We’ve got another solid afternoon slate today with some good pitching options and offenses. Anything under 10 games is always a bit easier to wrap our heads around and we can be a bit more focused. Let’s talk about who we need to chase today to find our green screens in the MLB DFS: DraftKings and FanDuel Pitching 7/10!
Can he just pitch against someone other than the Mets at this point? This will be the third time he’s seen them in the last five starts, which doesn’t totally comfort me but as far as talent, Alcantara is the number one on this slate. Nobody has pitched as many innings as he had (123.1) and the next closest is Aaron Nola at 111.1. That helps mitigate the average K rate for an ace at 22.8%, as does the 56.5% ground ball rate and the 26.3% hard-hit rate. He’s impossible to score against with a 1.82 ERA and he’s a threat to go the whole game at any point with two so far. He’s been under six innings in just three games this year and he hasn’t been below seven innings since May 6th. That’s a weapon itself and the wOBA against each side of the plate is .245 or under. Not many pitchers on this slate have the safety and upside but in that Alcantara does.
I’ve been much more hesitant to play him lately since the K rate fell through the season and the xFIP exploded to as high as 4.86 in June. Pittsburgh can change that and it was encouraging to see him strike out nine in the last game. Lauer is using a fastball/slider combo for the majority of his arsenal and they are both under a .290 wOBA allowed with 75 of 89 strikeouts. The Bucco lineup is in the bottom 10 against both pitches and has been flirting with a 30% K rate over the last 30 days when facing a lefty pitcher. With Lauer sporting a higher K rate at home (26.4%) and a lower xFIP (3.29), he’s going to be awfully appealing today. There are a couple of hitters that have some pop in the Pirates lineup but they also may have to throw out some lefties and Lauer has a 31.3% against the left side of the plate. The salaries of both Aces do complicate matters but in a vacuum, they are both very strong plays.
Of course, we’re going after Baz as his first five starts this season have looked fairly strong. The K rate is just under 28% with a walk rate under 9% while the WHIP is 1.14 and the ground ball rate is 44.4%. I don’t love seeing a 38.1% hard-hit rate but the barrel rate suggests that might be noise due to the small sample size because it’s only 6.3%. Baz is generating a 13% swinging-strike rate with mainly his fastball/slider combo. Those pitches are 63% of what Baz throws and the slider is the star pitch. It has a 46.1% whiff rate (the curve is 47.8% but he throws that just 15.1%)and 19 of the 28 strikeouts for Baz. Seeing the Reds sitting 26th when facing one is highly encouraging and the splits are strong as well. Neither side is over .288 for the wOBA and they both whiff over 26.5% of the time. The FIP/xFIP is lower to righties, as is the walk rate so this lineup could break pretty well for him. We have to love the ground ball rate to that side as well at 55.3% so Baz is a full-go for me.
We’ve been avoiding Kopech a lot lately and to be honest, I’m sort of ambivalent about him even today. I prefer Baz to be sure but any pitcher with any ability has to be considered when they draw the Tigers. We talk about it constantly so we don’t need to re-has every category and the biggest concern is Kopech himself. His xFIP is all the way up to 4.81 and that’s terrifying, as is his fly-ball rate of 52.1%. The swinging-strike rate is now under 10% and he needs to lean into something other than his fastball 64.2% of the time. It has allowed seven of his nine home runs, a .295 wOBA, and the main issue is the slider and curve aren’t that great either for whiff rate. It’s under 25% for both pitches and Kopech has been worse to the left side with a .338 wOBA, a 1.53 HR/9, and a 1.43 WHIP. With all the warts, he does have a K rate of 27.9% against the left side and Detroit should be lefty-heavy so I can’t take him off the board.
The strikeouts can be difficult to predict from Walker but it’s possible for him to go seven or more, as evidenced in three of the last five games. Miami is seventh in K rate over the last 30 days when they face a righty and Walker is sitting at a .254 wOBA when facing a righty hitter. If the Marlins have the same lineup as yesterday, they’ll have eight righties in the lineup and even with a 17.5% K rate against that side, Walker still holds plenty of appeal. He’s using a splitter about 29% of the time and that has the most strikeouts at 32 with a 29.5% whiff rate. It’s not the most common pitch but the Fish are 27th against the splitter and that is only another bonus for Walker. The mid-range has plenty of choices today and could hold the key to pairing with one of the Aces.
