Tag:

NASCAR

DFS value plays for New Hampshire

written by armando.maza92@gmail.com

Today we go racing at Loudon, New Hampshire at a 1 mile flat track known as the “The Magic Mile”. As we check our notes one last time before we climb the ladder to our virtual pit box here’s some of the drivers we’ll be keeping an eye on today as some of the best DFS value on track. We’ll be checking our notes and combining our data from the last four races here at The Magic Mile so sit back and read up on our DFS value plays for New Hampshire.

Martin TruexJr. / $10,700

Been a strange year for MartinTruex Jr. Coming into New Hampshire hehas only one win and only 4 top fives, perhaps this is the track that gets the19 and crew back to their winning ways. We know Truex can get the job done here. In the last 4 starts at this 1 mile flat track he has 3 top-fives, and 4top-tens he has (83) AVG laps led and (39) AVG fastest laps which puts him at(79) AVG DK points and (74) AVG FD points and with him rolling off the grid 11^thwhy wouldn’t you have some exposure for MTJ?

Kyle Busch / $9,300

We’re all waiting on Kyle Busch. Winlesssince his Championship clenching win back in Miami in 2019, we know Kyle Buschcan get it done in Loudon. In the last 3 races at New Hampshire the Candy Manleads virtually EVERY stat that Nascar DFS players look for which include: AVGfastest laps (56) AVG laps led (111) AVG DK points (99.1) and AVG FD points (76) Is this finally the weekend the KyleBusch, Adam Stevens and the rest of the put the 18 in Victory Lane?

Denny Hamlin /$10,400

The hottest driver not named KevinHarvick, Denny Hamlin. Denny Hamlin comesin Loudon with 5 wins this year. DennyHamlin knows how to get around “The Magic Mile” he starts second and has anopportunity to lead laps from the drop of the green. Denny Hamlin had (22) AVG fastest laps and (42)AVG laps led. His AVG points aren’t toshabby either, he checks in at (62) AVG DK points and (70) AVG FD points. Last year he finished runner up to race winner… you guessed right, Kevin Harvick.

Kevin Harvick /$11,600

Kevin Harvick loves Lobster and he’sreceived two of the last four given to the winner at Loudon. While Kevin Harvick isn’t setting the DFSworld on fire in points at New Hampshire he always seems to be in the rightplace when the checkered flag drops at Loudon and still gets us (49) AVG DKpoints and (59) FD points. Wonder if “TheCloser” will be eating Lobster for dinner.

The other guys

ChristopherBell / $10,100 – back to his normalback of the pack starting spot we see his old price tag, he has Xfinity winshere at Loudon, and with that high price tag you may be able to get some lowexposure, on your lines. I like him fora top 15 finish.

Matt Kenseth /$7,600 – Starting 21^st andwith a $7600.00 price tag, Matt could be of some value. He has 2 top-fives and 2 top-tens in his last3 races. If he can stay out of trouble,I could see the 42 having a good day.

Value plays

Austin Dillon $7,400

Chris Buescher $6,100

Ryan Preece $5,600

Ty Dillon $5,700

Thanks for reading this article on the NASCAR DFS Pit Stop: DFS value plays for New Hampshire: Make sure you head to the Win Daily Sports Discord for up to date info and help directly from our pros! Head over to Twitter and give the @WinDailySports account and me (@JoeyNascar) a follow for all things Fantasy Sports! You can find more FREE NASCAR content over at WinDailySports.com!

5 years ago 0 comments

NASCAR DFS Pit Stop: Cup Series from New Hampshire 8/2/20

rmferenc@gmail.com 5 years ago

written by rmferenc@gmail.com

Welcome to the NASCAR DFS Pit Stop: Cup Series breakdown for Sunday’s race from New Hampshire Motor Speedway!

NASCAR gave the teams a nice break to re-energize after a hectic couple of months since the return to racing. New Hampshire is a flat 1-mile track that races similarly to Phoenix. We have 301 laps here so that means there are plenty of dominator points available, 225.75 to be exact, so we will want to find the drivers who can lead this race.

There are a few drivers who I think can dominate this race, and we will get into them shortly. If you are in discord you saw me mention that Joey Logano ($9,800) tested at New Hampshire earlier this year in preparation for the March Phoenix race. Logano won at Phoenix and led 60 laps in the process. Logano hasn’t had much success here, but with some data to go on Logano could have a great car early on since we have no practice before this race

NASCAR DFS: Dominators

Kevin Harvick ($11,600)

Starting Position: 7th

Harvick has 2 wins in his last 4 races at NHMS and as he has been all season since the restart, is a threat to win, but I am not as high on Harvick as I have been lately. I don’t love this price, but it won’t stop me from having some Harvick exposure this weekend. It will take a dominating performance of leading over 100 laps and a win to make value and I am not confident he does that. I will probably lower my exposure from around 50% to something in the 10% range.

Martin Truex Jr. ($10,700)

Starting Position: 11th

Truex is my favorite play this week. He offers the best of everything we are looking for in a driver, he has place differential upside, dominator potential, and has a great track history. New Hampshire is a track that history matters because this track hasn’t changed over time so how a driver has done here is important. Truex has five straight top 10 finishes here and has led 112 laps or more in 4 of his last 6 races here. It’s easy to see why Truex is my favorite play.

