in game. I will have a tough time getting to Darius Garland at $9,700 because he’s not scoring 29 points and dishing 17 assists very often but he will be on the floor for 40+ minutes. He has stepped up his production over the past month with 1.24 FPPM and a 31.3% usage rate but it’s still a lofty salary. Instead, Evan Mobley can exploit the interior as he dropped 53 DK on these Raptors in the last meeting (Allen played just 10 minutes). Mobley faces a defense that is 23rd in points allowed in the paint and playing center without Allen has led him to some massive games. It would be surprising if he doesn’t push for 35 minutes here as well. Lauri Markkanen would be next on my list as he rarely leaves the court and his 0.91 FPPM across the past four weeks is very playable at the salary. There’s going to be a game where Caris LeVert smashes his $5,800 salary but that is very hard to predict and the minutes for Kevin Love haven’t been stable lately either. It’s mostly Mobley or Markkanen in my eyes. 

Raptors – The targets for the Raptors are news-dependent tonight. Gary Trent and OG Anunoby are both questionable but Trent was able to practice Wednesday, so he’s likely going to be back. OG is super cheap for what he’s capable of if he’s back to 32+ minutes, but we’re not sure on that. He missed 15 games so there could be a slight limit. He’s racked up 0.89 FPPM and always has blocks/steals upside and would only need around 30 DK to pay off. Fred VanVleet has been battling a knee issue but when he’s on the court, he doesn’t come off of it and is very affordable for a player with a usage rate over 24% and 1.09 FPPM. Attacking the perimeter of the Cleveland defense is more appealing than anything else, so I’d prefer FVV to Pascal Siakam. While Mobley has seen a slight dip in play defensively this late in his rookie year, he’s still a strong defender. This game is massive and the Raptors main cogs don’t leave the court for a normal game. 

Wizards vs Bucks 

Wizards – Kyle Kuzma remains out for Washington so Kristaps Porzingis will take center stage again coming off a game where he scored over 57 DK points and played 32 minutes. He’s been incredible with Kuzma off the floor in the past four weeks, albeit in a 105-minute sample size. KP has 1.57 FPPM and a usage rate of 32.5% so even though the matchup against the Bucks is tougher than the Rockets, Porzingis has upside against a team that is fifth in pace. We can also continue to utilize Deni Avdija and Corey Kispert for value plays as Avdija will play close to 30 minutes and he does a little of everything with an 18.3% usage rate without Kuzma. The FPPM is only 0.83 but the pace of the game is appealing enough. Kispert is shooting 34.6% from beyond the arc and he’ll get his chances as the Bucks are in the bottom three in 3-point frequency allowed. I’d rather roll the dice there than with Kentavious Caldwell-Pope who is over $5,000. 

Bucks – With Khris Middleton still not being ready for game action, Giannis Antetokounmpo is going to be a popular play and it’s hard to argue that. He generated roughly 2.00 FPPM in the last game on just 12 field goal attempts, which is very impressive. Washington isn’t going to mount much resistance as they are 24th in defensive rating. One of the premier salary savers could turn into Brook Lopez, who entered the starting lineup in the last game and played 24 minutes. While he’s not the prototypical center, the Wizards have struggled against big men all year and they are bottom five in points allowed in the paint. They are also in the bottom 10 in field goal percentage allowed from beyond the arc and Lopez takes some threes. Jrue Holiday and Pat Connaughton are in that next tier in my eyes and I have no issues with playing two Bucks tonight. 

Honorable Mention 

Bulls/Pelicans 

Teams To Monitor 

Note – Phoenix, Indiana, and Memphis all played last night so this slate could hinge around them as far as value players go. 

Nuggets – I can’t quite remember the last time Nikola Jokic was not the most expensive player on the slate and I’ll be very interested in taking advantage of that against a Suns team that played last night. 

You can find us on Twitter @BetsByGhost and @Bucn4life

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NBA DFS Today: Gems with Ghost & Adam 3/23

After a small four-game slate last night, we get a massive 12 game slate tonight and there is a ton of injuries, with surely more coming through the day. There is an awful lot to get to tonight so let’s talk about the spots we already like in the NBA DFS Today: Gems with Ghost & Adam 3/23 to find green screens! 

One thing I want to clarify based on the questions I have received over the past few years is that I will never list a player under the $5,000 price tag simply because I use the projection model to identify all targets in this range and below. While there are often plenty of options that I like at $5,000 and less, since I often find myself with not only one – but multiple – in my NBA DFS lineups, you all have access to the very model I use to make my own selections, so when asking yourself: “Should I use player X or player Y?”, make sure to check the model because that is how I make all of my own decisions and I truly ride or die by it on a daily basis.

Before running to the DraftKings, FanDuel, or Yahoo lobby to construct your NBA DFS lineup after reading this article, please make sure to utilize the abundance of tools we have at Win Daily:

Nets at Grizzlies

Nets – Even on a larger slate, there are games that stand out among the pack and this is one of them. The Nets will be somewhat full health since Kyrie Irving is active and we’ve seen the pattern of him going off on the road while Kevin Durant takes a backseat. That doesn’t mean it’s set in stone but Durant is more than willing to morph into a secondary option on the team so if you’re spending up, Irving is the preferred player with his 32% usage rate and 1.65 FPPM over the past month. It has to be pointed out that his true shooting rate is 73.9% in that span so it will have to come down but these two teams are in the top 12 in pace. On the lower end of the pricing grid, we’ll need clarity on Goran Dragic and Seth Curry. Both are questionable and if one sits out, the other becomes a little more appealing. Bruce Brown is really getting a bit too pricey on DK but the sneakiest of the Nets players could be Andre Drummond. If Memphis runs their bigger lineups with Steven Adams and Jaren Jackson Jr., Drummond will have to play near 28 minutes and his ceiling is much higher than the salary. 

Grizzlies – Even on a large slate, I’m going to be hard-pressed to imagine Tyus Jones not being one of the chalkiest players of the night. Ja Morant has already been ruled out for tonight and in that scenario, Jones has had a 17.7% usage and 0.97 FPPM. He’s been lights out when Morant has missed this season anytime he’s under $5,000 and that’s the case tonight. It looks like Dillon Books is at a great salary but his range of outcomes is very wide until his minute restriction is no longer an issue. The Grizzlies haven’t overtly said what his limit is but he has yet to exceed 26 minutes in his four games back. Memphis may not say when the minutes limit is up, but keep that in mind when considering playing him. I’m not going to be looking toward Jackson Jr. even though he’s averaged 1.27 FPPM without Morant because I do not trust him to stay out of foul trouble against Kyrie and KD. 

Games That Need News 

Kings/Pacers – With so many injuries, we’re tweaking the format slightly. This game is going to be very appealing with a massive 236 total (Brooklyn is at 235) but we don’t know exactly who we need to target. For the Kings, the most popular pick is going to be Davion Mitchell, and justifiably so. Domantas Sabonis has been ruled out and it looks unlikely that De’Aaron Fox will play. Without them on the floor, Mitchell has a 30.6% usage rate over the past month with a 0.72 FPPM but his true shooting rate is only 47.4%. The ceiling is way higher than his salary and he proved that with 40+ DK points last game. Damian Jones, Trey Lyles, and Donte DiVincenzo all enter the fray as well, provided Fox is out. On the Indiana side of the equation, Tyrese Haliburton is questionable and his play has slipped a bit so there’s a good chance he would sit seemingly. If that’s the case, Malcolm Brogdon is going to be hard to not want to play under $8,000. It’s only a 71-minute sample size but the 1.51 FPPM when Haliburton has been off the floor in the past few weeks is impressive. Goga Bitadze is finally not questionable for a slate and he’s a dynamite option that could threaten for a double-double in limited minutes. 

Knicks/Hornets – Playing against the Hornets has been a fantasy target all season but the Knicks are still playing on Tuesday night as of this writing. They were missing Julius Randle last night and were chalky beyond belief. The salaries have hardly moved so they would stand to be popular again if Randle is still out. Charlotte looks almost totally healthy tonight but if you play a lot of Knicks, don’t forget to potentially grab a Hornet coming back. 

Warriors/Heat – Golden State played last night so the status of Klay Thompson, Andrew Wiggins, and Draymond Green would be in question. The secondary players like Jonathan Kuminga could be at the forefront for this squad. The Heat have question marks all over the board including Tyler Herro, Victor Oladipo, and Jimmy Butler (shocker). If a bunch of players sit out, this has the potential to be the most “popular” game on the slate. 

Teams To Monitor 

Thunder – Shai Gilgeous-Alexander playing or not is a big deal for the Thunder and if he does, there is a ceiling to be had. He’s under $10,000 and has 1.46 FPPM across the past month with a 33.4% usage rate. The Magic played last night and are in the bottom 10 in defensive rating on the season. 

Mavericks – On a lot of slates, the combo of Jalen Brunson and Spencer Dinwiddie would be leading the slate because Luka Doncic is out tonight and they face the Houston Rockets. Doncic missed a game on the fifth of the month and both players cleared 38 DK points. If choosing just one, I do prefer Dinwiddie. In the past month with Doncic off the floor, Dinwiddie has the lead in usage rate at 35.3% to 27.1% and the FPPM lead at 1.41 to 1.09. There is room for both to succeed against Houston as the game only has an 8.5 point spread and a 226 point total. 

Trail Blazers – The Blazers are missing Anfernee Simons and Josh Hart tonight, so they’ll be down to Trenton Watford, Brandon Williams, Drew Eubanks, Justise Winslow, CJ Elleby, and Kris Dunn as the main rotation. They’re not super cheap anymore but the Spurs are top-five in pace and I really like Eubanks as San Antonio gets crushed in the paint, bottom 10 in rebounds and points allowed. 

ou can find us on Twitter @BetsByGhost and @Bucn4life

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NBA DFS Today: Gems with Ghost & Adam 3/23

After a small four-game slate last night, we get a massive 12 game slate tonight and there is a ton of injuries, with surely more coming through the day. There is an awful lot to get to tonight so let’s talk about the spots we already like in the NBA DFS Today: Gems with Ghost & Adam 3/23 to find green screens! 

One thing I want to clarify based on the questions I have received over the past few years is that I will never list a player under the $5,000 price tag simply because I use the projection model to identify all targets in this range and below. While there are often plenty of options that I like at $5,000 and less, since I often find myself with not only one – but multiple – in my NBA DFS lineups, you all have access to the very model I use to make my own selections, so when asking yourself: “Should I use player X or player Y?”, make sure to check the model because that is how I make all of my own decisions and I truly ride or die by it on a daily basis.