He’s far from exciting but the Brewers offense somehow continues to be worse against lefties than we would think at 16th in ISO, 23rd in OBP, and then 22nd in OPS, wOBA, and wRC+ to go along with a 23.3% K rate. Quintana has a ground ball rate over 43% and the xFIP is under 3.75 while he’s flashed solid games and upside all season long. Now, there are bad games mixed in as well so this isn’t a slam dunk play or anything. It’s just there is a clear path to success for Quintana as he’s held the hard-hit rate under 30% and the 11.7% swinging-strike rate is just about his career-high. That’s impressive at this point and all three of his main pitches have a whiff rate over 27% and the fastball/curve have allowed a wOBA under .290. He is a little worse on the road with a K rate under 18% and a 4.15 xFIP but the Brewers look like an enticing matchup on paper.
It’s not the best strikeout matchup because the Rays are under 20% as a team for their K rate but Lodolo has a 30.3% rate through his 19.2 IP this year. He’s been a little unlucky as well with a 3.01 xFIP compared to a 4.19 ERA and the 21.4% HR/FB is awfully high. All of his pitches have a whiff rate of at least 25.8% with the curve doing the heavy lifting at 48.6%. Lodolo has done a great job of keeping the ball out of the air at 27.5% and his K rate is over 30% against the right side with a 3.01 xFIP. Tampa is under the league average in wOBA, wRC+, and ISO so based on what we have in front of us from Lodolo, he looks like he has a solid ceiling. The salary involved makes him a very appealing option with significant upside and he threw 89 pitches in his first game back.
Braves
White Sox
Phillies
Guardians
Cardinals
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It’s a bit of a frustration to know that Shane McClanahan pitches tonight but isn’t on the slate, but we’ll press on. There are some very strong candidates to choose from tonight even if the best is missing and we should have options at every level. Let’s talk about who we need to target tonight to find success in the MLB DFS: DraftKings and FanDuel Pitching 7/8!
This slate is a little odd because there are a bunch of pitchers that can post an ace-level score, but there isn’t one particular pitcher that stands out in a major way. There’s a tough matchup or some red flags somewhere along the line, but Wheeler could be the best option on paper. Granted, this is the second straight go-around with Cardinals but the last time he went seven scoreless innings with five strikeouts. Wheeler has a 3.03 xFIP and a 2.48 FIP to go along with his 27.9% K rate and a 12.3% swinging-strike rate. That matches last year’s number and is the best Wheeler has put up in his career and the four-seam is sporting a 31.4% whiff rate, 5.4% better than last year. None of his top three pitches have a wOBA over .273 while he’s held both sides of the plate to a wOBA under .310 and they both whiff at least 23.9% of the time. The Cards don’t strike out a ton but Wheeler should be able to go six or seven strong again tonight.
We all know at this juncture the Nationals don’t strike out but Morton has been so on his A-game in that facet of the game lately that we have to consider him. Since the start of June, he’s pitched six starts and gone eight, 12, nine, 11, five, and 11 for his strikeouts and his K rate has been closing in on 40%. The xFIP was under 2.15 and the wOBA was hovering around .260 so he’s been lights out over the past 37.2 IP. The left side does have the higher WHIP at 1.44 on the season but even then, the K rate is over 29% and much higher lately. It’s not impossible for pitchers to win in tough matchups and Morton has that chance tonight.
Honorable Mention
I’m not the biggest fan of paying the top salary for Nestor Cortes as the K rate dropped to 22% in the month of June. His xFIP has risen in each month so far and while I expect a strong start, you need a lot of strikeouts and Boston is only at a 21.6% K rate against lefties.
This is a bit of a boom/bust spot for Anderson since the Cubs are outside the top half of the league in OBP and wRC+ while they whiff 23.4% of the time. Now, they are sixth in ISO and 11th in OPS so they certainly have some power but Anderson only has a 0.85 HR/9. The xFIP is 3.96 but his K rate is 21.5% so the Cubs could flop here.
These are two pitchers that frankly, I don’t know what to do with. Let’s start with Lopez who I generally love but he’s really not been in top form lately. Perhaps he’s being a little too reliant on the four-seam/changeup mix but even then, the wOBA’s allowed are a little lower and the whiff rates are a tad higher. That forces us to look at the cutter which is used 13.1% but it has a .401 wOBA compared to .282 last year. It’s a bit strange to see a pitch under 15% really set the pitcher back but that’s the one aspect that looks off. His wOBA has been over .300 since the start of May and the K rate continues to drop while the xFIP comes up. With the Mets whiffing the second-least on the season against righties, this is a tough matchup for a very talented Lopez.