Christopher Bell ($10,100)

Starting Position: 35th

We are back to an “overpriced” Christopher Bell race this weekend, but I don’t mind paying the price because I think he pays it off. Bell has won twice here in the Xfinity series, and like I said with Truex, track history matters. While it was the Xfinity Series, it still means that Bell knows how to handle this track and I think he can definitely come away with a top 10 here. Matt DiBenedetto ($8,300) drover the #95 Toyota to a top 10 here last year and I see no reason (other than a wreck) keeping Bell from finishing there on Sunday.

Other Options: Denny Hamlin ($10,400) – I’m fading him, he hasn’t done well with the package they run here, but I can see why you’d play him. Joey Logano ($9,800)

NASCAR DFS: Mid Tier

Kyle Busch ($9,300)

Starting Position: 5th

Yes, we can play Kyle Busch again, and he’s cheap this week. Game log watchers will see his recent troubles and fade him, but those of us who know, know he is going to have a good day on Sunday. New Hampshire has been a very good track for Busch. Kyle has five top 10 finishes in his last 6 here (the 6th was a 12th place finish) including a win in 2017 where he led 187 laps. Busch has led at least 95 laps in four of his last six races here as well. It seems like Busch was having trouble figuring out the high-downforce package, but they aren’t running that at NHMS, so we should be safe playing him.

Chase Elliott ($9,100)

Starting Position: 3rd

Here is another driver I think could dominate this race, at least the early part of it. Elliott is extremely underpriced and will probably be one of, if not, the highest owned drivers this week. I don’t think Almirola keeps the lead off the start, and that’s where Elliott could take off to the lead. Chase doesn’t have the great track history we look for here, but at this price, he is worth taking a risk.

Matt Kenseth ($7,600)

Starting Position: 21st

Matt Kenseth has been an absolute stud at Loudon over his career dating back to 2013. In 11 races since then, Kenseth has nice top 10 finishes including 3 wins. Kenseth has a rough start to his return to the track after his retirement after the 2018 season. Kenseth has had some good finishes of late and at this price, a top 15 will suffice to make value.

Other Options: Erik Jones ($8,900), Matt DiBenedetto ($8,300), Kurt Busch ($7,700)

NASCAR DFS: Value Tier Rankings

The value tier is deep this week, starting with both Austin and Ty Dillon ($7,400 & $5,700 respectively). I don’t love the price for Austin, but he has been consistently good since the return to racing and I could easily see him pick up 10-12 place differential points and possibly hit that 5x value marker we look for. Ty is priced right at $5,700 for starting 25th, but he does have a decent record here. Dillon has finished as high as 16th (twice) and has finished no lower than 23rd.

Austin Dillon ($7,400 – P23)
Ty Dillon ($5,700 – P25)
Ryan Newman ($6,600 – P22)
John H. Nemechek ($7,000 – P36)
Daniel Suarez ($5,900 – P37)
Ricky Stenhouse ($6,800 P31)
Corey Lajoie ($6,200 – P33)

Thanks for reading this article on the NASCAR DFS Pit Stop: Cup Series 8/2/20 from New Hampshire Motor Speedway! Make sure you head to the Win Daily Sports Discord for up to date info and help directly from our pros! Head over to Twitter and give the @WinDailySports account and me (@MVecchio81) a follow for all things Fantasy Sports! You can find more FREE NASCAR content over at WinDailySports.com!

5 years ago 0 comments

NASCAR

NASCAR DFS Pit Stop: Xfinity Series from Kansas Speedway 7/25/20

Matt Vecchio 5 years ago

written by Matt Vecchio

Welcome to the NASCAR DFS Pit Stop for Saturday evening’s Xfinity Series Kansas Lottery 250 from Kansas Speedway. This race is the fourth and final race of the weekend at Kansas Speedway with the green flag scheduled to drop at 5:18 pm EDT. Saturday’s race is 250 miles, meaning we have 167 laps of racing. With this racing having 167 laps that means we will have 125.25 dominator points available to earn.

When building lineups I am looking to get 2-3 dominators in and finding value at the bottom. Unfortunately, the bottom tier does not give us much, so we will need to dig in and find that value to help us cash. There are two drivers, both in JRM Chevy’s, that start 10th and 11th that will be key to winning on Saturday because they will be the PD drivers of this race in the top price tier. Noah Gragson ($10,300) & Justin Allgaier ($10,600) are the drivers mentioned in the previous sentence and will be keys, albeit chalky keys, to winning some green on Saturday

NASCAR DFS: Dominators

This tier is simple, load up on the top 4 highest priced drivers and find value in other places. Both Austin Cindric ($11,200) and Chase Briscoe ($10,900) have been the hottest drivers in the series this season, Briscoe dominating earlier this season and Cindric currently dominating with 3 straight victories. You take these to drivers and add them with the aforementioned Gragson and Allgaier and this is where I am starting all my builds (with two of these drivers in each lineup).

Another driver with dominator potential for me is Ross Chastain ($10,000). Chastain ran the Truck Series race on Friday night so he has been on the track and has a feel for what he needs to do to run well. Ross Chastain leads all Xfinity drivers in top 10’s this season, a stat that surprised me when I saw it earlier. In 16 races in 2020, Chastain has 14 top 10 finishes, and six top 5’s. I think Chastain can be a sneaky low owned potential dominator on Saturday. I was able to build a lineup I am comfortable using with three dominators (Gragson/Allgaier/Chastain), so it is doable.