Before running to the DraftKings, FanDuel, or Yahoo lobby to construct your NBA DFS lineup after reading this article, please make sure to utilize the abundance of tools we have at Win Daily:

Nets at Grizzlies

Nets – Even on a larger slate, there are games that stand out among the pack and this is one of them. The Nets will be somewhat full health since Kyrie Irving is active and we’ve seen the pattern of him going off on the road while Kevin Durant takes a backseat. That doesn’t mean it’s set in stone but Durant is more than willing to morph into a secondary option on the team so if you’re spending up, Irving is the preferred player with his 32% usage rate and 1.65 FPPM over the past month. It has to be pointed out that his true shooting rate is 73.9% in that span so it will have to come down but these two teams are in the top 12 in pace. On the lower end of the pricing grid, we’ll need clarity on Goran Dragic and Seth Curry. Both are questionable and if one sits out, the other becomes a little more appealing. Bruce Brown is really getting a bit too pricey on DK but the sneakiest of the Nets players could be Andre Drummond. If Memphis runs their bigger lineups with Steven Adams and Jaren Jackson Jr., Drummond will have to play near 28 minutes and his ceiling is much higher than the salary. 

Grizzlies – Even on a large slate, I’m going to be hard-pressed to imagine Tyus Jones not being one of the chalkiest players of the night. Ja Morant has already been ruled out for tonight and in that scenario, Jones has had a 17.7% usage and 0.97 FPPM. He’s been lights out when Morant has missed this season anytime he’s under $5,000 and that’s the case tonight. It looks like Dillon Books is at a great salary but his range of outcomes is very wide until his minute restriction is no longer an issue. The Grizzlies haven’t overtly said what his limit is but he has yet to exceed 26 minutes in his four games back. Memphis may not say when the minutes limit is up, but keep that in mind when considering playing him. I’m not going to be looking toward Jackson Jr. even though he’s averaged 1.27 FPPM without Morant because I do not trust him to stay out of foul trouble against Kyrie and KD. 

Games That Need News 

Kings/Pacers – With so many injuries, we’re tweaking the format slightly. This game is going to be very appealing with a massive 236 total (Brooklyn is at 235) but we don’t know exactly who we need to target. For the Kings, the most popular pick is going to be Davion Mitchell, and justifiably so. Domantas Sabonis has been ruled out and it looks unlikely that De’Aaron Fox will play. Without them on the floor, Mitchell has a 30.6% usage rate over the past month with a 0.72 FPPM but his true shooting rate is only 47.4%. The ceiling is way higher than his salary and he proved that with 40+ DK points last game. Damian Jones, Trey Lyles, and Donte DiVincenzo all enter the fray as well, provided Fox is out. On the Indiana side of the equation, Tyrese Haliburton is questionable and his play has slipped a bit so there’s a good chance he would sit seemingly. If that’s the case, Malcolm Brogdon is going to be hard to not want to play under $8,000. It’s only a 71-minute sample size but the 1.51 FPPM when Haliburton has been off the floor in the past few weeks is impressive. Goga Bitadze is finally not questionable for a slate and he’s a dynamite option that could threaten for a double-double in limited minutes. 

Knicks/Hornets – Playing against the Hornets has been a fantasy target all season but the Knicks are still playing on Tuesday night as of this writing. They were missing Julius Randle last night and were chalky beyond belief. The salaries have hardly moved so they would stand to be popular again if Randle is still out. Charlotte looks almost totally healthy tonight but if you play a lot of Knicks, don’t forget to potentially grab a Hornet coming back. 

Warriors/Heat – Golden State played last night so the status of Klay Thompson, Andrew Wiggins, and Draymond Green would be in question. The secondary players like Jonathan Kuminga could be at the forefront for this squad. The Heat have question marks all over the board including Tyler Herro, Victor Oladipo, and Jimmy Butler (shocker). If a bunch of players sit out, this has the potential to be the most “popular” game on the slate. 

Teams To Monitor 

Thunder – Shai Gilgeous-Alexander playing or not is a big deal for the Thunder and if he does, there is a ceiling to be had. He’s under $10,000 and has 1.46 FPPM across the past month with a 33.4% usage rate. The Magic played last night and are in the bottom 10 in defensive rating on the season. 

Mavericks – On a lot of slates, the combo of Jalen Brunson and Spencer Dinwiddie would be leading the slate because Luka Doncic is out tonight and they face the Houston Rockets. Doncic missed a game on the fifth of the month and both players cleared 38 DK points. If choosing just one, I do prefer Dinwiddie. In the past month with Doncic off the floor, Dinwiddie has the lead in usage rate at 35.3% to 27.1% and the FPPM lead at 1.41 to 1.09. There is room for both to succeed against Houston as the game only has an 8.5 point spread and a 226 point total. 

Trail Blazers – The Blazers are missing Anfernee Simons and Josh Hart tonight, so they’ll be down to Trenton Watford, Brandon Williams, Drew Eubanks, Justise Winslow, CJ Elleby, and Kris Dunn as the main rotation. They’re not super cheap anymore but the Spurs are top-five in pace and I really like Eubanks as San Antonio gets crushed in the paint, bottom 10 in rebounds and points allowed. 

ou can find us on Twitter @BetsByGhost and @Bucn4life

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NBA DFS Today: Gems with Ghost & Adam 3/23

After a small four-game slate last night, we get a massive 12 game slate tonight and there is a ton of injuries, with surely more coming through the day. There is an awful lot to get to tonight so let’s talk about the spots we already like in the NBA DFS Today: Gems with Ghost & Adam 3/23 to find green screens! 