As for Bassitt, it’s no easy task to figure him out. He’s coming back from Covid which could limit him in some way, and we may not know about it beforehand. He also wasn’t exactly great shakes before that as, since the start of May, his ERA has been around 4.65 with an xFIP around 3.50. The K rate could still be an asset and he should face more righties, always a help. The K rate against righties is 27% for Bassitt because his slider is much more in play. Miami has been much more toward the middle of the pack against righties over the past 30 days so Bassitt has a path but I’d love to hear some type of assurance pre-game on what the expectations are.
Getting the Rockies outside of Coors is always a better end of things and Gallen is priced where he’s actually playable for once. The K rate is still under 23% with a swinging-strike rate under 10% and part of that is the fastball is being used at over 48% and only has a 14.8% whiff rate. What could turn into an issue is the Rockies are second against the changeup this year and that pitch is the worst for Gallen with a .372 wOBA allowed and only 15 strikeouts. Still, he gets a solid ground ball rate at 45.6% and both sides of the plate are under a .300 wOBA. I wouldn’t say Gallen is the best play on the slate but the matchup is enticing. t’s nice to see that the WHIP is under 1.20 against both sides as well and he’s just not the most reliable pitcher we’re going to come across.
Could Giolito be on the way back? I’m not sure if it matters since DK priced him at $7,800 so I expect him to be stone chalk. That opens up a discussion about playing/fading him but we’ll see just how high he goes. It was a strong start last time around with seven strikeouts through six innings and just three hits. That’s a big improvement over…well, most of his starts but even with some major struggles this season Giolito has a 27.3% K rate and a 3.70 xFIP compared to his 4.90 ERA. The swinging-strike rate has climbed over 13% and it’s really righties that have given him the most issues with a 2.72 HR/9, a 4.71 xFIP, and a wOBA over .400. There is only one righty in the Detroit lineup that has a wOBA over .300 and Giolito is going to be tough to avoid at this salary in this matchup.
Honorable Mention
I think Jose Urquidy could pick up some steam since he’s against the A’s but this could be one of those trap pitchers. His xFIP is 4.46 and the K rate is just 18.2% with a fly-ball rate over 44%. These are the pitchers that can certainly pop up for great streaming numbers, but if he’s popular I’m likely to fade on a slate this size.
If Giolito is major chalk, Ashby could turn into a dynamite pivot. In the last start against the Pirates, the results weren’t exactly there but his xFIP in that start was 1.87 and his K rate was 37.5%. If he can keep the ball in the park this time around, the strikeouts should flow since Ashby has a 28.1% K rate on the season to go along with a ground ball rate over 60%. Pittsburgh is over 25% for their K rate when facing a lefty on the season but it’s risen to 29% over the past month while ranking in the bottom four in wOBA and wRC+. Even the ISO has dropped to 18th and Ashby has three pitches with a whiff rate over 32%. He’s shown upside before with a 35 DK point game and both sides of the plate whiff at least 27% of the time and the xFIP is no higher than 3.00.
Do you feel lucky enough to use a Baltimore pitcher twice in a row? Jordan Lyles paid off yesterday and Wells doesn’t have a ton going for him in the strikeout department but the FIP is only 4.09. Across the career of 132.2 IP, the xFIP is only 4.44 and the K rate is over 20% which the Angles will certainly help out with. They continue to whiff a ton and Wells has only allowed a 6.9% barrel rate and a 24.7% hard-hit rate. He’s held each side of the plate under .290 for the wOBA and he’s recovered nicely from a rough start. After May started, the ERA has been under 2.75 and the wOBA has been under .260 so even without a ton of K potential, he’s got some punt appeal against an offense that simply isn’t getting it done. They are outside of the top half of the league in all of our offensive categories.
Sonny Gray – I don’t think he gets hammered here but how does he go from $7,300 to $9,700 after a start where he scored under 10 DK points? Texas is in the bottom 10 of our offensive categories and whiff over 23% of the time so the matchup isn’t bad at all. His K rate drops when facing a lefty to 22.8% although the WHIP is 0.92 and the xFIP is 3.72. It’s really just a salary issue here as the matchup isn’t exceptionally scary.