NASCAR DFS: Mid Tier

Myatt Snider ($9,200)

Starting Position: 33rd

Myatt Snider is having a very solid season as he splits his time between two teams. This week Snider is back in the #93, while Kaz Grala ($7,700) is in the 21 for RCR. Grala starts 3rd and could be a low owned GPP play in really good equipment. Snider is great at making green-flag passes as he has averaged 42.75 green flag passes per race over his last 8 races, including two races during which he made 75 green flag passes.

Brett Moffitt ($8,300)

Starting Position: 23rd

Moffitt, like the previously mentioned Chastain, ran the Truck race on Friday night and had a great performance finishing 2nd. Over his last 6 races, Moffitt has a top 5, three top 10’s and five top 20’s. With Moffitt starting 23rd and being priced the way his, allows us to roster him with 3 dominators and earn big PD points.

Colin Garrett ($7,600)

Starting Position: 37th

Garrett has only raced 4 times in the Xfinity Series this season, with a 21st and 14th place finishes sandwiched in between two finishes in the 30’s. I think Garrett has some the best upside as any driver in the field, and at his price, it won’t take much for him to hit 4-5X value.

Other Options: Brandon Jones ($9,400) Justin Haley ($9,000), Michael Annett ($7,900), Kaz Grala (GPP) ($7,700)

NASCAR DFS: Value Tier Rankings

Ryan Vargas ($7,000 – P30)
Joe Graf ($6,200 – P34)
Timmy Hill ($7,100 – P21)
Josh Williams ($6,800 – P24)
Kyle Weatherman ($5,900 – P35)
Vinnie Miller ($6,400 – 36th)

Thanks for reading this article on the NASCAR DFS Pit Stop: Xfinity Series 7/18/20 from Texas Motor Speedway. Make sure you head to the Win Daily Sports Discord for up to date info and help directly from our pros! Head over to Twitter and give the @WinDailySports account and me (@MVecchio81) a follow for all things Fantasy Sports! You can find more FREE NASCAR content over at WinDailySports.com!

Sports are coming back & we want YOU on the @WinDailySports team! Get an All-Access pass including Articles, Cheat Sheets, Projection Models, & our Expert Chat. ONLY 23 CENTS for the first month! Click the link or use promo code: “23” at checkout! WinDailySports.com/23

5 years ago 0 comments

NASCAR

NASCAR DFS Pit Stop: Trucks Series Kansas Speedway 7/24/20

rmferenc@gmail.com 5 years ago

written by rmferenc@gmail.com

Welcome to the NASCAR DFS Pit Stop for Friday night’s Truck Series race from Kansas Speedway! This is the first of two truck races this weekend as they will get right back at it Saturday afternoon.

Friday night we have the Blu-Emu Maximum Pain Relief 200 with the green flag scheduled to drop at 7:15 EDT for 134 laps and with only 100.5 dominator points available Friday night they will be at a premium.

NASCAR DFS: Dominators

Ross Chastain ($11,000)

Starting Position: 11th

Ross Chastain is only running one the two Truck races this weekend and this is it. Chastain has been mildly successful on 1.5-mile tracks this season with three top 10 finishes in just 5 races this season. Coming into this weekend, Chastain has four straight top 10 finishes, and five total in 7 races this season. Chastain is a potential dominator, but I think the next guy will be the dominator…

Austin Hill ($10,300)

Starting Position: 6th

Hill has been the best driver in the Truck Series this season (full-time drivers) and will look to dominate another race. Only Christian Eckes ($8,900) has led more laps than Hill on 1.5-mile tracks with 97 led to the 91 of Hill. I don’t know that Hill wins this race, but I do anticipate him picking up a good portion of the dominator points available.

Matt Crafton ($10,000)

Starting Position: 17th

Matt Crafton is not going to fill up the dominator points on Friday but he will pay off his salary in place differential like he has the previous two weeks. Crafton started 14th and 15th respectively in the last two races and finished 3rd in both. If Crafton can come home with a similar finish from Kansas we will be more than happy with that performance.

Other Options: Johnny Sauter ($11,300), Brandon Jones ($10,600)

NASCAR DFS: Mid Tier

Christian Eckes ($8,900)

Starting position: 1st

Eckes is on the pole for Friday night’s race and there’s a good chance he is our leader for the first portion of this race. Last week at Texas Eckes gave Kyle Busch a scare early on but ended up second behind his boss. Eckes’ 2nd place finish last week was his fourth top 10 in 6 races.

Sheldon Creed ($8,400)

Starting Position: 10th

Creed earned his first win of the season two weeks ago in Kentucky in a rain-shortened race. In 2020, Creed has been one of the best 1.5-mile drivers with 3 top 10’s, two top 5’s, and his win. Creed is a driver who, if everything works out for him, could lead the majority of laps.

Zane Smith ($8,000)

Starting Position: 7th

Zane Smith pushed Kyle Busch in the Texas race last week and showed that he can hang with the big boys. Smith ended up 19th in what can be seen as a disappointment based on how well he ran collecting 23 fastest laps and 26 laps led. Smith has been successful while still looking for his fist 2020 win with four top 10’s finishes on 1.5-mile tracks

Other Options: Spencer Davis ($8,800), Tanner Gray ($8,200), Grant Enfinger ($7,900)

NASCAR DFS: Value Tier Rankings

Robby Lyons – $6,700 – P34
Tate Fogelman – $6,500 – P28th
Derek Kraus – $6,900 – P15
Ty Majeski – $7,100 – P19
Norm Benning – $5,400 – P38
Jordan Anderson – $7,400 – P32

Thanks for reading this article on the NASCAR DFS Pit Stop: Truck Series 7/24/20 from Kansas Speedway! Make sure you head to the Win Daily Sports Discord for up to date info and help directly from our pros! Head over to Twitter and give the @WinDailySports account and me (@MVecchio81) a follow for all things Fantasy Sports! You can find more FREE NASCAR content over at WinDailySports.com!

5 years ago 0 comments

NASCAR Premium

NASCAR DFS Pit Stop: Cup Series from Kansas Speedway 7/23/20

rmferenc@gmail.com 5 years ago

written by rmferenc@gmail.com

Welcome to the NASCAR DFS Pit Stop for Thursday night’s race from Kansas Speedway, the Super Start Batteries 400 with the green flag scheduled to drop at 7:48 pm EDT on NBCSN. Kansas is another 1.5-mile track that runs similar to Vegas, Homestead, and Charlotte. We have 267 laps here at Kansas Speedway giving us 200.25 dominator points available for us to earn.

Last season we saw Brad Keselowski and Denny Hamlin go to victory lane here and both will look to get back there again. We have had 7 races on 1.5-mile tracks this season and oddly enough, 7 different winners. Will we get the first 2 time winner on Thursday? I think we will. Kevin Harvick ($11,500) is my pick to win this race from the pole on Thursday night.

NASCAR DFS: Dominators

Kevin Harvick ($11,500)

Starting Position: 1st

Kevin Harvick is the odds on favorite to win this race (4/1) and he is also my pick. He has been dominant on 1.5-mile tracks this season with a win and six top 10’s in 7 races. Harvick has also led the most laps with 357, almost 100 more than the next best driver (Ryan Blaney – 261). Even if Harvick doesn’t win this race, a top 5 is almost a certainty, and with him on the pole and having clean air to start the race he should lead the bulk of the beginning of this race.

Martin Truex Jr. ($10,600)

Starting Position: 5th

Truex has been excellent at Kansas Speedway over the past three seasons. In 6 races, Truex has racked up 2 wins (swept both races in 2017), and five finishes of 6th or better. Truex had some bad luck in two of the last three races getting caught up in wrecks but sandwiched between the wrecks at Indianapolis and Texas, he had a second-place finish at Kentucky.

Ryan Blaney ($9,900)

Starting Position: 4th

If it wasn’t for Harvick, Blaney might be the best driver at 1.5-mile tracks this season. In seven races in 2020 Blaney has led the second-most laps at 1.5-mile tracks as I mentioned in my Harvick breakdown. Blaney has the best average finish at these tracks (5.4) as well but hasn’t won on a 1.5-mile yet this season. I know I said I think Harvick wins on Thursday, but if the 4 doesn’t go to victory lane, the Penske Ford #12 and Ryan Blaney will.

Other Options: Chase Elliott ($11,000 – P11 – PD play and needs to win to make value), Denny Hamlin ($10,200 – P10), Brad Keselowski ($9,500 – P7)

NASCAR DFS: Mid Tier

Erik Jones ($9,100)

Starting Position: 21st

I know Jones has been a thorn in our side all season, but he came through last week and was in most winning lineups on Sunday. Jones’ price is high this week, but I think he pays it off again Thursday night. In his 4 races at Kansas as a full-time Joe Gibbs driver, Jones hasn’t finished lower than 7th and has two top 5 finishes as well.

Tyler Reddick ($8,300)

Starting Position: 23rd

This is a great track for Reddick with the high line here that allows you to run nearly up against the wall. Reddick is one of the best in the series at doing this and should be able to run extremely well here because of this. At similar tracks this season, Reddick has two top 5’s and four 10’s with an average finish of 10.3.

Christopher Bell ($8,100)

Starting Position: 22nd

I know a lot of people are not going to like this pick and will think I am crazy for writing Bell up here, but I think we can take advantage of lower ownership. Bell has had some success at 1.5-mile tracks this season with three top 10 finishes, and an average finish of 16.7. If Bell finishes in his average 16th place we get him at 4.1x value without any dominator points, it won’t take much more to get him to 5x (which is the goal for every driver we roster)

Other Options: Aric Almirola ($8,700), Matt DiBenedetto ($7,700), Clint Bowyer ($7,500)

Value Tier Rankings:

My top overall value play is undoubtedly going to be the chalkiest play on this entire slate, but it will be difficult to fade him. Ty Dillon ($6,500) starts 36th and has an average finish of 24.3 in 1.5-mile tracks in 2020. Another of my favorite value plays is Ricky Stenhouse ($7,000). Stenhouse has two top 5’s at 1.5-mile tracks this season and an average finish of 18.7. I do not like this next pick but it’s hard to deny he has been very useful in NASCAR DFS of late. Daniel Suarez ($6,100) has an average finish of 25.1 in his last 6 point races and has not finished lower than 28th.

Ty Dillon – $6,500 – P36
Ricky Stenhouse – $7,000 – P25
Daniel Suarez – $6,100 – P37
Michael McDowell – $6,200 – P27
Austin Dillon – $7,200 – P16
Cole Custer – $7,400 – P24
Corey Lajoie – $5,700 – P31

Thanks for reading this article on the NASCAR DFS Pit Stop: Cup Series 7/23/20 from Kansas Speedway! Make sure you head to the Win Daily Sports Discord for up to date info and help directly from our pros! Head over to Twitter and give the @WinDailySports account and me (@MVecchio81) a follow for all things Fantasy Sports! You can find more FREE NASCAR content over at WinDailySports.com!

5 years ago 0 comments

NASCAR

NASCAR DFS Pit Stop: Cup Series 7/19/20

rmferenc@gmail.com 5 years ago

written by rmferenc@gmail.com

Welcome to the NASCAR DFS Pit Stop for Sunday’s O’Reilly Auto Parts 500 from Texas Motor Speedway where the only thing hotter than Kevin Harvick is the temperature inside the cars! We saw temps reach at least 143 degrees in the Xfinity cars on Saturday afternoon, which was run during the same time Sunday’s Cup race will be run.

With 500 miles being raced on Sunday at the mile and a half track, we get 334 laps of racing leading to a possible 250.5 dominator points available. Last year Harvick led 119 on his way to the victory, followed by teammate Aric Almirola who led 62 laps and finished 2nd. Almirola is on the pole for this race and at first glance seemed like a fade to me, but he has done well here in his last 3 races and could get himself another top 5 finish.

NASCAR DFS: Dominators

Kevin Harvick (11,300)

Starting Position: 5th

Stop me if you’ve heard this before, but Kevin Harvick has been great in recent races here at Texas Motorspeedway. Harvick is one of, if not, the hottest drivers in the Cup Series since the return to the track and will look to keep his momentum going on Sunday. Over the last 5 races at Texas, Harvick has 3 wins, and five top 10 finishes. Harvick has not just won races here, he has dominated with 421 laps led during his last 5 races here.

Martin Truex Jr. ($10,400)

Starting Position: 10th

Truex hasn’t had his best season so far, but he does have three top 10’s in his last 4 races (4 in 5 if you count the All Start Race) and looks like he is getting back on track. We have seen him fail tech twice over the last few weeks but while he didn’t fare well in Indianapolis when he was sent to the back, he came home second at Kentucky last week. After the race last week Truex said he thinks his team has figured out and they will be better moving forward.

Joey Logano ($9,500)

Starting Position: 9th

Dating all the way back to 2013 Joey Logano has been an absolute beast at Texas Motorspeedway. In 14 races here since 2013, Logano has finished in the top 10 eleven times, and top 5 nine times. Logano has led 418 laps during that same 14 race span and should compete for a top 5, and the win on Sunday.

Other Options: Denny Hamlin ($10,800 – P8), Chase Elliott ($10,000 – P8)

NASCAR DFS: Mid Tier

Christopher Bell ($9,100)

Starting Position: 33rd

DraftKings finally decided to price Bell more accurately this week, meaning he will most likely be higher owned because of this but he could be the highest DKFP driver. Bell hasn’t raced here yet in the Cup Series but was dominant here in the Xfinity series. In 5 races here as an Xfinity Series driver, Bell has a win, three top 5’s, and a four top 10’s.

Erik Jones ($8,600)

Starting Position: 23rd

I am hesitant to play Erik Jones after the way he has hurt us the past couple of weeks, but here I am. Over his last 5 races in Texas, Jones has five top 10’s and three top 5’s. Jones has also led 103 laps in his last 5 here as well, and with his starting position, we don’t even need a top 10 from Jones to make 5 times value.

Aric Almirola ($8,100)

Starting Position: 1st

Almirola is a GPP only play since he is starting on the pole on Sunday. Almirola has been on a tear recently, and while we don’t necessarily look at the current form in season when gauging interest in drivers, Almirola has success at Texas as well lately. The driver of the #10 Ford Mustang has three straight top 10’s finishes here at Texas. If Almirola can get the jump on Ryan Blaney ($8,900 – P2) on the first lap he could end up adding to his laps led count for 2020 on 1.5-mile tracks where he currently has led 128 laps in 6 races

Tyler Reddick ($7,800)

Starting Position: 24th

This season Reddick has run very well at 1.5-mile tracks in 2020. In 6 races on these tracks, Reddick has an average finish of 11.7 and has three top 10’s. Reddick can make value (5x – 43 points) if he finishes around 15th place with no dominator points, which is easily doable.

Other Options: Jimmie Johnson ($9,000 – P20), Ryan Blaney ($8,900 – P2), William Byron ($8,000 – P18)

NASCAR DFS: Value Tier

Both Austin ($6,900 – 21) and Ty Dillon ($6,700 – P30) in good spots to pick up a few spots and give us some minimal place differential points at the top of the value tier. Michael McDowell ($6,600 – P34) might be the best of the value tier for this race. McDowell starts 34th and has been averaging a finish of 23.7 on 1.5-mile tracks this season.

Value Tier Rankings:

Michael McDowell ($6,600 – P34)
Austin Dillon ($6,900 – P21)
John Hunter Nemechek ($6,000 – P28)
Ty Dillon ($6,700 – P30)
Corey Lajoie ($6,100 – P36)
Chris Buescher ($5,800 – P16)

Thanks for reading this article on the NASCAR DFS Pit Stop: Cup Series 7/19/20 from Texas Motorspeedway! Make sure you head to the Win Daily Sports Discord for up to date info and help directly from our pros! Head over to Twitter and give the @WinDailySports account and me (@MVecchio81) a follow for all things Fantasy Sports! You can find more FREE NASCAR content over at WinDailySports.com!

5 years ago 0 comments

NASCAR

NASCAR DFS Pit Stop: Truck Series 7/18/20

rmferenc@gmail.com 5 years ago

written by rmferenc@gmail.com

Welcome to the NASCAR DFS Pit Stop for Saturday night’s Truck Series race from Texas Motor Speedway! Like with the Xfinity Series earlier in the day on Saturday we have another race with Kyle Busch “invading” this race. Busch is priced high, as usual, at $16,000 Saturday night and should dominate this race.

Saturday night’s race has 147 laps meaning we have 110 dominator points try and earn in this race. Kyle Busch should lead the majority of the laps in this race starting from P4. I want to focus on finding good place differential plays to pair with Kyle to try and maximize our point totals for this race.

This race was an unmitigated disaster last year, to say the least. We had 13 cautions with 14 drivers scoring DNF’s. Because of this, we had drivers like Jennifer Jo Cobb ($5,600) and Norm Benning ($5,700) finish inside the top 20. There are a few punts I will be using in my lineups in hopes we get a similar race this year and these drivers find their way up to the middle of the pack.

NASCAR DFS: Dominators

Kyle Busch: $16,000

Starting Position: 4th

Like with the Xfinity Series earlier in the day, Kyle Busch is the top overall play. While we are using Busch as a place differential/dominator play in the NXS, we are using Busch here as a pure dominator. Greg Biffle took this truck to victory lane in 2019 and its a pretty safe bet that Kyle Busch will do the same and potentially lead 100 laps in this race.

Ross Chastain: $11,500

Starting Position: 24th

Here is the first place differential play of the night with Ross Chastain. We know Chastain is great in the Truck Series and I do not see him sitting back in the back for too long. Like we did with Busch in the Xfinity Series, we are using a Chastain as a potential dominator/place differential play. Chastain has back to back top 10’s at Texas and almost certainly add a 3rd straight on Saturday night.

Justin Haley: $10,500

Starting Position: 13th

Justin Haley is the 3rd driver of 3 I’ve written up pulling the double on Saturday and he may be a low owned play. Haley has raced here at Texas 4 times in the Truck Series never finishing lower than 6th, including a win his last time here in 2018. Justin Haley has also led 61 laps in his 4 races here as well. This is the same Truck that Chase Elliott driver to victory back in Charlotte earlier this season and Haley will attempt to push Kyle Busch for the victory Saturday night.

Other Options: Johnny Sauter ($10,900 – P21), Brett Moffitt ($9,700 – P8)

NASCAR DFS: Mid Tier

Spencer Davis: $9,100

Starting Position: 19th

Davis is not one of the top overall plays, and if you are playing cash games I wouldn’t put him in your lineup, but he is a good GPP play with some decent upside. In his only race at Texas Motor Speedway, Davis did finish 9th while leading 7 laps. In his last 3 races, Davis has finishes of 13th, 18th, and 14th but he is starting higher than he has in of those races.

Stewart Friesen: $8,900

Starting Position: 18th

Coming into this race last year Friesen had a string of 3 straight top 10 finishes at Texas, but he had suspension issues and ended up 20th. Friesen is a truck that I can see finishing in the top 5 if everything breaks his way, and a top 10 is almost a certainty in my eyes.

Christian Eckes: $8,300

Starting Position: 7th

I expect to see Christian Eckes running up front with car owner/teammate Kyle Busch most of the night on Saturday. With the exception of him wrecking out in Pocono, Eckes has three top 10’s in his last 4 races (3rd,6th, and 8th). While the 19-year-old has not driven a Truck here at Texas he does have good finishes on similar tracks, like last week in Kentucky when he came home 6th.

Other Options: Ben Rhodes ($8,700 P10), Tyler Ankrum ($8,500 P9)

NASCAR DFS: Value Tier Rankings

Tate Fogleman ($6,100) is my favorite of the value play in this race. On the season Fogleman has two top 20 finishes and four top 25 finishes with a season average of 25.1. Fogleman is starting this race at the lowest he has started any race this season and has the most upside in my opinion of any value driver in this race.

Value Tier Rankings:

Tate Folgeman ($6,100 – P31)
Tanner Gray ($7,300 – P20)
Cory Roper ($5,500 – P30)
Norm Benning ($5,700 – P36)
Derek Kraus ($6,300 – P17)
Brennan Poole ($6,800 – P29)
Jennifer Jo Cobb ($5,600 – P35)
Jordan Anderson ($6,600 – P28)

Thanks for reading this article on the NASCAR DFS Pit Stop: Truck Series 7/18/20 from Texas Motor Speedway! Make sure you head to the Win Daily Sports Discord for up to date info and help directly from our pros! Head over to Twitter and give the @WinDailySports account and me (@MVecchio81) a follow for all things Fantasy Sports! You can find more FREE NASCAR content over at WinDailySports.com!

5 years ago 0 comments

NASCAR

NASCAR DFS Pit Stop: Xfinity Series 7/18/20

rmferenc@gmail.com 5 years ago

written by rmferenc@gmail.com

Welcome to the NASCAR DFS Pit Stop for Saturday, July 18 Xfinity Series from Fort Worth, Texas! I would also like to welcome you to $17,000 Kyle Busch chalk day! If you are in the WinDailySports Discord channel you saw me mention that we are playing Kyle in the Xfinity and Truck series this weekend even though he is priced WAY up. I will go into detail in a minute. We have a 200 lap race here with 150 dominator points available and I expect the majority of them to be split between two drivers, keep reading to find out who.

Texas Motor Speedway will run similar to what we saw in Kentucky last week with only one real groove on the track so the teams with the best equipment will be the ones we want to target. Obviously we have salary restrictions and cannot get all the top teams in but DraftKings priced the slate in a way that makes it easier to build good lineups with Kyle Busch’s salary.