One thing I want to clarify based on the questions I have received over the past few years is that I will never list a player under the $5,000 price tag simply because I use the projection model to identify all targets in this range and below. While there are often plenty of options that I like at $5,000 and less, since I often find myself with not only one – but multiple – in my NBA DFS lineups, you all have access to the very model I use to make my own selections, so when asking yourself: “Should I use player X or player Y?”, make sure to check the model because that is how I make all of my own decisions and I truly ride or die by it on a daily basis.

Before running to the DraftKings, FanDuel, or Yahoo lobby to construct your NBA DFS lineup after reading this article, please make sure to utilize the abundance of tools we have at Win Daily:

Nets at Grizzlies

Nets – Even on a larger slate, there are games that stand out among the pack and this is one of them. The Nets will be somewhat full health since Kyrie Irving is active and we’ve seen the pattern of him going off on the road while Kevin Durant takes a backseat. That doesn’t mean it’s set in stone but Durant is more than willing to morph into a secondary option on the team so if you’re spending up, Irving is the preferred player with his 32% usage rate and 1.65 FPPM over the past month. It has to be pointed out that his true shooting rate is 73.9% in that span so it will have to come down but these two teams are in the top 12 in pace. On the lower end of the pricing grid, we’ll need clarity on Goran Dragic and Seth Curry. Both are questionable and if one sits out, the other becomes a little more appealing. Bruce Brown is really getting a bit too pricey on DK but the sneakiest of the Nets players could be Andre Drummond. If Memphis runs their bigger lineups with Steven Adams and Jaren Jackson Jr., Drummond will have to play near 28 minutes and his ceiling is much higher than the salary. 

Grizzlies – Even on a large slate, I’m going to be hard-pressed to imagine Tyus Jones not being one of the chalkiest players of the night. Ja Morant has already been ruled out for tonight and in that scenario, Jones has had a 17.7% usage and 0.97 FPPM. He’s been lights out when Morant has missed this season anytime he’s under $5,000 and that’s the case tonight. It looks like Dillon Books is at a great salary but his range of outcomes is very wide until his minute restriction is no longer an issue. The Grizzlies haven’t overtly said what his limit is but he has yet to exceed 26 minutes in his four games back. Memphis may not say when the minutes limit is up, but keep that in mind when considering playing him. I’m not going to be looking toward Jackson Jr. even though he’s averaged 1.27 FPPM without Morant because I do not trust him to stay out of foul trouble against Kyrie and KD. 

Games That Need News 

Kings/Pacers – With so many injuries, we’re tweaking the format slightly. This game is going to be very appealing with a massive 236 total (Brooklyn is at 235) but we don’t know exactly who we need to target. For the Kings, the most popular pick is going to be Davion Mitchell, and justifiably so. Domantas Sabonis has been ruled out and it looks unlikely that De’Aaron Fox will play. Without them on the floor, Mitchell has a 30.6% usage rate over the past month with a 0.72 FPPM but his true shooting rate is only 47.4%. The ceiling is way higher than his salary and he proved that with 40+ DK points last game. Damian Jones, Trey Lyles, and Donte DiVincenzo all enter the fray as well, provided Fox is out. On the Indiana side of the equation, Tyrese Haliburton is questionable and his play has slipped a bit so there’s a good chance he would sit seemingly. If that’s the case, Malcolm Brogdon is going to be hard to not want to play under $8,000. It’s only a 71-minute sample size but the 1.51 FPPM when Haliburton has been off the floor in the past few weeks is impressive. Goga Bitadze is finally not questionable for a slate and he’s a dynamite option that could threaten for a double-double in limited minutes. 

Knicks/Hornets – Playing against the Hornets has been a fantasy target all season but the Knicks are still playing on Tuesday night as of this writing. They were missing Julius Randle last night and were chalky beyond belief. The salaries have hardly moved so they would stand to be popular again if Randle is still out. Charlotte looks almost totally healthy tonight but if you play a lot of Knicks, don’t forget to potentially grab a Hornet coming back. 

Warriors/Heat – Golden State played last night so the status of Klay Thompson, Andrew Wiggins, and Draymond Green would be in question. The secondary players like Jonathan Kuminga could be at the forefront for this squad. The Heat have question marks all over the board including Tyler Herro, Victor Oladipo, and Jimmy Butler (shocker). If a bunch of players sit out, this has the potential to be the most “popular” game on the slate. 

Teams To Monitor 

Thunder – Shai Gilgeous-Alexander playing or not is a big deal for the Thunder and if he does, there is a ceiling to be had. He’s under $10,000 and has 1.46 FPPM across the past month with a 33.4% usage rate. The Magic played last night and are in the bottom 10 in defensive rating on the season. 

Mavericks – On a lot of slates, the combo of Jalen Brunson and Spencer Dinwiddie would be leading the slate because Luka Doncic is out tonight and they face the Houston Rockets. Doncic missed a game on the fifth of the month and both players cleared 38 DK points. If choosing just one, I do prefer Dinwiddie. In the past month with Doncic off the floor, Dinwiddie has the lead in usage rate at 35.3% to 27.1% and the FPPM lead at 1.41 to 1.09. There is room for both to succeed against Houston as the game only has an 8.5 point spread and a 226 point total. 