Yankees (if healthy)
White Sox
Orioles
Brewers
Dodgers
Mariners/Blue Jays
Thank you for reading my MLB DFS: DraftKings and FanDuel Pitching 7/8 and make sure you follow me on Twitter at @bucn4life! Be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT account here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate!
Welcome to the Thursday edition of the Stack City, where I’ll be going through the top MLB DFS Stacks on DraftKings and Fanduel.
For a Thursday night, we have a surprisingly large 10-game slate of MLB DFS. On the mound tonight, we have some absolute gas cans that we’ll want to attack with bats.
Always make sure to read Adam’s Starting Rotation when setting your lineup. It’s hands down the best pitching article in the MLB DFS business.
Let’s dig in and see if we can find some stacks to use today!
The Dallas Keuchel experiment in Arizona is going as well as the Dallas Keuchel experiment went in Chicago. The only difference is that Arizona has nowhere else to go than Keuchel so we can hope that he’ll be in the rotation for a while. Through 2 starts with Arizona, Keuchel has already allowed 10 ER in just 9 innings of work. On the year, Keuchel has an ERA over 8, which is magical in terms of stacking against. In each of his last 4 starts, he’s allowed at least 4 ER and in 3 of them, he’s allowed 6. He’s someone that we should always consider stacking against.
I’m going to have a slight lean with the righties against Keuchel as he does give up a decent amount of power to them. That said, throwing in some lefties into the Rockies stack could get us some lower-owned bats as I do suspect our targets here will be highly owned.
I’m going to prioritize getting Brendan Rodgers into my Rockies stack tonight. Rodgers has been very solid against lefties all season, even away from Coors Field. On the road this year, Rodgers has a very respectable .471 slugging % and .371 wOBA against southpaws. Rodgers is also going to line up extremely well with Keuchel and his sinker. Against lefty sinkers, Rodgers has a .500 ISO and a .425 wOBA over his career. Just solid numbers. At just $4.3k on DK tonight, he’s fairly priced.
Next up will be C.J. Cron. Cron also has excellent numbers vs. lefty sinkers over his career. Over the last few years, he has a .435 wOBA and a .235 ISO. Thanks to an 0-2 night last night, he had a 10-game hitting streak snapped. Over that 10-game hitting streak, Cron had 3 bombs and 13 RBI. In this type of matchup tonight, look for Cron to get a new hitting streak going and get back to his productive ways.
Other Rockies bats I’ll look to get into my lineups tonight will be Connor Joe, Yonathan Diaz, and Kris Bryant.
I will more than likely do a complete game-stack of this Rockies/Diamondbacks game tonight. Both pitchers are very beatable and in just awful matchups. While I’ll prefer the Rockies side a little heavier, the Diamondback side could be a sneaky stack. Gomber hasn’t been great over the last month. His xFIP over the last 30 days is at 5.35 and his ERA is over 6. In the last 2 games that he’s started, he’s allowed 9 ER in just 9 innings of work. Until he gets right, we’ll want to stack against him.
Gomber has very clear splits. Righties have a slugging % more than 200 points higher against him than lefties. Their wOBA is also 130 points higher. Tonight’s Diamondbacks lineup could feature 7-8 righties, making this a super tough outing for the Rockies pitcher.
I’m starting my Diamondbacks stack off with Christian Walker. He’s been their most powerful hitter vs. lefties all year. Against lefties in 2022, Walker has a massive .621 slugging % and a 1.046 OPS. He’s also homered 5 times against them. Over the last 30 days, Walker’s numbers vs. lefties have been even more impressive. He’s sporting a .480 ISO and a .499 wOBA against them. At just $3.8k on DK, he’s a solid value tonight.
Next up will be Jordan Luplow, who’s just $2.5k on DK. Luplow has also been strong vs. lefties this season, with a .579 slugging % and a .888 OPS. With Luplow we always need to pick our spots, and tonight is a spot to pick with him. 7 of the 10 homers he’s this season have come against lefties. While he’s always a risk of getting a goose egg, at his salary it limits the sting of it knowing he also stands a good chance to take Gomber deep.
I’ll also look to include in this stack Ketel Marte, Cooper Hummel, and Buddy Kennedy.
So far in his young career, Matthew Liberatore has seen some mixed results. In his first 5 starts, he has 2 strong starts and 3 starts that he wishes he could forget. With a matchup tonight vs. the Braves, it’s going to be more likely a night he wishes he could forget.
In his brief career so far, Liberatore has had a very clear weakness, and that’s been righties. Against righties so far, Liberatore has really struggled. He’s given up a .629 slugging % to them and all 4 homers he’s allowed have been to righties. The Braves should be able to throw out a lineup tonight that will be 7 righties strong. That’s going to set up for a long night for Liberatore.
I’m starting off my Braves stack with Austin Riley. Although he’s pricy at $5.2k tonight on DK, he’s been one of the Braves’ top hitters vs. lefties all season. His .654 slugging % and 1.044 OPS both rank number on the team vs. southpaws and his 6 homers vs. them also lead the team. Riley is coming into this one hot, with 5 hits in his last 7 AB, including 3 extra-base hits. He’s in a great spot tonight.
Next up will be Dansby Swanson. Swanson has also had a very strong year vs. lefties. In 92 plate appearances vs. lefties this season, Swanson has a .958 OPS thanks to a very solid .402 OBP. Although he took an 0-4 last night, Swanson has 3 multi-hit games in his last 6 games. This is a + matchup for him tonight and he should look to get back on the saddle with another multi-hit game.
Other Braves bats that I really like tonight will be Adam Duvall (.576 wOBA vs. lefties over the last month), Ronald Acuna, and Travis d’Arnaud.
Other stacks I like tonight will be the Mets vs. Daniel Castano and Reds vs. Bryse Wilson. Should the Marlins load up on lefties, I’ll also really like them vs. Trevor Williams. We may also look to the Pirates tonight depending on who actually starts for the Reds. As always, make sure to pop into discord as what looks great in the morning, may not look as great at night. And what looks bad in the morning, may look great before lock.
Good luck and hope to see you in the green.
Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @rangerzfan79 and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate!
The pitching options are a lot better on this smaller slate, not that it was a difficult task to be better than yesterday. We actually have players that we’ll want to play tonight and the ownership should be a little less concentrated. Let’s talk about who all we like in the MLB DFS: DraftKings and FanDuel Pitching 7/6 and find green screens!
I think the number one option tonight is a tough call and I have Javier with a slight lead. Even though his 3.54 xFIP is higher than the 2.58 ERA, it’s not a terrible number and Javier is backing that up with a massive 34.3% K rate. His swinging-strike rate is at a career-high 13.7% and his four-seam must play really well in the batter’s box. It has a whiff rate of 28.5% and 60 strikeouts despite Javier throwing it 61.5% of the time this year. Hopefully, he gets a bunch of righties since he dominates that side of the plate with a 43% K rate, a 1.43 FIP, and a .211 wOBA. Granted, the left side still whiffs 26.8% so it’s not like he can’t handle them at all but the xFIP does come up to 4.26 which can be a slight concern. Javier is one of those pitchers that can flourish in the face of giving up a lot of fly-balls (over 58%) and the Royals ranking in the bottom 10 offensively is only going to help him.
I’m typically a little heavy than the field on Gonsolin and we’ll see if that continues, but he’s hard not to like. We talked about the matchup with Road Rockies yesterday against righties so all of that still stands for Gonsolin as well. Now he has been pitching with a horseshoe in his mitt because the 3.77 xFIP simply doesn’t match the 1.54 ERA but he’s always been a pitcher that looks like he’s lucky. Through his 224 career innings, the xFIP is 4.19 and the ERA is 2.37, and his 8.5% HR/FB ratio is excellent. The season, his K rate is 24.9% and he’s cut his WHIP down to 0.82. It helps when the walk rate goes from 14.2% last year to 7.4% this year, even though his 91.4% strand rate won’t stick around forever. The four-seam for Gonsolin has a .385 wOBA but he only throws it 36.8% of the time and his splitter/slider/curve has a whiff rate of at least 30%. Both sides of the plate are at a .255 wOBA or lower and he doesn’t have any other major splits to worry about.
The matchup is not the best on paper for strikeout upside but Nola has been so outstanding this year that he shouldn’t be left out at all. Nola has a 29.1% K rate and a 3.13 ERA to go with his 2.94/2.87 FIP/xFIP combo along with a 44.2% ground ball rate and a 0.92 WHIP. His curveball is driving his strikeouts with 46 and a 39.6% whiff rate while the Nationals are just 14th against it. The status of Juan Soto is up in the air as he hasn’t played in a couple of days so that would certainly help Nola if he continued to miss. Both sides of the plate are under .300 for the wOBA and Nola whiffs the left side a little more often at a 29.3% K rate. He can get through any lineup, even one that is only striking out at 19.9%. You can argue that he may not be the best bet to lead the slate in scoring, which is what you would want at his salary.