NASCAR DFS: Dominators

Kyle Busch ($17,000)

Starting Position: 28th

Is Kyle Busch expensive? Yes. Is he worth paying up for? Also, yes. I know it seems like a steep price to pay, but with Kyle starting 28th and being the best driver in this race he will make value. I have no doubt about that (unless he gets wrecked coming through the field) and with his starting position being so far back we can get a top 5 finish from Kyle without dominator points and he’ll still make value. Even though I say we don’t need dominator point from Busch, we will get them as I think he leads the majority of the second half of this race.

Chase Briscoe ($11,300)

Starting Position: 12th

If you are making multiple lineups and want to fade Kyle in any of them, Briscoe is my favorite play after him. Briscoe has 5 wins on the season with 2 of them coming on 1.5-mile tracks. In his seven 1.5-mile races this season, Briscoe also has four top 5’s, six top 10’s, and an average finish of 6.3. Starting in the 12th spot we get the next best place differential after Kyle Busch with Chase Briscoe as well.

Austin Cindric ($10,800)

Starting Position: 3rd

Here is other dominator I mentioned in the open who I think leads the beginning part of this race. Cindric has dominated at 1.5-mile tracks this season and swept both races last week in Kentucky in dominating fashion. This season Cindric has led nearly 400 laps on mile and a half tracks and has 240 fastest laps. I will be pairing Cindric in lineups with Busch in them to try and maximize as many dominator points as I can.

Other Options: Noah Gragson ($10,400)

NASCAR DFS: Mid Tier

Anthony Alfredo ($8,300)

Starting Position: 10th

We will need to focus more on the value tier to fit Kyle Busch into our lineups but if you have the salary to fit Alfredo in, he is a good choice. Anthony Alfredo has been in 5 races at 1.5-mile tracks this season with four of those resulting in top 10 finishes. Alfredo has some great equipment in his RCR Chevy with the team that one back to back Xfinity Series championships in 2018 and 19.

Justin Haley ($8,100)

Starting Position: 11th

Haley is my favorite play in this tier especially since he is starting outside the top 10 and DraftKings dropped his price this week from $9.5K last week. In his last eight races, Haley has four top 5 finishes including a win at Talladega back in June. Haley has a top 5 car seeming every week over the last 4 races and I think another top 5 will happen on Saturday.

Other Options: Brandon Jones ($9,100), Jeremy Clements ($8,700), Tommy Joe Martins ($7,500)

NASCAR DFS: Value Tier Rankings

we are going to live in this tier this weekend, but luckily we have a plethora of options, with Brett Moffitt ($7,100), Ryan Sieg ($6,500), and Colby Howard ($5,700). Moffitt is the riskiest play, making him the best GPP value play and Howard is my favorite value play overall. In his last 6 races, Howard has 5 finishes of 21st or better with four of them being inside the top 20.

Value Tier Rankings:

Colby Howard ($5,700 – P35)
Brett Moffitt ($7,100 – P15)
Ryan Sieg ($6,500 – P18)
Jesse Little ($5,200 – P30)
Stefan Parsons ($4,800 – P26)
Kyle Weatherman ($5,100 – P33)
Josh Williams ($6,400 – P24)

5 years ago 0 comments

NASCAR

NASCAR DFS Pit Stop: Cup Series All-Star Race 7/15/20

rmferenc@gmail.com 5 years ago

written by rmferenc@gmail.com

Welcome to the NASCAR DFS Pit Stop for Wednesday night’s All-Star race from Bristol Motor Speedway. This race is a small field of 20 drivers, of which 16 have already qualified. The field is filled with winners from the 2019 and 2020 seasons as well as past All-Star race winners and previous series champions. There are 4 remaining spots that will be filled by 3 stage winners from The Open, which is an 85 lap race that will be held prior to the All-Star race. There is one final spot to be filled by a fan vote but at last check, Bubba Wallace ($6,800) has a very large lead so he should be the driver that fills the 20th spot.

While there are no points on the line for this race, there is $1 million. We have in the past seen a lot of aggressive driving at the end of this race and Wednesday will most likely be no different, especially at Bristol. I will suggest you pay attention to the Open and alter your lineups after to get the qualifiers into your lineups. The 3 drivers who move on from The Open and the fan vote winner will be starting in positions 17-20 giving them both the highest floor and upside in the field.

I am making it a priority to get 2-4 of them into every lineup I build. These 4 will have an advantage on the field in the first stage because they have already run 85 laps on this track and they will have the knowledge of how the track is and their cars will be set up already. Because of how the transfer drivers are priced, do NOT be afraid to leave large amounts of salary on the table for this race. I have left anywhere from $2,000 to $6,400 in my pre-builds.

NASCAR DFS: Top Plays (Qualified Drivers)

Denny Hamlin ($10,100)

Starting Position: 15th

Hamlin is my favorite play on this slate for a few reasons, but place differential is the top reason. Starting 15th, Hamlin will most definitely improve his PD and run towards the front. Hamlin also has six top 10’s and a win in his last 10 races at Bristol and has led 304 laps here.

Joey Logano ($9,400)

Starting Position: 12th

Logano has a similar track history to that of Hamlin’s making him another great play. Until he had a run-in with Elliott on the final laps of the Spring Bristol race earlier this season Logano was poised for his second win in the last 10. Logano has seven top 10’s in the last 10 and has led over 500 laps in the process.

Ryan Blaney ($8,000)

Starting Position: 3rd

Blaney is different than the previous two drivers because he is not a place differential play. I think Blaney could get out to the early lead and dominate the first stage. Even though Blaney hasn’t had good finishes at Bristol, he has led an average of 43.9 laps per race in his career. Blaney is also one of my favorites to win this race for the first time in his career.

Erik Jones ($7,200)

Starting Position: 16th

Jones starts last of the already qualified drivers and could be a threat to win, or worst come home with a top 10. In his 7 career races at Bristol, Jones has three top 5’s while leading 293 laps. Jones owns a 14.4 average finish here, and while that is not great, but if you factor in the size of the field in this race as half a regular race, that average drops inside the top 10.

Cole Custer ($5,800)

Starting Position: 8th

Custer was the last driver to qualify for the field with his win on Sunday at Kentucky. I don’t think Custer is a threat to win this race, but you really can’t count anyone out in this race. In his last 5 race at Bristol in the Xfinity Series, Custer has an average finish 9.4 and has 4 top 10’s in that span. If you want to be different, Custer is my favorite low price play.

Other Options: Kyle Busch (P10 – $9,100), Jimmie Johnson (P14 – $8,800), Brad Keselowski (P9 – $8,600), Kurt Busch (P7 – $7,600)

Once again, remember to follow along with The Open and adjust your rosters accordingly

Thanks for reading this article on the NASCAR DFS Pit Stop: Cup Series All-Star Race 7/15/20. Make sure you head to the Win Daily Sports Discord for up to date info and help directly from our pros! Head over to Twitter and give the @WinDailySports account and me (@MVecchio81) a follow for all things Fantasy Sports! You can find more FREE NASCAR content over at WinDailySports.com!

5 years ago 0 comments

NASCAR

jmo’s NASCAR picks 7-12-20: Quaker State 400

Jacob Nelson 5 years ago

written by Jacob Nelson

Join us in the #nascar Discord channel to discuss jmo’s NASCAR picks 7-12-20. The following is intended for FanDuel GPP purposes only.

Follow jmo on Twitter at @dfs_noshame.

THE SLATE

NASCAR Cup Series is back in action today in Sparta, Kentucky at the Kentucky Speedway, a 1.5-mile momentum speedway. The Quaker State 400 is set to begin at 2:30 p.m. ET with coverage on FS1.

This 400.5-mile race will take 267 laps to complete. Stage lengths will be 80 laps, 80 laps, and 107 laps.

WinDaily DraftKings and FanDuel First Pass projections are available here, including projections, starting positions, and projected finishing positions.

THE PICKS

FRONTRUNNERS

Note: Roster the race winner.

Kevin Harvick, Denny Hamlin

Additional options: Ryan Blaney, Chase Elliott, Kurt Busch, Aric Almirola, Alex Bowman, Brad Keselowski, Joey Logano, Martin Truex, Kyle Busch, Matt DiBenedetto

CAPTURE THE UPSIDE

Note: Focus on rostering drivers that will provide positive place differential points and a strong finishing position score.

Jimmie Johnson, Christopher Bell, William Byron, Tyler Reddick

Additional options: Austin Dillon, Cole Custer, Matt Kenseth, Erik Jones, Clint Bowyer, Daniel Suarez, Ty Dillon, Michael McDowell, Ryan Preece, Ryan Newman

STARTING TOO HIGH

Note: Avoid rostering drivers that finish below their starting position.

Chris Buescher, Ricky Stenhouse, John Nemechek, Corie Lajoie, Bubba Wallace

NON-LEAD LAPPERS

Note: Roster drivers that will finish on the lead lap.

Brennan Poole, Quin Houff, Joey Gase, Timmy Hill, JJ Yeley, Garrett Smithley, Josh Bilicki

jmo’s FanDuel favorites: Kevin Harvick, Denny Hamlin, Chase Elliott, Joey Logano, Ryan Blaney, Kurt Busch, William Byron, Jimmie Johnson, Christopher Bell, Austin Dillon, Daniel Suarez

“Change your game, and change your life!” #windaily #nascardfs

5 years ago 0 comments

Newer Posts

Older Posts

NASCAR

NASCAR DFS: Dominators

NASCAR DFS: Mid Tier

NASCAR DFS: Value Tier Rankings

NASCAR DFS: Dominators

NASCAR DFS: Mid Tier

NASCAR DFS: Value Tier Rankings

NASCAR DFS: Dominators

NASCAR DFS: Mid Tier

NASCAR DFS: Value Tier Rankings

NASCAR DFS: Dominators

NASCAR DFS: Mid Tier

Value Tier Rankings:

NASCAR DFS: Dominators

NASCAR DFS: Mid Tier

NASCAR DFS: Value Tier

NASCAR DFS: Dominators

NASCAR DFS: Mid Tier

NASCAR DFS: Value Tier Rankings

NASCAR DFS: Dominators

NASCAR DFS: Mid Tier

NASCAR DFS: Value Tier Rankings

NASCAR DFS: Top Plays (Qualified Drivers)

THE SLATE

THE PICKS

FRONTRUNNERS

CAPTURE THE UPSIDE

STARTING TOO HIGH

NON-LEAD LAPPERS

Subscribe to our newsletter

The best bets and resources to make you more profitable

Our Company

©2024 WIN DAILY®. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.

Queue

©2024 WIN DAILY^®. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.