Trail Blazers – The Blazers are missing Anfernee Simons and Josh Hart tonight, so they’ll be down to Trenton Watford, Brandon Williams, Drew Eubanks, Justise Winslow, CJ Elleby, and Kris Dunn as the main rotation. They’re not super cheap anymore but the Spurs are top-five in pace and I really like Eubanks as San Antonio gets crushed in the paint, bottom 10 in rebounds and points allowed. 

ou can find us on Twitter @BetsByGhost and @Bucn4life

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NBA DFS Today: Gems with Ghost & Adam 3/20

For a seven-game slate, there are an awful lot of injuries and this is something to brace for toward the end of the season. The playoff teams will likely keep playing the starters big minutes but they can also rest important players and the teams not in the playoffs are trying to raise their odds in the draft lottery. It can be a crazy mix and you have to be around through the last game locking in NBA DFS Today: Gems with Ghost & Adam 3/20!

One thing I want to clarify based on the questions I have received over the past few years is that I will never list a player under the $5,000 price tag simply because I use the projection model to identify all targets in this range and below. While there are often plenty of options that I like at $5,000 and less, since I often find myself with not only one – but multiple – in my NBA DFS lineups, you all have access to the very model I use to make my own selections, so when asking yourself: “Should I use player X or player Y?”, make sure to check the model because that is how I make all of my own decisions and I truly ride or die by it on a daily basis.

Before running to the DraftKings, FanDuel, or Yahoo lobby to construct your NBA DFS lineup after reading this article, please make sure to utilize the abundance of tools we have at Win Daily:

Pelicans at Hawks 

Pelicans – One of the best game environments on the slate is none other than the Pelicans visiting the Hawks as the game has a 232.5 point total and a spread under four points. On the New Orleans side, we can continue to target CJ McCollum and Jonas Valanciunas since Brandon Ingram remains out. McCollum has boasted a 33.1% usage rate and even though the 1.44 FPPM will come down a touch since his true shooting rate is 61%, that doesn’t mean it has to happen here. He also has an assist rate of just under 38% so the scoring doesn’t have to be the only thing that carries him, even though the Hawks are in the bottom five in defensive rating. 

JoVal doesn’t have the easiest matchup on paper since Atlanta is fifth in rebounds allowed in the paint but they are 19th in points allowed in the paint. If the Hawks try to run Onyeka Okongwu for 20+ minutes, it may not end well against the big veteran. His 1.27 FPPm without Ingram speaks for itself as well. Herbert Jones and Jaxson Hayes would be secondary targets from this game that fit the mold of needing a forward in a strong environment, but they aren’t priorities. 

Hawks – I wouldn’t normally be worried about Trae Young sitting out but he was a surprising inactive in the last game. We know where to go if he sits again in Delon Wright and Bogdan Bogdanovic being the prime targets. They both went off in the last game and don’t worry about Bogdanovic not starting. He’s going to play a boatload of minutes but if Young plays, he’s super affordable for a matchup with McCollum’s defense. Sure, Young was rough in his last game but a player of his offensive capability isn’t scoring nine real points super often. His availability dictates a large portion of this slate, but at least this game is in the early block so we’ll know what the situation is. 

Spurs at Warriors 

Spurs – I don’t expect the Spurs to be down 40 points in this game and Dejounte Murray is in line for a bounce-back game. I will say I’m not exactly looking to force him at the expense of my entire build, but any time he’s under $11,000 there is merit to playing him. The Warriors defense has struggled a bit without Draymond Green and while he’s back playing, he’s far from full speed yet. A significant piece of news for the Spurs is Lonnie Walker is out and with Derrick White in Boston, Murray has 1.54 FPPM, a 43.7% assist rate, and a 28.6% usage rate. Devin Vassell and Keldon Johnson are going to have to pick up some slack in the scoring department as well so in lineups that don’t have Murray, they can be utilized. Vassell playing 30 minutes is very interesting. As far as Jakob Poeltl goes, it’s not the worst spot ever since the Warriors are just 13th in points allowed in the paint. He’s back under $7,000 which is a bit more comfortable than the salary has been lately. 

Warriors – I’m happy that DraftKings priced the Warriors correctly tonight because the last time Steph Curry was out, it was a chalk-fest. Now you have to think about playing Jordan Poole, Andrew Wiggins, and Klay Thompson although Poole would still be my favorite. When Curry is off the floor, he has a 30.7% usage rate, and even with a tough assignment facing Dejounte Murray, Poole is finding his game this season and he fears nothing, Klay and Wiggins feel a little expensive, especially since Wiggins is under 0.90 FPPM when Curry is off the floor.

I will give Klay the edge here because of the 1.23 FPPM, and he’s going to get plenty of opportunities. If Poole does struggle with Murray, Thompson could approach 25 shots and he’s much more involved with the offense overall. The shot has been hard to predict but if it’s on, I will look silly for calling Klay expensive. Lastly, Kevon Looney is a cheap way to get access to this side and he’ll have to match Poeltl for most of the minutes. San Antonio has been crushed in the paint, ranking in the bottom 10 in both rebounds and points allowed. He and Jonathan Kuminga are both fine lineup fillers with 35 DK upside. 

Teams To Monitor 

Jazz – With the news that Bojan Bogdanovic and Mike Conley are already ruled out, it makes zero sense to see Donovan Mitchell under $9,000. He’s sporting a 36% usage rate and 1.47 FPPM in that scenario. If you want a narrative, he’s rumored to be linked to the Knicks if he wants out of Utah. Putting on a show in the Garden is well within the realm of possibility and even though I may not want to stack this game, Mitchell is among my favorite plays on the entire slate. Jordan Clarkson is in play and should log another 30+ minutes and Nickell Alexander-Walker could be played with either option if he starts. 

Suns – If Jae Crowder remains out, Torrey Craig is still far too cheap for 30+ minutes against the Kings. On the flip side, if De’Aaron Fox is ruled out, I’ll be more inclined to play Davion Mitchell since he’s not going against the Boston Celtics defense tonight. 

76ers – Joel Embiid is questionable but it could be an issue that this game locks 2.5 hours after the rest of the slate. If he’s out early, James Harden is going to be one of the more popular plays on the slate and he should be.

You can find us on Twitter @BetsByGhost and @Bucn4life

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NBA DFS Today: Gems with Ghost & Adam 3/20

For a seven-game slate, there are an awful lot of injuries and this is something to brace for toward the end of the season. The playoff teams will likely keep playing the starters big minutes but they can also rest important players and the teams not in the playoffs are trying to raise their odds in the draft lottery. It can be a crazy mix and you have to be around through the last game locking in NBA DFS Today: Gems with Ghost & Adam 3/20!

One thing I want to clarify based on the questions I have received over the past few years is that I will never list a player under the $5,000 price tag simply because I use the projection model to identify all targets in this range and below. While there are often plenty of options that I like at $5,000 and less, since I often find myself with not only one – but multiple – in my NBA DFS lineups, you all have access to the very model I use to make my own selections, so when asking yourself: “Should I use player X or player Y?”, make sure to check the model because that is how I make all of my own decisions and I truly ride or die by it on a daily basis.

Before running to the DraftKings, FanDuel, or Yahoo lobby to construct your NBA DFS lineup after reading this article, please make sure to utilize the abundance of tools we have at Win Daily:

Pelicans at Hawks 

Pelicans – One of the best game environments on the slate is none other than the Pelicans visiting the Hawks as the game has a 232.5 point total and a spread under four points. On the New Orleans side, we can continue to target CJ McCollum and Jonas Valanciunas since Brandon Ingram remains out. McCollum has boasted a 33.1% usage rate and even though the 1.44 FPPM will come down a touch since his true shooting rate is 61%, that doesn’t mean it has to happen here. He also has an assist rate of just under 38% so the scoring doesn’t have to be the only thing that carries him, even though the Hawks are in the bottom five in defensive rating. 

JoVal doesn’t have the easiest matchup on paper since Atlanta is fifth in rebounds allowed in the paint but they are 19th in points allowed in the paint. If the Hawks try to run Onyeka Okongwu for 20+ minutes, it may not end well against the big veteran. His 1.27 FPPm without Ingram speaks for itself as well. Herbert Jones and Jaxson Hayes would be secondary targets from this game that fit the mold of needing a forward in a strong environment, but they aren’t priorities. 

Hawks – I wouldn’t normally be worried about Trae Young sitting out but he was a surprising inactive in the last game. We know where to go if he sits again in Delon Wright and Bogdan Bogdanovic being the prime targets. They both went off in the last game and don’t worry about Bogdanovic not starting. He’s going to play a boatload of minutes but if Young plays, he’s super affordable for a matchup with McCollum’s defense. Sure, Young was rough in his last game but a player of his offensive capability isn’t scoring nine real points super often. His availability dictates a large portion of this slate, but at least this game is in the early block so we’ll know what the situation is. 

Spurs at Warriors 

Spurs – I don’t expect the Spurs to be down 40 points in this game and Dejounte Murray is in line for a bounce-back game. I will say I’m not exactly looking to force him at the expense of my entire build, but any time he’s under $11,000 there is merit to playing him. The Warriors defense has struggled a bit without Draymond Green and while he’s back playing, he’s far from full speed yet. A significant piece of news for the Spurs is Lonnie Walker is out and with Derrick White in Boston, Murray has 1.54 FPPM, a 43.7% assist rate, and a 28.6% usage rate. Devin Vassell and Keldon Johnson are going to have to pick up some slack in the scoring department as well so in lineups that don’t have Murray, they can be utilized. Vassell playing 30 minutes is very interesting. As far as Jakob Poeltl goes, it’s not the worst spot ever since the Warriors are just 13th in points allowed in the paint. He’s back under $7,000 which is a bit more comfortable than the salary has been lately. 

Warriors – I’m happy that DraftKings priced the Warriors correctly tonight because the last time Steph Curry was out, it was a chalk-fest. Now you have to think about playing Jordan Poole, Andrew Wiggins, and Klay Thompson although Poole would still be my favorite. When Curry is off the floor, he has a 30.7% usage rate, and even with a tough assignment facing Dejounte Murray, Poole is finding his game this season and he fears nothing, Klay and Wiggins feel a little expensive, especially since Wiggins is under 0.90 FPPM when Curry is off the floor.

I will give Klay the edge here because of the 1.23 FPPM, and he’s going to get plenty of opportunities. If Poole does struggle with Murray, Thompson could approach 25 shots and he’s much more involved with the offense overall. The shot has been hard to predict but if it’s on, I will look silly for calling Klay expensive. Lastly, Kevon Looney is a cheap way to get access to this side and he’ll have to match Poeltl for most of the minutes. San Antonio has been crushed in the paint, ranking in the bottom 10 in both rebounds and points allowed. He and Jonathan Kuminga are both fine lineup fillers with 35 DK upside. 

Teams To Monitor 

Jazz – With the news that Bojan Bogdanovic and Mike Conley are already ruled out, it makes zero sense to see Donovan Mitchell under $9,000. He’s sporting a 36% usage rate and 1.47 FPPM in that scenario. If you want a narrative, he’s rumored to be linked to the Knicks if he wants out of Utah. Putting on a show in the Garden is well within the realm of possibility and even though I may not want to stack this game, Mitchell is among my favorite plays on the entire slate. Jordan Clarkson is in play and should log another 30+ minutes and Nickell Alexander-Walker could be played with either option if he starts. 

Suns – If Jae Crowder remains out, Torrey Craig is still far too cheap for 30+ minutes against the Kings. On the flip side, if De’Aaron Fox is ruled out, I’ll be more inclined to play Davion Mitchell since he’s not going against the Boston Celtics defense tonight. 

76ers – Joel Embiid is questionable but it could be an issue that this game locks 2.5 hours after the rest of the slate. If he’s out early, James Harden is going to be one of the more popular plays on the slate and he should be.

You can find us on Twitter @BetsByGhost and @Bucn4life

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NBA DFS Today: Gems with Ghost & Adam 3/20

For a seven-game slate, there are an awful lot of injuries and this is something to brace for toward the end of the season. The playoff teams will likely keep playing the starters big minutes but they can also rest important players and the teams not in the playoffs are trying to raise their odds in the draft lottery. It can be a crazy mix and you have to be around through the last game locking in NBA DFS Today: Gems with Ghost & Adam 3/20!

One thing I want to clarify based on the questions I have received over the past few years is that I will never list a player under the $5,000 price tag simply because I use the projection model to identify all targets in this range and below. While there are often plenty of options that I like at $5,000 and less, since I often find myself with not only one – but multiple – in my NBA DFS lineups, you all have access to the very model I use to make my own selections, so when asking yourself: “Should I use player X or player Y?”, make sure to check the model because that is how I make all of my own decisions and I truly ride or die by it on a daily basis.

Before running to the DraftKings, FanDuel, or Yahoo lobby to construct your NBA DFS lineup after reading this article, please make sure to utilize the abundance of tools we have at Win Daily:

Pelicans at Hawks 

Pelicans – One of the best game environments on the slate is none other than the Pelicans visiting the Hawks as the game has a 232.5 point total and a spread under four points. On the New Orleans side, we can continue to target CJ McCollum and Jonas Valanciunas since Brandon Ingram remains out. McCollum has boasted a 33.1% usage rate and even though the 1.44 FPPM will come down a touch since his true shooting rate is 61%, that doesn’t mean it has to happen here. He also has an assist rate of just under 38% so the scoring doesn’t have to be the only thing that carries him, even though the Hawks are in the bottom five in defensive rating. 

JoVal doesn’t have the easiest matchup on paper since Atlanta is fifth in rebounds allowed in the paint but they are 19th in points allowed in the paint. If the Hawks try to run Onyeka Okongwu for 20+ minutes, it may not end well against the big veteran. His 1.27 FPPm without Ingram speaks for itself as well. Herbert Jones and Jaxson Hayes would be secondary targets from this game that fit the mold of needing a forward in a strong environment, but they aren’t priorities. 

Hawks – I wouldn’t normally be worried about Trae Young sitting out but he was a surprising inactive in the last game. We know where to go if he sits again in Delon Wright and Bogdan Bogdanovic being the prime targets. They both went off in the last game and don’t worry about Bogdanovic not starting. He’s going to play a boatload of minutes but if Young plays, he’s super affordable for a matchup with McCollum’s defense. Sure, Young was rough in his last game but a player of his offensive capability isn’t scoring nine real points super often. His availability dictates a large portion of this slate, but at least this game is in the early block so we’ll know what the situation is. 

Spurs at Warriors 

Spurs – I don’t expect the Spurs to be down 40 points in this game and Dejounte Murray is in line for a bounce-back game. I will say I’m not exactly looking to force him at the expense of my entire build, but any time he’s under $11,000 there is merit to playing him. The Warriors defense has struggled a bit without Draymond Green and while he’s back playing, he’s far from full speed yet. A significant piece of news for the Spurs is Lonnie Walker is out and with Derrick White in Boston, Murray has 1.54 FPPM, a 43.7% assist rate, and a 28.6% usage rate. Devin Vassell and Keldon Johnson are going to have to pick up some slack in the scoring department as well so in lineups that don’t have Murray, they can be utilized. Vassell playing 30 minutes is very interesting. As far as Jakob Poeltl goes, it’s not the worst spot ever since the Warriors are just 13th in points allowed in the paint. He’s back under $7,000 which is a bit more comfortable than the salary has been lately. 

Warriors – I’m happy that DraftKings priced the Warriors correctly tonight because the last time Steph Curry was out, it was a chalk-fest. Now you have to think about playing Jordan Poole, Andrew Wiggins, and Klay Thompson although Poole would still be my favorite. When Curry is off the floor, he has a 30.7% usage rate, and even with a tough assignment facing Dejounte Murray, Poole is finding his game this season and he fears nothing, Klay and Wiggins feel a little expensive, especially since Wiggins is under 0.90 FPPM when Curry is off the floor.

I will give Klay the edge here because of the 1.23 FPPM, and he’s going to get plenty of opportunities. If Poole does struggle with Murray, Thompson could approach 25 shots and he’s much more involved with the offense overall. The shot has been hard to predict but if it’s on, I will look silly for calling Klay expensive. Lastly, Kevon Looney is a cheap way to get access to this side and he’ll have to match Poeltl for most of the minutes. San Antonio has been crushed in the paint, ranking in the bottom 10 in both rebounds and points allowed. He and Jonathan Kuminga are both fine lineup fillers with 35 DK upside. 

Teams To Monitor 

Jazz – With the news that Bojan Bogdanovic and Mike Conley are already ruled out, it makes zero sense to see Donovan Mitchell under $9,000. He’s sporting a 36% usage rate and 1.47 FPPM in that scenario. If you want a narrative, he’s rumored to be linked to the Knicks if he wants out of Utah. Putting on a show in the Garden is well within the realm of possibility and even though I may not want to stack this game, Mitchell is among my favorite plays on the entire slate. Jordan Clarkson is in play and should log another 30+ minutes and Nickell Alexander-Walker could be played with either option if he starts. 

Suns – If Jae Crowder remains out, Torrey Craig is still far too cheap for 30+ minutes against the Kings. On the flip side, if De’Aaron Fox is ruled out, I’ll be more inclined to play Davion Mitchell since he’s not going against the Boston Celtics defense tonight. 

76ers – Joel Embiid is questionable but it could be an issue that this game locks 2.5 hours after the rest of the slate. If he’s out early, James Harden is going to be one of the more popular plays on the slate and he should be.

You can find us on Twitter @BetsByGhost and @Bucn4life

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NBA DFS Today: Gems with Ghost & Adam 3/19

After a monster slate last night with more value than you could shake a stick at, tonight’s slate boasts just three games and almost no value early in the morning. If nothing changes, it could be a puzzle of a slate but this could be a news-packed slate for just three contests. Let’s go through the NBA Roundtable and talk about who we like in the NBA DFS Today: Gems with Ghost & Adam 3/19 to find green screens!

One thing I want to clarify based on the questions I have received over the past few years is that I will never list a player under the $5,000 price tag simply because I use the projection model to identify all targets in this range and below. While there are often plenty of options that I like at $5,000 and less, since I often find myself with not only one – but multiple – in my NBA DFS lineups, you all have access to the very model I use to make my own selections, so when asking yourself: “Should I use player X or player Y?”, make sure to check the model because that is how I make all of my own decisions and I truly ride or die by it on a daily basis.

Before running to the DraftKings, FanDuel, or Yahoo lobby to construct your NBA DFS lineup after reading this article, please make sure to utilize the abundance of tools we have at Win Daily:

Question 1: “Which approach are you taking when building a single lineup? Stars & Scrubs, Balanced, Game stack, etc.?”

Ghost: Balanced unless players get ruled out on the second half of a back-to-back.

Adam: I’ll be looking to make lineups around one stud and balanced after that as things stand in the morning. However, this slate dictates staying tuned to the Discord because four of the six teams played last night. This slate could change dramatically and we could have a stars and scrubs approach handed to us if players sit out. 

Question 2: “Which stud is a lock for you on this slate?”

Ghost: Luka Doncic.

Adam: Provided he plays, It’s Luka Doncic. I have more faith in him in a back-to-back scenario than I do with LeBron James and we’ve attacked the Charlotte Hornets all season long with great results. There are zero reasons to stop doing that now. Doncic is coming off a rough game last night as far as fantasy points, but I’ll confidently say the odds are he will not shoot 5-20 from the floor once again. The pace the Hornets play at is perfect for Doncic to flirt with a 30-point triple-double tonight. 

Question 3: “Which stud are you most likely to fade in a single-entry contest or be underweight on in 150-max?”

Ghost: Darius Garland.

Adam: It will Be LeBron, just by default. I’d be surprised if we could afford both Doncic and LeBron in the same lineups and James played 45 minutes last night. Due respect to one of the greatest players we’ve ever seen, the mileage on his body has to be piling up from this season and many others at this point. It’s a rough turnaround with travel so even though Washington is a strong matchup, I’ll take the young legs and Doncic. 

Question 4: “If you had to pick one star and one value play to be in the winning lineup, who would they be and why?”

Ghost: Luka Doncic and Hachimura (Gafford is Porzingis sits out).

Adam: I’m sticking with Dallas and rolling Dwight Powell with Doncic. Powell has been playing at least 22 minutes as of late and is pushing 30 minutes or more most nights. Every now and again he can go off for a huge game (like he did against Houston)and Charlotte is in the bottom-five in rebounds and points in the paint. This duo can rip up the Hornets in the pick-and-roll game as Powell is the roll man at a 28.7% frequency. He’s scoring 2.5 points per game but we can expect more than that tonight. With Spencer Dinwiddie ruled out, the three-man stack of Doncic, Powell, and Jalen Brunson is very appealing. 

Question 5: “Give us a hot take for tonight’s slate.”

Ghost: Dallas beats Charlotte by 10+ behind Doncic’s 30-point effort.

Adam: Luka Doncic outscores every player on the slate by at least 12 fantasy points and no player over $8,500 other than Luka is in the winning lineup. 

You can find us on Twitter @BetsByGhost and @Bucn4life

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