Honorable Mention
Max Fried has been excellent but the Cardinals are as well, sitting in the top seven in all of our offensive categories. I think he puts up a strong real-life game with a .292 wOBA and a 22.8% K rate when facing a righty but I like other cheaper options.
This could end up very badly but the reward is certainly there was well and Mikolas is in the top 10 in innings pitched at 100 even. When we talk about pitchers against the Braves, we want pitchers that handle the right side of the plate and Mikolas does that. He has a .280 wOBA, a 19.1% K rate, a 1.04 WHIP, and a 51.1% ground ball rate. That last part can help neutralize the power-laden Atlanta hitters and he’s only giving up a hard-hit rate of 31.9%. There is really no one pitch that Mikolas leans on more than others but the changeup is the least-used pitch against righties and that’s a positive since it allows a .360 wOBA. Atlanta is fifth n fly-ball rate against righty pitching so there’s no doubt it’s a tough matchup but Mikolas could be well up to the task.
Honorable Mention
Josiah Gray is kind of Hunter Greene-lite in that the K rate of 25.4% is always going to tempt you at a reasonable salary but he can get smacked in any outing. The xFIP is 4.35 but the lineup construction is going to be vital. He’s held the right side to a .275 wOBA and a 26.6% K rate with a manageable 1.28 HR/9. The left side is much tougher for him with a 6.87 FIP, a 2.56 HR/9, and a .387 wOBA. Hello, Kyle Schwarber.
I’m not over the moon for Kelly as he’s a little worse against the left side of the plate but the Giants are slumping offensively. Over the past 30 days against righty pitching, they are 22nd in wRC+, 21st in wOBA, 19th in ISO, 21st in OPS, and that has come with a 24% K rate. Even though lefties are more productive, it’s a .302 wOBA, 1.31 WHIP, and a 3.77 FIP. He also has the hard-hit rate under 22% of the time as well and while Kelly isn’t the most stable source of points, the salary has really dropped. Kelly also generates a 45.6% ground ball rate and a 26.1% CSW so he’s in play for tonight to load up on bats.
I’ll admit, I’m much more inclined to take a risk with Bello tonight and pay just $5,000 for the 23-year-old righty who has shredded the minors so far this season. Through 51.1 IP in AAA, he’s sporting a 2.81 ERA, a 2.64 xFIP, and a massive 34.4% K rate which is super exciting but the ground ball rate has been over 62% in both AA and AAA this season. That’s a spectacular combo and the scouting reports have him with a plus fastball and slider with a good changeup. With Tampa striking out over 25% of the time and walking 7.7% of the time, that’s a good mix for Bello as well. Against the left side, the K rate has been 29.8% and the righties have a K rate of over 45%. With the instability baked in, he’s WELL worth the risk at this salary.
Luis Severino – This is a very tough spot to predict for Severino. On the one hand, the Buccos strike out at a top-five rate when they face a righty. That sounds great but they’re going to throw out a lot of lefties and that doesn’t jive well for a ceiling for Severino. His K rate s only 20.2% and the FIP is 5.23 and while the Pirates offense isn’t the best, I don’t think Severino has a huge game here.
Alex Cobb – I’ve been Mr. Alex Cobb since he’s been the unluckiest dude we talk about with a 4.79 ERA and a 2.73 xFIP but the pitch count has me worried. I don’t think we get more than 80 as he’s thrown 60, 80, and then went back to 67 (five innings but still) in the last start. It also doesn’t help that lefties have a .364 wOBA and the K rate goes down under 24%. The salary is interesting but it’s still a bit of a tougher sell unless we get some indication he’s full-go.
Spenser Watkins – He’s had two good starts after coming back from the IL but I’m not sure why, and that freaks me out. There hasn’t been a shift in pitch types or anything else and his career numbers through 95.2 IP seem far more relevant with a 5.56 xFIP and 6.59 ERA.
Dodgers
Astros
Yankees
Orioles/Rangers Game Stack
Thank you for reading my MLB DFS: DraftKings and FanDuel Pitching 7/6 and make sure you follow me on Twitter at @bucn4life! Be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT account here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate!
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