MLB

Welcome to the Wednesday edition of the Stack City, where I’ll be going through the top MLB DFS Stacks on DraftKings and Fanduel. 

Wednesday brings us a spread-out day of baseball.  My article will be focused on the 5 game main slate starting at 7 pm est.  We have some weather concerns and a wide variety of pitchers on the mound.  This slate is not one of the more exciting ones as 2 of the 5 games have some PPD potential. 

Always make sure to read Adam’s Starting Rotation when setting your lineup.  It’s hands down the best pitching article in the MLB DFS business.

Let’s dig in and see if we can find some stacks to use today!

MLB DFS Stacks – Main Slate

Los Angeles Angels vs. Glenn Otto

Outside of one bad outing vs. the Red Sox, Glenn Otto has really been able to escape some damage this season.  Even though he continues to put on close to 2 runners per inning, he’s allowed 2 runs or less in 4 of his 5 starts.  Putting that many men on is playing with fire and at some point, it will catch up to him.  Tonight, against a really good Angels lineup, it will catch up to him. 

Through his last 19 innings of work, Otto has allowed 7 barrels and 4 homers.  Both of those numbers, at least percentage-wise, are at or near the top for the worst numbers.  Otto doesn’t give up many flyballs as he has a flyball rate of just 32%, but more than 20% of his flyballs end up leaving the park due to this 33% hard-hit rate.  Otto has typically been a splits neutral pitcher so I’m not going to be overly worried about the handedness of the batter tonight

My Angels stack will always start with Mike Trout, regardless of his price.  Over the last 30 days, Trout has been fantastic.  He has a .346 ISO and a .401 wOBA vs. righties.  His AVG on the year is up to .330 and is up to 12 homers.  He’s had hits in 8 of his last 9 games. If you can afford him tonight, you should play him. 

Next up will be an extremely affordable Jared Walsh.  Walsh is finally starting to hit for some power that we’ve grown to love from him.  Over his last 4 games, he has 3 homers, including 1 last night.  Of his 9 homers on the year, 8 are against right-handed pitching.   He crushes them and with his price under $4k for the first time since mid-May, we’re going to get someone with a ton of upside. 

Other bats I’ll like here will be Shohei Ohtani, Brandon Marsh, and Luis Rengifo.  

Take the stacks Jared has laid out here and optimize lineups around Aces in order to cash in big tonight on DraftKings and FanDuel with our lineup optimizer.

New York Yankees vs. Tyler Wells

Dead balls?  Well, not in the Bronx.  Through the first 2 games of the series, there have been 9 homers hit.  That’s with some cooler weather too.  Today should be the first game they play with warmer weather and a bit of sunshine.  And because of that, I expect the ball to continue to fly in that little league stadium they call Yankee Stadium.  Tyler Wells is going to have his work cut out for him today vs. this Yankees lineup. 

There’s a strong chance they’ll be without Stanton today, but that really won’t change my mind with this stack because he’s actually been one of their colder hitters of late.  May actually be addition by subtraction.  With Wells, we attack him with right-handed bats.  Righties K at a far lower rate vs. him and they also show more pop, thanks to a 53% flyball rate vs. a 51% groundball rate to lefties.  The Yankees have a few righties that have some pop.

Although he went hitless last night, I’m starting this stack off with Aaron Judge.  Over the last 30 days, Judge has just been destroying right-handed pitching.  He has a wOBA of .545 and an ISO of .521 in 78 plate appearances over that stretch.  He’s expensive, but few players in the game have the sheer upside that Judge has.  Play him if you can afford him. 

Next up would be Gleyber Torres.  While he’s not known for his power, Torres showed last night that he does have some pop with 2 bombs.  I doubt we see a repeat performance of that, but I do expect him to have a productive night at the plate.  At just $4.3k on DK tonight, there’s a healthy amount of value there. 

I know I said we attack Wells with righties, but I’m going to make it a point to get Anthony Rizzo into this stack.    Rizzo has been playing great and has hits in 7 of his last 9 games.  He’s also been tagging righties as he has a .270 ISO vs. them over the last 30 days.  Other Yankees I’ll look to add are going to be Aaron Hicks and Estevan Florial.   

Texas Rangers vs. Reid Detmers

My view is that Reid Detmers’ post-no-hitter hangover continues tonight.  Against these same Rangers a week ago, Detmers had one of his worst outings of the season.  He couldn’t escape the fourth inning as the Rangers tagged him for 3 ER and 2 homers.  Between 2 starts against the Rangers this season, Detmers has allowed 8 ER in just 7 innings of work.  They have his number and it will continue tonight.  He’s had more than a week between starts and I expect there to be some rust tonight.  

With my Rangers stack, I’m going to start it with Corey Seager.  Over the past 30 days, he’s actually been great against southpaws with a wOBA over .400.  He’s also shown some power vs. them with a .300 ISO.  Next up with my Rangers stack will be Mitch Garver.  Since coming back from injury, Garver has been arguably the Rangers’ best hitter.  Over his 4 games, he has 5 hits and 2 homers.  He’s always shown some power against lefties as he has a .230 ISO vs. them over the past couple of seasons.  While he doesn’t get the platoon advantage here,

I also do really like Kole Calhoun.  He’s also been swinging a hot stick with 8 hits over his last 22 AB entering play last night.  He also has 3 homers over that stretch.  Other bats I like here will be Marcus Semien, Adolis Garcia, and Sam Huff.  

Check out our MLB Projection Model to see who is the best value pitcher of the slate on DraftKings.

MLB DFS Stacks – Summary

While I didn’t list them in my top stacks, the Orioles are also in play just like last night.  They are scoring some runs and will provide some nice value tonight.  A complete game stack of this game is absolutely in play.  If the White Sox/Red Sox game plays tonight (I don’t think it does), a game stack there is also within reason.  Red Sox got to Cease last night, they can also get to Gio. 

Good luck and hope to see you in the green.   

Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @rangerzfan79 and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate! 

Welcome to the Monday edition of the Stack City, where I’ll be going through the top MLB DFS Stacks on DraftKings and Fanduel. 

Monday means we’re back to mostly just night games.  Both sites have left off the games starting earlier than 7 pm so we have a 10-game slate of MLB DFS to run through.  We have some great areas to target tonight.

Always make sure to read Adam’s Starting Rotation when setting your lineup.  It’s hands down the best pitching article in the MLB DFS business.

Let’s dig in and see if we can find some stacks to use today!

MLB DFS Stacks – Main Slate

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Joan Adon

Anytime that Joan Adon is on the mound I look to take batters against him.  Especially when we have a solid lineup like the Dodgers.  I preach this every time a team plays him.  Patience at the plate and you’ll get your pitch to hit.  Of all 20 pitchers on the mound tonight, Adon has the third-lowest first strike percentage.  He also has by far the worst BB/9 of any pitcher tonight. 

The Marlins showed no patience in their matchup vs. Adon and scored only 1 run against a pitcher with an ERA over 6.  If we look at the Dodgers against right-handed pitching, well they have the highest walk % of any team in baseball.  This has the makings of just an absolutely brutal day for Adon as the Dodgers will just sit there waiting for their pitch, and they’ll get it or he’ll just keep walking batters.

With Adon, we first attack him with lefties.  He’s pretty bad against both sides of the plate, but lefties typically show more power against him.  This stack will start with Freddie Freeman.  Although the power hasn’t really been there for him recently, he’s still producing a ton as he has 8 RBI over the last week.  Now he did have a bit of a rough series vs. the Phillies, but Adon is a way worse pitcher than Freeman saw during that series.  He’s going to see a ton of fastballs tonight from Adon as he throws it more than 60% of the time to lefties.  It’s a pitch that he absolutely crushes from righties.  Over the last several seasons, he has a .325 ISO against it and a .472 wOBA. 

My next piece to my core here will be Max Muncy.  Muncy also just crushes fastballs from righties.  Over the last several years he has a .438 ISO against them with a .453 wOBA.  Other lefties I like here that are more reasonably priced will be both Gavin Lux and Cody Bellinger.  As is always the case with the Dodgers, Mookie Betts is in play, just extremely expensive.  

Take the stacks Jared has laid out here and optimize lineups around Aces in order to cash in big tonight on DraftKings and FanDuel with our lineup optimizer.

Minnesota Twins vs. Elvin Rodriguez

We don’t’ have much of a sample size with Elvin Rodriguez other than a couple of innings of relief work from him in early April.  Those couple of innings were just not good though and the Tigers rookie is someone we can absolutely target.  Through 5 starts at AAA this season, Rodriguez has a 5.18 xFIP and has somewhat struggled with his command as he has a 5.16 BB/9.  In the 12 ABs that righties have against in the Majors, they have a .400 ISO.  They showed a ton of power against him in the couple of innings he worked.

Knowing that I’m staring this stack out with the Twins star Byron Buxton.  Even when he’s not hitting the ball, Buxton produces.  He’s hitless in his last 11 ABs, but has still scored 4 runs and had an RBI.  There’s no reason to think he can’t return to his hitting form against an unproven rookie in what should be a great matchup for him.  At “just” $5.8k on DK, his price is the cheapest in weeks with one of his best matchups during that period. 

My next target here will be Gary Sanchez who is just raking in his new Twins home.  Although he went 0-3 yesterday he still managed to produce with RBI and now has 9 RBI over his last 6 games.  His price has gone up, but he’s in a great spot as well tonight with his .263 ISO vs. righties this season.  Other guys I like in this stack are going to be Carlos Correa, Luis Arraez, and Jorge Polanco.  

Houston Astros vs. Triston McKenzie

Triston McKenzie has yet to have a blow-up game.  Through 7 starts, the most ER he’s allowed was 4 to the Los Angeles Angels.  I think his first true blow-up game comes tonight vs. the Houston Astros.  Other than his 24% K rate, every metric is poor.  He’s giving up a  56% flyball rate and a near 51% hard-hit rate through his last 25 innings of work.  I’m sorry, but you just can’t give up such high metrics for both of those numbers and expect to skate by for too long. 

At some point, you’re going to face a lineup that’s going to be able to take full advantage of those metrics and with the Astros, you have a team that can.  They’ve been one of the better teams in baseball against righties this season.  They have an ISO approaching .200 and a wRC of 122.  With McKenzie, we attack him with righties.  If we go as far back as last season, they have an ISO over .200 and both a flyball rate and hard-hit rate approaching 50%

With that in mind, we start our Astros stack with Jose Altuve.  He’s been red hot at the plate and we’ll continue to use him in these types of matchups.  He had another 2 hits yesterday and also homered.  That makes it 3 homers in his last 7 games and he’s all the way up to 9 on the year.  Against righties this year he’s having just another solid season.  His ISO is up to .250 and his wOBA is approaching .400.  He’s the catalyst to one of the top offenses in the game. 

He’s not a righty, but when you stack the Astros, you have to include Yordan Alvarez.  He’s one of the most feared hitters in the game and has just crushed righties this season.  Through 93 plate appearances, his ISO is up to .457.  Just a monster show of power.  With this stack, I’ll also look to include guys like Alex Bregman, Yuli Gurriel, and Kyle Tucker.  Martin Maldonado is always a good option too if you want to punt catcher. 

Check out our MLB Projection Model to see who is the best value pitcher of the slate on DraftKings.

MLB DFS Stacks – Summary

We have some potent lineups tonight in really good spots.  The Dodgers will be extremely popular tonight against Joan Adon.  There’s always a case to fade popular bats, but not sure tonight will be one of the nights you can.  It’s just too good of a spot.  Other spots I like tonight other than my top 3 are going to be the Giants vs. Peterson, Phillies vs. Davidson, and potentially the Cardinals vs. Berrios to be a bit different. 

Good luck and hope to see you in the green.   

Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @rangerzfan79 and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate!